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Fibonacci Retracement

GOLD → Hunt for liquidity ahead of continued correctionFX:XAUUSD is strengthening due to uncertainty while the dollar consolidates. Amid heightened volatility, a retest of the 3340 liquidity zone may form, and if buyers fail to keep the price above this zone, gold may form a correction Demand for the dollar is supported by the rise in USD/JPY after soft comments on interest rates by Bank of Japan Governor Ueda. Gold is responding with a correction. Traders remain cautious ahead of the outcome of the second day of trade talks between the US and China in London. Donald Trump confirmed that dialogue with Beijing is continuing, but key differences remain. Investors are also awaiting US inflation data (CPI), which could determine the further dynamics of the dollar and gold. Meanwhile, inflation expectations in the US fell from 3.6% to 3.2% in May. Technically, gold broke the structure and confirmed key resistance during the correction. A hunt for liquidity is possible before the decline continues towards the key target of 3275. Resistance levels: 3340, 3361 Support levels: 3301, 3275 The price is forming a new trading range of 3340 - 3301 (3294). Before declining, especially if the fundamental background changes to positive as negotiations progress, gold may test the liquidity zone of 3340 and form a false breakout, which will trigger a continuation of the correction to 3275. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
GOLD → Correction before a decline or continuation of the trend?FX:XAUUSD is testing the liquidity zone during the Asian session and forming a false breakout. The metal is recovering, but the fundamental background remains unstable... On Monday, gold is holding steady at around $3,300 amid a weaker dollar and caution among traders ahead of US-China talks and the release of US inflation data (CPI) on Wednesday. Strong NFP data for May strengthened the dollar and lowered expectations for a Fed rate cut. However, domestic problems in the US are putting pressure on the currency... Markets are adjusting positions ahead of CPI. Geopolitics and domestic unrest in the US are holding back gold's decline, despite possible optimism about a trade deal. Technically, the trend is bullish, with the price previously breaking the structure but rising in the Asian session after a false breakdown of the order block and the 3300 liquidity zone. Further movement depends on 3330 - 3340 Resistance levels: 33301, 3339, 3375 Support levels: 3301, 3275 The price is heading towards 3330-3340 for a retest. If the dollar continues to decline and gold manages to consolidate above 3340, the bullish trend may continue. BUT! A false breakout of the 3330-3340 zone could trigger a further decline after the bullish structure breaks down. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
11
$ETH / USDT – 4H Time Frame Analysis 3,000 INCOMING?? CRYPTOCAP:ETH / USDT – 4H Time Frame Analysis Structure: Bullish Flag | Outlook: Neutral-Bullish | Target: $3000? 🔹 Chart Overview -Pattern: Bullish Flag (continuation structure) Current Range: - Supply Zone: $2,680.00 – $2,786.21 - Demand Zone: $2,319.79 – $2,417.61 Price Action: - Tight consolidation between higher lows and lower highs, forming a symmetrical triangle within a flag structure. Trend: - Consolidation, but within a macro uptrend (prior strong rally). Volume Profile: - Anchored Volume shows high participation around $2,540–$2,600. OBV: - Flattening, signaling indecision and potential energy buildup. Key Psychological Levels: $2,860: Minor resistance from past S/R flips. $3,000: Major round-number psychological resistance. 📐 Technical Confluences Fibonacci Retracement: - The 0.618 golden pocket aligns with the support trendline, reinforcing this as a critical zone. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): - Above Price: Acts as a magnet in bullish continuation. - Below Price: Risk zone if price drops; aligns with liquidity and trendline support. - Liquidity Zone: Aligned with 0.5–0.618 retracement; strong reaction expected. 📈 Bullish Scenari o Breakout of Pennant Resistance: - A clean break above $2,786 (supply zone & swing high) with volume. Close above Upper FVG and Liquidity Zone: - Confirms bullish intent. Targets psychological level at $2,860, then $3,000. Volume Confirmation: - OBV uptick and high breakout volume would validate the move. Bullish Target Zones: TP1: $2,860 (psych level + previous resistance) TP2: $3,000 (major psychological level) TP3: $3,120–$3,180 (1.618 Fib extension) 📉 Bearish Scenario Rejection from Current Supply or Liquidity Zone: - Fails to break above supply; rolls over from the upper pennant line. Break Below Support Trendline: - Break below golden pocket and $2,417.61 demand zone. Invalidation of Bullish Flag: - A breakdown below $2,319.79 (swing low) invalidates the bullish flag and may signal a trend reversal. Bearish Target Zones: TP1: $2,200 (local volume gap + structure support) TP2: $2,060–$2,120 (previous accumulation zone) TP3: $1,950 (macro support & last strong demand) ✅ Summary Structure: - Price is compressing within a bullish continuation pattern, awaiting breakout confirmation. Bias: Slightly bullish unless the swing low at $2,319 is broken. Confirmation Needed: - Break above or below pennant boundaries with volume.
