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DXY Monthly Analysis | Smart Money Concept + CHoCH BreakdownPair: US Dollar Index (DXY) Timeframe: 1M (Monthly) Strategy: Smart Money Concept (SMC) + Market Structure + Demand/Supply Zones Bias: Bearish (Mid to Long-Term) Breakdown: Price reacted strongly from the monthly supply zone (110–104), showing signs of exhaustion. Clear CHoCH (Change of Character) visible at the top structure, confirming loss of bullish intent. Internal structure printed a liquidity sweep + FVG (Fair Value Gap) ➝ BOS ➝ lower low. Current PA (price action) is targeting the first demand zone near 92–94, but major interest lies at the macro demand zone (85.100–84.900). This level aligns with unmitigated historical demand and potential long-term accumulation range. --- 📅 Projection: Expecting a continuation to the downside after retesting minor imbalance zones. Potential multi-year bearish leg forming Wave 3 (macro view). Ideal accumulation/buy zone: 85.100–84.900 – if structure supports. --- 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Supply Zone: 110.800 – 104.600 CHoCH Level: ~102.300 Short-Term Demand: 92.000 – 94.000 Long-Term Demand (Institutional Interest): 85.100 – 84.900 --- 💡 Conclusion: Smart Money has exited from premium pricing, and the macro structure aligns with a bearish transition. As long as price respects current lower highs, we may see a deeper correction or possible trend reversal near 85 levels. --- 🧠 #DXY #SmartMoney #CHoCH #ForexAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #Forex #Month
TVC:DXY
by Greenfireforex
ADA - hope for the best, plan for the worstDaily TF Key level @ 0.73 Breaks above this level and the downtrend would send Cardano to 0.98 With mega-bullish target @ 2.20 - 2.40 price range. 5 touches @ 1.15 - 1.17 range which could be another Take-profit zone enroute. I think also a hedge-short bet at this level could work as a separate trade. If we fail to break above 0.73 I believe the next natural move down would the 618 fib which has multiple touch points and could present a long entry @ 0.46
CRYPTO:ADAUSD
by Strength_in_numbers
Gold CPI data forward-looking layout 📊Technical aspects Gold trend from the perspective of technical analysis From the daily technical chart, the gold price has experienced complex fluctuations. Although there have been ups and downs recently, it is still in a relatively high range. In terms of moving averages, short-term moving averages such as the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average show a certain entanglement trend, indicating that the short volume is relatively strong in the short term and the short trend is obvious. From the MACD indicator, its double lines are running below the zero axis. Although the bar chart has shrunk, it still remains in the positive area, suggesting that the bullish force has weakened in the near future, but the overall market is still in a bearish market pattern, and the upward momentum is gradually fading. At present, the RSI value is further downward, indicating that the bearish force will gradually increase. ​ From the Bollinger Bands indicator, the gold price is currently running below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, and the Bollinger Bands opening shows a slight narrowing sign. If the price falls below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands and continues to decline, the bearish trend may intensify. If the downward trend accelerates, gold still has a profit momentum of about $100 💰 Strategy Package Short Position：3330-3340
TVC:GOLDShort
by TheodoreSilas
Gold – Holding Mid-Week Gains Ahead of US CPIGold prices have moved slowly higher at the start of this week, moving from a Monday low at 3293, up to a Tuesday high of 3349, with prices slightly lower this morning at time of writing (3335 – 0700 BST). Traders have already had much to consider this week, with heightened tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine to focus on, as well as the midnight conclusion of the eagerly awaited second round of trade talks between the US and China. These talks finished after 20 hours of negotiation over 2 days and have seemingly produced a framework for President’s Trump and Xi to sign off on, with progress made in key areas (supply of rare earth metals and advanced technology), while leaving the wider issues for another time. This leaves the May US CPI (inflation) release due out later today at 1330 BST as the next major scheduled event that could have an influence on where Gold moves into the Friday close. This release takes on more significance as it is the first month where President Trump's tariffs should start to impact prices paid by US consumers. The extent to which this