Fibonacci
$ZM: Fibonacci Gradient 🏛️ Research Notes
Original Structure
Substitute for projection (TV's drawing tool)
I was thinking if using same 3 coordinates of cycle to cover future 2-polar expansions after breakout. That's why descending fibs would start with coldest (at breakout zone it would be relevant) and vise versa.
Same but with added counter-direction to produce gradient effect of decay.
HBAR Game Plan: Short the Bounce, Long the Liquidity GrabHBAR has been moving strongly and is currently offering both short and long trade opportunities based on a clean potential ABC corrective pattern, key fib levels, volume profile, and anchored VWAP. Let’s break down the setup.
🧩 Technical Breakdown
Higher Timeframe Confluence:
0.618 fib retracement from the macro move
1.618 trend-based fib extension
1.272 VWAP band resistance
Point of Control (POC) from the visible range profile
This is marked as a major take profit/short opportunity zone.
For extra confluence, the negative fib extension golden pocket (-0.618 to -0.666) also aligns right at this resistance zone
Current Structure:
We’re potentially completing wave B of an ABC corrective move
Price has retraced into a high-probability short zone
🔴 Short Setup
Entry Zone:
Between the 0.702 and 0.786 fib retracement levels
Why Here?
0.702–0.786 fib retracement → short zone for reversals
Potential wave B top → setting up for a C leg down
Target (TP):
Around $0.25–$0.24, near the expected wave C completion
🟢 Long Setup
Entry Zone:
~$0.25–$0.24 area.
Why Here?
This zone is a strong confluence area:
➡️ 0.786 fib retracement
➡️ 1.0 trend-based fib extension of ABC
➡️ Anchored VWAP from the entire trend, offering dynamic support
➡️ Liquidity pool
➡️ Previous weekly Open
Plan:
Wait for price to complete wave C into this zone, then look for bullish reaction signs to enter long.
💡 Educational Insight
Why the 0.702–0.786 short zone?
These fib levels are often overlooked but are key “hidden” zones where wave B tops out before C waves.
Why anchored VWAP?
Anchored VWAP gives you dynamic institutional support/resistance, especially when aligned with fibs and liquidity.
Why wait for confirmation?
Blindly longing or shorting levels can trap you. Wait for SFPs, wick rejections, or lower timeframe structure flips to boost trade probability.
Final Thoughts
HBAR is in a highly interesting zone, offering both:
A short setup into the C wave,
And a long setup at the C wave completion, backed by multiple confluence factors.
Let the levels come to you and wait for confirmation!
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ALGO rejects at yOpen — Mapping High-Conviction Trade ZonesALGO has delivered an impressive +124% rally from $0.1518 to $0.336 in just 25 days, completing a 5-wave Elliott impulse right into the yearly open resistance.
We are now in a correction phase, and the current structure is showing a head and shoulders pattern, with the right shoulder currently forming.
Let’s break down the key levels and setups.
🧩 Technical Breakdown
➡️ ABC Corrective Structure:
Targeting wave C near the trend-based fib extension (TBFE) at $0.2574
➡️ Fib Retracement Confluence:
0.382 retracement of the entire 5-wave move → $0.2656
Previous weekly open (pwOpen) → $0.2639
Liquidity pocket likely to be swept
Anchored VWAP from the $0.1518 low (start of the bullish trend) → currently at $0.2532, acting as a major support layer
Conclusion: Long opportunity zone between $0.2656–$0.2574
Trade Setups
🔴 Short Setup:
Why? ALGO has lost dOpen and pdOpen — a bearish sign for downward continuation.
Entry Zone: Between dOpen and pdOpen
Stop-loss: Above dOpen
Target (TP): 0.382 fib retracement (~$0.2656)
R:R: ≈ 1:3.5
🟢 Long Setup:
Entry Zone: Laddered Entries between $0.2656–$0.2574
Stop-loss: Below anchored VWAP (~$0.2532)
Target (TP): ~$0.2785+
R:R: ≈ 1:2.65
🛠 Indicator Note
I’m using my own indicator called "DriftLine - Pivot Open Zones " for this analysis, which I recently published.
