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Fundamental Analysis

Geopolitical conflict re-emerges, price points to 3500?Information summary: The powder keg of the Middle East situation exploded. A new round of fierce fighting between Israel and Iran has pushed the global financial market into a risk-averse storm. In just one day, gold soared. In the early Asian session on Monday, the price of gold was unstoppable, hitting a nearly seven-week high of $3451/ounce. Under the dark clouds of geopolitical conflict, gold bulls are in full swing, and the $3500 mark seems to be within reach. In addition, the market will face two major tests this week: the monthly rate of US retail sales and the highly anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Technical analysis: At the daily level, the MA10, MA7, and MA5 moving averages are diverging upward, the RSI indicator turns upward, and the gold price is running steadily in the upper and middle track area of ​​the Bollinger band. In the four-hour cycle, the moving average forms a golden cross arrangement and the opening continues to expand. The price continues to rise along the MA10 daily moving average, and the Bollinger band also maintains an upward opening shape. The current market is dominated by geopolitical risks in the Middle East, and the gold price is consolidating at a high level. If the situation does not change, the gold price will most likely remain above $3,400 today, and it is even very likely to refresh the historical high of $3,500 today and tomorrow. Therefore, before the trend changes, the long strategy is still the best choice. Operation strategy; Buy near 3420, stop loss 3410, target 3460-3470.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_1
Gold Analysis (Bullish Bias)Gold continues to show strong bullish momentum, supported by key technical levels and favorable market structure. Price action remains constructive above the major support zone, indicating potential for further upside. I'm closely monitoring the following levels for a high-probability long setup: Demand Zone / Support Level: Entry key level: 3426 - 3420 As long as gold holds above this support, the bias remains bullish with potential for a continuation toward higher resistance levels. A break and sustained move above the entry zone would confirm bullish strength and could trigger the next leg up. Risk management remains key waiting for clear confirmation before entering is advised. #GOLD, #FOREX , # @VeloraFXReal
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by VeloraFXReal
Does gold break or not Looking like the pressure in trade and uncertainty will help lift gold into 2480’s and tempt a pullback and build up into 2528 and beyond. Exciting stuff! A pullback could mean a slippery slide to a diagonal support and some hefty by orders on more standard news. Long here 120 units, tight stop loss at 3424oz. Will pickup in increments down to set buying zones or the long diagonal supports for the ride back up regardless. Will expect a choppy wave before readying a rip up though… have to be dramatic about something that’s going to happen regardless? It’s gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ImminentDanger
2
DOW/US30 - PATIENLY WAITING FOR THE ENTRY - DO NOT RUSHTeam, we are already entry LONG NAS100 EARLIER. But with the DOW, be patience - waiting for 42000-419600 - will be our first entry ranges Then if market continue to fall further - this is our back up entry at 41480-41220 - DOUBLE UP to kill the market OK, i did follow Israel and Iran story I have spent 4-6 hours research and analyzing the market. I prefer to carefully entry the market. I want to ensure my continue winning. Sometimes if it not in the trading setup - DO NOT TRADE.. that part of the risk management Check out my new video how I did not lose a single trade last 90 days A lot of videos NEVER show their history trade, always show win this win that.. but no show the statement or data. But I provide real account, real data. Look forward to provide you more trades in coming.
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by ActiveTraderRoom
NAS - TIME TO MAKE ACTIVE TRADER ROOM GREATER AGAIN!Team, last week we got a good entry on both DOW/US30 AND NAS100/TEC100 Yes, i do know about the situation with ISRAEL AND IRAN. This will drag on for at least 3-6 months for the solutions however, I expect the cease fire should be stop within next week as President Trump's is negotiation with Iran There are two strategy to trade for the NAS- NASTY market Rule: make sure you calculate how much position and volume you are taking risk on the trade. Every time you enter, ensure you are understood each trade risk. As I always do. The last 90 days we have not losing a single trade - check my new video release soon. OK, lets get back to the trade set up again entry small volume at market now. If market falling down during US session, buy more at the second setting However, I expect the 1st setting likely to recover soon. Jump on board now. See you to the moon
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by ActiveTraderRoom
SPOT Weekly Options Trade — June 15, 2025🎧 SPOT Weekly Options Trade — June 15, 2025 💡 Ticker: SPOT 🎯 Strategy: Bullish Swing — Call Option 📅 Expiry: June 20, 2025 ⏱ Entry Timing: Market Open 📈 Confidence: 70% 🔍 Analysis Summary All four models (Grok, Llama, Gemini, DeepSeek) indicate strong bullish momentum on SPOT based on: ✅ Above all key EMAs (5-min and daily) 🔁 Bullish RSI, MACD, and Bollinger Band alignment 📢 Catalyst: Evercore ISI upgrade to $750 📊 Notable call open interest in OTM strikes ⚠️ Max Pain: $665 — a known drag, but outweighed short-term by momentum and the upgrade catalyst. ✅ Recommended Trade 🛒 Trade Type: Long CALL (Naked) 🎯 Strike: $740 💵 Entry Price: ~$4.25 📅 Expiry: June 20, 2025 (Weekly) 📈 Profit Target: ~$8.50 (100% gain) 🛑 Stop Loss: ~$2.10 (50% loss) 🔍 Why $740? It's the sweet spot between DeepSeek’s speculative $780 and Grok's expensive $725—offering leverage with decent odds. ⚠️ Risks & Watchouts 🧲 Max Pain gravity at $665 — may cap gains closer to expiry 📉 Rejection at $714–$718 resistance range 🌪 Elevated VIX = potential for wide intraday swings 📏 Stick to small sizing (risking <2% of portfolio) due to premium volatility 🎯 Bottom Line: Strong bullish setup, solid catalyst, and technicals support a move higher. Enter on strength near open, manage tightly, and take profits on a double.
NYSE:SPOTLong
by quantsignals
DASH Weekly Options Trade — June 15, 2025📈 DASH Weekly Options Trade — June 15, 2025 💡 Ticker: DASH 🎯 Strategy: Bullish Swing — Call Option 📅 Expiry: June 20, 2025 ⏱ Entry Timing: Market Open (only if breakout confirmed) 📈 Confidence: 70% 🔍 Analysis Summary All four models (Grok, Llama, Gemini, DeepSeek) point to short-term bullish momentum with DASH currently trading: 🔼 Above key EMAs on the 5-min and daily charts 🧭 MACD & RSI in bullish alignment 💬 Supported by strong volume and market sentiment While there is caution due to overbought RSI and a wide gap between price and max pain ($187.50), the models favor a breakout scenario if DASH clears resistance at $219–$220. ✅ Trade Recommendation 🛒 Trade Type: Long CALL (Naked) 🎯 Strike: $230.00 💵 Entry Price: ~$0.67 📅 Expiration: June 20, 2025 (weekly) 📈 Profit Target: ~$1.34 (100% gain) 🛑 Stop Loss: ~$0.33 (50% loss) 🔎 Entry Note: Only enter if price confirms breakout above $219–$220 zone at open 🧠 Key Risks to Monitor ❗ Overbought signals could lead to a pullback before continuation ⚖️ Max pain at $187.50 may pressure price toward expiration 📉 Avoid entry if DASH fails to hold above $219 at open 🔄 Wider bid/ask spreads due to volatility—manage slippage carefully 🚨 Watchlist Trade: This setup is conditional. Enter only on breakout confirmation above $220. Let’s see if DASH delivers another leg up—or stalls at resistance.
NASDAQ:DASHLong
by quantsignals
EL (Estée Lauder) Swing Trade Setup — June 15, 2025🔻 EL (Estée Lauder) Swing Trade Setup — June 15, 2025 💡 Ticker: EL 📉 Setup Type: Bearish Swing — Weekly PUT 📅 Expiry: June 20, 2025 ⏱ Entry Timing: At Market Open 💬 Confidence: 70% 🧠 Model Insights & Technical Context Across the board, our four AI models (Grok, Llama, DeepSeek, Gemini) provide the following signals: ✅ Short-Term Weakness: Price is below all key EMAs (5-min and daily charts). RSI is low (~30), near oversold but not reversing yet. MACD is bearish and gaining downward momentum. ✅ Options Sentiment: Very heavy put open interest at the $65 strike (4,935 contracts). Max pain at $70 suggests potential price drag upward, but not immediate. ⚠️ Risk Flags: Oversold conditions might cause a short-term bounce. Gemini model recommends a $70 call if price holds support at open. News risk remains (e.g., the death of Leonard Lauder) and volatility is rising (VIX ↑). ✅ Recommended Trade 💼 Strategy: Naked PUT (short bias) 🎯 Strike: $65.00 🕰 Entry Price (Limit): ~$0.65 🎯 Profit Target: ~$0.97 (≈+50%) 🛑 Stop Loss: ~$0.33 (≈–50%) 📆 Expiration: June 20, 2025 📈 Confidence Level: 70% This setup reflects the dominant bearish view with strong technical momentum and favorable OI at the $65 strike. The trade benefits from liquidity and an attractive risk/reward skew. 🔍 Key Considerations ⚠️ If EL bounces sharply at open and holds above ~$67.30, the Gemini model’s call trade may activate. Monitor early action closely. 📊 News risk and market volatility may distort option pricing. Manage size and slippage carefully. 📉 If price reverses and breaks above $68.50, bearish thesis is invalidated. 💬 What’s your move on EL this week? Bearish into expiration or expecting a mean-reversion bounce? Drop your thoughts 👇 or follow along in the QS trading room.
NYSE:ELShort
by quantsignals
XAUUSD - Breakdown: Israel-Iran Conflict - RISK OFFTVC:GOLD Weekly Outlook: Spot ended Friday with bullish momentum, primarily driven by a Risk OFF sentiment in financial markets due to the Israel-Iran conflict, we also had fundamentals like CPI & PPI, US-China talk during the week which supported the bullish momentum. With escalations over the weekend, Israel has continued its attack on key military and nuclear facilities as well as Oil Infrastructure including Iran's South Pars gas field, these escalations could lead to more safe heaven inflows and a RISK OFF sentiment when market opens, which could point to higher targets of 3450-3500, above 3430, the next resistance is 3500, which with such instability can easily be broken through. However Iran has communicated to the US that if Israel stops their attacks, they will also consider the same, Trump has drawn a red line and said they will not get involved unless American Lives are directly targeted, this is in spite of Israel requesting them to join the war multiple times as Israel does not have the equipment and armaments to complete the job. Trump wants them to make a deal and become the hero that accomplished it, this remains to be seen , but if talks do happen, expect a Risk ON environment where a drop below 3450 will find support/ bounce at 3350, 3304 and below that opens the floor to 3275 and below. We also have Monetary Policy this week with Pappa Powell speaking mid week, I believe rates will stay the same, with cautious Fed Policy, No rate change in June with inflation fears due to Tariffs. As always risk management should be No 1, combined with Tech and Funda knowledge, Trade Safe, this week will be very interesting. The next down move on Gold will depend on whether we get de-escalation headlines and if so then RISK ON with money moving into Risk Assets like the Stock Markets
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JOHNDOUGHFX
Central banks dominate calendar this week: Will Fed surprise?A pack of central bank decisions is set to drive market direction this week, with the Bank of Japan (Tuesday), Federal Reserve (Wednesday), Swiss National Bank (Thursday), and Bank of England (Thursday) all scheduled to announce their latest interest rate decisions. The Federal Reserve will, of course, take center stage. Despite President Trump’s continued call for a 100-basis point rate cut, Fed officials are widely expected to keep rates unchanged. However, softer-than-expected CPI and PPI data from last week may provide scope for a surprise. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is trading just above the key support zone at 98.00, a level not seen since early 2022. A decisive break below this area could open the door to further downside, potentially targeting the 96.00 region. However, a surprise from the Fed could trigger a rebound toward the 100.50–101.00 resistance band.
TVC:DXY
by BlackBull_Markets
Retail is 86% Long on GBPCHF… But Smart Money Is Setting a Trap📊 1. RETAIL SENTIMENT Long Positions: 86% – Average Entry: 1.1196 Short Positions: 14% – Average Entry: 1.0999 Current Price: 1.1010 Analysis: Retail positioning is heavily skewed towards longs, with the average long entry significantly above the current market price. This creates vulnerability to downside pressure through stop-loss hunting or a bearish squeeze. Such extreme retail bias often acts as a contrarian signal: smart money may continue pushing the price lower to flush out retail traders before any meaningful reversal occurs. 🧾 2. COMMITMENTS OF TRADERS – COT REPORT (June 10, 2025) 🔹 British Pound (GBP) Non-Commercials (Speculators): Net Long increasing by +7.4K → now at +51.6K Commercials (Hedgers): Net Short decreasing by -13.9K → now at -60.5K Total Open Interest: Decreased by -19K Interpretation: Speculators are maintaining strong long exposure on GBP, while commercials are covering some shorts—potentially signaling a short-term pause in bullish momentum. However, the drop in overall open interest suggests possible consolidation or short-term uncertainty. 🔹 Swiss Franc (CHF) Non-Commercials: Net Shorts reduced by -2.7K Commercials: Net Longs increased by +2.5K Total Open Interest: Increased by +5.6K Interpretation: The CHF is gaining strength. Commercial participants are increasing their long exposure while speculators reduce their shorts—this positive divergence supports a bullish outlook on CHF, especially against retail-heavy long pairs like GBP. 📈 3. CHF SEASONALITY – JUNE Average CHF Performance in June: 20-Year Avg: +0.0099 15-Year Avg: +0.0138 10-Year Avg: +0.0099 5-Year Avg: +0.0039 Analysis: Historically, June is a seasonally strong month for the Swiss Franc. This seasonal bias aligns with current macro conditions, reinforcing the bullish case for CHF. 📊 4. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (Daily Chart) Pattern: Descending channel with a recent false breakdown and re-entry Key Support Zone: 1.0980–1.1000 → tested and defended with a bullish wick Target Resistance: 1.1170–1.1200 → prior retail cluster, supply zone, and average long entry Scenario: A confirmed breakout of the channel could trigger a short squeeze toward 1.1170–1.1200 📌 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK The current GBP/CHF setup is technically and sentimentally delicate. The price sits on a major daily demand zone, while sentiment and macro flows suggest downside pressure remains in play—but also allow room for a potential contrarian rally (short squeeze). 👉 Action Plan: Wait for intraday/daily confirmation: Go long above 1.1045 (breakout confirmation) → target 1.1170 Go short below 1.0980 (bearish continuation) → target 1.0860
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
4
BTC/USD – Liquidity Sweep at Highs Signals Potential ReversalBTC/USD – 30-Minute Time Frame Analysis On the 30-minute chart, BTC/USD has recently executed a liquidity sweep above the recent highs, triggering stop-losses on the sell side. This stop-hunt behavior often indicates exhaustion of bearish momentum and the potential for a reversal. Given this development, a short opportunity is anticipated from the current region around 105600, with a clear invalidation level above the recent highs. Entry 105600 Stop-Loss 106312 Target 104002 This setup is based on price action and liquidity dynamics, suggesting short-term bearish pressure following the stop-run. Outlook: Bearish below 106312, targeting 104002 as the next key level of interest.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Anna_Wade
1
Turbulent Week Ahead? Gold Outlook June 9-13, 2025Hey fellow traders, Let's dive into the OANDA:XAUUSD outlook for the upcoming week, June 9-13, 2025. The recent price action has been a rollercoaster 🎢, and the next few days promise even more fireworks 🎇. Looking back at the 30-minute chart from May 22 to June 6, gold saw an initial consolidation, then a strong rally to multi-week highs near 3,420. However, this was followed by a sharp, dramatic reversal, pushing prices back below 3,300. This "bull trap" 🐂 pattern suggests underlying weakness and potential preemptive market positioning. Another view on this could be the possibility that a gap on the chart at 3300-3295 of around $5 could get closed. Since strong support is right below this, it could serve as a good launchpad 🚀 for an upward rally. Let's see if the upcoming Asia session on Monday triggers this because its only - $14 from $3309. Key Drivers for the Week Ahead: 📅 June 9, 2025 (Monday) US-China High-Level Trade Talks Commence in London High-level delegations from the United States and China began trade discussions in London. This meeting followed an announcement by President Donald Trump on Friday, June 6, 2025, who described a preceding 90-minute phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping as "very positive". The US delegation included Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, reflecting a coordinated approach to addressing complex trade issues. The talks were primarily aimed at resolving the ongoing bilateral trade war, with a particular focus on tariffs and the global supply of critical rare earth minerals.5 While no specific time for the commencement of talks was provided, it is understood they began during London's daytime, approximately (10:12 CEST /  04:12 EDT). These discussions occurred in the context of a temporary 90-day agreement reached on May 12, 2025, which had seen the US reduce its tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, and China reciprocate by lowering its tariffs on US goods from 125% to 10%.9 However, this temporary truce is set to expire in early August, and President Trump had recently accused China of violating the agreement, specifically regarding critical mineral exports. The broader bilateral relationship remains strained by issues extending beyond tariffs, including restrictions on advanced chips, student visas, and concerns over China's state-dominated economic model. The prompt scheduling of these high-level talks immediately after a leader-to-leader call suggests a tactical move towards de-escalation of immediate trade tensions, aiming to prevent a full-blown trade war. The objective appears to be managing current conflicts rather than achieving a fundamental resolution, especially with the May 12 agreement nearing its expiration. The core disputes, such as control over rare earths and technology, are deeply entrenched and reflect a broader geopolitical competition rather than mere economic disagreements. This pattern of temporary de-escalation followed by persistent underlying tensions indicates a long-term,structural competition. It suggests that trade policy is increasingly intertwined with national security and geopolitical strategy, implying that businesses should anticipate continued volatility and strategic decoupling in certain sectors, rather than a return to pre-trade war normalcy. Other big movers for gold will be the US inflation reports. 💥 📅 Wednesday, June 11 (14:30 CEST / 08:30 EDT): We get the crucial US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Watch for Core CPI (YoY) with a forecast of 2.9% and headline CPI (YoY) at 2.5%. 📅 Thursday, June 12 (14:30 CEST / 08:30 EDT): The US Producer Price Index (PPI) follows. Forecasts are for Core PPI (YoY) at 3.0% and headline PPI (YoY) at 2.6%. 📊 These numbers are critical. If inflation comes in hotter 🔥 than expected, it will likely strengthen the US Dollar 💵 and push real interest rates higher 📈, making gold less attractive. This could trigger further declines 📉, especially given the current market structure. Conversely, cooler 🧊 inflation could spark a significant rebound 🔄. Beyond US data, keep an eye 👁️ on speeches from various European Central Bank (ECB) officials throughout the week, including President Lagarde on Tuesday (23:15 CEST / 17:15 EDT). Their collective tone 🎤 could influence EUR/USD dynamics and indirectly impact the US Dollar Index, offering a counterbalance ⚖️ or amplification to gold's movements. Key Numbers and Technical Levels to Watch: Gold is currently sitting on a substantial speculative net long position of 187.9K contracts. This is a massive amount of bullish bets 📊🐂, making gold highly vulnerable to rapid liquidation 💣 if the fundamental picture turns sour. A "long squeeze" could amplify any downside move. Immediate Support: The 3,300 level is paramount. A decisive break below it would signal further weakness. Below that, 3,250 is strong technical support where we saw a bounce previously. Overhead Resistance: Look for resistance at 3,350-3,360, and then the recent peak of 3,420. Reclaiming these levels would require a significant shift in sentiment. Expect high volatility ⚡, especially around the US inflation releases. Trade smart 🧠, manage your risk ⚖️, and stay nimble! 🏃 Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍 India / Pakistan The ceasefire from May 10 is holding, but diplomatic relations remain frosty. India has launched a global image campaign to gain support, while Pakistan insists on dialogue and accountability. Outlook: Without substantial agreements on border terrorism and water issues, tensions will stay latently high, with potential for new escalation risks. ⚠️ Gaza Conflict Violence escalated again in early June. Israel intensified attacks, killing civilians seeking aid in Gaza City, and at least six people were killed at a distribution point. Outlook: The humanitarian situation continues to worsen 🚨, and international mediation efforts are urgently needed. However, an immediate ceasefire seems unrealistic. ❌ Russia / Ukraine In the first week of June, Russia launched one of its largest series of attacks: hundreds of drones and missiles hit Kharkiv and Kyiv, resulting in civilian casualties. Simultaneously, a planned prisoner exchange has stalled. Outlook: Strategic air attacks will likely continue 💥, and the prisoner exchange remains deadlocked. Without a diplomatic initiative, the conflict will stay entrenched. 🕳️ U.S.–China Trade War Following talks between Trump and Xi, new negotiation rounds are expected in London. China has opened up rare earth exports, a sign of cautious de-escalation. Outlook: If dialogue channels open 🗣️, systemic trust could grow, but genuine reforms remain uncertain. 🤔 🌐 Global Trade War The OECD has lowered its growth outlook to 2.9%, warning of protectionism 🧱 and delayed investments. The ECB is also maintaining synchronization with the FED. Outlook: Without de-escalation, the world faces a global economic slowdown 🐌 and permanent fragmentation of supply chains. 🔗 🏛 Trump vs. Powell Trump has again complained about the FOMC's hesitancy, nicknaming Powell “Too Late,” and demanding a full 1% interest rate cut. Outlook: Pressure is mounting 📣. Whether the Fed yields depends on if inflation and labor data allow for a loose policy. 🎯 💵 U.S. Inflation – May 2025 Forward-looking data shows a weakening services sector and consumer prices rising again as tariffs pass through. Official CPI data for May 2025 will be released on June 11. Outlook: Higher inflation could halt the Fed's "dereflexion" course — a dilemma ⚖️ between growth 📈 and price stability. 🛑 Technical View 📐 Regarding the major Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern on the 4H chart I shared previously, I'd like to explain some new developments that are altering its potential outcome. Since the price has re-entered and fallen below the neckline, I activated my "second brain cell" 🧠 to guess what could be next. This led me to revise the larger 4-hour chart structure with the adjustments shown in the accompanying image. As you can also see in the updated version below, a reversed H&S pattern remains a possibility, as the proportions still appear valid. 🔄 Potential Scenarios for Gold 🧩 Under this revised idea, Gold could potentially reach the neckline entry at 3397 (+88) from the current price. This is one plausible scenario. ✅ Alternatively, the price could drop further to the "Head" at 3120 (-191 from the current 3309), which would, of course, invalidate this H&S pattern. ❗ While this is speculative 🔮, given that trading often involves psychological movements and their resulting impacts, I believe this is a favorable approach to forecasting. Another reason to see it as bullish is the formed standard bull flag 🚩🐂. Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wick-Sniper
2
Potential long setup EURUSDTook almost two months for us to take April high well done for those who caught the move. This analysis will probably take a lot less time to play out. Friday closed with an inside bar which means you would have to go onto lower timeframes to see which direction makes more sense to go. I have not been given any reason fundamentally or technically to be bearish on the pair just yet so I will be targeting the high. The daily FVG is a key area to look at and if it fails and we start making bearish FVGs that could be a sign that we will start getting a weekly or even a monthly pullback. That's all I can say for now stay safe and flow with the markets.
Long
by Keyserfx
1
Crude Oil - we follow up with the momenetumCrude Oil Analysis: Why Prices Could Keep Rising Amid Israel-Iran Conflict? 🛢 🛢 🛢 📈 📈 📈The ongoing tensions between Israel and Iran have significantly intensified geopolitical risk in the Middle East—home to a third of the world’s oil supply. As hostilities escalate, crude oil prices are poised for continued upward momentum due to three key factors: 1️⃣ Supply Disruption Fears: The Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint through which 20% of global oil flows, could be compromised if Iran retaliates or is targeted more directly. Any disruption—even speculative—typically sends prices higher. 2️⃣ Production Uncertainty: Iran, a major OPEC member, may face new sanctions or physical damage to infrastructure. In retaliation, Iran could also target regional energy infrastructure, including in the UAE or Saudi Arabia, shrinking global supply. 3️⃣ Market Sentiment and Risk Premiums: Investors tend to price in risk quickly. With oil markets already tight due to OPEC+ cuts and tepid U.S. production growth, heightened instability adds a strong speculative premium. Bottom Line: Unless the Israel-Iran conflict de-escalates, crude oil has a strong bullish case. With limited spare capacity globally and increased geopolitical fragility, expect prices to remain elevated or climb further—especially if rhetoric turns into regional escalation. 💡 💡 📌 Trade plan ⬇️ Entry : On market open ✅Target : 79.00 ❌SL: 64.00
PYTH:WTI3!Long
by DG55Capital
Gold Ready for Bullish MoveXAU/USD 15-Minute Analysis – Bullish Continuation Setup Gold is forming a bullish structure above the support zone near 3427.100. Price has bounced from a demand zone and is now consolidating just below resistance. If the support holds, a bullish move toward the 3446.880 target area is expected. However, if price dips to retest 3427 and holds, it may offer a new long entry opportunity. Key Levels: • Support Zones: 3427.100 and 3419.215 • Resistance Target: 3446.880 • Outlook: Bullish above 3427
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by forextrading110
1
Gold (XAUUSD) Weekly Forecast - 16 to 20 June 2025🔥 Gold (XAU/USD) Weekly Outlook | June 16–20, 2025 🧭 Macro & Geopolitical Context Israel–Iran war (Operation Rising Lion) has escalated: Israeli strikes on Iran’s nuclear and missile infrastructure on June 13, followed by Iranian missile/drone retaliation, have sharply intensified regional conflict . The safe‑haven bid is in full swing: spot gold surged toward $3,500, breaking $3,400 last week, driven by risk‑off flows and a weaker US dollar . 🧩 Fundamental Catalysts 1. Fed dovish tilt: May CPI/PPI prints came in soft, lifting expectations for rate cuts. No change is expected at the June 18 meeting, but the Fed’s dot‑plot and Powell’s tone offer upside triggers . 2. Technical breakout: Gold has reclaimed key levels—23.6% Fibonacci (~ $3,377) now acts as support, with the next resistance zones at $3,450 → $3,500 . 3. Bank & analyst sentiment: Goldman Sachs sees potential for $3,700 by year-end; Bank of America projects a path toward $4,000/oz . 📊 Technical Setup & Levels Support: $3,400; next down at $3,377 (23.6% Fibo) and $3,325 (21‑day SMA) . Resistance: $3,450 → major barrier $3,500 (all‑time high). Momentum: RSI around 62—leaves room for further upside . Catalysts to Monitor June 18 Fed meeting: Dot‑plot, Powell’s press conference. Any Iran retaliation or widening of the conflict. Short‑term US data: June CPI, PPI, Retail Sales (especially mid‑week). USD strength or weakness—dollar reversal could clip gold gains. Follow for more updates #XAUUSD #GOLD #Goldanalysis #WeeklyAnalysis #trade
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by RANANADEEMFX
SOLUSDT | The Final Liquidity Hunt | $250 is the Next StopSOLUSDT is currently in an uptrend after recently breaking out of its extended downtrend to $95 which took out millions of long positions. Now, we are seeing yet another extended downtrend on the lower time frame, but the overall direction is still up. Last week, price action printed two very bullish pinbars at the $155 level which could have been considered support, where price was consolidating around late April. High leverage traders entered here and eventually got liquidated last Friday. Following the liquidity hunt, price reversed quickly, but not strong enough to reclaim the $155 zone. Many of those who were liquidated likely re-entered on this fast move, thinking that the liquidity hunt is over and price cannot move lower. I am anticipating one FINAL move down to $140 before the uptrend resumes. This will be the move that takes out the dumb money and where smart money will take their positions. The alternative is that the liquidity hunt never happens, and price breaks out of the falling wedge to resume its uptrend. What about macro and micro factors? ⚖️ Ripple vs SEC Case On 8th May, both parties agreed to settle, which ignited a massive market-wide rally. Unfortunately, their filings were rejected due to a procedural issue. The next deadline for refiling is on 16th June. Once accepted, we can expect another massive rally. 🤝 US-China Trade Talks This week, US and China will meet at the negotiation table again. On 12th May, US & China reached a deal in Geneva and sent markets on another rally. IF (big if) they come to another deal this time, we can expect another rally. ✂️ Fed Rate Cut Expectations The Fed talked about cutting interest rates in late 2025. They are currently in a "wait and see" stance however, due to uncertainties. Eventually we will see a rate cut, and I believe this would be a "buy the rumor, sell the news" event. Markets will price in the anticipated rate cut before it happens later this year. Our first price target is $250.
Long
by gunhy