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Fibonacci

Chart spoke. We listened. See how price respected every level!"Great when BOS + supply/demand lines hit perfectly. Most traders chased the bounce. We waited in the shadows — right at the selling zone. Wave 4? Textbook correction. Wave 5? That’s where the money’s made. Elliott Wave isn’t just theory — it’s a weapon. Break of structure? Marked. Zone tested? Clean. Rejection? Savage. This is how professionals trade — not with hope, but with precision. DXY: playing checkers while we play chess.”**
TVC:DXY
by Greenfireforex
2
Nifty Analysis EOD – May 19, 2025 – Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – May 19, 2025 – Monday 🔴 Silence Before the Storm? A “Double Distribution” Kind of Day 📈 Nifty Summary Another quiet yet deceptive start to the week as Nifty opened flat-to-negative (-14 points) but quickly formed a 92-point wide 5-minute candle at the open. That set the tone for the entire day—a tight, trapped market trading within this early range until post-2 PM. Things got interesting later, as Nifty breached its IB Low, Previous Day Low (PDL), and closed decisively below key support zones, finally taking support near 24,920 (day’s low: 24,916.65). The structure fits the classic textbook term—a “Double Distribution Day”, where the index transitions into a new value area in the second half. Option writers erased premiums on both sides, frustrating breakout traders and intraday scalpers alike. 25Min Time Frame Chart: Daily Time Frame Chart: 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Candle Type: Bearish with late-session breakdown Day Type: 📘 Double Distribution Day Key Breakdown Levels: IB Low, CDL, PDL Support Held: 24,920 zone 🕵️‍♂️ Observation of the Day Is this just a pause… or the calm before a storm? Though there's no strong reversal signal yet, subtle clues emerge: 🔎 On the 25-minute chart, the 13:25 candle was the first to close below the 24,980–25,000 support zone. 📉 Post-PDL breakdown, the retracement attempt was shallow, and price remained under S1 and PDL levels, which hints at weak buying interest. 📊 Bias Going Forward No reversal yet. Trend watchers should stay patient. But given price action and weak retracements, the bias tilts toward a deeper retracement, possibly toward the 24,800 zone in the next session. Until strong bullish follow-through is seen, expect continued corrective movement. 5 Min Time Frame Chart: 🛡 Gladiator Strategy Update Strategy Parameters ATR: 330.48 IB Range: 92.9 → 🟠 Small IB Market Structure: ⚖️ Balanced Trade Highlights ⏰ 1st Short Trigger: 14:00 ❌ Trade Timed Out → Loss Booked 📊 Total Trades: 1 📍 Support & Resistance Levels 🟩 Resistance Zones: 24,980 ~ 25,000 25,062 ~ 25,070 25,116 ~ 25,128 25,180 ~ 25,212 25,285 25,399 25,485 ~ 25,511 🟥 Support Zones: 24,920 24,882 24,800 ~ 24,768 24,660 24,590 24,530 ~ 24,480 🔮 What’s Next? No storm yet, but the structure is weakening quietly. Until the bulls reclaim 25,000 decisively, the short-term path of least resistance appears lower. A move below 24,882 could accelerate downside momentum. All eyes on 24,800 next. 🧠 Final Thoughts Markets aren’t always noisy when they turn. Watch the subtle signs. For now, retracement bias stays—but don’t front-run reversals. “Strong trends may pause quietly. It’s the silence that often precedes the sharpest moves.” ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
2
XAU/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Wave 5 Setup in PlayHey traders! Just wanted to share this clean Elliott Wave setup I’m tracking on Gold (XAU/USD). We’ve just completed what looks like a textbook Wave (4) correction, finding support right at the lower boundary of this long-term ascending channel. Price also respected the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement perfectly, lining up around the $3,090 level. That level is acting as a key demand zone right now. 🌀 According to the wave count: Wave (3) topped out near $3,500 Wave (4) retraced sharply into the channel base We are now potentially at the launch point for Wave (5) — the final impulse leg 💹 Wave (5) Projection: Targeting the upper channel boundary, which aligns closely with $3,740–$3,750 This area also completes the measured move and matches key structural confluence 📈 Technical Confluence Supporting the Bullish Bias: RSI bounced cleanly from oversold territory Bullish EMA crossover (20/50) is happening right near the bounce zone We’re also seeing a break of the corrective trend line, suggesting momentum is shifting back in favor of the bulls 📍 Key Levels to Watch: $3,149: minor pullback area / possible retest $3,283: Fib 23.6% resistance — needs to be cleared for confirmation $3,500: Major resistance & previous high — breakout zone $3,747: Wave 5 target ⚠️ Invalidation Zone: If price breaks below $3,090, and especially $3,041, I’ll be reassessing the wave count. That would suggest a deeper Wave 4 or a breakdown in bullish structure. 📌 Conclusion: I’m watching this setup closely. Gold looks poised for a strong upside leg if current levels hold. The structure is clean, momentum is turning, and we’ve got multiple confirmations in place. I’ll be scaling in with proper risk management and looking to ride this potential Wave 5 to new highs. Drop your thoughts below — are you long on Gold? Let’s talk setups 👇 @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WrightWayInvestments
GBP/USD | Wave 5 Loading?Hey traders 👋, We're setting up for what could be a textbook Wave (5) breakout on the 4H GBP/USD chart. After a clean corrective pullback to the golden zone (0.618–0.705), bulls are stepping back in. Here’s the technical story: ⚙️ Technical Breakdown: ✅ Elliott Wave Structure: Wave (4) seems complete following a controlled retracement. If this count holds, Wave (5) should extend us toward 1.34400+ and possibly 1.36300, aligning with fib extensions and previous impulse behavior. 📏 Fib Retracement: Wave (4) respected the 0.618–0.705 zone perfectly (1.32235–1.32047), a classic launchpad in bullish cycles. Buyers showed strong interest here—textbook bounce material. 📊 EMA Stack (20, 100, 200): Price is holding above the 100 and 200 EMAs, with the 20 EMA curling upward. If we get a clean cross and hold, that’s further confirmation of bullish continuation. 📉 RSI: Sitting around 53, giving us enough room to run without immediate overbought pressure. RSI holding above 50 typically aligns with bullish continuation patterns. 🚨 Levels to Watch: 🔑 Entry zone: 1.32200–1.32400 (golden pocket pullback) 🎯 Target zone: 1.34400 ➜ 1.36300 (Fib + Wave 5) ❌ Invalidation: Clean break below 1.31770 🧠 Final Thoughts: Structure is clean. Momentum is building. Fundamentals aside, this chart is screaming setup potential. 📢 What’s your take on this setup? Drop your thoughts 👇 and don’t forget to like if you’re bullish too 🟢 @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments
Long
by WrightWayInvestments
US 500 Index – Upside Rally Facing A Ratings ChallengeThe US 500 index recorded a 2-month high of 5958 on Friday before settling back to close the week at 5922, an incredible 24% rally from the index's tariff induced lows at 4799 seen on April 7th. Impressive indeed. However, late on Friday evening the ratings agency Moody’s downgraded US government debt from its top credit rating of Aa1 to Aaa, citing a ballooning budget deficit and no clear plan to narrow this in the future. This Moody’s decision generated some weekend headlines in the financial press around the sustainability of President Trump’s plans for unfunded tax cuts as the US economy slows due to his recent trade tariff announcements. This even led to a comment on the downgrade from the much-respected US Treasury Scott Bessant, who played down concerns over the US government debt and attempted to reassure investors the Trump administration is determined to bring down spending and grow the economy. Early Monday Trading: Given the extent of the recent upside rally to just short of the physiological 6000 level, perhaps unsurprisingly, early Monday trading possibly suggests traders are reacting with caution to this news, with the US 500 trading down 0.6% at 5888, at time of writing. However, there is a long trading week ahead and it will be important to see how markets respond once US traders are back at their desks. Technical Update: Looking For Potential Support and Resistance Levels This Week As seen on the chart below, the move in the US 500 index from the April 7th low at 4799 into last Friday’s latest recovery high at 5958 completed a rally of 24%, as recent concerns over global trade eased. However, Friday’s downgrade of US debt may prompt some traders to question the sustainability of the current advance, even concluding it is something that could lead to the potential for fresh price weakness. With that in mind, let’s look at possible technical levels in the US 500 that can be monitored this week to gauge the next potential directional price risks Potential Support Levels: The first possible support level to focus on if a more extended phase of price weakness is seen, may be the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of May price strength which stands at 5813. While by no means a guarantee of continued declines, if closing breaks of 5813 are seen, a more extended price correction may then be on the cards, which could suggest tests of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, which stands at 5722, or even 5575, equal to the May 7th session low, are possible. Potential Resistance Levels: Previous price highs can be viewed by traders as possible resistance levels, as having previously marked a point where selling pressure has been found, it may be the case again. As such, with the latest price strength trading close to 5988/6007, which is an area where sellers were previously found between February 26th 2025 and March 3rd 2025, this may now be a resistance focus for some. However, closing breaks of this 5988/6007 price range may lead to attempts at further strength, with the next resistance perhaps then marked by 6144, which is the February 19th 2025 all-time high. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by Pepperstone
Bitcoin BTC price analysis - be careful📉 The cryptocurrency market is forming an "order" for "Red Monday". On the OKX:BTCUSDT chart, the "Triple Top" pattern is probably nearing completion - its recognizable feature is the more lower central top and the right “powerful shake out” (for more details, if you are interested, you can read Encyclopedia of chart patterns/Thomas Bulkowski) 🆗 So, the minimum target for this pattern is $96100 per CRYPTOCAP:BTC ❗️ Confirmation of the "Triple Top" pattern development - after the base breakout and the inability to consolidate higher on the retest. 💰 Globally, we wrote our thoughts on the possible price of #Bitcoin in May/June a week earlier 👇 Also, to make trading decisions and determine which direction to trade, you need to analyze the situation on the charts: 1️⃣ BTC.D 👇 and 2️⃣ USDT.D 👇 _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
2
Gold (XAU/USD) – 1H Analysis1. Market Structure & Bear Trap Gold recently trapped sellers by briefly breaking below a key support (previous supply zone turned support). This move acted as a fakeout, luring in short positions before price dropped into its true bullish reaccumulation zone (BULL OTE). Such manipulation is typical at the end of retracements, the market seeks liquidity before resuming the main trend. 📈 2. Bullish Momentum Resumes Since tapping into the BULL OTE, price has shown a structured bullish recovery : Re-entry into the previous range Creation and internal mitigation of multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) Clean, controlled pullbacks during the climb This suggests a healthy and organized bullish structure, rather than a random bounce. 🎯 3. Short-Term Targets Revisit the $3,280-$3,300 area (previous liquidity left untapped) If broken with volume, Gold could push toward $3,350+ and potentially retest highs ✅ Conclusion Gold appears to have executed a classic stop-hunt below support, only to reclaim structure and resume its uptrend. As long as price holds above $3,180 and continues forming internal bullish structure, the bias remains bullish with high probability of continuation toward previous highs. 🟦 This is a textbook example of engineered liquidity grab followed by expansion.
TVC:GOLDLong
by rAodto100k