✅ Feel free to use it in your own analysis!
Just head over to my profile → “Scripts” tab → apply it directly to your charts.
💡 Educational Insight: Why Confluence Matters
High-probability trades aren’t based on just one tool or level — they come from confluence, where multiple signals align: fib levels, VWAP, liquidity pools, price structures , and key levels.
For example, in this ALGO setup, it’s not just the fib retracement or just the VWAP — it’s the stacking of all these elements together that creates a precise zone with a better statistical edge.
✍️ Lesson: Don’t chase trades off single signals; stack tools for confirmation.
Patience, confirmation, and confluence — as always, the keys to high-probability setups. 🚀
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XRP Coiled in Range — Liquidity Below, Trade Setups AheadXRP has been stuck in a trading range around $3.50 for the past 5 days, offering multiple trade opportunities within the chop.
A notable short was triggered after a swing failure pattern (SFP) at the 0.666 fib retracement level near $3.563.
Now, with liquidity building to the downside, we’re watching closely for the next high-conviction setups.
🧩 Current Structure & Short Setup
🔴 Short Opportunity (Triggered):
SFP + 0.666 fib retracement at $3.563 led to rejection.
Market now shows a head & shoulders pattern forming.
Target: $3.2176 (0.618 fib retracement).
Trigger: Watch for a neckline break + retest for short confirmation.
Stop-loss: Above the right shoulder.
🟢 Long Setup:
Watching for a high-probability long around:
$3.26 → nPOC + 1.272 TBFE
$3.23 → anchored VWAP bands
This zone offers strong confluence and could act as the next launchpad.
Long Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: potential entries between $3.26–$3.22, price action needed for confirmation
Stop-loss: Below swing low at $3.1675
Target (TP): ~$3.40
✍️ Plan: Set alerts near the lows and react to price action at the zone — don’t front-run, let structure confirm.
💡 Pro Tip: Trade the Confluence, Not the Emotion
High-probability trades come from confluence, not guessing.
This setup combines nPOC, TBFE, VWAP, fib levels, and classical market structure (H&S) to map precise zones for both longs and shorts.
Let price come to you and wait for confirmation — especially in a rangebound environment where liquidity hunts are frequent.
Final Thoughts
We’re still rangebound, but liquidity is building below.
Keep an eye on the $3.26–$3.22 support zone for long entries and the H&S neckline for short breakdown confirmation.
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SUI — Structured Dip Buy Zone You Shouldn't IgnoreSUI has been technically clean, with well-respected Elliott Wave counts and fib levels.
As the broader market dips, it's time to look for sniper long entries and SUI is setting up beautifully for one around the $3.50 zone.
🧩 Key Confluence Zone: $3.50
This level offers a high-probability buy zone, backed by multiple layers of technical confluence:
0.786 Fib Retracement: $3.5029
1.0 Trend-Based Fib Extension: $3.5036
Previous Trading Range POC: $3.4675
Previous Weekly Open (pwOpen): $3.494
🟢 Long Trade Setup
Entry: ~$3.500
Stop-loss: $3.4675
Target (TP): $3.85+
R:R: ~1:3
🛠 Indicator Note
In this analysis I'm using my own indicator:
➡️ DriftLine — Pivot Open Zones
It helps identify key market opens (daily, weekly, prior), which often act as magnet levels and reaction zones.
➡️ You can use it for free — just check out my profile under “Scripts” and apply it to your charts.
💡 Pro Insight: Build Trades Where Tools Agree
A single level is just noise. But when fib retracements, extensions, POCs, opens, and price structure all line up — that’s where conviction trades are made.
The more overlap, the more likely the market reacts — this setup shows just that.
Final Thoughts
SUI is approaching a technically rich zone around $3.50, and this could be one of those low-risk, high-reward long entries if confirmed by price action.
With a clean invalidation and 1:3 R:R, this is the kind of setup you want to plan — not chase.
Set your alerts, stay patient, and trade with structure. 🚀✍️
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Dogecoin Wave Analysis – 25 July 2025
- Dogecoin reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 0.2000
Dogecoin cryptocurrency recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the key resistance level 0.2630 (former monthly low from December, acting as the resistance now), standing near the upper daily Bollinger Band.
This resistance zone wad further strengthened by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the previous sharp downward impulse from December.
Given the clear daily downtrend, Dogecoin cryptocurrency can be expected to fall to the next round support level 0.2000 (target price for the completion of the active correction ii).
BTC Retrace RoadMap and 3 nearby supports worth watching NOWThis is a near-term followup to my big picture linked below.
Dip is underway after orbiting our Genesis Fib at 117.9k.
Quickly approaching the next three supports worth watching.
Supports get stronger below but each one needs to slow the dip.
$ 115,140 is a minor fib but possible end of dip wave.
$ 113,9xx is a double fib that should be pretty strong
$ 111,661 is the sister Genesis fib, and a MUST HOLD
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Big Picture chart and why 117.9k was KEY
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XRP → ATH retest. Reversal or continued growth?BINANCE:XRPUSDT.P is rallying and ready to test the resistance zone - ATH. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin is consolidating after a bull run. The liquidity pool may hold back growth.
Fundamentally, there is excitement across the entire cryptocurrency market. Altcoins are rallying after Bitcoin hit a new high and entered consolidation. The BTC.D index is declining, which generally provides a good opportunity for altcoins to grow. However, the index is approaching technical support, which may affect market sentiment overall...
As for XRP, there is a fairly strong liquidity pool ahead — the ATH resistance zone. The price is in a distribution phase after a change in character and a breakout of the downtrend resistance in the 2.33 zone. The momentum may exhaust its potential to break through the 3.35-3.34 zone, and growth may be halted for correction or reversal (in correlation with Bitcoin's dominance in the market).
Resistance levels: 3.35-3.40
Support levels: 3.0, 2.64
A breakout of resistance without the possibility of further growth, a return of the price below the level (i.e., inside the global flat) will confirm the fact of a false breakout of resistance, which may trigger a correction or even a reversal.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Futures Update – 0.5 Fib Stop Hit, Eyes on 0.618 ConfluenceGold Futures Update – 0.5 Fib Stop Hit, Eyes on 0.618 Confluence
Our initial long setup at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level has been stopped out, but the structure remains constructive.
Price is now approaching a key confluence zone at $3,336 , where:
The 0.618 fib retracement from the recent swing low to high aligns perfectly,
The ascending trendline support (respected multiple times since May) intersects, and
The oint of Control (POC) from the visible volume profile shows dominant volume transacted.
This area represents a high-probability support level where bulls may attempt to defend again. We’re monitoring for reaction and potential entry signals around this level. A break below would invalidate the rising wedge structure and shift bias toward lower fib extensions.
Altseason 2025 – EthseasonWe’ve officially entered #ETH season. Some liquidity is flowing into alts, but CRYPTOCAP:ETH has now taken the lead from CRYPTOCAP:BTC as the big dog.
Old retail is here and slowly buying this dip... but the new retail is nowhere to be seen, yet! Still positioning for that full-blown altseason:
🥑 POLONIEX:GUACUSDT 🧱 MEXC:YBRUSDT ⛏️ MEXC:KLSUSDT
🌐 HTX:SYNTUSDT 🧪 MEXC:DEAIUSDT ✳️ MEXC:SAIUSDT
🔗 POLONIEX:LLUSDT 🎮 KUCOIN:MYRIAUSDT 🤖 COINEX:ENQAIUSDT
#crypto #altseason2025 #altseason #ethseason
BTCusdt — Descending Triangle. Preparing for a BTC Breakdown?OKX:BTCUSDT chart (4H) shows a well-defined descending triangle.
Price is being compressed under a descending trendline, and volume is steadily declining — a typical signal of an upcoming strong move.
