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EURUSD Long Setup – Bullish Rejection from Demand ZoneEURUSD remains supported by strong eurozone fundamentals and broad USD softness. The pair has retraced into a key demand zone around 1.1490 and is showing signs of bullish rejection. With the Fed likely to pause further rate hikes and the ECB maintaining a steady tone, the bias favors further upside toward recent highs. ⚠️ Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East (Israel-Iran conflict) have introduced mild safe haven demand, but so far the USD has underperformed versus the euro, suggesting EUR remains relatively insulated. Watch for confirmation and entries within the blue demand box. 🔍 Technical Analysis: Structure: Clear uptrend with higher highs and higher lows. Price retraced to a well-defined 1H demand zone between 1.1490–1.1500. Setup: Anticipating a bounce from the demand zone targeting the recent high near 1.1620–1.1630. Entry Zone: 1.1490–1.1500 (bullish reaction area) Target: 1.1620–1.1630 (previous supply zone) Stop Loss: Below 1.1439 (recent swing low) Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2.5 🧠 Fundamental Context (as of June 16): EUR Bias: Bullish – ECB has paused cuts; euro is resilient despite geopolitical headwinds. USD Bias: Bearish – Fed is on pause; soft inflation data and geopolitical risks weigh on dollar strength. Key Drivers: Fed dovish tone (FOMC pause, lower CPI) Strong EU resilience despite global tensions CHF and JPY attracting safe haven flows over USD 📅 Key Events to Watch: US Core PCE (next major inflation readout) FOMC commentary and Fed speakers Eurozone CPI and sentiment data
Long
by ultreosforex
19
AUDCHF: Bullish Flag from PRZ — Rally to 0.54444?AUDCHF ( OANDA:AUDCHF ) bounced from the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) , which aligns with the Yearly Support(1) and the 50% Fibonacci level of the previous bullish impulse. From a Classic Technical Analysis perspective , AUDCHF appears to be breaking out of a Bullish Flag Pattern , which may suggest the continuation of the previous uptrend . This bullish reaction also confirms the importance of the Support zone(0.51166 CHF-0.49773 CHF) , where buyers stepped in aggressively. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that AUDCHF has completed the bearish waves and we should wait for the bullish waves . I expect AUDCHF to continue rising after a successful breakout from the flag’s upper boundary . If momentum sustains, the target could be around 0.54444 CHF . Note: Stop Loss (SL) = 0.51972 CHF Australian Dollar/ Swiss Franc Analyze (4-hour time frame). Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
3
GBPJPY: End of Consolidation Phase, Eyes on 200.000?Hey Realistic Traders! Could this be the beginning of a major bullish wave ? Let’s Break It Down.. On the daily timeframe, GBPJPY has formed a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern, followed by a bullish breakout, a classic technical signal that typically marks the end of a consolidation phase and the start of a new bullish trend. This move is further confirmed by the appearance of a strong bullish candlestick, reflecting a surge in buying momentum. Supporting this bullish scenario, the MACD indicator has also formed a bullish crossover, where the MACD line crosses above the signal line. This crossover is widely regarded as a momentum shift from bearish to bullish, strengthening the case for continued upward movement. Given these technical signals, the price is likely to advance toward the first target at 200.411, with a potential extension to 204.808. This bullish outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the key stop-loss level at 192.730. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on OANDA:GBPJPY ".
Long
by financialfreedomgoals101
XAUUSD - 4H Breakout and Retest Setup🟡🟡🟡 🕒 June 17, 2025 Bias: Medium-Term Bullish Structure: Breakout → Retest → Continuation Context: Trendline break + confluence with EMA + prior resistance turned support 🔍 Market Structure Insight: Major descending trendline broken with strong impulsive momentum. Pullback held at the intersection of: Broken trendline retest EMA 60 dynamic support Bullish structure of HL-HH (Higher Low / Higher High) Strong bullish candle at support ✅ Trade Plan – Buy Stop Setup Entry (Buy Stop): 3402 SL: 3373 (below the pullback structure + EMAs) TP1: 3430 (local resistance area) TP2: 3470 (measured move from previous leg height) #XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutSetup #Forex #EMA #SqueezePlay #TrianglePattern #tradingview #MJTrading
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by MJElahifx
4
XAU/USD Bullish Continuation SetupThe chart illustrates a bullish market structure for XAU/USD, with price action currently trending upwards. Key technical observations: Support Zone: Price has recently bounced from a support zone around 3,399.710, indicating strong buying interest. Bullish Projection: A bullish continuation is expected. The chart outlines a potential scenario with a minor retracement towards 3,432.835 or 3,399.710, followed by a strong upward move. Targets: Immediate resistance is around 3,502.669. If broken, price may aim for 3,550.351. Final projected target lies near 3,680.000, which aligns with a historical supply zone. Indicators: The green enveloping bands suggest increasing volatility, with the price respecting the upper band, supporting bullish momentum. Conclusion: XAU/USD appears poised for a bullish breakout continuation. A potential pullback could offer a buy opportunity, targeting higher resistance zones as long as the structure remains intact
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZareeFxTradingAac
GBPCHF Breaks Rising Wedge – Reversal Targets 1.0940 and 1.0815GBPCHF has broken down from a rising wedge formation on the 4H chart, signaling a shift from bullish momentum to bearish control. The pattern break comes near the 50% retracement level, with price now trading below ascending trendline support. With fundamental headwinds weighing on the British pound and safe-haven demand supporting the Swiss franc, the setup favors a short bias targeting the 1.0940 and 1.0815 zones. 🔍 Technical Analysis Pattern: Rising wedge → broken to the downside Breakout Confirmation: Price has closed below the wedge support (trendline) Key Support Levels: 1.0940 → 38.2% fib + previous structure support 1.0815 → 23.6% fib retracement + horizontal support zone 1.0608 → Full wedge base (longer-term target) Resistance / Invalidation: 1.1150 – a close back above this level invalidates the breakdown Candle Behavior: Bearish structure forming with lower highs Clean engulfing candle closed below wedge 📉 Bias: Bearish (confirmed technical reversal) 🌍 Fundamental Context 🇬🇧 British Pound (GBP) UK CPI expected to rise (3.3% forecast), which may limit BoE cuts, but not bullish enough to support GBP Political uncertainty resurfaces (Labour slipping in polls) BoE speakers are split; no clear support from policy 🇨🇭 Swiss Franc (CHF) Safe-haven flows rising on: Global growth slowdown Tensions between U.S.–Iran Downgrade of U.S. debt → risk aversion favors CHF SNB remains cautious, but CHF gains defensive strength in risk-off conditions 🎯 Trade Setup Bias: Sell Entry Zone: 1.1080–1.1100 (breakout confirmation) Targets: TP1: 1.0940 TP2: 1.0815 TP3: 1.0608 (extension target) Stop Loss: Above 1.1150 ⚠️ Risk Factors CPI surprise tomorrow could cause GBP spikes — be cautious around the release If equities rally hard or CHF weakens globally, price could retest the wedge structure before falling BoE hawkish surprise could challenge short-term bearish bias 🧭 Conclusion GBP/CHF has broken out of a rising wedge — a classic bearish reversal signal. The technical break aligns with macro weakness in GBP and CHF strength in a risk-off environment. Short trades remain valid below 1.1150, targeting a drop to 1.0940 and 1.0815 in the coming sessions.
Short
by ultreosforex
10
GBPNZD Important Resistance and SupportThe pair is heading towards the resistance at 2.363, which has not been tested by the sellers, so there are still many sellers waiting in this area. The uptrend could extend to 2.276, the highest peak of last month. If the resistance at 2.263 cannot be broken, then 2.238 is the sideway border of the pair, which helps support the price increase. When it breaks out, it confirms a reversal to the downtrend. The price reaction zone can be noted around 2.229 before touching the strong support zone at 2.220. Support: 2.238, 2.229, 2.220 Resistance: 2.263, 2.276
by VHT_Trader
