GOLDMAN SACHS’ NEAR-$2B CRYPTO ETF BETGOLDMAN SACHS’ NEAR- SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B CRYPTO ETF BET
(1/8)
Goldman Sachs just revealed a massive crypto ETF position—nearly SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in Bitcoin and Ethereum funds, per an SEC filing. Let’s break down the details and see what it means for traditional finance! 🚀💸
(2/8) – HOLDINGS SNAPSHOT
• Bitcoin ETFs: $1.63B total
24,077,861 shares in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) (~$1.33B)
3,530,486 shares of Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin (FBTC) (~$300M)
49,183 shares of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) (~$3.7M)
• Ethereum ETFs: $196.3M total
7,024,747 shares in Fidelity’s Ethereum Fund (FETH) (~$191.1M)
200,000 shares of Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust (~$5.1M)
(3/8) – ETFS: BRIDGING TRADFI & CRYPTO
• First approved in 2024, BTC & ETH ETFs let institutions gain crypto exposure without holding coins directly
• Perfect for “regulated” banks like Goldman, bridging Wall Street with digital assets 🏦
(4/8) – GOLDMAN’S STANCE ON DIRECT CRYPTO
• CEO David Solomon: “We’re a regulated bank, can’t own crypto as principal.” ⚖️
• They advise clients & dabble in ETFs, but can’t yet park BTC on their balance sheet due to regs
• Hints at how major banks remain cautious, even with big bets
(5/8) – WHY IT MATTERS*
• SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in BTC & ETH ETFs = a serious vote of confidence in crypto’s future
• Encourages other institutional players to follow suit—if Goldman is in, who’s next? 🤔
• Demonstrates that “indirect” ownership is how TradFi is tiptoeing into crypto markets
(6/8) – REGULATORY OVERHANG*
• The bank can’t directly hold crypto due to existing rules, but invests heavily via approved ETFs
• Raises questions: will we see a day when Goldman (and others) hold actual BTC or ETH on their balance sheets? 🚪
(7/8) – Is SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in BTC & ETH ETFs the start of a bigger Goldman crypto push?
1️⃣ Yes—They’ll expand once regs loosen 🚀
2️⃣ No—They’re staying in the safe zone 🤔
3️⃣ Unsure—Too many regulatory question marks ⚖️
Vote below! 🗳️👇
Finance
XRP FINAL STEEP DISCOUNT OPPORTUNITY IS IMMINENTMy time-wave cycles analysis (among other components) indicating we will have a final sell wave to 1.45-1.7 zone over coming days (before FOMC meeting in March imo).
Granted I was a little off on exact timing to reach the buy-side targets back in December but nonetheless accurate on projected price levels..See prior analysis at attached link for the projected high coming in at 3.1-3.3, exactly as it happened...
I have no doubt this final sell wave will also occur. Depending on your goals & trading style, you may treat this next sell wave as an opportunity to simply add more at discounted levels via DCA'ing....or choose to sell at these relative highs to maximize position size once again from sub-1.70 levels.. I DO NOT EXPECT US TO SEE sub-3$ ANYTIMEagain after this next sell wave completes & then buyers take us to 4+ in q2 & beyond.
Expecting this to be the FINAL steep discount buying opportunity for those interested in maximizing their capital purchasing power for long term speculative hodling
Follow for additional actionable alerts & analysis. Appreciate the boosts & looking forward to your comments as well!
$PYPL PAYPAL’S FINANCIAL LANDSCAPE: VALUATION & OPPORTUNITIESPAYPAL’S FINANCIAL LANDSCAPE: VALUATION & OPPORTUNITIES
1/8
PayPal ( NASDAQ:PYPL ) has been on the move lately—announcing a FWB:15B buyback and posting mixed but intriguing earnings results. Let’s dive into what’s making this fintech giant tick! 💳💡
2/8 – Recent Revenue Growth
PayPal’s revenue soared during the digital payment boom but has moderated recently.
Although the exact figures aren’t in the latest posts, growth since 2017 is substantial.
Stabilization might indicate a new normal in digital payments.
3/8 – Earnings & Guidance
Some quarters saw EPS pop by 61%—pretty impressive! 🚀
Mixed guidance ahead: margin expansion concerns and flat-to-down cash flow.
The FWB:15B buyback suggests management sees long-term potential.
4/8 – Valuation vs. Peers
Forward P/E near 10, PEG ratio of 0.52—that’s cheap compared to Visa/Mastercard.
PayPal straddles fintech + payments, competing with everyone from Square ( SET:SQ ) to Apple Pay.
Lower growth vs. some peers, but strong operating margins help PayPal stay ahead.
5/8 – Risk Factors
1️⃣ Regulatory: New rules could cramp expansion.
2️⃣ Market Saturation: Need emerging markets to fuel next leg of growth.
3️⃣ Competition: Stripe, Apple Pay, & countless fintech upstarts.
4️⃣ Tech Disruption: Blockchain, AI, or next-gen payments could reshape the landscape.
6/8 What’s PayPal’s biggest near-term challenge?
1️⃣ Regulatory Hurdles
2️⃣ Competition
3️⃣ Market Saturation
4️⃣ Tech Disruption
Vote below! 🗳️👇
7/8 – SWOT/SCOT
Strengths: Massive user base, recognizable brand, buyback confidence.
Weaknesses: Slowing user growth, uncertain future margins.
Opportunities: Emerging markets, strategic partnerships, AI integration.
Threats: Fierce competition, cyber risks, evolving payment tech.
8/8 – Your Next Move?
PayPal’s at a pivot—undervalued or a value trap? 💰
Let’s see if NASDAQ:PYPL can keep up the momentum!
#PayPal #Fintech #DigitalPayments #PYPL #Investing #Earnings #Valuation #Finance
Monday sell Off? History May Repeat Itself...Monday Sell-Off? This Setup Says It’s Coming... | SPX Market Analysis 10 Feb 2025
Another week wraps up, and as I eye Monday’s open, I can’t shake a sense of déjà vu.
The last two weeks started with a gap down, followed by a bearish finish into the weekend.
Super Bowl Sunday is also here – Can the Kansas City Chiefs complete an unprecedented three-peat in Super Bowl 59 or will the Philadelphia Eagles gain revenge? Just like the markets, only time will tell and we will have to wait and see.
That said, Friday’s setup is setting the stage for another pop ‘n drop. The only question? What triggers the fall this time?
...
SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
📉 Mondays Have Been Bearish – Will This One Be Too?
The last two Mondays started with a gap down, followed by a bearish move into the weekend. If the pattern holds, next week could open with a bang – but not necessarily to the upside.
🏈 Super Bowl & The Markets – A Perfect Parallel?
The markets are playing their own Super Bowl showdown. Will the bulls make a comeback, or will the bears crush their hopes yet again? Just like the Chiefs vs. Eagles, we can only wait and see.
🔻 Friday’s Bearish Setup – A Warning Sign?
- V-shaped reversal entry ✅
- Bearish pulse bar confirmation ✅
- Similar daily bar pattern to the last two Fridays ✅
📌 So What Happens Monday?
If history repeats itself, we could see:
- A pop higher at the open, luring in buyers 🏹
- A sharp drop shortly after, trapping the late bulls 🕳
- A repeat of the last two weeks' bearish close 📉
🔑 Key Takeaway: The setup is there. Now we wait for the trigger.
Fun Fact:
📢 Did you know? The Super Bowl Indicator suggests that if an AFC team wins, markets go bearish, but if an NFC team wins, markets go bullish.
💡 The Lesson? As ridiculous as it sounds, market psychology is a wild beast. While we don’t trade superstition, it’s always fun to see how random events get tied to stock performance.
NFP Incoming - Will SPX Smash 6100?NFP Incoming – Will SPX Smash 6100? | SPX Market Analysis 7 Feb 2025
The bulls keep charging as SPX edges closer to 6100. But with the NFP report dropping pre-market, things could get lively.
Will we blast through resistance or bounce back down? Expect some whipsaw chaos before the market settles – but with a bullish trend already in play, we should at least get one more push toward target exits before the dust settles.
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SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
📈 Bullish Move On Track
SPX has ridden the momentum train all the way from the range lows to the range highs. Now, we’re staring at 6100, the key level where decisions will be made.
🚀 NFP Report – A Market Mover
Today’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data drops just before the opening bell. This is one of the bigger monthly catalysts, meaning we could see:
A breakout past 6100 if the market likes the numbers.
A sharp rejection back into the range if traders get spooked.
A whipsaw shakeout, with wild swings before settling.
🔄 Short-Term Expectation? A Push Higher
Even if volatility kicks in, the existing bullish momentum should at least give us a final nudge up toward target exits. Whether we smash through 6100 or stall out, we’re in prime position to lock in profits.
⏳ The Good Kind of Waiting
Once again, we’re in a holding pattern, waiting for the market to tip its hand. But this is strategic patience – the kind where we’ve done the hard work and now simply let the market do its thing. The setups are in place – now, we sit back and watch the magic unfold.
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Fun Fact:
📢 Did you know? In 2010, a trader accidentally caused a $1 trillion stock market crash in just 36 minutes – all because of a fat-finger trade.
💡 The Lesson? One typo, one misclick, or one overleveraged position can cause chaos. Always double-check your trades, because even the pros have hit the wrong button before.
+55% in a day $CYCN compared $TSLA $NVDA -5% in drop marketWe can't be the only ones who actually made money overnight from Friday to Monday in this market?
This was the only daytrade held 🎯
NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:TSLA wake up into -5%
Woke up into +25% with NASDAQ:CYCN and continued to +55% from $4 to $6.25+
Technical Analysis on SBC Medical Group (28/01/2025)Neutral Outlook with Key Support at 5.00–5.08
Price Action Analysis
SBC Medical Group Holdings Incorporated (NASDAQ: SBC) is currently trading at 5.08 on the day. Over the past week, the stock has shown consolidation within a narrow range of
5.02–5.13, reflecting a balance between buyers and sellers. The 1-hour chart highlights a lack of decisive momentum, with prices hovering near the $5.08 level, suggesting short-term indecision in the market.
Immediate Support: The 5.00–5.02 zone has emerged as a critical floor, with the stock rebounding from this level multiple times in recent sessions. A sustained break below $5.00 could signal bearish pressure.
Resistance: The upper boundary lies at 5.08–5.13, where the stock has faced selling interest. A close above 5.13 level may retest the previous high in November levels.
Trading volume remains subdued, averaging between 33,950–38,980 shares, consistent with consolidation phases. The absence of significant volume spikes indicates limited institutional participation and reinforces the neutral near-term bias.
While momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are not explicitly provided, the sideways price action suggests a neutral RSI reading (near 50), aligning with the lack of overbought or oversold conditions.
SBC’s price action reflects a “wait-and-see” approach among market participants. For now, the stock appears anchored near its 5.08 pivot point level. Traders may consider range-bound strategies (e.g., buying near 5.02) until a breakout occurs.
NZDUSD GARTLEYHarmonic Pattern Trading Strategy:
1. Combine patterns with 2-3 confirmations (e.g., MA, BB, RSI, Stoch) for increased accuracy.
2. Implement proper risk management.
3. Limit exposure to 3% of capital per trade.
4. Exercise caution: Not every Harmonic Pattern presents a good trading opportunity.
5. Conduct thorough diligence and analysis before trading.
Disciplined approach = Enhanced edge.
Stoch RSI Big Inverse H&S On The Daily 4 XCN OnyxcoinIf that right shoulder forms we are going to break above the recent high. The price range we have been testing the last day was major resistance in the initial sell off. A lot of the higher prices have FAR less resistance than we are seeing here.
There was a smaller inverse head and shoulders before last weeks pump.
This one is much larger.
Speculation and risk are your friend if you treat them well.
Cheers.
Technical Analysis on BloomZ Inc. (NASDAQ: BLMZ)The current price of BLMZ stands at 0.500, marking a 3.85% decline for the day. The stock is trading below all key moving averages, including the short-term MA5 (0.509) and MA10 (0.545), as well as the longer-term MA20 (0.562), MA30 (0.561), and MA60 (0.650). This suggests a sustained bearish trend, with selling pressure dominating the market.
Support is evident at 0.450, which aligns with recent lows, while a stronger support level can be identified at 0.392, reflecting a prior low. On the upside, immediate resistance lies at 0.520, which coincides with the previous day’s close. Beyond that, the next significant resistance zone is around 0.560-0.562, where the MA20 and MA30 converge, potentially attracting sellers.
The trading volume is relatively subdued, indicating weak buying interest or a lack of market participation at current levels. Overall, the stock remains bearish but is approaching a critical support level. A breakdown below 0.450 could lead to further downside towards 0.392, whereas a rebound may struggle to overcome resistance at 0.520-0.562. Neutral positioning is advisable until a clear directional move is confirmed.
Citigroup ($C): Fourth Test of Key Levels Since 2018The shares of Citigroup gained an impressive 7% today following its earnings report, which delivered a beat ✅. The company is projecting revenue between $83.5 billion and $84.5 billion for 2025, up from $81.1 billion last year and $77.1 billion in the year prior (excluding divestitures). Positive news for both the company and its investors!
We’ve been monitoring NYSE:C but haven’t found a trigger yet—this might change soon.
The stock is approaching its most significant resistance zone since 2018, a level tested three times in the past. Could the fourth test finally break through? We remain cautious, expecting that another pullback, even a minor one, might be necessary to push past $83. If this pullback materializes, we’ll evaluate opportunities to position ourselves.
Currently, there’s a bearish RSI divergence, and unless the stock can make a higher high compared to 2021, another major pullback remains possible. However, a short position doesn’t align with our strategy at the moment. We’d need to see a lower time frame structure change to consider that route.
This stock doesn’t lend itself well to Elliott Wave analysis as it has been trending sideways for years, and we’re not forcing patterns onto it.
Stay alert for future opportunities on NYSE:C
GBPAUD BUTTERFLY PATTERN Harmonic Pattern Trading Strategy:
1. Combine patterns with 2-3 confirmations (e.g., MA, BB, RSI, Stoch) for increased accuracy.
2. Implement proper risk management.
3. Limit exposure to 3% of capital per trade.
4. Exercise caution: Not every Harmonic Pattern presents a good trading opportunity.
5. Conduct thorough diligence and analysis before trading.
Disciplined approach = Enhanced edge.
4 Big Banks and their relation to KBEWeekly time frame....White line front runs a
change in direction...be it temporary or permanent
to long to explain...but white peak before blue peak
and things head down...if blue continues with white
or stays flat...there is little change to direction
or price just chops sideways a bit.
use other indicators to confirm...but white line can
bounce off or hug envelope channel and explain price
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The 4 headless horsemen of banking are next to each other...
Does something seem quite interesting among them since each is way different in area of investment...political control...money-metals exposure....MBS and the like...
So why are three pretty close to copies if you glance for more than a second or two, yet the fourth is somewhat similar but trending differently...
Just an interesting thought experiment
Goldman Sachs... GS looks like a top unless they pump moreLike the prior Idea of mine...most things have given back the Trump-bump election push and are on the way down or skating on thin ice and ready to begin a hard fall.
This has shown similar patterns from previous times.
The lines are hull moving averages or averages that are envelope or 3x exponential. mix them together and you get predictors that are pretty good in general.
Goldman Sachs ($GS): Trend Channel in FocusGoldman Sachs has been trending higher since our analysis two months ago, prompting us to reevaluate our stance. We’ve concluded that it makes more sense to remain bullish for now and not anticipate a bearish scenario at this stage. We are particularly encouraged by how consistently NYSE:GS has respected its trend channel, which strengthens our belief that it will continue to hold. However, there is a significant concern: we don’t want to see NYSE:GS losing this trend channel or creating a false breakdown, only to trap bears and continue higher.
Goldman Sachs has its earnings call scheduled for the same day as BlackRock and JP Morgan this Wednesday. This adds pressure, and with additional uncertainty from the upcoming political shifts, such as the inauguration of Trump, the potential impact on NYSE:GS , NYSE:BLK , and NYSE:JPM remains unclear.
Setting a limit at the 23.6%-38.2% Fibonacci levels feels too risky given the current environment and the uncertainty in the near future. While we favor this updated bullish scenario over the previous one, the bearish scenario isn’t entirely off the table. It could quickly come back into play if NYSE:GS loses key support levels.
For now, NYSE:GS needs to touch the $536–$489 zone and reclaim the trend channel promptly to validate our bullish scenario. If it fails to do so, we’ll need to approach with extreme caution, and as a result, we are not rushing into a trade at the moment.
BloomZ Inc. Breaks Key Resistance, Signals Bullish MomentumThe share price of BloomZ Inc. (NASDAQ: BLMZ) surged by 7% in pre-market trading, signalling a potential breakout moment for the stock. This sharp move has propelled the price above the critical resistance level of $0.580, which had previously acted as a barrier to upward momentum.
Technical Indicators Favour Bullish Continuation
This breakout is accompanied by a move back above key moving averages, including the 50-day and 200-day MAs, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. These moving averages now serve as dynamic support levels, which can sustain further upward momentum.
The price action is also supported by positive market sentiment and a recent re-rating of BLMZ’s valuation.
Market participants are optimistic about the company’s prospects, contributing to increased trading volume and renewed investor interest. Broader market strength today has further amplified the stock's performance, creating an ideal backdrop for continued gains.
Next Levels to Watch
With the resistance at $0.580 decisively breached, traders are now eyeing the next significant levels around $0.620 and $0.650. Sustained trading above $0.580 could establish a strong base for further bullish activity, while a pullback to retest this level would provide an opportunity to confirm it as new support.
JP Morgan (JPM): Correction on the HorizonJP Morgan ( NYSE:JPM ) is back on our radar as the upcoming earnings season begins, with the banking sector leading the reports. We’ve analyzed JP Morgan before, and the current setup offers intriguing opportunities. Since 2023, the stock has maintained a steady upward trend that continues into 2024.
Currently, NYSE:JPM appears to be in sub-wave ((iii)) within the larger wave (3) or possibly wave 5. However, we anticipate that sub-wave ((iv)) correction is yet to occur, aligning with the broader structural narrative of the chart.
Presently, the stock is trading near a critical trendline originating from the top of sub-wave ((i)). This trendline, which has shifted from resistance to support after multiple touchpoints, now risks being broken. Should it fail, the price could fall from its current level of $243 into a range between $204 and $173. A drop to $173 would represent the maximum correction in our view, while a more realistic pullback would fall within the $204 to $188 range.
On the bullish side, the wave 5 could push up to approximately $260, a modest increase from the current price. This scenario fits within the Elliott Wave framework, anticipating a wave ((iv)) correction before the final upward moves to complete wave 5 and the larger wave (3).
Bullish/Bearish Sentiment We saw #BTC last hit it's double top 209 days after making an ATH 64k in April and topping out in Nov.
VeChain also took around 200 days to revisit higher lows.
[BULLS}
Elliot Wave Theory:
It appears that we are in the next 2-3 wave
Regardless of the narrative, the trend is showing bearish in the short term. I have HODL positions but short until we hit our buy zones keeping a close eye on what #BTC and #ETH do.
CRYPTOCAP:ETH is in a channel and appears to be falling out.
If we dig deeper watch 3k as a psychological area of support, CRYPTOCAP:BTC will be around 95k. For NYSE:VET we see $0.04 being a key level of support in our first buy zone, secondary we are looking for around $0.033.
Once these levels hold I will flip my sentiment and continue to long into this year with our bullish commander and chief stepping into office.
#Donaldtrump
If November repeats itself with this day we could be hopeful for another 300% but remain reserved with our PT's on the way up because.
"You never go broke taking a profit."
HNY #vechain fam.
Don't over-leverage, set your SL before bed.
@VEREKTION
COIN buy setup for near term equity or long call options tradeStrong buy rates indicating we have another solid bounce approaching into end of Jan 2025/ next FOMC meeting, to take price to 302$ target level. Great setup for a long call options trade for 30-45 DTE duration.
Expecting additional volatility after peaking above 300 so will look for discounts once again before seeking entry on calls for Sept.
Weekly and monthly tf cycles analysis indicating COIN share price is preparing to run strongly higher to 750$ and 1000$ targets by early 2026. VERY Very bullish from my standpoint, given its fundamentals and disruption of traditional banking/finance sectors.
Arch up to 120 till the end 2025?So what is Arch Capital - its not an investment bank or fund or something else - lets say insurance company.
Why its so attractive for me right now: Some financial highlights
Robust Profit Growth: In Q3 2024, Arch Capital reported a net income of $978 million ($2.56 per share), up from $713 million ($1.88 per share) in Q3 2023, marking a 37% increase.
Increased Premiums: The company saw a 20% rise in gross premiums written, reaching $5.44 billion in Q3 2024, indicating strong demand for its insurance products.
Enhanced Investment Income: Pre-tax net investment income grew by 48% to $399 million in Q3 2024, reflecting effective investment strategies amid favorable market conditions.
Improved Combined Ratio: Arch Capital achieved a combined ratio of 80.8% in Q1 2024, down from 82.2% in Q1 2023, demonstrating enhanced underwriting efficiency.
Book Value Growth: The company's book value per common share increased by 5.2% to $49.36 as of March 31, 2024, indicating solid financial health.
ANR recommends mstly buy and medium target is near 120
Deutsche Bank: Unlocking New Heights!Deutsche Bank AG ( NYSE:DB is currently trading at $17.48 , reflecting a slight decrease of 0.11% from the previous close.
Our proprietary quantum probability indicator signals a strong buy, suggesting a favorable outlook for the stock.
The technical chart reveals a bullish flag formation, characterized by an initial surge to the $17.20 resistance level, followed by a consolidation phase.
A decisive breakout from this pattern indicates potential for continued upward movement, with a mid-term target of $24.31 .
From a broader perspective, the development of a cup and handle pattern is evident.
This bullish continuation pattern suggests a long-term projection above the major resistance at $27.28.
Recent developments further support this positive outlook.
Deutsche Bank has shifted its stance to "overweight" on European equities, citing lower interest rates and expectations of a strong corporate earnings season amid an improving political landscape.
Analysts highlight that Europe offers the most attractive equity risk premium among developed markets, with the European benchmark index projected to rise by 15% by the end of 2025 .
Additionally, Deutsche Bank's CEO, Christian Sewing , has emphasized the need for structural reforms and reduced regulations to enhance Germany's economic competitiveness, which could positively impact the bank's performance.
In summary, the technical indicators and recent strategic positions of Deutsche Bank point to a positive trajectory, with significant upside potential in both mid-term and long-term projections.