EURUSD ANALYSIS - LONGPrice has successfully broken out of the falling wedge on both the daily and weekly charts, signaling strong bullish momentum. After hitting resistance around 1.1555 (61.8% Fib), we’re seeing a healthy pullback towards 1.1500-1.1488 support. As long as bulls defend 1.1400, I’m looking for continuation towards 1.1555 and 1.1894 swing targets. Watching price action closely at the current pullback zone for potential long entries.
EURUSD
EURUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1441 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.1424
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1551
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1458
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1608
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
HelenP. I Euro may break suppot level and drop to trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Observing this chart, we can see how the price strongly declined and reached the trend line, where it found solid support and reversed. From that point, EUR began to grow, forming a clear upward pennant structure. This movement included a break above the local support level at 1.1485, indicating temporary bullish strength. However, despite this breakout, the price failed to secure a strong push through the resistance zone between 1.1485 and 1.1530, instead consolidating just below it. Now the chart shows clear signs of slowing upward momentum. The price remains inside the pennant, but current movement suggests potential weakness near the top boundary. Given the structure and previous reaction points, I expect EURUSD to break below the support level and move toward the trend line again. This would be a natural retest of the lower boundary of the pennant. That’s why I’ve set my target at 1.1365, a level that coincides perfectly with the trend line, offering a realistic area for price to react once more. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Euro can reach resistance line of channel and make correctionHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Previously, price was trading inside a downward channel, gradually declining from the resistance line while forming a series of lower highs and lower lows. During that phase, sellers were clearly in control, and every attempt to grow was met with pressure near the channel’s upper boundary. However, that trend shifted once the price broke through the resistance line, confirming the end of the bearish momentum and the start of a new upward structure. After the breakout, EUR entered an upward channel, supported by multiple bullish impulses and consistent reactions near the support line. Price continued to rise, pushing through the support area and current support level around 1.1420. This upward movement showed strong bullish conviction, especially after the clean breakout and consolidation inside the channel body. Now the pair has approached the resistance line of the rising channel, where previous impulses typically slowed down or reversed. Given the channel geometry and past market behavior, I expect Euro to react to this upper boundary and move downward. For this reason, I set my TP at 1.1325, which aligns with the support line of the upward channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD Bulls in Control... But the Trap Is Set at 1.1600? 🇺🇸 EUR/USD – Technical & Macro Outlook
EUR/USD has posted an impressive rally over the past few weeks, driven by a combination of technical and macro factors. It is currently trading around 1.1586, right at the edge of a major supply zone where previous sharp rejections and reversals have taken place.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Price action remains within a well-defined ascending channel that began in mid-April, fueling the bullish move from the 1.07 lows.
The current daily candle is showing signs of exhaustion within the 1.1550–1.1600 resistance zone, with upper wicks and declining volume.
RSI is in a high-neutral zone but not yet overbought, leaving room for more upside — but also increasing the probability of a technical pullback.
🔁 Key Levels:
Primary resistance: 1.1600 (multi-touch supply area)
Support 1: 1.1460–1.1430 (previous resistance, now potential support)
Support 2: 1.1300–1.1270 (demand zone + channel base)
📉 COT Report – June 3, 2025
Non-Commercials (speculators) remain net-long with over 200,000 contracts, though both long (-1,540) and short (-4,830) positions saw reductions. This suggests a bullish structure with early signs of profit-taking.
Commercials are heavily net-short, with 575,000 short contracts versus 437,000 long — a structurally bearish stance from physical market participants.
Open interest increased significantly by +20,813, pointing to renewed speculative participation and potential volatility.
🧭 Retail Sentiment
Retail traders are heavily short (80%) with an average entry around 1.1253.
This contrarian behavior is typically supportive of continued upside pressure — especially if price holds above key supports.
📅 Seasonality – June
Historical averages over 10, 15, and 20 years show a slightly bullish tendency in June.
The 2- and 5-year patterns suggest more neutral to mildly bearish behavior.
This supports a consolidation or corrective pullback, without ruling out higher moves during the summer rally.
🎯 Trading Conclusion
Current bias: Moderately bullish, with rising pullback risks near 1.1600
Possible setup: Tactical short between 1.1580–1.1610 if confirmed by bearish price action
Target: 1.1430–1.1300
Bullish scenario remains valid unless we break below 1.1270
📌 Summary
The bullish trend is strong but technically extended. Speculative positions remain net-long but are starting to unwind. The retail crowd is still betting against the move, which favors bulls. However, structural resistance calls for caution — a pullback could be imminent.
Massive GBP/USD Reversal Ahead? Head & Shoulders FormationGBP/USD is at a critical technical juncture following a sharp bullish impulse that pushed the pair above the 1.34 handle, printing a strong weekly bullish engulfing candle and breaking out of a multi-week consolidation zone. This move unfolded in a macro context where the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing clear signs of weakness, with Non-Commercial net long positions dropping drastically—from around 20,000 to less than 5,000 contracts. This shift points to a fading speculative appetite for the dollar, historically a leading indicator of upcoming corrective phases or broader declines in the DXY.
On the flip side, the Commitments of Traders (COT) report on the British Pound reveals that Non-Commercials (typically hedge funds and asset managers) remain net long on GBP, with a slight increase week-over-week. However, Commercials (generally institutions and hedgers) have aggressively built up a significant net short position—levels that in the past preceded major reversals on the pair. This divergence between speculators and institutional hedgers suggests short-term bullish potential, but with rising risk of exhaustion near current resistance levels.
Adding fuel to this outlook is the retail sentiment: approximately 63% of retail traders are currently short GBP/USD, with an average entry price around 1.3021. This kind of retail crowd positioning, typically inefficient from a historical perspective, adds contrarian support for further upside, as long as price holds above the 1.3340 structure.
From a seasonality perspective, June tends to be a mildly bullish-to-sideways month for GBP/USD, especially when looking at the 10- and 15-year seasonal averages. While the seasonal bias is not particularly strong, there’s also no statistical downward pressure this time of year, leaving room for technically-driven moves influenced by liquidity and sentiment rather than macro patterns alone.
On the technical front, the daily chart shows a steep rally capped by a large green candle on Monday, breaking cleanly through the 1.34 resistance zone. The price is now hovering inside a key supply area between 1.3499 and 1.3550—a historically reactive zone that has triggered major rejections in previous months. How price reacts here will likely shape the next major swing. A confirmed breakout and consolidation above 1.3550 would open the door for an extension toward 1.37–1.3750. Conversely, a sharp rejection followed by a break below 1.3412—and especially under 1.3340—would set the stage for a deeper correction toward 1.3170.
The RSI is currently showing early signs of momentum loss, although no strong bearish divergence has emerged yet. This implies that the pair could still fuel another push higher before running out of steam—possibly forming the right shoulder of a head & shoulders pattern if the rejection scenario plays out.
GBPJPY At the Top? Massive Liquidity Grab📈 1. Price Action & Key Technical Levels (Daily Chart)
Price reached a major supply zone between 196.0 and 197.0, showing clear rejection (weekly pin bar and a lower high structure relative to the previous peak).
The long-term descending trendline acted as resistance again.
A confirmed rising wedge pattern broke to the downside, with first target around 191.4, and extended target near 187.4 (key demand zone with historical confluence).
Weekly RSI shows a bearish divergence vs price highs – an additional signal of bullish exhaustion.
📊 2. COT Data (as of June 3, 2025)
GBP (British Pound)
Net long positions increased by +30,371 contracts (Commercial + Non-Commercial).
Non-Commercials: 103,672 long vs 68,457 short → net long +35,215 but the increase is relatively modest.
Commercials are increasing both long and short positions, but the net delta supports medium-term GBP resilience.
JPY (Japanese Yen)
Net short worsened by -13,566 contracts.
Non-Commercials are cutting longs and adding shorts → aggressive yen selling.
Commercials remain heavily short (275,659 vs 100,151 long).
➡️ COT Conclusion: GBP remains structurally strong, but the JPY is now extremely oversold, increasing the likelihood of a technical correction in favor of JPY (GBPJPY pullback).
📉 3. Retail Sentiment
72% of retail traders are short GBPJPY, with an average entry at 191.2.
Current price is above 195.8 → a liquidity sweep above retail shorts may have already occurred.
The order book shows a heavy sell cluster between 195.0–195.9 → potential zone of manipulation/liquidation.
➡️ Contrarian view: After sweeping liquidity above retail highs, we may now see downside pressure to clean out breakout longs.
