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EURUSD

Bearish drop off major resistance?EUR/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.1433 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 1.1481 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 1.1361 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Can EUR/USD Break Through the Range Constraint?The EUR/USD exchange rate continues to maintain a range-bound consolidation trend, currently trading around 1.1400. The dovish statements from European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are offset by the positive economic signals in the Eurozone, leading to a wait-and-see sentiment in the market. In the short term, the EUR/USD exchange rate is expected to remain in a narrow range consolidation pattern. Technically, the exchange rate needs to break through the recent high to sustain the upward momentum; otherwise, it may return to the broader range of 1.12-1.15. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
by Ashbur
$Gold Fills the Gap – Is a Bullish Bounce Toward $3350 Next?By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that in last week’s analysis, the price successfully hit all four targets: $3338, $3332, $3326, and $3317, and finally closed on Friday at $3309. This move delivered over 390 pips of return, and I hope you made the most out of it! Now, let’s move on to the latest gold analysis: As you can see, today gold dropped to the $3294 zone, finally filling the liquidity gap previously marked on the chart. Currently, gold is trading around $3315, and I expect further bullish movement toward the $3330 area as the first upside target. After that, we should closely watch the $3332–$3352 zone for a potential corrective reaction. There are more details in this analysis that I’ll share soon — with your support! THE MAIN TA :
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
25
EUR/USD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! We are going short on the EUR/USD with the target of 1.136 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
Nasdaq at Supply Zone – Rejection or Breakout? (READ THE CAPTIONBy examining the #Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is still trading within the supply zone around 21,850. We are still waiting for a strong rejection from this level, which could lead to a short-term price correction in this index. The potential downside targets are: 21,000, 20,700, 20,200, and 19,150. The key supply range lies between 21,400 and 22,200. Additionally, there is a possibility of a liquidity grab or stop-hunt above 22,200 before any real drop begins. This analysis will be considered invalid if price closes above 22,400 in the next three weeks. On the fundamental side, there are several macro factors to watch: Interest Rate Expectations: Although inflation in the U.S. has cooled compared to last year, the Fed remains cautious. If upcoming CPI or PPI prints show unexpected resilience, the likelihood of rate cuts this year could diminish, pressuring tech-heavy indices like Nasdaq. Tech Sector Valuations: Valuations in major tech names — such as NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft — have reached historically high multiples. This makes Nasdaq particularly vulnerable to correction, especially if earnings disappoint or growth expectations soften. Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing tensions between the U.S. and China over trade and technology, as well as potential instability in the Middle East, could contribute to a risk-off sentiment — further supporting the case for a short-term pullback. Earnings Season Ahead: Q2 earnings season is around the corner. Any signs of slowing revenue growth or reduced forward guidance from major tech firms could act as a catalyst for the expected correction. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
IG:NASDAQShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
12
