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Fibonacci Retracement

USDJPY → Hunting for liquidity before the fallFX:USDJPY is changing its local trend and succumbing to global pressure. The market is seeing a change in price movement following the decline in the dollar index... The trend has broken and the price movement has turned bearish. The fall in the dollar index is allowing the Japanese yen to strengthen, which is generally negative for the currency pair. The decline may continue after a slight correction. Fundamentally, the dollar is correcting amid uncertainty due to the tariff war, as well as expectations of interest rate cuts. Resistance levels: 147.20, 147.89 Support levels: 145.85, 145.23 As part of the correction, the price may test the liquidity zone of 147.7 or 0.7f. A false breakout and consolidation of the price in the selling zone may trigger a further decline in both the short and medium term. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
10
SOLUSDT 1H Short-Term🔍 Technical Structure: Short-Term Trend: SOL is currently in an uptrend, with local higher lows. This is evident from the orange uptrend line, which has been tested multiple times. Local Resistance: 205.14 USDT – yellow line – a resistance level that the price has touched several times but failed to break (this could be a double-top formation). Local Support: 198.48 USDT – the price is currently testing this level as support. 194.36 USDT – lower, more crucial support (stronger upon a trend breakout). 187.74 USDT – important support that would be tested in the event of a larger breakout. 📉 Oscillator – Stoch RSI: The Stoch RSI is currently in oversold territory (below 20), suggesting the possibility of a local rebound. However, there has been no upward crossover yet, so there is no strong buy signal. 🔊 Volume: We are observing a decrease in volume during the current correction, suggesting that the declines are relatively weak – there is no strong supply impulse. 🧠 Short-term scenarios: ✅ Bullish scenario: Price is rebounding from the trend line (orange) and the 198.48 USDT level. A break of the 205.14 USDT resistance could open the way to: 209.37 USDT 216.02 USDT (next target) ❌ Bearish scenario: A break of the trend line and the 198.48 USDT level with the 1-hour candle closing below. Possible decline to: 194.36 USDT (first support) and further to 187.74 USDT if selling pressure increases.
by cryptodailyuk
1
GOLD → Correction before continuing the rally to 3450FX:XAUUSD updates its local maximum to 3401.5 and enters a consolidation phase ahead of news. The dollar correction gives speculators a chance... The price of gold is correcting from 3400. The reason is profit-taking ahead of Powell's speech at 12:30 GMT and waiting for clarity on US trade negotiations with the EU and Japan before August 1. Gold remains sensitive to the progress of negotiations and the dynamics of the dollar, which is weakening amid political uncertainty, declining yields, and pressure on the Fed from Trump. Technically, after exiting consolidation and retesting 3400, the price is entering a local consolidation phase. Focus on key levels: 3401, 3382, 3375. A false breakdown of support could trigger a recovery phase. Resistance levels: 3402, 3393 Support levels: 3382, 3375, 3362.75 The distribution phase has been halted by resistance, and the price has moved into a countertrend correction due to uncertainty. Markets are waiting for positive signals from the Fed. Local and global trends are bullish, which may support the price overall... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
30
EUR/USD – Falling Wedge at Major Fibonacci Zone | Bullish ReversAfter a strong mid-June rally, EUR/USD has pulled back into a key fib cluster, showing early signs of reversal from a classic falling wedge pattern — often a precursor to bullish breakouts. Technical Breakdown: 📉 Descending Trendline 🔍 Fibonacci Confluence: Price is reacting from the 0.5-0.618 – 0.705 zone (1.16421-1.15969), aligning perfectly with historical demand and the golden zone of the fib retracement. Just below sits the 0.79 fib (1.15339), which also marks our invalidity level for this idea — a deep but powerful retracement if tested. 💡 RSI: While still below 50, it has created a hidden bullish divergence between July 12–17, hinting that momentum is flipping back to bulls. 🧠 Educational Insight: This setup combines Trendlines, Fibonacci retracement theory, and EMA dynamics to build a multi-layered trade thesis — the type of confluence we look for at Wright Way Investments. Price doesn’t just reverse because it hits a fib level. But when structure, EMAs, and RSI align — the odds increase significantly. 📈 Trade Setup (Idea-Based, Not Financial Advice): Long Entry Zone: Current area (1.159–1.161), with confirmation above 1.1626 Invalidation: Clean break & close below 1.15339 Target Zones: 🎯 TP1 – 1.1642 (50 fib & retest zone) 🎯 TP2 – 1.1686 (38.2 fib) 🎯 TP3 – 1.1755 (Weekly Resistance) 📌 Summary: EUR/USD is forming a textbook reversal setup, supported by fib precision and EMA alignment. Patience is key — but the ingredients are here for a strong bullish continuation.
