Fibonacci
US 100 – All Eyes on Tariffs, Trade Deals and Tech EarningsRenewed demand for US assets has been evident throughout July so far and this has helped to lift the US 100 index to new heights with gains of over 2.5% across the month. The technology heavy index has risen from opening levels around 22650 on July 1st, then recorded several all time highs, before eventually finding some selling interest after printing the most recent record peak at 23282 yesterday afternoon.
This upside has been supported by fresh trader hopes of interest rate cuts, after Federal Reserve (Fed) policymaker Waller suggested last Thursday that he would consider a 25bps (0.25%) reduction at their next meeting on July 30th, despite Fed Chairman Powell maintaining the view that the US central bank are currently pursuing a wait and see approach, as they look for more information on inflation and growth trends to assist them to determine the on-going impact of tariffs.
Part of the reason for the Fed’s reluctance to cut rates has also been the resilience of US economic data. With US consumers still spending and employment yet to feel the negative impact of President Trump’s tariff policies, leading to a potential positive knock-on impact for growth and corporate earnings, when considered against prior downbeat market expectations.
This all leads nicely onto what could be a key sentiment driver for the direction of the US 100 this week, the start of earnings updates from the ‘Magnificent Seven’ tech companies, two of which, Alphabet and Tesla, report their earnings after the market close tomorrow. These are then followed by Microsoft and Meta on Wednesday July 30th, then Amazon and Apple on Thursday July 31st.
Traders will be keen to judge actual earnings against market expectations, alongside updates on AI spending and investment, forward guidance on the impact of tariffs and more specifically for Tesla, the time Elon Musk may dedicate to the company, rather than the distractions of politics.
The technical outlook could also be important.
Technical Update: Can The Positive Trend Extend Further?
There appears to be no clear-cut signs of a negative sentiment shift in the US 100 index yet, as fresh buying has continued to develop above support provided by the rising daily Bollinger mid-average, currently at 22785 (see chart below).
Of course, there is no guarantee this positive pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows will continue, especially given the on-going trade discussion between the US and its allies, as well as the earnings announcements from Alphabet and Tesla.
However, it can be useful for traders to prepare for any future volatility by assessing potential support and resistance levels that could impact the direction of the US 100 moving forward.
Potential Support Levels:
It is possible the rising Bollinger mid-average, currently at 22785, represents a first support focus for traders, and as such, closing breaks below this level might lead to a more extended phase of price weakness.
Such moves could see a deeper sell-off towards 22533, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of June 23rd to July 18th 2025 price strength.
Potential Resistance Levels:
With fresh price strength emerging with the US 100 index above the rising Bollinger mid-average, a positive price pattern of higher highs and higher lows, may still be evident. This reflects buyers are currently willing to pay higher prices, each time a setback materialises.
However, to maintain this uptrend pattern in price, the focus could now be on resistance provided by the July high at 23282 (July 21st). Closing breaks above this level might be required to suggest further strength, towards the next potential resistance level at 24084, which is the weekly Bollinger upper band, even 24482, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci extension.
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Gold’s Rapid Surge: A Trap Before the Drop?Gold finally showed signs of retreat. We are still holding a short position near 3400. So far, we have made a profit of 50 pips. However, I will still hold it to see if gold can fall back to the 3385-3375 area as expected. We have completed 2 transactions today, and there is still 1 transaction left to hold.
1. First, we bought gold near 3345 and ended the transaction by hitting TP: 3370, making a profit of 250 pips, with a profit of more than $12K;
2. We shorted gold near 3385 and ended the transaction by hitting SL: 3395, with a loss of 100 pips, a loss of nearly $5K;
3. We are still holding a short gold transaction order near 3400, with a current floating profit of 60 pips and a floating profit of nearly $4K;
The above is the detailed transaction situation today. To be honest, today's rebound strength far exceeded my expectations, and after our first long position hit TP, the market never gave any chance to go long on gold after a pullback, but accelerated to around 3401. But obviously, the accelerated rise of gold is suspected of catching up with the top, and in the short term it faces resistance in the 3405-3410 area, and secondly pressure in the 3420-3425 area. So I don't advocate chasing gold at the moment. On the contrary, I am still actively trying to short gold around 3400, first expecting gold to pull back to the 3385-3375-3365 area.
