Fibonacci
$BTC Historic Daily Close Above ATH - Pullback Warning*HISTORIC Daily Close for ₿itcoin marking a new ATH 🥇
Some hefty volume poured in as the Golden Cross nears.
If CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaks down from this impulsive trend we should see a pullback to the .786 Fib ~$102k to confirm this new ATH.
Bulls need the Weekly Close above $109k to prevent that.
Nonetheless, this confirms the start of the parabola I’ve mentioned over the past month in my analysis 💯
Next big target is the 1.618 Fib ~$130k 🤑
Congrats Hodlers 🥳
S&P ES Long setup target 5963.50 / Calls SPY target 596Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures CME_MINI:ES1! has already found support at the Fib level 78.6% (5623.50) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (May 2) has closed above retracement Fib level 78.6%. My Down Fib guides me to look for CME_MINI:ES1! to eventually go up to hit first target at Fib level 127.2% (5963.50).
CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 127.2% (5963.50), Target 2 at 161.8% (6205.50) and Target 3 at 178.6 (6322.75)
Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (5506.25).
Option Traders : My AMEX:SPY chart Down Fib shows price to go up to Target 1 at 127.2% (595.82), Target 2 at 161.8% (620.50) and Target 3 at 178.6 (632.50)
Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (549).
Enjoy the trading process and take time to smell the roses🌹
BTCUSD / BITCOIN | 4H | WAIT BREAKOUT Good morning, my friends
Bitcoin support level is $96,900.00, while the resistance level stands at $104,600.00.
Right now, I'm just waiting for an upward breakout. Once that happens, I'll provide a clear target.
Don't forget to hit the like button so you don't miss any updates on this analysis.
My dear friends, your likes are the biggest motivation for me to keep sharing my analyses. I truly appreciate everyone who supports my work with their likes—thank you so much!
With respect and love.
BTC HTF ThoughtsChart from end of Dec/early Jan. Idea back then was that the top is in, and we'll revisit at least 51.5 levels. IMO low will be between 41.5-32.5, with potential to reach 23s.
However, it won't happen in one day and it's finally at prices i want to scale in and hold for the next weeks/months incase i'm wrong with the macro idea.
I'm a buyer between 74-62, levels in between are 72, 69, 65 and 62.
The 'Fibonacci Triangle' and Historical Volatility Along with the harmonic I just posted to the community showing confluence with HV63 regression that started to take place last week, I wanted to include my 'Fibonacci Triangle' with my predictive volatility range idea.
I see HV10 (bi-weekly) resonating off HV21 (monthly) to enter the week. This would create roughly a $4.92 range if correct for tomorrow. From there we can continue to increase in volatility into the week until full means regression to quarterly trending averages are met.
This can be reflected in the daily candle through the trending bi-weekly daily volatility print on the day, then calculated into range. Of course as always, my ranges are weighted to the current IV environment.
If my target range of monthly volatility is reached tomorrow, which holds confluence in the 78.60% retracement value from selling off with BTC for 70 days..i'd say there is probability to move another $2.21 in regression, putting us just below $60.00.
CBOE:BITX
MES Short🔴 High Risk Short
Bearish Market Structure Shift caused by price meeting origin of Daily MSS from Mar04. Trade mapped on the hourly timeframe; focusing on impulsive swing high at $5956.25 that created MSS.
Entry on measured 61.8% fib retracement @ $5914.75.
TP1: $5873.25 (1R)
TP2: $5822.25 (2.25R)
Second take profit level lines up with both 200SMA + bullish 4H channel support , adding confluence to trade idea. It stands to reason price will retest the support of a longstanding bullish channel.
Notes:
•Stops moved to BE once TP1 hit
•Trade is high-risk due to SL having no significant higher timeframe importance.
The reason I’m focusing on this leg of price action rather than the 4H high at $5993.25, is because this hourly high specifically created the higher timeframe MSS. It suggests there’s an unusually high amount of sellers at that level.
CVR Partners Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 052125Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 80/61.80%
Chart time frame:C
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Bullish
Closed at 34.03 (21-05-2025)
Hidden Bullish Divergence on bigger tf.
Bullish Divergence on shorter tf.
Immediate resistance is around 34 - 34.10
Crossing & Sustaining this level may exposes
upside towards 47 - 48
However, mid way, 40-41 & 44-45 are important
resistances that should not be ignored.
On the flip side, 30 - 32 are important Support levels.
and 29.80 Must not Break on Monthly Basis.
Caught the pivots up, now what?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
After catching the directional turn and key pivot level ahead of the recent move, Ethereum delivered the reaction we were anticipating. But what comes next?
The current W2 corrective structure isn’t textbook, so what do we do?
At this stage, we’re anchoring our analysis off the Wave 3 price action, which likely completed before the latest correction. That sets us up to track a potential Wave 4 development.
Here’s what’s still on the table:
We have a sideways style W2
For a wave 4, based off of alternation, we should be looking for a:
A sharp zigzag
Or a contracting triangle coiling up for the next breakout
Key Level to Watch:
👉 A clean break below 2159 would invalidate the more bullish interpretations and open the door to deeper corrective action. ⚠️
Until then, staying patient and letting the structure develop will be key.
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
AUDJPY Wave Analysis – 21 May 2025
- AUDJPY reversed from key resistance level 95.30
- Likely to fall to support level 92.00
AUDJPY currency pair recently reversed down from the key resistance level 95.30 (which has been reversing the price from the middle of March).
The downward reversal from the resistance level 95.30 started the active intermediate correction (B).
Given the strength of the resistance level 95.30 and clear daily downtrend, AUDJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 92.00.
Nikkei 225 Wave Analysis – 21 May 2025
- Nikkei 225 reversed from the resistance level 38280.00
- Likely to fall to support level 36000.00
Nikkei 225 index recently reversed down from the pivotal resistance level 38280.00 (former top of wave 4 from the start of this year).
The downward reversal from the resistance level 66.00 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern, Shooting Star.
Given the strength of the resistance level 38280.00, Nikkei 225 index can be expected to fall to the next support level 36000.00.
Brent crude oil Wave Analysis – 21 May 2025
- Brent crude oil reversed from key resistance level 66.00
- Likely to fall to support level 62.00
Brent crude oil recently reversed down from the key resistance level 66.00, which has been reversing the price from the start of April, as can be seen from the daily Brent crude oil chart below.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 66.00 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Evening Star.
Given the clear daily downtrend, Brent crude oil can be expected to fall to the next support level 62.00.
Bitcoin to touch the 236 next?4H timeframe
Bitcoin near-touched the ATH and currently we are yet to break above this level. Candle closes above the ATH could send BTC into price discovery however for now we should assume that it could be resistance.
Liquidity Zone @ 100,500
We could see a reaction to the 236 which is sat directly below the liquidity.
Microphone pattern formed during recent p.a.
I do think that if BTC is unable to succeed the previous ATH then we could see bearish price movement.
Going short on the Nasdaq 100CAPITALCOM:US100
The Nasdaq 100 has moved up impulsively on a 5-wave move over the past 6 weeks, which is very bullish long term. However, in the short term, it is overextended, with the RSI indicator over the 70 level.
I expect it to decline over the next couple of weeks to the area marked in the green rectangle, between the 50% and the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement level.
I hope you find this interesting.
Good luck to you
Going Short on EthereumBINANCE:ETHUSDT
Ethereum has moved up strongly in the last 6 weeks to a key resistance level, which is the 50% Fibonacci Retracement, leaving a huge Fair Value Gap between the $2,400 USDT and the $1,900 USDT level. Most Fair Value Gaps get filled, and I expect it to be the case this time. The Gap closes at around $1,900 USDT.
I also see this move overextended in the short term and do for a correction, so I am going short here.
I hope you find this interesting.
Good luck to you
Going Short on BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin has moved up strongly in the last 5 weeks in a 5-wave up move, which is very bullish long term. However, after a 5-wave move, there is usually a 3-wave corrective move to the opposite direction. The most common target will be the Golden Pocket, which is between the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement and the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement. Which would be between $86,500 USDT and $81,200 USDT. This move will probably take several weeks, probably between 2 and 4 weeks, before it resumes to the upside.
Another point to consider is that the RSI indicator has reached overbought levels, above the 70 level. I would like to see it near oversold levels, 30 level, before considering going long.
I hope you find this interesting.
Good luck to you
BTC Back to $100K — The Final Dip Before All-Time Highs?Bitcoin has been trading slowly and steadily just below its all-time high at $109588. The key question now is:
💭 Is BTC ready to break through and print a new all-time high? Or does it need one more dip before liftoff?
Let’s break it down.
Elliott Wave Structure & Market Context
BTC recently completed a clean 5-wave impulsive structure, with Wave 5 topping out into a major resistance zone. That confluence included:
Value Area High (VAH)
Weekly resistance
Daily multi-level clusters
Final resistance zone before price discovery
After multiple rejections from this zone, BTC lacked the momentum for a breakout — so a retracement was expected.
And that’s what we’re now seeing: a textbook ABC correction.
📉 ABC Correction Breakdown
✅ Wave A: Dropped sharply, nearly tapping the psychological $100K level
✅ Wave B: Retraced into the prior resistance band between $106133 and $104464 — rejected perfectly off the 0.786 Fib of Wave A
🔄 Wave C: Now unfolding
To project the potential bottom of Wave C, we use the trend-based Fib extension (Wave A = Wave C). The 1:1 extension lands at:
🎯 $99875 — Right at the $100K psychological magnet
Add this confluence:
🟢 Key swing high at $99475
✅ 0.5 Fib retracement of the entire 5-wave rally
🔍 Psychological Level: $100K
🔑 Liquidity and demand zone
This makes the $99K–$101K area a strong, high-conviction support zone.
🟢 Long Trade Setup
Entry zone: Ladder between $101K – $99K
Stop-loss: Below GETTEX:97K
Target: New all-time high at $109588
R:R: ~3:1+
Structure: Correction into high-confluence zone + psychological level = high probability setup
📌 Summary:
BTC likely finishing Wave C of ABC correction
$100K = confluence of Fib, structure, psychology, and liquidity
Setup is simple: Wait for price to retest this zone and trigger your plan
If this level holds, BTC may be ready to attempt a breakout into price discovery
Let the chart come to you — and trade the reaction, not the anticipation. 📉🔁📈
____________________________________
If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.