ICP Short-term Elliot Wave OutlookICP is currently in a short to medium term corrective phase which has lasted just over half of the year. In terms of the macro count it is completing the last leg of a zig-zag in either wave 2 or a B wave.
The primary count in white shows an impulse with five completed waves. In this instance, it is a non-overlapping ending diagonal where the impulse sub-divides as 3-3-3-3-3.
This count is invalidated if price breaks below the aqua support area.
If price breaks below the aqua support area the alternate count becomes more likely. In this case, we're looking at a WXYXZ in yellow.
Z can be either 61.8, 100.0, 123.6 or 138.2 of W. Generally targeting the area between 4.22 and 3.35
Fibonacci
BULLISH VIEW IN RK FORGING--Educational PurposeBOUNCE FROM WEEKLY DEMAND ZONE- BULLISH VIEW-
Educational purpose
Bounced after testing weekly demand zone and consolidating for 3 weeks suggest reversal of the downtrend.
Fibo targets :
Target 1 : 1375 (108%) (24-30 months)
Target 2 : 1570 (137%) (36-42 months)
SL : weekly closing below 550 (-17%)
RR Ratio : 1:8.5
Only long term view
Gold liquidity run short setup In this video I map out the range using the fixed range tool and talk about the possibility of a liquidity run on the weekly high before dropping back inside the range .
Engineering liquidity at the range value area high and thus heightening the expectation for more upside continuation , take the liquidity at $3392 and pull back below the vah *Value area high and head down to fill the new week open gap and the new monthly pivots $3297 and the poc * point of control and remain rangebound.
We all know that nothing is set in stone and this is just an idea out of many but its something to consider .
Set alerts and wait for reaction and lower time frame for confirmation
Thanks for your support
Bitcoin is ready for next ATH (if 100K hold)As we can see two major daily supports now can pump the price and one is 93K$ support zone and the other which is already started to pump the price is 100K$ support zone and price above these supports means market is still bullish and we can expect more rise and gain like the green arrows on chart to the new ATH.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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BITCOIN → Correction. The hunt for liquidity...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is recovering after liquidity was captured in the 100K zone. Locally, the technical situation is controversial despite the global bullish trend
Bitcoin is changing its market character (106700) and breaking the bullish structure (103000) during a correction phase. As part of the downward momentum, the movement is testing liquidity below the 100700 support level. As for the liquidation, there are several reasons: the conflict between Trump and Musk, strangely enough, the market reacted with a fall; the liquidation of whales, history repeats itself...
Traders are buying back Bitcoin, but technically the market has a bearish structure. Locally, there is a bearish trend, and a countertrend correction, “liquidity hunting,” is forming.
Ahead lies a fairly important zone of 105900-106700. The initial retest may end in a false breakout, as there may not be enough potential for continued growth (after a strong buyback).
Resistance levels: 105,900, 106,720, 110,400
Support levels: 103000, 101400, 100K
After a correction from 105900, which could target half (0.5) of the trading range, the market may attempt to return to a bullish phase, provided that the bulls keep the price from falling and do not allow it to update local lows. That is, in the short term, I expect a decline from 105900 to 103000, but further, if the price starts to return to 105500-105900, there may be chances for growth to 110K
Best regards, R. Linda!
TOTAL2 – Altcoin Market Cap (Weekly TF) 2025
**Summary:**
The TOTAL2 chart (crypto market cap excluding BTC) is showing a structurally bullish formation after a deep retracement and a higher low confirmation. This setup suggests a potential multi-phase rally toward 2.98T and beyond, with defined support zones and Fibonacci targets aligned with liquidity cycles. This analysis visualizes the expected roadmap based on trend-based Fibonacci extensions, retracement levels, and psychological market phases. Notably, the outlook includes the possibility of an initial correction to retest strong support zones before the market begins its ascent.
**Chart Context:**
TOTAL2 represents the aggregated market capitalization of all crypto assets excluding Bitcoin. Historically, it reflects capital rotation into altcoins, especially following BTC dominance peaks. The current chart shows strong reaccumulation above the 1T support zone, with Fibonacci confluences hinting at a sustained recovery pattern. Dotted arrows illustrate a wave-like projection of accumulation, rally, retracement, and expansion. The possibility of a near-term correction to lower support zones is also embedded in the path structure.
**Key Technical Observations: and Levels**
TP1 = 1.78T
TP2 = 2.05T
TP3 = 2.4T
TP4 = 2.85T
* **Secondary Fib Retracement :** 0% = 1.23T, 100% = 425.89B
* Key zones: 23.6% = 1.04T, 38.2% = \~840.42B, 61.8% = \~569.41B
Possible Support Levels: 1.04T, 930B, 840B, 766B, 735B,
* **Trend-Based Fib (A-B-C):** A = \~420B, B = \~1.23T, C = \~735B
* This projection aligns with TP1 at 1.78T
* **Support Area:** Around 1T psychological zone (930B)
* **Strong Support Zone:** 735 Bto775B
* **First Target Zone:** Between 1.73T and 1.89T (early resistance + Fib cluster)
**Indicators:**
* Weekly structure forming higher lows
* Long-term Fib retracements respected
* Trend-Based Extension projecting 1.618 move
* No divergence, confirming strength
**Fundamental Context:**
* Liquidity conditions are improving globally with rate cuts expected into late 2025.
* ETH and ecosystem tokens are likely to lead altcoin recovery.
* Regulatory clarity and ETF flows add legitimacy to broader crypto allocations.
* Historical alt-seasons emerge from BTC profit rotation—TOTAL2 leads that shift.
* However, several macro risks may trigger a correction before rallying:
* The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is currently high, suggesting overbought conditions.
* Macroeconomic uncertainties (e.g., inflation, rate hike fears) can suppress short-term risk appetite.
* Regulatory tightening across major jurisdictions introduces hesitation in capital deployment.
* Technical signs of a five-wave drop in BTC hint at a larger ABC correction scenario.
* DAT (Digital Asset Treasury) exposure among public firms may lead to forced liquidations during downturns.
**Philosophical or Narrative View:**
This is not just a market cycle—it's a reflection of decentralized innovation reclaiming narrative dominance. After fear-induced lows, TOTAL2's rise echoes the resilience of builders, protocols, and investor conviction. Each Fibonacci level acts like a checkpoint in the unfolding story of crypto's evolution beyond Bitcoin.
**Related Reference Charts:**
*
**Bias & Strategy Implication:**
* **Bias:** Bullish with short-term corrective risk
* **Accumulation Zone:** 1.0T–1.23T
* **Initial Risk:** Price may revisit the **Support Area (1T)** or even the **Strong Support Zone (775B–725B)** before a sustained move higher.
* **Partial TP:** 1.78T–2.05T
* **Extended TP:** 2.4T–2.98T
* Caution near TP4–Bonus zones as distribution risk increases
* Invalidated if closes below 725B (structure break)
**Notes & Disclaimers:**
This is a structural macro outlook and not financial advice. Markets are dynamic and subject to rapid shifts in sentiment, liquidity, and regulation. Always use risk management.
Bearish Structure Still in Control, But a Twist is PossibleALKEM continues to respect its larger downward channel, forming what looks like a classic W-X-Y corrective structure.
Wave W unfolded as a zigzag .
Wave X developed as a contracting triangle , ending near ₹5400.
The current drop appears to be the start of Wave Y , possibly forming another zigzag.
As long as price stays below ₹5460 (the 0.5 retracement of the entire W-Y structure), the bearish setup remains valid.
The RSI breakdown below 40 adds strength to the bearish bias. The projected Wave Y could extend toward the ₹3450 zone if symmetry with Wave W plays out.
Alternate Bullish Scenario :
While bearish remains the primary view, there's a low-probability bullish alternate :
If the move from the February lows to ₹5400 was actually a leading diagonal, then the current fall could be a Wave 2 correction. A sharp reversal from above ₹4491 might trigger a bullish breakout toward new highs.
Chart will be updated as price action evolves.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Tesla: Interconnected ATHsStructural update to:
Chronologically connecting pivots via fib channels creates a probabilistic map that captures the rhythm and scale relationships inherent in systematic price movements.
Fractal Wave Marker & Fractal Corridors were used to transform raw price data into a coherent, multiscale structure. Combo of those indicators makes you actually pay attention to ongoing patterns and get an idea how formations on smaller scale can be part of a bigger structural narrative.
$BTC Failed to Reclaim EMA9 - 200DMA in SightSo close, but so far away.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC held the 50DMA as support today but failed to break above the EMA9.
I suspect ₿itcoin now makes it way back down for the long awaited retest of the 200DMA ~$95k as I’ve been stating since the death cross.
If BTC can reclaim the EMA9 to close the week there may be a shot to continue the bullish uptrend, otherwise this correction will take a few weeks to play out.
Detailed analysis of the BTC/USD 4H chart🔍1. Chart Context
Interval: 4 hours (H4)
Current price: Around 104,950 – 105,400 USD
Range of recent candles: Strong rebound after a decline to around 101,000 USD.
Lower indicator: Stochastic RSI
📊2. Price Action Analysis
Market structure
Main trend (recent days): Downtrend – from the peaks of ~114,000 USD a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
Recent hours: Dynamic decline, followed by a quick, strong rebound from around 101,000 USD to ~105,000 USD.
Key technical levels
✅Resistance:
~105,500–106,000 USD – local peak of the last rebound wave and earlier lows from the end of May.
~108,000 USD – next key level, with a bigger upward movement.
Support:
~102,000–101,000 USD – bottom of the last movement, quick demand reaction, so-called “stop run” or false breakout.
~99,000 USD – psychological zone and important level in case of further declines.
📊3. Indicators
Stochastic RSI (bottom of the chart)
Currently: Stochastic RSI strongly overbought (above 80 points), both lines (blue and orange) are at the top and slightly curling.
Conclusion: Possible short-term correction/slowdown in growth. Overbought Stochastic RSI often precedes pullbacks, especially when testing important resistances.
🧠4. Possible scenarios
Bulls – Upside scenario:
If BTC breaks above $105,500 with momentum, a move to $106,000–108,000 is possible (another resistance and short squeeze).
The key will be the closing of the 4h candle above $105,500.
Bears – Downside scenario:
If the price does not break $105,500, profit taking and a pullback to $103,000–102,000 are possible.
Strong defense of the $101,000–102,000 level by the bulls – if it is broken again, it threatens to deepen the declines even to $99,000.
📊5. Additional Notes
Reduced Volatility: After such a strong bounce, there is often a period of “calmness” and consolidation.
Potential Traps: False breakouts for 4h and sudden changes in direction (characteristic of the crypto market).
📌6. Warning Signals
Stochastic RSI overbought – suggests to be cautious with long positions “on the top” without additional confirmation.
Lack of continuation after a strong bounce – if the price does not “reach” higher in the next candles, the risk of a correction increases.
🧠Summary:
Currently: BTC/USD in a short-term bounce phase after a strong decline. The price is approaching a significant resistance (~105,500 USD). Stochastic RSI shows overbought – possible correction or sideways movement.
Direction for the next few hours: Reactions at USD 105,500 (resistance) and ~USD 102,000 (support) will be key.
AUDJPY Wave Analysis – 6 June 2025
- AUDJPY broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 95.30
AUDJPY currency pair recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 93.75 (top of the previous B-wave from the end of May) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse A from last month.
The breakout of this resistance area should accelerate the active short-term correction B.
AUDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 95.30 (which stopped the previous waves 4 and (A)).
Put a lid on what smells badWe are within a resistance range that is as old as 5 years. It has been confirmed impressively in February 2024 again. Perhaps we will test these high again within the next weeks. But I oubt that we may decisive exceed the 230-240 level as this resistance is very strong and even stronger due to the 2024 Fibonacci extension.
The top on Wednesday could no be overcome. This means to me that we are in a decisive zone now with a possible correction attempt towards the open window of mid May.
Another upward attempt may be followed then.
Island Reversal?I don't know yet. There is a big open window above us. It means that there was a big bearish momentum but it has been neutralized yesterday already. The harami today is indicating that this may become an Island Reversal with some upward potential.
Whether this will become a real retracement of the April rise is not sure of course but a close of the window is possible anyway.
GOLD → Intra-range strategy. Waiting for NFPFX:XAUUSD remains consolidated in the 3340-3391 range. The price is stuck in the middle of the range due to the uncertainty created by upcoming unemployment news...
On Friday, gold rose slightly, remaining within the range ahead of important US employment data (NFP), which could set the direction for the market. Optimism over the US-China deal and profit-taking on the dollar are supporting the USD, holding back gold's rise. A weak NFP (less than 100,000) will reinforce expectations of a Fed rate cut and support gold. A strong report (above 200,000) will have the opposite effect. The probability of a rate cut in September is 54%.
Technically, on the daily timeframe, the market structure is bullish. After a sharp breakout of resistance and a new high, the price is consolidating above the upward trend line, forming a plateau in the 3300-3340 zone. Another shakeout from support is possible before the trend resumes
Resistance levels: 3375, 3391, 3414
Support levels: 3339, 3331
Forming a price forecast ahead of news, especially ahead of NFP, is a thankless task. Therefore, it is advisable to wait for the news and monitor the price reaction. A retest of the consolidation boundary and a rebound are possible. There is a chance that the price will remain in consolidation until next week, but again, it all depends on the fundamental background...
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDCAD → One step away from distributionFX:USDCAD is recovering amid the dollar's growth. Unemployment news is ahead. A return of the price to the buying zone may support the currency pair.
Against the backdrop of the dollar's growth, a change in the market phase is forming (unconfirmed). The price has stopped updating lows and is forming an eql, from which it is breaking out of the downtrend. The initial retest of liquidity at 1.366 may end in a correction. However, a quick retest and consolidation of the price above the level will confirm the change in sentiment
Resistance levels: 1.3686, 1.3732
Support levels: 1.3675, 1.366
Despite the fact that the price broke the downward resistance, the currency pair is still under pressure from sellers who are waiting for the price to fall from 1.3686. A breakout, a change in market sentiment to bullish, and consolidation above 1.3675-1.3686 will confirm readiness for a recovery. Zones of interest: eqh 1.3732
Best regards, R. Linda!
TRUMPUSDT price analysis✊ It seems that the price of $Trump will only skyrocket when #Trump is impeached!
And we're keeping our fingers crossed that this happens as soon as possible... Mr. #Musk, you have nothing to lose — spill the beans!
As a Ukrainian classic wrote: “I gave birth to you — I will kill you.”
🕯 As for the price of OKX:TRUMPUSDT , it is moving very harmoniously and according to the canons of TA, regardless of who makes some “news throws” and does it on time or not.
And this is not surprising, as the crypto market titan Justin Sun has invested in it. His reputation is controversial, but he knows how to defend his “creations” and investments, pump them up, and make money on them.
So, it's purely hypothetical to assume that the price of $Trump will continue to rise, but this is by no means a call to invest in the red-haired jerk's coin. ✊
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Digital Turbine inc. Future of the Stock impressive, where it Target level = 47.57$
Cup and Handle at the Bottom in progress of formation 👌
1st Target price = 47 $ - 48 $
A Motive powerful wave in the way, and I expected a Massive positive News in the way any moment
Highly recommended for Buying & Accumulation.