Get started

Fundamental-analysis

BITCOIN chart updated Bitcoin Buy Signal Triggered ₿🚀 BTC showing strong bullish momentum after holding key support. Entered long position on breakout above short-term resistance with volume confirmation. Higher lows forming a solid base — structure favors continued upside. Targeting the next resistance zone around , with stop loss below recent swing low. Watching closely for follow-through and potential scaling opportunities. Market sentiment improving — let's see if the bulls can take control. #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #BuyTheDip #BreakoutTrade #CryptoSetup #BullishBias #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis"**
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SadarExplore
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 11, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair continues to decline to around 1.34750 during Wednesday's Asian trading session. The pound sterling (GBP) is weakening against the US dollar (USD) due to a weaker UK employment report. Later on Wednesday, attention will shift to the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May. The ILO unemployment rate in the UK rose to 4.6% in the three months to April from 4.5% previously, the British Office for National Statistics said on Tuesday. The figure was in line with expectations. Meanwhile, the change in the number of applicants for unemployment benefits in May was 33,100, compared with -21,200 previously (revised from 5,200), which is below the consensus of 9,500. In addition, average earnings excluding bonuses in the UK rose 5.2% year-on-year (3M YoY) in April, compared with a revised 5.5% increase in the previous reading. The market forecast was 5.4%. Average earnings including bonuses rose 5.3% over the same period after accelerating to a revised 5.6% in the quarter to March. The data fell short of the forecast of 5.5%. These figures indicate that the UK labor market is losing momentum under pressure from tax increases and the minimum wage hike by the government. This, in turn, may put some pressure on the pound sterling in the near term. “This gradual slowdown in wage growth may reassure the Bank of England after inflation unexpectedly jumped to its highest level in more than a year last month,” said Paige Tao, an economist at PwC UK. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.34800, SL 1.35100, TP 1.34100
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Oil's Volatility Meets Fed's Patience: A Path to 1.3643?USDCAD – Oil's Volatility Meets Fed's Patience: A Path to 1.3643? 🌍 Macro Landscape: Diverging Monetary Paths & Oil's Influence The USDCAD pair is currently navigating a complex environment shaped by diverging central bank policies and the significant influence of crude oil prices. While the Federal Reserve is signaling a "higher-for-longer" interest rate stance due to sticky inflation, the Bank of Canada (BoC) is in a more nuanced position, balancing inflation control with economic growth. This divergence creates a fundamental tailwind for the USD. However, Canada's economy is heavily tied to commodity prices, especially crude oil. Recent volatility in oil markets can exert significant pressure on the Canadian dollar. If oil prices remain subdued or face downward pressure, it could exacerbate the CAD's weakness against the USD, amplifying the impact of policy divergence. 🏦 Central Bank Policy Divergence: Fed's Firmness vs. BoC's Caution Federal Reserve: FOMC members continue to signal patience on rate cuts. Recent inflation data (PCE, CPI) shows persistent price pressure, particularly in the services sector, reinforcing the Fed's hawkish bias. This suggests the USD may retain its strength as higher rates attract capital. Bank of Canada: The BoC, while having taken aggressive steps previously, might be more cautious in its future rate decisions. Any dovish undertones or hints at pausing rate hikes could weaken the CAD. Conversely, a resurgence in inflation or stronger economic data could prompt the BoC to maintain a firm stance. This policy divergence, coupled with external factors like commodity prices, creates a fertile ground for significant moves in USDCAD. 🌐 Capital Flows: Safe-Haven Dynamics and Commodity Impact Global capital flow models indicate a shift towards the US dollar as a preferred safe haven amidst geopolitical tensions and global economic uncertainties. While Gold remains a traditional hedge, the USD's yield advantage makes it an attractive destination for institutional capital. For CAD, its sensitivity to commodity prices means that capital flows are heavily influenced by the outlook for global growth and energy demand. A softening global economic outlook could lead to reduced demand for commodities, weighing on the CAD, and potentially driving inflows into USD-based assets. 📊 Technical Structure: Channel Breakdown & Bearish Momentum Towards 1.3643 On the H1 chart (as observed from the provided image): Price Channel: USDCAD has been trading within a clear ascending channel. However, the price recently broke below the lower boundary of this channel, suggesting a potential shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. Moving Averages: The price has moved below the EMA 13 – 34 – 89. This bearish alignment (EMA "fan-out formation" in reverse) confirms a short-term bearish momentum is building. The 200 EMA (red line) is currently acting as a key resistance level, near the prior support turned resistance. Key Resistance (Sell Zone): The region around 1.36989 (aligning with previous support and possibly a Fibonacci retracement level) is now acting as a crucial resistance. Any retest of this zone, especially with bearish candlestick patterns, could offer selling opportunities. The 200 EMA reinforces this zone as a strong overhead barrier. Key Support (Target Zone): The price is projected towards 1.36431. This level aligns with a strong prior support and also coincides with the Fibonacci Extension 1.382 level from a previous swing, making it a high-probability target for bearish moves. A bounce from 1.36734 (a mid-channel support or Fibonacci level) could offer a temporary reprieve, but the overall technical structure points to the lower target. 🎯 Trade Strategy Recommendations Scenario 1 – Sell the Pullback (Preferred): Entry: 1.3685 – 1.3695 (retest of broken channel line/resistance near 1.36989, possibly confluence with 200 EMA). Stop-Loss: 1.3720 (above recent swing high/channel top). Take-Profit: 1.3673 (initial target) → 1.3643 (main target) → 1.3620. Scenario 2 – Breakout Momentum Sell (if price consolidates below 1.3673): Entry: 1.3670 (break below 1.36734 with strong bearish momentum). Stop-Loss: 1.3690. Take-Profit: 1.3643 → 1.3620. ⚠️ Key Events to Watch: US PCE Price Index (upcoming data): If hotter-than-expected, this would reinforce the Fed’s hawkish tone and lift USD. Canadian CPI (upcoming data): Cooler-than-expected inflation could prompt a more dovish stance from the BoC, weakening CAD. Crude Oil Inventory/News: Any significant news or data regarding global oil supply/demand can directly impact CAD.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
1
Storm Ahead? Key Level Breakout or Dangerous Reversal!USD/JPY: Storm Ahead? Key Level Breakout or Dangerous Reversal! Overview: The USD/JPY pair stands at a crucial crossroads, with technical signals indicating the potential for significant volatility in the near term. Will the Yen regain its footing, or will pressure from the USD continue to push the pair to new highs? This analysis delves into technical, fundamental, and macroeconomic factors to outline potential scenarios and identify key trading zones. Detailed Technical Analysis: Primary Trend: The USD/JPY chart clearly shows a short-term uptrend, supported by an ascending trendline (dashed line on the chart) and upward-sloping moving averages (MA). Trend analysis is considered the most important area of technical analysis, and is key to determining the general direction of a security. However, the price is approaching strong resistance zones, suggesting potential selling pressure. Technical analysis is a trading tool used to evaluate stocks and attempt to predict their future movements by analyzing statistical data obtained from trading activity. Key Price Levels: Crucial Resistance Zone (SELL Zone): Around 144.894 - 145.178. This is a significant Fibonacci Extension zone (1.13 and 1.236), where the price has reacted in the past and could attract strong selling pressure. If the price breaks and holds above this zone, the uptrend will be confirmed. Crucial Support Zone (BUY Zone): Around 143.600 - 143.750. This support zone is formed by previous lows and the ascending trendline. If the price corrects to this zone and shows reversal signals, it could be a good buying opportunity. The next support zone is around 142.800. The goal of technical analysis is to determine the buy and sell points of a stock. Technical Indicators: The MAs (blue, orange, red) maintain a relatively consistent distance and are sloping upwards, supporting the uptrend. However, the convergence of MAs near resistance zones could signal a weakening of upward momentum. Price Patterns: Currently, the price is forming a pattern similar to a bull flag or an ascending triangle, suggesting a potential continuation of the uptrend if it breaks upwards. Conversely, if the price fails to overcome resistance and breaks the uptrend line, a bearish reversal pattern could form. Wave analysis is a technique based on the observation that markets move in specific patterns called waves. Relevant Fundamental and Economic Factors: Macroeconomic Analysis (Japan): The Bank of Japan (BOJ) continues to maintain ultra-loose monetary policy, with negative interest rates and yield curve control. This exerts continuous downward pressure on the Yen. Any signal of change from the BOJ regarding policy will have a significant impact on USD/JPY. Macroeconomic Analysis (United States): The U.S. Federal Reserve (FED) is still in an aggressive monetary tightening cycle to combat inflation. Inflation reports (CPI, PPI), employment data (NFP), and statements from FED officials will be key drivers for the USD. If U.S. inflation remains high, the FED may continue to raise interest rates, pushing USD/JPY higher. Fundamental analysis focuses on evaluating economic, political, and social factors affecting the value of a currency pair. Upcoming Economic Events: Closely monitor inflation reports from both the U.S. and Japan, GDP data, unemployment rates, and policy meetings of the BOJ and FED. These events will act as catalysts for sharp movements. Conclusion and Trading Recommendations: USD/JPY is in an uptrend but approaching crucial resistance zones. BUY Entry: When the price breaks and closes above 145.178, confirming the uptrend continuation. Or when the price corrects to the 143.600 - 143.750 zone and shows bullish reversal candles (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer). Take Profit: Higher Fibonacci levels (e.g., 1.382 at 145.491 or 1.5 at 145.918). Stop Loss: Below the nearest support zone, e.g., below 143.500 if buying at support, or below 144.800 if buying after a resistance breakout. SELL Scenario: Entry: When the price approaches the 144.894 - 145.178 zone and strong bearish reversal signals appear (e.g., Gravestone Doji, bearish engulfing, double top pattern). Take Profit: Lower support levels, e.g., 143.700, 142.800. Stop Loss: Above the resistance zone, e.g., above 145.300. Risk Disclaimer: Financial markets always involve high risks. Always manage your capital carefully and never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. This analysis is for informational purposes only and not investment advice.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
A Detailed Technical, Fundamental, and Macro AnalysisNZD/USD Trading Plan: A Detailed Technical, Fundamental, and Macro Analysis 1. Technical Analysis: The 30-minute chart of NZD/USD highlights key price action within a well-defined channel between crucial support and resistance levels: Resistance (0.60769): The price is testing significant resistance around 0.60769. If this level is broken, the price could continue higher, indicating further upward momentum. Support (0.60271): A strong support level is found at 0.60271. If the price retraces and holds this level, a potential rebound could take place. EMA (Exponential Moving Averages): EMA 13 (Blue): Currently moving upwards, confirming a bullish short-term trend. EMA 34 (Yellow) and EMA 89 (Red): These are trending sideways, suggesting that the market is in a consolidation phase, waiting for further signals. 2. Fundamental Analysis: FED's Monetary Policy: The actions and statements of the Federal Reserve regarding interest rates have a significant impact on the USD. If the FED maintains or hikes rates, this could push the USD higher, putting downward pressure on NZD. New Zealand Economic Indicators: The strength of New Zealand's economy, particularly export data, plays a vital role in supporting or weakening the NZD. Positive economic reports could support a bullish NZD. 3. Macroeconomic Analysis: Global Risk Sentiment: Market sentiment is being influenced by global factors like trade tensions, economic growth projections, and political factors. A shift in risk sentiment, especially regarding the U.S. economy or geopolitical tensions, could lead to significant price movements in the NZD/USD pair. 4. Buy and Sell Zones: BUY ZONE: Entry: 0.60271 - 0.60300 SL (Stop Loss): 0.60200 TP (Take Profit): 0.60700 → 0.60769 → 0.60900 SELL ZONE: Entry: 0.60750 - 0.60800 SL: 0.60900 TP: 0.60300 → 0.60200 → 0.60100 5. Strategy: Buy Orders: If price consolidates at the support level of 0.60271 and shows confirmation with EMA indicators, consider a buy with a target at 0.60769. Sell Orders: If price fails to break through the resistance at 0.60769, a sell order could be placed, targeting the 0.60271 support level. 6. Market Sentiment: The market is highly sensitive to news and economic reports, and therefore, it is essential to remain alert to potential volatility. Any major economic release from New Zealand or U.S. Federal Reserve news could significantly influence the pair.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
WILL GOLD CONTINUE ITS RALLY OR FACE A MAJOR CORRECTION? XAUUSD – WILL GOLD CONTINUE ITS RALLY OR FACE A MAJOR CORRECTION? Gold is at a pivotal point after experiencing a significant correction following its recent rally. With the market showing mixed signals, the question now is whether gold will continue its upward trajectory or experience further corrections before breaking new highs. The current global economic climate, combined with macroeconomic factors, will be the driving forces behind gold's next move. 🌍 MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK & MARKET SENTIMENT US Dollar Strength: The USD has been strengthening, which has put some pressure on gold prices. However, this comes amid uncertainty in global trade relations, particularly between the US and China, which is creating mixed market sentiment. Gold remains a key asset for hedging against currency risks and geopolitical tensions. Federal Reserve's Stance on Interest Rates: The Fed has signaled that while inflation remains a concern, it’s unlikely to cut interest rates in the near future. This could limit gold's upside potential in the short term, but the metal remains attractive due to its safe-haven status. Geopolitical Tensions: With ongoing concerns over US-China trade talks and tensions surrounding Ukraine, investors continue to flock to gold as a hedge against political and economic instability. These external pressures continue to fuel demand for gold. 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 – EMA 13/34/89/200) Current Correction: Gold has been correcting after a strong surge, testing key support levels like 3300. On the H1 timeframe, the EMA indicators suggest consolidation and weakness, signaling that further pullbacks are possible before any potential breakout. Technical Pattern – "Flag" Formation: Gold is forming a bearish flag pattern, indicating a temporary pause after a strong upward trend. This pattern suggests that gold might continue to trade sideways, with a breakout above key resistance levels leading to a continuation of the uptrend. Key Resistance and Support Levels: Gold is facing significant resistance levels at 3320 and 3330, while key support levels at 3300 and 3270 will be crucial to watch in the coming sessions. 📍 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH Resistance Levels: 3320 – 3330 – 3338 – 3350 – 3360 Support Levels: 3300 – 3270 – 3250 🧭 RECOMMENDED TRADE SETUPS 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3270 – 3272 SL: 3265 TP: 3280 → 3300 → 3320 → 3330 → 3350 🔻 SELL ZONE: 3320 – 3325 SL: 3330 TP: 3310 → 3295 → 3280 → 3265 ✅ SUMMARY Gold is currently experiencing a correction after a solid rally, but the long-term outlook remains bullish. Macro-economic factors, including the Fed’s policies and geopolitical risks, are likely to drive gold prices higher in the future. However, short-term fluctuations should be expected as the market tests key resistance and support levels. Traders should focus on well-defined entry and exit points within these key levels and maintain a disciplined risk management strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 10, 2025 EURUSDAn Event to pay attention today: 13:00 EET. USD - NFIB Small Business Optimism Index EURUSD: The EUR/USD pair is struggling to capitalise on the previous day's gains and is attracting new sellers around 1.1435 during Tuesday's Asian session. The intraday decline is driven by solid demand for the US dollar (USD) and has pushed spot prices below 1.1400 in the last hour. Friday's US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report, which showed higher-than-expected data, dampened hopes for an early interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) this year. This, along with optimism about the resumption of trade talks between the US and China, is prompting traders to ease their bearish bets on the US dollar, which is proving to be a key factor putting pressure on the EUR/USD pair. However, as negotiations continued into a second day in London, traders may refrain from aggressive directional bets. In addition, traders still see a rate cut by the US central bank in September as more likely. This, along with concerns about the financial health of the US government, may limit further strengthening of the US dollar and provide support for the EUR/USD pair. In contrast, the European Central Bank (ECB) hinted at the end of its rate-cutting cycle at its meeting last week. This could further benefit the single currency and help limit losses for the currency pair. Traders may also refrain from aggressive betting ahead of this week's US inflation data release. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.1390, SL 1.1410, TP 1.1300
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USD/CAD - Channel Breakout (10.06.2025)The USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.3757 2nd Resistance – 1.3792 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
35
WILL EUR CONTINUE TO RALLY AHEAD OF THE IMPORTANT NFP DATA?EUR/USD – WILL EUR CONTINUE TO RALLY AHEAD OF THE IMPORTANT NFP DATA? 📈 EUR/USD IS AT A CRITICAL POINT AHEAD OF KEY ECONOMIC DATA Amid the ongoing pressure on the US Dollar and macroeconomic factors supporting the Euro, EUR/USD might continue its short-term bullish trend. However, key data such as US CPI and central bank meetings could determine the direction for this currency pair moving forward. 🌍 Macroeconomic Overview & Market Sentiment USD & DXY: The US Dollar continues to weaken due to signals from the Federal Reserve (Fed) that they are not in a hurry to cut interest rates. DXY has fallen below the 99 level, with macroeconomic factors showing a continued bearish trend for the USD. Eurozone: The ECB (European Central Bank) is maintaining a slightly tight monetary policy. However, the Eurozone economy is showing signs of recovery, with positive data from the region. US Economy: Forecasts for the US labor market data could impact the USD and lead to volatility in the EUR/USD pair. All attention is on the reports from the US this week. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1 – H4 – D1) EMA 13/34/89/200: The EMA indicators on the H1 and H4 timeframes support the current bullish trend for EUR/USD in the short term. In particular, the EMA 13 and EMA 34 are crossing above the EMA 200, signaling a strong upward trend. Wave Structure: EUR/USD is currently in a corrective wave after testing the strong resistance level at 1.1450. A recovery signal is emerging around the support level at 1.1380, which could present a buying opportunity in the short term. Fibonacci Expansion: The Fibonacci extension levels at 1.1470 and 1.1490 could be the next targets if EUR/USD breaks through the 1.1400 resistance zone. ⚡ Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1470, 1.1490, 1.1500 Support: 1.1380, 1.1350, 1.1320, 1.1300 🧭 Trading Scenario 🔵 BUY ZONE: 1.1380 – 1.1365 SL: 1.1340 TP: 1.1420 → 1.1450 → 1.1470 → 1.1490 🔻 SELL ZONE: 1.1450 – 1.1460 SL: 1.1475 TP: 1.1420 → 1.1400 → 1.1370 → 1.1350 ✅ Summary EUR/USD is currently in a short-term bullish trend and could continue to rise if the support at 1.1365 holds. However, key economic data from the US, especially CPI and central bank meetings from the Fed and ECB, could impact the next direction for this pair. Traders should keep an eye on important support and resistance levels to identify safe trading opportunities.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
Will the Trend Explode or Continue to Retrace? XAUUSD Trading Plan - Will the Trend Explode or Continue to Retrace? 🔥 📉 Current Situation: Gold is currently undergoing a retracement after a strong increase at the beginning of the week. The market is being influenced by macroeconomic factors like the US-China trade negotiations and fluctuations in the US dollar. Gold may either continue its retracement or break out of the current price range. 🔧 Technical Analysis: 🔶 Key Levels: 🔶 Support Zone: 3,276.121 - 3,289.874. These zones are crucial in confirming the strength of the bullish trend. 🔶 Resistance Zone: 3,345.715, 3,363.845. If these levels are broken, gold could continue to rise sharply. 📊 Technical Indicators: The Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) 13, 34, and 89 support the short-term bullish trend. The trendline shows that the bullish trend is intact, but a slight correction may happen in the short term. 💼 Fundamental and Macro Analysis: The US-China trade negotiations are the key drivers of market sentiment. If the negotiations yield positive news, gold could continue to rise. However, if concerns arise about tariffs or failed talks, gold could face pressure. Key US economic indicators, such as PMI, GDP, and NFP, will play a crucial role in shaping the direction of the US dollar, and thus, the price of gold. 🎯 Trading Plan: 🔶 Buy Zone: Entry Zone: 3,289.874 - 3,276.121 Stop Loss (SL): 3,269.000 Take Profit (TP): TP 1: 3,302.000 TP 2: 3,317.000 TP 3: 3,327.000 TP 4: 3,340.000 🔶 Sell Zone: Entry Zone: 3,345.715 - 3,363.845 Stop Loss (SL): 3,370.000 Take Profit (TP): TP 1: 3,327.000 TP 2: 3,310.000 TP 3: 3,300.000 TP 4: 3,289.000 ⚠️ Key Points to Watch: 🔒 Strong Support Zone: 3,289.874 represents a key support zone. If the price breaks below this level, we could see gold approach 3,276.121. 🔓 Strong Resistance Zone: 3,345.715 - 3,363.845 is the key resistance zone. If broken, gold could continue to rise to 3,380.000 or higher. 📈 Market Psychology: Gold is in a retracement phase after a significant rise, but both technical and fundamental factors suggest that the bullish trend may continue. It is essential to closely monitor signals from the US-China trade negotiations and economic news affecting the US dollar. 💥 Conclusion: Gold is in a retracement phase after a strong increase, but technical and fundamental factors indicate that a bullish recovery could be on the horizon. Prepare your trading plans based on key support and resistance levels. 📌 Good luck and happy trading to all!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 9, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) is rising at the start of the new week, reacting to upward revisions to Japan's first quarter GDP data. This comes amid signs of rising inflation in Japan and confirmation of bets that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates, which in turn provides a slight boost to the JPY. In addition, a modest decline in the US Dollar (USD) is putting some downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair during the Asian session. For now, the Yen appears to have broken a two-day losing streak against its US counterpart, although traders may refrain from aggressive directional bets ahead of key US-China trade talks in London. In addition, stronger-than-expected US jobs data released on Friday dampened hopes that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates soon this year, which could serve as a tailwind for the dollar and limit USD/JPY pair losses. Trade recommendation: SELL 143.85, SL 144.85, TP 141.85
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Is Ferrari's stock still bullish?Is Ferrari's stock still bullish? Technical Outlook Elliot Wave theory suggests a cautious bullish stance. The present correction seems to be a temporary setback, likely driven by guidance and tariff fears, but sets the stage for a potential rally to $520-$540 if support is not broken. However, risks of a deeper correction (i.e., to $420-$440) persist if pressures from the outside intensify. The stock is currently trading above all three of its major EMA levels — daily, weekly, and monthly — that is a good technical signal. The rising daily EMA at 479.98 suggests that short-run momentum remains healthy. The weekly EMA at 461.77 provides medium-term support, while the monthly EMA at 421.08 supports the longer-term trend solidly. Positive Sentiment Factors Ferrari reported robust Q1 2025 results, with net revenues of €1.79 billion (up 13% YoY), an operating profit of €542 million (up 22.7%), and a net profit of €412 million (up 17%). Adjusted earnings per share were €2.30, surpassing analyst expectations of €2.28. This shows Ferrari’s strong pricing power and demand for personalized vehicles. Analyst Sentiment: Optimism remains for Ferrari among some analysts. UBS raised its price target to $560 from $520, maintaining a Buy rating, with the new Ferrari Elettrica a major catalyst, the company said. Bernstein and RBC Capital maintained Outperform ratings on the stock at $575 and €500, respectively. Barclays upgraded Ferrari to Overweight, calling it a "safe haven" in a shaky European automotive environment. Brand Strength and Strategic Positioning: Ferrari’s luxury brand and high demand for models like the Roma Spider, 296 GTS, SF90 XX, and Purosangue bolster its market position. Neutral Sentiment Factors Market and Industry Context: The broader market has been volatile due to trade developments and tariff relief rallies. Ferrari’s stock has been influenced by these macroeconomic factors, but its luxury positioning makes it less sensitive than mass-market automakers. Formula 1 Performance: Ferrari’s underwhelming Formula 1 season, with McLaren significantly outscoring Ferrari in points poses some concern among investors. While this does not directly impact stock performance, it may indirectly affect brand sentiment among enthusiasts. Negative Sentiment Factors Tariff Concerns: Ferrari shares have been sensitive to Trump's U.S. tariff policies. A tariff increase would add up to $50,000 to the price of an average Ferrari, potentially cutting sales volumes in the U.S., which accounts for 28.8% of net sales. JPMorgan warned that tariff impacts might be "worse" for Ferrari, lowering the price target to $460 from $525 Conclusion Ferrari stock has a bullish but cautious bias, supported by solid fundamentals, favorable technical momentum, and positive analyst sentiment on upcoming product releases such as the Ferrari Elettrica. Macro risks, however, including U.S. trade policy and market volatility, are still major overhangs.
NYSE:RACELong
by alfredwhite
USD/JPY - Triangle Breakout (06.06.2025)The USD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 144.94 2nd Resistance – 145.52 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
55
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 6, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair is trading near 1.3570 with little movement ahead of the US (US) labor market data. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar against six major currencies, is trading above around 98.80 at the time of writing. The upcoming US non-farm payrolls data for May is expected to add 130,000 jobs, down from April's 177,000. The unemployment rate is also expected to remain unchanged at 4.2%. Weekly initial jobless claims rose to 247,000, above the 235,000 expected, U.S. Labor Department data showed. ADP US private sector employment data released on Thursday showed a 37,000 increase in May versus a 60,000 increase (revised from 62,000) recorded in April, well below market expectations of 115,000. GBP/USD is gaining support as the Pound Sterling (GBP) finds support amid rising risk sentiment in the United Kingdom (UK) markets following US President Donald Trump's executive order signed on Tuesday. British exporters still face the previous 25 percent tariff rate as Trump granted the UK temporary relief from the US' stiff 50 percent tariffs on steel and aluminum. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3500, SL 1.3600, TP 1.3300
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURO-USD BUY STRONG 1. "EUR/USD Strong Buy Alert 🚀 | Key support zone holding firm – bulls eyeing the next leg up!" 2. "Strong Buy Zone ✅ | EUR/USD showing bullish momentum from this support level – eyes on 1.09+" 3. "EUR/USD Reversal Zone 💥 | Buyers stepping in strong – potential rally ahead!" 4. "Watch this zone! EUR/USD strong buy setup forming – bullish confirmation underway 📈" 5. "EUR/USD bouncing from key demand zone 🔥 | Technicals align for a strong buy signal!"
Long
by SadarExplore
USD/CHF - Triangle Breakout (06.06.2025)The USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.8263 2nd Resistance – 0.8227 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
28
USD/CAD - Bearish Flag (04.06.2025)The USD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3645 2nd Support – 1.3605 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
63
VSA vs BTC: Into a Bearish Scenario or Not?Predicting the market requires skill. Most traders fail at one crucial point: they don’t see the market as a living, breathing organism—a structure where one move leads to another, like cause and effect in motion. That’s what we often call reading the psychology of the market. When you begin to grasp the fundamental principles behind that, you step into the realm of elite traders. And yes—Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) is a powerful tool, but only if you know how to read it properly. I’m not a certified trader or financial advisor, and I don’t give signals, entries, or exits. I’m simply a solo observer, sharing a slice of what true technical and fundamental analysis looks like. And yes—it takes time. It takes skills. Now, if we want to even attempt predicting the future of price action, we must understand something: A chart is not a single truth. It’s a battlefield of conflicting signals. Patterns, marks, levels—some suggest bullish continuation, others hint at sharp reversals. Confusion is inevitable if you don’t learn to distinguish which signs matter. In our current BTC chart, we’re witnessing this contradiction unfold clearly: • A bullish flag formation... • Yet within it, the emerging completion of a Head & Shoulders pattern! How arrogant can the market be! 😄 A moment to laugh—but also a moment to observe how cleverly the crowd is misled. This is classic manipulation, wrapped in a textbook setup. But what’s most telling isn’t the pattern on the surface—it’s the volume beneath the structure. It’s always the quiet details that speak the loudest. Before price shows its true face, volume often leaves footprints. In our case, those footprints were already leading toward a bearish path—long before the structure began to shape itself clearly. So while retail eyes focused on the bullish flag, the underlying volume had already begun withdrawing support. Not aggressively—no. Subtly, almost elegantly, in that familiar way institutions mask intention: • Spikes that don’t hold • Buying that doesn’t follow through • And a steady fade in commitment as price climbs into weakness It’s in those quiet inconsistencies where VSA earns its value. It tells us: the move isn’t about what’s obvious. It’s about what never fully materialized. So yes, the pattern may still remain incomplete. The Head & Shoulders may yet fail to validate. But for those who were watching volume first—not structure—the script was already being written. ✒️ From now on, professionally speaking, we must still wait: • For the Head & Shoulders to confirm or dissolve. So eyes targeted at the swing low level near 107k • And for volume to either legitimize or invalidate the entire setup Only then does the chart grant us permission to speak in certainties. 🐾 But so far… • The clues have favored the bears. • Sell opportunities appeared early and often—for those who know what to look for. • Bullish spikes in volume? They were met with silence. • Momentum fizzled under a macro backdrop of fading demand. If you were in the right mindset, and aligned even the lower timeframes to basic structural zones, you already saw the path ahead wasn’t being carved by the bulls. Let them finish the patterns. Let the candles paint the story. But for those trained in volume, the ink has already dried. And if you're still reading, maybe you already sense it— real insight doesn’t shout, and it never floats in abundance. Value has never been about noise. It’s about what’s rare, quiet, and overlooked by the crowd. Just like in the markets—the true signals aren’t loud, and they’re never free in the economic sense. Just as price rises where supply thins, the same applies here: what’s scarce... holds weight. PS For last A little exercise, something to grasp on. Have you noticed how Volume & RSI behaves in lower time frames? 4Hour or 1Hour for example. Can you identify how volume confirms a bearish move. Do you discover the correct correlation and combined use between VSA & RSI. Remember my previous insight See you next time!
by WhatComes21
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 5, 2025 EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair is trading cautiously, slightly above the key level of 1.14000 during Thursday's Asian trading session. The major currency pair is expected to remain in a sideways trend as investors await the European Central Bank's (ECB) interest rate decision. The ECB is almost certain to cut its key lending rates by 25 basis points (bps), bringing the deposit rate and the main refinancing rate to 2% and 2.15%, respectively. This will be the ECB's seventh consecutive interest rate cut and the eighth since June last year, when it began its cycle of monetary expansion. Traders are increasingly confident of a seventh consecutive ECB interest rate cut as deflationary trends persist in the eurozone. Preliminary data from the eurozone's harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP) released on Tuesday showed that inflationary pressure fell below the central bank's 2% target. With the Fed widely expected to cut interest rates, investors will be watching ECB President Christine Lagarde's press conference closely for clues on likely monetary policy in the second half of the year. Market participants would also like to hear about the progress of trade negotiations with the US. Meanwhile, the US dollar (USD) is struggling to stay near a six-week low as weak US data has reignited stagflation risks. The ISM Services PMI unexpectedly declined in May, while its components showed that production costs continue to rise rapidly. ADP employment change data, which reflects labor demand in the private sector, showed that 37,000 new jobs were created in May, the lowest figure since February 2021. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.14100, SL 1.14400, TP 1.13600
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBP/NZD - Triangle Breakout (05.06.2025)The GBP/NZD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2.2345 2nd Support – 2.2285 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
21
AJA'S Gold view... Daily Timeframe Analysis.Gold has been on a correction spree now, with short term buys. On the monthly timeframe, Gold is completely OVERSOLD. From my analysis on the daily timeframe, the bear power is more, we'll keep selling to our poi, which is our order block at 3025-2975. Gold needs to make a huge correction by coming down past the inducement point at 3122 before hitting the order block at that BOS. Then we'll see if the bearish market will continue, or the bull will take power. What do you think about this analysis?
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by JennAJA
2