Head & Shoulders on EUR/USD daily!We're currently observing a significant Head & Shoulders pattern forming on the EUR/USD daily chart, with the price just breaking below the neckline on the right shoulder.
Applying standard Head & Shoulders trading principles, we measure the distance from the head's peak to the neckline and project that same range downward from the breakdown point. Based on this, the estimated target price (TP) for the trade lands around $1.135. The stop-loss will be positioned just above the right shoulder to manage risk effectively.
We'll be watching closely to see how this setup unfolds. 🍻
Eurusdtrade
Major U.S. News Ahead—Will EURUSD Pivot?Good morning, my friends 👋
Here’s my EURUSD market analysis 📉
Currently, the pair is in a downtrend. I expect this downward move to end around 1.14899 or 1.14536, where a potential buying opportunity may emerge. I personally plan to enter a buy position once price reaches those zones 💼
Also, keep an eye on major U.S. economic reports being released today—they could trigger increased volatility 🔔
Every like you send is a huge source of motivation for me to keep sharing high-quality analysis 🙏 Thanks to everyone supporting the channel 💙
EURUSD Breaks Trendline: Bearish Momentum in PlayHello guys!
After months of climbing steadily along the ascending trendline, EURUSD has finally broken below support. The trendline breach, followed by a tight consolidation (yellow circle), hinted at a loss of bullish strength, and now the breakdown is in full motion.
Broken ascending trendline
Clear rejection after retest
Bearish continuation underway
Target area: 1.1400–1.1440 zone
If sellers maintain control, the price could descend toward the next major demand area.
EUR/USD Hits Lowest Level Since Early JulyEUR/USD Hits Lowest Level Since Early July
As the EUR/USD chart indicates today, the euro has fallen below the 1.1550 mark against the US dollar, reaching the lows of June 2025. As a result, July may become the first month in 2025 to record a decline in the currency pair.
Why Is EUR/USD Declining?
There are two key factors driving the euro’s weakness relative to the US dollar:
→ Anticipation of the Federal Reserve Meeting. At 21:00 GMT+3 today, the Fed’s interest rate decision will be released. According to Forex Factory, analysts expect the Federal Funds Rate to remain unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%.
→ Market Reaction to the US-EU Trade Agreement. The trade deal signed last weekend between the United States and Europe is being critically assessed by market participants.
As noted in our Monday analysis, signs of a bearish takeover emerged on the chart following the agreement’s signing. Since then, EUR/USD has declined by approximately 1.3%. The question now is whether the downtrend will continue.
Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart
The upward channel that had remained valid since mid-May was decisively broken by bears this week. The nature of the breakout (highlighted by the red arrow) was particularly aggressive, with the price dropping from the 1.1710 level to the D point low without any meaningful interim recoveries.
Key observations include:
→ The drop has resulted in a classic bearish A-B-C-D market structure, characterised by lower highs and lower lows.
→ On the 4-hour timeframe, the RSI indicator has fallen into oversold territory, reaching its lowest point of 2025 so far.
→ Notably (as highlighted by the blue arrow), there was a strong rebound from the 1.1455 support level earlier. Bulls demonstrated significant strength at that time, breaking through the R resistance line.
Given these factors, we could assume that after this week’s sharp decline, EUR/USD may attempt a short-term recovery from the support zone (highlighted in purple). Should this scenario unfold, potential resistance may emerge near the 1.1630 level, as this area aligns with:
→ The 50% Fibonacci retracement of the C→D decline;
→ The breakout point of the lower boundary of the previous ascending channel, indicating a shift in market balance in favour of the bears.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Dips FurtherMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Dips Further
EUR/USD extended losses and traded below the 1.1600 support.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro struggled to clear the 1.1800 resistance and declined against the US Dollar.
- There is a key downward channel forming with resistance at 1.1575 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair failed to clear the 1.1800 resistance. The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.1720 support against the US Dollar.
The pair declined below the 1.1660 support and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.1520 level. A low was formed at 1.1519 and the pair is now consolidating losses. The market is showing bearish signs, and the upsides might remain capped.
There was a minor increase toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1770 swing high to the 1.1519 low. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 1.1575 level.
There is also a key downward channel forming with resistance at 1.1575. The next major resistance is near the 1.1665 zone and the 50-hour simple moving average or the 50% Fib retracement level.
The main resistance sits near the 1.1770 level. An upside break above the 1.1770 level might send the pair towards 1.1800. Any more gains might open the doors for a move towards 1.1850.
On the downside, immediate support on the EUR/USD chart is seen near 1.1520. The next major support is near the 1.1465 level. A downside break below 1.1465 could send the pair towards 1.1350.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H timeframe, price has entered the green demand zone (1H FVG) around 1.1480 – 1.1520 after a strong bearish leg.
We're expecting a bullish retracement from this zone, aiming toward the upper red FVG/OB zone around 1.1690 – 1.1715.
📌 There are two key scenarios:
1️⃣ Scenario 1: Price starts moving up from the green FVG → reaches red FVG zone → short setup after lower timeframe confirmation
2️⃣ Scenario 2: Price makes an initial move to ~1.1620 → pulls back to the green zone → pushes back up into the red OB → short setup on confirmation
🎯 Final target for both scenarios: a break below the green FVG zone and continuation down
✅ Entry only after confirmation from lower timeframes (3M–15M)
❌ No trades without confirmation
EURUSD(20250730) Today's AnalysisMarket News:
According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll, Trump's approval rating has fallen to 40%, the lowest level since his second term.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
1.1554
Support and Resistance Levels:
1.1634
1.1604
1.1584
1.1523
1.1504
1.1474
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 1.1584, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price at 1.1604. If the price breaks below 1.1554, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price at 1.1523.
EUR/USD: The Last Bear Standing...As indicated on my previous EUR/USD idea ( that's still currently open ), I remain short EUR/USD given the technical aspect of things are still valid.
Divergences are still in play along with a rising broadening pattern and the fact that we're trading at the yearly R3 level ( which is rare ).
I suspect we will have some volatility with the ECB press conference tomorrow, so that should get things moving hopefully in the bearish direction. If we begin trading aggressively above 1.1800+, that will invalidate the short idea overall.
If we roll over, I'm still looking for 1.13000 - 1.12000 as the target range for Q3 going into Q4.
We'll see how this all develops.
As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe!
EURUSD Long, 29 JulyReversal Setup from Daily OB + LTF Confluence
Price tapped into a Daily Bullish OB with 50EMA support, signaling potential for a bullish reaction. While structure isn’t perfect, the overextension and DXY correlation offer strong intraday confluence.
📈 HTF Confluence:
✅ Sitting inside a Daily Bullish Orderblock
📍 50EMA in the same area → added support
🟢 Expecting a bounce from this zone, even if HTF trend isn’t clearly bullish yet
📉 LTF Context:
💤 Asia range formed, still unfilled → clean liquidity target
📉 Overextended bearish move into 15m POI
🪞 DXY at its own 15m POI + Asia range to complete → supports EU upside
🎯 Entry Plan:
✅ Clear 1m BOS after reacting from 15m Decisional OB
🎯 Entry taken at 5m OB inside that 15m POI zone
⚠️ Decisional OB isn’t ideal, but stacked confluences justify the risk
🛡 SL: Below 5m OB
📌 TP: Asia high + potential continuation if DXY breaks lower
EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint Bear Strike Activated!💣🎯Operation Fiber Down: EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint (Day Trade Edition) 💰🔫
🚨 Thieves, Hustlers & Chart Bandits Assemble! 🚨
🌍 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌍
Welcome back to another Thief Trading Operation, where the money never sleeps—and neither do we. Let’s break into the vault of EUR/USD “The Fiber” with surgical precision. 🧠💼🕶️
🧨 THE MASTER ROBBERY PLAN: EUR/USD SHORT STRIKE 🔍💸
💀 Market Bias: Bearish – Trend Reversal + Supply Trap Setup
🎯 Target: 1.14600
🛑 Stop-Loss: Near Swing High (around 1.16700 – 4H chart view)
🕓 Timeframe Focus: 15m / 30m / 3H
🧭 ENTRY ZONE:
👣 Plan your entry from recent high retests—that’s where the big money bulls get trapped.
🎯 Use Sell Limit Orders (DCA style / Layered Limit Orders) like a true thief setting up tripwires.
💼 RISK STRATEGY:
💡 SL should match your lot size and order count—not one-size-fits-all!
📌 Place above key structure or swing level (e.g. 1.16700) based on timeframe.
🔍 BEHIND THE SCENES – THE WHY:
The EUR/USD "Fiber" pair is showing all the classic signs of a trend shift and bear raid setup, including:
📰 Fundamentals weakening the Euro
💣 COT Report reveals institutional exits
🍂 Seasonal Bias points to downward trend
📉 Intermarket Pressure from bond yields & USD strength
📊 Sentiment turning overly bullish = trap zone
⛽ Storage & Inventory imbalances adding fuel
📌 Reminder: Before any robbery, study the layout—Macro, Fundamentals, Sentiment, and Intermarket are your blueprint.
🚨 HEIST ALERT – PROTECT THE LOOT:
🕰️ High-Impact News Events? Tighten up!
💼 Don’t take fresh entries during releases.
🔐 Use Trailing SLs to lock in profits.
🎯 Exit with grace before the sirens start.
⚡🔥JOIN THE CREW, BOOST THE LOOT🔥⚡
💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥 if you're vibing with the Thief Trading Movement.
We ain’t just trading—we’re executing strategic robberies on the market’s weaknesses.
🧠💪 Every like = more power to the crew. Every comment = a new map to a vault.
We rob, retreat, and repeat. Let’s make money with skill, not luck. 🕶️💰🚁
⚠️ LEGAL COVER (For the Lawyers 😏):
This plan is not investment advice, just an organized heist blueprint by chart robbers.
Always manage your own risk and update your plan as the market evolves.
🕶️ Stay ready for the next master plan... Until then, keep your charts clean and your stops tight. 🕶️💣📉
– Thief Trader Out 🐱👤🚀
EURUSD at Make-or-Break Zone: Time to Short?EURUSD – Key Data Out Today, Short Setup Confirmed?
Today, several important economic indexes were released for both the Euro(EUR) and the Dollar(USD) . Let’s break them down in a simple way:
Eurozone PMI Data: Mixed to Weak
France:
Manufacturing PMI: 48.4 (slightly lower than forecast)
Services PMI : 49.7 (flat, but below 50 = contraction)
Germany:
Manufacturing PMI: 49.2 (weaker than expected)
Services PMI : 50.1(slightly expansionary)
Eurozone Overall:
Manufacturing PMI: 49.8 (still below 50)
Services PMI : 51.2 (slightly stronger than forecast)
ECB left the Main Refinancing Rate unchanged at 2.15% , which was widely expected.
U.S. Data( TVC:DXY ): Strong and Surprising
Unemployment Claims: 217K (better than expected 227K)
Manufacturing PMI: 49.5 (below forecast of 52.7 – a negative surprise)
Services PMI: 55.2 (well above forecast and previous – bullish for USD)
Interpretation :
The Eurozone's growth remains sluggish, especially in France and Germany.
Despite a drop in U.S. manufacturing, the services sector remains strong, and unemployment data confirms labor market resilience.
This mixed picture slightly tilts the balance in favor of the U.S. dollar, especially as the ECB remains on hold while the Fed may still consider being restrictive.
Bias: Short EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD )
Fundamentals support a Short position in EURUSD, in line with the current technical setup.
---------------------------------
Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour time frame to find the best Short position .
EURUSD is currently trading in an Ascending Channel and at a Heavy Resistance zone($1.1845-$1.1602) .
Also, in terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that EURUSD is completing a microwave 5 of the main wave 5 .
One of the most important supports ahead for EURUSD could be the 100_SMA(4-hour TF) .
If the currently 4-hour candlestick forms a Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern , it is a better sign for EURUSD to fall .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect EURUSD to decline to at least $1.169 AFTER breaking the lower line of the ascending channel .
Second Target: Support zone($1.1642-$1.158) and Monthly Pivot Point.
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $1.1850
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EUR/USD – Short from Channel TopHi Traders , Took a short on EUR/USD after price rejected the top of the ascending channel.
Entry: 1.17545
Stop Loss: 1.18015
Take Profit: 1.17098
📌 Why I took this trade:
Price is showing rejection at the upper trendline + near resistance (R1). RSI is cooling off, so I’m expecting a move back to the demand zone around 1.1710.
Clean structure, low risk, good reward.
Just my take, not financial advice.
What do you think — continuation or rejection?
Analysis on the DXY – EURUSD RelationshipHello traders,
Here’s an analysis that can be useful for both short-term and swing trades on EURUSD and DXY. Our trading team’s calculations are as follows:
Analysis on the DXY – EURUSD Relationship
Currently, DXY is at 98.200. Historical statistical data indicate that if DXY declines toward 96.300, there is approximately a **1.55% probability of an upward move** in EURUSD.
Based on this scenario:
Current EURUSD level: 1.16500
Projected target level:1.1830
While the correlation data show a strong inverse relationship, it’s important to note that periodic deviations can occur in the market. Therefore, this analysis should be considered a statistical projection only, not a guaranteed outcome.
Europe and the US Sign Trade Agreement, EUR/USD DeclinesEurope and the US Sign Trade Agreement, EUR/USD Declines
The past weekend was marked by the official signing of a trade agreement between the United States and Europe, as announced by US President Donald Trump and President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen following their meeting in Scotland.
According to reports, the agreement is based on a 15% baseline tariff on goods exported from Europe to the United States, with certain exemptions. As previously reported, a trade agreement with a 15% baseline tariff had earlier been concluded between the US and Japan.
According to President Trump:
→ under no circumstances did he allow the baseline tariff for Europe to fall below 15%;
→ the European Union committed to investing in the US economy, purchasing weapons, and importing energy resources.
The financial markets’ reaction to this news is noteworthy:
→ European stock indices opened the week with a bullish gap, reflecting relief that previously feared tariffs of up to 30% did not materialise;
→ the EUR/USD pair is exhibiting bearish momentum this morning.
Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart
As indicated by the black arrow, bearish sentiment intensified on Monday morning, pushing the pair towards the 1.1700 level, which had previously acted as resistance in mid-July.
From the perspective of the ascending channel (shown in blue), its median line is currently acting as a resistance level – following contact with it, a short-term rally was broken (highlighted in purple). This reinforces the notion that bears are currently in control.
Given the above, we could suggest that, should bearish sentiment persist on the EUR/USD chart, we may soon witness an attempt to break through the 1.1700 support level. A successful breach could open the path for further downside movement of the euro against the dollar, towards the lower boundary of the channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H timeframe, price is moving strongly towards the 1H supply zone (around 1.1780), and it is likely to reach this area first before pulling back.
During the pullback, the blue FVG and green OB zones below are key areas for potential long entries:
🔹 FVG 1H around 1.1660
🔹 OB 1H around 1.1620
🔹 OB 1H around 1.1580
📌 Plan:
1️⃣ If the price reaches the upper supply zone, we will look for short scalps with confirmation on the lower timeframe (5M/3M).
2️⃣ After the pullback to lower zones, we will look for long opportunities with PA confirmation.
🎯 Long targets after pullback: 1.1700 – 1.1720, potentially 1.1750.
❌ No entry without confirmation.
EURUSD: Buyers Like the New Trade Deals With The US!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 28 - Aug 1st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
EURUSD
Buyers reacting positively to the announcements of trade deals with the US.
Longs are the play until we see a bearish break of significant structure.
FOMC and NFP looming, so be careful the markets don't reverse on your trades!
Wait patiently for buy setups.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint Bear Strike Activated!💣🎯Operation Fiber Down: EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint (Day Trade Edition) 💰🔫
🚨 Thieves, Hustlers & Chart Bandits Assemble! 🚨
🌍 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌍
Welcome back to another Thief Trading Operation, where the money never sleeps—and neither do we. Let’s break into the vault of EUR/USD “The Fiber” with surgical precision. 🧠💼🕶️
🧨 THE MASTER ROBBERY PLAN: EUR/USD SHORT STRIKE 🔍💸
💀 Market Bias: Bearish – Trend Reversal + Supply Trap Setup
🎯 Target: 1.15800
🛑 Stop-Loss: Near Swing High (around 1.17400 – 3H chart view)
🕓 Timeframe Focus: 15m / 30m / 3H
🧭 ENTRY ZONE:
👣 Plan your entry from recent high retests—that’s where the big money bulls get trapped.
🎯 Use Sell Limit Orders (DCA style / Layered Limit Orders) like a true thief setting up tripwires.
💼 RISK STRATEGY:
💡 SL should match your lot size and order count—not one-size-fits-all!
📌 Place above key structure or swing level (e.g. 1.17400) based on timeframe.
🔍 BEHIND THE SCENES – THE WHY:
The EUR/USD "Fiber" pair is showing all the classic signs of a trend shift and bear raid setup, including:
📰 Fundamentals weakening the Euro
💣 COT Report reveals institutional exits
🍂 Seasonal Bias points to downward trend
📉 Intermarket Pressure from bond yields & USD strength
📊 Sentiment turning overly bullish = trap zone
⛽ Storage & Inventory imbalances adding fuel
📌 Reminder: Before any robbery, study the layout—Macro, Fundamentals, Sentiment, and Intermarket are your blueprint.
🚨 HEIST ALERT – PROTECT THE LOOT:
🕰️ High-Impact News Events? Tighten up!
💼 Don’t take fresh entries during releases.
🔐 Use Trailing SLs to lock in profits.
🎯 Exit with grace before the sirens start.
⚡🔥JOIN THE CREW, BOOST THE LOOT🔥⚡
💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥 if you're vibing with the Thief Trading Movement.
We ain’t just trading—we’re executing strategic robberies on the market’s weaknesses.
🧠💪 Every like = more power to the crew. Every comment = a new map to a vault.
We rob, retreat, and repeat. Let’s make money with skill, not luck. 🕶️💰🚁
⚠️ LEGAL COVER (For the Lawyers 😏):
This plan is not investment advice, just an organized heist blueprint by chart robbers.
Always manage your own risk and update your plan as the market evolves.
🕶️ Stay ready for the next master plan... Until then, keep your charts clean and your stops tight. 🕶️💣📉
– Thief Trader Out 🐱👤🚀
EURUSD Massive Bullish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#EURUSD is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price just
Made a massive bullish
Breakout of the falling
Resistance line and the
Breakout is confirmed
So after a potential pullback
We will be expecting a
Further bullish continuation !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !