EUR/USD Surges into Resistance Ahead of ECBEuro is poised to snap a two-week losing streak with EUR/USD up more than 1.2% since the Sunday open. The advance takes price back into weekly resistance ahead of tomorrow’s European Central Bank rate decision and the focus now shifts to the weekly close for guidance.
Euro plunged more than 2.3% off the June high with price briefly registering an intraweek low at 1.1557 before rebounding. The rally takes EUR/USD into resistance at the objective high-week close (HWC) / high-close at 1.1775- looking for a reaction off this mark with a weekly close above needed to keep the immediate advance viable into the close of the month.
Initial weekly support remains with the 2016 swing high at 1.1616 with the medium-term outlook still constructive while above the March trendline (red). Ultimately, a break below the 2020 / 2022 highs at 1.1497 would be needed to suggest a more significant high is in place / a larger correction is underway with subsequent support seen at the 2024 high close / May low-week close (LWC) at 1.1164.
A breach / close above this pivot zone exposes the upper parallel (blue), currently near 1.1840s, with the next major technical consideration eyed at 1.1917-1.2020- a region defined by the 100% extension of the 2022 advance and the 38.2% retracement of the 2008 decline (area of interest for possible top-side exhaustion / price inflection IF reached). Subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the 2021 HWC at 1.2227 and the 2018 high-close at 1.2456.
Bottom line: Euro rebounded just ahead of the March uptrend with the rally now testing the yearly high-close ahead of the ECB- watch the Friday close with respect to 1.1775. From a trading standpoint, a good zone to reduce portions of long-exposure / raise protective stops- losses would need to be limited to this week’s low IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above the upper parallel still needed to fuel the next major leg of the advance.
-MB
Fibonacci
SELL ETH 24.7.2025Confluence trade order: SELL at H1~M15
Type of entry: Limit order
Reason:
- The bottom doesn't touch anything. It is expected to continue to decline into H1.
- Keylevel H1~M15~FIB 0,5-0,618
Note:
- Management of money carefully at the price of bottom (3,644)
Set up entry:
- Entry sell at 3,673
- SL at 3,703
- TP1: 3,644
- TP2: 3,586
- TP3: 3,552
Trading Method: Price action (No indicator, only trend and candles)
XAUUSD Elliotwaves updateWe are yet to complete wave 4. So far the structures supports the triangle correction and price completed wave "d" and started final wave "e". If we are correct we should expect price make another 3 waves down to complete wave 4 and then resume the bullish momentum. To take advantage of the overall trend one should find areas where price has high probability of finding support to take the trade.
CART watch $49.61: Proven Golden Genesis fib holding up new ATHCART has been struggling against a Golden Genesis at $49.61
Many PINGs have made it clearly visible to the whole world.
If the Break-n-Retest holds, it should start next major leg up.
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Previous Analysis that NAILED this exact fib for a MASSIVE short:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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AUDJPY Wave Analysis – 23 July 2025- AUDJPY reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 97.40
AUDJPY currency pair recently reversed up from the support zone located between the pivotal support level 95.55 (former monthly high from March and May), 20-day moving average and support trendline of the daily up channel from May.
This support zone was further strengthened by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from June.
AUDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 97.40, former monthly high from February, which also stopped the earlier impulse wave earlier this month.
NZDUSD Wave Analysis – 23 July 2025
- NZDUSD reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.6100
NZDUSD recently reversed up from the support zone located between the key support level 0.5920 (which stopped wave 4in the middle of June), lower daily Bollinger Band and the support trendline of the daily up channel from April.
The upward reversal from this support zone started the active intermediate correction (2).
Given the clear daily uptrend, NZDUSD can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.6100, target price for the completion of the active correction (2) (which has been reversing the price from June).
Revsiting $150k - $200k Bitcoin (AND Next Bear Market Bottom)In this video I revisit my 2-year old study showing the potential path for Bitcoin to $150k to $200k and not only how we might get there, but the 11 reasons WHY we can this cycle.
This is the same Fibonacci series that predicted the 2021 cycle high at the 3.618 (Log chart) and used the same way this cycle, with some interesting 2025 forecasts of:
1.618 - $100k
2.618 - $150k
3.618 - $200k
There are quite a few confluences that we get to $150k like the measured moves from both the recent mini bull flag, but also the larger one from earlier this year.
** Also I touch on revisiting my study from 2 years ago where I may have discovered the retracemebnt multiple that correctlty predicted and held the 2022 lowes around $16k. **
It's a VERY interesting number you all will recognize (buy may not agree with).
Let me know what you think.
GOLD → Consolidation before the next jump to 3450?FX:XAUUSD continues to rally, with the price updating its local high to 3438 and moving into consolidation, possibly for another jump...
After hitting a five-week high of $3,438, traders are taking a break. Optimism is fuelled by Trump's statements about the largest deal with Japan and negotiations with Canada, but uncertainty about the details of the agreements and political instability in Japan are keeping caution in check. The market is waiting for further signals on trade and political issues, which remain key factors for gold.
Technically, the dollar continues to fall, which generally supports gold. But! Gold is approaching strong resistance at 3445-3450, where growth may be temporarily halted.
Resistance levels: 3433, 3446
Support levels: 3416, 3401, 3375
As part of a local correction, gold may test consolidation support or 0.5-0.7f before continuing to rise. There are quite a few orders in the 3433-3446 zone, and it will be difficult to break through this area to reach the target. Consolidation before this level may help the rise to continue.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Consolidation and compression to 116K. Correction?BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P continues to consolidate, with the price testing support at 116K, leaving behind the zone of interest at 120K-121K. Are there any chances for further growth?
(Alternative scenario (if growth to 120K does not occur))
Fundamentally, there is nothing particularly new, and the hype surrounding Bitcoin is stagnating. Technically, on D1, consolidation is underway with pressure from bears against the backdrop of an outflow of funds into altcoins. However, the dominance index is starting to rise, which could trigger some correction in the market. The price on the working timeframe, without updating local highs, is testing lows, and the latest retest of the liquidity zone is provoking a fairly aggressive reaction that could bring the price to retest the zone of interest at 120K-121K.
But! If the price is squeezed between 116K and 0.5 Fib with a gradual squeeze towards support, the chances of a breakdown and a premature fall will increase.
Support levels: 116370, 115860
Resistance levels: 119650, 120100
Technically, the market needs a breather or correction, which is generally a sign of health. The nuance with Bitcoin is that below 115860 there is no support until 112K, and if the market breaks the current consolidation boundary, the further correction could be quite deep. In the current situation, I do not yet see any drivers or reasons for another rally.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Futures – Closing Longs and Flipping Short at Key Fib🔴 Gold Futures – Closing Longs and Flipping Short at Key Fib Confluence
Instrument : Gold Futures – COMEX ( COMEX:GC1! )
Timeframe : 15-Minute
New Position : Short
Entry Zone : ~3442
Target : ~3362
Stop Loss : ~3458
Risk/Reward : Approx. 6.5+
Setup Type : Reversal from Overextension / Fib Resistance
💡 Trade Recap & Strategy Shift
We’ve officially closed both our recent long entry and our larger swing long position, locking in substantial profit on this move off the 0.618 retracement.
Now, we’re flipping short based on the following:
Price reached the 0.146 Fib extension from the previous retracement leg, a level often overlooked but powerful when confluence lines up.
Trendline resistance from the upper channel has been tagged.
Momentum is showing early signs of stalling after a strong vertical push — textbook overextension.
The rally into this level lacked divergence or structural buildup, increasing the chance of a snapback.
🛠️ Short Setup Details
Entry: 3442 (after signs of exhaustion near Fib confluence)
Target: 3362 (prior structure + 0.382 retracement)
Stop Loss: 3458 (just above high / resistance zone)
Risk/Reward: 6.5:1 — excellent profile for a countertrend play.
📌 Watch For
A break below 3390 will be key confirmation of momentum shifting back down.
Failure to hold 3442 on a retest will invalidate the short and re-open the door for a squeeze higher to 3476/3480.
With trend exhaustion in sight and high confluence resistance overhead, we’re taking the opportunity to pivot short — fully aware of the volatility this region can bring.
EUR/USD - Holding Bullish Structure Above Key Fibs and TrendlineTechnical Overview:
EUR/USD continues to respect its ascending channel structure, currently rebounding from the lower trendline support while trading above the 50 EMA and 200 EMA. After a healthy retracement to the monthly support (1.16128), the pair has shown strong buying interest, supported by bullish RSI divergence from oversold conditions on the 8H chart.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 1.1613 – 1.1634 (Fib Cluster + Channel Support + Monthly Support)
Resistance Zone: 1.1755 (Weekly Resistance) followed by 1.1816 (0.27 Fib Extension) and 1.1887 (0.618 Extension)
Invalidation Level: Below 1.1533 (1.272 Fib + Structural Breakdown)
Confluences:
Price broke above a descending correctional trendline, indicating a potential bullish continuation.
Multiple Fibonacci levels (0.382, 0.5, 0.618) have stacked around the previous consolidation area, increasing probability of a sustained move.
RSI bounce from below 40 suggests short-term momentum reversal.
Trade Idea:
We may see a minor pullback into the 1.16344–1.1659 area before a potential continuation higher. Conservative bulls may wait for a retest of this zone with a bullish engulfing or pin bar confirmation before entering long.
Targets:
First target at 1.1755 (prior weekly resistance)
Second target at 1.1816 (Fib extension)
Final target near 1.1887 (major resistance / upper channel boundary)
Risk Management:
A break and close below 1.1533 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal potential bearish pressure returning to the pair.
GBP/JPY 4H - Rejection from Supply Zone and Key Fib AreaOverview:
GBP/JPY is trading near 197.91, and recent price action suggests a potential short opportunity. The pair has been rejected from a key Fibonacci resistance zone, and bearish momentum appears to be building beneath a fading ascending channel. Let’s break down why this chart leans more bearish.
Market Structure Breakdown:
* Price action failed to sustain new highs above 199.90 and is now forming lower highs, a potential early sign of trend exhaustion.
* The recent bounce from 197.40 was muted and rejected near the 0.5 and 0.618 retracement levels, indicating strong supply around the 198.68–198.98 zone.
Fibonacci Confluence:
* The rejection occurred right at the 0.618 retracement of the prior downswing — a key Fibonacci level often used by institutional traders to re-enter in the direction of the trend.
* Price is now hovering below the 0.382 (198.38) and 0.5 (198.68) levels, which may now act as resistance.
* If the current rejection holds, downside targets are:
* 0.0 (197.40) – recent low
* -0.27 extension (196.70) – potential bearish continuation target
* -0.618 extension (195.81) – extended downside objective
Trendline & Channel Considerations:
* The ascending channel is losing momentum.
Moving Averages:
* Price is now below the 50 EMA, and testing the 200 EMA, which is at risk of breaking.
* A clear close below both EMAs would confirm bearish momentum.
RSI & Momentum:
* The RSI shows bearish divergence on recent highs and is struggling to break above the midline (50).
* Momentum is tilting to the downside and failing to build higher on bounces.
Key Zones:
* Resistance Zone: 198.60–198.98
* Strong Fibonacci confluence + previous supply
* Support Zone: 197.40
* Prior swing low and 0.0 Fib level
* Bearish Continuation Zone: Below 197.30
* Breakout would confirm downside acceleration toward 196.70 and 195.80
Conclusion:
GBP/JPY is showing signs of bearish pressure beneath key resistance. With the rejection from the 0.618 Fib level and weakening channel structure, the path of least resistance may be to the downside — especially if price breaks and holds below 197.40.
A confirmed breakdown opens the door toward 196.70 and possibly 195.80, as bearish continuation unfolds. Overall we can even see price hitting past historical levels at 189.50
GBP/USD Pair Technical Overview!The GBP/USD pair is trading in a general upward trend after seeing some pullbacks due to the renewed strength of the US dollar. However, it failed to close below the 1.33649 level on both the 4-hour and daily timeframes, thus maintaining a positive outlook.
The next target for this pair is at the 1.3690 level. The bullish scenario will remain valid unless the price breaks below the 1.33649 level and creates a daily candle close beneath it.
GBPNZD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermM15 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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The US100-Nasdaq Playbook: Prime Sell Zone Approaching!Hey friends 👋
I’ve prepared a fresh US100-NASDAQ analysis for you all. Nothing makes me happier than seeing us grow and profit together.
📌 Once price reaches the 23,192 – 23,231 zone, I plan to enter a **Sell** trade from that area.
🔐 Feel free to set your stop-loss based on your personal margin and risk tolerance.
🎯 My target level is: **23,024**
Every single like from you means the world to me—it’s my biggest motivation to keep sharing high-quality analysis 🙏
Huge thanks to everyone who supports with their likes 💙
USDJPY → Hunting for liquidity before the fallFX:USDJPY is changing its local trend and succumbing to global pressure. The market is seeing a change in price movement following the decline in the dollar index...
The trend has broken and the price movement has turned bearish. The fall in the dollar index is allowing the Japanese yen to strengthen, which is generally negative for the currency pair. The decline may continue after a slight correction.
Fundamentally, the dollar is correcting amid uncertainty due to the tariff war, as well as expectations of interest rate cuts.
Resistance levels: 147.20, 147.89
Support levels: 145.85, 145.23
As part of the correction, the price may test the liquidity zone of 147.7 or 0.7f. A false breakout and consolidation of the price in the selling zone may trigger a further decline in both the short and medium term.
Best regards, R. Linda!
#OFH - it have a great future GETTEX:OFH timeframe is 1 hour,
showing a potential triangle pattern with targets at
0.72 if prices close above the upper line or
0.57 if they close below the lower line.
Alternatively, a bearish pattern could target 0.698 to 0.72.
The stop loss is set at 0.63 to 0.624 (the gap from July 13) based on your strategy.
A long position here offers low risk (2% loss vs. ~10% profit potential).
This is not investment advice—only my chart analysis. Consult your account manager before investing. Good luck.
Solana SOLusdt: ABCD Completion & Reversal Candle Forming?The ABCD pattern on the 12H OKX:SOLUSDT chart is nearly complete near $213.
🔻 Current candle attempts to engulf the previous bearish one — an early reversal signal.
📊 Volume is declining after impulse — adding confluence.
📉 Correction targets:
$175 — Fibo 0.5 + support
$136 — consolidation area
$100 — start of CD move
❌ Breakout above $213 invalidates reversal scenario.
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