Long
by WrightWayInvestments
Gold Futures Long Setup – Breakout Continuation off the 0.618 FiGold Futures Long Setup – Breakout Continuation off the 0.618 Fib Instrument: Gold Futures – COMEX ( COMEX:GC1! ) Timeframe: 15-Minute Trade Type: Long – Breakout Continuation Entry Zone: 3390 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement) Take Profit: 3428 (0.786 Fib) Stop Loss: 3384 Risk/Reward Ratio: 6.68 Setup: Bullish Flag on Retest 🔍 Trade Thesis This trade is part of an ongoing breakout continuation strategy we've been trading, and now we're eyeing a pullback entry as price returns to a key retracement level. Price nearly exploded through the 0.618 Fibonacci level (3390) during the prior breakout. Now it's pulling back in a textbook bullish flag formation, suggesting healthy consolidation before the next leg. The 0.618 retracement is aligning with previous intraday structure and trendline support — making this an ideal level to scale in. This is a high R:R continuation play, with targets set at the 0.786 Fib level (3428) — right before macro resistance kicks in. 🎯 Entry & Exit Strategy Entry: As price touches 3390 or forms bullish confirmation at the level. Stop Loss: 3384 – tight and below key fib/flag structure. Target: 3428 – based on 0.786 Fib extension and breakout continuation projection. 📊 Why This Works Breakout behavior: Price respected the breakout impulse and retraced cleanly into a bull flag. Fib confluence: 0.618 pullbacks are a classic entry in trending markets. R/R of 6.68: Excellent reward profile vs. limited risk.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by JoshuaDanford
GOLD → Breakthrough accumulation. Correction before growthFX:XAUUSD has been strengthening since the session opened and is heading towards the 3374 zone of interest. The price has previously broken through the consolidation resistance and may test this boundary before moving further. Gold is rising amid trade risks and dollar weakness. After falling to $3310, gold resumed its growth, seeking to break through the $3368 level. Support for prices was provided by uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariff policy and expectations for Fed Chairman Powell's speech. The US dollar weakened temporarily as investors sought refuge in gold amid trade disputes with the EU, political instability in Japan, and criticism of the Fed from the White House. Technically, the price is in a realization phase after breaking out of consolidation, but it has encountered resistance at 3368, which could lead to a correction. The focus is on the 3350-3355 zone. If the bulls hold their ground above this zone, the market may return to the realization phase. Resistance levels: 3368, 3374 Support levels: 3345, 3332 The market is bullish and feels support, especially against the backdrop of a weak dollar. Traders are watching Trump and Powell. If the latter decides to cut rates, for example tomorrow at 12:30 GMT, gold could rally... Technically, gold could test 3350 before rising. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
22
BITCOIN → Consolidation, retest of 120K. Correction of dominanceBINANCE:BTCUSDT , after a rapid rally and touching 123K, rolled back and entered consolidation, giving altcoins a chance. At the same time, Trump signed new crypto laws, but will these laws open new doors? On June 18, the GENIUS Act was signed. Information can be found in the sources, but there is no direct reference to BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P , except perhaps indirectly: increased confidence in the crypto market, increased liquidity, possible new rules, and pressure on decentralized assets. Bitcoin has not always grown on positive news; more often it has been a deep pullback and liquidation before the momentum. Technically, Bitcoin is currently consolidating, and I would highlight several key areas: the upper range is 120K-120.9K. The zone between these levels is particularly important, as this is where buyers were previously liquidated and sellers gathered (liquidation is possible). The bottom is 117K (confirmed) - 116.2K. There is a liquidity pool on the support side. additional scenario if the market does not reach resistance and decides to form a long squeeze before growth Theoretically, I am not yet expecting a breakout and growth of Bitcoin. I think that consolidation may continue for some time, especially against the backdrop of a pullback in altcoins and a deep correction in the dominance index. Resistance levels: 120100, 120850 Support levels: 117000, 116230 Since the opening of the session, the price has been working off the liquidity capture from 117K. There is a reaction - growth, which could bring the price to the zone of interest at 120K. But the question is: will the price hold in the 120K zone? A false breakout of resistance could trigger a correction to 117-116K. Thus, I expect the market to remain in consolidation for some time or even expand the current trading range... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
27
LINK/USDT 4H Chart📉 Indicators and Market Structure: 🔶 Trend: Current trend: up, as long as it remains above the trend line and the 19.14 USDT level. Local resistance: 20.28 USDT (recent high). Next resistances: 20.99 USDT and 22.13 USDT (green lines). Supports: 19.14 USDT, 18.44 USDT, 17.29 USDT (red lines). 🔷 Stochastic RSI (lower indicator): Located in the oversold zone (below 20) and starting to reverse upward. Potential signal of buying pressure if the %K and %D lines cross bullishly. 🧠 Scenarios: ✅ Bullish scenario (trend continuation): Bounce from the trend line and the 19.14 level → breakout of 20.28 → test of 20.99–22.13. Confirmation will be a clear bullish candle with high volume and a Stochastic RSI cross up. ❌ Bearish scenario (trend break): Closing below the trend line and the 19.14 level → correction towards 18.44, and then even to 17.29. An oversold RSI could support continued declines if a rebound does not occur. 📌 Summary: Currently, the key level is the trend line and support at 19.14 USDT. The market is waiting for a reaction – a rebound or a downward breakout. Stochastic RSI suggests a possible rebound, but candlestick confirmation is needed.
by cryptodailyuk
1
$UNI - $10 from here?Hi guys! 👋🏻 🔔I'll be trying this setup for Uniswap 🔔 We have bounced from the strong support at $4.80, which we retested in April 25 and May 7 forming a pattern impersonating a double bottom 🔔 With the current chart pattern and levels, I'll be expecting a jump with a target on $10. 🔔 Might drop to $5.70 before another move upwards. ✊🏻 Good luck with your trades! ✊🏻 If you like the idea hit the 👍🏻 button, follow me for more ideas.
GEMINI:UNIUSDLong
by azizelliott
4
GBPUSD → Hunting for liquidity before the fallFX:GBPUSD is forming a countertrend correction towards the liquidity zone amid a correction in the dollar. Are there any chances for a trend break? The currency pair is taking advantage of the opportunity to test the trend resistance and consolidation amid the dollar correction. Focus on the nearest resistance level of 1.3467, behind which lies a pool of liquidity relative to the local trend. Based on the overall market sentiment (bearish), a breakout of the 1.3467 resistance could trigger a downward pullback. Resistance levels: 1.3467 Support levels: 1.3370 If, during the retest of the specified liquidity zone, the market is unable to continue its upward movement and the price returns below the level, we will have a chance to catch a decline within the current trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
10
3-Year Euro Uptrend — An Absurdity Amid a Weak EconomyCMCMARKETS:EURUSD The euro is climbing, hitting its highest levels since late 2021 near $1.18. This surge is driven by diverging central bank policies—with the ECB holding rates steady while the Fed leans dovish—amid global tensions that push gold higher and rattle markets, weakening the dollar even though the eurozone economy remains fragile. 📉 1️⃣ Dollar Weakness Takes Center Stage Since its January 2025 peak, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen by over 11% 📉—one of its worst starts in decades, comparable to the slumps of 1986 and 1989. As inflation cools, markets are betting on Fed rate cuts, pulling U.S. Treasury yields lower. Coupled with monetary policy divergence and tariff drama, the dollar’s usual safe-haven appeal is fading, even amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. 📊 2️⃣ Fed–ECB Policy Divergence While the ECB has signaled the possibility of one or two cuts this year, markets are pricing in a milder path. By contrast, the Fed is tilting dovish, with swaps markets expecting a rate cut in September and another by December 🗓️. This widening yield differential supports EUR/USD, even though eurozone growth remains soft. ⚖️ 3️⃣ Trump Tariff Risks and Sentiment Shift Uncertainty around U.S. trade policy—especially the threat of renewed tariffs—has weighed more heavily on USD sentiment than on eurozone currencies. Markets view these tariffs as inflationary and damaging to U.S. growth prospects. Speculative positioning data confirms record bearish sentiment on the dollar, with funds underweight USD for the first time in 20 years 💼. 💶 4️⃣ Eurozone’s Fiscal Shift Germany has begun spending and borrowing, marking a dramatic pivot from years of fiscal restraint. This has raised hopes for an investment-driven recovery across the eurozone. Meanwhile, ECB President Christine Lagarde is avoiding signaling aggressive cuts, stabilizing market expectations and maintaining a sense of monetary calm—for now 🛡️. 🛡️ 5️⃣ Safe-Haven Flows Shifting Traditionally, geopolitical stress boosts the USD as a safe haven. This cycle is different: investors are increasingly turning to gold, the Swiss franc, and the yen as defensive assets, indirectly supporting the euro. In April, when Trump delayed tariff plans, safe-haven USD flows unwound further, fueling euro gains 💰. ⚠️ Risks Ahead for EUR/USD: 💔 Weak Eurozone Fundamentals: The eurozone economy is not booming. The IMF projects just 0.9% growth for 2025, with Germany, France, and Italy struggling to regain momentum. The ECB’s Financial Stability Review flags worsening credit conditions, weak private investment, and deteriorating balance sheets, none of which support sustained euro appreciation 📉. 🚢 A Strong Euro Hurts Exports: Eurozone exporters in machinery, chemicals, and autos are already facing squeezed margins from rising input costs and global protectionism. A stronger euro makes exports less competitive, shrinking the eurozone’s current account surplus, which dropped sharply from €50.9 billion in March to €19.8 billion in April, according to the ECB 📊. ⚡ Political Risks Looming: Fragile coalitions in Germany, budget battles in France, and rising anti-EU sentiment in Italy and the Netherlands could swiftly unwind euro gains if tensions escalate. Should the ECB turn dovish to support a weakening labor market, the euro’s rally could reverse quickly 🗳️. 📈 7️⃣ Technical Picture: Overextension Warning In addition to the macro drivers, EUR/USD is now technically overextended. The pair has already retraced exactly 78.6% of its major bearish trend that started in January 2021 and ended in September of that year. Ahead lies a strong resistance zone at 1.18000–1.20000, which will be difficult to break without a significant catalyst. Notably, the daily chart shows bearish RSI divergence, indicating fading momentum beneath the surface of this rally. A pullback toward the 1.13000 level would not be surprising, even as near-term momentum remains strong. This technical setup calls for caution while the pair tests these critical levels. 📈 Technical Outlook: EUR/USD Showing Signs of Overextension Beyond macroeconomic factors, EUR/USD is currently technically overextended. The pair has retraced exactly 78.6% of its major bearish trend that began in January 2021 and concluded in September the same year. It is now approaching the upper boundary of a 3-year ascending channel, facing a significant resistance zone between 1.18000 and 1.20000—a hurdle unlikely to be crossed without a strong catalyst. Additionally, the weekly chart reveals a bearish RSI divergence, signaling that underlying momentum is weakening despite the recent rally. Given this, a pullback toward the 1.13000 level is plausible, even as short-term momentum remains robust. This technical setup advises caution as the pair navigates these critical resistance levels.
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
1
BTC/USD Short-Term🔷 Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle (Consolidation) The price is inside the triangle formation (orange lines) and is approaching its completion. An impending breakout (up or down) is highly probable within the next few hours. 📉 Support Levels (red lines): 117.210 – local horizontal support. 116.324 – 115.050 – strong demand zone (potential target in the event of a downward breakout). 📈 Resistance Levels (green lines): 118.900 – 119.700 – local resistance zone. 121.011 – 121.813 – higher target in the event of an upward breakout from the triangle. 📊 Technical indicators: ✅ RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently: 69.05 – close to overbought levels, but not yet at an extreme. Potential for a short-term pullback unless a strong breakout occurs. ✅ MACD: Signal lines are tightly intertwined, histogram flat → no dominant momentum. Waiting for a breakout signal (bullish or bearish crossover). ✅ SMA: Price currently below the 50 and 200 SMA for 1 hour → slight downward momentum. The 50-SMA (red) is turning down, which may signal a continuation of the sideways or downward trend. 📌 Short-term conclusions (1–6 hours): Scenario 1: Bullish breakout: Confirmation: H1 candle close above 118,900. Targets: 119,700 and potentially 121,000–121,800. Scenario 2: Bearish breakout: Confirmation: H1 candle close below 117,200. Targets: 116,300, then 115,000–115,300. 📍 Watch for: Breakout of the triangle boundaries with volume. RSI behavior relative to the 70 level. MACD crossover and histogram.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
PENDLEUSDT 1D Chart Analysis|Bullish Breakout Eyes Higher TargetPENDLEUSDT 1D Chart Analysis | Bullish Breakout Eyes Higher Targets 🔍 Let’s break down the PENDLE/USDT daily chart, focusing on breakouts above key resistance, Fibonacci retracement dynamics, RSI momentum, and volume confirmation for a comprehensive bullish setup. ⏳ Daily Overview PENDLE has staged a powerful recovery after pulling back to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (around $3.12). Price is now testing the critical $4.68 resistance—the ceiling from the last corrective wave. RSI has jumped above 71, entering the overbought zone, a classic precursor to strong momentum moves. Volume is rising as bulls attempt a breakout, confirming participation behind the price action. 📈 Technical Convergence and Trend Structure - Fibonacci Structure: The correction held the 0.5 retracement, a textbook bullish reversal zone in rising trends. - Resistance Breakout: Price is challenging the $4.68 resistance. A daily close above, especially with high volume, would confirm the breakout and trigger bullish continuation. - RSI Indicator: RSI has cleared the 70 mark, reinforcing strong momentum. Overbought RSI often supports further rallies when backed by breakout moves and rising volume. - Volume Confirmation: Volume surged as PENDLE reclaimed lost ground and is now accelerating into the resistance test, suggesting trend conviction and confirming the move. 🔺 Bullish Setup & Targets - First target: $5.54 — the next resistance based on historical supply and Fibonacci extension. - If macro conditions like interest rate cuts align, the next potential target: $7.50 — the major extension target where price discovery is likely. - Key trigger: A strong daily (or weekly) close above $4.68, combined with breakout volume, is likely to ignite the next leg up. 📊 Key Highlights - Correction held at the 0.5 Fibo, signaling trend health and resetting momentum. - A bullish daily structure aligned with a weekly breakout confluence. - RSI and price action both making new local highs — strong uptrend indication. - Volume confirming the move—a real breakout is underway, not a false start. 🚨 Conclusion PENDLE/USDT looks primed for continuation higher. The blend of a successful 0.5 retracement retest, breakout attempt above $4.68, robust RSI, and volume surge all point to bullish follow-through. Watch for a confirmed close above resistance as the catalyst for further upside, with $5.54 and $7.50 the next logical targets if momentum persists.
Long
by AtresCryptoAcademy
GOLD → Retest of consolidation resistance. Chances of a breakoutFX:XAUUSD bounces off support at 3312, forming a false breakdown at 3320. The price is heading towards consolidation resistance. The chances of continued growth are increasing... Gold rebounded from its low amid statements by Fed member Waller about a possible rate cut in July. However, strong US sales and labor market data strengthened the dollar and held back XAU/USD growth. Despite statements by some Fed members about maintaining a tight policy, traders continue to expect rate cuts before the end of the year. The focus is on new economic data that could affect the dollar and gold prices. Technically, consolidation is narrowing, which could lead to distribution. Gold is feeling market support, and after retesting resistance at 3365, we need to watch the price reaction to the level. A pullback and quick retest could increase the chances of a breakout and growth to 3400. Resistance levels: 3365, 3375 Support levels: 3332, 3320, 3312 There is a high probability that there will be an attempt to break through the consolidation resistance amid expectations of a rate cut. This phase may be accompanied by either a correction to retest and return for a breakout, or a breakout and consolidation of the price above the level. Today, Friday, I expect a retest and correction, as there may not be enough local potential for a breakout of this level, and the price has already lost some of its momentum since the opening of the session... Best regards, Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
19
GBPCHF → Retest of resistance to the global downtrendFX:GBPCHF is facing resistance from the local trend, which is aligned with the global bearish trend. The trend may continue... A retest of resistance is forming within the global downtrend. As part of the correction, the price is testing the zone of interest and, after a false breakout of 1.7935, is returning to the selling zone. The currency pair is rebounding from the resistance of the local trend, which coincides with the global trend. Consolidation of the price below 1.078 may trigger a continuation of the decline Resistance levels: 1.07932, 1.0823 Support levels: 1.07744, 1.07255 Price consolidation in the selling zone followed by a break of the local structure could strengthen the bearish sentiment, which could trigger a further decline overall. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
ETH/USDT 4H Chart✅ Market Trend and Structure: Uptrend: The highlighted orange trend line shows continuous growth since mid-April. The price is trading above the 50- and 200-period moving averages (EMA and SMA), confirming bullish sentiment. Current price: around 3556 USDT – very close to local highs. Resistance break in the 3200–3300 USDT area, which now acts as support. 📈 Technical Levels: Resistance (red horizontal lines): 3600–3650 USDT – local resistance resulting from market reaction. 3888 USDT – next historical resistance level. 4133 USDT – established long-term target (green dashed line at the top). Support: 3300 USDT – strong support after a previous breakout. 3080 USDT – previous high, now the next support level. 3070 / 2900 USDT – key technical support levels in the event of a larger correction. 📊 Indicators: MACD: The MACD is in a strongly bullish zone, but: The histogram is flattening. A bearish crossover pattern is possible in the following candles – a signal of weakening momentum. RSI: RSI ~74 – is in the overbought zone, which often heralds a correction or at least consolidation. A value above 70 confirms the bullish trend but may suggest that momentum is overheated. 📌 Conclusions and Scenarios: 🔼 Upside Scenario (trend continuation): If the price remains above 3300–3350 USDT, it could move towards 3888, and then 4133 USDT. A break above 3650 USDT on heavy volume will be a strong continuation signal. 🔽 Corrective scenario (short-term pullback): The RSI and MACD suggest a possible correction. Potential pullback to: 3300 USDT (retest of previous resistance as support). SMA 200 (~2600 USDT) with a deeper downward move.
by cryptodailyuk
1
EURAUD → Correction for accumulation before growthFX:EURAUD reaches the zone of interest during a correction and forms a false breakdown of local support. Traders can switch to the buy side to support the trend. Against the backdrop of a global bullish trend and a correction in the euro, the currency pair is following this movement, the essence of which is to consolidate funds for further growth. Liquidation is forming in relation to the liquidity zones of 1.785, 1.78, and 1.773, and the market imbalance is changing. The current movement is bringing the price to the zone of interest: the liquidity area of 1.773 and the order block. The capture of liquidity relative to 1.773 leads to the formation of a false breakdown and a pullback to the area of interest for buyers. Accordingly, price consolidation above 1.776 and 0.7 Fibonacci could support the main trend and allow the price to strengthen. Support levels: 1.776, 1.773, 1.763 Resistance levels: 1.786, 1.795 The euro clearly demonstrates an upward trend, the structure of which has not been broken during the correction. Correction is a perfectly healthy movement within a trend, allowing positions to be opened at more favorable prices. If the bulls hold their defense above 1.776, momentum towards the specified targets may form. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
Fibonacci Retracement: The Hidden Key to Better EntriesIf you’ve ever wondered how professional traders predict where price might pull back before continuing... the secret lies in Fibonacci Retracement. In this post, you’ll learn: What Fibonacci retracement is Why it works How to use it on your charts (step-by-step) Pro tips to increase accuracy in the market 🧠 What Is Fibonacci Retracement?: Fibonacci Retracement is a technical analysis tool that helps traders identify potential support or resistance zones where price is likely to pause or reverse during a pullback. It’s based on a mathematical sequence called the Fibonacci Sequence, found everywhere in nature — from galaxies to sunflowers — and yes, even in the markets. The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones, starting with 0 and 1. The sequence typically begins with 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, and so on. This pattern can be expressed as a formula: F(n) = F(n-1) + F(n-2), where F(n) is the nth Fibonacci number. The key Fibonacci levels traders use are: 23.6% 38.2% 50% 61.8% 78.6% These levels represent percentages of a previous price move, and they give us reference points for where price might pull back before resuming its trend and where we can anticipate price to move before showing support or resistance to the trend you are following. 💡Breakdown of Each Fib Level: 💎 0.236 (23.6%) – Shallow Pullback What it indicates: Weak retracement, often signals strong trend momentum. Buyers/sellers are aggressively holding the trend. Best action: Aggressive entry zone for continuation traders. Look for momentum signals (break of minor structure, bullish/bearish candles). Stay out of the market until you see more confirmation. 💎 0.382 (38.2%) – First Strong Area of Interest What it indicates: Healthy pullback in a trending market. Seen as a key area for trend followers to step in. Best action: Look for entry confirmation: bullish/bearish engulfing, pin bars, Elliott Waves, or break/retest setups. Ideal for setting up trend continuation trades. Stop Loss 0.618 Level 💎 0.500 (50.0%) – Neutral Ground What it indicates: Often marks the midpoint of a significant price move. Market is undecided, can go either way. Best action: Wait for additional confirmation before entering. Combine with support/resistance or a confluence zone. Useful for re-entry on strong trends with good risk/reward. Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Levels 💎 0.618 (61.8%) – The “Golden Ratio” What it indicates: Deep pullback, often seen as the last line of defense before trend reversal. High-probability area for big players to enter or add to positions. Best action: Look for strong reversal patterns (double bottoms/tops, engulfing candles). Excellent area for entering swing trades with tight risk and high reward. Use confluence (structure zones, moving averages, psychological levels, Elliott Waves). Wait for close above or below depending on the momentum of the market. Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Level 💎 0.786 (78.6%) – Deep Correction Zone What it indicates: Very deep retracement. Often a final “trap” zone before price reverses. Risk of trend failure is higher. Best action: Only trade if there's strong reversal evidence. Use smaller position size or avoid unless other confluences are aligned. Can act as an entry for counter-trend trades in weaker markets. Stop Loss around 1.1 and 1.2 Fib Levels ⏱️Best Timeframe to Use Fibs for Day Traders and Swing Traders: Day trading: Day traders, focused on capturing short-term price movements and making quick decisions within a single day, typically utilize shorter timeframes for Fibonacci retracement analysis, such as 15-minute through hourly charts. They may also use tighter Fibonacci levels (like 23.6%, 38.2%, and 50%) to identify more frequent signals and exploit short-term fluctuations. Combining Fibonacci levels with other indicators such as moving averages, RSI, or MACD, and focusing on shorter timeframes (e.g., 5-minute or 15-minute charts) can enhance signal confirmation for day traders. However, relying on very short timeframes for Fibonacci can lead to less reliable retracement levels due to increased volatility and potential for false signals. Swing trading: Swing traders aim to capture intermediate trends, which necessitates giving trades more room to fluctuate over several days or weeks. They typically prefer utilizing broader Fibonacci levels (like 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%) to identify significant retracement points for entering and exiting trades. Swing traders often focus on 4-hour and daily charts for their analysis, and may even consult weekly charts for a broader market perspective. 🎯 Why Does Fibonacci Work?: Fibonacci levels work because of: Mass psychology – many traders use them Natural rhythm – markets move in waves, not straight lines Institutional footprint – smart money often scales in around key retracement zones It's not magic — it's structure, and it's surprisingly reliable when used correctly. 🛠 How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement (Step-by-Step): Let’s say you want to trade XAU/USD (Gold), and price just had a strong bullish run. ✏️ Follow These Steps: Identify the swing low (start of move) Identify the swing high (end of move) Use your Fibonacci tool to draw from low to high (for a bullish move) The tool will automatically mark levels like 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, etc. These levels act as pullback zones, and your job is to look for entry confirmation around them. 🔁 For bearish moves, draw from high to low. (I will show a bearish example later) Now let’s throw some examples and pictures into play to get a better understanding. 📈 XAU/USD BULLISH Example: 1.First we Identify the direction of the market: 2.Now we set our fibs by looking for confirmations to get possible entry point: Lets zoom in a bit: Now that we have a break of the trendline we wait for confirmation and look for confluence: Now we set our fibs from the last low to the last high: This will act as our entry point for the trade. 3. Now we can look for our stop loss and take profit levels: Stop Loss: For the stop loss I like to use the fib levels 1.1 and 1.2 when I make an entry based upon the 0.618 level. These levels to me typically indicate that the trade idea is invalid once crossed because it will usually violate the prior confirmations Take Profit: For the take profit I like to use the Fib levels 0.236, 0, -0.27, and -0.618. This is based upon your personal risk tolerance and overall analysis. You can use 0.236 and 0 level as areas to take partial profits. Re-Entry Point Using Elliott Waves as Confluence Example: This is an example of how I used Elliott Waves to enter the trade again from the prior entry point. If you don’t know what Elliott Waves are I will link my other educational post so you can read up on it and have a better understanding my explanation to follow. After seeing all of our prior confirmations I am now confident that our trend is still strongly bullish so I will mark my Waves and look for an entry point. As we can see price dipped into the 0.38-0.5 Fib level and rejected it nicely which is also in confluence with the Elliott Wave Theory for the creation of wave 5 which is the last impulse leg before correction. 🔻 In a downtrend: Same steps, but reverse the direction — draw from high to low and look to short the pullback. XAU/USD Example: As you can see the same basic principles applied for bearish movement as well. ⚠️ Pro Tips for Accuracy: ✅ Always use Fib in confluence with: Market structure (higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows) Key support/resistance zones Volume or momentum indicators Candle Patterns Elliott Waves, etc. ❌ Don’t trade Fib levels blindly — they are zones, not guarantees. 📊 Use higher timeframes for cleaner levels (4H, Daily) 💡 Final Thought Fibonacci retracement doesn’t predict the future — it reveals probability zones where price is likely to react. When combined with structure and confirmation, it becomes one of the most reliable tools for new and experienced traders alike. 🔥 Drop a comment if this helped — or if you want a Part 2 where I break down Fibonacci Extensions and how to use them for take-profit targets. 💬 Tag or share with a beginner who needs to see this!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by WrightWayInvestments
GOLD → The triangle is contracting. Retest of support...FX:XAUUSD tested a local high of 3375 but quickly returned to consolidation. The reason is manipulation by the US administration related to Powell, inflation, and interest rates... Demand for gold has risen sharply amid global risks: Trump's aggressive tariff plans, strong inflation, and uncertainty about the Fed's actions have increased interest in defensive assets. Despite the temporary strengthening of the dollar, gold remains a popular hedging instrument. Technical analysis also points to a bullish outlook. However, growth potential is limited until the Fed clarifies its interest rate policy Technically, on the D1 chart, it is clear that the price is consolidating, with the range continuing to narrow. Due to the bullish factors listed above, we can expect growth to continue. However, it is difficult to say where and when the growth will begin due to the uncertainty factor. All attention is on the support at 3320-3312, the triangle support, as well as the consolidation support at 3287. Resistance levels: 3365, 3375 Support levels: 3320, 3312, 3287 Since the opening of the session, the price has spent part of its daily range, so there may not be enough potential for the decline to continue. A false breakdown of support and consolidation of the price above the key zone may attract buyers, which will trigger growth towards resistance. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
15
ETHUSD: Double Top into A Bearish 5-0 Breakdown (Extended)Updated Commentary: ETH has extended a bit further than projected as the Pattern Completed at the 0.618 but ETH gapped into the 0.786 instead. The gap up aligned with an upside gap fill on the CME futures as well as a gap fill on the grayscale ETH futures ETF $ETHE. The easier move from here to simply add to the ETH shorts and adjust the stop to be above the previous highs while sizing up at the 0.786 and playing off this gap higher as an anomaly. Beyond this, my view on ETH at the current 0.786 retrace remains the same as the original Idea posted as ETH rose into the initial 0.618 PCZ the details of which I will also include once again below as it still remains relevant. ETH for the last 5 years has been developing a Double Topping pattern which has put in a series of lower highs during the most recent 2nd run up. As we've confirmed these lower highs we've broken down below trendline and are finding resistance at the trendline which happens to have confluence with the PCZ of a Bearish 5-0 wave formation near a 0.786 retrace. As we begin to find weakness and Bearish price action begins I suspect price will make it's way towards the neckline of the double top aligning with the $880 price level if ETH breaks below that level there will be no significant support until it reaches the all-time 0.382 retrace down at around $92.10. In short it seems ETH is in the early stages of a macro breakdown which could result in value declines greater than 80%. I also suspect that we will see many of the assets that ran up significantly going into this week to sharply reverse those run-ups as this week comes to a close and the new week begins mainly due to the effects of OpEx, this includes: Bitcoin, MSTR, SOL, XLC, META, and BTBT. Long-dated Put accumulation on these assets at these levels is far easier to manage than naked short positions and that's how I will go about positioning here.
INDEX:ETHUSDShort
by RizeSenpai