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Fibonacci

GOLD → Hunting for liquidity before continued growthFX:XAUUSD has been correcting since the start of the session. The fundamental background is complicated due to the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. The price of gold briefly retreated from a two-month high above $3,450 amid a recovery in the dollar and investor caution. Escalating tensions between Israel and Iran are dampening risk appetite, while markets await decisions from the Fed and the Bank of Japan. Expectations of a dovish Fed continue to support interest in gold, but fresh impetus is needed for further gains. Technically, the market is bullish. Gold is forming a correction to the key support and liquidity zone amid an uptrend. The price is within the range, and a retest of 3400 could trigger growth. Support levels: 3408, 3400 Resistance levels: 3446, 3500 A retest of support and liquidity capture amid the current challenging situation (high interest in the metal) and a bullish trend could support the price, allowing gold to continue its growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
26
GOLD → Bear pressure. Area of interest: 3340–3306FX:XAUUSD continues to decline under pressure from sell-offs. However, the situation is interesting overall, as there is conflicting data and unexpected price behavior is surprising the market... On Tuesday, gold is trying to regain the $3,400 level after pulling back from highs, but it is still facing selling pressure and returning to $3,377. The market reaction to the $3,377 level is quite weak, and if the price starts to stick to support, this will lead to a further decline. The dollar is strengthening as a safe-haven currency, holding back gold's growth. The markets are focused on the outcome of the Fed and Bank of Japan meetings, as well as US retail sales data. Any dovish signals from the Fed could support gold and weaken the dollar. Technically, on D1, gold is returning below the 3382 level (selling zone) and testing 3377. The reaction to the false breakout of support is weak, and the price is forming a pre-breakdown consolidation relative to 3377. There are clear areas of interest that could lure the price before the news. For example, 3343, 3306, 3245. Resistance levels: 3382, 3403. Support levels: 3377, 3339, 3320 The bearish structure will be broken if the price strengthens to 3403 and consolidates above that level. This will reinforce buyers' expectations, which could lead to growth. At the moment, I would expect two scenarios: price consolidation within 3377-3403. But technically, the chart shows that there is bearish pressure in the market. The price continues to storm the support level of 3377, which may not hold up against another retest. A break 3377 could lead to a fall to the areas of interest at 3339-3306. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12
NXPCUSDT → The coin is being killed. Searching for a new bottomNXPCUSDT is testing the bottom at 1.1675 while Bitcoin and the top 10 cryptocurrencies are in a global/local bullish trend... NXPCUSDT is showing its weakness in the cryptocurrency market. There is no potential or driver for the coin, and it continues to be killed... Against the backdrop of a growing market and Bitcoin forming a bullish trend, the NXPC coin is testing the bottom... After a strong and long-term decline, the NXPC coin is forming a flat (consolidation) in the range of 1.5637 - 1.1675. A pre-breakdown base is forming relative to support, which could lead to the price breaking out of consolidation downwards... Resistance levels: 1.2532 Support levels: 1.1675 Focus on support for the range and bottom in the current coin at 1.1675. This is a risk zone and a panic zone. If the price breaks out of this consolidation, there are no obstacles below and the fall could be aggressive. A breakout of the consolidation support could trigger a continuation of the rally or a decline with the aim of forming a new bottom... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
TOTALCAP — The Next Trillion Crypto Move: Are You Ready?When people analyse the crypto market, they often default to Bitcoin and for good reason. It’s the one and only, the king. But sometimes, to see the forest instead of just the tree, you need to zoom out and study the broader picture. That’s where the Crypto Total Market Cap (TOTALCAP) chart comes in. It’s essentially the mirror of Bitcoin, but it offers powerful macro insight — not just price, but scale. Looking at trillions instead of dollars changes how you frame support, resistance, and overall sentiment. Let’s dive in. 🧠 Why TOTALCAP Matters TOTALCAP aggregates the value of every coin and token — the complete valuation of the entire crypto industry. And while it often moves in sync with Bitcoin, it carries a different weight. Shows the “big picture” of institutional and retail money flow Offers clearly defined round-number zones (Trillions) as psychological S/R Removes coin-specific anomalies and focuses on collective momentum In bull and bear markets, these trillion-dollar thresholds act like major checkpoints. Watching how TOTALCAP interacts with these levels can give early signals that BTC or alts alone can’t. Historical Key Levels & Structure Let’s break it down by macro phases: ✅ November 2021 — Peak of Last Bull Market: TOTALCAP peaked exactly at $3 Trillion. This level acted as a ceiling — once hit, the market reversed sharply. This marked the top of the 5-wave impulsive move (Elliott Wave theory). 📉 November 2022 — Bear Market Bottom: TOTALCAP dropped below $1 Trillion, bottoming at $727 Billion. This was almost a 0.786 fib retracement from peak — similar to BTC’s historical retracements. The $1T mark was retested as resistance before being reclaimed as support. 📈 2023–2025 — The Bull Awakens: $1 Trillion flipped into solid support throughout 2023. A clear sign the macro market structure had shifted bullish. Once $2T was breached, things moved fast. 🚀 Current State: The market surged above the previous $3T ceiling. TOTALCAP has hit a new ATH: $3.73 Trillion Now, the question is: Is this the start of a new leg higher, or a bull trap before a correction? 🔍 Fibonacci Confluences — Why $3.7T Was Key The sharp rejection at $3.7T wasn’t random. It aligns with: 1.0 Trend-Based Fib Extension: From 91.24B → 3T high → 727B low = 1.0 = 3.65T ✅ precise hit 1.272 Fib Extension of the macro move Upper Pitchfork Resistance Channel Top Rejection → All signals converged to mark that level as major resistance 🌀 Elliott Wave Macro Count Looking at the weekly timeframe, we can see a clear impulsive 5-wave movement from the 2022 lows: Wave 1: $727B → $1.26T Wave 2: Correction to $975B ($1T) (support confirmed) Wave 3: Massive rally toward $2.72T Wave 4: Pullback toward $1.69T (VWAP retest) Wave 5: $3.73T ATH What does this imply? According to classical Elliott Wave theory, after a full 5-wave move, the market tends to enter an corrective phase. 🔍 Some key levels to watch: $3T: Historical S/R (was the 2021 top, now acting as a key level) $2.31T: Recent swing low $2T: Psychological and structural support 📌 Zone of Interest for Longs: $2.31T–$2T This zone holds: Previous consolidation zone from mid-2024 Fib retracement confluence Likely forming Wave C bottom if this is a full ABC 🎯 Upside Targets — What If We Continue Higher? Looking ahead: 🔸 1.618–1.666 Fib Extension = $4.42T–$4.53T 🔸 1.618 TBFE from previous cycle = ~$5.45T 📌 Rounded Targets: $4.5T, $5T and $5.5T These are the next likely macro cycle targets — but only after a healthy correction and consolidation. ☀️ Macro Context & Summer Seasonality Historically, summer tends to be a weaker period: Lower volume Institutional rebalancing Geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty 📚 Educational Insight: TOTALCAP as a Tool Treat TOTALCAP like the S&P500 of crypto. Use round trillions as psychological levels: 1T, 2T, 3T, etc. Always check if BTC’s price is aligned with where TOTALCAP is on the macro structure Helps judge market strength even when BTC dominance is shifting It’s especially useful when altcoins pump or dump out of sync with BTC — you can use TOTALCAP to track the real flow of money. 💡 Final Thoughts We are likely in a corrective phase after a complete 5-wave cycle. The area between $2.31T and $2T offers high-probability long entries Watching how TOTALCAP reacts to these levels will help us anticipate the broader market’s next move Summer slowdown could mean chop — but this also creates opportunities 💬 Let me know your thoughts: Are we entering a deeper correction? Or will TOTALCAP surprise us with a new leg higher? Don’t forget to zoom out. The charts always tell the story. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALShort
by SiDec
4
Gold (XAUUSD) Market Outlook - Long Term TrendGold (XAUUSD) Market Outlook: Bullish Trend, Critical Resistance, and Macro Drivers Technical Analysis: Looking at the daily timeframe, Gold has been absolutely on fire. Overall Trend and Market Structure: • Strong Uptrend: We've seen a remarkably robust and sustained uptrend for Gold since late 2024. It's a textbook example of a healthy rally, consistently printing higher highs and higher lows. This bullish momentum is clear as day, with the candles comfortably riding above that rising blue trendline channel. • Trendline Support: That prominent blue diagonal band has been a fantastic dynamic support. Gold has bounced off this trendline multiple times (you can spot those green circles), which really solidifies its strength and confirms it as a key support level for this rally. Key Resistance Level: • All Time Resistance 3,500: Gold's currently bumping up against a major hurdle: its "All Time Resistance" zone right around 3,500, marked in red. This isn't just a number; it's a huge psychological and technical barrier. Price has poked at this level a few times lately, suggesting there's some serious selling pressure or profit-taking happening up there. A clean, decisive break and close above 3,500 would be a massive bullish signal, likely opening the door to new, uncharted price discovery. Key Support Levels: • Fibonacci Golden Level + Breakout Retest Level (3117 to 3167): Now, if we see a pullback, this grey rectangular zone looks like a crucial area of confluence for support. o Fibonacci Golden Level: This zone perfectly aligns with the 0.618 and 0.71 Fibonacci retracement levels (pulled from that big swing up from the initial low). These are well-known as powerful support and resistance points. o Breakout Retest: What makes it even stronger is the idea of a "breakout retest." It suggests a previous resistance level that Gold powered through is now expected to act as solid support if tested from above. It’s a classic chart pattern we always look for. o This entire zone is definitely a critical area to watch if price starts correcting. A strong bounce from here would keep the bullish structure perfectly intact, but a break below it would signal a deeper correction. • Point of Control (2900 to 3000): This broader grey zone, with the orange line highlighting the exact Point of Control (POC), tells us where the most trading volume occurred over this period (check out the Volume Profile on the left). It's a high-liquidity zone, meaning a lot of buyers and sellers found agreement there in the past. If Gold were to see a more significant correction, this area would likely offer very robust support, simply because so many market participants have a vested interest at these levels. Volume Profile: • Glancing at the volume profile on the left, it neatly shows us where the trading action has been heaviest. The big hump around 2900-3000, marked as the "Point of Control," really emphasizes just how important that support area is. What's interesting is the relatively lower volume as we've moved higher, suggesting less resistance on the way up. But if we fall back towards the POC, expect to see trading activity really pick up again. Price Action & Candlestick Patterns: • The candlestick patterns consistently show powerful bullish pushes followed by more measured pullbacks. Right now, near the All-Time Resistance, we're seeing some consolidation or perhaps a bit of indecision. The bulls are certainly trying to push through, but they're clearly meeting some stiff resistance. • That "$" label near the trendline? That often points to areas where liquidity, like clusters of stop-losses or pending orders, might have been "swept" by larger players – a concept often discussed in Smart Money Concepts (SMC). ________________________________________ Fundamental Factors & Macro Impact: This strong, persistent bullish trend in Gold isn't just random; it's being supercharged by a mix of powerful fundamental and macroeconomic forces: 1. Safe-Haven Demand: o Geopolitical Tensions: Look around the world – ongoing conflicts like the Russia-Ukraine war and Middle East tensions, plus general geopolitical instability, are sending investors straight to safe havens like gold. It's seen as the ultimate store of value when the world feels unpredictable. o Economic Uncertainty: There’s a lingering sense of unease about the global economy, whispers of potential recessions, and general market volatility. All of this naturally increases gold's appeal. o Banking Sector Stability: Any fresh concerns about the health of the financial system or regional banking troubles can instantly boost gold's allure as a secure asset. 2. Inflation Hedge: o While inflation has eased a bit from its peak, it's still proving quite stubborn in many major economies, higher than what central banks would prefer. Gold has a long history as a reliable hedge against inflation; it tends to hold its value or even increase when fiat currencies lose purchasing power. 3. Central Bank Buying Spree: o This is a massive, often under-appreciated, driver. Central banks, especially those in emerging markets, have been aggressively buying gold. They're looking to diversify their foreign exchange reserves away from the US Dollar, reduce their reliance on Western financial systems, and simply add another layer of protection against global risks. This consistent, institutional demand provides a very strong underlying bid for gold. 4. Interest Rate Expectations & US Dollar Weakness: o Federal Reserve Policy: Gold typically moves in the opposite direction of real (inflation-adjusted) interest rates and the strength of the US Dollar. o Rate Cut Anticipation: Markets are increasingly pricing in interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and other major central banks. When interest rates are expected to fall, holding non-yielding gold becomes much more attractive compared to assets that pay less interest. The opportunity cost of gold goes down. o Weaker US Dollar: A softer US Dollar makes gold cheaper for anyone holding other currencies, which naturally boosts demand. Persistent concerns about the US national debt and fiscal health can also put pressure on the dollar, thereby supporting gold. 5. Global De-dollarization Efforts: o This also supports in terms of De-dollarization or reducing the country’s dependence on the US Dollar for international trade and as a reserve currency. Gold plays a significant role in this strategic shift, adding another layer to its demand. ________________________________________ Conclusion & Outlook: Gold (XAUUSD) is absolutely in a powerful, well-established bullish trend, having racked up some impressive gains since late 2024. Right now, it's staring down its "All Time Resistance" at 3,500 – a truly critical moment. • Bullish Scenario: If we see a decisive breakout and a sustained close above 3,500, it would confirm incredibly strong bullish momentum. This could easily lead to a swift move into new, uncharted territories. We'd expect this to be fueled by ongoing safe-haven demand, continued aggressive central bank buying, and/or growing conviction that significant rate cuts are on the horizon. • Correction Scenario: On the flip side, a strong rejection from that 3,500 resistance could trigger a correction. We'd likely see it head back towards the trendline support, and possibly even that "Fibonacci Golden Level + Breakout Retest Level" zone (3117-3167). As long as these key support levels hold firm, the overall bullish structure stays perfectly intact. However, a clear break below that golden zone would signal a deeper pullback, with the "Point of Control" (2900-3000) waiting as the ultimate strong support. From a fundamental perspective, the broader macroeconomic landscape – thinking about geopolitical tensions, persistent inflation concerns, the insatiable central bank demand, and the future path of monetary policy – continues to lean very much in gold's favor. Going forward, traders and investors will be keeping a very close eye on central bank statements, inflation reports, and any new geopolitical developments for the next big cues on Gold's direction. Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ManiMarkets
4
BTC Approaching Key Confluence Zone: Pivot + PRZ + LiquidationsBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) appears to have broken the Support lines and is currently declining . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a corrective wave C . The corrective wave structure is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect Bitcoin to start rising again from the Support zone($104,380-$103,660) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($104,471-$103,124) , Monthly Pivot Point , Support line , and 50_SMA(Daily) , and the small CME Gap($106,190-$106,150) will also fill. Note: Stop Loss: $102,520 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
4
Bitcoin– bearish momentum builds after rejection at $109KIntroduction Bitcoin (BTC) is currently showing weakness after forming a lower high at $109,000. This level acted as a significant point of rejection, and since then, BTC has been moving lower. The price has broken through key support areas, indicating a possible shift in market structure. In this analysis, we’ll break down the recent price action, explain the technical signals behind the move, and discuss what could be expected in the short term. Rejection from the 0.786 Fibonacci Level The rejection at the $109,000 level aligns perfectly with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement on the 4-hour timeframe. This level is often seen as a strong resistance point during corrective moves, and in this case, it held firmly. The precision of this rejection gives it more weight, and since hitting that point, BTC has been steadily declining. This move down suggests that buyers were unable to push through the resistance, leading to increased selling pressure. Break of the 4H Bullish FVG As BTC started its decline from $109,000, it broke through the bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) that had formed earlier on the 4-hour chart. This gap previously served as a support zone but has now been decisively broken with strong volume. The loss of this level is significant, as it marks a breakdown of the bullish structure and opens the door for further downside movement. In the process of this move lower, BTC has created a new bearish FVG on the 4-hour timeframe. This gap remains open and could potentially act as a magnet for price to revisit, offering a possible short entry if price retraces into that zone. However, the clear break below the previous bullish FVG indicates a shift in momentum and supports a more bearish bias for now. Downside Target at $102.7K Given the recent breakdown, the next key level to watch is around $102,700. This area marks the wick low on the 4-hour timeframe and stands out due to the size and sharpness of the wick. Such large wicks often leave behind unfilled orders, which markets tend to revisit over time. The presence of these resting orders makes this level a likely target for the ongoing move down. It also acts as a strong area of potential support, where buyers might step back in if the price reaches that point. Conclusion With the rejection from the 0.786 Fibonacci level and the failure to hold the bullish 4H FVG, BTC has shown clear signs of weakness. The breakdown in structure suggests a continuation to the downside is likely, with $102.7k being the most immediate target. This level could serve as a strong support zone due to the unfilled orders left behind by the previous wick. Until BTC reclaims key support levels or shows a shift in momentum, the bias remains bearish in the short term, and traders should remain cautious while expecting further downside. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
8
GBPUSD may form a false break of supportGBPUSD has wasted the entire daily move (ATR) and is forming a false break of the mirror level support and trading range support. The price fell on the background of the dollar growth (which is trading on the background of the global downtrend) Now, while the price is consolidating below the mirror level, sellers (physical persons) open deals. But, based on the situation and spent ATR when the price returns inside the range there will be a liquidation stage, which can provoke the price growth The price fixing above 1.34437 may be the beginning of a pullback (trend growth). Scenario: if the decline does not continue, and the price is able to consolidate above 1.3448, in this case we can expect a correction to 1.35, 1.353.
Long
by AndeWave
2
BITCOIN → Buyback bar. Chance of growth to 108,000BINANCE:BTCUSDT is trading in a fairly wide range of 100,600 - 110,400. The market is stagnating due to fundamental uncertainty, but the risks of a decline are quite high... After the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, Bitcoin broke the bullish structure on the market and managed to test the local level of 102500, from where a fairly aggressive phase of buying out the fall began within one trading session. The market is defending the structure quite aggressively. The chart shows a local range forming with strong levels at 102500 and 106200. Accordingly, the price may remain in this range for a long time (in which case an intraday trading strategy can be considered). However, if Bitcoin starts to stick to one of the boundaries, then we can consider the price leaving the range, but based on the structure of the uptrend, correction, and the formation of a buyback bar, it would be logical to see an attempt to break through resistance with the aim of continuing growth. Resistance levels: 106200, 108200, 110400 Support levels: 102500, 100600 On D1, there are no prerequisites for a strong decline. The market is buying up knives and trying to stay afloat (in consolidation). In the medium term, there may be an attempt to retest 102500 - 100600 due to the liquidity pool. But locally, the market may form an attempt to grow to 108200 Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
37
GBPJPY I Expect a Rally from the Buy Zone in the 1H Time FrameDescription: I'm viewing the 195.116–194.845 range on GBPJPY as a strong buy zone. My target is 196.088. Once the trade setup becomes active or the target is reached, I’ll be sharing an update here. Stay tuned! I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses. I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
Long
by TraderTilki
5
Gold's Next Move Up: Why I'm Waiting for This 1H Order Block.Hello, traders! 👋 Let's take a look at the current price action on Gold (XAU/USD). 📉 Current Situation: Correction Phase After a strong impulse that swept the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL), Gold has entered a correction. This corrective move has a clear target below: a key 1-hour order block that aligns with the 61.8% daily Fibonacci level. This area acts as strong support and a potential reversal zone for the continuation of the uptrend. ⚠️ Patience is Key Price has not yet reached a safe discount zone for considering long positions. This is where the "whale's" Point of Interest (POI) lies. It's highly probable that large players will deliver the price to this zone to "refuel" (mitigate their positions) before continuing the move up, or at least to test the manipulation that swept the initial BSL. My Trading Plan 🎯 The Long Setup The primary condition for considering a long setup from the $3356 - $3365 area is: Mitigation of the 1-hour order block. The 61.8% Fib level must hold with a clear reversal reaction on at least the 4-hour timeframe. I don't expect this to happen today. It's likely that price will first build liquidity above our POI before dropping into it. Only from that zone, and with LTF confirmation, can we consider safer long positions. This is not financial advice. My analysis is for educational purposes only.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheWhaleSM
2
AUDCHF: Bullish Flag from PRZ — Rally to 0.54444?AUDCHF ( OANDA:AUDCHF ) bounced from the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) , which aligns with the Yearly Support(1) and the 50% Fibonacci level of the previous bullish impulse. From a Classic Technical Analysis perspective , AUDCHF appears to be breaking out of a Bullish Flag Pattern , which may suggest the continuation of the previous uptrend . This bullish reaction also confirms the importance of the Support zone(0.51166 CHF-0.49773 CHF) , where buyers stepped in aggressively. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that AUDCHF has completed the bearish waves and we should wait for the bullish waves . I expect AUDCHF to continue rising after a successful breakout from the flag’s upper boundary . If momentum sustains, the target could be around 0.54444 CHF . Note: Stop Loss (SL) = 0.51972 CHF Australian Dollar/ Swiss Franc Analyze (4-hour time frame). Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
3
Uniswap UNI price analysis🦄 ​​Despite the weak crypto market, #UNI is holding up quite well at the moment, so you should take it "on a pencil". At first, the “big money” are buying, and then the news will be rolled out. 🕯 The OKX:UNIUSDT chart shows increased trading volumes. We wouldn't be surprised if in the coming days, when the market moves into a "range", the price of #UNI shoots up to $9.31 or even $11.21 💰 And globally - the price of $22 per #Uniswap token can still be considered a fairly modest forecast. _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
Patience Before the Break: Gold Chart Signals Rally Toward 3,450 Technical Breakdown of the Chart Key Concepts Used: BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates a confirmed bullish break in market structure (around June 13). MSS (Market Structure Shift): Marks a transition from bullish to bearish structure, which aligns with the swing high on June 14. BSL (Buy-side Liquidity): Liquidity targets marked above recent highs (~3,420 and ~3,450). Turtle Soup Setup: A classic fakeout reversal pattern, suggesting a stop-hunt below recent lows before a bullish move. $$$: Liquidity Pool: Shows accumulation below before a breakout upward. Bullish Case as Implied by the Chart The chart suggests: A liquidity sweep occurred at the recent low ("turtle soup"). Price is now rebounding from a demand zone, supported by bullish order flow. If structure holds, price may: Break above the minor high at ~3,410–3,420 (first BSL). Continue upward toward ~3,450+ (second BSL), potentially reclaiming full bullish momentum. Key Levels to Watch: Zone Price Range Type Demand 3,380–3,388 Support Zone Target 1 ~3,420 Buy-side Liquidity Target 2 ~3,450 Final BSL Target If price breaks below the 3,380 zone with momentum, the bullish thesis weakens. Summary: Short-Term Trend: Bullish if support holds. Liquidity Grab Complete: Signs of a reversal from turtle soup setup. Upside Targets: 3,420 and 3,450. Invalidation: Break and close below ~3,380
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sienalunaz
NVDA (NVIDIA) False Breakout and Synchronized Pullback with SPYNVDA printed what appears to be a false breakout at the 1.0 Fib extension level ($143.49), now reversing sharply — potentially aligning with SPY's projected retracement. This presents a high-probability mean reversion setup. 📉 Technical Breakdown Current Price: $135.13 False Breakout Zone: 1.0 Fib extension ($143.49) Key Breakdown Zone: 0.786 Fib ($133.12) Probable Retest Zones: 0.618 Fib: $124.98 0.5 Fib: $121.25 Target: $119.25 (confluence with SPY's demand zone) 🔍 Probabilistic Trade Outlook ⚠️ False breakout + bearish engulfing = 80% probability of continued downside. 📉 Targeting $119.25 = 65% probability as it aligns with institutional levels and SPY’s projected retrace. 💡 Volume and momentum suggest profit-taking and supply absorption. 🌐 Macro Context (May 31, 2025) AI bubble cooling: Rotation from AI mega caps into broader market value plays. SPY & NVDA correlation: NVDA typically leads tech-heavy indices — the confluence here could signal broader market pullback. Fed Policy Uncertainty: No rate cut priced in for June; July will be key. 🧠 Institutional View This setup echoes the "buy-side trap" — liquidity engineered above previous highs, now reversing to collect resting orders below. This is textbook Smart Money Concepts (SMC) in play. 🧭 Trade Setup Entry: On confirmed breakdown below 0.786 ($133.12) Target: $119.25 Stop: $143.60 (above fakeout zone) Optional Re-entry: Near 0.618 ($124.98) on confirmation 📌 If NVDA hits the $119–121 zone in confluence with SPY’s bounce region, a high-R:R reversal trade may follow. #NVDA #FibonacciLevels #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #TechStocks #MarketReversal #AIStocks #TradingView #WaverVanir
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
USDCHF → Retesting resistance will lead to a declineFX:USDCHF , having failed to reach its global target after breaking through support, is turning back to retest the zone of interest at 0.8157. A fall in the dollar could trigger a decline in prices... After breaking through support and falling to 0.8055, a correction is forming towards the zone of interest and liquidity at 0.8157. After reaching the local target, the price may return to the global target (liquidity zone) at 0.8042. The dollar returned to its downward phase at the opening of the session, to which the forex market reacted accordingly. Most likely, bearish pressure may also affect the USDCHF currency pair, which continues to follow the downward trend. Resistance levels: 0.8157 Support levels: 0.8055, 0.8042 A retest of resistance amid high volatility could form a false breakout (liquidity capture) before the decline continues within the downtrend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
NZDUSD → Correction and liquidity capture ahead of growthFX:NZDUSD , following a sharp decline during the Pacific-Asian session, is testing the support of the upward trend and the liquidity zone... The dollar is correcting amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. This is a temporary move, and the market may return to its main trend. The currency pair is forming a false breakdown of support Against the backdrop of an uptrend and a weak dollar, the currency pair is testing support at 0.6000. The reaction is weak at the moment, but there is a chance for growth if the price consolidates above 0.6020. I do not rule out a retest of the liquidity zone at 0.5989 before growth Support levels: 0.6000, 0.5989 Resistance levels: 0.6068 The inability to continue falling and the formation of a local reversal structure relative to 0.6000 (price consolidation above 0.6020) may support the market. I do not rule out that the market may decline to the liquidity zone of 0.5989 before rising. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
XAUUSD Elliotwaves update: Is wave 4 complete?On our previous view we were expecting a wave c to the upside that will complete wave B of higher degree. It looks like wave B is completed with an ending diagonal. Now what I am anticipating is price to drop to complete wave 4 in higher degree. However, if wave 4 is complete then the move up might be a leading diagonal for wave 1 of 5. But all in all the the current bias is to the downside and therefore to take advantage of the move to the downside one should find areas where price will find resistance for a possible sell opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Elliotwavesglobal
GBPAUD - Expecting Bearish Continuation In The Short TermM15 - Bearish divergence followed by the most recent uptrend line breakout. Clean bearish trend with the price creating series of lower highs, lower lows. No opposite signs. Expecting further continuation lower until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by VladimirRibakov