📅 4. Seasonality
June tends to be neutral to bearish:
5-year average: +0.45% (weak gain)
10- and 15-year averages: -1.24% and -1.30%
Historically, the first 10 days of June often mark a local top, followed by a decline – consistent with the current price structure.
🧠 5. Macro-Technical Confluence
The broader setup points to a distribution phase between 195.5–196.5, with high probability of a technical pullback toward 193.5–191.4 in the short-to-medium term.
The yen's oversold conditions may ease temporarily, supporting a corrective GBPJPY retracement.
Break below 193.5 would confirm the move toward 191.4 and eventually 187.4 – an area of institutional interest.
🔍 Trade Setup Summary (Bias: Bearish)
Technical context: Short setup confirmed by structure break, divergence, and supply rejection.
Macro/sentiment context: Supports a corrective pullback on the pair.
Strategy: Look for intraday weakness below 195.0–194.5 → targeting 193.5, then 191.4.
Invalidation: Daily/weekly close above 197.0.
NQ100 → Entering the Danger Zone?📈 1. Technical Context (Price Action & Structure)
The daily chart shows a strong bullish continuation from the 17,350 area, with price now extending toward the 22,000 USD zone.
We are currently within a weekly/monthly supply, with:
Mild RSI divergence in overbought conditions
Temporary rejection at 22,050–22,200
A potential liquidity sweep above highs before distribution or pullback
The monthly structure shows a strong swing low that may serve as anchor for a future reversal
🧠 2. COT Report – Commitment of Traders (as of June 3)
Commercials (Smart Money):
+4,041 long | +3,320 short → Net +1,455 → hedging phase, not trend expansion
Non-Commercials (Speculators):
–2,237 long | +125 short → net exposure reduction
Open Interest increasing → new positions building, but no extreme imbalance
📌 Conclusion: Tactical neutrality, slight bullish lean from commercials.
📆 3. Seasonality
June has been historically bullish, especially in the past 2 years (+700 pts avg)
10Y average still leans bullish
⚠️ September is a clear seasonal reversal month across all timeframes
📌 Conclusion: Seasonal tailwind through end of June; cyclic reversal risk into Q3.
📰 4. Macro Calendar
High-impact USD week:
CPI – Wed, June 11
PPI – Thu, June 12
These will be critical to:
Validate the disinflation narrative
Set expectations for a Fed cut by Sep/Nov
📌 Conclusion: Expect explosive mid-week volatility — watch for liquidity spikes above 22,000 if CPI surprises.
⚙️ Operational Outlook
✅ Primary scenario (bullish continuation):
🎯 Target: 22,260 → fib extension + structure
❌ Invalid below 21,350
🔄 Alternative scenario (mean reversion):
🔻 Short from 22,050–22,200
🎯 Target: 20,950 → liquidity + FVG zone
🔁 Trigger: weekly engulf or hotter-than-expected CPI
EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1596 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.1533
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD, GBPUSD - Outlook for next weekEURUSD - So we have 2x 4 hour POI's (Points Of Interest). Will be looking at potential reversals at both POI's however, within the first POI we have an area of potential liquidity that could look to be taken before we make out move back to the upside.
Therefor, the second POI could look to be our more solid option for our buying options at some point next week.
GBPUSD - This pair looks to be building its liquidity now for potential trades to the upside as today on the lower TF's it was setting quite a few traps for the potential longs and the traders that would have been shorting the breaks below structure to the left.
If you have any questions for me please do let me know
EURUSD – Follow-Up UpdateEURUSD traded above the 1.1573 level on Thursday, marking a second break to the upside following the earlier trend-changing pattern — a potential sign of bullish continuation.
However, on the 1H/M15 chart, we've observed a minor ABC corrective decline (pullback). We’re now watching for a break below 1.1511, which could signal the start of a short-term bearish move.
🎯 Short-Term Target:
The next key level is 1.1214, a weekly structural support zone and the low of the previous trend-changing pattern.
📌 Key Zones to Watch:
Bearish confirmation: Break below 1.1511
Medium-term target: 1.1214
Stay alert to price action around these levels.
Trade safe, and have a blessed weekend.
EURUSD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 1.15537 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 1.15800 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD Gearing Up for Next Leg Up – DXY Weakens After PPI MissToday, key U.S. economic indexes were released, providing fresh insights into inflationary pressures and the state of the labor market:
Core PPI m/m:
Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: -0.4%
Lower than expected – suggests weaker underlying producer inflation.