And I think if gold wants to continue to test the 3405-3415 area, or even sprint to the area around 3425, gold must go through a pullback to increase liquidity to accumulate upward momentum. I think it will at least pull back to the 3385-3375 area.
BNB Ready for All-Time High: Fibonacci + 1533-Day FlagBinance Coin (BNBUSD) is setting up for a major breakout, approaching its all-time high with strong momentum.
Technically, BNB has completed a 1533-day flag accumulation — a rare, long-term fractal consolidation that often precedes explosive moves. This massive base acts as a launchpad for the next bullish leg.
Using Fibonacci extensions, we identify two major upside targets:
Target 1: 1.272 Fib – 830.05 - the first resistance and profit zone
Target 2: 1.618 Fib – 1005.94 - key bullish extension from breakout range
Final Target: 1379.27
The final target is projected using fractal symmetry from previous bullish expansions, aligning with the broader market cycle and BNB’s historical price action.
This setup suggests a high-probability move toward new all-time highs and beyond, supported by strong technical structure and breakout energy.
ADA Ready to Fly: Cup & Handle Pattern + Fibonacci TargetsCardano (ADAUSD) is forming a classic cup and handle pattern on the higher timeframe, signaling a bullish continuation setup that often precedes strong upward moves.
Combined with Fibonacci extensions, the breakout potential is high, with multiple target levels mapped out:
Target 1: 0.618 Fib – 2.0005 - confirms breakout strength
Target 2: 0.786 Fib – 2.4845 - momentum continuation zone
Target 3: 1.272 Fib – 3.8846 - full extension based on pattern measurement
Target 4: 1.618 Fib – 4.8815 - aggressive bull target for long-term holders
If ADA breaks the handle with strong volume, it could initiate a powerful rally. This setup is ideal for swing traders looking for a high-probability entry.
Let’s catch the next big move together! 🚀
SOLANA: THE ULTIMATE TECHNICAL CONVERGENCE..📊 THE TRADING PLAYBOOK
🛡️ CONSERVATIVE SUPPORT PLAY
Setup: Buy at Fibonacci support levels🚨
Entry: $158-$165 (0.618-0.5 zone) 🌟
Stop: $140 (Below all major support) ❌
Target:
Tp1 : $200(25% gain) 💰
Tp2 : $232 (40% gain) 💰
⚡ Position Size: 3-5% of portfolio ⚡
Time Horizon: 3-6 weeks 🎯
______ NOTE _______
DYOR ⚠️ Not financial advice. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
#SOLANA #SOL #SymmetricalTriangle #Fibonacci #Breakout #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #AltSeason #DeFi #MemeCoins #TradingSetup
Solana Macro Cycle Elliotwave countTop has been in for solana since going back to ATH. We are in a bear market retrace rally. Looking to scoop between 50-40 about 1 year from now. Let me know what you think below.
Trading alts on solana right now during the retrace rally, then potentially looking to rotate into radix plays or other coins finishing their wave 2's
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/22/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23353.00
- PR Low: 23336.00
- NZ Spread: 38.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks
Session Open Stats (As of 1:45 AM 7/22)
- Session Open ATR: 260.85
- Volume: 19K
- Open Int: 277K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -0.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23811
- Mid: 22096
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Elliott Wave Sequence In NVDA Suggests Rally From SupportNvidia (NVDA) continues rally to new all-time highs from April-2025 low and reinforcing a robust bullish outlook. In daily, it ended 7 swings pullback at 86.62 low in 4.07.2025 low started from 1.07.2025 high. Above April-2025 low, it confirmed higher high bullish sequence & pullback in 3, 7 or 11 swings should remain supported. Since April-2025 low, it favors rally in (3) of ((1)), while placed (1) at 115.44 high & (2) at 95.04 low in 4.21.2025. Above there, it placed 1 of (3) at 143.84 high, 2 as shallow connector at 132.93 low & 3 at 174.53 high. Wave (3) already extend beyond 2.0 Fibonacci extension of (1) & yet can see more upside. Within 1 of (3), it ended at ((i)) at 111.92 high, ((ii)) at 104.08 low, ((iii)) at 137.40 high, ((iv)) at 127.80 low & ((v)) at 143.84 high. Above 2 low, it placed ((i)) of 3 at 144 high, ((ii)) at 137.88 low, ((iii)) at 159.42 high, ((iv)) at 151.10 low & ((v)) at 174.53 high as 3 of (3).
It already reached the minimum area of 170.04 as inverse extension of connector. But it can see more upside as daily move showing highest momentum from April-2025 low. In 1-hour, above ((iv)) low, it placed (i) of ((v)) at 167.89 high in 5 swings, (ii) at 162.02 low, (iii) at 172.87 high, (iv) at 168.90 low & (v) of ((v)) at 174.53 high ended as 3. Currently, it favors pullback in 4 targeting into 170.13 - 168.11 area before rally in 5 or at least 3 swing bounce. Within 4, it ended ((a)) at 171.26 low, ((b)) at 173.38 high & favors lower in ((c)) of 4. It should find support in extreme area soon to turn higher for two more highs to finish ((1)). The next move in 5 of (3) can extend towards 175.9 or higher, while pullback stays above 168.11 low. The next two highs expect to come with momentum divergence to finish cycle from April-2025 low. Later it should see bigger pullback against April-2025 low in 3, 7 or 11 swings. But if it extends higher & erase momentum divergence, then it can see more upside.
Fake Pump, Real Dump?On the daily timeframe, XAUUSD is expected to be vulnerable to a correction toward the 3253–3325 area as the minimum retracement zone to potentially form a triangle pattern. However, in the worst-case scenario, indicated by the black label, XAUUSD may experience a deeper correction toward the 3093–3191 range.
One Last Dip Before the Pop?On the daily timeframe, we anticipate two possible scenarios for USOIL’s movement. In the red-labeled scenario, USOIL is expected to undergo a correction to test the 63.71–64.03 area. However, in the best-case scenario, if USOIL manages to hold above 64.03, it has the potential to strengthen toward the 68.27–72.53 range.
WMT eyes on $95.68 above 93.38 below: Double Golden fibs are KEYWMT has been orbitting this Double Golden zone.
$95.68 is a Golden Genesis, $83.38 a Golden Covid.
This is the "highest gravity" cluster any asset can have.
This is a very important landmark in this stock's lifetime.
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Healthy BTC Retrace in Trend Next Breakout Target 112K Then 122KBitcoin continues to respect the bullish market highlighted in our previous analysis, where the AB=CD structure pointed toward significant upside potential. The market has since retraced into a well defined re-accumulation zone, aligning precisely with prior expectations.
Price has held firmly above the round figure support ($100k), with the current structure confirming a healthy correction within trend.
As long as the re-accumulation zone between 104k–107k holds, momentum remains skewed to the upside. The projected 2.618 extension sits near the 122k mark, where the current setup aims to complete.
The broader structure still respects higher timeframe demand and ascending channel boundaries, keeping bullish continuation valid unless 100k decisively breaks. Watch for confirmation breakout above 112k to activate the next leg of the move.
If you found this analysis insightful, drop a like to support the work and leave a comment with your perspective whether you agree, disagree, or have an alternate scenario in mind. Let's grow together through collective insights.
BTC Bulls Defend Key Zone Eyes on $123K Breakout ExtensionBitcoin has successfully completed a breakout above the prior weekly high structure, followed by a healthy pullback which is currently unfolding into a bullish pennant formation. The key highlight is how price is retesting the neckline zone with precision, which now doubles as a strong immediate buyback zone.
The reaction from this level is already showing strong bullish momentum, with price gearing up to challenge the previous ATH. A breakout above that resistance should unlock the path toward the projected $116.5k and $123.4k targets as shown on the chart. Failure to hold the Immediate Buyback Zone opens the door toward the Strong Demand Zone, which remains a valid re-accumulation point within this bullish cycle.
Stay sharp. The structure remains intact unless the neckline fails decisively.
OKLO eyes on $72.37: Golden Genesis fib that should give a DIP OKLO going nuclear into a Golden Genesis fib at $72.37
Looking for a Dip-to-Fib or a Break-n-Retest new longs.
Most likely a few orbits around this ultra-high gravity fib.
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Last Plot caught break and sister Genesis Fib
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Older Plot caught the perfect Dip-to-Fib buys:
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Hit the BOOST and FOLLOW to catch more such EXACT trades.
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Netflix Wave Analysis – 21 July 2025
- Netflix reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1275.00
Netflix recently reversed up from the support zone between the support level 1200.00 (which stopped wave 4 at the start of June), lower daily Bollinger Band and the upper trendline of the daily up channel from October.
The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the earlier downward impulse wave C from the middle of July.
Given the strong daily uptrend, Netflix can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 1275.00 (top of the minor correction B).
$XRPUSD: Limits of Expansion🏛️ Research Notes
Documenting interconnections where historic area and coordinates of formations are used to express geometry of ongoing cycle.
If we scale out the chart back starting from roughly 2016, we can see more pretext like how the price was wired before decisive breakout from triangle.
Integrating fib channel to the angle of growth phase of the previous super-cycle, so that frequency of reversals match structural narrative.
GOLD → Breakthrough accumulation. Correction before growthFX:XAUUSD has been strengthening since the session opened and is heading towards the 3374 zone of interest. The price has previously broken through the consolidation resistance and may test this boundary before moving further.
Gold is rising amid trade risks and dollar weakness. After falling to $3310, gold resumed its growth, seeking to break through the $3368 level. Support for prices was provided by uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariff policy and expectations for Fed Chairman Powell's speech. The US dollar weakened temporarily as investors sought refuge in gold amid trade disputes with the EU, political instability in Japan, and criticism of the Fed from the White House.
Technically, the price is in a realization phase after breaking out of consolidation, but it has encountered resistance at 3368, which could lead to a correction. The focus is on the 3350-3355 zone. If the bulls hold their ground above this zone, the market may return to the realization phase.
Resistance levels: 3368, 3374
Support levels: 3345, 3332
The market is bullish and feels support, especially against the backdrop of a weak dollar. Traders are watching Trump and Powell. If the latter decides to cut rates, for example tomorrow at 12:30 GMT, gold could rally...
Technically, gold could test 3350 before rising.
Best regards, R. Linda!
DELL eyes on $116.10: Golden Genesis fib will determine TrendDELL has been a sleepy stock with mixed earnings.
Now testing a proven Golden Genesis at $116.01
Look for a Break-and-Retest to start an Uptrend.
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See "Related Publications" for other plots ---------------------->>>>>>>
This one in particular is caught the BOTTOM exaclty:
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BITCOIN → Consolidation, retest of 120K. Correction of dominanceBINANCE:BTCUSDT , after a rapid rally and touching 123K, rolled back and entered consolidation, giving altcoins a chance. At the same time, Trump signed new crypto laws, but will these laws open new doors?
On June 18, the GENIUS Act was signed. Information can be found in the sources, but there is no direct reference to BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P , except perhaps indirectly: increased confidence in the crypto market, increased liquidity, possible new rules, and pressure on decentralized assets. Bitcoin has not always grown on positive news; more often it has been a deep pullback and liquidation before the momentum.
Technically, Bitcoin is currently consolidating, and I would highlight several key areas: the upper range is 120K-120.9K. The zone between these levels is particularly important, as this is where buyers were previously liquidated and sellers gathered (liquidation is possible).
The bottom is 117K (confirmed) - 116.2K. There is a liquidity pool on the support side.
additional scenario if the market does not reach resistance and decides to form a long squeeze before growth
Theoretically, I am not yet expecting a breakout and growth of Bitcoin. I think that consolidation may continue for some time, especially against the backdrop of a pullback in altcoins and a deep correction in the dominance index.
Resistance levels: 120100, 120850
Support levels: 117000, 116230
Since the opening of the session, the price has been working off the liquidity capture from 117K. There is a reaction - growth, which could bring the price to the zone of interest at 120K. But the question is: will the price hold in the 120K zone? A false breakout of resistance could trigger a correction to 117-116K. Thus, I expect the market to remain in consolidation for some time or even expand the current trading range...
Best regards, R. Linda!