HBAR Masterclass: Fib Precision + ConfluenceHBAR has been a dream to chart lately — beautifully technical, clean reactions, and a strong respect for structure. When a chart follows fibs this precisely, charting becomes fun — like solving a puzzle that pays. You stop forcing trades and start enjoying the process.
Let’s break down where the next high-probability trade setup lies — and why.
Elliott Wave Context
HBAR recently completed a 5-wave impulse structure and is now unfolding a ABC correction:
✅ Wave A: Broke below Wave 4's low
✅ Wave B: Rejected cleanly at the 0.618 retracement of Wave A
🔄 Wave C: Currently unfolding, with price structure hinting at a Head & Shoulders forming to the downside
Interestingly, HBAR has been bouncing between golden ratios like a Fibonacci pinball machine. — reinforcing how well this asset respects technical structure.
🟢 Long Opportunity: The Golden Pocket Zone
By pulling Fibonacci retracement from the entire 5-wave leg (from $0.16941 to $0.22885), we uncover the golden pocket:
0.618 Fib → $0.19212
0.666 Fib → $0.18926
But what really strengthens this zone is the confluence:
📍 21-Day EMA → $0.19361
📍 21-Day SMA → $0.19229
📍 Anchored VWAP from the $0.15396 low → ~$0.19135
📍 4/1 Gann Fan support (if reached between May 15–17)
Together, they form a tight support band between:
🎯 $0.195 – $0.18926
📐 How We Projected the 1.618 Target
Here’s where the magic of planning comes in.
If Wave C finishes within this golden pocket, we can anticipate the next move by applying a trend-based Fibonacci extension. This gives us a realistic projection for the next impulsive move:
📈 1.618 extension lands at → $0.28654
This level also aligns with the yearly level and previous key high — forming an ideal final target
📘 Educational Insight: Why Golden Pockets Matter
In trading, the “golden pocket” — the 0.618-0.666 Fibonacci retracement zone — is often where high-probability reversals take place. It’s a zone where buyers (or sellers) return with conviction after a correction. When this area also aligns with EMAs, anchored VWAPs, Gann levels etc. and previous structure, it becomes more than just a level — it becomes a decision zone.
This is where confluence transforms a trade idea into a trade setup.
🟢 Long Trade Setup:
Entry: Laddered between $0.195 – $0.18926
Stop-Loss: Below $0.185
Take-Profit: $0.28654
R:R: ~10:1
Potential Gain: ~+50%
🔴 Short Setup (If Rejected at Extension):
If price hits $0.28654 and shows exhaustion or bearish reversal patterns (SFP, engulfing candle, volume spike), a short could be considered:
Entry: ~$0.286
Stop-Loss: $0.2967 (better above $0.3)
Target: $0.2622
R:R: ~2:1
HBAR is giving us a textbook case of structure, rhythm, and precision. Whether it’s the golden pocket, the 1.618 extension, or the alignment of multiple tools — this is how clean setups are built.
Set your alerts. Trust the plan. Let the chart come to you.
In trading, silence is a skill — knowing when not to act is as powerful as knowing when to strike.
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Fibonacci
NEAR’s Pullback Zone Found — Is $4 Next?NEAR just pulled off a +50% rally from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $2.224 — a strong show of force from the bulls. After that explosive move, price is now cooling off in a consolidation phase, preparing for the next leg higher.
🟢 Long Setup — Dip Before Lift?
The next high-probability long zone lies between:
$3.026 – $2.94
Possible but less likely of a deeper dip to $2.78 (0.5 Fib of the recent move)
Long entries can be laddered between $3.00 and $2.90 (even $2.80 if volatility kicks in).
Stop-Loss: Below the daily 21 EMA ($2.7344) and 21 SMA ($2.6739)
Target: $4.00
R:R: ~4:1 — clean and structured
This setup aligns with standard continuation behaviour after strong impulses — consolidation, retrace, and resume.
🔴 Short Setup (on Rejection at $4.00)
Entry: ~$4.00
Stop-Loss: Above $4.25
Target: Yearly open (~$3.65)
R:R: ~1.5:1 — not ideal, but valid on confirmation
🎯 Summary
NEAR is consolidating after a strong move — either ready to continue higher or retest deeper into Fib support
Long zone: $3.00–$2.90 (poss. $2.80)
Short zone: $4.00 (on rejection only)
Simple structure, clean risk, and nothing forced — exactly how it should be.
