NZDUSD Wave Analysis – 27 May 2025- NZDUSD reversed from the pivotal resistance level 0.6020
- Likely to fall to support level 0.5900
NZDUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the pivotal resistance level 0.6020 (which has been reversing the price from November).
The downward reversal from the resistance level 0.6020 formed the daily Shooting Star – which stopped the C-wave of the previous ABC corrections (2).
NZDUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.5900, which has been reversing the price since the middle of May.
Fibonacci
Litecoin Wave Analysis – 27 May 2025- Litecoin reversed from key support level 92.65
- Likely to rise to resistance level 100,00
Litecoin cryptocurrency recently reversed from the key support level 92.65 (which stopped the previous minor correction (2) earlier in May).
The support level 92.65 was strengthened by the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous upward impulse 5 from the start of May.
Litecoin cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 100,00, which stopped the previous correction B.
Nikkei 225 Wave Analysis – 27 May 2025
- Nikkei 225 reversed from support level 36675,00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 38800,00
Nikkei 225 index recently reversed up from the pivotal support level 36675,00 (which formed the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Morning Star at the start of May).
The support level 36675,00 strengthened by the 20-day moving average and by the 38.21% Fibonacci correction of the previous upward impulse from April.
Nikkei 225 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 38800,00, top of the previous minor correction 2.
TSLA eyes on $350: not just a round number bot also Genesis fib TSLA has been butting up against $350 for a reason.
The round number is further reinforced by fibs.
Look for Break-n-Retest or Dip-to-Fib for entry.
$349.99 happens to be a Genesis fib (minor ratio)
$340.59 is a Golden Covid fib, another strong one.
$331.57 is a semi-major Genesis fib for support.
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Previous Trade Calls below
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$205 bottom call
Trump Pump dip buys
$294 Dunk then Break
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USD/CAD Bulls Emerge at Confluent SupportUSD/CAD has responded to confluent support at 1.3714/29 - a region defined by the 78.6% retracement of the September rally and the 38.2% retracement of the 2021 advance. Note that the 25% parallel of the descending pitchfork converges on this threshold over the next few days and a break / close below is needed to fuel the next leg of the decline / mark downtrend resumption.
Initial resistance is eyed with the 61.8% retracement of the late 2023 advance / May open at 1.3794/98 and is backed closely by the median-line. Rallies should be limited to this slope IF price is heading lower on this stretch with a break / close below this pivot zone exposing subsequent objectives at 1.3590- 1.3614 and 1.3504/23 . Broader bearish invalidation extends into the 200-day moving average at 1.3990-1.4019 .
-MB
BTC/USD 4h Chart ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. When we enter the four-hour interval, we can see how the BTC price is moving in the upward trend channel, in which several upward waves can be marked, which may indicate the beginning of another wave of growth.
Here you can see how the current rebound has brought the movement closer to a strong resistance zone from $ 110,400 to $ 113,200, only breaking out of this zone on top can give the price an increase in the area of strong resistance at $ 121,000.
Looking the other way, you can see that when the trend reverses, we first have a support zone from $ 106,600 to $ 105,400, however, if this zone is broken, we can see a quick return of the price to the area of strong support at $ 102,000.
The RSI indicator shows how a support line was formed from which the indicator bounced many times, giving the price an increase, while the MACD indicator maintained the upward trend and created room for another upward movement when the price recovered.
GOLD Analysis – 4H View
📉 Today, gold failed to bounce on the resistance trendline it had broken last week.
This led to a sharp drop throughout Tuesday’s session.
🔁 Currently, price is reacting around the 50% Fibonacci retracement of last week’s significant bullish move. This bounce might be purely technical.
🧭 The next move will likely depend on this week’s U.S. inflation data:
If inflation comes in line with expectations or decreases, we could see a shift towards a risk-on sentiment, causing further downside in gold.
However, if inflation rises again, gold could rally as a safe haven, especially given the current ongoing geopolitical tensions between Ukraine and Russia.
⚠️ If these tensions escalate further, it would strengthen gold’s role as a hedge, potentially triggering a new bullish leg.
➡️ The market is clearly waiting for a decisive macro catalyst, and the coming days could set the tone for gold’s next direction.
GOLD → Correction before possible growthFX:XAUUSD entered a liquidation phase (rally) within the trading range at the opening of the session. The dollar's rise is to blame. The focus is on supporting consolidation...
Investors remain interested in gold as a safe haven asset amid geopolitical risks and declining demand for US assets.
The key drivers remain news about tax reform in the US, trade negotiations, and upcoming macro data.
Gold is consolidating, but since the opening of the session, the price has been heading towards support. Against the backdrop of an upward trend, a trigger for bearish liquidity is likely to form before growth.
