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EURUSD

EURUSD BUYThe US Dollar (USD) gapped lower at the weekly opening amid optimism fueling demand for high-yielding assets, following news that the United States (US) and the European Union (EU) reached a trade deal. The US and the EU agreed a 15% tariff on most European goods entering the US, much higher than the average 4.8% exporters face these days. No rates will apply to EU exports in important sectors, including aircraft parts, some chemicals, semiconductor equipment and some agricultural products. The EU response to the headline was uneven. European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Peter Kazimir said on Monday that the trade deal reduces uncertainty, but it is unclear for now how it impacts inflation. However, the French prime minister, François Bayrou, said the EU has capitulated to Donald Trump’s threats, adding it is a “dark day” for the EU. The trade focus now shifts to the US-China as officials from both countries resume talks in Stockholm. The EUR/USD pair peaked at 1.1771 during Asian trading hours, but changed course early in Europe, with the USD surging across the FX board, resulting in the pair shedding over 100 pips. The macroeconomic calendar had nothing relevant to offer at the beginning of the week, but will be flooded with first-tier releases, including US employment-related data ahead of the Nonfarm Payrolls report on Friday, the preliminary estimates of the Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the US and the EU, and inflation updates. On top of that, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its decision on monetary policy on Wednesday. RESISTANCE 1.16050 RESISTANCE 1.16243 RESISTANCE 1.16451 SUPPORT 1.15856 SUPPORT 1.15711
Short
by Mark804
EURUSD Will the 1D MA50 hold?The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the April 21 2025 High. The price is right now on a strong pull-back and is about to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since May 12. As long as the 1D candle closes above the 1D MA50, it will be a buy signal, targeting 1.19250 (a standard +3.20% rise). If the candle closes below the 1D MA50, the buy will be invalidated and we will switch to a sell, targeting the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) at 1.14100. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
EUR/USD Analysis: Potential Reversal at Key Support📉 Day 3 of 100: EUR/USD Breaks Structure! Today’s market gave us a lesson! 📚 ✅ SL Hit due to news ✅ 61% order block broken ✅ NY session may go bullish after Asia+London trap . Are you seeing the pattern unfold? 👇 Comment “Wave Watcher 🌊” if you use Elliott Wave! Day 3/100 - EUR/USD Breakdown! | Forex Analysis | Elliott Wave | Order Block Strategy In today’s update: 📌 SL hit due to major fundamental shift 📌 Break of 61% order block; heading to 78% zone 📌 Similar pattern in Tokyo/London sessions—bullish setup possible for NY session . 💬 Drop a comment if you're also using Elliott Wave price action! 👍 Like | 🔁 Share | 🔔 Subscribe for more daily updates! 🚀 Join the 100-Day EUR/USD Challenge — Let’s decode the market together! #forex #eurusd #elliottwave #orderblock #forextrader #forexeducation #smartmoneyconcepts #priceaction #forexchallenge #newyorksession #technicalanalysis #forexstrategy ---
Long
by Greenfireforex
DXY: USD Flexes Muscle - Pairs SlideFriday, July 25, 2025 The foreign exchange markets are experiencing a pronounced USD bullish session this morning, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) showing robust gains of +0.35% while simultaneously pressuring all major currency pairs into negative territory. The Japanese Yen (JPY) is bearing the brunt of this dollar strength, currently registering losses between -0.4% to -0.66% across JPY pairs. This market behavior suggests traders should pay particularly close attention to DXY dynamics, as its movements will likely dictate price action across all major currency pairs in today's session. Technical Perspective: DXY at Critical Inflection Point A detailed examination of the Dollar Index reveals several compelling technical factors that market participants should consider: 1. Weekly Demand Zone Reaction - The DXY has demonstrated a strong rejection from a significant weekly demand area - The subsequent bullish spike indicates potential continuation of upward momentum - This price action suggests institutional buyers are defending this key level 2. Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights Non-commercial traders (typically hedge funds and speculators) have increased their positions from a bottom level not seen since June 2021 meanwhile the Commercial traders (often corporations hedging FX exposure) show opposing extreme positioning. This stark divergence between trader categories often precedes significant market moves 3. Seasonal Patterns Favor USD Strength - Historical seasonal analysis indicates the current period typically supports dollar appreciation - The combination of technical and seasonal factors creates a potentially powerful bullish setup ✅ Please share your thoughts about DXY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
