AUDUSD 4hour TF - July 6th, 2025AUDUSD 7/6/2025
AUDUSD 4hour Neutral idea
Monthly - Bearish
Weekly - Bearish
Dailly - Bullish
4hour - Ranging
We are still technically bullish overall but we can see here on the 4hour that AU is ranging between 0.65800 & 0.65500. This is a fairly small range so we’re not that interested in taking trades while price action is bouncing between these two zones.
We’re looking for conviction above 0.65800 or below 0.65500 before we can comfortably make a move. Let’s see what both of those situations would look like:
Bullish Continuation - Most of the trend data is suggesting AU is still bullish but we would need to see a strong push above resistance around 0.65800 with a confirmed higher low above before getting into any trades. If we do see this play out I'm looking toward 0.66750 resistance as a target.
Reversal back into channel - Price action seems to be poking out of the bottom of this range but we are still not convinced just yet. For us to strongly consider this a bearish move we would like to see a retest of 0.65500 as resistance followed by bearish conviction. Look for price action to move lower toward key support areas if this happens.
Fortresscapitalmarkets
XAUUSD 4Hour TF - July 6th, 2025XAUUSD 7/6/2025
XAUUSD 4 hour Long Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bullish
Daily - Bullish
4hour - Bullish
Back to bullish here on Gold but that comes as no surprise when you look at the higher timeframe trends.
I’m mainly considering long scenarios for the week ahead but let's take a look at two for the week ahead:
4hour bearish continuation - Currently we can see price action broke above 3,320.00 resistance and is currently looking to find some footing. We’re keeping an eye out for higher lows at or near this level to then consider long scenarios. 3,395.000 seems like a good target but gold has potential to go higher.
4hour trend reversal - If we are to consider short positions on gold we would need to see a break back below our 3,320.000 zone. Look for confirmed lower highs below 3,320.000 and target lower key support levels if this happens.
AUDJPY 4Hour TF - July 6th, 2025AUDJPY 7/6/2025
AUDJPY 4hour Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bearish
Dailly - Bearish
4hour - Ranging
We’re getting some mixed signals here on AJ so i’ll keep this as a neutral idea as we need more info from price action. Most of the major trends seem bearish but the 4hour trend seems to have some bullish pressure. Let’s see how this could play out this week:
Bullish Breakout - We already saw a pretty significant bullish attempt to break out of this range around 94.500. If we can spot some bullish conviction, now that we're retesting what seems to be a broken range, then we can confirm a bullish 4hour trend and prepare for potential long scenarios. I’ll be looking higher toward key resistance around 96.500 if this happens.
Bearish Breakout - For us to consider comfortable bearish scenarios, we would need to see price action fall back through our 94.500 zone and form a lower high. If we see structure formed below 94.500 we can begin targeting lower for potential short positions. Look toward key support levels as targets.
EURJPY 4Hour TF - July 6th, 2025EURJPY 7/6/2025
EURJPY 4hour Bullish Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bullish
Daily - Bullish
4hour - Bullish
EJ is doing it’s thing and sticking with it’s bullish trend for now. The only conflicting signal is this major monthly zone around the 171.000 area so we will have to be careful.
Let’s keep a look out for two potential scenarios going into this week:
Bullish Continuation - We just saw a break above the 169.750 4hour zone which is fairly significant and it is signaling new support for this currently forming higher low, which is great. From here we’re looking for this bullish trend to continue, look for strong bullish conviction coming off this 169.750 zone and look to target higher.
Trend Reversal - This is a possibility with our 171.000 looming overhead. If we start to see bearish rejection look for a lower high below 169.750 and look to target lower toward key support levels.
USDJPY Daily TF - July 6th, 2025USDJPY 7/6/2025
USDJPY Daily Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bearish
Daily - Bearish
We’re still on the daily timeframe with UJ as there is nothing worthwhile. We are clearly in some daily consolidation phase and price action has no clear direction from a swing perspective.
Bearish Continuation - For us to consider a bearish continuation, which is the most likely, we would like to see a retest of our 147.500 zone followed by strong bearish rejection. If we can spot rejection around the 147.500 zone it could present some decent short positions. I’d be looking to target lower toward key support levels.
Aside from this potential setup i’m not looking at any other scenarios for UJ.