Sometimes, less is more. Let price show the next move. Stay ready. 📈
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ADA Correction Nearing Completion — Trade It Like a ProADA is respecting structure beautifully and currently consolidating after completing a 5-wave impulse move. The key question now is: where are the next high-probability trade setups?
Let’s break it down step by step.
Market Structure & Elliott Context
ADA has completed a full 5-wave bullish sequence, and—as expected—is now in a correction phase. This appears to be forming a classic ABC correction.
Using the Fibonacci retracement tool:
0.5 retracement of the entire move sits at → $0.7534
This aligns perfectly with the previous swing high at $0.746 — a level that has yet to be retested
The 1:1 trend-based Fib extension of a potential ABC correction puts Wave C at → $0.7492
Confluence Check:
This entire support zone (~$0.75) is stacked with technical alignment:
✅ Previous swing high: $0.746
✅ 0.5 Fib retracement: $0.7534
✅ 1:1 extension: $0.7492
✅ Daily 21 EMA: $0.7455
✅ Daily 21 SMA: $0.7347
✅ Point of Control (POC): ~$0.7318
✅ Anchored VWAP: Also sitting in this zone
✅ Pitchfork golden pocket: Aligns as dynamic support
All of these support indicators point to one thing: this ~$0.75 zone is a high-probability long entry area.
🟢 Long Setup
Entry zone: Ladder between $0.77 – $0.75
Average entry: ~$0.76
Stop-loss: Below $0.7318 (under POC)
Target: $0.9212 (0.618 retracement of the recent down wave)
R:R: ~5:1
Potential upside: +22%
🔴 Short Setup (on Rejection Only)
Entry: $0.9212 (0.618 Fib retracement of downtrend)
Stop-loss: Above 0.666 Fib → ~$0.958
Target: previous swing high or yearly open
R:R: ~1.4:1 (it can be adjusted tighter upon confirmation)
This short setup isn’t ideal in terms of R:R unless we see clear rejection. But with confirmation — like an SFP, bearish engulfing, or divergence — the stop can be tightened, making the risk-to-reward much more favourable.
📘 Educational Insight: Why Structure Beats Emotion
In trading, the strongest setups occur where multiple tools converge—Fib levels, EMAs, VWAP, volume zones, and past price action. When these align, it’s not about guessing—it’s about preparing.
The key is to wait for structure to come to you, not the other way around. Patience allows clarity. Clarity allows precision. And precision pays.
💡 Final Thoughts
The plan is clear. Levels are set. Now it’s just observation and discipline.
Good trades don’t chase attention — they present themselves to those who wait.
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PEAQ — Fibonacci Meets Wyckoff Structure +100% SetupAfter more than 70 days of sideways action, PEAQ is finally showing signs of life — with a well-defined structure that suggests accumulation is giving way to a potential new trend.
What we’re seeing aligns closely with a classic Wyckoff Accumulation pattern. A local bottom formed around the psychological $0.10 level, followed by a clean breakout — marking a potential Sign of Strength (SOS).
Now comes the real opportunity.
Wyckoff Accumulation Structure
Following the long consolidation range:
🔹 Phase D: Breakout from range = Sign of Strength (SOS)
🔄 Current: Pullback = potential Last Point of Support (LPS)
The recent correction has now retraced into the 0.786 Fib zone of the impulse wave — a deeper but still healthy retracement for Wyckoff structure. Notably, this level also coincides with the previous highs that PEAQ broke out from, now flipping into support. A perfect test of demand.
🔍 Confluence Zone Breakdown
0.786 Fibonacci retracement: ~$0.1312
Previous highs: ~$0.14
Monthly open: $0.1289 (ideal invalidation level)
These overlapping signals create a tightly packed support zone that defines the next high-probability long setup.
🟢 Long Setup — 0.786 ($0.1312)
Entry: $0.1312
Same stop-loss: $0.125 (below mOpen)
Targets: $0.2589 and 1.618 Trend-Based Fib Extension target at $0.2694
R:R: ~16:1+
Potential upside: +100%+
📘 Educational Insight: Wyckoff Meets Fibonacci
This setup is a combination of Wyckoff theory and Fibonacci structure:
SOS breakout signals strength
LPS pullback into 0.786 Fib = high-probability continuation zone
Previous highs now acting as support
When structure, confluence, and psychology align — you don't chase. You wait.
