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Eurusdanalysis

EURUSD price Bullish moment The Euro continues to gain strength against the US Dollar within a clearly defined ascending parallel channel. After a period of consolidation between June 6–10, price broke out with strong bullish momentum and is now respecting the channel's structure. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: 🔺 Resistance Zone: 1.16083 – 1.16419 🔺 Upper Target: 1.16832 – 1.17000 🔻 Immediate Support: 1.15256 🔻 Strong Support: 1.14949 📈 Bullish Scenario : If price holds above 1.15256, we may see a move toward 1.16083 and potentially a breakout to test 1.16419 and 1.16832. 📉 Bearish Scenario: A drop below 1.15256 and a break of the ascending trendline may expose 1.14949 as the next key support. 🧠 Market Insight: This setup favors a bullish continuation while within the channel, supported by recent strong upside moves. Traders should look for confirmation around 1.16083 before expecting a breakout. ✅ Plan your entries wisely. Trade what you see, not what you feel.
Long
by Mr_Gold_Trader
3
DeGRAM | EURUSD formed the double top📊 Technical Analysis ● A double-top printed at the channel roof (≈ 1.1600) and a bearish engulfing candle signal exhaustion; price is slipping back inside last week’s inner trend-median, turning 1.1550 into fresh resistance. ● Hourly RSI diverged lower and the grey return line from 1 June has broken; pattern depth points to 1.1500 support, with the channel mid-band / former triangle apex near 1.1470 as the next magnet. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Post-CPI profit-taking meets cautious ECB rhetoric: Lagarde reiterated “no preset easing path,” yet money-markets still price two Fed cuts by year-end, inviting near-term dollar reprieve. ✨ Summary Short 1.1540-1.1560; break below 1.1520 targets 1.1500 → 1.1470. Bear view void on an H1 close above 1.1600. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD fixed above the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● Euro keeps stair-stepping along the inner trend-line of the 2-month rising channel; each dip to the line (green arrows) is met with higher lows, confirming firm demand around 1.1485-1.1500. ● Friday’s break back above the former wedge cap turned 1.1550 into support; clearing the last swing high at 1.1605 would expose the channel median / fib cluster at 1.1650, with the upper rail near 1.1745 as an extension. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Softer US retail-sales and a slump in NY Fed manufacturing pulled Treasury 2-yr yields under 4.70 %, while ECB speakers warned that further cuts “are not a given,” narrowing the rate gap and reviving euro bids. ✨ Summary Long 1.1520-1.1560; hold above 1.1550 targets 1.1650 ➜ 1.1745. Bias void on an H4 close below 1.1480. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD above the 1.15📊 Technical Analysis ● Hourly close above 1.1500 completed a small ascending triangle; price is now hugging the rising-channel’s upper rail after a chain of higher-lows, pointing toward the 1.1600 objective. ● Triangle top and channel mid-line overlap at 1.1500-1.1520; while candles stay above, risk : reward favours a push to the next fib / upper parallel near 1.1650. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● US core-CPI eased to 0.1 % m/m, driving Treasury yields lower and lifting September Fed-cut odds >70 %, weakening the dollar, while ECB officials talked up a “data-dependent” pause, keeping euro bids firm. ✨ Summary Long bias while price holds 1.1520; targets 1.1600 then 1.1650. Invalidate on an hourly close below 1.1470. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD held the support📊 Technical Analysis ● Euro holds above 1.137 – 1.140, where the channel’s mid-line meets the old wedge roof, printing a fresh higher-low (green arrow). ● Price is compressing inside a pennant capped at 1.142; flag height projects to 1.156 – 1.160 at the rising-channel median once 1.142 gives way. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● After the ECB’s “one-and-pause” cut, sticky EZ core CPI (2.9 % y/y) and softer US payrolls narrowed the 2-yr rate gap, keeping flows tilted toward the euro. ✨ Summary Buy 1.137–1.141; pennant breakout >1.142 targets 1.156 → 1.160. Long bias void on an H4 close below 1.126. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD formed a bullish takeover📊 Technical Analysis ● A bullish engulfing on the grey 1.135-1.139 demand band reclaimed the inner trend-median and confirmed the base of the rising 2-month channel. ● The pull-back has just retested the broken wedge top (~1.140) as support; pattern height projects a grind to the channel mid-rail / horizontal cluster at 1.1565. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Ahead of the ECB’s expected “one-and-pause” 25 bp cut, EZ core CPI stayed stuck at 2.9 % y/y while soft US job-openings and lower T-bill yields narrowed the 2-yr spread, helping bids return to the euro. ✨ Summary Long 1.137-1.140; hold above 1.135 seeks 1.156 ➜ 1.160. Invalidate on H4 close < 1.126. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
2
DeGRAM | EURUSD fixed above the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis ● Price has broken the H1 descending-channel roof and twice “fixed” above it at ≈1.137, turning the former ceiling into short-term support. ● The rebound forms an ascending triangle under 1.142; its measured swing targets 1.156 – 1.160, where the violet long-term resistance line and mid-channel parallel converge. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Markets expect the ECB to cut only 25 bp on 6 Jun and signal patience, while soft US JOLTS openings and slipping ISM-prices lifted September Fed-cut odds past 60 %, narrowing the 2-yr yield gap and underpinning EUR. ✨ Summary Buy 1.135-1.137; triangle break >1.142 seeks 1.156 → 1.160. Long view void on an H1 close below 1.126. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
EURUSD - Short Opportunity Ahead EURUSD is currently approaching a key resistance level after a strong upward move. Price action is showing signs of exhaustion, and bearish signals are beginning to emerge. If the pair fails to break above the resistance and confirms a rejection, we may see a short-term pullback or a potential trend reversal. A clean break below the recent support zone could provide a short opportunity, with possible downside targets near previous lows. As always, proper risk management is essential, especially in high-volatility conditions. --- Key Technical Points: Price nearing a strong resistance zone Bearish candlestick formation / divergence (if applicable) Wait for confirmation before entering a short position 🔒 This is a trade idea for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
by Smart_Trading_Strategy
3
DeGRAM | EURUSD broke the downward channel📊 Technical Analysis ● Price broke the H4 descending channel roof and reclaimed 1.130 support; the breakout is holding above the long-term blue trend-line, creating a fresh higher-low cluster. ● Momentum is compressing in a bull flag between 1.1420 resistance and 1.1330 support; flag depth projects to 1.1565-1.1600 near the violet channel cap. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Flash EZ CPI jumped to 2.6 % y/y vs 2.5 % est. while US ISM mfg. slid to 48.1, trimming Treasury yields and widening EUR-USD rate appeal. ✨ Summary Long 1.133-1.136; flag break >1.142 targets 1.156 → 1.160. Trend risk flips on a close below 1.126. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD retest of the support📊 Technical Analysis ● Price rebounded off the flag base (1.128) and reclaimed the inner grey trend-median, keeping the sequence of higher-lows inside the two-year rising channel. ● The flag’s upper rail at 1.145 has been tested twice; a close above completes the pattern and projects to the channel roof / horizontal confluence at 1.1600, while dynamic support rises with the violet breakout line at 1.1214. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Euro stays bid after May EZ headline CPI re-accelerated to 2.6 % y/y, tempering expectations for aggressive ECB cuts, whereas weaker US ADP hiring and cooling core-PCE pressured real yields and the dollar. ✨ Summary Long bias above 1.128; flag break > 1.145 targets 1.1600, stretch 1.1950. Invalidate on daily close < 1.1080. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
2
EURUSD Forms Rising Wedge + Evening Star_ Bearish SetupAs I expected in the previous idea , the EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) started to rise after breaking the upper line of the descending channel and hit the Long Position target with Risk-To-Reward: 1.46 . The EURUSD is trading near the Resistance zone($1.149-$1.142) . From a Classic Technical perspective, EURUSD appears to be completing a Rising Wedge Reversal Pattern . Also, a good sign for a EURUSD reversal is the formation of an Evening Star Candlestick Pattern near the upper line of the rising wedge pattern. Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , I think the EURUSD corrective waves are NOT over yet, and it seems that EURUSD has completed the main wave X inside the rising wedge pattern. I expect EURUSD to decline to at least $1.126 AFTER breaking the lower line of the wedge pattern. Note: If EURUSD touches $1.14903 , we can expect more pump. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
7
EUR/USD4H Bearish Trade Setup Supply Zone Rejection with 3:1 RRR🔷 Trend Overview 📈 Price was in a rising channel (trend line + support line). ❌ Channel broken on downside → potential trend reversal. 🟧 🔼 Supply Zone (Sell Area) 📍 Zone: 1.13707 – 1.14432 🟠 Price faced rejection here. 💡 Institutional selling likely in this zone. 🔥 This is the ideal short-entry area. 🟦 🔽 Entry Point 🎯 Entry: Around 1.13694 🧩 Sits just below supply zone = safer trigger. ✅ Wait for a bearish confirmation candle before entering. 🟨 Support Level 📉 Support Zone: ~1.13100 – 1.13400 📊 Recently broken with a strong bearish candle. 🧱 Used to act as a floor, now may act as resistance. 🟩 🎯 Target Point ✅ Take Profit: 1.10970 📎 Matches previous structure support. 💰 Lock in profits before the psychological level at 1.1100. 🟥 ⛔ Stop Loss ❌ Stop: 1.14419 📏 Placed above the supply zone for protection. 🛡️ Shields from false breakouts or spikes. ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) 💡 Approx. 3:1 ✅ 📉 Risk: ~70 pips 📈 Reward: ~270 pips 🔥 High-probability setup 📌 EMA (Exponential Moving Average – 70) 📍 EMA 70 at 1.13102 🔻 Price is below the EMA → favors bearish momentum 🧠 Pro Tips: 🔍 Watch for bearish engulfing or rejection candles at the entry zone. 🗓️ Be aware of major news events (ECB, Fed). 🧮 Adjust lot size for risk management (based on SL size). ✅ Summary: 🧩 Element 📊 Value Trade Type 🔻 Short (Sell) Entry Point 📌 1.13694 Stop Loss ⛔ 1.14419 Take Profit 🎯 1.10970 RRR ⚖️ ~3:1 Sentiment 📉 Bearish
Short
by Jameshead007
37
DeGRAM | EURUSD held the support line📊 Technical Analysis ● Price broke the two-year descending channel roof and completed a daily “cup-with-handle”; the handle low held exactly on the 1.121-1.128 former supply, confirming it as demand. ● Pattern height added to the breakout line projects to 1.1600, which coincides with the violet channel-top; next target is the upper parallel / 1.1950, while the handle floor at 1.1080 guards the trend. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Euro support grows as April EZ wage-growth beat ECB staff forecasts, tempering expectations for an aggressive easing cycle, while softer US core-PCE keeps real-yield spreads tilting in the euro’s favour. ✨ Summary Long bias intact above 1.121; objectives 1.145 breakout ➜ 1.1600, stretch 1.1950. Invalidate on a daily close below 1.1080. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD held the accumulation zone📊 Technical Analysis ● Two-year rising channel is intact; price just rebounded from the lower rail (RB) and punched back above the 2020-2024 red resistance trend-line, repeating the 2022 “break-retest-fixation” pattern. ● An 18-month accumulation rectangle (1.06-1.13) has resolved higher, printing a bullish weekly engulfing; the measured move points to the channel mid-band / horizontal cluster at 1.1600, then the upper rail near 1.1950. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Eurozone core CPI is stuck at 2.7 % y/y while US ISM and housing prints cooled, dragging real U.S. yields lower and narrowing the policy-rate gap priced for 2025. ✨ Summary Long above 1.1214; breakout projects 1.16 ➜ 1.195. Risk flips only on a weekly close back below 1.108. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
2
EUR/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish Opportunity in Sight🔍 Technical Breakdown 🟦 1. Rising Wedge Pattern (Bearish) The price has been moving within a tightening upward channel — forming higher highs and higher lows, but with decreasing momentum. This is a typical Rising Wedge, a pattern that signals exhaustion in an uptrend and typically resolves to the downside. The pattern formed over several days. Volume has been declining as the price pushed higher — a classic sign of weakening trend strength. 🚨 2. Major Resistance Zone The wedge culminated near a major historical resistance zone (around 1.1400), which price failed to break multiple times — showing strong seller presence. This adds confluence to the bearish breakdown. 📉 3. Breakdown & Retest Price broke below the lower wedge trendline, confirming the bearish reversal. After the breakdown, the pair appears to be retesting the previous support line — now acting as new resistance. This retest is crucial — a successful rejection here typically confirms the breakdown and provides an ideal entry point for short positions. ⚡ Volume Clues Note the "Volume Burst" earlier in the chart, followed by a sharp move up. But that rally was unsustainable — buyers couldn’t hold above resistance, and volume has since faded. This volume exhaustion is further evidence that bullish momentum is weakening. 🔄 Key Support Zones Below Around 1.1200: A strong SR flip zone (support-turned-resistance), which could act as temporary support. Final Bearish Target: Around 1.1070, a strong demand zone where price previously consolidated before the last bullish run. This is the measured move target from the wedge height applied to the breakdown point. 🧠 Why This Matters (Trader Insight) This setup combines: A reliable bearish pattern (rising wedge) Key horizontal resistance A volume drop A clean retest structure That makes it a high-confluence short trade idea. These patterns don't always play out immediately, but when they do, they often drop hard. 📌 Trade Setup Summary Bias: Bearish Pattern : Rising Wedge (broken) Current Action: Retesting the broken wedge Entry Zone: 1.135–1.138 (retest confirmation) First Target: 1.1200 (SR Flip) Final Target: 1.1070 (Demand Zone) Invalidation: Break and hold above 1.1410
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the upper boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● Price is capped by the H4 supply at 1.130-1.135 and the roof of a year-long downward channel; the latest test printed a bearish pin (red arrow). ● Inside, a smaller blue rising channel has just broken south—turning 1.128 into fresh resistance—and leaves room to the mid-channel support at 1.121, then the lower rail / 1.113. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● ECB’s Villeroy repeated that a June cut is “very likely” while Fed minutes stressed rates may stay restrictive; widening yield gap revives USD demand. ✨ Summary Fade 1.128-1.131; targets 1.121 ➜ 1.113, extension 1.106. Short view void on a close above 1.135. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
EUR/USD – Fair Value Gap Filled, Market Eyes Higher HighsThe EUR/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe is showing a well-formed Elliott Wave pattern. We've seen a clear 5-wave move to the upside, followed by a corrective ABC pattern. This correction seems to have completed, with wave C ending right at a strong support area. It's the lower trendline of the rising channel formed during the 5-wave impulse. It's also where a Fair Value Gap (FVG) has just been filled — an area where price previously moved too quickly and is now finding balance. T1: 1.12355 T2: 1.13072 SL: 1.10468
by Money_Dictators