Gold Price Analysis July 29📉 XAUUSD ANALYSIS – IS THE CORRECTION OFFICIALLY STARTING?
Gold has officially broken out of the bullish wave structure and left the rising price channel – an important technical signal that the bearish correction trend has been activated. This development opens up the possibility of retests of the broken trendline, and if that happens in today's session, this could be a good opportunity to look for SELL entry points in the new trend.
📌 Short-term trading strategy:
Potential selling zone: 3343 – 3345
Downside target: 3283 first, followed by the strong liquidity zone around 3250
Confirmation of bearish force: Price continues to maintain below the 3375 area – which will act as an important resistance level. Only when the daily candle closes back above this zone will the uptrend be re-established.
✅ Reverse buying strategy if there is a strong support signal:
Buy trigger zone: Observe the price reaction around the 3285 area - there needs to be a clear bearish rejection signal (pin bar/bullish engulfing candle...)
Deeper buying zone: 3251 - where liquidity is concentrated and there is a possibility of bottom-fishing demand appearing.
Forexsignals
Trendline Liquidity Taken Watching for MSS at Support in EUR/USDEUR/USD has taken liquidity above the previous trendline resistance during the New York session and is now declining. The pair is approaching a key support zone. If it reaches this level and shows a market structure shift (MSS) or any other bullish confirmation, there is potential for a reversal from this zone. In that case, price could move upward toward the marked bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG). Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
GBPCHF: Bearish Movement Confirmed 🇬🇧🇨🇭
GBPCHF looks bearish after the news today.
The price tested a solid rising trend line on a daily
and formed a confirmed bearish Change of Character
on an hourly time frame.
I think that the price will continue falling and reach 1.0702 level.
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Eyes on the Break USDJPY Approaches Key Resistance with Bullish.USDJPY Technical Outlook Bullish Momentum Gaining Strength
USDJPY is currently displaying a strong bullish structure, having taken a clean bounce from the ascending trendline support. This upward movement was further validated as the pair successfully broke through a significant resistance level, triggering a Market Structure Shift (MSS) a clear signal that the prior trend has potentially reversed or evolved.
Following the MSS, a Break of Structure (BoS) to the upside has confirmed the continuation of this bullish momentum. The price action is now navigating above the previous demand zone, indicating strong buying interest in that area.
Notably, the market retraced slightly to retest the bullish engulfing zone, reinforcing the strength of buyers at that level. After this healthy retest, price action is once again pushing upward.
Now, all eyes are on the next key resistance zone. If USDJPY manages to decisively break above this level and prints a valid bullish confirmation (such as another structure break, strong candlestick pattern, or liquidity sweep followed by a reversal), it would open the door for an extended upside move, potentially targeting higher time frame liquidity pools.
Traders should closely monitor price behavior around this resistance zone. A confirmed breakout with volume or institutional candle formations could provide an excellent opportunity for continuation buys, in alignment with the prevailing bullish sentiment.
Should You Still Sell Your USD for EUR? A 2025 PerspectiveWith currency markets in constant flux, the decision to hold USD or convert to EUR carries major financial implications for investors, expatriates, businesses, and frequent travelers. As of July 29, 2025, the USD/EUR exchange rate is around 0.86–0.87, with $1 buying roughly €0.86. Is now the right time to sell your US dollars for euros? Here’s a balanced look at the latest data and forecasts.
Current Market Context: Dollar Weakness and Euro Stabilization
USD Slide in 2025: The US dollar has experienced its steepest decline in over three years, falling nearly 10% year-to-date. This sustained weakness is attributed to policy volatility, capital flowing out of the US, and narrowing interest rate differentials.
Key Exchange Rate: Recent rates hover between 0.85 and 0.87, representing moderate stability following a period of volatility.
Euro’s Resilience: While the euro has had its own struggles, from slower economic growth to political uncertainty in Germany and France, analysts forecast no major sustained fall for the euro through 2025.
2025 Forecasts: USD/EUR Direction—What Do the Experts Say?
Year-End 2025 Outlook: Major banks and forecasting firms expect the EUR/USD rate could climb even higher by year-end, meaning the euro could gain modestly versus the dollar if current trends continue.
Factors to Watch:
Fed Rate Cuts: Potential US rate cuts in Q3–Q4 remain a key driver for further USD weakness.
Trade & Tariff Uncertainty: Ongoing US tariff announcements and global trade tensions add volatility but also support safe haven flows to the dollar.
Eurozone Politics: Any resolution of political uncertainty in Europe could buoy the euro.
Most Important One: Fed's Money Printer...
Strategic Considerations: Should You Sell Now?
Locking in Current Rates: If you need euros to make payments, pay salaries, or make investments in the short term, converting a portion now could reduce your exposure to further USD downside.
If You Can Wait: Analysts see some chance for USD recovery in late Q3 or early 2026, but this is contingent on US policy stability and Fed decisions.
Averaging In: For larger transfers, consider splitting your transaction over time (also called dollar-cost averaging), which can help mitigate volatility.
Bottom Line
If you have an immediate need for euros, current rates present a reasonable opportunity. The dollar’s weakness throughout 2025 is well documented, but much of the pessimism may already be priced in. If you’re flexible with timing, monitor central bank policy signals throughout Q3/Q4, a more dovish Fed or unexpected eurozone stability could push rates further in your favor, but event risks remain elevated. Ultimately, a phased or hedged approach may offer both protection and potential upside
*not investment advice*
#forex #fx #dollar #usd #euro #eur #economy #trade #tariff #trading #indicator
USDCAD: a long positionHello guys.
Divergence:
A bullish RSI divergence is noted, price made lower lows while RSI formed higher lows, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
Price Action:
Price has bounced strongly from around the 1.3570–1.3580 zone and is now approaching a descending trendline resistance.
Trade Setup:
Entry: 1.3718
Stop Loss: Below the breakout candle, near 1.3686
Take Profit: Around 1.3782
Risk-to-Reward: 1:3
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.17578.Colleagues, the price has made a strong downward movement, which can only mean one thing: the correction is not complete.
This means that the latest upward movement is wave “1” of medium order.
Therefore, I now expect the correction to end in wave “2” at the 50% Fibonacci level and thean upward movement to continue to at least the resistance level of 1.17578.
It is quite possible that after updating the level of 1.15570, the price will immediately begin an upward movement — this is a more risky option for entering a position.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
GOLD: Bottoming Out or Just the Calm Before the Storm? – GOLD: Bottoming Out or Just the Calm Before the Storm?
Gold has dropped nearly $50 over the last 4 sessions, showing clear bearish momentum. But is this just a liquidity grab before a reversal — or are we simply pausing before another leg down?
🔍 Market Context:
Recent US–EU defence and trade agreements may have weakened gold’s short-term appeal as a safe haven.
The US dollar and equities have both gained on strong macroeconomic data, redirecting capital flows away from metals.
Overall market sentiment has tilted risk-on, putting additional pressure on gold prices.
📊 Technical Overview (12H Chart):
Price has broken below the 3342 key support zone and rejected the retest — turning it into short-term resistance.
Current range sits between:
Sell-side liquidity zone: 3301–3292
Major demand/FVG zone: 3272–3270
Above price:
Resistance at 3342, and a broader sell zone at 3370–3388 (OB + FVG + Fib 0.5–0.618)
🔧 Trade Plan (Reaction-Based — Not Predictive):
🟢 Scenario 1 – Buy (Scalp Reaction)
Entry: 3292 – 3290
Stop Loss: 3285
Targets: 3296 → 3300 → 3305 → 3310 → 3315 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330
📍 Intraday bounce play from a high-liquidity zone
🟢 Scenario 2 – Buy (Deeper Reversal Swing)
Entry: 3272 – 3270
Stop Loss: 3265
Targets: 3276 → 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3294 → 3300 → Trail
📍 Potential mid-term bottom setup if liquidity is fully swept
🔴 Scenario 3 – Sell (Short-Term Rejection)
Entry: 3340 – 3342
Stop Loss: 3346
Targets: 3335 → 3330 → 3325 → 3320 → 3310
📍 Clean rejection setup if price fails to reclaim key resistance
🔴 Scenario 4 – Sell (Higher Supply Zone)
Entry: 3370 – 3372
Stop Loss: 3376
Targets: 3365 → 3360 → 3355 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330 → 3320
⚠️ Higher risk; only valid with strong confirmation
⚠️ Risk Notes:
Be mindful of fakeouts around London and NY opens, as liquidity sweeps are common.
Wait for price to enter your zone, then react — don’t anticipate.
