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Fibonacci

Will BIST100 beat inflation?BIST100, which has been trending horizontally and falling for a long time, I think it can rise from here and the final rise phase will come. It is too early to say this before the new ATH comes, but I think the 10.9k region is the decision point. When it stays above it, after a move to the 11.8 region, the price should be watched carefully and be cautious. It will look like second BTC 69k ath. So in these times, I think it would be more logical to proceed with a shorter hit and run.
BIST:XU100Long
by mooniron
1
Crude Oil – Geopolitical Risks and Stockpiles Impacting PricesThe recent reduction in global trade tensions has helped Crude Oil (WTI) prices recover from lows of 55.64 seen on May 5th, to trade comfortably above 60 for the last 2 weeks. Traders have readjusted their thinking and positioning to account for a slightly more stable background for the global economy, and its potential influence on upcoming demand for Oil. However, despite this, tests of the recent highs at 65.33, seen on April 23rd, have been few and far between, although yesterday saw a spike in Crude Oil prices up to a 1 month high of 64.60 on a CNN report that suggested that Israel has drawn up plans to attack Iran's nuclear facilities. While prices have since moved lower again, the market reaction to this news does highlight the sensitivity of traders to any potential escalation in geopolitical risks in the region. It is also important to remember that traders are still awaiting updates on progress from US/Iran talks to curb Iran's nuclear activities. President Trump only a week ago said a deal was getting close, while Iran's top negotiator has seen shed some doubt over whether that's the case. Either way, updates on both of these crucial events may well influence Crude Oil prices moving forward. Adding to yesterday's volatile moves was a weekly report providing an update on the size of US Oil inventories which always grabs the attention of traders. Yesterday's release quickly dashed any hopes of a fresh move to test higher levels as it outlined an increase in stockpiles to 10 month highs and a fall in gasoline demand, which saw prices fall back lower (61.71 low) into the recent trading range. This extra volatility within the recent trading range sets up a potentially tense finish to the week for Crude Oil prices, so its often useful to check out the technical landscape for further insight. Technical Update: Evidence Points to a Sideways Range Since the sharp acceleration lower into the 55.20 April 9th 2025 low, Crude Oil has seen a consolidation emerge, with the mid-April recovery finding resistance at 65.15, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of January 15th to April 9th 2025 weakness (see chart below). This activity looks to have established both upper and lower extremes of a sideways range in price, especially as the latest price movement has been held within these levels, which are 65.15 to the upside and 55.20 to the downside. Within technical analysis, this highlights something of a ‘battle’ between buyers and sellers, where price weakness is supported by buyers at or just above the 55.20 low, while price strength runs into resistance, as sellers continue to be found near the 38.2% retracement level at 65.15. Adding Bollinger Bands To Support Trading Decisions Now look at the chart below, where we include Bollinger bands alongside price action. This also appears to support an argument that a sideways trading range is forming. The mid-average is currently flat with both the upper and lower Bollinger bands parallel to it, outlining that balanced price volatility is evident for now. This suggests the sideways range may well continue with the upper band, currently at 64.77 and the lower band, currently at 57.36. We could argue that with the proximity of both the 65.15 Fibonacci retracement resistance to the upside, and the 55.20 April 9th low to the downside, upper extremes of the current range are 64.77/65.15, and lower levels of the current range are between 55.20/57.36. What Could This Mean for Crude Oil? For now at least, from a technical perspective the risks appear for the price of Crude Oil to remain within the confines of the current 55.20/57.36 up to 64.77/65.15 trading range, as there is no evidence emerging of an imminent breakout yet. A closing breakout from the current range is required to suggest potential for a more extended phase of price movement,. Of course, while any closing break is not a guarantee of a sustained move in the direction of the eventual break, any closes above 65.12/15 might see traders anticipate a further recovery in price towards 68.13, which is equal to the 50% Fibonacci retracement, even 71.17, the higher 61.8% level. To the downside, closes below the 55.20/57.30 lower daily Bollinger band and April 9th price low, might now be needed to skew possibilities towards a more extended phase of weakness. Such activity might then suggest potential for further downside, towards 51.38, which was a price low established in January 2021. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDE
by Pepperstone
Has the S&P 500 rally ended?The US stock indices saw a noticeable drop in recent trading sessions, as markets wait for President Donald Trump’s new tax plan and its implications for US debt. The S&P 500 had surged more than 23% since April, but the rally seems to have ended from a technical point of view, reflecting rising concerns about the US economy. A bearish divergence appeared while prices were making higher highs, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) was making lower highs. This is a negative signal, and it played out clearly, pushing the index down to a new low. This suggests that bearish momentum is still strong. What’s the possible next move? Any current rise in the market may just be a temporary correction in a larger downtrend. A key resistance level for the S&P 500 is 5,937.55, which is 78% of the recent move based on Fibonacci retracement. The price could react negatively there, either with a small pullback or by continuing the downward trend toward 5,850.23. However, if the price rises above 5,971.53 and closes above it on the daily chart, the negative outlook would be invalidated, and it could signal the beginning of a new upward trend.
