Gold Rebounds on Safe-Haven Flows – Is the Uptrend Back?Gold attracted some dip-buying interest during Tuesday’s trading session, reversing part of the previous day’s losses as rising geopolitical tensions reignited demand for safe-haven assets.
The market is increasingly pricing in the expectation that the Federal Reserve will begin a rate-cutting cycle in September — a scenario that favors non-yielding assets like gold. However, a modest recovery in the U.S. dollar could act as a headwind in the short term.
If conditions align, XAUUSD may capitalize on its recent upward momentum to resume the broader bullish trend, especially after completing a healthy pullback near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement — in line with Dow Theory continuation.
Forex
USDJPY What Next? SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 145.13
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 145.55
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clearshort signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 144.31
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold Price Analysis June 17The D1 candle shows profit-taking by the sellers, pushing the price back below 3400. In the current context, the pullback is only short-term and has not confirmed the reversal, but long-term Buy signals can still be noticed at important support zones.
Today, there are many price zones that can BUY Gold, so wait for confirmation before placing an order. Gold is heading towards the first support around 3375-3373. This is also the Breakout zone. If it breaks out, Gold will go to 3343-3341 to be able to BUY (pay attention to sell break). If there is a sweep to 3343 and then bounces and closes above the 3373 breakout zone, it confirms that the uptrend will continue strongly in the near future.
The next BUY support zone to pay attention to is 3322-3320 and the 3305-3303 zone.
The BUY order target is always pushed further back to 3415 or 3443.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jun 16 - Jun 20]The unrest in the Middle East this week has boosted safe-haven demand for gold, pushing it above $3,400 an ounce.
While gold has broken several recent technical resistance levels, it is unlikely that it will hit a new record high next week. The ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran provides safe-haven support, but historically, gold rallies driven by geopolitical events tend to be short-lived.
Gold is currently outperforming the US dollar, which has struggled to attract safe-haven funds.
Iran launched a retaliatory airstrike on Israel on Friday night (June 13), Reuters reported. Air raid sirens sounded across Israel and authorities urged residents to take shelter in shelters.
The Israeli military said Iran fired nearly 100 missiles, most of which were intercepted or missed their targets.
Israel's Channel 12 reported two people were seriously injured, eight were moderately injured and 34 suffered shrapnel injuries.
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said it had carried out military operations against dozens of targets in Israel.
The Iranian Revolutionary Guards' news website released a message that evening saying the "powerful and precise" counterattack was in retaliation for Israel's "invasion" of many parts of Iran and the killing of many senior military commanders, nuclear experts and Iranian civilians, including children.
Wider Middle East Conflict Could Erupt
Israel destroyed Tehran's military command system early Friday and struck key Iranian nuclear facilities. The Fars news agency, which is affiliated with Iran's Revolutionary Guards, cited data saying the Israeli attack killed dozens of people in Iran and wounded more than 300.
Israel has carried out large-scale airstrikes on multiple locations in Iran since early Friday, bombing Iranian nuclear facilities and military targets.
Reuters said Israel's attacks on Iran during the day and Iran's retaliation have raised concerns about a broader conflict in the region.
All Eyes on the Fed
While gold will continue to be affected by geopolitical developments, market attention will also be on the Federal Reserve, particularly Chairman Powell, who will speak after next week’s monetary policy meeting.
Economists generally expect the Fed to keep rates unchanged. However, expectations are growing that Powell could begin paving the way for a rate cut later this year.
The latest inflation data and signs of a slowing US economy have given the Federal Reserve room to cut rates. However, growing geopolitical uncertainty may prompt some market participants to adjust their expectations.
Overall assessment of the basic environment
The gold market in particular will still receive absolute support when there are too many risks appearing, from geopolitical developments to interest rate prospects, and tariffs. Major conflicts in the Middle East, Russia - Ukraine, trade war between the US and the rest of the world, ... are all sudden risk support that makes gold likely to surge in the short term. Therefore, in general vision, gold is considered the top safe-haven asset in the global unstable environment and it tends to increase in price in the current context.
Economic Data to Watch Next Week
Monday: State Manufacturing Survey, Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting
Tuesday: US Retail Sales
Wednesday: US Weekly Jobless Claims, US Housing Starts, Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Meeting
Thursday: US Markets Closed for Black Lives Matter Day, Swiss National Bank Monetary Policy Meeting, Bank of England Monetary Policy Meeting
Friday: Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has almost achieved all the bullish targets noted by readers in last week's weekly issue, initially at $3,371, then at the full price point and finally at $3,435. Gold can still continue to increase in price as technical conditions still absolutely support the short-term trend channel, while the long-term trend channel and the nearest support is the EMA21.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sloping up after receiving support from 50 and is still far from overbought territory, indicating that there is still a lot of room for upside ahead.
To sum up, as long as gold remains within/above the price channel, it remains bullish in the short term. Any dips that do not break below the price channel should only be considered as short-term corrections or a new buying opportunity.