PPI m/m:
Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: -0.5%
Slight miss – overall inflation at the producer level remains soft.
Unemployment Claims:
Actual: 248K | Forecast: 242K | Previous: 247K
Slightly higher than forecast – signaling some cooling in the labor market.
Market Outlook :
These data releases point toward cooling inflation and softness in job growth, which may strengthen the dovish narrative around the Fed’s next move.
DXY Index ( TVC:DXY ) is under pressure, and EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is showing signs of bullish momentum .
-----------------------------------------------------------
Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 1-hour time frame .
EURUSD is trading near the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) and Monthly Resistance(2) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , EURUSD appears to be completing microwave 4 . Microwave 4 could be completed at one of the Fibonacci levels .
I expect EURUSD to attack the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) at least once more after completing microwave 4 and could even rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.1446 , we can expect more dump.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Rising Geopolitical Risk Could Pressure EURUSDEURUSD attempted to break the upper line of the trend channel yesterday, but with the start of the Israeli attack, a quick selloff followed. Rising geopolitical risks typically increase demand for U.S. debt and the dollar. As a result, EURUSD’s rally is facing short-term bearish pressure. The first key support level at 1.1495 is being tested. If it holds, there is a chance for another attempt at the upper line. However, if it breaks, 1.1440 and 1.1370 are the next support levels to watch in the short term.
Gold Breaks $3400 – Targets $3500 Amid Tensions (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the lower timeframe, we can see that today, following Israel's missile and airstrike attacks on Iran, gold experienced a sharp rally. As anticipated last night, gold finally managed to break through the strong $3400 resistance, surging over 600 pips to reach $3447.
Currently, gold is trading around $3438, and given the escalation in geopolitical tensions, I expect further upside movement.
The next potential targets are $3449, $3469, and possibly $3500.
⚠️ Due to ongoing conflict and extreme volatility, it's advised to avoid trading or proceed only with minimal risk exposure.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURUSD: Bulls Will Push Higher
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
EURUSD !!! (Big move is loading)
📈 EUR/USD – Wave 4 Buy Opportunity (2H TF)
Published by Greenfireforex | June 13, 2025
The EUR/USD pair is completing a corrective Wave 4, retracing into a premium FVG (Fair Value Gap) demand zone between 1.1500–1.1475. Price tapped into a high-probability reversal block just below the psychological level of 1.1500, offering a potential long entry.
🔹 Technical Confluences:
Wave 4 corrective structure
Fair Value Gap (Buyers) zone
Liquidity grab near 1.1478
Bullish projection towards 1.1637 (Wave 5 target)
🔸 Entry Idea:
Long from the FVG demand zone with confirmation (price action / bullish engulfing / lower timeframe structure break).
📍 Targets:
TP1: 1.1500
TP2: 1.1570
TP3 (wave projection): 1.16375
🛑 Invalidation:
Clean break below 1.1470 zone with momentum could invalidate the bullish setup.
---
📊 Strategy: Elliott Wave + FVG + Price Action
💡 Watch for reaction around CPI & USD news (14th–18th June)
Hashtags (for IG/TradingView):
#EURUSD #WaveAnalysis #Forex #ForexSetup #PriceAction #ElliottWave #SmartMoney #FXTrade #ForexBreakout
---
EUR/USD Slips on Geopolitical TensionsEUR/USD dropped to around 1.1530 on Friday, ending a four-day rally, as safe-haven demand lifted the US Dollar amid rising Middle East tensions.
Israel struck Iranian targets to weaken its nuclear program, prompting emergency measures. The US denied involvement but warned Iran not to target its assets.
Trump’s plan to expand steel tariffs from June 23 added trade uncertainty, while soft US inflation data kept Fed rate cut hopes alive.
Markets now await the US Michigan Sentiment report for further signals.
Resistance is located at 1.1580, while support is seen at 1.1460.
EURUSD Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 1.152.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.163 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURUSD - Long from hereDue to having internal Breaks of Structure to the upside here I have entered a long position as it is a reasonable area to potentially get long as it is a strong area of demand.
I'm aware that there isn't much liquidity built up in and around this area before hitting the demand but its a risk im willing to take as price may just be filling the FVG from all the buying pressure that was in the market yesterday
Any questions please message