📌 Summary
✅ 70+ days of accumulation
✅ SOS confirmed
🔁 Now retracing to LPS around $0.131
🔒 Monthly open provides clear invalidation
🎯 Targets: $0.2589 and $0.2694
💰 Potential R:R: 16:1+
Each chart is a lesson. Read it with patience, trade it with purpose.
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XRP Correction Complete? — Long Setup Aligned with Fib & OBXRP has completed a 5-wave impulse move. As expected, XRP is now in a corrective phase, pulling back after rejecting from a key resistance — and it’s doing so with technical precision.
The question now: where is the next high-probability long setup? Let’s break it down.
🧠 Market Structure & Key Zones
Using Fibonacci retracement from the base of the 5-wave impulse, we now have a potential golden pocket target aligned with major confluence.
🔽 Support Zone
🔹 0.618 Fib retracement: $2.2982
🔹 Daily Bullish Order Block: $2.2949
🔹 Daily 21 EMA: $2.329
🔹 Daily 21 SMA: $2.301
🔹 Liquidity pool
🔹 0.786 Fib Speed Fan (only if price drops between May 17–18)
This creates a high-confluence support cluster at ~$2.3 — a prime candidate for a long re-entry.
🟢 Long Trade Setup
Entry: Ladder between $2.32 and $2.28
Stop-loss: ~$2.21
Target: $2.7175 (0.618 Fib retracement of the corrective downtrend)
R:R: ~5:1
🔴 Short Setup (Conditional)
Trigger: Rejection at $2.7175
Entry: ~$2.7175
Stop-loss: Above $2.8033 (0.666 Fib) → set at ~$2.811
Take Profit: ~$2.56 or lower
R:R: ~2:1+ (dependent on entry confirmation and PA behaviour)
Shorts only valid if a clear rejection or SFP pattern emerges. If momentum is strong, this level may break — so wait for structure to confirm.
📘 Educational Insight: Why Confluence Matters
Too often, traders chase single-indicator signals. But real edge comes from confluence — when multiple tools (Fibs, MAs, Order Blocks, Liquidity, VWAPs, FVG, Speed Fans etc.) agree on the same zone. This alignment not only increases confidence in your entry, but also sharpens your risk management.
Think of it as building a case — the more aligned evidence you have, the stronger your trade thesis becomes.
📌 Summary
XRP is in a corrective phase after a 5-wave impulse
Clean rejection from weekly resistance → continuation of bearish trend
Long zone: ~$2.3
SL: ~$2.21 | TP: $2.7175 | R:R ~5:1
Optional short: $2.7175 rejection → SL $2.811 | TP $2.56
Precision isn’t about predicting — it’s about being ready when the chart speaks with clarity. Patience makes probability powerful.
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FILECOIN - A less risky bet to make $$$FILUSD shows to be a good bet for the below reasons.
a. All time low reached on 07th Apr 2025 and will support the price.
b. Started showing Higher High and Higher Low on daily charts.
c. It is still the #1 decentralised storage network.
d. A huge potential for upside movement with current marketcap of $2B when compared to $12B at all time high.
e. Organisation adoption is significant. For example - The Internet Archive, a non-profit digital library, uses Filecoin for archival data storage (1000TiB). OpenSea, an NFT marketplace, uses it for NFT storage. Shoah project Starling Labs, an academic research lab, uses it for archival data (6000TiB)
GOLD → Consolidation amid a bullish trendFX:XAUUSD is trading in consolidation. As expected, the retest of the 3290 support level will end with a strengthening. The price is heading towards the resistance of the range.
The dollar is falling, which is supporting gold. The local trend is set by the fundamental background. The price of gold is strengthening and heading towards the resistance of the trading range, with the zone of interest being the liquidity located above 3346. The fundamental background is on the buyers' side, but since today is Friday, there is no strong news and the market is unlikely to seek a breakout from consolidation due to the lack of a driver. Thus, we can expect a correction from resistance before growth resumes, which may form next week.
Resistance levels: 3346, 3360
Support levels: 3308, 3290, 3282
Consolidation after the break of the local downtrend amid a falling dollar means that bulls are building up potential before a possible continuation of growth. But at the moment, an intraday trading strategy can be considered.
Best regards, R. Linda!
New All Time High This Summer?Market is showing real strength here. After the uncertainty and those tariff windfalls, price is recovering well and looks like it’s setting up for continuation.
As long as we stay above that Monthly FVG, I think the path to a new all time high this summer is pretty realistic. That could possibly be supported by Nvidia earnings in late May and interest rate cut in June.
What are your thoughts?
NZDUSD → A retest of resistance may end in a false breakout.FX:NZDUSD bounces off the upward support line and forms a distribution towards the liquidity zone located above 0.597...
Strong resistance lies ahead at 0.5969 - 0.5975 (liquidity pool). If the current movement continues (distribution), the market will exhaust all its potential and the situation may end in a false breakout. There is no trend as such in the market, the price is inside the flat, and thus bearish pressure may resist the upward price movement.
Resistance levels: 0.5969, 0.5974
Support levels: 0.5932, 0.5917
Against the backdrop of a falling dollar, the currency pair is likely to continue its growth and may test 0.5969 in the short term, but based on the nature of the movement, we can assume that a downward correction will follow.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation (correction) ahead of newsFX:XAUUSD is testing resistance at 3346 and forming a correction, leaving liquidity above the level as the current target. The correction was influenced by the dollar. What can we expect next?
Gold is rising for the fourth day in a row and is approaching $3350, awaiting US PMI data. The dollar remains weak amid geopolitical risks, US-China disputes, and concerns about the US budget. The passage of Trump's tax bill could increase the deficit and pressure on the dollar. Weak PMI data could support gold by heightening expectations of a Fed rate cut
Technically, with the dollar falling, gold has every chance of continuing its rise. But now we are seeing a correction forming. I would say that the relevant areas of interest are 3288 and 0.5 Fibo
Resistance levels: 3346, 3360, 3409
Support levels: 3288, 3275, 3265
As part of the correction, gold may enter a consolidation phase, during which the price will gather liquidity relative to key areas of interest before continuing its growth. A retest and false breakout of 3288 - 3275 is possible before the growth continues.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XLMUSDT → Consolidation above 0.300 will provide an opportunityBINANCE:XLMUSDT.P is returning to the buying zone relative to strong resistance as part of a local uptrend. The market backdrop is favorable, but Bitcoin poses risks...
Bitcoin is updating its historical high and continuing its bullish trend, which is a favorable backdrop for altcoin growth. However, risks are posed by the fact that BTC may form a false breakout of resistance, which would trigger a correction across the entire market.
XLMUSDT is returning to the buying zone relative to strong resistance as part of a local uptrend.
If the bulls hold their ground above 0.3000, growth may continue in the short and medium term.
Resistance levels: 0.318, 0.324
Support levels: 0.300, 0.2975, 0.2799
The focus is on 0.3000, which is a fairly important and key (psychological) level. If the bulls manage to hold their ground above this point, the price will continue to rise, but it is necessary to monitor the behavior of the bitcoin.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDJPY → Pre-breakdown consolidation. Readiness for a declineFX:NZDJPY is under pressure from a global downtrend. Locally, a flat (range) and pre-breakdown consolidation relative to support are forming on the chart...
After a false breakdown of support on May 16, the price failed to reverse and grow. Instead, the currency pair entered a consolidation phase, during which it continues to test support. Each subsequent retest of 85.25-85.30 only increases the chances of a breakout with the aim of continuing the decline. Another important nuance is the elimination (short squeeze) of local resistance at 85.95.
Pressure on the price is also being exerted by the falling dollar index, which is strengthening the Japanese yen, which is generally reflected in the price of NZDJPY...
Support levels: 85.300, 85.25, 84.195
Resistance levels: 85.7, 85.95
The continuation of the current consolidation and the compression of the price towards support only increases the chances of a breakdown of the 85.30 support level. A break and consolidation of the price below 85.25 could trigger a further decline.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/23/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21236.00
- PR Low: 21139.00
- NZ Spread: 217.0
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | New Home Sales
Early close Monday
- Previous session closed as daily inside print
- Overall sentiment unchanged
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 5/23)
- Session Open ATR: 447.96
- Volume: 29K
- Open Int: 277K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -6.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
VIRTUAL TA Masterclass — Elliott Wave Meets Gartley HarmonicVIRTUAL has been on fire! Printing a clean 5-wave Elliott impulse with a +431% run in just 33 days. But after every strong trend comes a healthy correction, and that’s where we likely are now. Trading below key resistance and showing signs of exhaustion. The question: Where is the next high probability trade setup?
Let’s break down what the chart is telling us.
🧠 Structure Overview
Wave 5 peaked at $2.2169
Wave A dropped -25%
Wave B bounced +30%
Currently: VIRTUAL's trading under the $2 psychological level and weekly open ($2.0358) → signs of momentum cooling
A corrective Wave C is likely underway, and all signs point toward a very specific zone.
⚠️ Liquidity Dynamics
The longer VIRTUAL grinds sideways near $2.00 without showing real momentum, the more vulnerable late long positions become:
Retail traders are buying resistance
SLs are likely clustered just below Wave A’s low
This creates a liquidity pocket waiting to be swept — perfect fuel for Wave C
🔍 The $1.58–$1.47 Support Cluster: 14 Layers of Confluence
This zone isn’t guesswork — it’s loaded with technical overlap:
1️⃣ 1:1 Trend-Based Fib Extension of Wave A → $1.573
2️⃣ Monthly Open → $1.5354
3️⃣ 0.382 Fib Retracement of the entire rally → $1.5295
4️⃣ Bullish Fair Value Gap → $1.57–$1.53
5️⃣ Anchored VWAP from ATH → ~$1.46
6️⃣ Anchored VWAP from Wave 3 → ~$1.46
7️⃣ 0.618 Fib Speed Fan Support (~end of May timing)
8️⃣ 4H 233 SMA → ~$1.52
9️⃣ 4H 200 EMA → ~$1.52
🔟 Daily 200 SMA → $1.5251
1️⃣1️⃣ Weekly 21 SMA → $1.462 (reinforces the VWAP zone)
1️⃣2️⃣ Declining Daily Volume → momentum weakening
1️⃣3️⃣ Liquidity Pool below Wave A → likely to be swept
1️⃣4️⃣ $2 = Golden Pocket Resistance + Psychological Barrier
🔴 Short Trade Setup (Active as Long as SFP Holds)
For those favouring downside continuation toward the Wave C target, a short setup is in play:
Entry: Weekly open retest around $2.0358
Stop-loss: Above SFP high at $2.143
Target: 1:1 Trend-Based Fib Extension of Wave A → $1.573 or the Swing Low of Wave A at $1.647
R:R ≈ 1:4 — a solid, well-structured short opportunity
As long as price remains below the SFP and the $2.00 golden pocket resistance, bears maintain control.
🟢 Long Trade Setup
Entry: Ladder between $1.58–$1.47
Avg. Entry: ~$1.53
SL: Below $1.40
TP1: $1.88 (local resistance) → R:R ≈ 1:2.5
TP2: $3.33 (0.618 Fib of entire bear market) → R:R ≈ 1:12
👉 Bonus TP for Harmonic Setup: 0.618 Fib of CD leg
✨ Bonus Confluence: Potential bullish Gartley Harmonic in Play
VIRTUAL is also forming a valid Gartley harmonic pattern — one of the most reliable reversal setups in classical trading theory.
🔸 XA: B retraced to 0.602 → ✅ (criterion: ~0.618)
🔸 AB: C retraced 0.87 → ✅ (valid range: 0.382–0.886)
🔸 CD: Projected to complete at 0.786 of XA → ~$1.474
• CD is a 1.356 expansion of BC
• AB ≈ CD symmetry is valid
• TP = 0.618 retracement of CD leg
This adds even more weight to the $1.47–$1.53 buy zone.
📘 Educational Takeaway
The best setups don’t rely on one method — they align multiple disciplines. Here, we have Elliott Waves, Fibonacci retracements, anchored VWAPs, volume structure, moving averages, time symmetry, and now a harmonic pattern — all pointing to the same opportunity. Most traders never wait for alignment. That’s why most lose.
💬 Final Words
✍️ Smart trading isn’t about always being in a trade — it’s about being in the right one at the right time.
While others FOMO at $2, you wait for the right opportunity to come to you — where structure, liquidity, and probability all shake hands.
The patient are rewarded. Always.
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Taking Profits on EURUSDEURUSD continues to follow the analysis precisely, but it’s time to start watching for profit-taking opportunities.
The trend remains intact, though a deeper correction is possible.
Keep an eye out for signs of exhaustion after breaking the previous high and a potential rejection.
At these levels, avoid opening new positions - instead, focus on managing and closing active ones.
Once the correction plays out, there will be better setups for new trades.
ADSK watch $281-285: Major Resistance zone may give a Dip BuyADSK recovering nicely from the tariff turmoil.
But it has just hit a MAOR resistance zone of two fibs.
Golden Genesis at $285.49 and a Covid fib at $281.53
It is PROBABLE that we get a dip here
It is POSSIBLE to break and retest to GO
If is PLAUSIBLE for a local top for a while.
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