EUR/USD Holding Support — Watching for Bullish ReactionHi Everyone,
Since our last update, EUR/USD continues to range near the 1.16680 support level. We’re watching for buying interest to emerge above the key 1.16450 zone, which has acted as a critical level for the broader structure.
Should price manage to stabilise and form a base here, there’s potential for a move back towards the highlighted resistance area around 1.17450. A clear reaction from support could confirm renewed buying interest and set the stage for a retest of last week’s highs.
Our broader outlook remains unchanged: as long as price holds above 1.16450, we continue to look for the pair to build momentum for another move higher in the coming sessions. A decisive break above last week’s high could attract fresh buying interest, paving the way for a push towards the 1.19290 area and ultimately 1.20000.
We'll be watching closely to see if this recovery gains traction and whether buyers can sustain the move above resistance. The longer-term view remains bullish, provided price continues to respect the key support zone.
We’ll keep updating you through the week as the structure unfolds and share how we’re managing our active positions.
Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we really appreciate the support!
All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
Eurusdpriceaction
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EUR/USD Testing Support — Will Buyers Step In Again?Hi Everyone,
Since our last update, EUR/USD is currently testing the 1.16680 support level. We’re watching for buying interest to emerge above the key 1.16450 zone; if price can stabilise here, we could see a retest of the highlighted resistance area around 1.17450.
Our broader outlook remains unchanged: as long as price holds above 1.16450, we continue to look for the pair to build momentum for another move higher in the coming sessions. A decisive break above last week’s high could attract fresh buying interest, paving the way for a push towards the 1.19290 area and ultimately 1.20000.
We'll be watching closely to see if this recovery gains traction and whether buyers can sustain the move above resistance. The longer-term view remains bullish, provided price continues to respect the key support zone.
We’ll keep updating you through the week as the structure unfolds and share how we’re managing our active positions.
Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we really appreciate the support!
All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
NFP Bears gathering their troops? or will the Bulls stampede...The past 9 days have been quite interesting for the EUR/USD which has been relentless. Price has been rising like a helium balloon let loose at the park...
Bulls have clearly been in control, not only the past 9 days but since the beginning of the year with the exception of the strong pullback in April & May only to bounce for another 700 pip run.
I am totally USD bearish across the board as I have been mentioning in my analysis videos for the past few months but like all macro moves, we always have pullbacks along the way and that is why I have been shorting the EUR/USD back from 1.1500+ - 1.1700+
I've given this a lot of room to breathe, more than usual but considering the following technical setup, I'm willing to give the Bears some leeway and potentially show me they'll come through.
•Rising Broadening pattern (Where two trendlines start close together only to divergence and expand) - This is a bearish pattern.
•Negative Divergence on the MACD, Linear Regression & the RSI.
•Price has made a run to the yearly R3 pivot level. (Rare extension)
•Last daily candle is a hanging man candlestick (Reversal candle)
•Weekly chart has the EUR/USD at the upper band of a polynomial regression channel which calculates for price extremities in the market.
There are a few more setups as well but it's too much to describe here and I'd have to show it in a video (Which I plan to do over the weekend)
With all of that said... It could all fail lol but seriously speaking... You just can't ask for a better probabilistic setup so whatever happens during NFP... happens.
Aside from the technical aspect... I know yearly R2 around 1.1600 was a hotspot for shorts because divergence was at the early stages and taking a short there wouldn't have been a bad idea but we know institutions are in play as well, so above 1.1600 could have been a huge area to run stop losses and margin calls before a potential reversal.
250 pips would be enough to run a large pool of stops and liquidation.
IF price is going to reverse here during NFP, I believe late longs and breakout/pullback traders are going to try and buy at the trendline at 1.1660ish but it wont hold and trap them on the other side of the trade.
Under that, I can see us pulling back towards 1.1200ish...
If the Bears give up and price continues to climb... the original macro target may very well be under way which was 1.2000 - 1.2200 (Based on a Monthly and 3-Month chart analysis)
As of this writing the EUR/USD is pretty much completely flat which is expected before the NFP fireworks ahead of July 4th.
We'll see what happens tomorrow morning! buckle up!
As always, Good luck and Trade Safe! See you post NFP.
EURUSD Looking for a retest of potential SupportWe have seen more USD weakness since the ceasefire in the MIddle East as the threat of Global inflation caused by higher Oil prices lowers, raising hopes of future rate cutes by the FED
EURUSD has broken out cleanly from a previous resistance zone, and can act as support on any retests of the 1.1616-1.1636 zone
Stops would need to be below 1.1611
Targets to be around 1.1670-1.1685
EUR/USD Holds Above Key Support — Outlook IntactHi Everyone,
Price briefly dipped below the 1.16680 support, but our broader outlook remains unchanged as long as it continues to hold above the key 1.16450 level. Should buyers successfully defend the 1.16450 zone, we still see potential for the pair to stabilise and make another attempt higher in the coming sessions.
We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see if support continues to hold and whether momentum starts to build back to the upside.
We maintain the view that a decisive break above last week’s high could attract additional buyers, paving the way for a move towards the 1.19290 level and ultimately the 1.20000 level.
We’ll share further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD if price breaks above this key resistance.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
#EURUSD: Last Bullish Price Extension! Get Ready! EURUSD is approaching our buying zone, a key level, which suggests a smooth bullish reversal. As this is a swing trade, we advise keeping stop losses larger. There are two targets to keep an eye on. Remember, this is not a guaranteed move, and this is just our overview. Good luck and trade safely.
Team Setupsfx_
EUR/USD Update: Breakout Potential Above Recent HighsHi Everyone,
Monday played out as expected; a bounce off the highlighted support area appears to have provided enough momentum for a retest of the 1.18000 level. Price could briefly dip below the 1.16680 support; however, our outlook will remain unchanged as long as we hold above the 1.16450 level.
We maintain the view that a decisive break above last week’s high could attract additional buyers, paving the way for a move towards the 1.19290 level and ultimately the 1.20000 level.
We’ll share further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD if price breaks above this key resistance.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
Long EURUSDThe uptrend on EURUSD remains intact, and buying opportunities are still the only viable option.
No major news is expected from the economic calendar this week.
Watch for the end of the current pullback and signs of a new bullish move.
The target is a breakout above the previous high, aiming for 1,1915.
EUR/USD Rallies on Broad Dollar WeaknessEUR/USD Rallies on Broad Dollar Weakness
EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.1750 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro started a decent increase from the 1.1600 zone against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support near 1.1770 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.1600 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.1650 resistance to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar.
The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.1750. Finally, the pair tested the 1.1830 resistance. A high was formed near 1.1829 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.1590 swing low to the 1.1830 high.
Immediate support on the downside is near a connecting bullish trend line at 1.1770. The next major support is the 1.1710 level. A downside break below the 1.1710 support could send the pair toward the 1.1680 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.1590 swing low to the 1.1830 high.
Any more losses might send the pair into a bearish zone toward 1.1645. Immediate resistance on the EUR/USD chart is near the 1.1830 zone. The first major resistance is near the 1.1850 level. An upside break above the 1.1850 level might send the pair toward the 1.1920 resistance.
The next major resistance is near the 1.1950 level. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.2000 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EUR/USD Analysis: Rally May Be Under ThreatEUR/USD Analysis: Rally May Be Under Threat
The euro has appreciated by approximately 15% against the US dollar this year, as confidence in the United States continues to wane. As ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane noted in an interview at CNBC: “There is a degree of reorientation by global investors towards the euro.”
At the same time, officials at the European Central Bank have expressed concern that the rapid strengthening of the euro could undermine efforts to stabilise inflation at 2%. They warn that a move above $1.20 may pose risks for inflation and the competitiveness of export-oriented firms — an issue raised during the ECB’s ongoing ECB Forum on Central Banking in Portugal.
