Market next move 1. Weak Momentum Into Resistance
The candles near resistance are small-bodied and lack strong bullish volume.
Disruption: This signals buying exhaustion. Price could consolidate or reverse sharply, especially if buyers fail to defend this level.
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2. Resistance Zone Saturation
The resistance zone (highlighted in red) has already been tested multiple times.
Disruption: This could either lead to a breakout or—more likely in a weak volume context—a liquidity trap and reversal, as market makers use the expectation of a breakout to trap long positions.
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3. Potential Double Top Pattern
Look closely at the two peaks around the resistance zone. They resemble a developing double top.
Disruption: If price fails to break out convincingly and starts dropping, this double top may trigger a fall back to $105,000 or even lower.
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4. Bearish Divergence Possibility
While not shown on this chart, in cases like this, it's common for momentum indicators (like RSI or MACD) to show bearish divergence.
Disruption: Even if price hits slightly higher highs, a divergence could signal that momentum is fading and a deeper pullback is incoming.
---
5. High Sell Volume on the Spike (May 19)
That long wick candle with high volume around May 19 suggests strong seller interest above $107K.
Disruption: Buyers could struggle again in this zone, especially if that volume spike was from whales distributing.
Forextrader
Market next move 1. Overconfidence in Breakout:
The chart predicts a clean breakout, but the resistance zone has already been tested multiple times, indicating seller strength.
Disruption: Price might fake out above resistance and sharply reverse (bull trap).
2. Volume Confirmation Missing:
The breakout prediction lacks strong volume spike confirmation.
Disruption: Without increasing volume, any breakout attempt might fail and lead to a false breakout.
3. Short-Term RSI/Overbought Conditions (Not visible here):
If RSI or similar indicators are approaching overbought, it increases the chances of a pullback rather than immediate continuation.
4. Liquidity Sweep Risk:
Price may intentionally break the resistance to trigger stop-loss orders before reversing sharply (common in crypto markets).
Disruption: A stop-hunt move followed by a retrace to $105,000 or lower.
5. Macroeconomic or External Event Sensitivity:
If an external catalyst (e.g., Fed speech, ETF news, regulatory action) emerges, it can easily invalidate the bullish scenario.
Market next move 1. False Breakout from Resistance Zone
Disruption: The price is testing a resistance zone (marked red box). If it fails to hold above this zone and falls back below 32.70, it could signal a bull trap.
Impact: This could invalidate the projected upward move and initiate a drop toward 32.20 or lower.
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2. Divergence Warning
Disruption: If momentum indicators (RSI, MACD—not visible here) show bearish divergence while price climbs, it’s a warning sign of weakening buying pressure.
Impact: This often precedes a pullback or reversal despite bullish chart patterns.
---
3. Lack of Volume Confirmation
Disruption: The breakout is not supported by a significant increase in volume (volume bar is relatively modest).
Impact: Weak volume may mean the breakout lacks conviction and can reverse quickly.
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4. Overhead Liquidity Zone Near 34.04
Disruption: The projected target of 34.0448 could act as a liquidity magnet, but also a selling zone where large orders may get filled.
Impact: Price might spike into that area and reverse sharply.
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5. Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Disruption: Unexpected Fed comments, inflation data, or geopolitical shifts can cause Silver to defy technical expectations.
Impact: Could result in abrupt volatility that wipes out structured setups.
Market next move
1. Red Zone Retest Failure
Disruption: If the price breaks back below the red highlighted zone (around 3,265–3,270), it may indicate a false breakout.
Impact: This would invalidate the bullish continuation and could lead to a sharp decline toward 3,240 or even lower.
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2. Low Volume on the Breakout
Disruption: The breakout rally appears strong, but if upcoming candles show declining volume, it may suggest weak momentum.
Impact: A drop in volume could precede a reversal or sideways consolidation instead of the projected move to 3,306.
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3. Double Top or Bearish Rejection at 3,306
Disruption: The price could reach the 3,306 target and form a double top, leading to bearish rejection.
Impact: This could be the start of a downtrend or extended consolidation.
---
4. Overbought Conditions
Disruption: If momentum indicators like RSI or Stochastic (not shown on chart) are in overbought territory, this could suggest a pullback is likely before continuation.
Impact: May lead to a deeper retracement than expected.
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5. Macroeconomic or News Catalyst
Disruption: Unforeseen macro events (e.g., interest rate announcements, geopolitical tension) could cause sudden shifts against the technical outlook.
Impact: Could override technical structure entirely.
EURCHF: Bullish Wave Ahead?! 🇪🇺🇨🇭
I think that EURCHF is going to resume a bullish rally soon.
A strong bullish reaction to a rising trend line on a daily,
triggered a formation of a buying imbalance on a 4H time frame
and a Change of Character.
I expect a growth at least to 0.941 level.
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Next move Bearish Disruption Perspective:
1. Failure to Break Above Supply
Price is struggling near 32.40–32.50, a visible resistance area from prior swing highs.
Repeated rejections here can signal seller strength or profit-taking.
2. Exhaustion Patterns
The price is forming sideways consolidation (highlighted in red).
A failure to break upward from this box and a false breakout wick would suggest buyer exhaustion.
3. Bearish Breakdown Scenario
If price breaks below the red box support (~32.30), this range could flip into resistance.
A clean drop below 32.30 would likely open the path toward 32.00 and potentially 31.80.
4. Volume Spike on Red Candle
Volume on red bars (10.64K) suggests aggressive selling pressure creeping in.
Watch for confirmation if next candles close red with high volume.
AUDCHF: More Growth Ahead 🇦🇺🇨🇭
AUDCHF strongly reacted to a rising trend line on a daily.
The price formed an ascending triangle pattern on a 4H time frame
and is now breaking its horizontal neckline.
I expect a bullish continuation to 0.540 / 0.543 levels.
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GBP/JPY Short and CAD/JPY ShortGBP/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
CAD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
GBPNZD: Bullish Move From Trend Line 🇬🇧🇳🇿
GBPNZD retested a recently broken trend line on a daily.
A tiny double bottom that was formed on that on an hourly time frame
provides a strong intraday bullish confirmation.
We can expect a rise now at least to 2.26 level.
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USD/JPY Long, EUR/CAD Short, GBP/USD Neutral and EUR/USD ShortUSD/JPY Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
EUR/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
GBP/USD Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
BTCUSD NEXT MOVE Support Breakdown Scenario:
• If the price fails to hold the highlighted support area (~$103,200), it could invalidate the bullish projection.
• A break below $103,000 would likely trigger stop-losses and accelerate downside momentum.
Bearish Target:
• Next strong support may lie near $101,200–$100,800 (psychological and historical levels).
EUR/CAD (Trade Recap), USD/JPY (Trade Recap) and GBP/USD Long GBP/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USDJPY: Pullback From Resistance 🇺🇸🇯🇵
There is a high chance that USDJPY will retrace
from the underlined blue resistance cluster.
As a confirmation signal, I spotted a double top pattern
on that on an hourly time frame.
Closest support - 145.1
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GBP/AUD Short, EUR/CAD Short, USD/JPY Short and EUR/USD NeutralGBP/AUD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
USD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
AUDCAD: More Growth Ahead?! 🇦🇺🇨🇦
AUDCAD bounced strongly after a test of a significant daily/intraday support cluster.
The price managed to violate a resistance line of a falling wedge
pattern and close above that on an hourly time frame.
I expect a movement higher at least to 0.8944
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EUR/CAD Short, AUD/CAD Short, USD/CHF Long and USD/JPY ShortEUR/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
AUD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USD/CHF Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
GBP/JPY Short, GBP/USD Short, AUD/CAD Short and AUD/USD ShortGBP/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
GBP/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
"EURJPY Rejecting Premium FVG | Smart Money Trap in Play!"EURJPY Analysis 🧠 | 15M Timeframe
Price has tapped into the Premium Area, reacting off a high-probability Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Order Block confluence.
Signs of rejection are starting to show, but momentum wasn't strong enough to push lower before hitting breakeven.
Key Observations:
Price aggressively tapped the Premium zone (around 79% retracement).
Reaction from the embedded Fair Value Gap inside the premium zone.
Possible minor liquidity sweep above recent highs (Strong High marked).
Discounted zone below remains wide open as a potential future target.
🧠 Smart Money Concept Insight:
Big players often drive price into a Premium Area, triggering breakout trades and trapping liquidity.
After the liquidity is harvested, price tends to rebalance into the Discount Area.
Today, price showed initial bearish reaction but lacked immediate continuation strength — resulting in breakeven protection hit.
Current Trading Plan:
Continue monitoring EURJPY for renewed bearish order flow signs.
TP1 (if re-entry occurs): Mid Discount Area
TP2: Weak Low liquidity sweep below
SL (for any re-entries): Above Strong High
Remember:
📚 Premium = Look for Sell Opportunities
📚 Discount = Look for Buy Opportunities
Stay patient, protect your capital, and wait for price to confirm the next move.
📉 Focus on Smart Money footprints, not emotions.
"USDJPY Crashing from Premium FVG | Liquidity Grab Confirmed!"USDJPY Analysis 🧠 | 15M Timeframe
Price tapped deep into the Premium Area, perfectly aligning with a high-probability Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Order Block confluence.
We witnessed a strong bearish reaction — classic Smart Money move in action.
Key Observations:
Price surged aggressively into the Premium Zone (~79% retracement area).
Immediate bearish reaction from the red Fair Value Gap zone.
Liquidity sweep confirmed above the previous Strong High.
Discount Area below remains unfilled, offering juicy targets.
🧠 Smart Money Concept Insight:
Institutions love to bait breakout traders by pumping into Premium Zones.
After collecting stop orders and liquidity above highs, they aggressively reverse, aiming to rebalance into the Discount Area.
USDJPY delivered a textbook liquidity grab before the sharp drop!
Current Trading Plan:
Bearish bias remains intact after the strong reaction.
TP1: Mid Discount Area
TP2: Weak Low liquidity sweep zone
SL (for any new shorts): Above the Strong High
Remember:
📚 Premium = Look for Sell Opportunities
📚 Discount = Look for Buy Opportunities
Stay laser-focused on Smart Money footprints, not noise.
📉 Emotions out, execution sharp!
EUR/CAD Short, USD/JPY Neutral, AUD/JPY Neutral and EUR/USD LongEUR/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
USD/JPY Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
AUD/JPY Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.