Long
by King_BennyBag
GOLD → Correction to 3275FX:XAUUSD and medium-term outlook: Friday's strong unemployment data strengthened the dollar and triggered a sell-off in gold. Money is temporarily flowing out of the metal and into currencies and the stock market... Technically, gold is still in a bullish phase on the global timeframe. Logically, the situation is more reminiscent of a countertrend correction of the zone of interest before continuing growth. Despite the rise in the DXY after Friday's news, the dollar is still under pressure from Trump, who is pushing for an early interest rate cut. This move could significantly shake the market (dollar down, gold up) Locally, on the hourly XAUUSD timeframe, we can clearly see how the price is breaking out of the uptrend, thereby triggering a downward impulse. Resistance levels: 3325, 3343 Support levels: 3303, 3275 The liquidity level of 3300 could act as a magnet for the price, from which a correction to the resistance of the range of 3325 could form (liquidity hunt), but due to the change in the fundamental background, gold may continue its correction to 3275 (support zone) before a possible continuation of growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
Gold ShortThis week's focus is on Gold going short (despite it being bullish Globally). Fundamental pressure + technicals point towards it going further down. We might see gold touching 3300-3303 zone, a short bounce back from here to the 3325 zone, before it delves deep down towards the important zone at 3275. All zones confluence with fibonacci as well as shown. Once this correction is completed, it can resume its global bull run. Important levels to watch out for Support: 3300-3303, 3275 Resistance: 3325, 3342-45 Happy trading!
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by rajasherbazkhan
HYPE Precision Trading — Pattern, Patience, ProfitHYPE has shown strong performance since early April, maintaining a clear uptrend. Currently, the market is consolidating in a range between $30 and $40 and it’s setting up for something interesting. Let’s break it down and map the next high-probability trade setup. Potential Gartley Harmonic Pattern Forming A valid Gartley pattern may be developing, with point D potentially forming around the $29 level. This zone offers solid confluence for a high-probability long setup. 🟢 Long Setup – Gartley Harmonic Pattern Completion at around $29 Confluences around $29–$28.3: 0.786 Fib retracement of XA Trend-based Fib Extension 1:1 Negative -0.618 Fib as take-profit level for prior short Anchored VWAP (0.666 band multiplier) acting as dynamic support 200/233 EMA/SMA support on the 4H TF FVG + liquidity pool resting just below $30 Setup Details: Entry Zone: Trend-based Fib Extension 1:1 or laddered between $30–$28.3 Stop Loss: Below $27.5 (adjust depending on where point D forms) Target: 0.618 of CD leg ≈ $34.4 R:R ≈ 1:3.5 🔴 Short Setup – look for rejection at $36 0.618 Fib retracement from previous move (ideal short entry) Invalidation: Break above $38.2 (above point C) Take Profit: $30-$29 R:R ≈ 1:3 🧠 Educational Insight: Harmonic patterns offer precise entries and targets by aligning Fibonacci levels with market structure. When combined with tools like Anchored VWAP and liquidity analysis, they become powerful tools for swing trading. Summary: HYPE continues to respect structure beautifully, offering repeated swing setups in the 10%–20% range. With clear fib symmetry and predictable behaviour, it remains one of the more technically sound altcoins. Stay patient. Wait for the pattern to complete. As always — don’t chase. Let the trade come to you. _________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
3
BITCOIN → Correction. The hunt for liquidity...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is recovering after liquidity was captured in the 100K zone. Locally, the technical situation is controversial despite the global bullish trend Bitcoin is changing its market character (106700) and breaking the bullish structure (103000) during a correction phase. As part of the downward momentum, the movement is testing liquidity below the 100700 support level. As for the liquidation, there are several reasons: the conflict between Trump and Musk, strangely enough, the market reacted with a fall; the liquidation of whales, history repeats itself... Traders are buying back Bitcoin, but technically the market has a bearish structure. Locally, there is a bearish trend, and a countertrend correction, “liquidity hunting,” is forming. Ahead lies a fairly important zone of 105900-106700. The initial retest may end in a false breakout, as there may not be enough potential for continued growth (after a strong buyback). Resistance levels: 105,900, 106,720, 110,400 Support levels: 103000, 101400, 100K After a correction from 105900, which could target half (0.5) of the trading range, the market may attempt to return to a bullish phase, provided that the bulls keep the price from falling and do not allow it to update local lows. That is, in the short term, I expect a decline from 105900 to 103000, but further, if the price starts to return to 105500-105900, there may be chances for growth to 110K Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
37
Detailed analysis of the BTC/USD 4H chart🔍1. Chart Context Interval: 4 hours (H4) Current price: Around 104,950 – 105,400 USD Range of recent candles: Strong rebound after a decline to around 101,000 USD. Lower indicator: Stochastic RSI 📊2. Price Action Analysis Market structure Main trend (recent days): Downtrend – from the peaks of ~114,000 USD a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Recent hours: Dynamic decline, followed by a quick, strong rebound from around 101,000 USD to ~105,000 USD. Key technical levels ✅Resistance: ~105,500–106,000 USD – local peak of the last rebound wave and earlier lows from the end of May. ~108,000 USD – next key level, with a bigger upward movement. Support: ~102,000–101,000 USD – bottom of the last movement, quick demand reaction, so-called “stop run” or false breakout. ~99,000 USD – psychological zone and important level in case of further declines. 📊3. Indicators Stochastic RSI (bottom of the chart) Currently: Stochastic RSI strongly overbought (above 80 points), both lines (blue and orange) are at the top and slightly curling. Conclusion: Possible short-term correction/slowdown in growth. Overbought Stochastic RSI often precedes pullbacks, especially when testing important resistances. 🧠4. Possible scenarios Bulls – Upside scenario: If BTC breaks above $105,500 with momentum, a move to $106,000–108,000 is possible (another resistance and short squeeze). The key will be the closing of the 4h candle above $105,500. Bears – Downside scenario: If the price does not break $105,500, profit taking and a pullback to $103,000–102,000 are possible. Strong defense of the $101,000–102,000 level by the bulls – if it is broken again, it threatens to deepen the declines even to $99,000. 📊5. Additional Notes Reduced Volatility: After such a strong bounce, there is often a period of “calmness” and consolidation. Potential Traps: False breakouts for 4h and sudden changes in direction (characteristic of the crypto market). 📌6. Warning Signals Stochastic RSI overbought – suggests to be cautious with long positions “on the top” without additional confirmation. Lack of continuation after a strong bounce – if the price does not “reach” higher in the next candles, the risk of a correction increases. 🧠Summary: Currently: BTC/USD in a short-term bounce phase after a strong decline. The price is approaching a significant resistance (~105,500 USD). Stochastic RSI shows overbought – possible correction or sideways movement. Direction for the next few hours: Reactions at USD 105,500 (resistance) and ~USD 102,000 (support) will be key.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
GOLD → Intra-range strategy. Waiting for NFPFX:XAUUSD remains consolidated in the 3340-3391 range. The price is stuck in the middle of the range due to the uncertainty created by upcoming unemployment news... On Friday, gold rose slightly, remaining within the range ahead of important US employment data (NFP), which could set the direction for the market. Optimism over the US-China deal and profit-taking on the dollar are supporting the USD, holding back gold's rise. A weak NFP (less than 100,000) will reinforce expectations of a Fed rate cut and support gold. A strong report (above 200,000) will have the opposite effect. The probability of a rate cut in September is 54%. Technically, on the daily timeframe, the market structure is bullish. After a sharp breakout of resistance and a new high, the price is consolidating above the upward trend line, forming a plateau in the 3300-3340 zone. Another shakeout from support is possible before the trend resumes Resistance levels: 3375, 3391, 3414 Support levels: 3339, 3331 Forming a price forecast ahead of news, especially ahead of NFP, is a thankless task. Therefore, it is advisable to wait for the news and monitor the price reaction. A retest of the consolidation boundary and a rebound are possible. There is a chance that the price will remain in consolidation until next week, but again, it all depends on the fundamental background... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
USDCAD → One step away from distributionFX:USDCAD is recovering amid the dollar's growth. Unemployment news is ahead. A return of the price to the buying zone may support the currency pair. Against the backdrop of the dollar's growth, a change in the market phase is forming (unconfirmed). The price has stopped updating lows and is forming an eql, from which it is breaking out of the downtrend. The initial retest of liquidity at 1.366 may end in a correction. However, a quick retest and consolidation of the price above the level will confirm the change in sentiment Resistance levels: 1.3686, 1.3732 Support levels: 1.3675, 1.366 Despite the fact that the price broke the downward resistance, the currency pair is still under pressure from sellers who are waiting for the price to fall from 1.3686. A breakout, a change in market sentiment to bullish, and consolidation above 1.3675-1.3686 will confirm readiness for a recovery. Zones of interest: eqh 1.3732 Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
BTC/USDT.P Rejection Confirmed? Eyeing Breakdown Toward 50% FibBitcoin just lost two critical levels in rapid succession: 1️⃣ Value Area High ($106,331) 2️⃣ Previous Monthly High ($105,000) We’re now closing candles back inside prior structure, showing signs of weakness and potential distribution at the highs. 📉 The Bearish Setup Price is hovering above the 0.236 retracement. A break and daily close below this level could complete what looks to be the right shoulder of a developing head and shoulders pattern. The distance from head to neckline lines up with a projected move down toward the 50% Fibonacci level ($91,500) — which also aligns closely with the POC ($96,888) as an intermediate stop. 🎯 Targets: • Neckline/Break Level: $102,800 • Mid-Target (POC): $96,888 • Main Target (0.5 Fib): $91,500 • Confluence zone lower: 0.618 to 0.68 (watch for reversals) 🧠 Context Notes: • The current 2-leg rejection (~8% each) gives symmetry to the pattern • High volume nodes around POC could act as reaction areas • This short setup remains valid while price is closing below ~105k and failing to reclaim VAH If this structure plays out, it’s a classic example of a failed breakout turning into a strong breakdown — the kind of move that catches late bulls off guard.
Short
by turnandshoot
2
GBPUSD 4H MAJOR REVERSAL SETUP – WATCH FOR THE BREAK!Hey There; The Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern in GBPUSD is becoming more defined, approaching a critical neckline level. If a breakout occurs, it could trigger a strong downward move, pushing the price toward new support levels. Right now, sellers are gaining strength while buyers attempt to defend key support zones. A confirmed close below the neckline could accelerate the sell-off. 📌 If the breakout happens, I’ll share target levels with you—stay tuned for updates I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses. I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
by TraderTilki
4
GOLD → Retesting resistance may lead to a breakoutFX:XAUUSD is still bullish. The price is consolidating in the range of 3390-3345, with an intermediate bottom forming inside the channel, which overall indicates positive signs. On Thursday, gold is consolidating ahead of $3390. Consolidation after growth, within a bullish trend, is a good sign. But, on the one hand, the price is supported by growing tensions between Russia and Ukraine. On the other hand, optimism about US trade negotiations with Canada, the EU, and China is strengthening the dollar and holding back demand for gold. Additional pressure on the dollar is coming from weak US macro statistics, especially ADP data and the decline in the ISM Services PMI, which have reinforced expectations of Fed policy easing. Traders are waiting for further signals from the regulator. Resistance levels: 3391.4, 3414, 3435 Support levels: 3365, 3345 Technically, gold is rising and forming a retest of consolidation resistance. If the 3391 level is broken, the price may head towards 3435. Before breaking through resistance, a correction or retest of 3365 may form. However, consolidation near 3391 and a gradual squeeze towards the level will increase the chances of a breakout and growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
BTC/USD 1H Short-Term🔍1. General Context and Short-Term Trend Short-Term Trend: The last dozen or so candles have shown strong fluctuations — a typical sideways market (consolidation) after a clear upward impulse and a quick drop. The price is currently trading in the range of around $104,900–$106,500. Recent Strong Move: Clear upward impulse from around $104,900 to around $106,900, followed by a quick correction. 📌2. Supports and Resistances (H1) Supports: $105,000–$105,200 — Bottom of local wicks and several demand tests. $104,900 — Lowest point of the last few hours, clear buyer reaction. Resistances: $106,200–$106,400 — Upper area of ​​several candles, strong price rejection. 106,900–107,000 USD – The peak of the last impulse, a place of clear supply. ✅3. Candlestick formations and price action Pin bar / long wick: Candles with long lower wicks are visible around 105,000 USD, which suggests that buyers are defending support. Double top? (Double top): Peaks around 106,900 USD (03.06 and 04.06) – a classic signal of a potential change in direction to the lower. Possible consolidation: The last few hours have been a series of alternating candles, signaling the lack of a clear advantage of bulls or bears. 🧠4. Technical indicators (MACD and RSI) MACD (lower panel) The MACD line crossed the signal line from the bottom to the top, then a quick correction and currently the MACD is close to zero – no clear trend, momentum has slowed down. MACD Histogram: Declining, close to zero, suggesting potential lack of strong trend and possibility of further consolidation. RSI (middle panel) RSI value ~44–48 – not overbought or oversold, neutral market state. No divergence – RSI generally follows price, no strong divergences are visible. RSI bounced off 30 (tested oversold zone and returned to neutral range). 🧠5. What could be important? Volatility Squeeze: Low volatility after a sharp move often heralds another impulse. Potential Fakeout: If support at $104,900 is broken falsely (e.g. quick wick and return), a move up could occur. No clear trend on the hourly chart, rather sideways market in the short term. 📊Summary and scenarios Scenario 1 (bullish): If the $105,000-$104,900 level holds, we can expect a test of $106,200-$106,400 and perhaps another attempt to approach $107,000. Scenario 2 (bearish): If the $104,900 support is broken (with a candle closed below this level), the next target is around $104,500 and below. What to watch out for? Timing of macro data releases - may increase volatility. Sudden breakouts from consolidation - no trend = higher risk of sudden, false moves.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
GOLD → Consolidation before a strong move...FX:XAUUSD is consolidating after a false breakout of resistance at 3365, awaiting economic data. The metal remains attractive to investors amid the economic crisis. Gold is supported by the weakening dollar amid increased trade risks. Today, US tariffs on steel and aluminum come into force, and Trump's ultimatum to trading partners expires. Investors are also awaiting news of a possible meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping amid new accusations against China. The focus is on key employment data (ADP) and the ISM services index, which could influence the dollar and expectations for the Fed's actions. Technically, the market may test the 3323 liquidity zone before continuing its growth. Resistance levels: 3365, 3391 Support levels: 3345, 3323, 3303 Overall, both the global and local trends are bullish, with the price forming a local correction after a false breakout of resistance. If the bulls hold their ground above 3323-3345 after retesting support, growth may continue in the short to medium term. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
7
AUDCHF → Hunting for liquidity. Fall from resistanceFX:AUDCHF is emerging from local consolidation and entering a distribution phase. Potentially, against the backdrop of a downtrend, the market may be interested in the liquidity zone at 0.5356 Globally, we have a strong downtrend and a countertrend correction that is facing pressure in the 0.545 zone. The decline is resuming, but at some point the market formed an EQH liquidity pool at 0.5356, which is most likely acting as a magnet pulling the price towards it... Based on the technical situation, we can conclude that if the price continues to form a distribution towards the target, the market is quite capable of stopping the price and returning to the downtrend phase. Resistance levels: 0.535, 0.5356 Support levels: 0.5327, 0.5314 Thus, a breakout of the resistance level of 0.5356 without the possibility of continuing growth and a return of the price below the resistance level with subsequent price consolidation in the sales zone (below 0.5356) may trigger a resumption of the downward trend. Best regards, R. Lind
Short
by RLinda
XAU/USD Update - Riding Wave 5 to the TopGold continues its bullish recovery, having completed Wave (4) at the channel low. We're now riding Wave (5) with strong momentum. 🔹 Entry Executed: Entered long at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement – $3,272.57, a key confluence zone with the EMA and previous structure support. 📈 Bullish Targets: $3,396.89 (0.27 extension) $3,463.25 (0.618 extension) $3,499.84 (1.0 extension / Wave (5) completion) The move is playing out cleanly, with RSI confirming upside momentum. As long as price holds above the 0.5–0.618 zone, bulls remain in control. Letting this one breathe — eyes on higher highs. 💰📈 @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WrightWayInvestments
1
GOLD → Correction to liquidity before growthFX:XAUUSD is in the realization phase after exiting the “symmetrical triangle” consolidation. The price is supported by the trend and a complex fundamental background. Gold is retreating from its peak, remaining below risk support. The price of gold is falling moderately from $3,392, awaiting data on JOLTS job openings in the US. Gold is supported by trade and geopolitical risks: Trump doubled tariffs on metals, increasing pressure on the dollar. The conflict with China has escalated due to allegations of violations of agreements. Focus on US employment: Strong data could support the dollar and limit gold's gains, but the technical picture remains bullish. Resistance levels: 3365, 3391, 3409 Support levels: 3345, 3323 Against the backdrop of a rising dollar, gold may test deeper liquidity zones, such as 3345 and 3330. However, if trading forms between 3365 and 3345, followed by a retest of resistance and consolidation above 3365, this could trigger an early rise to 3391-3409. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
21