CFI:US500
by CFI
NZDJPY Wave Analysis – 22 May 2025- NZDJPY reversed from resistance zone - Likely to fall to support level 84.00 NZDJPY currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 87.30 (which has been reversing the price from February, as can be seen below), upper daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from November. The downward reversal from the resistance zone stopped the previous intermediate ABC correction (A). Given the overriding daily downtrend, NZDJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 84.00 (low of the previous minor correction B).
Short
by FxProGlobal
SUI — Breakout or Breakdown? Long & Short SetupsSUI has been trapped in a trading range for the past 6 days, consolidating between key levels and building up liquidity for the next big move. When price goes quiet like this after an impulsive structure, it’s not time to trade—it’s time to observe, analyse, and prepare. So, where’s the next high-probability setup? Let’s break it down: 🔹 Elliott Wave Context From my previous SUI analysis, I identified a completed 5-wave impulse structure. After such a move, a corrective ABC pattern is typically next. SUI has been respecting technical levels with surprising accuracy throughout this cycle—especially Fibonacci levels and key horizontal zones. 📉 ABC Correction in Progress? Wave A appears to be completed, and Wave B was rejected at the yearly level in perfect confluence with the golden pocket (0.618–0.666) retracement of Wave A. This strongly suggests that Wave C is now unfolding. Using the 1:1 trend-based Fib extension, the projected Wave C target lands at: ➡️ $3.6413 Let’s dig deeper—does this level hold up under further scrutiny? 🔍 Multi-Layered Confluence at $3.56–$3.64 Here’s what aligns at this potential support zone: 1:1 Fib extension (Wave A = Wave C) → $3.6413 0.55 Fib retracement (from $3.1132 to $4.2967) → ~$3.64 Volume Profile POC from prior range → ~$3.59 0.618 Fib retracement → $3.5653 Weekly level → $3.5594 21-Day EMA → $3.5537 21-Day SMA → $3.6319 0.75 Fib Speed Fan (if hit on May 16) → aligns with zone This stack of levels gives us a tightly packed, high-conviction support area between: 📍 $3.56 – $3.646 ___________________________________ 🟢 Long Setup Idea: Entry Zone: Ladder entries between $3.56 and $3.75 Stop-Loss: $3.4546 (beneath confluence zone) Take-Profit Target: $4.588 (0.786 Fib retracement + -0.236 Fib extension) R:R: ~5:1 🚫 Invalidation: If SUI reclaims the yearly level at $4.1152 before revisiting this support, the setup is invalidated. 🔴 Short Setup Idea: If SUI pushes into the 0.786 Fib retracement at $4.588 and shows clear rejection (e.g., SFP, bearish engulfing, high-volume reversal), a short can be considered. Entry: On rejection at $4.588 Stop-Loss: ~$4.714 Targets: TP1: $4.325 (recent highs) TP2: $4.1152 (yearly level) 🧠 Final Thoughts: This is where trading becomes a game of patience. I’ve mapped both long and short setups based on structure, confluence, and price behaviour. Now it’s about waiting for price to come to your levels. ⏰ Alarms set. 📈 Let the chart do the work. More updates to come as the range resolves. Stay sharp! ___________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
COINBASE:SUIUSDLong
by SiDec
12
Las Vegas Sands May Show Signs of PeakingLas Vegas Sands bounced sharply in recent weeks, but some traders may think its longer-term downtrend will resume. The first pattern on today’s chart is the decline from mid-December through early April. The casino stock retraced half that move before stalling. It also seems to be hitting resistance at a weekly close from March 21. Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is under the 100-day SMA. Both are declining. That may be consistent with a longer-term downtrend. Third, the stock has fallen back below its 8-day exponential moving average. That may suggest its short-term trend is no longer bullish. Finally, stochastics are dipping from an overbought condition. Check out TradingView's The Leap competition sponsored by TradeStation. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:LVS
by TradeStation
$SPY May 22, 2025AMEX:SPY May 22, 2025 15 Minutes. Last week I expected the retracement towards 580 levels as numbers were far away from moving averages. But AMEX:SPY kept moving towards595 and suddenly broke yesterday towards 582 levels. I expect it to settle down around 579 - 581 levels then a pull back is on cards as now we have the reverse on the cards with the 200 being away again. On left side we have a big gap around 570 - 577 levels which I feel will be sorted out before a consolidation. The weakness below 590 has keto 582 levels. At the moment if 578 is broken i see support around 573 574 levels.
AMEX:SPYShort
by RiderTrader
Dow Jones Short Term Sell Trading PlanM15 - Strong bearish momentum Lower lows on the moving averages of the MACD indicator. Until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold I expect the price to continue lower further. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US30Short
by VladimirRibakov
#OFH - one more time#OFH timeframe 30 minutes created 2 strong Bullish Gartley pattern, so we can see action price in this point . Entry level around 0.47. Stop loss 0.465 ( estimated loss -1.00% ) First target at 0.49 ( estimated profit 4.00% ) Second target 0.50 ( estimated profit 6.40% ) Third target 0.51 ( estimated profit 8.15% ) NOTE : this data according to timeframe 30 minutes . Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart Please consult your account manager before investing Thanks and good luck
EGX:OFHLong
by tfcgeorge
4
#ABUK Egyptian stock - great opportunity - great fundamental.#ABUK timeframe 1 HOUR. created Gartley Bullish pattern ( and AB=CD ) , so we can see action price in this point . Entry level at 48.85 . Stop loss 47.15( loss may go to up -3.00% ) First target at 51.25 ( with profit around 4.87% ) Second target 53.15 ( with profit around 8.75% ) Third target 55.25 ( with profit around 13.20% ) RSI show a positive diversion that's may support our idea . NOTE : this data according to time frame I hour, Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart Please consult your account manager before investing Thanks and good luck
EGX:ABUKLong
by tfcgeorge
3
GBP/JPY Elliott Wave Completion + AO Divergence @ Zone 4.23 | BUHey traders! 👋 Here’s an exciting setup on GBP/JPY (1H) — we might be at the early stage of a major reversal, and you’ll want this on your radar. Let's break it down with Elliott Wave theory, the Awesome Oscillator (AO), and some powerful Fibonacci confluence. 🧠 Elliott Wave Count – 5-Wave Impulse Completed We have a clean 5-wave bearish impulsive structure: 1️⃣ Wave (1): Sharp drop kicks off the trend. 2️⃣ Wave (2): Classic pullback, respecting structure. 3️⃣ Wave (3): Longest and most powerful wave down. 4️⃣ Wave (4): Corrective triangle/flat with weakening bear momentum. 5️⃣ Wave (5): Final push into a key demand zone, but lacks strength. 🛑 What makes this special? Wave (5) lands right into “Zone 4.23” — a Fibonacci extension (423.6%) of the corrective leg — acting as a magnet for price exhaustion. 📊 AO Divergence – Early Warning Signal! Check the Awesome Oscillator (AO): Price makes lower lows (Wave 3 → Wave 5) AO makes higher lows — textbook bullish divergence 🔍 This is smart money exhaustion: the bears are running out of steam, even though price is still pushing lower. When momentum diverges from price, a reversal is highly probable. 📌 ZONE 4.23 – Fibonacci Confluence + Demand Zone This zone (191.900 – 192.300) is no ordinary support. It combines: 📐 423.6% Fibonacci extension (a powerful exhaustion level) 🟦 Historical demand zone from previous impulsive rally 🤖 Price reacting instantly on touch = algorithmic buying likely ⚠️ What Comes Next – Break of Structure (BOS) = Entry Trigger We’re not rushing in blindly. Here’s the plan: Wait for BOS: Price must break above Wave (4) structure (~193.200). AO flips green: Extra confirmation of new bullish momentum. Retest of BOS or Zone 4.23: That’s our golden buy entry. Target Zone: Use Fibonacci retracement of full Wave 1–5 down. First targets: 🎯 38.2% = 193.800 🎯 61.8% = 194.900 🎯 Full correction = 196.000+ 🎯 Conclusion: This Is a Setup with EDGE ✅ Completed Elliott Wave ✅ AO Divergence = Hidden strength ✅ Fibonacci 4.23 Confluence ✅ Demand Zone bounce ✅ Clear BOS-based entry plan 🔥 Are You Ready for the Reversal? Drop a comment if you're watching this setup too 👇 Like ❤️ + Follow if you want more clean, actionable Elliott Wave + AO confluence setups like this! 📈 Let’s catch the move before the crowd reacts. #GBPJPY #ElliottWave #AO #Divergence #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BuySetup #SmartMoney #Fib4.23 #BreakOfStructure #TrendReversal
Long
by AwesomeOscDad
BTC Potential Short-Term PullbackBINANCE:BTCUSDT could be setting itself up for a short-term pullback. It might be forming a Daily RSI Bear Divergence, with the latest retest of the the main supply zone, and RSI Divs/Breakouts have been reliable leading signals for recent CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA. Key Levels to Watch • $119k - Measured wedge target, confirmed with last month's breakout. • $106.2k-$109.5k - Main supply and ATH, a sustained break above it would invalidate any bearish PA. • $89.6k-$91.9k - Lots of confluence here: - Unmitigated daily FVG - The 200-day EMA is sitting there - A move here would be between 0.5 and 0.618 Fib retracement of the last leg up, consistent with the typical pullback length of Wave 2 (Elliott Waves theory) - It has also been an important S/R since November 2024, and a retracement here could form an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. I would be patient with it, as I still see a lot of uncertainty short-term, but I think a pullback to ~$90k could offer a great long entry. Worth keeping a close eye on it.
Short
by AliferCrypto
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/22/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025 - PR High: 21177.00 - PR Low: 21113.75 - NZ Spread: 141.25 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims 09:45| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - S&P Global Services PMI 10:00 | Existing Home Sales Value decline follow-through following morning bull run - Auction holding at Monday's lows Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 5/22) - Session Open ATR: 460.09 - Volume: 31K - Open Int: 276K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -6.6% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22096 - Mid: 20383 - Short: 19246 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2025
by mv3trader5