Strict risk management is key in a volatile environment like this.
🧭 I’ll continue monitoring how price reacts around these zones.
If this kind of structured planning resonates with your approach,
feel free to stay connected — or share your perspective in the comments.
BTCUSD trading signal. False break of bottom line✏️ CRYPTO:BTCUSD just False Break the lower band and is establishing a bullish wave structure in the H4 time frame. 119700 will be the top of wave 1 if the current bullish wave exceeds the top it will form a bullish DOW pattern heading towards a new ATH.
📉 Key Levels
BUY Now BTCUSD: Confirmation of candle when retesting Fibonacci 0.5
Target 127000
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
US30 Forecast: Target Locked, Buy Zones in Sight!Good morning friends ☀️
I've prepared a fresh analysis for US30 (Dow Jones).
My current target is 45,470. Even if the price dips to 45,050 or 44,800, I fully expect it to reach that 45,470 mark.
These levels represent strong buying zones and powerful retest regions—don’t forget that.
Every like from you is my biggest source of motivation to keep posting these insights. 💬📊
Big thanks to everyone supporting with a thumbs-up.
Heading into multi swing high resistance?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a swing high resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 1.3782
1st Support: 1.3691
1st Resistance: 1.3855
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.8070
1st Support: 0.7988
1st Resistance: 0.8156
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?The Cable (GBP/USD) has broken below the support level, which is a multi-swing low support. A potential pullback to the pivot, followed by a rejection, could lead the price to drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3389
1st Support: 1.3258
1st Resistance: 1.3460
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1537
1st Support: 1.1456
1st Resistance: 1.1655
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD Will the 1D MA50 hold?The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the April 21 2025 High. The price is right now on a strong pull-back and is about to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since May 12.
As long as the 1D candle closes above the 1D MA50, it will be a buy signal, targeting 1.19250 (a standard +3.20% rise).
If the candle closes below the 1D MA50, the buy will be invalidated and we will switch to a sell, targeting the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) at 1.14100.
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Heading into overlap resistance?The USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could potentially reverse from this level to our take-profit.
Entry: 0.8067
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 0.8195
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 0.7951
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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Potential bearish drop?GBP/USD has reacted off the support level which is a multi swing low support and could drop from this levle to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3387
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing low support.
Stop loss: 1.3476
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 1.3247
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing low support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Analysis for the next week (XAUUSD) Hello Traders, Happy Weekend.
The market is going to open tonight, As you see the down trend is running, the price is falling like a waterfall.
Now the market is on the support area according to H1 & H4 TimeFrame.
The market is respecting the support area and there is a Trend line support according to D1 TimeFrame.
The market is respecting the Trend line and support area.
According to my analysis gold will drop till 3287 to 3271.
If gold fly, it can fly till 3350 then it will fall.
Stay tune for update.
Kindly share your views and leave positive comments here, Thanks.
XAUUSD 4H CHART - Bearish pattern Analysis (read the caption)📉 XAUUSD 4H Chart – Bearish Flag Pattern Analysis
This 4-hour chart of Gold (XAUUSD) shows a classic Bearish Flag pattern, which is typically a continuation signal in a downtrend. After a strong bearish move, price entered a consolidation phase inside a rising channel, forming higher highs and higher lows—this creates the flag structure.
The price is currently trading within the Resistance and Support Trendlines of the flag. A break below the Support Trendline would confirm the bearish flag breakout, suggesting a continuation of the downtrend.
Key support levels to watch:
🔻 First Support: 3280.063 – Initial target after breakout
🔻 Second Support: 3250.000 – Extended target if bearish momentum continues
Traders should monitor for a confirmed breakdown with volume and bearish candlestick confirmation to validate short entries. This setup favors sellers if the support breaks decisively.
Institutional Footprint Detected Gold Hits FVG + Breaker Block.GOLD has now entered a significant confluence zone, aligning with both a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a breaker block areas commonly respected by institutional algorithms. In the process, it has also swept sell-side liquidity resting below recent lows, which often serves as fuel for a reversal. This combination of technical factors suggests a high-probability scenario for a bullish bounce from this region.
Traders should closely monitor price behavior around the marked Equal Relative Liquidity (ERL) zone for additional confirmation before executing any trades.
Always conduct your own analysis (DYOR) and manage risk accordingly.