EURUSD INTRADAY Bullish continuation pattern developing Trend Overview: EUR/USD continues to exhibit a bullish price structure, supported by a rising trendline and higher lows. Recent intraday action reflects a corrective pullback, suggesting a temporary pause within the broader uptrend. Key Technical Levels: Support: 1.1300 (primary), followed by 1.1235 and 1.1180 Resistance: 1.1430 (initial), then 1.1470 and 1.1500 Technical Outlook: A pullback toward 1.1300, which coincides with the previous consolidation zone, may present a bullish continuation setup. A confirmed bounce from this level could open the path toward 1.1430, with 1.1470 and 1.1500 as potential longer-term targets. However, a daily close below 1.1300 would indicate a breakdown of near-term bullish momentum. This scenario would increase the likelihood of a deeper correction toward 1.1235, and possibly 1.1180. Conclusion: The outlook for EUR/USD remains constructively bullish, contingent on the 1.1300 support holding. A bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend. Conversely, a decisive break below 1.1300 would shift the short-term bias to bearish, suggesting further downside toward the 1.1200 area. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURUSD Analysis (MMC Strategy) : Structure Mapping + Target🧠 Overview This analysis is based on the MMC (Market Mapping Concept), combining smart money principles, structure mapping, and price behavior analysis. EUR/USD has been showing strong bullish activity over the past few months, but we are now approaching a critical decision zone. Let’s break it all down. 🔹 1. Arc Structure – Accumulation Phase (Dec 2024 – Feb 2025) The chart starts with a well-defined Arc formation, signaling accumulation by large players. Price showed a series of higher lows within the arc, compressing volatility. This is where smart money quietly loads positions before pushing price. Key Insight: This arc often precedes an impulsive breakout, as seen next. 🔹 2. Central Zone Breakout (Feb – Mar 2025) The price exploded out of the arc, breaking through the central compression area. Marked as the Central Zone, this acted as both support and a launchpad. This phase included imbalance filling, reaccumulation, and clean price action. Observation: Notice the aggressive bullish candles—clear indication of institutional interest. 🔹 3. Structure Mapping & QFL Zone (April 2025) A classic QFL (Quick Flip Level) was formed after the initial rally. Price pulled back into a structure support zone, respected it cleanly, and bounced back. This gave a textbook smart money entry. Structure Mapping highlights how each leg of the trend is forming based on supply/demand reaction. 🔹 4. Major BOS – Break of Structure (May 2025) Price broke the previous swing high, giving us a Major Break of Structure. This BOS confirms a change in character (CHOCH) from ranging to trending. After BOS, the market retested the breakout zone—providing a second ideal long entry for continuation traders. 🔹 5. Minor Resistance Zone (Current Price) Currently, price is testing a Minor Resistance zone around 1.1400–1.1450. This level acted as resistance earlier and may slow price down temporarily. However, there’s still room for bullish continuation unless reversal patterns emerge. Key Watch Point: If price shows weakness here (e.g., rejection wicks, bearish engulfing), short-term retracement may follow. 🔹 6. Next Reversal Zone (Projected Target: 1.1700–1.1800) The green box above marks the Next Reversal Zone, based on historical supply, Fibonacci extension levels, and structure analysis. Expect this area to act as strong resistance unless momentum is very strong. This is a potential TP zone for long traders or an area to scout for short opportunities if reversal signals appear (divergence, order block rejection, liquidity grab). 📌 Key Levels Zone Price Range Role Central Zone 1.0800–1.1000 Support/Accumulation Minor Resistance 1.1400–1.1450 Immediate Hurdle Next Reversal Zone 1.1700–1.1800 Target / Short Setup QFL Zone 1.1100–1.1200 Smart Money Entry Point 🧠 Strategy Outlook ✅ Bullish Bias: Structure is clearly bullish. Buyers are in control. 🕵️‍♂️ Watch for Reaction at Minor Resistance – a clean break = continuation, rejection = short-term pullback.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EIRISD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.1418, a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 1.1379, a swing low support. The stop loss is set at 1.1456, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
EURJPY Bulls in Trouble? Massive Rejection Signals📉 Full Multi-Factor Analysis – EUR/JPY 🔍 1. Price Action EUR/JPY strongly rejected the key supply zone between 164.80–165.50, aligned with a major static resistance. Last week's breakout was invalidated by a clear bull trap, followed by a bearish engulfing candle. Price broke below the ascending channel drawn since April and is now heading toward the 162.00 demand area. The weekly RSI shows a bearish divergence, confirming a slowdown in momentum. ➡️ Technical Bias: Bearish toward 161.50–162.00, with a possible extension to 160.00. 💼 2. COT Data – Commitment of Traders EUR Futures (CME) Strong increase in commercial longs (+16,095) and non-commercial shorts (+4,830). Suggests smart money is accumulating while retail/speculators are pressing shorts — potential accumulation, but no breakout yet. JPY Futures Significant rise in non-commercial shorts (+10,575), while long positions declined. The yen remains pressured, but extreme positioning could fuel a reversal if sentiment flips. ➡️ COT Takeaway: Euro remains in bullish consolidation. Yen is heavily oversold — ripe for mean reversion. Caution warranted. 📊 3. Retail Sentiment 80% of retail traders are short from an average price of 160.46, while price now sits at 164.86. The crowd is deep in drawdown — a typical condition for short-term consolidations or fakeouts before reversals. ➡️ Implication: Price may hover around 164+ to trap remaining retail shorts before unwinding. 📈 4. Seasonality June seasonality for EUR/JPY is historically neutral to bearish. Only the 5-year data shows strength, while 15Y and 20Y trends reveal consistent downside starting mid-June. ➡️ Seasonal Outlook: Adds further weight to a bearish correction scenario for the second half of the month. ✅ Actionable Summary 📌 Weekly Bias: Bearish 📉 Main Target: 162.00–161.50 📉 Extended Target: 160.00 📈 Invalidation: Weekly close above 165.60 🧠 Final Thoughts All major elements — price action, COT, sentiment, and seasonality — point toward a corrective move on EUR/JPY. Given the strong underlying trend and retail’s positioning, watch out for bull traps before deeper downside. Best setup: Sell the pullback or wait for clean breakdown below 163.00.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
10
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 10, 2025 EURUSDAn Event to pay attention today: 13:00 EET. USD - NFIB Small Business Optimism Index EURUSD: The EUR/USD pair is struggling to capitalise on the previous day's gains and is attracting new sellers around 1.1435 during Tuesday's Asian session. The intraday decline is driven by solid demand for the US dollar (USD) and has pushed spot prices below 1.1400 in the last hour. Friday's US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report, which showed higher-than-expected data, dampened hopes for an early interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) this year. This, along with optimism about the resumption of trade talks between the US and China, is prompting traders to ease their bearish bets on the US dollar, which is proving to be a key factor putting pressure on the EUR/USD pair. However, as negotiations continued into a second day in London, traders may refrain from aggressive directional bets. In addition, traders still see a rate cut by the US central bank in September as more likely. This, along with concerns about the financial health of the US government, may limit further strengthening of the US dollar and provide support for the EUR/USD pair. In contrast, the European Central Bank (ECB) hinted at the end of its rate-cutting cycle at its meeting last week. This could further benefit the single currency and help limit losses for the currency pair. Traders may also refrain from aggressive betting ahead of this week's US inflation data release. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.1390, SL 1.1410, TP 1.1300
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSD – Still a chance to rebound if support holdsEURUSD has recently pulled back slightly after approaching resistance near the rising trendline. Currently, price is heading back to retest the support zone around 1.13200 – a key confluence area with the EMA89 and previous swing lows. This is a crucial level. If it holds, there’s a strong possibility for a rebound toward the 1.14280 resistance area. On the H4 timeframe, the price structure remains within an ascending channel with no clear signs of trend reversal. The formation of higher lows suggests that buying pressure is still present. Notably, if this week’s CPI, PPI, and NFP data come in weaker than expected, market sentiment may shift further toward the idea of an early Fed rate cut – potentially providing a lift for EURUSD. Additionally, rising geopolitical tensions could increase risk aversion, weakening the USD and further supporting the euro.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
GBPNZD Ready to Flip? Key Reversal Zone in Play🔹 1. Price Action and Technical Structure Price is currently at 2.2405, declining from the recent high in the 2.26–2.28 area. The pair completed a descending channel with potential for reversal. A bullish reaction is taking place from the 2.2280–2.2170 demand zone, supported by previous volume spikes. The RSI is falling, nearing oversold territory but not yet at extreme levels. Possible technical scenarios: Bullish: Recovery toward 2.2560–2.2600, with a potential breakout above recent highs. Bearish: A break below 2.2170 could trigger further downside toward 2.2000 and 2.1800. 🔹 2. Seasonality (June) NZD June tends to be slightly positive for NZD (average: +0.0011 over 20 years), with consistent monthly patterns. GBP June is historically neutral to negative for GBP (average: +0.0015 over 20 years, but negative over 5 and 2 years). ➡️ This implies a seasonal edge for NZD over GBP. 🔹 3. Retail Sentiment 60% of retail traders are long on GBPNZD. 40% are short, but long positions average 2.1874, currently in profit. ➡️ This presents a mild contrarian bearish pressure, due to crowding on the long side. 🔹 4. Commitment of Traders (COT) – Institutional Positioning GBP (as of 2025-06-03) Commercials Net Long: +74.5K Non-Commercials Net Short: -11.3K Weekly changes: +30.3K longs vs. +32.6K shorts ➡️ Moderate balance, but growing speculative short interest. NZD (as of 2025-06-03) Non-Commercials Net Short: -23.6K Strong weekly increase in commercial longs (+6.4K) and total long flows ➡️ NZD is seeing renewed interest from commercial players — a potential bullish signal. 🔹 5. Trading Outlook 📌 Current Bias: Neutral with short-term bearish tilt, but medium-term bullish reversal risk rising. ➤ Potential setups: Conservative Long Entry: On bullish confirmation at 2.2170 (double bottom or bullish engulfing), target 2.2560–2.2600 Aggressive Short Entry: On pullback to 2.2490–2.2560, with stop above 2.2620, target 2.2280–2.2170 🎯 Seasonal and institutional factors favor NZD strength, but technical structure calls for caution and confirmation.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
5
Usdjpy|| — the next move could be explosiveUSD/JPY Timeframe: 2H Strategy: Elliott Wave + Triangle Pattern + Fair Value Gap (FvG) Formation: Contracting Triangle – Wave (a) to (e) Risk-Reward: High Conviction Setup Status: On the verge of breakout 🔍 Technical Breakdown: The chart shows a classic contracting triangle pattern with completed internal waves (a)-(b)-(c)-(d)-(e). Price is reacting near wave (e), signaling a potential bullish breakout. A clean Fair Value Gap (FvG) zone lies just below current price — possible last dip before the breakout surge. Target zone = 148.874, derived from the triangle's height projected from breakout point. Strong confluence with liquidity hunt below before expansion move. 🎯 Target: 148.874 🛑 Stop Loss: Below 142.738 (SI Level / structural low) 🟢 Entry Trigger: Breakout above trendline + retest confirmation or Smart Money entry at FvG This setup aligns with Elliott Wave triangle theory, often seen before sharp impulse waves. Smart Money is likely filling orders in the FvG zone before the upward expansion.
Long
by Greenfireforex
7
EUR/USD !!! ( 12RR Setup) Once in while opportunity : EUR/USD Timeframe: 30M Strategy: Elliott Wave + Wyckoff Structure Risk-Reward: 1:12 Toolset: Supply Zone, Change of Character (ChoCh), Break of Structure (BoS), Entry Refinement 📈 Analysis Summary: Price completed Wave 5 of the Elliott Wave structure. Clear supply zone rejection near previous high – strong confluence. Break of structure (BoS) confirms bearish bias. A clean ChoCh (Change of Character) signals the shift from bullish to bearish. Perfect Wyckoff schematic distribution playing out. Entry taken from mitigation block with tight SL above zone. Targeting higher-timeframe demand zone (highlighted in blue box). 💡 Key Zones: Entry: Red mitigation zone SL: Above local high TP: Demand zone zone (RR 1:12) 📅 Watch this level around June 10–14 — expecting a strong impulsive move downward. Comment ‘🔥’ if you caught this early.
Short
by Greenfireforex
4
The euro is in high - level oscillation.The euro has rebounded slightly against the US dollar, trading around 1.143 during the European session, recovering some of the losses from last week's decline from around 1.1500. Fundamentally, the US dollar weakened after taking profits from the strong non - farm payrolls data last Friday, while the hawkish remarks by European Central Bank Governing Council member Kazimir provided support for the euro. From the perspective of market structure, the short - term market sentiment is slightly bullish. The key resistance levels are concentrated in the 1.1494 - 1.1500 area. If this platform is broken through and held, it may form a new bullish breakout point. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Short
by Ashbur