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EURUSD Bearish Ahead as US Resilience Meets Eurozone FragilityEURUSD has shifted into bearish territory, pressured by growing divergence between a resilient US economy and a struggling Eurozone. The pair recently rejected the 1.1700 zone, forming multiple bearish structures on the 4H chart. With sticky US inflation, Trump’s renewed tariff agenda, and a dovish ECB, EUR/USD appears poised for a deeper move toward 1.1527 and possibly 1.1445 in the coming sessions. This setup is both technically and fundamentally aligned, but key event risk remains. 🔸 Technical Structure (4H) Clear rejection from the 1.1700–1.1710 zone. Bearish pennants and wedge patterns confirm continuation lower. Downside targets: 🔹 First: 1.1637 🔹 Second: 1.1527 🔹 Final: 1.1445 Risk zone: Above 1.1785 (invalidates short bias if broken cleanly). 🧭 Key Fundamentals 🇺🇸 Dollar Strength: Sticky inflation, stable labor market, and geopolitical risk all favor USD demand. 🇪🇺 Euro Weakness: ECB dovish tone persists amid weak data, soft PMIs, and stagnating growth. Yield Spread: US-Euro real yield spread supports further EUR/USD downside. Tariff Pressure: Trump’s 50% tariff plan and tensions with the EU weigh on EUR. ⚠️ Risks to Watch A surprise dovish pivot from the Fed. Weak US CPI or disappointing retail sales. Major risk-on flows that trigger broad USD weakness. New EU fiscal stimulus or Germany/France recovery surprises. 📆 Key Events Ahead 🇺🇸 US Core CPI – A hot print supports USD strength. 🇺🇸 Retail Sales & Powell testimony – Watch tone on rate cuts. 🇪🇺 German ZEW Sentiment, Eurozone HICP inflation – Weak readings would further drag EUR. 🔄 Leader or Lagger? EUR/USD is a lagger to GBP/USD, often following UK-driven USD moves. Acts as a leader for EUR/JPY, EUR/AUD, EUR/CHF – weakness here cascades across EUR crosses. Tracks broad USD sentiment – dovish Fed pricing boosts EURUSD, while rate hike fears drag it. ✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EUR/USD is bearish below 1.1700 as economic divergence, sticky US inflation, and rising geopolitical tensions favor the dollar. ECB policy remains soft, offering little support to the euro. Key risk lies in a dovish Fed pivot or softer US data. Watch US CPI and Powell for clues. This pair is likely to lag GBP/USD moves, but will lead EUR crosses lower if the downside momentum continues.
Short
by ultreosforex
8
EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint Bear Strike Activated!💣🎯Operation Fiber Down: EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint (Day Trade Edition) 💰🔫 🚨 Thieves, Hustlers & Chart Bandits Assemble! 🚨 🌍 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌍 Welcome back to another Thief Trading Operation, where the money never sleeps—and neither do we. Let’s break into the vault of EUR/USD “The Fiber” with surgical precision. 🧠💼🕶️ 🧨 THE MASTER ROBBERY PLAN: EUR/USD SHORT STRIKE 🔍💸 💀 Market Bias: Bearish – Trend Reversal + Supply Trap Setup 🎯 Target: 1.15800 🛑 Stop-Loss: Near Swing High (around 1.17400 – 3H chart view) 🕓 Timeframe Focus: 15m / 30m / 3H 🧭 ENTRY ZONE: 👣 Plan your entry from recent high retests—that’s where the big money bulls get trapped. 🎯 Use Sell Limit Orders (DCA style / Layered Limit Orders) like a true thief setting up tripwires. 💼 RISK STRATEGY: 💡 SL should match your lot size and order count—not one-size-fits-all! 📌 Place above key structure or swing level (e.g. 1.17400) based on timeframe. 🔍 BEHIND THE SCENES – THE WHY: The EUR/USD "Fiber" pair is showing all the classic signs of a trend shift and bear raid setup, including: 📰 Fundamentals weakening the Euro 💣 COT Report reveals institutional exits 🍂 Seasonal Bias points to downward trend 📉 Intermarket Pressure from bond yields & USD strength 📊 Sentiment turning overly bullish = trap zone ⛽ Storage & Inventory imbalances adding fuel 📌 Reminder: Before any robbery, study the layout—Macro, Fundamentals, Sentiment, and Intermarket are your blueprint. 🚨 HEIST ALERT – PROTECT THE LOOT: 🕰️ High-Impact News Events? Tighten up! 💼 Don’t take fresh entries during releases. 🔐 Use Trailing SLs to lock in profits. 🎯 Exit with grace before the sirens start. ⚡🔥JOIN THE CREW, BOOST THE LOOT🔥⚡ 💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥 if you're vibing with the Thief Trading Movement. We ain’t just trading—we’re executing strategic robberies on the market’s weaknesses. 🧠💪 Every like = more power to the crew. Every comment = a new map to a vault. We rob, retreat, and repeat. Let’s make money with skill, not luck. 🕶️💰🚁 ⚠️ LEGAL COVER (For the Lawyers 😏): This plan is not investment advice, just an organized heist blueprint by chart robbers. Always manage your own risk and update your plan as the market evolves. 🕶️ Stay ready for the next master plan... Until then, keep your charts clean and your stops tight. 🕶️💣📉 – Thief Trader Out 🐱‍👤🚀