Against the backdrop of the dollar's growth, gold is entering a correction phase. At the moment, all attention is on support and the liquidity zone of 3265. A false breakdown will trigger a price buyback.
Resistance levels: 3322
Support levels: 3282, 3265
Since the price is still within the range and a countertrend correction is forming in the market, in our case, it is worth considering an intraband trading strategy. A false breakdown of support could trigger growth to intermediate resistance or to the upper border of the channel.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → False breakout of 110K. Negative background???BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P hit a new all-time high of almost 112K on the back of improved economic and fundamental data, but the party didn't last long before Trump's next speech...
Yesterday, Trump spoke and announced new tariffs on the EU. The markets reacted quite aggressively to this news. Despite the fact that the market has practically bought back all the losses, the question itself remains open. The introduction of 50% tariffs on Europe will increase the risk background, which could trigger a fall in both the stock market and cryptocurrencies. In this case, money will flow into gold (a safe asset)...
Technically, Bitcoin is forming a false breakout of the global resistance level of 110K (previous ATH). The price is reacting and forming a bearish momentum (coinciding with the change in the fundamental background).
The area between 109.8 and 110.3 is a resistance and liquidity zone relative to the previous ATH. If the bears hold the resistance, Bitcoin may get stuck inside the 110K - 106.8K (105K) range.
Resistance levels: 109.8K, 110.3K, 112K
Support levels: 106.8K, 105K
Accordingly, if the 110K resistance holds amid the correction, consolidation below the resistance will confirm the formation of a false breakout, and in this case, Bitcoin may move to the 110K (112K) - 105K (102K) range. However, situations change daily, and if Bitcoin does break through 110K and manages to consolidate above its previous ATH, this will be a signal for growth...
Best regards, R. Linda!
OKLO eyes on $30.95: Golden Genesis fib that might cause a Dip OKLO getting a lift along with the nuclear sector.
We have just hit a Golden Genesis fib at $30.95.
Look for a Dip-to-Fib or Break-n-Retest for entry.
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Previous Analysis that called last years TOP:
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Bitcoin – Possible 4h Sweep at 106.5kBitcoin recently printed a sharp rejection after revisiting a key supply area formed by a 4H fair value gap, overlapping perfectly with the golden pocket zone from the most recent down move. This confluence provided a strong technical ceiling, causing a clear reaction and shifting short-term sentiment to the downside. The rejection was sharp and clean, leaving behind an upper wick that signals strong selling interest. From here, price appears to be in search of support, and our eyes are now locked on the 4H imbalance around the 108.2k level, which could serve as a key pivot for the next directional move.
Consolidation and Confluence Structure
This recent move isn’t just a random drop. We’ve built a range around this resistance zone, with multiple failed attempts to break higher, followed by a clear rejection from inside the 4H FVG and golden pocket. This kind of structure usually tells us two things: first, buyers are struggling to break through strong institutional resistance, and second, there’s still liquidity left below that the market may want to sweep before any continuation higher. This is where the FVG at 108.2k and the PDL around 106.5k come into play. Both zones are clean, visible, and highly likely to draw price if the current level doesn’t hold.
Fair Value Gap Reaction Potential
The 108.2k zone is where the first major reaction could occur. It marks a fresh 4H imbalance created during the impulsive move upward, and price is now backfilling that inefficiency. If buyers step in here, respecting this imbalance as a demand zone, we could easily see a rotation back up toward 110.2k and eventually a retest of the upper resistance band near 111k. This would be a typical FVG play: price rebalances into the gap, finds demand, and continues higher.
Failure Scenario and Liquidity Sweep Setup
If the 108.2k FVG fails to hold as support, the next target becomes much more obvious, the previous day’s low at 106.5k. That level is also a 4H swing low, making it a prime liquidity draw. A move below that low would allow price to collect sell-side liquidity, sweep out late longs, and potentially trap breakout traders expecting further downside. If this level is swept cleanly and followed by bullish displacement, it could offer a high-probability long entry from the discount zone. The risk-reward from this setup would be ideal, especially if we reclaim 108.2k afterward.
Market Context and Higher Timeframe Bias
Zooming out, the structure remains bullish on higher timeframes, but this local rejection is a necessary reset. It’s a shakeout that allows price to reprice into demand and generate momentum for the next leg up. This kind of behavior is typical in trending markets, corrective moves that dig into inefficiencies, hunt liquidity, and then reestablish the trend. As long as we don’t see sustained closes below 106k, the bias remains tilted toward continuation to the upside, with current price action offering a potential entry opportunity.
