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Market next target 📉 Disruption: Bearish Outlook Contradiction 1. Resistance Zone Rejection: The price action is repeatedly failing near the 107,800–108,000 resistance zone. The chart shows several long upper wicks, indicating strong selling pressure when BTC tries to move higher. 2. False Breakout Risk: The recent bullish candle with a long lower wick could be a bull trap—designed to lure buyers before a reversal. Price may retest the red box (support turned resistance) and fail to hold above it. 3. Volume Analysis: Despite a small recovery, volume is not increasing significantly, which is not typical of a strong bullish move. A lack of strong buyer volume could indicate exhaustion. 4. Lower High Structure: The chart is still forming lower highs, a sign of a downtrend continuation unless it breaks above 108,000 convincingly.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
1
Market next move Disruptive (Bearish) Scenarios: 1. False Breakout Risk The recent bullish candles could be a bull trap. Price may test the “support” trendline, fail to hold, and break downwards instead of continuing upward. Watch for rejection near the target area or sharp sell-offs on high volume. 2. Overhead Resistance Zone Price is approaching historical resistance near the $3,350–$3,355 area. If it fails to close above this level on strong volume, it may reverse sharply. 3. Divergence Warning (Check RSI/MACD) If you check oscillators like RSI or MACD, and they show bearish divergence (price makes higher highs, indicator makes lower highs), that could signal a weakening bullish momentum. 4. Volume Decline The volume spikes on the recent bullish move, but volume drops afterward could indicate lack of buying interest to sustain the rally. 5. Fundamental Triggers Any sudden macroeconomic news (e.g. strong USD data, interest rate hikes, geopolitical developments) could trigger a sharp selloff in gold, invalidating the bullish setup.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
GBPUSD Price Action Analysis | Sell Setup Below 1.36106In this GBPUSD market overview, we break down recent price action following yesterday’s strong bullish rally from the momentum low. The session was highly emotional across major forex pairs, which is typical when a major wave structure reaches its end. This often results from incomplete auctions on one side of the market, causing order flow imbalances that drive sharp price movements. The key price level we're watching on GBPUSD is 1.36326. Price approached this zone with momentum, and the rejection at 1.36267 triggered a classic TCP (Trend Changing Pattern), followed by a single upside break, confirming exhaustion at the highs. 📉 Sell Setup: According to the Waves of Success execution model, the best short entry is below 1.36106, in alignment with the prevailing bearish structure. ⚠️ Alternative Scenario: We are not looking for long setups on GBPUSD at this time — our bias remains bearish unless significant structure changes occur. This analysis combines wave structure, trend confirmation patterns, and institutional price levels for a professional, risk-managed approach. 🔑 Key Levels: Resistance: 1.36326 Rejection High: 1.36267 Sell Trigger: 1.36106
Short
by Charts247TradingAcademy
EURNZD Eyes 1.99 — Technical & Fundamental Bulls AlignedToday, I want to analyze EURNZD ( OANDA:EURNZD ) for you, which is in good shape both technically and fundamentally . Please stay with me. EURNZD is moving close to the Support zone(1.88750 NZD-1.7970 NZD) and 100_SMA(Daily) and has managed to form a Double Bottom Pattern . From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , EURNZD seems to have completed the main wave 4 , and we should wait for the main wave 5 . The main wave 5 could complete at the Heavy Resistance zone(2.120 NZD-1.9927 NZD) . ----------------------------------- EURNZD – Fundamental Analysis: The EURNZD pair currently reflects a divergence between two very different economic outlooks. Eurozone (EUR): The European Central Bank (ECB) has recently begun cutting interest rates to support slowing economic activity, especially in the industrial and manufacturing sectors. Despite this dovish shift, inflation remains relatively under control, and the euro has held up well against riskier currencies thanks to global uncertainty and safe-haven flows. New Zealand (NZD): New Zealand's economy is under pressure. The latest GDP figures confirmed a weak growth outlook, and signs of a technical recession are mounting. While the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has maintained a relatively hawkish tone, it faces a dilemma: inflation is sticky, but domestic demand and housing remain fragile. The RBNZ may be forced to soften its stance sooner than expected. Outlook: This fundamental backdrop supports a bullish bias for EURNZD. The euro’s relative stability versus the increasingly vulnerable New Zealand dollar makes this pair attractive for long positions — especially if upcoming NZ data disappoints or global risk sentiment weakens further. ----------------------------------- Based on the above explanation, I expect EURNZD to rise to at least 1.9917 NZD . Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.8779 NZD Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/New Zealand Dollar Analyze (EURNZD), Daily time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
1
GBPNZD BUY BIAS • Supply Zone (Red Box): Price tapped into a clearly defined supply area around 2.27000–2.27474, indicating potential for bearish reversal. • Rejection Candles: Bearish rejection formed at the top of the zone with clear upper wicks, suggesting selling pressure. • 200 EMA (Curved Line): Price rallied into the supply from below the EMA, increasing the probability of a mean reversion move. • Risk/Reward Box: A short trade is shown with: • Entry: Just under 2.27000 • Stop Loss: -2.27474 • Target: 2.22349, aligning with previous structure and EMA
Short
by RayForexlyfe
GBPUSD London Session | Live Forex Analysis & Trade ideasIn today’s London session, we conducted a detailed intraday analysis on the GBPUSD currency pair using wave structure analysis on the 5-minute (M5) timeframe. Price action confirmed a break below bullish market structure that had previously formed the Asian session high, signalling a potential shift in market sentiment to the downside. This breakdown confirmed short-term bearish momentum shift. Following the completion of the bearish wave, the price retraced to form a structural pullback (trend reset), providing a discounted price zone for new short positions and offering profit-taking opportunities for earlier sellers. Our trading plan for this session is to sell GBPUSD at 1.3488, anticipating a move below the midline (ML) support at 1.3462. The technical target for this trade, based on our London-New York session projection, is set at 1.3417. The stop-loss for this setup is placed above MH of the bearish structure at 1.3505, maintaining proper risk management. This trade idea aligns with our trend-following strategy and is supported by real-time price action analysis. 📉 Short Bias Confirmed 🎯 Entry: 1.3488 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.3505 ✅ Take Profit: 1.3417 Trade safe, manage your risk, and stay blessed.
Short
by Charts247TradingAcademy
NZDJPY “Kiwi Poised to Fly as Japan Muddles ThroughNZDJPY shows a bullish breakout from a descending trendline, with bullish structure holding near 87.20–87.25. Key resistance targets: 87.97 (Previous high) 88.64 (Next resistance / projected fib target) Two upside scenarios are shown: Conservative target: ~87.97 Aggressive swing: ~88.64 If 87.00–87.20 zone holds as support, expect bullish continuation. 🧩 Current Bias: Bullish 📌 Key Fundamentals Driving NZDJPY NZD Side (Strengthening): RBNZ hawkish hold: RBNZ recently kept rates at 5.50% and warned that inflation remains persistent, requiring prolonged tight policy. Resilient NZ GDP: Stronger-than-expected GDP print signals economic resilience. Terms of trade improvement: Commodity exports holding firm, China consumption rebound showing hints of demand recovery (see recent 618 festival sales data). AUD correlation: AUD and NZD are moving together; if AUD strengthens, NZD often follows. JPY Side (Weakening): BoJ remains ultra-dovish: Despite inflation trends, BoJ is hesitant to tighten further, preferring gradual tapering. Yen under pressure from yield differentials: Global central banks (like RBNZ, Fed) remain hawkish while BoJ is not. Geopolitical funding flows: JPY used as a funding currency amid global volatility (carry trade boost for NZDJPY). ⚠️ Risks That May Reverse the Trend BoJ surprise tightening rhetoric (e.g. bond purchase taper announcement). China data deterioration, hurting Kiwi sentiment. Sharp equity sell-off and geopolitical escalation (Yen safe-haven reversal). 📅 Important News to Watch 🇳🇿 NZ Trade Balance (upcoming) 🇯🇵 Tokyo Core CPI (Jun 28) – Critical for BoJ policy speculation. RBNZ or BoJ member speeches (hawkish or dovish shifts) Fed tone shift or US dollar strength spillover 🏁 Who Leads the Move? NZDJPY could lead among yen crosses due to the RBNZ’s clear inflation fight versus BoJ’s passive stance. NZDJPY is also more responsive to commodity and global risk-on flows than EURJPY or USDJPY.
Long
by ultreosforex
GBPUSD Sell Limit Activated June 17 2025This trade was taken today, (tuesday- june 17, 2025). Based on 1H timeframe Supply. I wait for London Session and check for possible liquidity sweep in 15 min and 5min timeframe. I noticed a CHOCH followed by tap in Supply zone of the schematics. I decide to create a sell limit order during New York Session to maximize the Risk to Reward Ratio. (Check the charts for detailed label and movement). 1:7RR Wyckoff schematics in 1H timeframe--> confluence of supply in lower timeframes for validity. RR:7 Another classic distribution. patience is the key :) #wyckoff #sell #supplyanddemand
Short
by glyrad
EURUSD Long Setup – Bullish Rejection from Demand ZoneEURUSD remains supported by strong eurozone fundamentals and broad USD softness. The pair has retraced into a key demand zone around 1.1490 and is showing signs of bullish rejection. With the Fed likely to pause further rate hikes and the ECB maintaining a steady tone, the bias favors further upside toward recent highs. ⚠️ Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East (Israel-Iran conflict) have introduced mild safe haven demand, but so far the USD has underperformed versus the euro, suggesting EUR remains relatively insulated. Watch for confirmation and entries within the blue demand box. 🔍 Technical Analysis: Structure: Clear uptrend with higher highs and higher lows. Price retraced to a well-defined 1H demand zone between 1.1490–1.1500. Setup: Anticipating a bounce from the demand zone targeting the recent high near 1.1620–1.1630. Entry Zone: 1.1490–1.1500 (bullish reaction area) Target: 1.1620–1.1630 (previous supply zone) Stop Loss: Below 1.1439 (recent swing low) Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2.5 🧠 Fundamental Context (as of June 16): EUR Bias: Bullish – ECB has paused cuts; euro is resilient despite geopolitical headwinds. USD Bias: Bearish – Fed is on pause; soft inflation data and geopolitical risks weigh on dollar strength. Key Drivers: Fed dovish tone (FOMC pause, lower CPI) Strong EU resilience despite global tensions CHF and JPY attracting safe haven flows over USD 📅 Key Events to Watch: US Core PCE (next major inflation readout) FOMC commentary and Fed speakers Eurozone CPI and sentiment data
Long
by ultreosforex
26
USDJPY – Triangle Complete? Wave (v) Setup BuildingWave (iv) appears to be ending with an (e) wave tag into the 0.764 retracement. 📉 Price remains capped within the contracting triangle — watching closely for breakdown confirmation. If this plays out, wave (v) of C could now begin unfolding with initial focus on 140.00 and below. 🧩 Structure: (a)-(b)-(c)-(d)-(e) triangle complete 📏 Final wave (e) aligns with 0.764 retracement and structural resistance ⚠️ RSI divergence + weakening momentum support the bearish scenario
Short
by EWaveInsights
1
USDCAD Long – Wyckoff Spring PlaybookCause > Effect. Behavior > Breakouts. We just printed a classic Spring + Test setup. Here’s how the puzzle came together: 🔍 Accumulation Context: Market ranged quietly for hours – demand building below the surface. Spike down into previous demand zone with climax volume – the shakeout. Quick reclaim of the zone with bullish absorption signals the Spring. 📈 Execution Plan: Entry just above the spring low at 1.3617 Stop below spring at 1.3612 Targeting inefficiencies at 1.3645 and 1.3651 (prior supply pockets) 🎯 Why I Like This Setup: Structure: Matches Wyckoff Spring logic (Phase C → D transition) Volume: Shakeout came with high effort, followed by efficient reclaim Timing: Happens in a zone where other traders might still be stuck short > “In trading, the ones who recognize intent get in before confirmation.” This trade idea isn’t about being right — it’s about understanding behavior. I’m not reacting to candles. I’m tracking the motive behind them.
Long
by theeOperator90
USDJPY Pullback? Watch OB + Fib Confluence for the Next Buy WaveUSDJPY | 30-Min Chart – Smart Money Buy Setup in Progress After a sharp bullish rally, USDJPY is setting up for a classic retracement buy scenario. We're now watching a key confluence zone between Fibonacci levels, a bullish order block, and internal trend structure — all lining up for a high-probability long setup. 🔍 Trade Breakdown: 📉 Pullback Expected Before Next Rally: Price rejected near short-term resistance and is retracing from local highs. Retracement aligns with key OB + 61.8–79% Fib zone = institutional entry zone. 🟣 Order Block (OB) Demand Zone: 143.086 – 142.828 Last bullish candle before explosive rally = demand OB. OB sits within premium Fib retracement = Smart Money buy zone. 📐 Fibonacci Levels (Swing Low to High): 61.8% ≈ 143.200 70.5% ≈ 143.000 79% ≈ 142.828 This is the kill zone for institutional longs — where Smart Money typically enters before expansion. 🔵 Projected Play: Retracement to OB/Fib confluence. Bullish rejection from OB zone. Impulse move targeting previous highs and beyond. 💡 Target Level: 144.396 (sits just above prior high and aligns with -27% Fib extension) 📉 Current Bias: Short-term retracement ➝ Mid-term bullish continuation Expecting price to dip into OB then launch. 🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan: 🔹 Entry Zone: 143.086 – 142.828 🔻 SL Below: 142.650 (below OB/Fib + structure wick) 📈 Target: 144.396 ⚖️ RRR: 1:3+ — high confluence risk-managed buy 🔍 Technical Confluence Checklist: ✅ OB demand zone ✅ 61.8–79% retracement ✅ Bullish market structure ✅ Internal channel support ✅ Momentum slow before entry 📍 Save this chart — don’t chase, let price come to you 💬 Comment if you're watching this OB too 👣 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for precision-based setups daily
Long
by ChartNinjas88
GBPUSD Approaches Key Resistance: Watch for Bearish ReversalGBPUSD pair is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel on the 1-hour chart, showing a short-term bullish structure. However, this bullish move appears corrective within a broader consolidation range capped near the 1.3590 resistance zone. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: Current Price: 1.35535 Immediate Resistance: 1.35885–1.35929 (previous highs and psychological level) Support Levels: Trendline support near 1.3530 Horizontal support: 1.34282, 1.34176 Structure: Price has formed a bullish flag breakout and is now approaching key resistance. A new higher high is anticipated toward 1.3590, but this level has repeatedly rejected price in the past. The projected path indicates a potential liquidity grab above 1.3590 followed by a sell-off toward 1.3420–1.3410 area, aligning with a trendline break scenario. Bearish Scenario: A strong rejection from the 1.3590 zone, especially if accompanied by bearish divergence or a strong candle close, could trigger a shift back down to the 1.3417–1.3428 support zone. This would confirm a short-term top and potential retracement toward lower liquidity zones. 📊 Fundamental Backdrop: USD-side: Recent U.S. labor market strength (e.g. ADP report and low jobless claims) supports a hawkish bias, favoring USD upside. However, Fed policymakers remain cautious due to trade tensions and tariff uncertainty. This has injected short-term volatility into USD pairs. GBP-side: UK economic data has been mixed, with GDP growth forecasts under scrutiny. BoE policymakers are dovish, emphasizing weak productivity and wage pressures, making the pound vulnerable to downside catalysts. 📌 Conclusion: Watch for a potential bull trap near 1.3590, followed by a bearish reversal toward 1.3420–1.3410 if momentum weakens and sellers step in. This would complete the expected technical leg down and align with broader risk sentiment if dollar strength returns.
Short
by ultreosforex
13
USDJPY Tests Channel Support After ADP Shock — Rebound Ahead?In the last hour's candle after the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change Index was released, USDJPY ( FX:USDJPY ) started to fall, but considering the position of this pair, I think we can have a good Risk-To-Reward even if the Stop Loss (SL) is touched. USDJPY is trading near the lower line of the ascending channel and the Support zone(143.870 JPY-143.430 JPY) . From an Elliott Wave perspective , USDJPY appears to be completing a corrective pattern . I expect USDJPY to rise at least to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Note: Stop Loss = 143.220 JPY Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen Analyze (USDJPY), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
27
USDCAD Rebound from Key Support – Bullish Setup in PlayUSDCAD pair has reached a technical inflection point at key support around 1.3700, where it is attempting a rebound after several days of bearish momentum. With recent Canadian data showing underlying economic strain and the U.S. dollar reacting to rate expectations and tariff news, this area becomes crucial for the next directional move. 🔍 Technical Analysis Support Level: Price has respected the horizontal support at 1.3700–1.3685, forming a possible double-bottom structure on the 4H chart. Bullish Reversal Zone: The latest candle shows a strong rejection wick at the support zone, suggesting bullish interest. The structure aligns with a classic bullish reversal pattern. Target Zones: First TP: 1.3849 (previous high / supply zone). Second TP: 1.3860–1.3870 (Fibonacci extension + minor resistance). Invalidation (SL): Below 1.3685, further downside may open to 1.3632. 🧠 Fundamental Context U.S. Side: GDP and NFP data have recently come out mixed, reducing the immediate pressure on the Fed to hike rates further. Tariff uncertainty and appeal plans by the Trump administration are increasing near-term USD volatility. US bond yields are firming again, giving the dollar mild support. Canada Side: Canadian Q1 GDP disappointed at 0.1%, lower than expected. BoC is likely to hold rates steady, but the economy shows weak business investment and softening consumption growth. Crude oil, Canada’s key export, is still under pressure, slightly weakening CAD. ✅ Conclusion This setup favors a short-term long on USDCAD from current levels, targeting the upper resistance zone at 1.3849–1.3860. A break and close above 1.3870 could extend toward 1.3900. However, caution should be exercised with upcoming U.S. labor and trade data that may fuel volatility.
Long
by ultreosforex
11
XAUUSD: Break or Bounce at ResistanceGold has reached a critical technical zone near a long-term descending trendline and horizontal resistance around $3360–3380. Price action suggests a make-or-break moment is unfolding. Key Technical Structure: Descending Trendline Resistance from the April high capped the rally. Current move has formed a rising wedge — typically bearish if broken. Price is testing resistance confluence — a rejection could send Gold lower. Scenarios to Watch: 🔹 Bullish Breakout: Clean breakout and close above $3380 confirms trendline invalidation. Upside projection points to $3500 — previous high and psychological level. 🔹 Bearish Rejection: Failure to break the trendline + wedge breakdown can drag price to: $3280 (38.2% Fib) $3160–3200 zone (61.8% Fib + demand area) Macro Factors to Watch: Tariff escalation between US–EU could trigger risk-off → bullish for Gold. FOMC policy pause, weak job data, or inflation rebound also support upside. Stronger USD or yield spike may trigger wedge breakdown → bearish. Conclusion: XAUUSD is at a key inflection point. Wait for confirmation: either a clean breakout or a clear reversal rejection. Trade the resolution, not the anticipation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ultreosforex
8
DXY Short-Term Reversal Zone in SightUS Dollar Index (DXY) is approaching a strong support zone at 98.90–98.00, which has historically acted as a base for bullish reversals. The price is now testing the lower bound of this zone after a steady downtrend from the 101.94 high. Key Technical Structure: Support Zone: 98.90–98.00 (tested 3+ times) Double Bottom Potential forming if bulls hold the zone Upside Targets: 101.94: Key horizontal resistance 103.50: Swing high from early April Scenarios to Watch: 🔹 Bullish Rebound: Price bounces off 98.90–98.00 support Confirmation: Break and close above 100.50 near-term resistance Could fuel move back to 101.94, possibly 103.50 🔹 Bearish Breakdown: Daily close below 98.00 would invalidate bullish setup Opens downside to 97.00 and even 95.50 Macro Drivers to Watch: FOMC speakers and interest rate guidance US jobless claims or inflation surprise Risk-off sentiment (benefits USD) vs. continued global risk appetite Conclusion: DXY is trading at a make-or-break support zone. Watch for clear bullish reaction or bearish breakdown before committing. The setup favors a bounce unless 98.00 fails.
TVC:DXYLong
by ultreosforex
3
USDJPY | FVG + OB + Weak Low Target = Textbook SMC Setup📊 USDJPY | 1H Bearish Play – Smart Money In Control We’re seeing a classic setup where price retraces into a bearish zone of confluence and prepares for a selloff toward internal liquidity. Check the breakdown: 🔻 1. Structure Shift Confirmed Price broke structure on the downside after forming a lower high Current move is a retracement into discount OB zone Clear rejection is forming, signaling short momentum incoming 🟪 2. Zone Confluence 📌 Order Block (OB): Sitting just under the 61.8% Fib 📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG): Mitigated perfectly 📌 Fib Retracement: Price reacts between 61.8% and 70.5% — classic Smart Money play 📌 Previous Demand Turned Supply: This level is now acting as a rejection zone This is stacked confluence — just how Smart Money likes to move. 💣 3. Entry Strategy Entry Zone: 142.55 (midpoint of the OB reaction area) Stop Loss: Above 143.443 (above OB + liquidity wick) Take Profit: 139.888 (weak low, previous liquidity resting point) ⚖️ 4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) 🎯 TP = 139.888 📍 Entry = 142.550 🔐 SL = 143.443 ✅ RRR ≈ 1:3.5 A great example of high-probability short setup using pure Smart Money logic. 📉 5. Why This Works Retail traders will try to long at this zone hoping for a breakout Smart Money uses this zone to engineer liquidity They tap into the FVG/OB, then target internal liquidity and weak lows Clean, controlled sell-off expected down to 139.888 🧠 SMC Insights This chart is all about liquidity engineering: Push up into OB Reject at premium pricing Drive down to weak low to collect stops Possibly reverse or continue trend from there 💬 Comment “FVG TAP + OB = 🔥” if you spotted this setup early 💾 Save it before the drop happens 📤 Share with a fellow SMC trader who needs this breakdown
Short
by ChartNinjas88