TVC:DXY
by FOREXN1
3
EURUSD: Will Go Down! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.15996 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.15562..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Short
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
EURUSD Supply Rejection – Bearish Move ExpectedOn the 1-hour chart, EURUSD tapped into the 4hr Supply + OB zone 🟧 and failed to hold above previous structure. - BoS (Break of Structure) shows weakness at highs - ChoCh (Change of Character) confirms bearish shift - Price rejected from 0.236 Fib level (1.17400) and is moving lower Plan: - Expecting price to move toward 1.16200 (≈ 120 pips from current level) 🎯 - Bearish momentum remains valid as long as price stays below supply zone - Confirmation candles & retests strengthen short bias Reasoning: - Supply zone rejection + failed breakout - Clear structure shift (ChoCh) toward lower lows - Fib retracement confluence (0.5 – 0.618 zone) aligning with sell pressure (Not financial advice – only a personal observation)
Short
by ClearTradingMind
EUR/USD: Breakdown From Key Fib Confluence Threatens UptrendEUR/USD has snapped a key confluence zone after rejecting the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level near 1.1745. The latest daily candle shows a sharp bearish engulfing bar that sliced below both the ascending trendline and the 50-day SMA (1.1565), signaling a potential trend reversal or deeper correction. This breakdown follows a multi-week uptrend, and momentum indicators are starting to confirm the bearish shift: MACD is showing a bearish crossover below the signal line. RSI has dropped below 50 (currently around 45.8), reflecting weakening bullish momentum. The pair has now settled just above horizontal support near 1.1586. A decisive close below this level could open the door toward the next support zone around 1.1450–1.1500, where prior consolidation and the rising 200-day SMA (1.0929) may act as stronger demand. Bulls will need to reclaim the 1.1650–1.1700 zone and see a bullish crossover on momentum indicators to regain control. Until then, the path of least resistance appears tilted to the downside, especially with trendline and Fib support now breached. Bias: Bearish while below 1.1700. Watch for continuation lower if 1.1586 fails to hold. -MW
by FOREXcom
EUR/USD testing bull trend after 1% dropThere are multiple factors weighing on the EUR/USD today. We have seen a broad dollar rally, suggesting that the trade agreements are seen as net positive for the US economy, even it means rising inflation risks. With higher tariffs and Trump’s inflationary fiscal agenda, interest rates in the US are likely to remain elevated for longer. As far as the euro itself is concerned, the single currency fell all major currencies, which suggests investors were not impressed by the EU’s negotiation tactics. Accepting a 15% tariff on most of its exports to the US while reducing levies on some American products to zero, means the deal will make companies in Europe less competitive. Still, it could have been a far worse situation had we seen a trade war similar to the US-China situation in April. It means that there is now some stability and businesses can get on with things. On balance, though, European leaders will feel that they may have compromised a little too much. Technically, the EUR/USD is still not in a bearish trend despite today’s sizeable drop. But that could change if the bullish trend line breaks now. If that happens 1.15 could be the next stop. Resistance is now 1.1650 followed by 1.1700. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
Potentially, A Safer Way To Long The EURUSDIn contrast to my previous outlook, the current price action suggests an increased probability of a deeper bearish move—potentially invalidating the buy zone marked out in the previous analysis. This sudden change is largely driven by the prospect of untapped liquidity residing beneath that zone, reinforcing the well-known market principle that price seeks out liquidity before committing to directional moves. Given this development, the newly identified zone on the chart emerges as a more technically sound and reliable area from which to anticipate bullish interest. It aligns better with the broader liquidity profile and offers a stronger base for accumulation. Traders may opt to wait for confirmations within this zone or, depending on their risk appetite, consider executing buy positions upon price entry. As always, patience and clarity are key as we allow price to reveal its intention. Fingers crossed 🤞 Wishing you all a focused and profitable trading week. Catch you on the next one. 🫡
Long
by MiratonicFx_Trading
XAU/USD | Gold Holding Strong – Watching for Next Bullish Move!By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that yesterday, as expected, when the price dropped to around $3357, it faced strong buying pressure and rallied up to $3377. After that, it corrected again, pulling back to $3338 so far, and is currently trading around $3341. If gold manages to hold above $3337, we can expect another bullish move, with potential targets at $3347, $3354, $3364, and $3374. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
38
This Chart Screams Breakout – Are You In?AUD/USD – Bullish Setup Brewing AUD/USD has been respecting this rising channel beautifully, with clean higher highs and higher lows. Back in April, we saw a classic bear trap, price wicked below support, lured in shorts, and then reversed sharply. That fakeout sparked a strong rally and confirmed demand. Currently, price is consolidating near the Key Resistance Zone and bouncing off the lower trendline again a sign of strength. If this pattern continues, we could soon see a breakout above the upper trendline, potentially sending AUD/USD flying toward 0.68+. Outlook: As long as the structure holds, dips are for buying. Bulls remain in control. DYOR, NFA Thanks for the reading
Long
by unichartz
EURUSD at Make-or-Break Zone: Time to Short?EURUSD – Key Data Out Today, Short Setup Confirmed? Today, several important economic indexes were released for both the Euro(EUR) and the Dollar(USD) . Let’s break them down in a simple way: Eurozone PMI Data: Mixed to Weak France: Manufacturing PMI: 48.4 (slightly lower than forecast) Services PMI : 49.7 (flat, but below 50 = contraction) Germany: Manufacturing PMI: 49.2 (weaker than expected) Services PMI : 50.1(slightly expansionary) Eurozone Overall: Manufacturing PMI: 49.8 (still below 50) Services PMI : 51.2 (slightly stronger than forecast) ECB left the Main Refinancing Rate unchanged at 2.15% , which was widely expected. U.S. Data( TVC:DXY ): Strong and Surprising Unemployment Claims: 217K (better than expected 227K) Manufacturing PMI: 49.5 (below forecast of 52.7 – a negative surprise) Services PMI: 55.2 (well above forecast and previous – bullish for USD) Interpretation : The Eurozone's growth remains sluggish, especially in France and Germany. Despite a drop in U.S. manufacturing, the services sector remains strong, and unemployment data confirms labor market resilience. This mixed picture slightly tilts the balance in favor of the U.S. dollar, especially as the ECB remains on hold while the Fed may still consider being restrictive. Bias: Short EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) Fundamentals support a Short position in EURUSD, in line with the current technical setup. --------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour time frame to find the best Short position . EURUSD is currently trading in an Ascending Channel and at a Heavy Resistance zone($1.1845-$1.1602) . Also, in terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that EURUSD is completing a microwave 5 of the main wave 5 . One of the most important supports ahead for EURUSD could be the 100_SMA(4-hour TF) . If the currently 4-hour candlestick forms a Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern , it is a better sign for EURUSD to fall . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect EURUSD to decline to at least $1.169 AFTER breaking the lower line of the ascending channel . Second Target: Support zone($1.1642-$1.158) and Monthly Pivot Point. Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $1.1850 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
33
EUR/USD | Correction Near Key Demand – Watching for Rebound!By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after the last analysis, the price started a correction and is currently trading around 1.17150. I expect that once it enters the 1.16780–1.17100 zone, we could see a rebound from this key demand area. If the price holds above this zone, the next bullish targets will be 1.17370 as the first target and 1.17730 as the second. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
3
Euro will rebound from support line of wedge to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. After breaking out decisively from a prior downward channel, the euro initiated a significant structural shift, moving from a clear downward trend into a new and more volatile market condition. This transition has led to the development of a large broadening wedge pattern, which is characterised by higher highs and lower lows, indicating an expansion in volatility as both buyers and sellers fight for control. The boundaries of this struggle are well-defined by a major buyer zone around 1.1650 and a formidable seller zone near 1.1750. Currently, the pair is in a corrective phase, moving downwards within the wedge after a recent upward rebound was rejected from the upper resistance line. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, which anticipates that this downward correction will find strong support at the confluence of the wedge's ascending support line and the horizontal buyer zone around 1.1650. A confirmed bounce from this critical area of support would validate the integrity of the broadening wedge pattern and likely trigger another powerful upward rotation. Therefore, the TP is strategically placed at the 1.1750 resistance level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Long
by LegionQ8
10
EURO - Price can continue to move up inside rising channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 The price action of price reversed its course after breaking out from a previous falling channel formation. Since then, the asset has been trading within the clear boundaries of a well-defined rising channel. The price has made several rotations within this structure, consistently finding support near the lower trendline. Most recently, the pair successfully tested the horizontal support area around $11600, which aligns with the channel's support. A clear upward bounce occurred from this confluence of support, and the price is currently consolidating from that move. I expect that after a minor pullback to re-test support, the price will continue its ascent within the channel structure towards the $11935 level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Long
by WalterMoon
21
Next Move On EURUSD: A Bullish ContinuationWith this 4H bearish impulsive move, it’s easy to assume a reversal is underway to break the previous daily swing low. However, this appears more like a liquidity grab—fueling the next leg to the upside. Price has retraced into a key zone that previously performed a strong liquidation. With significant liquidity already swept and clean inducements now resting above, this level becomes crucial. This zone is the last stand: a break downward may target the daily swing low, while a hold and reaction could propel price toward the swing high. Fingers crossed 🤞 as we watch price play out. Have a great trading week, traders. Catch you in the next one. 🫡
Long
by MiratonicFx_Trading
EUR/USD Technical Analysis📈 EUR/USD Technical Analysis 🔍 1. Market Structure ⚙ Trend Context • The overall trend since mid-July has been bullish, with higher highs and higher lows forming after a bounce from a key demand zone (around 1.15380). • However, recent candles show indecision and a potential reversal, suggesting weakening momentum. ⸻ 🧱 2. Volume Profile Insight (VRVP) • High Volume Nodes (HVNs): • Significant trading activity occurred between 1.172–1.176, now acting as resistance. • Low Volume Gaps: • Thin liquidity zones exist between 1.165–1.158, which could result in swift price movement if selling pressure increases. 📘 Educational Insight: Thin volume areas on a profile typically allow for faster price transitions due to lack of order density. ⸻ 📊 3. Envelope Indicator – Nadaraya-Watson (8,3) • A mean-reversion tool estimating dynamic overbought and oversold areas. • Price recently rejected the upper boundary, reinforcing the bearish outlook. • The lower envelope, around 1.158–1.160, aligns with the projected bearish target. ⸻ 🟫 4. Demand Zone Analysis • Labeled “DEMAND ZONE” at 1.15380–1.15830 • Previously caused a strong bullish reversal, marking it as an area of institutional interest. • A re-test of this zone may attract buyers once again, presenting a key support area. 📘 Educational Insight: Demand zones reflect
Short
by Mentor_Michael03
6E1!: Rebound at Weekly Supply Sparks Potential ReversalThe EURUSD (6E1! futures) experienced a rebound from a weekly supply zone * and now appears to be approaching a potential reversal toward a demand area. The overall picture is clear: we already capitalized on the rebound off the previous weekly supply zone, and at this point, we're simply observing the price as it approaches another key area of interest. It may be too late to initiate new short positions at this stage, but traders still holding shorts could potentially benefit from a continued move downward. From a fundamental perspective, our Friday analysis of the DXY ** indicated the possibility of a bullish impulse, and today the US Dollar opened the session with a 0.58% gain. Currently, both commercial and non-commercial traders are aligned with the prevailing scenario. The most optimistic outlook suggests the price could decline to around 1.14030 over the coming weeks. * Previous analysis on EURUSD 6E1! ** DXY Analysis ✅ Please share your thoughts about 6E1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
CME:6E1!Short
by FOREXN1
1
EURUSD Massive Long! BUY! My dear friends, EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 1.1665 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 1.1728 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD: A New Possibility On The Horizon!!Following my previous post just a few minutes ago, I’ve observed that price may retrace deeper into the 4H supply zone, which could invalidate our earlier bearish setup. This shift is due to visible signs of uncollected liquidity still resting above the current price. If price continues its rally to the upside, we’ll shift bias and look for potential opportunities to ride the bullish move instead. Losses are part of the game, guys—but no worries, my sell entries are already secured✌️😂. Stay sharp and stay active, traders. Let’s see how price unfolds from here. Follow for more updates. See you on the next one. ⚔️📊
by MiratonicFx_Trading