Price Target and Expectations
If we hold the 108.2k zone, my first short-term target is the 110.2k structure high, followed by the upper resistance area around 111k where the initial rejection occurred. A reclaim of that zone opens the door to expansion toward 112k. If instead we sweep the PDL and bounce from 106.5k, the first target would be a retrace into the 108.2k imbalance, with the next leg aiming for the same resistance range. Either path sets up a long opportunity from areas of value.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is at an important decision point. The rejection from the 4H FVG and golden pocket confirms strong resistance, and price is now seeking support lower. The 108.2k FVG is a critical zone, a hold here gives us a clean continuation setup, while a failure could lead to a deeper liquidity sweep toward 106.5k. Either scenario offers high-quality trade potential as long as we stay disciplined and wait for confirmation from price action. Patience is key, but both levels present opportunities to position long from areas where smart money typically steps in.
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Thanks for your support!
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Best Practice: Prepare, Assess, Plan Then TradeTraders are often eager to jump straight into the next trading session but this may not always be the best option to chose. It can be more beneficial to follow a regular pre-trading routine to note down important scheduled events, establish current trends, as well as meaningful support and resistance price levels, and importantly this doesn’t have to be time consuming.
This is not meant to be that trading ‘holy grail’ but more of an addition to your existing trading process or plan. Having a regular routine to establish important levels, indicator set-ups and price trends to be aware of during your trading day may help you make trading decisions in a more effective way.
This pre trading routine can also be helpful for traders that take longer term positions, as it’s still important to consider the longer-term weekly perspectives as well.
This routine can be carried out at the weekend and then monitored and, where necessary, modified during the week as price action develops for the particular CFD(s) you are trading.
1. Keep Informed of Important Data Releases
If there are several CFD’s you regularly trade and tend to stick with, make sure you have as much information about those assets as possible before you start trading.
Consider utilising the Pepperstone trading calendar to help keep you informed of any economic releases/company earnings data that might impact the CFD you are trading before the week/session starts.
Once you know the scheduled events ahead, you can ask yourself,
Could these impact my trading?
Could the market reaction to this new information increase the volatility of the CFD I am about to trade or already have a position in?
How may this impact my risk?
Knowing what it is expected by the market before a particular important economic data release, such as US Non-farm Payrolls, can help you assess positioning going into the release, gauge market reaction to the data, and then be prepared for any potential price sentiment change and/or increased volatility.
2. Be Aware of Potential Support and Resistance Levels
Ahead of your trading day, consider running through the Pepperstone charts of the CFD’s you are considering trading and make a note of 3 support and resistance levels, that you identify as being meaningful. To help you we have set out an example Trading Template below.
Daily: Level: Reason: Current Trend: Current Thoughts:
Support
1st:
2nd:
3rd
Resistance
1st
2nd
3rd
Keep this next to your trading screen, so you are aware of particular levels that may act as support and resistance, if prices move in that direction. This can help you to improve trade entry or assist you with the placement of a stop loss or take profit order.
If these levels are broken at any time, you can update the template with any new support/resistance levels during the trading period.
3. Be Aware of the Daily Trends – Focus on Bollinger Bands
Using the direction of the daily Bollinger mid-average can be helpful to gauge the direction of the daily trend.
If the,
Mid-average is moving up = price uptrend
Mid-average is moving down = price downtrend
Mid-average is flat = possible price sideways range
The daily and weekly perspectives are the most important to be aware of, so it can be beneficial to analyse the charts from the longest timeframe into the shortest as this allows you to build a better understanding of the dominant trends.
You can also note these trends on the Trading Template, so it’s available to you when you are trading.
4. Follow the Same Process for All Other Timeframes - 4 Hour, 1 Hour, Even Shorter if it Suits Your Trading.
You can carry out the routine outlined in point 3, for any timeframes you are trading.
Things to note,
Are there any new trends suggested within a shorter term perspective by the Bollinger mid-average?
If the direction of a shorter term mid-average has changed, it may be an indication of either a change or resumption of a longer term price trend.
If this trend change also looks to be resuming within the longer term perspectives, this could be a more important signal, as the resumption of an existing longer term trend may mean a more extended move in that direction.
Be aware, confirmation of a price trend change within a longer term perspective might mean it could take longer and offer less trading opportunities, as initially price moves may be less aggressive in nature.
5. Where, Within the Various Timeframes is Price in Relation to the Bollinger Bands?
As we have highlighted in a previous commentary (please take a look our past posts), Bollinger Bands can highlight increasing price volatility within a trend.
Things to note regarding Bollinger Bands,
Are the upper or lower bands being touched by prices within any of the timeframes?
Within a sideways range (flat mid-average) this might suggest price has reached either a support or resistance level, with potential for a reversal.
While being touched, are the upper and lower bands starting to widen which indicates increasing price volatility, or contract, which indicates decreasing price volatility?
Remember - widening bands within a confirmed trend highlight increasing volatility, suggesting the current price move might continue for longer than you may anticipate, while contracting bands, point to decreasing volatility, which may lead to a reduction in a particular CFDs price movement.
Do the timeframes align?
If they do it may suggest a stronger trading opportunity is evident. CFDs within trending markets seeing increasing volatility tend to offer greater potential than those that aren’t.
In this scenario it maybe worthwhile considering only trading with the trend, not trying to pick bottoms or tops of markets, or if you do, consider a more cautious approach to your trading by reducing the size of your position and risk.
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Nifty Analysis EOD – May 27, 2025 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – May 27, 2025 – Tuesday 🔴
Another day, another 25K fight. Bulls tried hard, but bears had the final say — what about tomorrow?
📊 Nifty Summary:
The market opened with a slight gap-down of 38 points at 24,958. Within just 10 minutes, Nifty slid 207 points below the previous day’s low, diving into the 24,768–24,800 zone. It briefly halted around 24,737 — marking the first low of the day — and then suddenly reversed sentiment with a rapid 295-point rally within 45 minutes, breaking CPR, PDH, and even touching the previous week’s high. However, this strength didn’t last long. Gradually, Nifty fell back toward VWAP, broke below the current day low, and formed a new low at 24,704. It eventually closed at 24,826 — above the 24,768–24,800 support zone but below the PDL.
The rally between 24,768 and 25,062 was surprising in both speed and size. It didn't feel like short-covering or fresh buying, but it certainly caught many traders off-guard and likely led to position adjustments.
🛡 5 Min Chart with levels
📉 Intraday Walk:
🔻 Sharp fall within first 10 mins: 24,958 → 24,737
🔼 Sudden spike: 24,737 → 25,062 (rally of 295 points in 45 mins)
🔻 Gradual drop back to VWAP and beyond
🧭 Final dip: new low of 24,704 before recovery
✅ Closed at 24,826 — still above a key support zone
🧠 Key Observations:
Today's low (24,704) aligns near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from swing low to PDH — suggesting a potential end to the 3-day retracement phase if it holds.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) from May 22–26 is now filled, suggesting fresh buying interest may re-emerge.
But... closing below PDL (24,900) is a concern and hints at continued pressure.
It’s the fifth day of rejection from the 25,062–25,070 supply zone — a major wall to breach.
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
📉 Daily Candle Breakdown:
Open: 24,956.65
High: 25,062.90
Low: 24,704.10
Close: 24,826.20
Change: −174.95 (−0.70%)
🔍 Candle Structure
Real Body: Red (130.45 points) — signifies selling pressure
Upper Wick: 106.25 points — resistance near high
Lower Wick: 122.10 points — buyers tried to fight back➡️ Resembles an Inverted High-Wave Candle: signals indecision with bearish bias
Price volatility was intense. Bulls showed strength mid-day, but bears had better endurance. This candle may lead to further weakness unless buyers reclaim 25,063 quickly.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
🥷 Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 314.6
IB Range: 178.7 (Medium)
Market Structure: Imbalanced
🎯 Trade Highlights:
🟥 9:20 Short Trigger → No trade (unfavourable R:R, System not Allow)
🟩 11:30 Long Trigger → SL Hit
🟥 14:20 Short Trigger → SL Hit
📉 Total Trades: 2 (Both hit SL)
Tough day for the system — range extremes and sudden reversals ruled the game.
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
📈 Resistance Zones:
• 24,882 ~ 24,895
• 24,920
• 24,980 ~ 25,000
• 25,062 ~ 25,070 (5th rejection!)
• 25,116 ~ 25,128
• 25,180 ~ 25,212
• 25,285 ~ 25,399
📉 Support Zones:
• 24,768 ~ 24,820
• 24,660
• 24,640 ~ 24,625
• 24,590
• 24,530 ~ 24,480
• 24,460
📌 What’s Next?
If 24,704 holds, bulls may attempt a bounce again.
A close above 25,063 would restore bullish sentiment.
But if 24,700 breaks, we may see deeper correction into lower support zones.
💬 Final Thoughts:
"Market will teach you humility every time you think you've figured it out."Today’s sudden rally followed by a deeper fall reminds us how quickly sentiment can shift. Trade with levels, respect zones, and keep adapting — that’s the only constant.
✏️ Disclaimer:
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
URNM eyes on $36.07: Golden Genesis to Mark Bottom or End BounceURNM trying to recover from a strong downtrend.
Currently testing a Golden Genesis fib at $36.07
Look for a Break-and-Retest to mark the Bottom.
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Last Plot that called the TOP:
Also a Golden Genesis that marked the top.
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Jupiter JUP price analysisThe price of OKX:JUPUSDT did not live up to the “multifaceted promises” of marketers and disappointed us...
So we will get rid of #Jup from our portfolio in the designated area.
May all the gods, headed by Zeus, help #Jupiter rises from its knees and cross the $0.80 mark at least for a while
There is nothing more to add, with such dynamics, it will be very difficult to "scrape up" #JUP to at least $1...
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