shows up in the data could be the catalyst for a wider shift in risk sentiment and Gold prices depending on how far the print deviates from expectations. Technical Update: Considering the Bollinger Mid-Average Support Since the test of the psychological 3500 level on April 22nd, which held and reversed the sharp acceleration higher in Gold, the latest price activity has seen a consolidation extend, as can be seen on the chart below. Of course, this type of consolidation can materialise following the type of aggressive activity as that seen into the April 22nd all-time high and may be viewed by traders as an on-going attempt to unwind upside price extremes. However, traders are always looking forward for insight into where Gold may move next, especially with the May US CPI update release out later today. With that in mind let’s consider what might be the potential support and resistance levels to focus on? Potential Support Levels: Within a positive trending condition such as that recently seen in Gold a rising Bollinger mid-average can provide a support level. For Gold the mid-average currently stands at 3311 (see chart below) and this may represent a relevant first support level for traders to monitor on a closing basis. While closing breaks below this type of support level offer no guarantee of further price declines, if it were to happen, it may lead to a more extended phase of price weakness. This could in turn open further downside tests towards to the next potential support at 3289, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of May 15th to June 3rd 2025 strength, and if this in turn were to break, the 61.8% retracement which stands at 3225. Potential Resistance Levels: While the support at 3311 offered by the rising Bollinger mid-average remains intact on a closing basis, it is possible further attempts at price strength may develop. This could lead to tests of higher resistance levels. The first resistance level for traders to monitor could be 3392, which is the June 3rd session high. Any potential closing breaks above this resistance may be viewed as a more constructive development, which could then open the possibility of further attempts at price strength towards 3435, which is the May 6th session high (see chart above). The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Pepperstone
NFLX – Bearish Divergence Playing Out, $1,177 in FocusThis is a follow-up to my June 7 post where I highlighted a high-probability bearish divergence setup on Netflix. Since then, price has rejected from the supply zone and is now hovering above the critical $1,177 structure support. 🔍 What’s changed: 📉 Bearish divergence confirmed — price rejected the highs 🔻 Momentum continues to fade, RSI rolling down from >73 📊 Price now sitting on $1,177, the last higher low 📏 Fibonacci levels mapped for potential continuation if broken 📐 Key Levels: Structure Support (still holding): $1,177 Breakdown targets (Fibonacci): 0.382 → $1,094 0.5 → $1,042 0.618 → $990 Resistance to monitor for retest: $1,240–$1,260 🧠 Outlook: If $1,177 holds → we may bounce temporarily. If it breaks → bearish continuation likely, targeting 5–10% lower. The bearish divergence setup is now in motion. Structure will determine whether this turns into a full breakdown.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by fredcast80
4
GBPUSD → Countertrend retest of support before growthFX:GBPUSD is forming a countertrend correction to the zone of interest and liquidity while the dollar is stagnating. The market is waiting for a fundamental driver. Within the uptrend, a countertrend correction is forming towards the liquidity zone at 1.342. Against this backdrop, the dollar is correcting and contracting towards support. The currency pair's price continues to decline, but within the uptrend, breaking the local structure but not the market character. The focus is on the current trading range of 1.342 - 1.359. A retest of support could bring the price back to resistance. Support levels: 1.3421, 1.339 Resistance levels: 1.3507, 1.3593 A quick retest of the liquidity zone at 1.3421, the inability of GBPUSD to continue falling, a false breakdown, and the price consolidating above 1.3421 would be a good indication that buyers are trying to hold the market. In this case, we could see the price strengthen. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/11/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025 - PR High: 21983.75 - PR Low: 21937.00 - NZ Spread: 104.75 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | CPI (Core|YoY|MoM) 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories 13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 6/11) - Session Open ATR: 380.78 - Volume: 24K - Open Int: 272K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -3.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22096 - Mid: 20383 - Short: 19246 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2025Short
by mv3trader5
VIC hope you are watching it.--- ### 🇻🇳 Vin Group (VIC): An On-the-Ground Perspective from Vietnam 📈 After first visiting Vietnam in 2022, it became clear Vin Group is doing a lot of interesting things in Vietnam. To me, Vin Group seemed like an obvious thing to get exposure to a lot of the growth in Vietnam. * **Accessibility Note:** HOSE:VIC is not easily available outside Vietnam, other than within Vietnamese indexes. --- ### The NASDAQ:VFS Anomaly & Free Float Insights While in 2023, NASDAQ:VFS (VinFast) went to prices that defied all logic on US markets, US media most likely had no idea about $VIC. All you needed to do was see that HOSE:VIC held most of the NASDAQ:VFS shares (I thought it was 80%, but some suggestions indicate it might have been closer to 99%). * **Key Takeaway:** A lot of retail investors won't understand free float risks. Starting my investing journey in the crypto space, I am well versed in dealing with assets with low float. **(Image 1: VFS Marketcap)** ` ` *VFS Marketcap* **(Image 2: VIC Marketcap & The Disconnect)** ` ` *VIC Marketcap – Note: VIC is in VND, VFS in USD. At one point, HOSE:VIC (approx. $12B USD) held VFS shares valued vastly higher, highlighting a significant market disconnect.* > Needless to say, I wanted exposure to the things Vin Group was doing but chose to wait rather than join that insanity. --- ### An Expat's View: Seeing Vietnam's Transformation zmiany As of Q4 2023, I moved to Vietnam. Living here, I get to see what's going on. Though I am still a foreigner, I get a different perspective. > You see, when you look in the mirror every day, it's hard to see the changes. Then you see that family member you haven't seen in a while who still thinks you're 6, but you're actually 16. This is the case in Vietnam; many people came years ago and think it's the same or worse, or perhaps just watched a movie. --- ### Understanding Vietnam's Economic DNA: Đổi Mới and its People 🚀 To understand economics in Vietnam, you must first understand **Đổi Mới** – those changes are the start of economic success in Vietnam. * **Human Capital:** * First-generation university/college-educated individuals are very common. * First-generation English, Chinese, or Korean speakers are gaining more access to markets outside Vietnam. (Korean is significant for FDI and cultural influence like movies/TV). * **The Vietnamese Grit:** Many Vietnamese had very rough younger lives, and grit is a character trait they could win prizes for. It's seen in an extreme you don't find in other places. They just won't quit. * **International Relations:** International business requires friendliness, and they choose to be friendly with everyone. > Investing is about backing winners so that you can win with them. --- ### Navigating Vin Group's Diverse Portfolio: **1. Real Estate Market & HOSE:VIC :** The real estate market has struggled after the incident with Truong My Lan. A lot of stuff is empty and unsold. I have no clue when Vietnamese housing will top or bottom. While HOSE:VIC is largely made up of real estate, I believe that with lower mortgage rates now, they will sell properties they have and don't want, moving debt and assets off the balance sheet. **2. VinFast ( NASDAQ:VFS ) & Xanh SM 🚕:** * **Indonesian Expansion:** Watch for expansion into Indonesia – a massive, often underestimated market. (Unless it's someone who follows National GDP rankings globally and other macroeconomics.) * **Path to Profitability:** VinFast just needs to reach a point where it's no longer cash-flow negative. * **Long-Term Value:** The money will come from the Vision training they are doing. * **Xanh SM (Taxi Service):** * Now the largest taxi company in Vietnam. * Creates organic demand (buy pressure) for VinFast cars. * **A Better "Green" Product:** Unlike my experience in Canada where "green" options often felt forced and uncompetitive, Xanh SM is something you take because it's simply a *better product*. Smart, innovative people can make something "Green" AND better for the consumer. If you haven't tried it, just try it – it's better in every way (specifically the VinFast cars). * **Scooter Critique:** The VinFast scooter needs a very simple change. The handle to hold onto the scooter located on the back is really bad. If I had one request, it would be to change that handle; it's awful. Put a large man in the front and try it. **3. Vin Bus 🚌:** Wow, the bus is the same quality as the newest buses I have seen in Canada, with one huge change: They are *extremely clean*. I have never been on a dirty VinBus. **4. Vin Homes 🏡:** Truly amazing, with great amenities. Lots of people run or play sports in the early morning. Mall access, VinBus access. **5. Other Ventures:** * **VinSchool & VinMec:** I've heard a lot of great stuff, but I haven't used them personally. * **VinWonders Theme Park:** Also a lot of fun. * **Vin Group Hotels:** Can also be really great. --- ### My Investment Journey with HOSE:VIC charted **(Image 3: My Entry Point)** ` ` *So when did I actually get into Vin Group? In 2024.* **(Image 4: Weekly MACD Signal)** ` ` *To me, this weekly MACD made it really obvious downside momentum was done. It was a matter of time to buy it up.* * **Stop-Loss:** Having a stop-loss was also pretty obvious with the 2023 low. * **Sentiment:** Sentiment was also really low. * **Conviction:** Yet, I kept using the products of HOSE:VIC subsidiary companies, thinking the only way I see this company not doing better is if it goes bankrupt. The products are definitely amazing. * **Debt vs. Rates:** If you looked at the company balance sheets, debt was a risk, but Vietnam changed its rates, and eventually, most nations will change their rates. --- ### Price Targets & Risk Management for HOSE:VIC 📈📉 **(Image 5: Long-Term View & Current RSI)** ` ` * **Long-Term Target:** I think this Company could go well over **200k VND**. * **Short-Term Caution:** Price going straight up is risky. With 2024 buying, you could have a narrow stop-loss. In 2025, with this price movement, a simple weekly reversion to the mean would be very rough. * **Overbought RSI:** The RSI hit 97 – not a number that makes me think, "Wow, lots of room to grow immediately." > For me, I want to hold enough stock that I am okay if, before going to 200k VND, we first go back to 60k VND. --- **Disclaimer:** *The information provided in this post is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, market, or trading strategy does not guarantee future results. I am not a financial advisor. Please conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. You are solely responsible for any investment decisions you make.*
HOSE:VICLong
by JamesRennie
PayPal: Rebound or Rerun?PayPal in 2025: A breakout with backbone or just another spineless fintech? PayPal is still in the rehabilitation ward after its fall from grace in 2021. Management drama, growth slowdown — the full fintech fatigue package. But something has shifted behind the scenes. A new CEO is cutting costs, AI integration is being whispered about, and earnings have started to surprise again. Wall Street pretends not to notice — but volume tells a different story. Technically, we’re looking at a well-formed inverse head and shoulders. The neckline stretches from $72.00 to $74.76, aligning with the 0.5 Fibonacci level. A confirmed breakout above this zone opens the path to a clear target at $93.66 — the 1.0 Fibonacci extension. Multiple EMA clusters and strong pattern symmetry reinforce the setup. But no fairy tales here: the real entry comes after a retest. Without confirmation, it’s just another pretty formation for chart enthusiasts.
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by TotoshkaTrades
7
Upstart Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 061025Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 58/61.80% Chart time frame:C A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress:B A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
NASDAQ:UPST
by fibonacci6180
1
XLV Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 061025Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 136/61.80% Chart time frame:D A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress:B A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
AMEX:XLV
by fibonacci6180
Gold (XAUUSD) Weekly TF 2025Overview This analysis outlines the structural Fibonacci confluences, scenario planning, and macro-aligned projections for Gold (XAUUSD) on the weekly timeframe. It integrates multi-layered Fibonacci extensions and retracements, mapping out key support and resistance levels, and proposes a nuanced primary scenario that includes both intermediate rallies and corrective movements. Primary Scenario – Multi-Stage Movement Hypothesis We anticipate that gold may initially extend higher from the current level (~$3,325) to test the 127.2% Fibonacci extension at $3,435, with the possibility of a further intermediate peak near $3,500. This level marks a psychological and technical resistance zone and could act as a temporary top. Following this local peak, a corrective phase may unfold. This pullback could evolve into one of the two outlined correction scenarios: 1 TP Correction Scenario Support Target: ~$2,950 Basis: 100% Fib extension confluence and prior resistance turned support Expected Outcome: Price stabilizes at this level and resumes upward momentum 2 TP Correction Scenario Support Target: ~$2,650 Basis: Strong historical structure + 100% Fib confluence from a broader cycle Expected Outcome: This zone acts as a long-term demand accumulation area Upon completion of the corrective structure, we expect gold to reinitiate its primary bullish trend. Bullish Continuation Targets TP1: ~$4,050 (161.8% Fibonacci extension) TP2: ~$4,319 (261.8% Fibonacci extension) These targets align with macroeconomic conditions, central bank accumulation trends, and long-term structural cycles. Supporting Technicals RSI: Holding above 50, indicating preserved bullish momentum MACD: Positive crossover with widening histogram on weekly timeframe Price Action: Strong support zone between $3,280–$3,300 aligning with 161.8% Fib retracement of the recent minor wave Macro Fundamentals & Correlations Central Bank Gold Demand: Sustained net buying by BRICS nations, particularly China and Russia, supports the structural bid on gold Fed Policy: Market anticipates a prolonged pause or gradual rate cuts, favoring non-yielding assets like gold DXY & US10Y Yields: Any further decline in DXY or softening yields would add tailwinds to gold Crypto Correlation: During inflationary hedging or systemic risk periods, gold and crypto may correlate positively, especially with weakening USD Intermarket Relationships: Gold, DXY, and TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap) Gold vs. DXY (US Dollar Index) Gold historically maintains an inverse correlation with DXY. A rising DXY tends to apply downward pressure on gold prices, while a falling DXY enhances gold's upside momentum. Scenario Interactions: If DXY breaks below 98, this could validate the bullish scenario for gold toward $3,435–$4,050. If DXY rallies back above 100, it could trigger the correction scenarios ($2,950 or $2,650) in gold. Gold vs. TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap) Gold and TOTAL may show positive correlation during periods of USD weakening and global liquidity expansion. Scenario Interactions: If gold rallies toward $3,500 and TOTAL also breaks key resistance (e.g., $1.8T–$2T), this signals synchronized bullish risk appetite. If gold corrects while TOTAL continues to rise, it could indicate rotation of liquidity from defensive to risk-on assets. A simultaneous correction in both may occur if DXY strengthens aggressively or if macro shocks reduce global liquidity. These intermarket relationships should be monitored continuously to assess the evolving macro context and validate the chosen scenario. In the case of a gold correction toward $2,950 or $2,650, the impact on altcoins will hinge on the prevailing macroeconomic backdrop. If the correction stems from a healthy, technical rebalancing within a risk-on environment—without a concurrent surge in the U.S. dollar—it could signal a shift in capital from defensive assets like gold into more speculative plays, including altcoins. This type of capital rotation often benefits the crypto market, particularly if TOTAL (crypto market cap) holds or advances structurally. However, if the correction is caused by rising dollar strength, tightening financial conditions, or broader risk-off sentiment, altcoins may instead suffer alongside gold, as liquidity is withdrawn across the board. Therefore, the context and drivers behind gold’s correction are crucial in assessing its downstream effects on altcoin performance. From a philosophical lens, gold's cyclical ascent and retreat mirrors the rhythm of nature and human experience—expansion, contraction, and renewal. Just as rivers carve valleys before surging toward the ocean, the market too must surrender gains to gather force. A correction in gold is not merely a financial event, but a moment of recalibration—an inhale before the next exhale of momentum. It invites reflection: whether wealth seeks refuge or ventures into risk, whether fear contracts or ambition expands. In this interplay, altcoins may inherit the restless spirit of capital in search of yield, as gold, the ancient anchor of value, briefly pauses in its timeless journey. Conclusion We present a multi-phased path for gold where: An initial bullish breakout toward $3,435–$3,500 forms a short- to mid-term peak A subsequent correction brings gold to either $2,950 or $2,650, depending on macro triggers A renewed bull rally drives gold toward $4,050 and potentially $4,319 and beyond This scenario reflects both the cyclical nature of market structure and the macro-fundamental backing that continues to support long-term gold strength.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BitonGroup