Fibonacci Retracement
BTCUSD – Multi-TF Bearish SFP & Fib Retrace Before ATH Rebound
Bearish SFP printed on 4H / 8H / 12H / 1D at $103 345 – $104 985 after a parabolic ~$94 k → $104 k run and multiple rejections at $104 k–$106 k resistance.
Trump tariff-cut announcement sparked a sharp spike into resistance that was quickly sold off, confirming heavy supply at $104 k – $106 k.
Baseline plan: drop to 0.786 Fib ~$102 586, then 0.618 Fib ~$100 613, before a push toward the ATH ~$109 588.
Trade Setups
Short – SFP Breakdown
Trigger: 4H close below $103 345
Entry: ≈ $103 300 on retest
SL: $105 500 (above swing high)
TP1: 0.786 Fib ≈ $102 586 RR ≈ 0.7
TP2: 0.618 Fib ≈ $100 613 RR ≈ 2.6
Long – Fib Rebound
Trigger: Bullish reversal at 0.618 Fib / FVG cluster ≈ $100 613
SL: $99 300 (below FVG)
TP1: SFP top / range high ≈ $104 145 RR ≈ 2.7
TP2: ATH ≈ $109 588 RR ≈ 6.8
SUI Pullback in Motion — Here’s Where the Smart Money Loads UpSUI is showing signs of exhaustion after failing to convincingly reclaim recent highs. Today’s price action delivered a strong clue: a sweep of the key high at $4.274 followed by a sharp rejection — Swing Failure Pattern (SFP).
Momentum is fading as volume dries up, and bulls have lost control of major levels:
❌ Yearly Open at $4.1225
❌ Weekly Level at $4.0921
This suggests a deeper correction may be underway before SUI can attempt another leg higher.
📌 Liquidity & Fib Levels in Focus
There’s still significant liquidity resting below the $3.80 zone — and the market often seeks to sweep such areas before reversing. Taking the Fib retracement from the $3.12 low to the $4.2989 high, we can identify two critical zones for a potential long entry:
0.5 Fib Retracement → $3.7095
This level not only sits just below the $3.80 liquidity shelf but also provides a strong technical anchor. If SUI finds support here, it could offer a solid long opportunity.
🎯 Trade Setup from the 0.5 Fib ($3.7095)
Entry: Around $3.71
Stop-Loss: $3.612
Target 1: $3.90 → R:R ≈ 2:1
Target 2: $4.587 (0.786 Fib Retracement) → R:R ≈ 9:1
Key Note: Watch the volume on the bounce — strong reaction = continuation potential; weak reaction = deeper retrace risk
🔸 Golden Pocket (0.618–0.666) Zone → $3.57-$3.52
If the 0.5 Fib bounce fails or lacks volume confirmation, price may dig deeper into the golden pocket — a historically strong reversal area. This zone becomes your next high-probability long setup to monitor.
🧠 Summary & Strategy
SUI showed rejection via SFP at key high ($4.274)
Lacking volume for immediate continuation
Next key long opportunity: $3.71 (0.5 Fib), SL at $3.612
If weak, watch $3.57 (golden pocket) as secondary entry
R:R potential ranges from 2:1 up to 9:1 depending on bounce strength
Let price come to you. Monitor reactions at each zone and don’t trade blindly into weakness. This is where patience and precision pay off. 💡
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Master HBAR with Fibonacci: The Golden Pocket BlueprintSince topping out at $0.20151, HBAR has spent the last nine days in a corrective pullback. Digging into a rich confluence of supports that offers a long trade setup. Here’s how to spot the high‑probability entries, manage your risk, and scale out for maximum reward.
Current Context
Two days ago, price was firmly rejected at the weekly open ($0.19029) right alongside the anchored VWAP drawn from the $0.28781 swing high.
HBAR now trades below the monthly open ($0.18210), the weekly open ($0.19029), and the daily open ($0.18024), sitting at about $0.177.
Just beneath today’s level lies the swing low at $0.17543. Breaching this could flush out stops before any meaningful bounce.
The Golden Support Zone
All signals converge between $0.170 and $0.1725:
The anchored VWAP from the $0.12488 low sits at around $0.17.
The 0.618 fib retracement of the $0.15396→$0.20239 move falls at $0.17246. Just under the swing low where the liquidity lies.
The secondary 0.666 fib retracement lands at $0.17014, reinforcing that floor.
Volume‑profile analysis of the past 27 days pins its Point of Control right at $0.17, great confluence with the anchored VWAP.
This “golden pocket” is your pivot for a low‑risk, high‑probability long.
Long Trade Setup
Ladder buy orders between the swing low ($0.17543) and the 0.666 fib at $0.17014.
Aim to average in around $0.1725.
Place a single stop‑loss just below $0.17
Scaling Your Exits
First Partial Exit at the monthly open ($0.18210). This offers roughly a 2:1 R:R.
Second Exit Zone around the weekly open and VWAP resistance (~$0.19) for about a 3:1 R:R.
Final Target at the 0.618 fib retracement of the entire down‑wave (from $0.28781 to $0.12488) near $0.2256. An astounding 10:1 payoff for the patient trader.
Keep in mind a potential false‑break (SFP) at $0.17543: if price briefly dips below then snaps back up, with increased volume.
Short Trade Setup
For traders looking to play the downside from the “golden pocket” flip, here’s a clear short strategy:
Entry Zone: Ladder short entries between the 0.618 fib at $0.22557 and the 0.666 fib at $0.23339.
Confluence: The 0.666 level aligns perfectly with the negative 0.618 fib from the prior swing, creating a resistance zone.
Stop‑Loss: Place your stop just above $0.23339, invalidating the confluence.
Take‑Profit: Target a return to around $0.206, where you can lock in gains as HBAR retests its previous high.
By scaling into shorts across that fib band, you balance your risk and capture the high‑odds reversal offered by stacked Fibonacci confluence. Let the golden pocket guide both your longs and shorts!
Key Takeaways
Confluence is king: VWAPs, Fibonacci retracements, Liquidity and volume‑profile all align in the $0.170–$0.175 zone.
Risk control: One stop‑loss under $0.17 protects the entire laddered entry.
Tiered targets: Small wins at $0.182, larger as you clear $0.19, and a big payoff if HBAR rallies toward $0.225. Trail your SL accordingly.
Patience pays: Wait for price to enter the golden pocket, avoid chasing!
With these confluences lining up and clear levels to work from, HBAR’s next high‑probability long setup is staring you in the face. Trade smart, size appropriately, and let the market reward your discipline.
Happy Trading!
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SOL Hits Major Resistance — Patience Over FOMOOne of the most common mistakes traders make—especially in fast-moving markets—is jumping into trades impulsively at major resistance. It feels exciting when price is surging, but ironically, this is often where risk is highest and reward is most limited.
Why? Because historical resistance zones—like the $175–$183 region on SOL—tend to attract heavy sell pressure. These are levels where many past buyers look to exit, where smart money hunts liquidity, and where false breakouts are most common. Without volume confirmation and a proper retest, breakouts through such zones often fail.
That’s why experienced traders wait. The smarter approach is to let the market come to you, and only act when one of two things happens:
A pullback into a well-defined, confluence-rich support zone
A clean breakout above resistance, followed by a retest and confirmation
SOL has respected structure beautifully, but now is not the time to chase. Either wait for a healthy correction into support, or let price prove its strength through a confirmed breakout. No trade is also a trade — and capital preservation is the foundation of long-term success.
Patience isn’t passive — it’s a strategy. Let the market come to your desired levels. You don't need to catch every move, only the high-probability trades and there aren’t born from impulse — they’re built on patience, structure, and right timing. 💎
Technical Breakdown
SOL has entered a major resistance zone between $175 and $183 — a historically significant level respected for over a year.
Within this zone lie two key highs:
$179.85: Recently swept with a clean Swing Failure Pattern (SFP)
$180.52: Still untested — if broken, it would confirm a strong bullish continuation
Breaking through such a well-established resistance on the first attempt is uncommon — it typically requires momentum and structure. A rejection here would suggest that SOL needs a healthy correction before mustering the strength for a true breakout.
📉 Elliott Wave Count
Looking at the structure, we’ve completed a 5-wave sequence — signaling the potential end of this impulse leg. According to Elliott Wave Theory, a corrective phase is now expected before continuation.
📐 Additional Confluence: Fib Speed Fan
The 0.618 Fib Speed Fan — drawn from the all-time high at $295.83 to the swing low at $95.26 — aligns perfectly with this resistance zone, adding more weight to the idea of a potential rejection or pause.
🟢 Long Setup: The Next High-Probability Entry Zone
We now shift our focus to where the next long opportunity could arise. Here’s the technical confluence:
Anchored VWAP from the recent low at $141.41 sits at $164.70
4H bullish order block around $164.46
0.382 Fib retracement of the full 5-wave impulse: $165.42
0.412 Fib retracement: $164.25
All these levels converge in a tight band, providing a solid long entry zone between:
Long Entry Zone: $165.50 to $164.25
Stop-Loss: Below $160 (to protect against any deep wick)
Targets:
TP1: $171.75 (Point of Control from the range)
TP2: $180.00 (resistance retest)
TP3: $200.00 (psychological level)
Estimated R:R: ~6:1 — High-conviction setup
Bonus: If price returns to this $165 zone within 24 hours, it will also be supported by the 0.618 Speed Fan — adding one more layer of support.
🔴 Short Setup: Reversal Play at $200
For those watching from the sidelines or looking to fade the rally, the psychological level at $200 presents a strong short opportunity — but only on confirmation (e.g., SFP or bearish engulfing).
Short Entry: On rejection at $200
Stop-Loss: $206.10
Target: $187.00
Estimated R:R: ~2:1
🧠 Summary:
Completed 5-wave structure → potential correction phase underway
Strong resistance at $175–$183 with SFP and speed fan alignment
High-probability long setup at $165.5–$164.25 with multi-layered confluence
Potential short at $200 on confirmation
⚠️ Key Takeaway: Don’t Chase the Highs
This is where many traders slip — FOMOing into trades at major resistance. Please, don’t do it. Instead, wait for:
A pullback into well-defined support (like the $165 zone), or
A clean breakout above $180, followed by a confirmed retest
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EURJPY → Storming the resistance. Ready for the rallyFX:EURJPY is rising amid a stronger dollar and positive news about the de-escalation of the trade war. The currency pair is storming the resistance of the range.
The currency pair is forming a retest of resistance. A breakout and consolidation above 164.19 - 164.50 could support the market amid the dollar's growth.
The dollar is strengthening after positive news related to the de-escalation of the trade war. Against this backdrop, the Japanese yen is losing ground, which is generally affecting EURJPY.
A move above the key level will confirm a breakout of the resistance of consolidation, which could trigger a distribution phase...
Resistance levels: 164.19, 166.7
Support levels: 163.15, 162.38
The price has already entered the buying zone, meaning that resistance has been broken. All that remains is to wait for confirmation that the bulls are ready... Consolidation above 164.19 - 164.5 will confirm this, and in that case, we can expect distribution towards 166.7.
Best regards, R. Linda!
$TOTAL Crypto Market Cap Massive Weekly Close Above 20WMA Massive Weekly Close for the CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Crypto Market Cap above the .618 Fib and previous cycle's ATH.
RSI still has room to push higher to retest this cycle's ATH.
Price also closed above the 20WMA, which was the signal for the +70% Nov '24 Trump Pump 🚀
UpOnly Season for every coin only happens when the TOTAL Market Cap goes HIGHER.
Otherwise we are stuck in a rotational cycle, where money from one narrative pumps then moves onto the next
ie RWA, DePin, AI, Memes etc
BITCOIN → Consolidation before the rally. 106K - 110K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT , after breaking out of consolidation at 97,860 and distributing to 104,300, has returned to a consolidation phase, which is generally a positive sign for possible continued growth.
The growth of Bitcoin is linked to several reasons:
General improvement in the global market situation — easing of trade conflicts; Expectations of a US Fed rate cut; Influx of investment into Bitcoin ETFs
Technically , we see the price breaking out of its local downtrend and entering a strong distribution phase. The northern train continues to pick up passengers.
At this stage, I would like to draw your attention to the consolidation at 104300 - 102300. A rebound from resistance is currently forming, and we need to monitor the levels of 103300 - 102300 - 101700. These are quite important areas of interest. A false breakdown (liquidity capture) may form before further growth. A return to resistance and the formation of pre-breakout consolidation, for example between 104300 and 103300, will only increase the chances of a breakout of resistance and growth to 106-107K.
Resistance levels: 104300
Support levels: 103300, 102300, 101700
The trend is bullish, with Bitcoin consolidating. The coin is not going to fall (at the moment), but to build up potential, the price may form a false breakdown of support (a deceptive maneuver) before continuing to rise. Retesting the 104300 level could lead to a breakout and upward distribution.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XLMUSDT Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XLMUSDT for a buying opportunity around 0.3000 zone, XLMUSDT is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.3000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
SOLUSDT | 1 DAY | SWING TRADING Hey friends!
I’ve put together a detailed analysis on Solana just for you. The harmonic pattern has completed, and we’ve already seen some strong buying from that exact zone. 📈
Now, I’ve got two targets for you:
🎯 Target 1: 170.00
🎯 Target 2: 219.00
🔴 STOP: 75,81
"Just a heads-up — since this is a swing trade, the target might take some time to hit. Good to keep that in mind."
Remember, the more love and likes I get from you, the more motivated I am to keep sharing these analyses. All I ask is for a simple like to show your support. 💙
Huge thanks to everyone supporting with their likes — I truly appreciate it!
SUI - Leveraging Fibonacci & Elliott for Precision TradesSUI’s movement is rapid, sharp swings—both up and down. In volatile conditions like this, we aim 0.702–0.786 fib retracements (and occasionally 0.886 in harmonic contexts) for high‑probability entries. Below is a clear, Elliott-focused breakdown of the current setup and both long and short trade plans.
Before diving into the charts, let’s cover the basics of Elliott Wave Theory. Elliott Wave Theory provides a roadmap for market psychology by dividing price action into two distinct phases:
1. Impulse Phase (Waves 1–5)
Wave 1: The spark that ignites a new trend as early adopters push prices beyond the prior range.
Wave 2: A corrective pullback that tests the strength of the emerging trend, often retracing 38–61.8%.
Wave 3: The powerhouse wave—typically the longest and most dynamic—driven by broad market participation and often extending to key Fibonacci levels (1.618, 2.618).
Wave 4: A consolidating correction that digests gains and builds the base for the final thrust; it must not overlap Wave 1 territory in a classic impulse.
Wave 5: The final leg of the advance, often fueled by last bursts of optimism and weaker hands.
2. Corrective Phase (Waves A–B–C)
Wave A: Initial counter-trend reaction as profit-taking begins.
Wave B: A deceptive retracement back toward the trend, frequently trapping traders.
Wave C: The concluding leg of the correction, which typically tests or breaks the low of Wave A before the next cycle begins.
Key Points:
Impulse waves showcase momentum and structural clarity, often aligning with Fibonacci extensions.
Corrective waves follow Fibonacci retracements (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%), offering optimal entry points.
Wave 3 is seldom the shortest; Wave 4’s complexity sets the stage for Wave 5’s final push.
In the current SUI structure:
Wave 1 ignited the initial rally.
Wave 2 delivered a healthy retracement, a pullback close to the 0.618 fib, setting the stage for stronger momentum.
Wave 3 roared to a powerful peak topped at the 2.618 extension ($3.875)
Now, we’re deep into Wave 4, likely an ABC corrective pattern. This pause is critical—it gathers energy before the final push of Wave 5. Below is a clear breakdown of each wave, big-picture confluences, and trade setups.
🚀 Elliott Wave Overview
1. Wave 1 & Wave 2
Wave 1: Quick surge from $2.4175 → $2.75, setting initial momentum.
Wave 2: Pulled back close to the 0.618 fib, creating a solid launchpad.
2. Wave 3: The Power Move
Peak: Hit the 2.618 extension of Wave 1→2 and aligned with the –2 extension of Wave 1.
Significance: In strong bull markets, a run to the 2.618 extension often precedes a meaningful pullback. Here, Wave 3’s exhaustion suggests a retrace toward the 38.2% Fib of that advance—our ideal Wave 4 entry zone.
3. Wave 4: The Correction
All eyes on the $3.17 level—the projected 1:1 extension of A→B and 0.382 fib retracement of Wave 3. This confluence zone is yet to be tested and could offer an ideal Wave 4 entry.
ABC Pattern: Currently working on Wave C.
4. Wave 5: The Finale
Target Zone: $4.00–$4.35, with strong focus at $4.31
Extension Levels:
1.133 → $3.9695 aligns with the 0.618 fib retracement.
1.272 → $4.0683 is close to the weekly resistance level.
1.412 → $4.1678 alings with the 0.666 fib retracement.
1.618 → $4.3142 alings with the key swing high.
🔑 Key Confluence Levels
Golden Pocket: $3.9739–$4.1492 (90-day retrace).
Speed Fan 0.618: Support around $3.15.
Fair Value Gap:
Psychological: $3.00 major support.
📈 Long Trade Setup
Entry Ladder: $3.25–$3.111 (stack orders to DCA)
Stop‑Loss: $3.07 (just below the 0.786 Fib low)
Profit Targets:
Fib 1.133 at $3.9795 ($4 psychological & partial take‑profit)
Fib 1.272 at $4.0683
Fib 1.412 at $4.1678
Fib 1.618 at $4.3142
Risk:Reward: ~6:1+ (average entry around $3.20 → SL at $3.07 → TP1 at $3.9795)
📉 Short Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $4.00–$4.35 (sweet spot at weekly level/yearly open)
Confirmation: Bearish reversal candle or volume spike down
Stop‑Loss: Above $4.35
Target: $3.77 (near Wave 3 high turned support)
Risk:Reward: ~2:1 (varies with DCA entry)
⚙️ Summary & Game Plan
Primary Bias: Long in the $3.25–$3.111 zone—stack into the 0.382-0.412 fib retracement entries with tight SL, aiming for the $4.00–$4.30 upside zone.
Alternate Bias: Short on a clear rejection within $4.00–$4.35, targeting $3.77 or lower.
Risk Management: Keep stops tight to maximize R:R.
Patience & Confirmation: Wait for price to reach these zones and show reversal signals (price action, volume, patterns) before committing.
All set—now let SUI’s swings unveil the opportunities. Sit tight, follow your plan, and let patience pay its dividend.
Happy Trading!
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SUI Elliott Wave Meets Fibonacci: Wave 5 Setup ExplainedSUI has once again delivered a textbook display of wave structure, Fibonacci precision, and anchored VWAP interaction. After finishing Wave 4, price surged upward, tagging key fib levels and now consolidating at a critical decision point. The next high-probability trade opportunity is forming — and it’s one worth watching closely.
📈 Recap of the Current Move
After completing Wave 4, SUI surged right into the golden pocket — the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the entire 90-day downtrend (measured from the $5.3687 high to the $1.7174 low). That golden 0.618 sits at $3.9739, with price currently hovering just below at around $3.965.
In our previous analysis, we noted SUI’s tendency to respect trend-based Fib extensions. That pattern is holding beautifully.
Projecting from Wave 1 to Wave 2 of the current impulse wave, price once again nailed the 2.618 Fib extension — at exactly $4.10. That extension aligned perfectly with the 0.65 retracement of the 90-day wave at $4.0907, forming a significant resistance confluence.
2.618-1.618 fib:
The result? A healthy ~7% rejection, pulling SUI back into a support zone formed by three previously broken swing highs — $3.875, $3.8121, and $3.7666 — now acting as support.
🔺 Wave 4 Structure: Triangle Formation & Key Retest Levels
SUI has now been consolidating for ~1.5 days, and price structure shows a developing triangle — a classic Elliott Wave Wave 4 pattern.
But while triangles often resolve higher, we can’t ignore the Fibonacci roadmap:
The 1.618 trend-based Fib extension (drawn from Wave 1 → Wave 2) sits at $3.7619.
This level aligns almost perfectly with the key swing high at $3.7666.
In the previous Wave 3–4 sequence, price also retested the 1.618 extension — a pattern that could repeat now again.
So, despite the bullish triangle breakout potential, there’s still a high likelihood that price dips slightly to retest the 1.618 Fib zone at $3.76–$3.77.
📊 Anchored VWAP Confluence: Even More Support
To further strengthen this thesis, we’ve anchored VWAP from the recent swing low at $3.12. That VWAP (yellow line) now sits at $3.745 — just beneath the 1.618 Fib and in perfect confluence with the swing high cluster.
This creates a tight demand pocket between $3.74 and $3.77, where four technical tools align:
→ 1.618 trend-based Fib extension
→ Anchored VWAP from $3.12
→ Broken swing highs now acting as support
→ 0.382 Fib Retracement of Wave 3
This is where smart money looks to accumulate — not at the top of the triangle, but where liquidity gets transferred.
🧠 Outsmarting the Crowd: Trap & Trigger
Many breakout traders are positioning within the triangle, with stop-losses just beneath. If price dips into the $3.74–$3.77 range, it would sweep those stops and fill orders from traders waiting patiently at this confluence.
This creates a classic “switching hands” moment: breakout longs are stopped out, and Fibonacci-aligned buyers step in just as price hits the sweet spot.
To be part of the 1% in trading, you need to be thinking one step ahead — not where price is now, but where it needs to go to trap the many and reward the few.
🎯 Long Trade Setup
Entry Zone:
$3.77 preferred
Laddered from $3.76–$3.74
Stop-Loss Options:
Tight: Below $3.70 (2% buffer)
Loose: Below $3.52 (golden pocket of previous Wave 3)
Targets:
Conservative: $4.28
Primary: $4.41
Aggressive Extension: $4.5873 (0.786 retracement of full 90-day move)
R:R Potential:
Tight SL: ~2.5:1
Loose SL: 6:1+
📆 Weekend Trading Note
We’re currently in weekend session flow — often thinner liquidity and more prone to wicks. While the structure is strong, wait for confirmation and avoid FOMO entries at the top of the triangle.
✅ Wrapping It Up
SUI remains in a clean, bullish market structure and continues to respect Fibonacci and trend-based extensions to the letter. With price above key swing highs, holding structure, and anchored VWAP adding confluence, the $3.74–$3.77 zone is setting up as a high-probability entry for the next wave.
Smart money doesn’t chase — it anticipates. Be the 1% who sees beyond the triangle and understands where the real opportunity lies.
Happy Trading!
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LINK/USDT 1W chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1W link to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price is fighting for the mountain from the downward trend line over which we are currently.
Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = $ 18.38
T2 = $ 21
Т3 = $ 23.53
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 15.31 $
SL2 = $ 13.17
SL3 = 10.53 $
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see a clear increase on the indicator and a return to the upper part of the range, but there is still room for continuing the ongoing strong growth.
GOLD → Return to range. Fall from resistance...FX:XAUUSD is reacting to data related to the tariff war. The price is returning to the range and forming a false breakout of resistance. The level of 3370 and the zone of interest at 3387 play a key role.
On Thursday, gold rose to $3,400 amid a weaker dollar, increased demand for safe-haven assets, and continued uncertainty due to US trade policy and tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine. The Fed left rates unchanged and expressed caution in its assessment of the outlook, which also supports gold's rise.
However, in the European session, we are seeing gold react to the trade deal with Britain, most likely due to the easing of tariffs. Now the main focus is on the terms of the deal. We should not forget about China, where the situation remains tense, but everyone is waiting for a resolution.
Resistance levels: 3352, 3369, 3385
Support levels: 3319, 3269
The fundamental backdrop changes several times a day. At the moment, the situation is as follows: the rise of the dollar, the weakening of the tariff war, and the hawkish stance of the Fed may put pressure on gold. Therefore, I expect the decline to continue after a retest of 3370-3386. In this case, the target could be 3319.
Best regards, R. Linda!
SOLANA → Resistance level and free zone for growth up to 180.0BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P is holding steady and consolidating near the resistance level of the global price range of 152.85–111.85. Thus, the market has signaled that it is in a positive mood. A trigger is ahead...
SOL is forming a flag consolidation near the upper border of the trading range of 152 - 111, which indicates the accumulation of pre-breakout potential. A breakout from the flag, a break of resistance, and consolidation above 152.85 could provide support and growth. The cryptocurrency market is reviving after yesterday's news and relatively positive data in the tariff war. Countries are gradually beginning to agree, which is generally supportive for the crypto market.
Resistance levels: 152.85
Support levels: 144.6, 141.2
A breakout of the resistance range of 152.85 and consolidation of the price above this level will confirm the readiness for further growth. Further on, there is a free zone and the price can easily reach 180.00.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Fibonacci Extensions: Mapping Market Psychology Beyond the TrendHello, traders! 💫
Fibonacci numbers have traveled far from ancient Italian math to modern trading charts. In technical analysis, Fibonacci Extensions aren’t just mystical ratios; they’re a structured way to project potential price targets based on crowd psychology and trend continuation.
But what are they really, and why do so many traders draw those lines with near-religious fervor?
🧠 A Quick Historical Detour
Leonardo Fibonacci introduced the sequence to the West in the 13th century based on patterns he observed in Indian mathematics. The key idea is that each number in the sequence is the sum of the two before it: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21...
When you divide specific numbers in the sequence, you get ratios that repeat throughout nature — and, intriguingly, financial markets. These include:
0.618 (the “golden ratio”)
1.618
2.618, and so on.
While Fibonacci Retracements look backward to gauge potential pullbacks, Fibonacci Extensions look forward to mapping possible continuation levels after a price move.
📊 Fibonacci Extensions
To use Fibonacci Extensions, you need three points:
The Start of a Trend (Point A)
The End of the Trend or Impulse Move (Point B)
A Retracement Low/High Where Price Bounces or Consolidates (Point C)
This ABC move applies Fibonacci ratios to project levels beyond point B, helping traders visualize where the price might go if the trend continues.
Common Extension Levels Include:
1.272
1.618 (golden ratio)
2.0
2.618
Each level acts as a kind of psychological milestone — not a guarantee, but a place where market participants may take profits, reassess, or react.
🔎 Let’s Take a Real Example: BTC/USDT Weekly
It's not that Fibonacci numbers have magical power. The theory is based on self-fulfilling behavior. When enough traders watch the same levels — and act on them — they can influence real outcomes.
The chart illustrates how Fibonacci retracement levels can be used to understand the depth and structure of a correction during a bullish cycle.
Low (~$4,783) in March 2020 (COVID-19 Сrash)
to the High (~$65,834) in November 2021 (Bull Market Peak)
From there, the price corrected throughout 2022–2023. Let’s look at what happened at each level — and what it tells us on the graph.
🔍 Why This Matters
Your retracement levels aren’t just lines — they mapped the psychology of the market:
Investors Testing Conviction at 0.5
Panic at 0.618
Capitulation Near 0.786 — but Without Full Breakdown
And Finally: A Rebound in 2023, Leading to New Highs in 2025
This kind of structure is textbook Fibonacci behavior — and is part of why retracement levels remain a core part of institutional technical analysis.
⚖️ Final Thought
Fibonacci Extensions are not about telling you where the price will go — they’re about framing where the price might go if the current trend keeps moving. It’s a lens through which to read market psychology, momentum, and expectation. Combined with volume, structure, and broader trend context, they potentially help analysts build a more nuanced market narrative.
And maybe Leonardo Fibonacci would have appreciated that his 800-year-old math is still trying to decode modern human emotion, just on candlestick charts.
SOL Analysis Deep Dive: Identifying Optimal Entry and Exit ZonesYesterday, SOL gave a sharp downside shakeout, dropping from the weekly open at $147.98 (perfectly retested) down to the 0.5 Fib retracement of the swing at $140.25. Here’s a structured breakdown of the key levels, trade setups, and R:R profiles for both longs and shorts:
🔑 Key Levels & Confluences
1. Higher-Timeframe Opens
Weekly Open & Retest: $147.98 – pivoted price before the drop
Monthly & Prior-Day Open Cluster: $147.98–$146.31 – strong support confluence zone
2. Fibonacci Support Zones
0.5 Fib at $140.25 – primary mean-reversion entry
0.786 Fib (smaller wave) at $138.78 – secondary, deeper support
3. Order Block
Daily Bullish Order Block at $139.87 – just below 0.5 Fib, adds extra support
4. Volume-Weighted Average Price
Anchored VWAP (from ATH $295.83) at ~$166.45 – key upside resistance
5. Market Profile Value Areas (10-Day Range)
Value Area High (VAH) at ~$153.00 – overhead resistance confluence
Value Area Low (VAL) at ~$145.75 – underpins support
📈 Long Trade Setups
1. 0.5/0.786 Fib + Daily Bullish Order Block
Entry: $141-138.78
Stop-Loss: $137.5
Target: $165 (anchored VWAP / Fib zones)
R:R ≈ 9:1
2. Higher-Timeframe Open Cluster
Entry Zone: $147.98–$146.31(monthly/weekly open)
Stop-Loss: $142.5
Target: $165
R:R ≈ 3:1
• Why these levels? The 0.5 Fib is a classic mean-reversion zone, bolstered by the daily order block. The $147–146 zone ties together multiple opens (weekly, monthly, prior-day), offering a solid demand area if price retraces back up.
📉 Short Trade Setup
Trigger: Rejection / swing-failure around $153.4
Entry: $153.4
Stop-Loss: $154.3
Target: Weekly/Monthly open (~$147)
R:R ≈ 6:1
• Low-risk short: A clean rejection at the recent high lets you define risk tightly above the swing, aiming to capture the retrace back to the opens.
🎯 Summary & Game Plan
Primary bias: Look for long entries at the 0.5 Fib ($140.25) or the open-cluster zone ($147–146), with targets toward the anchored VWAP at ~$166.
Alternate bias: A short on clear rejection from $153.4, targeting the opens as support.
Risk management: Keep stops tight (SL below $137.5 or above $154.3) to maximize R:R on your favored setups.
Volume & Price Action: Confirm entries with an uptick in volume or bullish price structure (for longs) or swift failure patterns (for shorts).
Now it’s a waiting game! Let price revisit these zones, watch for confirmation signals, and then scale into your chosen side. Good luck! Don't chase, let the charts come to you!
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ETH is fighting in a strong resistance zone!Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on ETH. When we enter the one-day interval, we can see how the ETH price came out on top from a strong downward trend.
Here we can see how the current bounce brought the movement closer to a very strong resistance zone from $ 2,090 to $ 2,310, in which we can currently observe a fight for further upward movement. Only when the price comes out on top, it can go towards resistance at $ 2,740, and then move towards strong resistance at $ 3,070.
Looking the other way, we can see that when the trend reverses, we first have support at $ 1,837, then a very strong support zone from $ 1,610 to $ 1,404 is visible, however, if this zone is broken, we can see a quick decline to the support area at $ 1,071.
On the RSI indicator we can see how strong the ETH price movement is visible intensively on the indicator and here we can see how we are approaching the upper limit, which could potentially slow down the movement or give a temporary relief.