Could EUR/USD Reach the $1.20 Level?
From a technical analysis perspective, EUR/USD is showing bearish signals:
→ If the early April rally (coinciding with Trump’s announcement of new tariffs) is taken as the initial impulse wave A→B, and the May low is interpreted as the end of the B→C corrective move, then, according to Fibonacci Extensions, the pair has now risen to a key resistance zone around 1.1850 (as indicated by the arrow on the chart).
→ In addition, the RSI indicator signals strong overbought conditions, while the price is hovering near the upper boundary of the ascending channel — a level that typically acts as resistance.
Given these factors, we could assume that EUR/USD may be in a vulnerable position, potentially facing a short-term correction — possibly towards the lower boundary of the channel, reinforced by support at the 1.1620 level. However, this does not negate the longer-term bullish outlook for the euro amid prevailing fundamental conditions.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EUR/USD Extends Rally – Watching Resistance at 1.18000Hi Everyone,
We anticipated a retest of the 1.17400 level coming into this week, setting the stage for further upside toward our highlighted targets at 1.17600 and 1.18000. Monday delivered, with a sharp move higher that saw EUR/USD break cleanly above 1.17400 and extend to 1.17600, bringing the 1.18000 level into focus.
As previously noted, we expect dynamic resistance around the 1.18000 area and will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price test or breach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EUR/USD BULL RAID: Quick Profit Heist Before the Drop!🏴☠️ EUR/USD "The Fiber" HEIST ALERT: Bullish Loot Before the Trap! 🚨💰
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📈 Entry (Vault is OPEN!):
Buy Limit Orders preferred (15M/30M swing levels).
Alert up! Don’t miss the breakout.
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route):
Nearest Swing Low (1.15200) on 30M TF.
Adjust for your risk & lot size—no reckless robberies!
🎯 Target (Profit Hideout): 1.16400
Scalpers: Stick to LONG only—trail your SL to lock gold!
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Bullish momentum + weak bears = perfect robbery conditions.
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#EURUSD:Expecting A Strong Bull Move, Two Entries | Two TargetsIn our previous analysis, we clearly stated that the price would remain bullish as the DXY had to plummet, and it did exactly that, rising by 450 pips from our last entry. Currently, we have two areas from which we can see the price reversing. The first one is nearby and has a higher risk compared to our second entry, which may be safer for some traders. We need a strong confirmation before making any significant decisions.
Good luck and trade safely. We wish you the best in your trading journey.
Team Setupsfx_
EUR/USD Holds Above Support – Watching 1.17400 and BeyondHi Everyone,
As highlighted, a successful bounce from the near-term support at 1.16680 provided a retest of the 1.17400 zone. Looking ahead, we expect price action to revisit this level in the coming week.
A confirmed break above this resistance could open the path toward 1.18000, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance.
As outlined in our analysis last week, we anticipated a continued move higher toward the 1.16564 and 1.18325 levels, provided price held above 1.14483.
Price respected this level, and EUR/USD extended its rally, reaching our first key target at 1.16564 and pushing above 1.17400 — marking the highest level since February 2022.
We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EUR/USD - Upside Bias Continues Amid Market EventsHi Everyone,
As outlined in our analysis last week, we continue to expect EUR/USD to advance further to the upside. A successful retest of the 1.15240 level provides support for the move.
This promises to be an eventful week as markets navigate geopolitical tensions and upcoming central bank decisions. As long as price holds above 1.14483, we anticipate a continuation higher toward the 1.16564 level, which would further reinforce our long-term bullish outlook.
A confirmed break above this resistance would likely open the door for a move toward 1.18325, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance.
We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Breakout Retest StrategyEUR/USD Breakout Retest Strategy 🟢📈
📊 Technical Analysis Summary:
The chart illustrates a bullish breakout from a consolidation range with a well-defined support near 1.12500 and resistance between 1.16500–1.17000.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔸 Triple Rejection Zone:
Price faced rejection 3 times (highlighted with orange circles) near the same level before the breakout — classic liquidity sweep above resistance.
🔸 Strong Support Bounce:
Each time price reached the green support zone, it showed strong bullish reaction (green arrows) signaling solid buying interest.
🔸 Break and Retest Formation:
Price broke the previous highs and now seems to be retesting the breakout zone (around 1.15250–1.15300). A successful retest could confirm bullish continuation.
🔸 Projected Bullish Move:
If the retest holds, we may see price pushing up toward the 1.17000 resistance zone as marked.
📌 Trading Plan:
✅ Bullish Bias above 1.15250
✅ Look for bullish candlestick confirmation or breakout structure
🚫 Avoid trades if price drops below 1.15000 with momentum
📈 Target Zone: 1.16500 – 1.17000
🛑 Stop Loss suggestion: Below 1.14750
🧠 Keep patience during the retest — smart money often tests emotions before real moves! 💰📉📈
EUR/USD Potential buys from current zone or 1.12800My outlook for EU this week closely aligns with GU — both pairs are showing similar structure and direction. Price continues to form higher highs and higher lows, maintaining its bullish momentum.
Following the most recent break of structure to the upside, EU has now entered a 9H demand zone, where I’ll be watching for signs of accumulation and potential entry as the market opens on Monday.
If this current zone fails to hold, there’s a more discounted 9H demand zone just below, which could offer a cleaner long opportunity. Either way, both scenarios follow the pro trend, which adds conviction to the buy idea.
Confluences for EU Buys:
Price has broken structure to the upside and entered a clean 9H demand zone
There’s another refined 9H demand zone just below for additional confirmation
Plenty of upside liquidity remains untouched
Structure remains bullish on the higher timeframes, making this a pro trend setup
P.S. If price reacts well and continues pushing higher, I’ll be keeping an eye on the 7H supply zone above for any possible short-term bearish reaction.
Wishing everyone a successful and disciplined trading week ahead!
EURUSD - Look for Short (SWING) 1:2.5!Price has formed an ascending channel on the higher time frame, currently consolidating before potentially entering a distribution phase. A breakout could occur in either direction, but if the chart pattern plays out as expected, we may see a break below the key support level. Let’s aim for at least TP1.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
EURUSD on 3rd May 2025By looking at EURUSD in 4h timeframe, it is trading on very strong zone as it became support now due to yesterday breakout. Also there is uptrend trendline which is acting as strong support, if it breaks our next target will be down to 1.12490 and 1.12930. if this support holds then price may surge in upward direction. Need to wait till breakout in downward.
Key point.
Support - 1.14190, 1.13600, 1.13152
Resistance - 1.14906, 1.15440
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Rudra Vasaikar Wishes You A Great And Very Amazing Trading Life. Trade Safe, Trade Right.
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HAPPY TRADING.
EUR/USD Potential longs to the upsideEU Weekly Outlook — Bullish Pro-Trend Setup in Focus
This week, my EU analysis is centered around the pro-trend movement to the upside. Price has recently broken structure and in doing so, has left behind clean demand zones on the 5H and 3H timeframes. I’ll be watching closely to see when price decides to mitigate these levels for a potential long setup.
Since price is still a bit far from these zones, short-term sells may be possible, but with no strong nearby supply, I’ll be staying patient and letting price action guide me. The key is to avoid marrying any one bias and remain adaptable.
Confluences for EU Buys:
- Strong bullish structure on higher timeframes
- Clean and unmitigated 5H and 3H demand zones
- Plenty of liquidity above, including Asia highs
- This is a pro-trend trade, aligning with market flow
- DXY analysis supports a bullish EU outlook
P.S. If price shifts and breaks structure to the downside, then we could consider short-term sell setups — but for now, I’m focused on the long opportunity forming from demand.
Have a great trading week and stay sharp! 🧠💹