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Eurusdtrend

EURUSD FORMED BEARISH PENNANT. THE PRICE IS READY TO DROP.EURUSD FORMED BEARISH PENNANT. THE PRICE IS READY TO DROP. EURUSD has been trading sideways within the last day, showing lower highs and higher lows. Eventually, the price has formed the pennant chart pattern. What is a pennant? A pennant chart pattern is a short-term continuation pattern in technical analysis, resembling a small symmetrical triangle, formed after a strong price movement (flagpole). It consists of converging trendlines, indicating a brief consolidation before the trend resumes. Bullish pennants form after an uptrend, bearish pennants after a downtrend. The price is expected to decline towards 1.14500 support level
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
1
EURUSD 4H AnalysisAfter a strong bearish move, EURUSD has now tapped into the PD Low and shown a reaction. Structure remains bearish, but current price action near 1.1400 could lead to short-term retracement. 🔍 Key Levels: PD High – 1.1560: Strong supply zone, key bearish continuation level 1.1500–1.1450: Broken support, may now act as resistance PD Low – 1.1400: Demand zone, current price reacting from here 📌 Potential Scenarios: Short-Term Bounce from PD Low: Price reacting from 1.1400 demand. Intraday retracement toward 1.1470–1.1500 possible. Watch for bullish price action confirmation on lower timeframes. Bearish Continuation if price retests 1.1500–1.1550: Ideal area to look for fresh shorts. Continuation move could target 1.1350 or lower. 🎯 Bias: Still bearish unless we break and hold above 1.1560 (PD High). Patience is key. Let price test zone and wait for clear reaction before committing.
by srj_fxtrader
EUR/USD Hits Lowest Level Since Early JulyEUR/USD Hits Lowest Level Since Early July As the EUR/USD chart indicates today, the euro has fallen below the 1.1550 mark against the US dollar, reaching the lows of June 2025. As a result, July may become the first month in 2025 to record a decline in the currency pair. Why Is EUR/USD Declining? There are two key factors driving the euro’s weakness relative to the US dollar: → Anticipation of the Federal Reserve Meeting. At 21:00 GMT+3 today, the Fed’s interest rate decision will be released. According to Forex Factory, analysts expect the Federal Funds Rate to remain unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%. → Market Reaction to the US-EU Trade Agreement. The trade deal signed last weekend between the United States and Europe is being critically assessed by market participants. As noted in our Monday analysis, signs of a bearish takeover emerged on the chart following the agreement’s signing. Since then, EUR/USD has declined by approximately 1.3%. The question now is whether the downtrend will continue. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart The upward channel that had remained valid since mid-May was decisively broken by bears this week. The nature of the breakout (highlighted by the red arrow) was particularly aggressive, with the price dropping from the 1.1710 level to the D point low without any meaningful interim recoveries. Key observations include: → The drop has resulted in a classic bearish A-B-C-D market structure, characterised by lower highs and lower lows. → On the 4-hour timeframe, the RSI indicator has fallen into oversold territory, reaching its lowest point of 2025 so far. → Notably (as highlighted by the blue arrow), there was a strong rebound from the 1.1455 support level earlier. Bulls demonstrated significant strength at that time, breaking through the R resistance line. Given these factors, we could assume that after this week’s sharp decline, EUR/USD may attempt a short-term recovery from the support zone (highlighted in purple). Should this scenario unfold, potential resistance may emerge near the 1.1630 level, as this area aligns with: → The 50% Fibonacci retracement of the C→D decline; → The breakout point of the lower boundary of the previous ascending channel, indicating a shift in market balance in favour of the bears. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Dips FurtherMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Dips Further EUR/USD extended losses and traded below the 1.1600 support. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro struggled to clear the 1.1800 resistance and declined against the US Dollar. - There is a key downward channel forming with resistance at 1.1575 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair failed to clear the 1.1800 resistance. The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.1720 support against the US Dollar. The pair declined below the 1.1660 support and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.1520 level. A low was formed at 1.1519 and the pair is now consolidating losses. The market is showing bearish signs, and the upsides might remain capped. There was a minor increase toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1770 swing high to the 1.1519 low. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 1.1575 level. There is also a key downward channel forming with resistance at 1.1575. The next major resistance is near the 1.1665 zone and the 50-hour simple moving average or the 50% Fib retracement level. The main resistance sits near the 1.1770 level. An upside break above the 1.1770 level might send the pair towards 1.1800. Any more gains might open the doors for a move towards 1.1850. On the downside, immediate support on the EUR/USD chart is seen near 1.1520. The next major support is near the 1.1465 level. A downside break below 1.1465 could send the pair towards 1.1350. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
EURUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H timeframe, price has entered the green demand zone (1H FVG) around 1.1480 – 1.1520 after a strong bearish leg. We're expecting a bullish retracement from this zone, aiming toward the upper red FVG/OB zone around 1.1690 – 1.1715. 📌 There are two key scenarios: 1️⃣ Scenario 1: Price starts moving up from the green FVG → reaches red FVG zone → short setup after lower timeframe confirmation 2️⃣ Scenario 2: Price makes an initial move to ~1.1620 → pulls back to the green zone → pushes back up into the red OB → short setup on confirmation 🎯 Final target for both scenarios: a break below the green FVG zone and continuation down ✅ Entry only after confirmation from lower timeframes (3M–15M) ❌ No trades without confirmation
by ProfitaminFX
EURUSD - STRONGEST DECLINE FOR THE LAST COUPLE OF MONTHSEURUSD - STRONGEST DECLINE FOR THE LAST COUPLE OF MONTHS EURUSD has lost 1.32% yesterday on the U.S. - E.U. trade deal. Experts suggest that the relief felt by the United States and the European Union upon reaching a trade agreement has been overshadowed by worries about the potential economic harm caused by a 15% tariff on EU imports. The dollar has recently experienced a positive trend, and this trend could continue if U.S. economic data, including Friday's employment figures, indicates a strong economy. The investors who had previously made substantial bets on the euro's appreciation are now reversing their positions, causing the euro to weaken. Technically, the asset broke down the local trendline and is currently trying to rebound from the local support level of 1.15800. RSI tells us that the asset is oversold, so the most possible outcome here is the EURUSD to rebound from current level, retest former trendline and continues downwards movement.
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint Bear Strike Activated!💣🎯Operation Fiber Down: EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint (Day Trade Edition) 💰🔫 🚨 Thieves, Hustlers & Chart Bandits Assemble! 🚨 🌍 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌍 Welcome back to another Thief Trading Operation, where the money never sleeps—and neither do we. Let’s break into the vault of EUR/USD “The Fiber” with surgical precision. 🧠💼🕶️ 🧨 THE MASTER ROBBERY PLAN: EUR/USD SHORT STRIKE 🔍💸 💀 Market Bias: Bearish – Trend Reversal + Supply Trap Setup 🎯 Target: 1.14600 🛑 Stop-Loss: Near Swing High (around 1.16700 – 4H chart view) 🕓 Timeframe Focus: 15m / 30m / 3H 🧭 ENTRY ZONE: 👣 Plan your entry from recent high retests—that’s where the big money bulls get trapped. 🎯 Use Sell Limit Orders (DCA style / Layered Limit Orders) like a true thief setting up tripwires. 💼 RISK STRATEGY: 💡 SL should match your lot size and order count—not one-size-fits-all! 📌 Place above key structure or swing level (e.g. 1.16700) based on timeframe. 🔍 BEHIND THE SCENES – THE WHY: The EUR/USD "Fiber" pair is showing all the classic signs of a trend shift and bear raid setup, including: 📰 Fundamentals weakening the Euro 💣 COT Report reveals institutional exits 🍂 Seasonal Bias points to downward trend 📉 Intermarket Pressure from bond yields & USD strength 📊 Sentiment turning overly bullish = trap zone ⛽ Storage & Inventory imbalances adding fuel 📌 Reminder: Before any robbery, study the layout—Macro, Fundamentals, Sentiment, and Intermarket are your blueprint. 🚨 HEIST ALERT – PROTECT THE LOOT: 🕰️ High-Impact News Events? Tighten up! 💼 Don’t take fresh entries during releases. 🔐 Use Trailing SLs to lock in profits. 🎯 Exit with grace before the sirens start. ⚡🔥JOIN THE CREW, BOOST THE LOOT🔥⚡ 💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥 if you're vibing with the Thief Trading Movement. We ain’t just trading—we’re executing strategic robberies on the market’s weaknesses. 🧠💪 Every like = more power to the crew. Every comment = a new map to a vault. We rob, retreat, and repeat. Let’s make money with skill, not luck. 🕶️💰🚁 ⚠️ LEGAL COVER (For the Lawyers 😏): This plan is not investment advice, just an organized heist blueprint by chart robbers. Always manage your own risk and update your plan as the market evolves. 🕶️ Stay ready for the next master plan... Until then, keep your charts clean and your stops tight. 🕶️💣📉 – Thief Trader Out 🐱‍👤🚀
Short
by The-Thief
Analysis on the DXY – EURUSD RelationshipHello traders, Here’s an analysis that can be useful for both short-term and swing trades on EURUSD and DXY. Our trading team’s calculations are as follows: Analysis on the DXY – EURUSD Relationship Currently, DXY is at 98.200. Historical statistical data indicate that if DXY declines toward 96.300, there is approximately a **1.55% probability of an upward move** in EURUSD. Based on this scenario: Current EURUSD level: 1.16500 Projected target level:1.1830 While the correlation data show a strong inverse relationship, it’s important to note that periodic deviations can occur in the market. Therefore, this analysis should be considered a statistical projection only, not a guaranteed outcome.
TVC:DXYShort
by Nurlan_PT
1
Europe and the US Sign Trade Agreement, EUR/USD DeclinesEurope and the US Sign Trade Agreement, EUR/USD Declines The past weekend was marked by the official signing of a trade agreement between the United States and Europe, as announced by US President Donald Trump and President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen following their meeting in Scotland. According to reports, the agreement is based on a 15% baseline tariff on goods exported from Europe to the United States, with certain exemptions. As previously reported, a trade agreement with a 15% baseline tariff had earlier been concluded between the US and Japan. According to President Trump: → under no circumstances did he allow the baseline tariff for Europe to fall below 15%; → the European Union committed to investing in the US economy, purchasing weapons, and importing energy resources. The financial markets’ reaction to this news is noteworthy: → European stock indices opened the week with a bullish gap, reflecting relief that previously feared tariffs of up to 30% did not materialise; → the EUR/USD pair is exhibiting bearish momentum this morning. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart As indicated by the black arrow, bearish sentiment intensified on Monday morning, pushing the pair towards the 1.1700 level, which had previously acted as resistance in mid-July. From the perspective of the ascending channel (shown in blue), its median line is currently acting as a resistance level – following contact with it, a short-term rally was broken (highlighted in purple). This reinforces the notion that bears are currently in control. Given the above, we could suggest that, should bearish sentiment persist on the EUR/USD chart, we may soon witness an attempt to break through the 1.1700 support level. A successful breach could open the path for further downside movement of the euro against the dollar, towards the lower boundary of the channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H timeframe, price is moving strongly towards the 1H supply zone (around 1.1780), and it is likely to reach this area first before pulling back. During the pullback, the blue FVG and green OB zones below are key areas for potential long entries: 🔹 FVG 1H around 1.1660 🔹 OB 1H around 1.1620 🔹 OB 1H around 1.1580 📌 Plan: 1️⃣ If the price reaches the upper supply zone, we will look for short scalps with confirmation on the lower timeframe (5M/3M). 2️⃣ After the pullback to lower zones, we will look for long opportunities with PA confirmation. 🎯 Long targets after pullback: 1.1700 – 1.1720, potentially 1.1750. ❌ No entry without confirmation.
by ProfitaminFX
10
EUR/USD Short from the nearby 1hrI’m currently more confident in EU’s bearish setup compared to GU, as price is nearing a clear point of interest (POI) that aligns well with the developing downtrend. The 2hr supply zone has already caused a CHoCH (Change of Character), and price has been approaching it slowly and with reduced momentum — often a strong indication of an upcoming reaction. While price isn’t near a demand zone yet, I’ll be keeping an eye on the 7hr demand zone below. If price reaches that area, I’ll be looking for a high-probability buy setup in line with the broader market context. Confluences for EU Sells: Price has tapped into a 2hr supply zone that caused a CHoCH to the downside Bearish pressure remains strong, supported by DXY strength Clean liquidity to the downside that needs to be swept Slowing momentum and signs of distribution as price approaches supply P.S. If price continues lower from this point, I anticipate another break of structure, which could form a new supply zone to work with later this week. Let’s stay patient, follow the flow, and execute smart. 🔥📉💼
Short
by Hassan_fx
ECB Interest Rate Decision: What to Expect and How Could React📊 ECB Interest Rate Decision: What to Expect and How EURUSD Could React This week’s spotlight is on the European Central Bank (ECB) Interest Rate Decision — a key market driver that could shape the near-term direction of the euro and broader European markets. Here's what to expect. 👇 🔔 Key Event to Watch 📅 ECB Interest Rate Decision 🕐 Date: July 24 ⏰ Time: 12:15 p.m. UTC 📉 Forecast: Hold at 2.15% 📌 Economic Context The European Central Bank is expected to hold interest rates steady on Thursday, likely marking the end of its current easing cycle after eight consecutive cuts that brought borrowing costs to their lowest levels since November 2022. 🔒 Main refinancing rate: 2.15% 💰 Deposit facility rate: 2.00% Policymakers are likely to adopt a wait-and-see approach as they monitor the impact of persistent trade uncertaintyand potential U.S. tariffs on economic growth and inflation. Adding to the cautious stance, inflation finally reached the ECB’s 2% target in June, and is now forecast to dip belowthat level later this year. This drop is expected to be sustained over the next 18 months, driven by: A strong euro 💶 Falling energy prices 🛢️ Cheaper imports from China 🇨🇳 Markets are currently pricing in just one more rate cut by December, with around a 50% probability of that happening in September, before a possible tightening cycle resumes in late 2026. 📈 EURUSD Technical Outlook EURUSD has been trading within a descending channel since early July. However, it recently rebounded from trendline support, backed by bullish RSI divergence. The pair is approaching a breakout above the 1-hour SMA200, signaling a potential continuation of the uptrend. 🔼 A minor pullback is possible before a stronger move Bullish momentum may continue if resistance is cleared 🎯 Target range: 1.18250 – 1.18300 🧩 Summary The ECB is likely to keep rates unchanged at 2.15%, adopting a cautious tone amid easing inflation and global trade risks. This outcome could support the euro, particularly if U.S. rate expectations soften. With technical indicators aligning with fundamental stability, EURUSD may be setting up for a bullish continuationin the coming sessions. 📊💶
by ProfessorSingapore
EUR/USD Rises to 2.5-Week High Ahead of ECB MeetingEUR/USD Rises to 2.5-Week High Ahead of ECB Meeting Today at 15:15 GMT+3, the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its interest rate decision, followed by a press conference at 15:45 GMT+3. According to Forex Factory, the main refinancing rate is expected to remain unchanged at 2.15% after seven consecutive cuts. In anticipation of these events, the EUR/USD exchange rate has risen above the 1.1770 level for the first time since 7 July. Bullish sentiment is also being supported by expectations of a potential trade agreement between the United States and the European Union. According to Reuters, both sides are reportedly moving towards a deal that may include a 15% base tariff on EU goods entering the US, with certain exemptions. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair has shown bullish momentum since June, resulting in the formation of an ascending channel (marked in blue). Within this channel, the price has rebounded from the lower boundary (highlighted in purple), although the midline of the blue channel appears to be acting as resistance (as indicated by the arrow), slowing further upward movement. It is reasonable to assume that EUR/USD may attempt to stabilise around the midline—where demand and supply typically reach equilibrium. However, today’s market is unlikely to remain calm. In addition to the ECB’s statements, volatility could be heightened by news surrounding Donald Trump’s unexpected visit to the Federal Reserve. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD IS ON ITS WAY TO LOCAL HIGHSEURUSD IS ON ITS WAY TO LOCAL HIGHS EURUSD successfully rebounded from local support of 1.16000 and since then continues to rise towards local resistance of 1.18300. Recently the price has started to show the bearish divergence on RSI and Macd indicators. MACD went into the red zone. What is the bearish divergence? Bearish divergence is a technical analysis pattern where the price makes higher highs in an uptrend, but a momentum indicator (e.g., RSI, MACD) forms lower highs, signaling weakening bullish momentum and a potential downward reversal. To trade, identify the divergence in a clear uptrend with the indicator showing lower highs (e.g., RSI above 70). Sell or short when the price confirms a reversal (e.g., breaks below a support level or trendline) with increased volume. Set a stop-loss above the recent high. Target the next support level. Generally speaking, it doesn't necessarily mean that EURUSD will drop immediately, the price may even grow a bit. However, it highlights some short opportunities.
by ProfessorSingapore
EURUSDHello traders, I've been closely monitoring the **EURUSD** pair for a while, and it’s now offering an ideal entry opportunity. It has presented several great setups for swing trading, and I’d like to share one of them with you today. 🔍 **Trade Details** ✔️ **Timeframe**: H4/D ✔️ **Risk-to-Reward Ratio**: 1:4.22 ✔️ **Trade Direction**: Buy ✔️ **Entry Price**: 1.17281 ✔️ **Take Profit**: 1.18997 ✔️ **Stop Loss**: 1.16874 🔔 **Disclaimer**: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Long
by Nurlan_PT
EURUSD Breaks Bullish Structure – Here’s My Trade Plan📍 Watching EURUSD closely—it's recently broken bullish (market structure) on the daily timeframe 📈. I’m now waiting for a retrace into a fair value gap, watching for the rebalance and a possible support zone touch before the next leg up 🔄🟢. 🎥 In this idea, I walk you through: 🔍 Price action 🧱 Market structure 📊 Trend direction 📋 And my personal trade plan for this setup Not financial advice ❌💼
Long
by fxtraderanthony