📉 Downside target: $106,100 – $101,700
🔺 Invalidation: breakout above $119,876
📊 Key levels:
Resistance: $117000 / $113,500
Support: $110,694 / $107,723 / $106,108 / $101,712
⚠️ Pay attention — breakout is likely soon.
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Fart Ichimoku Breakout Test📈 Checking bullish signals on the chart
✅ Positive signs:
- The price is stable above the cloud and the candles show the strength of buyers.
- Indicators such as RSI and trading volume are in a good position.
- The cloud broke with the body
First profit limit 1/451
Second profit limit 1/551
Limit of loss 1/320
What's next for BITCOIN?After hitting a new all-time high at 123,256.49, Bitcoin, the world’s leading cryptocurrency, pulled back this week, closing on the 4-hour chart below the 115,714 level. This indicates a shift in trend from bullish to bearish and increases the likelihood of a short-to-medium-term decline.
The recent price rise appears to be corrective, and the 121,427 level is considered important and carries downside pressure, as it represents the 78% level of the Fibonacci retracement tool when measured from the recent high to the latest low. Holding below the 123,256 mark and failing to break above it would support the bearish scenario for Bitcoin.
Bearish retest or deviation for Bitcoin117000 is key. it’ll decide whether this is a bearish retest or just a deviation. i believe it’s a bearish retest and we’re setting up for 110-114 next.
last drop came when price kept failing to hold above EQ. now we’re below the EQ of the ath/previous ath range. if price can’t reclaim that either, a deeper drop is likely. a 12h close above EQ could open the path toward 120-121k, but that’s the less probable case in my view.
why? nasdaq and spx are in premium zones (fib extensions), and holidays are near for big players. as profit taking hits there, pressure will echo here. simple cause, predictable effect.
Gold Futures (GC1!) Long Setup – 0.5 Fib Bounce🟡 Gold Futures (GC1!) Long Setup – 0.5 Fib Bounce
After nailing the long from the bottom and perfectly shorting the top, we’re stepping back in for another calculated move.
📉 Price pulled back to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement, aligning perfectly with the upward trendline support and a key HVN on the Volume Profile.
📈 Entered long at 3,365 with a tight stop below 3,354 (0.3% risk), targeting the descending trendline near 3,444 for a clean 7.7R setup.
🧠 Context:
Price reacted hard at resistance, but volume support and structure still lean bullish.
Clear invalidation if we break trend and lose 3,350 support cluster.
Let’s see if this bounce gets legs. 🚀
ELLIOTT WAVE EURUSD H4 update
EW Trade Set Up H4
subminuette W4 seems finished
monitor the breakout of the descending channel that appears to contain wave IV
The bullish movement that started on July 17th must assume a 5-wave pattern
key levels (area)
1.1705
1.1684 POC
1.1654
note :
the breakout upwards of the leading span B (red line) by the lagging span (green line) will confirm the start of a bullish movement in the subminuette wave v.
Failure to break above price levels 1.1684 and 1.1705 will result in a recalculation of the waves count
$SILVER: Fractal Geometry (Cycle 2001-2020)Research Notes
Working out probabilistic texture using multiple fibonacci channels on just 3 coordinates of fractal cycle (late 2001 - 2020) on linear scale (on log chart it would still be relevant, so you can switch to view with right click on price scale for selection).
To describe behavior of price and key levels on smaller scale starting from covid we'll use
L-H-L:
Using coordinates to express surface area of broken cycle with fibs mimicking rise, fall and side mapping cycle:
I'd look for patterns of bullish exhaustion only after price crosses the curve.
A correction ahead.If you know Elliott Wave, then you will understand this analysis. Now as you saw my last post a wave 'Y' on monthly T.F has started from 30 June. This was on a larger T.F but this analysis is on smaller T.F. Wave '1' has completed now on this T.F. and a correction ahead upto 0.618(25345) or 0.707(25420) of this enfire run as showed in screenshot.