EURUSD Gearing Up for Next Leg Up – DXY Weakens After PPI MissToday, key U.S. economic indexes were released, providing fresh insights into inflationary pressures and the state of the labor market: Core PPI m/m: Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: -0.4% Lower than expected – suggests weaker underlying producer inflation. PPI m/m: Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: -0.5% Slight miss – overall inflation at the producer level remains soft. Unemployment Claims: Actual: 248K | Forecast: 242K | Previous: 247K Slightly higher than forecast – signaling some cooling in the labor market. Market Outlook : These data releases point toward cooling inflation and softness in job growth, which may strengthen the dovish narrative around the Fed’s next move. DXY Index ( TVC:DXY ) is under pressure, and EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is showing signs of bullish momentum . ----------------------------------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 1-hour time frame . EURUSD is trading near the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) and Monthly Resistance(2) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , EURUSD appears to be completing microwave 4 . Microwave 4 could be completed at one of the Fibonacci levels . I expect EURUSD to attack the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) at least once more after completing microwave 4 and could even rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Note: If EURUSD touches $1.1446 , we can expect more dump. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
3
AUD/USD at Critical Resistance — Bearish Outlook Below 0.65381. Major Resistance Zone: 0.65380 Price is currently testing a strong horizontal resistance level at 0.65380, a level that has been tested multiple times (as shown by the pink circles). This level has acted as a historical turning point, which increases its significance. 2. Price Structure: Lower Highs and Equal Highs The chart reveals a potential double top or distribution pattern, forming under the 0.65380 resistance. This suggests weakening bullish momentum and increases the probability of a bearish reversal. 3. Projected Bearish Path (White Dotted Lines): If price fails to break above 0.65380 decisively, the expected move is a stepwise decline. The projected path targets several support levels: 0.65003 0.64647 0.64213 0.63957 Final target: 0.63627, a key support from early May. 4. Support & Resistance Zones: Resistance Levels: 0.65380 (Major) 0.65003 Support Levels (Sequential Targets): 0.64647 0.64213 0.63957 0.63627 5. Confluence with Fundamentals: U.S. economic events (highlighted at the bottom with calendar icons) may act as volatility triggers, potentially accelerating this move. ✅ Summary & Trading Implications: Bias: Bearish below 0.65380 Trade Idea: Watch for rejection at resistance or break below 0.65003 for confirmation. Bearish Targets: Gradual move toward 0.63627 with key pauses at intermediate support levels. Invalidation: Daily close above 0.65380 would negate the bearish setup and open potential for new highs.
Short
by ZareeFxTradingAac
USOIL || Geopolitical Spike Hits Major Resistance - Watch $77.77🛢️ 📅 June 13, 2025 👤 By: MJTRADING 🔍 🧭 Fundamental Context – Risk Premium on the Rise: Crude oil surged sharply today following reports of Israeli airstrikes on Iranian territory — a move that reawakens fears of broader Middle East escalation. Iran plays a crucial role in OPEC and controls the strategic Strait of Hormuz , through which ~20% of global oil passes. While Iran has not officially responded yet, markets are pricing in the potential for: * Military retaliation * Disruption of oil exports or maritime routes * Heightened volatility across global risk assets ======================================================= 📉 📊 Technical Structure – Tag of Key Resistance at $77.7: Price exploded upward, piercing the descending channel that's been intact since mid-2022. Today's daily wick tagged the $77.70 level, a major horizontal resistance and channel top. This zone has repeatedly acted as a pivot in both bullish and bearish phases. Volume confirmed the move – highest daily volume in months, suggesting institutional reaction. 💡 Trading Outlook: 🔼 Scenario A – Breakout & Close Above $77.7 = Bull Continuation If tomorrow closes firmly above $77.70: Target 1: $88.88 supply zone Target 2: $90.00 psychological resistance Setup: Conservative entries on retest of $75–77 area with tight invalidation 🔽 Scenario B – Failed Breakout → Fade Back Inside Channel If this was a headline-driven spike with no follow-through, bears may re-enter strongly A close below $75 could confirm bull trap Support zone to watch: $66.66 (mid-channel, EMA confluence) ⚠️ Risk Factors to Monitor: Iran’s response (military, diplomatic, strategic) US/NATO reaction to potential escalation Strait of Hormuz disruption OPEC commentary or Saudi-led output adjustment Market sentiment unwind (profit-taking from overbought spike) 💬 Markets love emotion, but traders survive with structure. This is not the time to be reckless — size down, be responsive, and respect both breakouts and fakeouts. 📎 #CrudeOil #Geopolitics #OilSpike #WTI #MiddleEastTensions #Iran #IranIsrael #TechnicalAnalysis #MJTRADING
FX:USOILLong
by MJElahifx
3
USDCAD Hits Support as Fed-Hawkish & BoC Cuts! Big Bounce ComingUSDCAD ( OANDA:USDCAD ) is trading at the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the important Support line and Support lines . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that USDCAD has managed to complete 5 main down waves and we can expect more up waves . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys . I expect USDCAD to rise to at least 1.37860 CAD. Fundamental View: The Bank of Canada initiated its rate-cutting cycle , while the Federal Reserve remains firm with no immediate plans to ease. Strong NFP data on Friday reinforced USD ( TVC:DXY ) strength . Oil prices( BLACKBULL:BRENT ) may offer temporary support to CAD , but macro divergences clearly favor the dollar . Note: Stop Loss(SL)= 1.36110 CAD U.S Dollar/Canadian Dollar Analyze (USDCAD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
12
Inverse H&S Breakout! EURGBP Eyes Resistance Zone Amid Eurozone EURGBP ( OANDA:EURGBP ) is moving between two Support zone(0.83870 GBP-0.83500 GBP) and Resistance zone(0.8511 GBP-0.8470 GBP) . In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , EURGBP has managed to break the Neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern . I expect EURGBP to rise to at least 0.84911 GBP and attack the Resistance zone(0.8511 GBP- 0.8470 GBP) . ----------------------------------------------------------- EURGBP Fundamental Analysis: 1. Eurozone (EUR) Overview : The Eurozone economy has shown moderate recovery signs after pandemic disruptions. Inflation remains a concern, but the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to maintain or even tighten monetary policy gradually to combat inflation. Economic data such as GDP growth and industrial production are mixed but generally indicate slow growth. Political stability in the Eurozone is relatively steady compared to the UK. The ECB’s forward guidance leans towards cautious optimism, supporting EUR strength over time. 2. United Kingdom (GBP) Overview : The UK economy faces several challenges, including slower growth prospects compared to the Eurozone. Inflation has been high but the Bank of England (BoE) has been raising interest rates aggressively to control it. Political uncertainties related to Brexit aftermath, trade deals, and fiscal policies have created some volatility. Consumer confidence and retail sales have shown signs of weakness in recent months. Overall, the BoE’s hawkish stance is strong, but economic fundamentals are less robust compared to the Eurozone. 3. Comparative Factors Favoring EUR Long : The Eurozone's relatively better economic stability and growth prospects support EUR strength. UK economic challenges and political uncertainties weaken GBP. ECB’s more gradual tightening approach may prevent shocks, making EUR attractive. Brexit-related trade issues continue to pose risks for GBP. 4. Risks to Consider : Unexpected ECB dovish moves could weaken EUR. Positive UK economic surprises or faster-than-expected BoE tightening might strengthen GBP. External shocks like geopolitical tensions can affect risk sentiment, impacting both currencies. ----------------------------------------------------------- Note: Stop Loss(SL)= 0.84221 GBP Euro/British Pound Analyze (EURGBP), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
11
CAD/CHF Loonie Heist: Sniping Swiss Profits with Thief Trading!🌍 Hello Global Traders! 🌟 Money Makers, Risk Takers, and Market Shakers! 🤑💸✈️ Dive into our CAD/CHF "Loonie vs Swiss" Forex heist, crafted with the signature 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, blending sharp technicals and deep fundamentals. Follow the strategy outlined in the TradingView chart, focusing on a long entry targeting the high-risk MA Zone. Expect a wild ride with overbought conditions, consolidation, and potential trend reversals where bearish players lurk. 🏆💰 Celebrate your wins, traders—you’ve earned it! 💪🎉 Entry 📈: The vault’s open! Grab bullish opportunities at any price, but for precision, set buy limit orders on a 15 or 30-minute timeframe near swing lows or highs for pullback entries. Stop Loss 🛑: 📍 Place your Thief SL at the recent swing low on the 4H timeframe (0.59400) for scalping or day trades. 📍 Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of open orders. Target 🎯: Aim for 0.61500. 💵 CAD/CHF is riding a bullish wave, fueled by key market drivers. ☝ Unlock the full picture—dive into Fundamentals, Macro Insights, COT Reports, Quantitative Analysis, Sentiment Outlook, Intermarket Trends, and Future Targets. Check 👉🌎🔗. ⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Management 📰🚨 News can shake the market hard. Protect your trades by: Avoiding new entries during news releases. Using trailing stops to lock in profits and shield running positions. 📌 Markets move fast—stay sharp, keep learning, and adapt your strategy as conditions evolve. 💖 Power up our heist! 🚀 Tap the Boost Button to amplify our Thief Trading Style and make stealing profits a breeze. Join our crew, grow stronger, and conquer the markets daily with ease. 🏆🤝❤️ Catch you at the next heist, traders—stay ready! 🤑🐱‍👤🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
Market next move Bearish Disruption Analysis: 1. False Breakout Risk: The current price is consolidating in a tight range. The support area may fail to hold due to low volume and indecision (notice the decreasing volume in recent candles). 2. Lower High Formation: A potential lower high is forming compared to the peak from earlier on June 5. This could signal a trend reversal or weakening bullish momentum. 3. Volume Divergence: The bullish candles have lower volume than previous strong moves, indicating a lack of strong buying interest. 4. Support Breakdown Scenario: If price breaks below the marked support area (~3360), we could see: Drop toward the 3340 area (next visible support). Acceleration if stop-losses are triggered below the support zone.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals