GBPCHF: Long Trade Explained
GBPCHF
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GBPCHF
Entry - 1.1005
Sl - 1.0971
Tp - 1.1064
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Forex
EURAUD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
EURAUD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell EURAUD
Entry Level - 1.7760
Sl - 1.7819
Tp - 1.7660
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZDUSD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for NZDUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.6015
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.6043
My Stop Loss - 0.5999
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold Breaks $3400 – Targets $3500 Amid Tensions (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the lower timeframe, we can see that today, following Israel's missile and airstrike attacks on Iran, gold experienced a sharp rally. As anticipated last night, gold finally managed to break through the strong $3400 resistance, surging over 600 pips to reach $3447.
Currently, gold is trading around $3438, and given the escalation in geopolitical tensions, I expect further upside movement.
The next potential targets are $3449, $3469, and possibly $3500.
⚠️ Due to ongoing conflict and extreme volatility, it's advised to avoid trading or proceed only with minimal risk exposure.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
AUDUSD: Market Sentiment & Price Action
Looking at the chart of AUDUSD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move up seems to be quite likely.
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EURUSD: Bulls Will Push Higher
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
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NZDJPY Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NZDJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 86.740
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 87.156
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold will grow a little more and then make correctionHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. After forming a downward wedge and several rejections near the support line, the price eventually broke out to the upside, signaling a reversal. This breakout was followed by a strong upward impulse, and Gold quickly shifted into a consolidation phase, creating a wide sideways range structure. Inside this range, we observed multiple rebounds from the lower boundary and a gradual rise toward the resistance level. Recently, the price exited the range upward after testing the buyer zone and breaking above the support area. However, this breakout seems impulsive and may need a correction. Currently, Gold trades slightly above the 3400 level, which aligns with the support area and the previous range border. In my view, the price may make a short upward move, followed by a return to the current support level. That’s why I set my TP at 3400 points, which corresponds to the support area and acts as a potential bounce zone in case of a retracement. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
CADJPY A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for CADJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 105.97
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 105.56
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold Price Analysis June 13Yesterday's D1 candlestick increased, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. Following that uptrend, the Asian session saw a strong increase in price to the highest peak of 3443. If there is still confirmation from the h4 candlestick above 3395, today will still be a bullish candlestick with a large amplitude at the end of the day.
After reaching the highest peak of the month, Gold is having a downward correction at the end of the Asian session. This correction lasts until the support of 3397 to have a good BUY signal. In case you want to SELL, you must wait for a 50% test of the previous full-force downtrend H1 candle (around 3434) and the continuation of the Selling side.
If the 50% test does not appear, you must reverse to find a BUY Breakout point. Note that the False break at the peak of 3343 should wait for confirmation of the small-frame DOW wave to enter the order, which will be safer for this morning's break.
If you get a BUY order, the target will be 3364 and this area will have a profit-taking reaction from the Buyers, causing the price to decrease. Gold may touch the threshold before ATH 3394 and there will be a reaction.
In the opposite direction, there is a sweep to 3376, which is considered the daily support zone and you can buy in this area.
All SELL signals are considered obstacles, so set a short target and a new BUY signal sets a long expectation.
USD/CAD.1week chart pattern.It looks like me discussing a trade setup for USD/CAD with:
Sell Entry: 1.36200
Target Point 1: 1.23504
Target Point 2: 2.31000 ← This seems like a mistake
Let’s break it down:
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🔍 Trade Analysis:
Sell at 1.36200: This is a reasonable short entry, near recent resistance (depending on current market context).
Target Point 1 (1.23504): This is plausible, as it's a historically significant support level — a good long-term take-profit zone.
Target Point 2 (2.31000): This appears illogical for a short (sell) position — it's higher than the entry price. If you're shorting, you profit from a decline, not a rise.
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✅ Corrected Setup (Sell Idea):
Sell USD/CAD @ 1.36200
Take Profit 1: 1.30000 (medium-term support)
Take Profit 2: 1.23500 (long-term support)
Stop Loss: 1.37200 (just above recent highs)
Would you like a chart analysis or backtest of this strategy?
Bearish Bias Holds as Oil Rises & Rate Differentials NarrowUSDCAD – Bearish Bias Holds as Oil Rises & Rate Differentials Narrow
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Outlook
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) continues to gain ground this week, supported by two key drivers:
Crude oil prices surged due to Middle East tensions and renewed demand optimism — boosting CAD as a commodity-linked currency.
US-Canada yield spreads narrowed, following revised expectations that the Bank of Canada (BoC) may keep rates higher for longer, while the Fed is seen pausing.
Short-term event risks to watch:
🇨🇦 Canadian Manufacturing Sales data today at 13:30 GMT
🇨🇦 G7 Summit in Alberta from June 15–17, which may influence oil and energy policy sentiment
Our latest fair value estimate for USDCAD has shifted lower to 1.3613, reflecting tighter rate spreads and stronger oil. Technical structure remains tilted to the downside.
📉 Technical Outlook – M30 Chart
🔹 Structure:
Price remains in a short-term downtrend, with a well-defined descending trendline capping upside attempts.
The pair recently tested the EMA 89–200 zone and failed, suggesting continued bearish pressure.
🔹 Key Zones:
Dynamic Resistance: 1.3638 – 1.3660 (trendline + EMA cluster)
Support Area: 1.3592 → 1.3578
A break below 1.3578 could expose deeper downside toward 1.3420 (September lows)
🔹 Momentum Indicators:
RSI has bounced from oversold (30) but remains in bearish territory.
The current rebound looks corrective — potentially a dead cat bounce.
🧠 Market Sentiment
Flows favour commodity-backed currencies like CAD, especially with energy prices rising.
USD has weakened slightly as the Fed is expected to hold rates steady next week.
Sentiment is leaning toward "sell the rallies" on USDCAD for now.
🎯 Trade Setup Scenarios
🔻 SELL SCENARIO – If price retests and rejects 1.3638 – 1.3660
Entry: 1.3640 – 1.3655
Stop-Loss: 1.3685
Targets: 1.3592 → 1.3578 → 1.3510
🔺 BUY SCENARIO – If strong bullish reaction occurs at 1.3592 – 1.3578
Entry: 1.3580
Stop-Loss: 1.3545
Targets: 1.3620 → 1.3640
⚠️ Focus on trend continuation. Only consider buys if clear rejection or bullish confirmation appears at support.
✅ Conclusion
The current trend in USDCAD favours sellers, with fundamental momentum supporting CAD via higher oil and narrowing yield differentials. Key resistance at 1.3638–1.3660 remains the pivot zone to monitor. With Canadian data and the G7 Summit ahead, volatility could increase.
Dollar Momentum Fades | Can 143.07 Hold as Support?USDJPY – Dollar Momentum Fades | Can 143.07 Hold as Support?
🌍 Fundamental & Macro Outlook
USDJPY has faced strong downside pressure recently as risk-off sentiment boosts demand for the Japanese Yen, following escalating tensions between Israel and Iran.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) rallied on geopolitical concerns but is struggling to sustain momentum near the 98.30 resistance zone.
Despite the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy, JPY is acting as a safe haven in current global risk conditions.
Traders are awaiting next week’s monetary policy decisions from both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. Both central banks are expected to keep rates unchanged, but forward guidance could spark major volatility.
According to UOB Group, the dollar's recovery potential is weakening, and further downside toward 142.20 is possible, unless price reclaims the 144.60–144.95 resistance zone.
📉 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart
🔸 Trend Structure
USDJPY remains in a mild downtrend, but price has bounced from the 143.074 key support zone.
A recovery towards 144.624 is in play, but that zone must be cleared for bullish continuation.
🔸 EMA Outlook
Price is currently testing the EMA 89 and 200 — a rejection from this area could trigger another move down.
EMA 13 & 34 are now acting as short-term dynamic support.
🔸 Key Price Zones
Resistance: 144.60 – 145.26
Support: 143.07 – 142.20
🧠 Market Sentiment
Risk aversion continues to dominate as geopolitical headlines drive sentiment.
The Yen is benefitting from capital protection flows despite Japan’s dovish stance.
Large funds may be starting to hedge by rotating into JPY from elevated USD levels.
🎯 Trading Scenarios for June 13
📌 Scenario 1 – Short Setup (Rejection at Resistance)
Entry: 144.60 – 144.90
Stop-Loss: 145.30
Take-Profit: 143.60 → 143.07 → 142.50
📌 Scenario 2 – Long Setup (Rebound from Support)
Entry: 143.10 – 143.20
Stop-Loss: 142.70
Take-Profit: 144.00 → 144.60
✅ Wait for confirmation at key levels — avoid trading in the middle of the range when volatility is headline-driven.
✅ Conclusion
USDJPY remains trapped between strong resistance at 145.26 and buying interest at 143.07. If risk sentiment persists, the Yen may continue to strengthen. However, central bank decisions next week (Fed & BoJ) will be the major catalysts for any medium-term breakout.
GBPUSD – Sterling Slips Amid Geopolitical Risk |GBPUSD – Sterling Slips Amid Geopolitical Risk | Will Support Hold for a Bounce?
🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Overview
The British Pound (GBP) is under pressure as risk sentiment deteriorates following a sharp escalation between Israel and Iran.
Israel launched a major military campaign, striking dozens of nuclear and military facilities in northeastern Tehran.
PM Netanyahu announced the start of "Operation Rising Lion", aimed at eliminating the Iranian nuclear threat.
US President Donald Trump voiced support, stating that Iran “must never have a nuclear bomb.”
Investors reacted by fleeing to safe-haven assets, pushing the US Dollar (DXY) from 97.60 to nearly 98.30.
Meanwhile, next week’s Bank of England (BoE) and Federal Reserve meetings are in focus. Both are expected to hold rates steady, but weak UK economic data may pressure the BoE to adopt a more cautious or dovish tone.
📉 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart
🔸 Trend Structure
GBPUSD broke down from its recent high at 1.36288 and is now approaching key support between 1.35350 and 1.34957.
As long as 1.3495 holds, the move appears to be a technical correction, not a reversal.
🔸 Fibonacci & Moving Averages
Current price sits near Fibonacci 0.236 retracement of the recent swing.
Price is trading below the EMA 13 & 34, but EMA 200 near 1.353x still acts as potential support.
🔸 Resistance to Watch
The next upside target sits at 1.3588, followed by the previous high at 1.3628.
🧠 Market Sentiment
Risk aversion is dominating due to geopolitical headlines.
GBP is vulnerable as a risk-sensitive currency.
However, if tensions ease and central bank decisions next week come in line with expectations, GBP could rebound from its currently discounted levels.
🎯 Trade Setup Suggestion
✅ BUY ZONE: 1.35350 – 1.34957
Stop-Loss: 1.3460
Take-Profit Targets: 1.3588 → 1.3628
Enter only on bullish price action confirmation around the support zone.
✅ Conclusion
GBPUSD is trading under geopolitical stress, but the technical setup around 1.3495 – 1.3535 offers a potential bounce zone. A short-term recovery could unfold if sentiment stabilizes and central banks maintain the expected policy stance.
GBPJPY Strong rebound. Buy opportunity.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within an Ascending Triangle pattern. Today's geopolitics made the price form its latest Higher Low at the bottom of the pattern, which also coincided with a 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) test, and rebounded.
That was a clear buy signal on the 4H RSI Support that signaled the last three bottom buys. Our Target is the top of the pattern at 196.300.
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USDJPY Strong support formed. Excellent buy opportunity.The USDJPY pair is trading within a Channel Down since the start of the year but following the April 22 Low, it has been rising on Higher Lows. Today that trend-line was tested and again produced a rebound (so far).
Since the April 22 Low was very close to the 139.600 Support (from the September 16 2024 Low), there are higher probabilities that we will have a trend change to bullish, at least for the medium-term.
The natural Resistance now is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), so we will target just below it at 148.675 (Resistance 1).
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USD/CHF,4h chart pattern..USD/CHF buy trade setup based on my input:
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✅ Trade Setup:
Buy Entry: 0.81300
First Target (TP1): 0.82300
Second Target (TP2): 0.83500
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📊 Trade Metrics:
1. TP1 Distance:
0.82300 - 0.81300 = 0.01000 (100 pips)
2. TP2 Distance:
0.83500 - 0.81300 = 0.02200 (220 pips)
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🛑 Suggested Stop-Loss (if not defined):
A common approach would be to place it below the recent swing low or a round level for risk management. Example:
Stop-Loss (SL): 0.80800 (50 pips risk)
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⚖ Risk-Reward Ratios (if SL = 0.80800):
To TP1: 100 / 50 = 2.0 R/R
To TP2: 220 / 50 = 4.4 R/R
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Would you like a visual chart or technical breakdown (e.g., support zones, confirmation candles) for this pair?
USOIL || Geopolitical Spike Hits Major Resistance - Watch $77.77🛢️
📅 June 13, 2025
👤 By: MJTRADING
🔍 🧭 Fundamental Context – Risk Premium on the Rise:
Crude oil surged sharply today following reports of Israeli airstrikes on Iranian territory — a move that reawakens fears of broader Middle East escalation. Iran plays a crucial role in OPEC and controls the strategic Strait of Hormuz , through which ~20% of global oil passes.
While Iran has not officially responded yet, markets are pricing in the potential for:
* Military retaliation
* Disruption of oil exports or maritime routes
* Heightened volatility across global risk assets
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📉 📊 Technical Structure – Tag of Key Resistance at $77.7:
Price exploded upward, piercing the descending channel that's been intact since mid-2022.
Today's daily wick tagged the $77.70 level, a major horizontal resistance and channel top.
This zone has repeatedly acted as a pivot in both bullish and bearish phases.
Volume confirmed the move – highest daily volume in months, suggesting institutional reaction.
💡 Trading Outlook:
🔼 Scenario A – Breakout & Close Above $77.7 = Bull Continuation
If tomorrow closes firmly above $77.70:
Target 1: $88.88 supply zone
Target 2: $90.00 psychological resistance
Setup: Conservative entries on retest of $75–77 area with tight invalidation
🔽 Scenario B – Failed Breakout → Fade Back Inside Channel
If this was a headline-driven spike with no follow-through, bears may re-enter strongly
A close below $75 could confirm bull trap
Support zone to watch: $66.66 (mid-channel, EMA confluence)
⚠️ Risk Factors to Monitor:
Iran’s response (military, diplomatic, strategic)
US/NATO reaction to potential escalation
Strait of Hormuz disruption
OPEC commentary or Saudi-led output adjustment
Market sentiment unwind (profit-taking from overbought spike)
💬 Markets love emotion, but traders survive with structure. This is not the time to be reckless — size down, be responsive, and respect both breakouts and fakeouts.
📎 #CrudeOil #Geopolitics #OilSpike #WTI #MiddleEastTensions #Iran #IranIsrael #TechnicalAnalysis #MJTRADING
Yen Rallies as Risk Aversion ReturnsThe Japanese yen strengthened to approximately 143 per dollar, marking a third consecutive day of gains as investors turned to safe-haven assets following Israel’s preemptive strike on Iran. The operation, aimed at nuclear facilities, heightened global risk aversion. Adding to market uncertainty were renewed U.S. tariff threats by Trump. Meanwhile, BoJ Governor Ueda reiterated the bank’s readiness to raise interest rates if inflation nears the 2% target.
Resistance is at 145.30, while support stands near 142.50.
GOLD Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,423.03.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,467.03.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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EURUSD Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 1.152.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.163 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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NZDUSD Is Very Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.601.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.588 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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