#EURUSD:Expecting A Strong Bull Move, Two Entries | Two TargetsIn our previous analysis, we clearly stated that the price would remain bullish as the DXY had to plummet, and it did exactly that, rising by 450 pips from our last entry. Currently, we have two areas from which we can see the price reversing. The first one is nearby and has a higher risk compared to our second entry, which may be safer for some traders. We need a strong confirmation before making any significant decisions.
Good luck and trade safely. We wish you the best in your trading journey.
Team Setupsfx_
Eurusdtrend
EUR/USD (1-Hour Timeframe) – Bearish Trade Setup Explanation.This chart shows a potential short (sell) opportunity on EUR/USD based on the Smart Money Concept (SMC), focusing on Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Order Block (OB) confluence.
🔍 Key Zone Highlighted:
The price has retraced into a supply zone, which combines:
Fair Value Gap (FVG) – an imbalance created by a strong bearish move.
Order Block (OB) – the last bullish candle before a strong bearish push, now acting as resistance.
This confluence makes the zone (around 1.15870) a high-probability reversal area.
📉 Trade Plan:
Sell Entry: Near the current price at 1.15870, inside the FVG+OB zone.
Stop Loss (SL): Placed above the supply zone at 1.16400 to protect from invalidation.
Target 1: 1.15107 – conservative target based on previous support.
Final Target: 1.14100 – a lower liquidity zone that could be reached if bearish momentum continues.
💡 Logic Behind the Setup:
Price is reacting to a previously respected bearish OB + FVG.
Strong bearish impulse occurred from this zone earlier, suggesting institutional selling.
The retracement back into this zone presents a low-risk, high-reward short entry.
Expectation: price will reject from this zone and move down toward the targets.
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio:
The setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, especially if the final target is reached.
EURUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
U.S. May retail sales unexpectedly declined, signaling weak consumption momentum and reinforcing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, weighing on the U.S. dollar.
While the eurozone manufacturing PMI remains in contraction territory, a month-on-month improvement has supported the euro to some extent.
Technical Analysis :
The MACD indicator stays above the zero line with bullish histogram alignment, indicating dominant bullish momentum.Bollinger Bands are slightly widening upward, with price trading above the middle band (support near 1.1500).The RSI at 55 suggests strong bullish sentiment.Price has found support multiple times in the 1.1520–1.1530 zone, forming a key support range.
Trading Strategy:
Initiate long positions after price stabilizes in the 1.1520–1.1530 zone on pullbacks.
buy@ 1.15200–1.15300
TP:1.15800-1.16000
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EURUSD Setup | CPI Fades, Fed Focus & Gold Leads Dollar ReboundEURUSD is showing signs of exhaustion after soft US CPI failed to extend the rally beyond 1.1495. While markets initially priced in a dovish Fed response, recent commentary and gold’s rejection from its highs suggest the dollar may be gearing up for a short-term recovery. With Gold pulling back and yields stabilizing, EURUSD could now follow suit lower into key support levels—especially if the Fed maintains a patient tone at this week’s meeting.
🔹 EURUSD (4H) Analysis
📉 Bias: Bearish
💡 Context:
EURUSD stalled just below 1.1500 after the CPI miss and now sits at a high-liquidity reversal zone. With DXY stabilizing and gold already rolling over, EURUSD may lag behind but eventually follow the same path. If the Fed leans hawkish or even neutral (ignoring political pressure), it could catalyze a drop toward 1.1268 and below.
📊 Technical Levels:
Resistance Zone: 1.1495–1.1530
Target 1: 1.1268
Target 2: 1.1086
Invalidation: Daily close above 1.1530 (or strong bullish follow-through after FOMC)
🪙 Leading Asset Clue:
Gold has already rejected major resistance (3,390–3,403) and is now pulling lower. Historically, EURUSD tends to follow when metals stall—especially if driven by real yields and Fed dynamics.
⚠️ Fundamentals to Watch:
🏦 FOMC Rate Decision & Dot Plot (June 12)
📈 US PPI + Jobless Claims (June 13)
💬 Fed Chair Powell's Press Conference
📰 Any shift in ECB or Fed rate cut timelines
🧠 Risk Factors:
Fed surprise dovish shift due to CPI softness
Market overreacts to rate cut expectations
Geopolitical risk-off flows favoring EUR
✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
EURUSD
Bearish
Fed holding firm vs. ECB easing bias
Fed turning dovish post-CPI (Top Risk)
FOMC Rate Decision, PPI, Powell
📌 Final Note:
Gold is leading the turn as dollar strength resurfaces. EURUSD may lag initially but the macro context favors downside from this key resistance zone. Watch the Fed for confirmation—positioning into 1.1268 and 1.1086 looks attractive if the dollar gains traction post-FOMC.
EUR/USD Rally Extends – Eyes on 1.20000 as Momentum BuildsHi Everyone,
As outlined in our analysis last week (idea linked below), EUR/USD continued to the upside and reached the 1.15240 level.
We expect price action to extend further toward the 1.16564 level, which would reinforce our long-term bullish outlook.
A confirmed break above this resistance would likely open the door for a move toward 1.18325, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance.
We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EURUSD - TIME TO SHORT Team, last time we have successfully SHORT the EURUSD and now we are back on it again
This time we have better short position
NOTE: Last few days we have been killing the UK100/FTSE100 with such great opportunity.
Please follow the PRICE target accordingly to the CHART
Target 1 1.147200 to 1.4650
Target 2 at 1.1455-1.1450
Once it reach the 1st Target take 50% profit
Good luck and enjoy the profit
Today's EUR/USD Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsThe EUR/USD is trading at the upper end of its recent range, having hit an intraday high of around 1.1440 and remaining near that level. The US Dollar strengthened in the early session due to optimism about the easing of Sino-US trade tensions, but later declined as European stocks fluctuated. Technically, the daily chart shows bulls remain in control, with the 20-day SMA rising gently at 1.1330. In the short term, the pair is range-bound around the 20-day SMA, yet to confirm a bullish breakout, while the 100-day and 200-day SMAs support the overall upward trend.
EUR/USD
buy@1.14200-1.14300
tp:1.14600-1.14900
EUR/USD – Bearish Setup with Potential Drop Toward 1.1285 and 1.EUR/USD is showing signs of exhaustion near the 1.1475 Fibonacci extension level (127.2%), with a completed five-wave impulse pattern likely followed by an ABC correction.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
A clear 5-wave Elliott structure suggests a top might be in.
Price is now losing momentum, indicating the start of a corrective move.
If selling continues, 1.12850 will be the first key level to watch.
A break below that could open the door for a deeper correction toward 1.12286.
📉 Momentum Support:
The Detrended Oscillator shows a loss of bullish momentum, aligning with the corrective structure expectation.
🔴 Invalidation:
A break back above 1.1475 would invalidate the bearish count and suggest trend continuation.
This setup favors short opportunities on breakdown confirmation with targets at the next major supports.
EURUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
Easing EU-U.S. trade tensions have provided support for the euro, though the stability of the eurozone's economic recovery remains uncertain—subsequent economic data will influence EUR dynamics. Markets are closely monitoring U.S. economic indicators and Federal Reserve policy: weak data or dovish signals could weaken the USD, benefiting EUR/USD.
Technical Analysis (4-Hour Chart):
MACD: Positive histogram shrinking, indicating diminishing bullish momentum and a non-trending market environment.
Price-Volume Divergence: Rising prices accompanied by declining trading volumes signal insufficient upward momentum.
KDJ: Reading of 95 suggests overbought conditions.
Key Levels: Resistance at 1.1461 (upper Bollinger Band), support at 1.1300.
Trading Recommendation:
Consider light long positions near 1.1350 on price retracement.
Trading Strategy:
buy@1.13500-1.13550
TP:1.14500-1.15000
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EUR/USD Potential buys from current zone or 1.12800My outlook for EU this week closely aligns with GU — both pairs are showing similar structure and direction. Price continues to form higher highs and higher lows, maintaining its bullish momentum.
Following the most recent break of structure to the upside, EU has now entered a 9H demand zone, where I’ll be watching for signs of accumulation and potential entry as the market opens on Monday.
If this current zone fails to hold, there’s a more discounted 9H demand zone just below, which could offer a cleaner long opportunity. Either way, both scenarios follow the pro trend, which adds conviction to the buy idea.
Confluences for EU Buys:
Price has broken structure to the upside and entered a clean 9H demand zone
There’s another refined 9H demand zone just below for additional confirmation
Plenty of upside liquidity remains untouched
Structure remains bullish on the higher timeframes, making this a pro trend setup
P.S. If price reacts well and continues pushing higher, I’ll be keeping an eye on the 7H supply zone above for any possible short-term bearish reaction.
Wishing everyone a successful and disciplined trading week ahead!
EURUSD - Look for Short (SWING) 1:2.5!Price has formed an ascending channel on the higher time frame, currently consolidating before potentially entering a distribution phase. A breakout could occur in either direction, but if the chart pattern plays out as expected, we may see a break below the key support level. Let’s aim for at least TP1.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
ECB Cuts Rates. EUR/USD Spikes to 1.5-Month HighECB Cuts Rates. EUR/USD Spikes to 1.5-Month High
Yesterday, as widely expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates for the eighth time since May 2024. According to ForexFactory, the main refinancing rate was lowered from 2.40% to 2.15% (having stood at 4.50% in May 2024).
According to Reuters:
→ ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that interest rates are now at a “good level”, despite the extremely high uncertainty caused by tariff threats from President Donald Trump.
→ Following the press conference, markets interpreted the message as a sign that the ECB is unlikely to cut rates again at its next meeting in July.
In response to the ECB's decision, the EUR/USD rate jumped to its highest level in a month and a half, but later retreated (as indicated by the arrow) back to previous levels.
Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart
Four days ago, while analysing the EUR/USD chart, we:
→ drew an ascending channel;
→ suggested that bullish momentum could push the EUR/USD rate up to the psychological level of 1.1500 during the current week.
In fact, at yesterday’s peak, the rate came very close to 1.1500. However, a candlestick with a long upper shadow had formed on the EUR/USD chart, by the end of the day. Additionally, this morning, the 1.1450 level has acted as a resistance zone.
This suggests bearish activity, which could pull the rate down towards the lower boundary of the local channel (outlined in black), and possibly even attempt a breakout below it.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD(20250605) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
U.S. economic data-① ADP employment increased by 37,000 in May, far below the expected 110,000 and the previous value of 62,000. ② The U.S. ISM non-manufacturing index in May fell to 49.9, shrinking for the first time in nearly a year, and the expected increase was from 51.6 to 52.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1401
Support and resistance levels:
1.1478
1.1449
1.1431
1.1372
1.1353
1.1324
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1431, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.1449
If the price breaks through 1.1401, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.1372
EUR/USD Awaits ECB Decision Near 1.1400 Amid Rate Cut BetsCMCMARKETS:EURUSD FX:EURUSD EUR/USD is consolidating above the 1.1400 psychological level as markets brace for the European Central Bank’s monetary policy announcement. The ECB is widely expected to cut its Deposit Facility Rate by 25bps to 2.00%, marking its seventh consecutive rate cut since June 2024.
Technically, the pair continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel, reflecting a broader bullish structure. Current price action is facing a minor resistance near 1.1421, which is the top of the short-term range and also a key trendline rejection zone. A clean breakout above this area could expose the monthly resistance near 1.1557.
However, if OANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD fails to breach this level initially, a pullback toward 1.1366 (channel base support) is possible before bulls regain control. The bullish setup remains valid as long as price holds above this support zone.
Traders should monitor the ECB press conference for signals on whether the central bank may pause further easing later this year.
Resistance : 1.1421 , 1.1557
Support : 1.1366 , 1.1250
EUR/USD Bearish Reversal Setup Analysis EUR/USD Bearish Reversal Setup Analysis 🧠💼
The chart presents a clear bearish outlook on EUR/USD, with well-defined resistance and support zones, along with a projected short-term price trajectory. Here's a professional breakdown:
🔍 Key Technical Highlights
🔵 Resistance Zone (~1.1400 - 1.1430)
Price recently tested this resistance area and formed multiple wicks, signaling strong seller presence.
A bullish liquidity grab is evident in the highlighted cyan box, suggesting a fake breakout before reversal.
🟡 Supply Zone / Order Block
The yellow box marks a previous consolidation area (potential order block), which was revisited and rejected — reinforcing bearish intent.
🔽 Current Price Action
Price is trading around 1.1378, having broken structure and failed to maintain momentum above the resistance.
Sharp rejections and bearish engulfing candles imply strong selling pressure.
🟢 Support Zone (~1.1230 - 1.1260)
This is a previous demand area where price rallied strongly.
The large blue projection box and arrow suggest a bearish continuation targeting this support region.
📉 Bias: Bearish
Structure: Lower highs forming after liquidity grab.
Price Action: Bearish engulfing after resistance rejection.
Market Sentiment: Sellers appear in control after failing bullish breakout attempt.
🎯 Trade Idea
Entry: After confirmed rejection from resistance (~1.1370–1.1385)
TP: Around 1.1240 (support zone)
SL: Above recent highs (~1.1420)
Risk/Reward: Favorable R:R as the setup targets a large swing down.
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Trims GainsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Trims Gains
EUR/USD started a downside correction from the 1.1450 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro struggled to clear the 1.1450 resistance and declined against the US Dollar.
- There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1395 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair gained pace for a move above the 1.1300 zone, as mentioned in the previous analysis. The Euro tested the 1.1450 resistance and recently corrected gains against the US Dollar.
The pair dipped below 1.1400. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1395. It even traded below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1209 swing low to the 1.1454 high.
The pair is showing some bearish signs, and upside potential might remain limited. Immediate resistance is near the 50-hour simple moving average at 1.1395.
The next major resistance is near the 1.1450 zone. An upside break above the 1.1450 level might send the pair toward the 1.1500 resistance. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.1550 level.
On the downside, immediate support on the EUR/USD chart is seen near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1209 swing low to the 1.1454 high at 1.1330. The next major support is near the 1.1300 level. A downside break below the 1.1300 support could send the pair toward the 1.1210 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD Trade Setup: Heres My Trade Plan!📈 EUR/USD Trade Outlook: Bullish Trend in Focus 🇪🇺💵
I'm currently watching EUR/USD, and it’s holding a strong bullish trend — with clear higher highs and higher lows across the board 🔁. On the 4-hour timeframe, price has pulled back into equilibrium, and I’m eyeing a potential buy opportunity if the structure continues to hold 🛒.
📚 Looking at historical price action, this setup has played out reliably in the past. That said, it's important to acknowledge that deeper pullbacks can occur — often sweeping liquidity below previous lows before resuming the trend 💧.
⚠️ This is a real risk, so consider conservative position sizing and always manage your risk appropriately.
💬 Drop a comment below if you're watching this setup too — I’d love to hear your take!
❗️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only. Please do your own analysis and trade responsibly.
Euro Pulls Back – Eyes on ECB and Tariff TurmoilCMCMARKETS:EURUSD FX:EURUSD EUR/USD pulled back from a six-week high of 1.1454 to trade near 1.1379, down 0.52% on Tuesday, as strong U.S. labor market data and revived trade tensions lifted the dollar. April JOLTS job openings rose to 7.39M, beating expectations, signaling a resilient U.S. economy despite a 3.7% drop in factory orders.
In parallel, Trump’s announcement to double tariffs on steel and aluminum has reignited trade war concerns. Markets are also watching for a potential Trump–Xi call later this week.
Meanwhile, the Euro lost ground after May HICP inflation in the Eurozone fell to 1.9%, below the ECB’s 2% target. With core inflation slowing as well, markets have priced in a 25 bps rate cut at Thursday’s ECB meeting.
Technically, OANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD is still trading within a rising channel but rejected key minor resistance zone just below the descending trendline. A confirmed breakout above this area could open the path toward monthly resistance near 1.1559. On the downside, Support Zone 1 (around 1.1375) must hold to maintain the bullish bias; further weakness may expose Support Zone 2 (around 1.1338)
Resistance : 1.1445 , 1.1559
Support : 1.1375 , 1.1338
EURUSD on 3rd May 2025By looking at EURUSD in 4h timeframe, it is trading on very strong zone as it became support now due to yesterday breakout. Also there is uptrend trendline which is acting as strong support, if it breaks our next target will be down to 1.12490 and 1.12930. if this support holds then price may surge in upward direction. Need to wait till breakout in downward.
Key point.
Support - 1.14190, 1.13600, 1.13152
Resistance - 1.14906, 1.15440
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EUR/USD 4H Chart Analysis – May 29, 2025🔍 Market Structure Overview
Current Price: 1.12753
Key Zone: Price is hovering at a critical resistance-turned-support area.
🧱 Key Levels
Resistance Zone: 1.15639 (🔝 Main Target)
Support Zone: 1.10736 (🔻 Main Target)
Intermediate Zones:
Target One (Bullish): 1.14139 📈
Target One (Bearish): 1.11687 📉
🔄 Scenario Outlook
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If price holds above the 1.1275 zone, we could see a climb towards:
1.14139 (minor target)
1.15639 (major resistance & final target)
🚀 Breakout above could indicate continuation of higher highs.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Failure to hold above 1.1275 could push price lower:
First support at 1.11687
Final drop towards 1.10736 support zone
🪓 Breakdown could confirm lower low structure.
🧠 Conclusion
This is a decision point zone. Wait for confirmation before jumping in. A strong bullish or bearish candle at this level will dictate the next move. Risk management is key here! 🎯