Finally, the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,400 – 3,371 USD
Resistance: 3,435 – 3,500 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3497 - 3495⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3501
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3374 - 3376⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3370
SILVER BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,714.4
Target Level: 3,384.5
Stop Loss: 3,933.3
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD recovers from $3,371, risks remain highOn Tuesday (June 17) in the Asian market, the spot price of OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly fell sharply in the short term, and the price of gold once fell below 3,380 USD/ounce. As investors watched the hostile situation between Israel and Iran, US President Trump called for an immediate withdrawal of troops from Iran and ordered officials to be ready in the situation room, boosting demand for safe-haven assets.
Trump posted on his social media platform "Real Social": "Iran should sign the 'deal' I asked them to sign. What a shame and waste of lives. Simply put, Iran cannot have nuclear weapons. I have said this over and over again! Everyone should evacuate Tehran immediately!"
Axios News reported that shortly after Trump's tweet, Iranian media reported explosions and heavy anti-aircraft fire in Tehran. It is unclear whether there is any connection between Trump's tweet and the attack.
According to the latest report from Fox News, US President Trump asked the National Security Council to be on standby in the White House Situation Room after he cut short his trip to the G7 summit and returned to Washington earlier than expected.
The White House Situation Room is a conference room and intelligence management center located in the basement of the West Wing of the White House, with a total area of about 460 square meters.
The main purpose of the White House Situation Room is to provide a working space for the National Security Council, including the President of the United States, the Vice President, the White House Chief of Staff, the Secretary of State, the Secretary of Defense, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency, the National Security Advisor, etc., to quickly discuss and respond to sudden domestic and international events affecting the national security of the United States. It has advanced and complete security communication facilities, allowing the President of the United States to control the United States military around the world at any time.
WTI crude oil prices rose about 3.00% on the day after Trump told officials to be ready in the situation room.
These market risks clearly leave plenty of room for gold to rise, and the current decline, which is being driven by profit-taking, is unlikely to last.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After a sharp decline, gold has recovered from the support level noted to readers in the previous issue at the price point of 3,371 USD, which is the location of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement, and currently the original price point of 3,400 USD is the nearest resistance at present.
If gold breaks above 3,400 USD, it will have the conditions to aim for the target of 3,435 USD in the short term.
Currently, gold still has enough technical conditions for an uptrend with the price channel as the short-term trend, while the price channel as the long-term trend and the EMA21 as the nearest support at present.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50 and is far from overbought territory, suggesting that there is still plenty of room for upside ahead.
The current declines should still be viewed as a short-term correction rather than a full-fledged trend, or as a buying opportunity.
During the day, the technical bullish outlook for gold will be highlighted by the following positions.
Support: $3,371 – $3,350
Resistance: $3,400 – $3,435
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3420 - 3418⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3424
→Take Profit 1 3412
↨
→Take Profit 2 3406
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3350 - 3352⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3346
→Take Profit 1 3358
↨
→Take Profit 2 3364
ASX200 forming a top?ASX200 - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a top. A shooting star has been posted on the weekly charts.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
Previous resistance located at 8550.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We look to Sell at 8549 (stop at 8601)
Our profit targets will be 8395 and 8365
Resistance: 8552 / 8594 / 8629
Support: 8504 / 8450 / 8400
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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Bank of Japan Leaves Interest Rate UnchangedBank of Japan Leaves Interest Rate Unchanged
This morning, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) released its interest rate decision, keeping the rate unchanged as widely expected. According to Forex Factory, the BOJ Policy Rate remains at 0.5%.
BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda noted the following:
→ Japan’s economy is recovering moderately.
→ The Bank will continue raising rates if economic and inflationary conditions improve.
→ The situation surrounding trade tariffs remains highly uncertain.
The fact that the decision was anticipated by markets is reflected in price action on the charts.
Technical Analysis of the USD/JPY Chart
A brief spike in volatility occurred on the USD/JPY chart this morning, but it did not significantly alter the broader structure of price movements, which in June have formed a contracting triangle pattern.
In recent days, the pair has been climbing from the lower boundary of the triangle toward the upper edge, forming a short-term ascending channel (highlighted in blue). However, in the near term, this bullish momentum may weaken as the USD/JPY rate approaches the upper boundary of the triangle, which coincides with the psychologically significant level of 145 yen to the dollar (indicated by arrows).
From a medium-term perspective, traders should watch for a potential breakout from the triangle pattern, which could trigger a meaningful trend. One possible catalyst could be news of a trade agreement between the United States and Japan.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EUR/USD Poised for a Breakout? Watch 1.1510 CloselyEUR/USD is currently consolidating around the 1.1510 support zone after a mild pullback from the descending trendline. Price structure remains bullish, with a wedge pattern forming — signaling that a breakout could be imminent.
On the news front, expectations that the Fed may soon begin cutting rates — following a series of weak U.S. economic data — are weighing on the U.S. dollar. At the same time, easing geopolitical tensions are shifting market sentiment back toward risk assets.
If the 1.1510 support level holds firm, EUR/USD may stage a strong rebound to resume its upward momentum.
Bearish breakout off major support?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap support and a breakout of this level could lead the price to drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 144.51
1st Support: 143.74
1st Resistance: 145.22
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold Takes the Throne as Safe Haven AgainThe recent escalation in the Middle East — particularly Israel’s surprise strike on Iran — has stirred up significant volatility in global financial markets. Oil prices surged, stock markets around the world turned red, just as many had predicted. However, in a surprising twist, capital did not rush into the usual safe havens like the US dollar or Treasury bonds. Instead, it flowed decisively into gold.
In fact, US Treasury yields have soared from 3.98% in April to around 4.42% now. This surge doesn’t signal growing confidence — it reflects investor demand for higher returns to compensate for the rising risk of holding dollar-denominated assets.
Against this backdrop, gold is emerging as an “unshackled safe haven” — immune to political instability tied to fiat-currency-issuing nations. The precious metal is once again proving its value in times of global uncertainty.
Bearish continuation for the Swissie?The price is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.8156
1st Support: 0.8055
1st Resistance: 0.8241
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold trading strategy June 17D1 candle shows profit taking by sellers pushing the price back below 3400. In the current context, the pullback is only short-term and has not confirmed the reversal, but long-term Buy signals can still be noticed at important support zones.
Today, there are many price zones that can BUY Gold, so wait for confirmation before placing an order. Gold is heading towards the first support around 3375-3373 (this zone has just reacted 100 pips). This is also the Breakout zone. If it breaks this zone, Gold will reach 3343-3341 before it can BUY.
Note that to sell break 3373 and the SELL resistance point must wait for 3415 and the daily resistance 3443-3445
If there is a sweep to 3343 and bounces and closes above the 3373 breakout zone, it confirms that the uptrend will continue strongly in the near future.
The next BUY support zone to pay attention to is 3322-3320 and the 3305-3303 zone. The BUY target is always pushed further back to 3415 or to the peak around 3443.
SUPPORT: 3373;3342;3322;3304
RESISTANCE: 3415;3443
GOLD Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,395.19.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,467.28 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bearish drop?The Cable (GBPUSD) is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3592
1st Support: 1.3536
1st Resistance: 1.3629
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR_AUD WILL GROW|LONG|
✅EUR_AUD went down to retest
A horizontal support of 1.7572
Which makes me locally bullish biased
And I think that a move up
From the level is to be expected
Towards the target above at 1.7800
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1480
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1438
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1542
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Gold has recently broken below its 4-hour bullish Fair Value GapGold Market Analysis (In-depth & Strategic Overview):
Gold has recently broken below its 4-hour bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is currently trading beneath its Consequent Encroachment (CE) level — a signal that short-term bullish momentum has weakened.
In the latest 4H candle, the market swept the liquidity resting below the previous day's lows, a classic move to trap early sellers and collect stop-losses. Right after this liquidity grab, the price touched the daily bullish FVG, found support there, and then managed to close back inside the 4H FVG. This action reflects a temporary defense by buyers — but the battle is far from over.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
$3401: This is a critical resistance level. If the market successfully closes above $3401, it could signal a bullish continuation, paving the way for an upward move.
$3389: This is a crucial support level. If price breaks below $3389, it would likely lead to further downside movement, opening the door for deeper corrections.
⏳ Current Strategy:
The best move right now is to wait and watch how the market reacts to these key levels. A breakout above $3401 would confirm strength and potential bullish continuation. Conversely, a breakdown below $3389 could trigger a fresh wave of selling pressure.
🚨 Until one of these levels is clearly broken, the market may remain in a state of indecision or range-bound movement.
🔍 Always DYOR – Do Your Own Research!
Stay informed, manage your risk wisely, and avoid emotional decisions.
EURUSD Last push before correction.The EURUSD pair made a new High by breaking above the 1.15725 Resistance and is extending the rally since the January 13 2025 Low. That Low was the Higher Low of the multi-year Channel Up, so the current uptrend is technically its latest Bullish Leg.
The first Bullish Leg of that pattern peaked after a +15.75% rise. We expect a similar peak for the current rally, thus targeting 1.17750, before a new pull-back below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Gold remains top safe haven amid global uncertaintyAfter a powerful rally driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly the Israel–Iran conflict, gold is now entering a clear correction phase. This reflects a shift in market sentiment from “fear” to a “new normal,” as investor risk appetite recovers. In the short term, this transition is putting notable selling pressure on the precious metal.
However, underlying support factors should not be underestimated. Recent U.S. economic data continues to show weakness: manufacturing activity is slowing, new orders are declining, and supply constraints are tightening—clear signs of a stalling economy. This increases the likelihood that the Fed may not keep interest rates high for long, which would support gold in the medium term.
On the other hand, central bank demand—especially from China—remains a powerful force. Amid concerns over yuan depreciation and eroding confidence in the global financial system, gold is increasingly viewed as an irreplaceable safe-haven asset.
This current price decline should be seen as a technical correction, not a trend reversal. Traders should closely monitor key support zones for potential re-entry, as CPM Group still sees gold targeting $3,500/ounce in the next move.