EURUSD Will the 1D MA50 hold?The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the April 21 2025 High. The price is right now on a strong pull-back and is about to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since May 12.
As long as the 1D candle closes above the 1D MA50, it will be a buy signal, targeting 1.19250 (a standard +3.20% rise).
If the candle closes below the 1D MA50, the buy will be invalidated and we will switch to a sell, targeting the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) at 1.14100.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Forex
Heading into overlap resistance?The USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could potentially reverse from this level to our take-profit.
Entry: 0.8067
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 0.8195
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 0.7951
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bearish drop?GBP/USD has reacted off the support level which is a multi swing low support and could drop from this levle to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3387
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing low support.
Stop loss: 1.3476
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 1.3247
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing low support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBP/USD 4H Bearish Reversal Setup. GBP/USD 4H Chart Analysis (July 24, 2025):
Price is rejecting resistance near 1.35709, forming a bearish setup. A short position is highlighted with entry around 1.35067, stop loss above resistance, and target near the 1.33786 support zone. Bears aim for continuation toward 1.33745.
Analysis for the next week (XAUUSD) Hello Traders, Happy Weekend.
The market is going to open tonight, As you see the down trend is running, the price is falling like a waterfall.
Now the market is on the support area according to H1 & H4 TimeFrame.
The market is respecting the support area and there is a Trend line support according to D1 TimeFrame.
The market is respecting the Trend line and support area.
According to my analysis gold will drop till 3287 to 3271.
If gold fly, it can fly till 3350 then it will fall.
Stay tune for update.
Kindly share your views and leave positive comments here, Thanks.
6S1! Futures Divergence Signals USD/CHF Long OpportunityI'm anticipating a bullish USD/CHF move. We're seeing a retest of a key daily demand zone, which is reinforced by a weekly supply area from the futures market (6S1! contract). Futures data suggests significant retail investor bullishness, contrasting with bearish positioning from commercial and hedge funds. This divergence suggests a potential long opportunity. I've also highlighted the next key demand area on the CFD USD/CHF chart.
✅ Please share your thoughts about 6S1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
DXY: USD Flexes Muscle - Pairs SlideFriday, July 25, 2025
The foreign exchange markets are experiencing a pronounced USD bullish session this morning, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) showing robust gains of +0.35% while simultaneously pressuring all major currency pairs into negative territory. The Japanese Yen (JPY) is bearing the brunt of this dollar strength, currently registering losses between -0.4% to -0.66% across JPY pairs. This market behavior suggests traders should pay particularly close attention to DXY dynamics, as its movements will likely dictate price action across all major currency pairs in today's session.
Technical Perspective: DXY at Critical Inflection Point
A detailed examination of the Dollar Index reveals several compelling technical factors that market participants should consider:
1. Weekly Demand Zone Reaction
- The DXY has demonstrated a strong rejection from a significant weekly demand area
- The subsequent bullish spike indicates potential continuation of upward momentum
- This price action suggests institutional buyers are defending this key level
2. Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights
Non-commercial traders (typically hedge funds and speculators) have increased their positions from a bottom level not seen since June 2021 meanwhile the Commercial traders (often corporations hedging FX exposure) show opposing extreme positioning. This stark divergence between trader categories often precedes significant market moves
3. Seasonal Patterns Favor USD Strength
- Historical seasonal analysis indicates the current period typically supports dollar appreciation
- The combination of technical and seasonal factors creates a potentially powerful bullish setup
✅ Please share your thoughts about DXY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Bitcoin & Altcoins: Technical Analysis and Market OutlookBitcoin (BTC) Analysis
Bitcoin is currently forming a short-term bullish pennant within a larger long-term pattern, projecting a potential target around $135K.
Key Levels: BTC is consolidating between the lower zone at $117.3K and the upper zone at $119.7K.
Breakout Potential: A break above this pattern could propel BTC toward a new all-time high (ATH), surpassing the current ATH at $123K.
Macro Events This Week:
Wednesday: The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, with no changes expected.
Wednesday: ADP Employment Report, providing insights into potential future rate cuts.
Friday: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data release, which could further influence market sentiment.
Ethereum (ETH) Breakout
Ethereum has decisively broken through its 4-year historical resistance around $3,725, closing the week above this level. This breakout signals a strong bullish outlook for ETH, with potential for further upside.
Altcoin Highlights
BNB: Has shattered its previous all-time highs, showcasing significant bullish momentum.
XRP: Reached approximately $3.64, reflecting strong gains and market interest.
Market Context
The crypto market is showing robust activity, with altcoins following Bitcoin and Ethereum's lead. Key macroeconomic events this week could introduce volatility, so traders should stay vigilant.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Every trader is responsible for their own strategy and risk management.
Happy trading and good profits! 🚀
From Rejections to Breakout? CAKE Faces Key TrendlineNASDAQ:CAKE has been stuck in a long-term downtrend, constantly getting rejected from that falling red trendline.
But things are starting to shift...
After bouncing off the major support zone, price is once again pushing toward that trendline, and this time, momentum looks stronger.
If CAKE can break and hold above this level, we could finally see a powerful move toward the $5+ resistance zone.
Just a heads-up: it’s been rejected here before, so let the breakout confirm before getting too excited.
DYOR, NFA
GOLD falls on USD and trade talks, big data weekSpot OANDA:XAUUSD ended its rally this week on Friday (July 25) and closed down nearly 1%, mainly affected by the recovery of the US Dollar TVC:DXY and progress in trade negotiations that weakened safe-haven demand.
DXY recovered 0.27% on Friday to close at 97.642, ending a two-week low, making gold less attractive than its direct correlation.
Earlier, news of a US-Japan trade deal and a breakthrough in US-EU talks weakened the market's demand for safe-haven assets.
For the content of the US-Japan trade deal, readers can review it in the daily publications during the past trading week.
Data and Fed Expectations
The latest US jobless claims fell to a three-month low, suggesting the job market remains solid. This gives the Federal Reserve reason to maintain interest rates at 4.25%-4.50%, despite President Trump once again pressuring Powell to cut rates.
However, in the short term, the fundamental direction of gold may need to wait for the Federal Reserve to announce more policy signals at its meeting next week.
Speculative Longs Hit High Near April Peak
Data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed that as of the week of July 22, the speculative net long position in COMEX gold rose by 27,211 lots to 170,868 lots, the highest level since April. This shows that as gold prices fall again, buyers are still actively deploying, waiting for more guidance from policy and data.
Last Week Review and This Week’s Fundamental Outlook
Last week, gold prices initially rose and then fell. Due to risk aversion and volatility in the US dollar, gold prices surpassed the $3,400/ounce mark at the start of the week, but as trade optimism increased and profit-taking emerged, gold prices fell back, trying to stay above $3,300/ounce.
Investors will face several major events this week:
Federal Reserve policy meeting (Wednesday): Markets expect interest rates to remain unchanged, but Powell’s speech could influence market expectations for a rate cut this year.
Macro data will be released in batches: including ADP employment data on Wednesday, PCE price index on Thursday and non-farm payrolls report on Friday. These data will determine the next move of gold.
Global central bank trends: The Bank of Canada and the Bank of Japan also hold policy meetings next week. Investors will be watching to see if their policy signals cause volatility in the US dollar and gold prices.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is in a rather important position after 3 consecutive corrective declines. However, the bearish momentum still keeps gold above the base price, which is an important psychological point for the bullish expectation of 3,300 USD.
In terms of position and indicators, gold has not completely lost the ability for a bullish outlook. Specifically, gold is still in a short-term rising channel and supported by the EMA21. On the other hand, it is still supported by the horizontal support level of 3,310 USD, followed by the psychological level of 3,300 USD and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement.
Gold will only qualify for a bearish cycle if it sells below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, then the target will be around 3,246 USD in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci level.
RSI is sloping down, but has not yet crossed the 50 level, and in the current case, the 50 level acts as a momentum support for the RSI. It shows that there is still room for an increase in price, and if RSI sloping up from 50, it will provide a bullish signal with relatively wide room.
If gold rises above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level (3,371 USD), it will be eligible for a new bullish cycle with a target of around 3,400 USD in the short term, more than 3,430 – 3,450 USD then the all-time high.
In the coming time, in terms of position and indicators, gold still has a technical outlook leaning more towards the upside and the notable points will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,430 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3371 - 3369⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3375
→Take Profit 1 3363
↨
→Take Profit 2 3357
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3303 - 3305⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3299
→Take Profit 1 3311
↨
→Take Profit 2 3317
AUD/USD: Rising Wedge Breakdown Signals Bearish ShiftAUD/USD has broken down from a rising wedge formation after rejecting near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 0.6558. This pattern, typically bearish, suggests the recent uptrend is losing steam — a view reinforced by Friday’s strong bearish candle closing below both the wedge support and the 50-day SMA (0.6510).
The price action now sits just above the 200-day SMA (0.6397), a level that could act as a short-term buffer. If this moving average gives way, focus shifts to the prior horizontal support at 0.6170. Meanwhile, upside attempts may find resistance at the broken wedge support and Fib zone near 0.6550.
Momentum indicators support the bearish case:
MACD is flat but biased lower, hovering near the zero line.
RSI has dipped below 50 (currently ~47.7), indicating weakening bullish momentum.
Unless AUD/USD quickly reclaims 0.6550, the path appears tilted toward further losses, potentially targeting the 0.63–0.62 zone.
Bias: Bearish breakdown with downside pressure while below 0.6550. Watch 0.6397 and 0.6170 as key support levels.
-MW
EUR/USD: Breakdown From Key Fib Confluence Threatens UptrendEUR/USD has snapped a key confluence zone after rejecting the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level near 1.1745. The latest daily candle shows a sharp bearish engulfing bar that sliced below both the ascending trendline and the 50-day SMA (1.1565), signaling a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This breakdown follows a multi-week uptrend, and momentum indicators are starting to confirm the bearish shift:
MACD is showing a bearish crossover below the signal line.
RSI has dropped below 50 (currently around 45.8), reflecting weakening bullish momentum.
The pair has now settled just above horizontal support near 1.1586. A decisive close below this level could open the door toward the next support zone around 1.1450–1.1500, where prior consolidation and the rising 200-day SMA (1.0929) may act as stronger demand.
Bulls will need to reclaim the 1.1650–1.1700 zone and see a bullish crossover on momentum indicators to regain control. Until then, the path of least resistance appears tilted to the downside, especially with trendline and Fib support now breached.
Bias: Bearish while below 1.1700. Watch for continuation lower if 1.1586 fails to hold.
-MW
EUR/USD testing bull trend after 1% dropThere are multiple factors weighing on the EUR/USD today. We have seen a broad dollar rally, suggesting that the trade agreements are seen as net positive for the US economy, even it means rising inflation risks. With higher tariffs and Trump’s inflationary fiscal agenda, interest rates in the US are likely to remain elevated for longer.
As far as the euro itself is concerned, the single currency fell all major currencies, which suggests investors were not impressed by the EU’s negotiation tactics. Accepting a 15% tariff on most of its exports to the US while reducing levies on some American products to zero, means the deal will make companies in Europe less competitive. Still, it could have been a far worse situation had we seen a trade war similar to the US-China situation in April. It means that there is now some stability and businesses can get on with things. On balance, though, European leaders will feel that they may have compromised a little too much.
Technically, the EUR/USD is still not in a bearish trend despite today’s sizeable drop. But that could change if the bullish trend line breaks now. If that happens 1.15 could be the next stop. Resistance is now 1.1650 followed by 1.1700.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Institutional Footprint Detected Gold Hits FVG + Breaker Block.GOLD has now entered a significant confluence zone, aligning with both a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a breaker block areas commonly respected by institutional algorithms. In the process, it has also swept sell-side liquidity resting below recent lows, which often serves as fuel for a reversal. This combination of technical factors suggests a high-probability scenario for a bullish bounce from this region.
Traders should closely monitor price behavior around the marked Equal Relative Liquidity (ERL) zone for additional confirmation before executing any trades.
Always conduct your own analysis (DYOR) and manage risk accordingly.
Potentially, A Safer Way To Long The EURUSDIn contrast to my previous outlook, the current price action suggests an increased probability of a deeper bearish move—potentially invalidating the buy zone marked out in the previous analysis. This sudden change is largely driven by the prospect of untapped liquidity residing beneath that zone, reinforcing the well-known market principle that price seeks out liquidity before committing to directional moves.
Given this development, the newly identified zone on the chart emerges as a more technically sound and reliable area from which to anticipate bullish interest. It aligns better with the broader liquidity profile and offers a stronger base for accumulation. Traders may opt to wait for confirmations within this zone or, depending on their risk appetite, consider executing buy positions upon price entry.
As always, patience and clarity are key as we allow price to reveal its intention.
Fingers crossed 🤞
Wishing you all a focused and profitable trading week.
Catch you on the next one. 🫡
GBPCAD - Long-Term Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPCAD has been overall bullish trading within the rising wedge pattern marked in blue.
This week, GBPCAD has been retesting the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the red zone is a strong weekly structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower blue trendline and red structure.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPCAD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for trend-following bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZDCHF – Bullish Breakout Sets Stage for ReversalNZDCHF has broken decisively out of a long-term descending channel, signaling a potential trend reversal. Price action confirmed multiple bullish flags within the falling structure, followed by a clean breakout and higher low retest, supporting a bullish continuation bias.
Currently, the pair is stabilizing just above prior resistance turned support around 0.4760–0.4780, forming a potential launchpad for the next leg higher.
Upside Targets:
TP1: 0.48336
TP2: 0.48844
TP3: 0.49319
Invalidation Zone:
A drop below 0.4720 would invalidate the breakout structure and expose the downside.
Fundamental Drivers:
🇳🇿 NZD Strength: RBNZ remains relatively hawkish compared to other central banks, and the Kiwi may gain from improving risk sentiment and easing global recession fears.
🇨🇭 CHF Weakness: Swiss Franc is under mild pressure as safe-haven flows weaken amid improving tone on US-China-EU trade headlines and fading ECB rate cut bets.
🗓️ Macro Flow: Upcoming risk events (Fed comments, trade updates, and NZ economic prints) could inject momentum into the pair, especially if risk appetite improves.
Bias: ✅ Bullish (Buy)
Confidence: ★★★★☆
Watch for: Clean hold above 0.4770 zone + bullish momentum continuation.
CADCHF: Market of Sellers
The recent price action on the CADCHF pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
NZDJPY: Free Trading Signal
NZDJPY
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy NZDJPY
Entry - 88.612
Stop - 88.524
Take - 88.757
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
XAUUSDXAUUSD trend If the price can still stand above 3249, it is expected that there is a chance that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
EURJPY Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 172.51
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 173.00
Safe Stop Loss - 172.29
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK