USDCHFHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USDCHF?
USD/CHF has broken above its descending trendline and cleared a resistance zone, signaling a potential trend reversal and growing bullish momentum.
After some minor consolidation and a pullback to the breakout zone, we expect the pair to continue its rally toward the next identified targets.
The broken resistance now acts as new support, and as long as price remains above this area, the bullish outlook remains valid.
Is USD/CHF ready to extend higher toward its next targets? Share your view below! 🤔👇
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Forextrading
GOLD BUYGold maintains its daily gains around $3,300
After retreating markedly on Wednesday, Gold rebounds moderately and remains positive at about $3,300 per troy ounce on Thursday. The precious metal’s rebound comes in response to the daily retracement in US yields across the curve and the so far irresolute price action in the Greenback
The US Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting, in a range of 4.25% to 4.5%, despite intense pressure from US President Donald Trump and his allies to lower borrowing costs. The decision, however, met opposition from Fed Governors Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller. This was the first time since 1993 that two governors had dissented on a rate decision.
In the accompanying monetary policy statement, the committee had a more optimistic view and noted that the economy continued to expand at a solid pace. Adding to this, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said during the post-meeting press conference that the central bank had made no decisions about whether to cut rates in September. This comes on top of the upbeat US macro data, and lifted the US Dollar to a two-month high.
Automatic Data Processing reported that private payrolls in the US rose by 104,000 jobs in July, following a revised 23,000 fall recorded in the previous month. Adding to this, the Advance US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report published by the US Commerce Department showed that the economy expanded at a 3.0% annualized pace during the second quarter after contracting by 0.5% in the previous quarter
SUPPORT 3,346
SUPPORT 3,328
SUPPORT 3,309
RESISTANCE 3,283
RESISTANCE 3,273
XAUUSDUpdate:
Gold Price Trend: As per our previous analysis on July 28, 2025, the price has now tested the support at 3,269. We expect that if the gold price can hold above 3,249, the gold price trend will remain bullish. We recommend considering buying in the red zone.
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Gold Market Update: Major Support at and Supply atGold is recovering after a strong drop from the previous range high. Price is approaching a 4H Order Block near the 3300–3310 zone, which may act as a supply area. A minor liquidity zone has just been tapped, suggesting a potential short-term rejection.
The major support lies at 3269, which sparked the recent bullish move. If price rejects from the OB zone, a pullback toward this support is likely. However, a clean break and hold above the OB may signal further upside.
📌 Key Levels:
Supply Zone: 3300–3310
Support: 3269
🧠 Wait for clear confirmation before executing trades.
XAUUSD Price at Decision Point – Bounce or Breakdown?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading between two significant zones — a ⏫ 1H Order Block above and a 🛑 Major Support level at 3268.
At this stage, price action remains undecided, and we have a few key scenarios to monitor:
🔄 Potential Scenarios:
📌 Price taps into the 1H OB, then shows signs of rejection — this could trigger a move back down toward support.
⬇️ Price drops directly to 3268, where buyers may step in for a potential bounce.
🚀 If the price breaks through the OB, it may continue pushing up toward the liquidity area around 3248.
⚠️ If support fails, we could see a deeper bearish continuation.
These zones are crucial for both intraday and swing setups. Be patient and wait for a clean reaction to catch a high-probability move.
GBPUSD BUYGBP/USD rebounds from lows, back above 1.3200
GBP/USD now alternates gains with losses in the low-1.3200s, reversing an early pullback to the 1.3180 zone. Meanwhile, Cable's inconclusive tone is accompanied by some renewed selling pressuron on the the US Dollar in the wake of US data releases.
Robust macroeconomic data releases from the United States (US) and the Federal Reserve's (Fed) cautious tone on policy-easing fuelled a bullish rally in the US Dollar (USD) midweek, causing GBP/USD to decline sharply.
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis' (BEA) first estimate showed that the United States' (US) economy staged an impressive comeback following the 0.5% contraction seen in the first quarter. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at an annual rate of 3% in the second quarter, surpassing the market expectation of 2.4%. Additionally, ADP Employment Change came in at 104,000 in July, beating analysts' estimate of 78,000 by a wide margin.
Later in the day, the Fed announced that it maintained the policy rate at the range of 4.25%-4.5% in a widely expected decision. The policy statement showed that Governor Christopher Waller and Governor Michelle Bowman dissented, preferring a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut, which was also anticipated.
In the post-meeting press conference, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell refrained from confirming a rate cut at the next meeting in September, citing heathy conditions in the labor market and explaining that the current policy stance as being appropriate to guard against inflation risks. Moreover, Powell said that the policy was not holding back the economy despite being still modestly restrictive.
According go the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 25 basis points Fed rate cut in September dropped toward 40% from above-60% before the Fed event. In turn, US Treasury bond yields pushed higher and the USD outperformed its rivals during the American trading hours.
The BEA will release Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data for June on Thursday. Powell said that they expect the annual PCE inflation and Core PCE inflation to come in at 2.5% and 2.7%, respectively. Weekly Initial Jobless Claims will also be featured in the US economic calendar. Ahead of Friday's critical July employment report, investors could remain hesitant to take large positions based on this data.
It's important to note that month-end flows on the last day of July could ramp up volatility toward the end of the European session and trigger irregular movements in the pair.
SUPPORT 1.33727
SUPPORT 1.33128
SUPPORT 1.32590
RESISTANCE 1.3052
RESISTANCE 1.31567
DXY with interest rates With interest rates remaining steady, the U.S. Dollar is currently moving in a bullish direction.
As shown in the chart, it seems likely that price will break the previous high and form a bullish Quasimodo (QM) pattern. The price may then reach the 50% Fibonacci level.
After that, we should wait and observe the market's reaction.
If price gets rejected from the 103 zone — especially if accompanied by a rate cut or bearish price action — we could see a sharp decline toward the 95 area.
This 95 zone also aligns with a key weekly Fibonacci support level on the Dollar Index.
As long as the Federal Reserve maintains its hawkish stance, the U.S. Dollar may continue its upward momentum. However, the 103–104 zone — which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a significant supply area — could serve as a strong resistance.
If price gets rejected from this area and we simultaneously see signs of a rate cut or weakening U.S. economic data, a trend reversal and corrective phase could begin. In that case, lower targets around 95 or even 93 could become likely in the medium term.
good luck
Gold (XAU/USD) in Symmetrical Triangle – Short‑Term Squeeze,Price Structure & Technical Setup
Gold is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, showing lower highs and higher lows—a classic precursor to breakout in either direction
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Trendlines converge tightly around $3,326–$3,334, hinting at imminent directional acceleration
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🎯 Key Levels & Targets
Scenario Trigger Confirm Area Targets Stop Loss
Bullish Breakout above $3,344–$3,350 $3,369 → $3,396 → $3,422–$3,550 ~$3,340
Bearish Breakdown below ~$3,326–$3,320 $3,320 → $3,300 → $3,297 → $3,255 ~$3,335–$3,340
A breakout above $3,344–$3,350 validated with volume may drive prices toward $3,400+, with extended targets up to $3,550 or higher in bullish conditions
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Time Price Research
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A drop below $3,326–$3,320 risks further decline, targeting $3,300, $3,297, and eventually $3,255 if breakdown momentum builds .
📉 Market Context & Drivers
U.S. dollar strength, easing safe-haven demand, and optimistic trade sentiment are constraining gold’s upside unless breakout forces emerge .
Key upcoming catalysts: FOMC guidance, U.S. macro data (GDP, inflation), and geopolitical developments—their tone could tip the bias direction .
⚙️ Trade Rules & Risk Management
Wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown—do not trade mid-range.
Confirm break with at least one close outside the triangle and rising volume .
Position sizing: Risk 1–2% per trade, adjust stop-loss to price structure ($8–$15 depending on volatility).
Take profits in stages: scale out at minor milestones (first targets), trail stop for extended targets.
Avoid chasing price within the middle of the triangle—risk/reward is unfavorable.
🧠 Why This Plan?
Follows textbook symmetrical triangle trading methodology: entry on breakout, stop beyond pattern opposite side, projection based on triangle height .
Aligns with broader outlook: bearish unless convincing upside breakout appears, consistent with analyst consensus hedging current bull exhaustion and wait‑and‑see on policy signals .
✅ Summary
Gold is coiling inside a tight triangle range near $3,326–$3,334, with breakout potential identified to either side:
Bullish breakout over $3,344–$3,350 targets up to $3,550 or beyond.
Bearish breakdown under $3,326–$3,320 risks slide towards $3,300–$3,255.
Wait for confirmation, apply disciplined risk controls, and let volume validate the move.
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EUR/USD kicked off the week with a sharp drop of nearly 200 pips, driven by renewed concerns over U.S. tariff policies. This strong bearish momentum signals intensified selling pressure across the board.
The pair is now approaching a support zone, which has previously triggered bullish reactions.
However, given the current strong bearish sentiment, there is a real risk this support may not hold.
Our bias remains bearish overall.
If the pair finds temporary support at this level, a short-term corrective bounce is possible.
But ultimately, we expect a continuation of the downtrend toward lower support levels after the correction completes.
Can this support zone stop the bleeding, or is more downside coming? Let us know your thoughts! 👇
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GBPCHF: Another Bearish Signal?! 🇬🇧🇨🇭
Quick update for GBPCHF.
We discussed a strong bearish confirmation yesterday.
Today, we have one more.
The price formed a double top after a test of a strong intraday
falling trend line.
Its neckline was broken this morning.
I expect a retracement to 1.0735
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AUDCAD: Bullish Move From Trend Line 🇦🇺🇨🇦
AUDCAD may bounce from a solid rising trend line on a 4H.
The price started to consolidate on that after its test.
A breakout of a minor horizontal resistance is a strong bullish confirmation.
Goal - 0.8999
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EURUSD BUYEUR/USD retreats below 1.1550 ahead of US data
EUR/USD finds it difficult to stage a rebound following Monday's sharp decline and trades in negative territory below 1.1550 on Tuesday. The US Dollar (USD) preserves its strength ahead of consumer sentiment and employment-related data releases, weighing on the pair.
From a technical point of view, the EUR/USD pair is poised to extend its slump. It keeps falling below a mildly bearish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA), which provides dynamic resistance at around 1.1690. The 100 SMA, in the meantime, maintains its bullish slope, albeit partially losing its upward strength at around 1.1340. Finally, technical indicators keep heading south well below their midlines, and at multi-week lows, in line with a bearish extension ahead.
The near-term picture shows EUR/USD is oversold and may bounce or consolidate before the next directional move. In the 4-hour chart, technical indicators turned flat at extreme levels, yet it keeps developing below all its moving averages, which skews the risk to the downside. A firmly bearish 20 SMA is crossing below the 100 SMA and aims to extend its slide below a directionless 200 SMA, usually a sign of prevalent selling interest.
SUPPORT 1.15566
SUPPORT 1.15819
SUPPORT 1.15566
RESISTANCE 1.15114
GBPCHF: Bearish Movement Confirmed 🇬🇧🇨🇭
GBPCHF looks bearish after the news today.
The price tested a solid rising trend line on a daily
and formed a confirmed bearish Change of Character
on an hourly time frame.
I think that the price will continue falling and reach 1.0702 level.
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AUDUSD BUYThe AUD/USD pair is trading around 0.6520 on Tuesday. The daily chart’s technical analysis indicates a prevailing bullish bias as the pair remains within the ascending channel pattern. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved below the 50 mark, indicating that a bearish bias is active. Additionally, the pair is positioned below the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating that short-term price momentum is weaker.
The US and EU reached a framework trade agreement on Sunday that sets 15% tariffs on most European goods, taking effect on August 1. This deal has ended a months-long stand-off, per Bloomberg.
Traders keep their eyes on further developments in the US-China trade talks. The discussions are set to resume on Tuesday after top economic officials from both nations held over five hours of negotiations in Stockholm on Monday. The purpose of this meeting is to resolve ongoing disputes and extend their trade truce by another three months.
US Treasury Chief Scott Bessent met with China’s Vice Premier He Lifeng at Sweden’s Rosenbad government offices. The meeting comes ahead of an August 12 deadline to finalize a long-term tariff agreement with the Trump administration, building on preliminary deals reached in May and June that had helped ease tensions.
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is widely expected to keep the benchmark interest rate steady between 4.25% and 4.50% at its July meeting. The FOMC press conference will be observed for any signs that rate cuts may start in September.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to closely watch the June labor force data and second-quarter inflation figures before deciding on a potential rate cut. Both the monthly and quarterly CPI reports are scheduled for release later this week.
SUPPORT 0.65593
SUPPORT 0.65424
SUPPORT 0.65593
RESISTSNCE 0.65050
RESISTANCE 0.64973
XAUUSD Eyeing Liquidity Grab – M30 OB Zone in PlayPrice is respecting the ascending trendline and consolidating near a key resistance level. A bullish breakout is expected, with a potential retest of the trendline and the M30 Order Block (OB) zone acting as a key demand area.
📈 Trade Plan:
Wait for a minor pullback into the OB and trendline confluence
Look for bullish confirmation to go long
Target the liquidity zone above (around 3347)
📌 A clean structure and bullish order flow hint at a continuation to the upside.
EURUSD BUYThe US Dollar (USD) gapped lower at the weekly opening amid optimism fueling demand for high-yielding assets, following news that the United States (US) and the European Union (EU) reached a trade deal.
The US and the EU agreed a 15% tariff on most European goods entering the US, much higher than the average 4.8% exporters face these days. No rates will apply to EU exports in important sectors, including aircraft parts, some chemicals, semiconductor equipment and some agricultural products.
The EU response to the headline was uneven. European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Peter Kazimir said on Monday that the trade deal reduces uncertainty, but it is unclear for now how it impacts inflation. However, the French prime minister, François Bayrou, said the EU has capitulated to Donald Trump’s threats, adding it is a “dark day” for the EU. The trade focus now shifts to the US-China as officials from both countries resume talks in Stockholm.
The EUR/USD pair peaked at 1.1771 during Asian trading hours, but changed course early in Europe, with the USD surging across the FX board, resulting in the pair shedding over 100 pips.
The macroeconomic calendar had nothing relevant to offer at the beginning of the week, but will be flooded with first-tier releases, including US employment-related data ahead of the Nonfarm Payrolls report on Friday, the preliminary estimates of the Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the US and the EU, and inflation updates. On top of that, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its decision on monetary policy on Wednesday.
RESISTANCE 1.16050
RESISTANCE 1.16243
RESISTANCE 1.16451
SUPPORT 1.15856
SUPPORT 1.15711
XAUUSDXAUUSD trend If the price can still stand above 3249, it is expected that there is a chance that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
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Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
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USDCHFUSDCHF price is near the main support zone 0.79245-0.78590. If the price cannot break through the 0.78590 level, it is expected that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
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Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
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AUD/CHF Eyes Bullish Reversal Toward 0.52606This AUD/CHF 1-hour chart shows a potential bullish reversal from the 1st support at 0.52036. Price is expected to rise toward the 1st resistance at 0.52335 and possibly reach the 2nd resistance at 0.52606 if momentum continues. Key support lies at 0.51922.
AUDUSD Engineered to Drop?🧠MJTrading:
📸 Viewing Tip:
🛠️ Some layout elements may shift depending on your screen size.
🔗 View the fixed high-resolution chart here:
🔻 OANDA:AUDUSD – Tagged the Top | Smart Money Eyes Lower Levels??
📍 Perfect Respect of Channel Structure
AUDUSD has just kissed the upper boundary of a long-standing ascending channel, showing sharp rejection — a sign that premium pricing might now shift toward discount levels.
📈 The aggressive push into the highs likely aimed to clear buy stops — fulfilling smart money objectives before a potential reversal.
📉 And here’s the subtle clue:
Just below the last bullish candle lies a thin slide — a structural weakness.
If price breaks and closes below that full body bearish candle (Below 0.66000), the market could slip fast, unleashing a momentum-driven drop into the first liquidity zone (0.6520s).
🧠 For smart money lovers, this is the classic:
Sweep → Trap → Slide
📏 And for fans of parallelism, the chart’s geometry offers a rare beauty — lines in harmony, structure in rhythm, and opportunity in alignment.
🔍 What to Watch For:
Break below 0.66000 (last candle body) = entry signal
0.6520–0.6540: first liquidity zone
0.6400–0.6300: deeper cleanout, if bearish pressure sustains
Inset: DXY bouncing from long-term demand supports bearish thesis
Manage your risk wisely...
For Lower time frame traders:
Psychology Always Matters:
(Click on the pictures for caption and concepts)
#AUDUSD #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #ChannelTrading #ChartDesigner #MJTrading #PriceAction #Forex
EURCHF: Classic Gap Trade 🇪🇺🇨🇭
There is a huge gap up opening on EURCHF.
The price tested a key intraday resistance with that and formed
a strong bearish imbalance candle then.
Probabilities will be high that the market will fill the gap today.
Goal - 0.9338
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