Short
by Thief_Trader
2
EURUSD(20250715) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Sources said that after Trump's latest trade tax threat, the European Central Bank will discuss a more negative scenario next week than expected in June. The ECB is still expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting on July 24. Discussions on rate cuts are still postponed to September. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1671 Support and resistance levels: 1.1714 1.1698 1.1687 1.1654 1.1644 1.1628 Trading strategy: If it breaks through 1.1671, consider buying in, the first target price is 1.1687 If it breaks through 1.1654, consider selling in, the first target price is 1.1644
Long
by NicolaZhu
EUR/USD –Bullish Flag After Long Term Trend Shift: Is 1.20 Next?📌 In my previous EUR/USD analysis, I mentioned that the long-term trend likely reversed, and we could see a move toward the 1.23 zone in the medium to longer term. That view is playing out. Recently, the pair printed a new local high above 1.18, confirming the trend change. 📉 After this rise, EUR/USD pulled back –but the structure is clearly corrective: overlapping and a classic bullish flag formation. What's next? This correction looks close to completion, and bulls may soon return to push toward the key 1.20 level. Trading Plan: The 1.1620–1.1650 area stands out as a strong confluence zone – ideal for looking for buying opportunities. The trend has changed. The setup is forming. Now it’s about timing. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
EURUSD(20250714) Today's AnalysisMarket news: ① Fed's Goolsbee: The latest tariff threat may delay rate cuts. ② The Fed responded to the White House's "accusations": The increase in building renovation costs partly reflects unforeseen construction conditions. ③ "Fed's megaphone": The dispute over building renovations has challenged the Fed's independence again, and it is expected that no rate cuts will be made this month. ④ Hassett: Whether Trump fires Powell or not, the Fed's answer to the headquarters renovation is the key. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1689 Support and resistance levels: 1.1738 1.1719 1.1707 1.1670 1.1658 1.1640 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1689, consider buying in, with the first target price of 1.1707 If the price breaks through 1.1670, consider selling in, with the first target price of 1.1658
by NicolaZhu
2
EUR/USD Holding Support — Watching for Bullish ReactionHi Everyone, Since our last update, EUR/USD continues to range near the 1.16680 support level. We’re watching for buying interest to emerge above the key 1.16450 zone, which has acted as a critical level for the broader structure. Should price manage to stabilise and form a base here, there’s potential for a move back towards the highlighted resistance area around 1.17450. A clear reaction from support could confirm renewed buying interest and set the stage for a retest of last week’s highs. Our broader outlook remains unchanged: as long as price holds above 1.16450, we continue to look for the pair to build momentum for another move higher in the coming sessions. A decisive break above last week’s high could attract fresh buying interest, paving the way for a push towards the 1.19290 area and ultimately 1.20000. We'll be watching closely to see if this recovery gains traction and whether buyers can sustain the move above resistance. The longer-term view remains bullish, provided price continues to respect the key support zone. We’ll keep updating you through the week as the structure unfolds and share how we’re managing our active positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we really appreciate the support! All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Sells from 1.17200 back downWeekly Outlook: EUR/USD (EU) This week, my bias on EUR/USD is similar to GBP/USD, as both pairs have been following a consistent bearish trend. Based on this structure, I’ll be watching to see if price begins a retracement back into an area of supply. I’ve marked out the 8-hour supply zone, which sits at a premium level and was responsible for the last break of structure to the downside. If price retraces into this zone, I’ll look for potential sell confirmations on the lower time frames. If price doesn’t tap into the supply zone first, I’ll then shift my focus to the 8-hour demand zone below. In that case, I’ll watch closely for signs of accumulation and a bullish reaction from this level, which could signal the start of a rally. Confluences for EUR/USD Sells: ✅ Bearish trend has been consistent for the past few weeks. ✅ Breaks of structure have formed new supply zones to trade from. ✅ Liquidity exists below current price, which may be targeted first. ✅ The lower demand zone remains unmitigated, suggesting further downside movement. 📌 On the way down toward demand, I expect price to form another break of structure to the downside. The plan is to ride the sells down into demand, then look for potential buy opportunities if price begins to accumulate and react. Let’s stay sharp and disciplined — have a solid trading week, everyone! 📊
Short
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD Weakened By New Tariff Tensions With US This is the Weekly FOREX Forecast for the week of July 14 - 18th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: EURSUD The latest headlines tell the story. The tariffs are triggering a slow run to the USD safe haven. The previous week showed the USD Index closed pretty strong. There's a good chance we'll see more of the same this coming week. Look for the strength in USD to continue to be supported by fundamental news, and outperform the other major currencies, including the EURO. Buy USD/xxx Sell xxx/USD Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Short
by RT_Money
11
Ready to Swipe the Pips? | EUR/USD Heist Blueprint Unlocked🏴‍☠️💸 EUR/USD "Fiber Heist Plan" – Thief Trader Style 💸🏴‍☠️ The Vault is Open – Swipe the Bullish Bags! 🚀📈💰 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Welcome, Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑✨ Here’s the latest masterstroke based on our Thief Trading Style™—a tactical breakdown of EUR/USD primed for a bullish breakout robbery. We’re targeting the red zone 🎯—where the weak hands panic, and the real players win. 🔓 Entry Plan (Buy Setup): 🟢 "The vault is wide open!" — We’re planning bullish entries using 15m–30m timeframe swing levels. ✅ Buy Limit Orders: Plot them smartly around most recent swing lows/highs. ⚠️ Chart Alert Suggested: Eyes on the prize, don’t miss the break-in. 🛑 Risk Guard (SL Setup): 💼 Stop-Loss: Set at nearest 30-min swing low (based on your risk appetite). Remember, it’s about preserving your loot, not just grabbing it. 🎯 Target Area: 🎯 Primary Target: 1.19000 🎯 Optional Trailing SL: Ride the wave, lock the profits as price moves. 🧲 Scalpers' Notice: Only scalp long. Got big pockets? Jump in. Smaller bags? Swing along. 💡 Trailing stop advised—don’t let the market steal your gains. 💹 Current Market Outlook: EUR/USD is moving bullish—supported by technical signals, macro news, COT insights, and intermarket vibes. 🧠 Use all tools: Fundamental 📊 + Sentiment 🧭 + Quant + Bias Score 📈. 📎 Want the full breakdown? Check the 👉.Liinkk.🔗 (Keep updated, conditions shift fast!) ⚠️ News Risk Alert: 🚨 Stay alert during news drops—avoid fresh trades then. Use trailing SLs to lock profits & guard against reversal raids. 💖 Support the Robbery Plan! 💥 Hit that Boost Button 💥 if you're riding with the Thief Team! We steal smart, we trade sharp — every day’s a new heist in this market. See you on the next plan! Stay legendary 🐱‍👤💸🤑🔥
Long
by Thief_Trader
🇪🇺 EURUSD – Wyckoff Accumulation or Just Another Pullback?📅 Macro Outlook – Major USD Data Ahead This week, EUR/USD is expected to remain sensitive to macro data, especially with key US CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales on the calendar. Any surprises could spark strong moves in either direction. Key Events to Watch: Tuesday, 15 July: US Core CPI & CPI y/y Wednesday, 16 July: US PPI & UK CPI Thursday, 17 July: US Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims Friday, 18 July: US Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations ⚠️ The dollar may strengthen on hotter CPI figures, or weaken sharply if inflation cools off more than expected. 📉 Technical View – Trend is Bearish, But Wyckoff Says "Watch Out" At first glance, EUR/USD remains in a clear downtrend. A trend trader might consider selling near the current OB/Supply zone. However... We’ve identified a potential Wyckoff Accumulation pattern unfolding: Price is transitioning from Phase B into Phase C No confirmation yet, but Spring formation is possible TPO profile from yesterday shows low liquidity above – which price may revisit to fill 🧠 Strategy for the Week: Avoid entering shorts here, even if structure looks bearish This is a high-risk zone for sellers due to potential Wyckoff Spring Let price either break below and show weakness – or break above and confirm Phase D 📌 Key Levels: 1.1730–1.1760: If Phase C holds, this is the target for Phase D OBS Zone: Currently being tested – not a safe short 1.1670 – 1.1650: Watch for Spring or breakdown 🗣 Analyst’s Note: This is a classic case where trend structure and smart money logic conflict. We're staying neutral until the market picks a side. Patience here will save capital – the best trades often come after Wyckoff Phase C confirms. 🔖 Suggested Title (Short & Hooked): "EURUSD – Trend Sell or Wyckoff Trap?"
Short
by EliseLunaTraders
EUR/USD Testing Support — Will Buyers Step In Again?Hi Everyone, Since our last update, EUR/USD is currently testing the 1.16680 support level. We’re watching for buying interest to emerge above the key 1.16450 zone; if price can stabilise here, we could see a retest of the highlighted resistance area around 1.17450. Our broader outlook remains unchanged: as long as price holds above 1.16450, we continue to look for the pair to build momentum for another move higher in the coming sessions. A decisive break above last week’s high could attract fresh buying interest, paving the way for a push towards the 1.19290 area and ultimately 1.20000. We'll be watching closely to see if this recovery gains traction and whether buyers can sustain the move above resistance. The longer-term view remains bullish, provided price continues to respect the key support zone. We’ll keep updating you through the week as the structure unfolds and share how we’re managing our active positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we really appreciate the support! All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EURUSD Bearish SMC Setup | Premium Supply Rejection + CHoCH +FVGPair: EUR/USD Timeframe: 4H Price reacted strongly from a Premium Selling Zone, forming multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations. 🔻 Red Zones indicate strong institutional selling 🔺 Weak High is now likely to remain protected Market structure has shifted bearish, and price is targeting imbalances (IMB) and Fair Value Gaps (FVG) below. ⸻ ✅ Entry: Taken from the premium supply rejection 🎯 Target 1: 1.16000 – Minor imbalance fill 🎯 Target 2: 1.15000 – Mid-level demand 🎯 Final Target: 1.14500 – Major liquidity zone ❌ Invalidation: Clean break above 1.18000 ⸻ 📉 Smart Money Confirmation Setup: • Premium Supply • CHoCH • BOS • FVG & IMB below 🔄 Missed the entry? Wait for a pullback into lower OB or supply zone. #EURUSD #SmartMoney #SMC #CHoCH #BOS #FVG #OrderBlock #Forex #LiquiditySweep #SupplyDemand
Short
by Liquidity_Gold_FX
7
EURUSD h4 update ⚠️ Current Outlook: Reversal Zone Hit • Price tapped into the strong RESISTANCE zone (~1.1800), failing to break higher. • Market structure BOS (Break of Structure) confirms bearish intent. • FVG (Fair Value Gap) likely to act as a short-term liquidity trap. 📍 Disrupted Bearish Flow: 1. Price rejects resistance aggressively ✅ 2. Pullback into FVG may trigger a liquidity hunt 🧲 3. Fake bounce → Smart Money re-entry expected 👀 4. Target levels: • 🥅 TARGET: 1.1550 zone (first major support) • 🎯 LONG TARGET: 1.1200 zone (high probability zone for HTF buyers) 🔁 Bear Trap Setup Possibility: • After hitting the LONG TARGET, price could reverse sharply. • Watch for accumulation signs and deviation below key levels. ⸻ 🔥 Key Zones to Watch: • 🔳 Resistance: 1.1790–1.1820 • 🟦 FVG Retest Zone: 1.1630–1.1660 • 📉 Target Zone: 1.1500–1.1550 • 🚨 Long-Term Demand Zone: 1.1180–1.123
Short
by MrSam_with_trading
8
NFP Bears gathering their troops? or will the Bulls stampede...The past 9 days have been quite interesting for the EUR/USD which has been relentless. Price has been rising like a helium balloon let loose at the park... Bulls have clearly been in control, not only the past 9 days but since the beginning of the year with the exception of the strong pullback in April & May only to bounce for another 700 pip run. I am totally USD bearish across the board as I have been mentioning in my analysis videos for the past few months but like all macro moves, we always have pullbacks along the way and that is why I have been shorting the EUR/USD back from 1.1500+ - 1.1700+ I've given this a lot of room to breathe, more than usual but considering the following technical setup, I'm willing to give the Bears some leeway and potentially show me they'll come through. •Rising Broadening pattern (Where two trendlines start close together only to divergence and expand) - This is a bearish pattern. •Negative Divergence on the MACD, Linear Regression & the RSI. •Price has made a run to the yearly R3 pivot level. (Rare extension) •Last daily candle is a hanging man candlestick (Reversal candle) •Weekly chart has the EUR/USD at the upper band of a polynomial regression channel which calculates for price extremities in the market. There are a few more setups as well but it's too much to describe here and I'd have to show it in a video (Which I plan to do over the weekend) With all of that said... It could all fail lol but seriously speaking... You just can't ask for a better probabilistic setup so whatever happens during NFP... happens. Aside from the technical aspect... I know yearly R2 around 1.1600 was a hotspot for shorts because divergence was at the early stages and taking a short there wouldn't have been a bad idea but we know institutions are in play as well, so above 1.1600 could have been a huge area to run stop losses and margin calls before a potential reversal. 250 pips would be enough to run a large pool of stops and liquidation. IF price is going to reverse here during NFP, I believe late longs and breakout/pullback traders are going to try and buy at the trendline at 1.1660ish but it wont hold and trap them on the other side of the trade. Under that, I can see us pulling back towards 1.1200ish... If the Bears give up and price continues to climb... the original macro target may very well be under way which was 1.2000 - 1.2200 (Based on a Monthly and 3-Month chart analysis) As of this writing the EUR/USD is pretty much completely flat which is expected before the NFP fireworks ahead of July 4th. We'll see what happens tomorrow morning! buckle up! As always, Good luck and Trade Safe! See you post NFP.
Short
by InternalTraderNYC
1
EurUsd - This is the deadly breakout!EurUsd - FX:EURUSD - is about to fly: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) EurUsd has been rallying about +15% over the past couple of months. Additionally the breakout at the current resistance trendline is about to be confirmed. Subsequently EurUsd is setting up for another major move higher, which will be painful for all European traders. Levels to watch: $1.23, $1.11 Keep your long term vision🙏🙏 Philip (BasicTrading)
Long
by basictradingtv
7
EUR/USD Pulls Back from Yearly HighsThe EUR/USD pair has depreciated by nearly 0.5% over the past three trading sessions, favoring the U.S. dollar. At the moment, this appears to be the prevailing short-term trend, marking a new and steady bearish bias that has started to weigh on the euro. The current selling pressure has remained consistent, as the U.S. dollar shows renewed strength. The DXY index, which measures dollar performance, has been rising toward the 98 level, showing a solid recovery that could further intensify downward pressure on EUR/USD. Sustained Uptrend In recent weeks, the euro has shown consistent bullish momentum, maintaining a dominant uptrend on the long-term chart. So far, the recent bearish corrections haven’t been strong enough to break the structure, making it the key technical formation to watch in EUR/USD. However, the dollar’s current recovery appears to be gaining traction, and if that trend continues, it could put the existing uptrend at risk. Technical Indicators MACD: The MACD histogram is oscillating near the neutral zero line, suggesting that momentum from the moving averages remains balanced. If this continues, price action could consolidate into a more defined neutral range in upcoming sessions. ADX: The ADX line remains above the 20 threshold but is starting to slope downward, which, if sustained, may lead to a more neutral price structure in the near term. Key Levels to Watch: 1.18068 – Key resistance: This level marks the yearly high for EUR/USD. A breakout above this point could reinforce the current bullish trend. 1.15299 – Nearby support: A recent neutral zone. A breakdown here could trigger a stronger bearish bias and threaten the prevailing uptrend. 1.13177 – Distant support: Corresponds to a consolidation zone formed in May. If price drops to this level, it may activate a fresh and meaningful bearish trend. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
by FOREXcom
EUR/USD Bearish Setup H4 Chart AnalysisMarket Structure: Current Price: 1.17057 The market has rejected a key resistance zone around 1.17600–1.17800 (highlighted in yellow). Price formed a lower high, suggesting bearish momentum is taking control after an uptrend. The pair is trading around a key trendline and Ichimoku cloud, with a likely break below. Bearish Signals: 1. Double Top / Lower High Formation near 1.17600 indicates potential reversal. 2. Bearish Projection Drawn: Expecting a drop after the neckline break. 3. Support Zones Marked: First Support/TP1: 1.1650 – 1.1595 Second Support/TP2: 1.1456 Final Target/TP3: 1.1351
Short
by DOCTOR_PIPS05
30
EUR/USD Holds Above Key Support — Outlook IntactHi Everyone, Price briefly dipped below the 1.16680 support, but our broader outlook remains unchanged as long as it continues to hold above the key 1.16450 level. Should buyers successfully defend the 1.16450 zone, we still see potential for the pair to stabilise and make another attempt higher in the coming sessions. We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see if support continues to hold and whether momentum starts to build back to the upside. We maintain the view that a decisive break above last week’s high could attract additional buyers, paving the way for a move towards the 1.19290 level and ultimately the 1.20000 level. We’ll share further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD if price breaks above this key resistance. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX