APLD (Applied Digital):EARNINGS TRADE SETUP (2025-07-30)
🚨 **EARNINGS TRADE SETUP: APLD (Applied Digital)**
🗓️ Earnings: **July 31 (AMC)**
💥 Confidence: **65% Moderate Bullish**
🔥 Recent Run: **+94% past 3 months**
🧠 AI Infrastructure Hype + High IV = Opportunity
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### 📊 FUNDAMENTALS SNAPSHOT
🟢 **Revenue Growth**: +22.1% YoY
🔴 **Profit Margin**: -110.4%
🔴 **Operating Margin**: -34.7%
⚠️ Historical EPS Beat Rate: **12% only**
📈 Analyst Target: **\$14.61** (+42.8% upside)
🔎 **Verdict**: High growth, deep losses — speculative with upside
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### 🧠 OPTIONS FLOW
💣 **High IV Crush Risk**
🟥 **Put Wall**: \$10.00 (6,700 contracts)
🟩 **Speculative Calls**: \$10.50 & \$11.00 loaded
⚖️ Mixed Sentiment → Tilted Bullish
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### 📉 TECHNICAL CHECK
💹 Price: **\$10.12**
📉 Below 20D MA (\$10.31)
📌 Support: **\$10.00**
📌 Resistance: **\$10.50**
⚠️ RSI Cooling → Watch for breakout or rejection
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### 💥 TRADE IDEA
**🎯 Call Option — Strike \$10.50 — Exp 08/01**
💵 Entry: \$0.57
🚀 Profit Target: \$2.28 (200–400% ROI zone)
🛑 Stop Loss: \$0.285
📈 Size: 1 contract (2% of portfolio)
🕓 Exit: 1–2 hours post earnings to avoid IV crush
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### 🧠 TRADE LOGIC
Risky setup — but technicals + AI narrative + speculative flow = **earnings lotto ticket with strategy.**
💬 *"Speculation with structure beats blind YOLO."*
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📌 Tag a trader who likes calculated risk 📈
📉 Don’t forget to scale OUT, not just IN.
\#APLD #EarningsPlay #OptionsTrading #TradingView #AIStocks #YOLOWithStops #IVCrushProof #CallOptions #SwingTrade #BullishSetup
Fundamental Analysis
DXY with interest rates With interest rates remaining steady, the U.S. Dollar is currently moving in a bullish direction.
As shown in the chart, it seems likely that price will break the previous high and form a bullish Quasimodo (QM) pattern. The price may then reach the 50% Fibonacci level.
After that, we should wait and observe the market's reaction.
If price gets rejected from the 103 zone — especially if accompanied by a rate cut or bearish price action — we could see a sharp decline toward the 95 area.
This 95 zone also aligns with a key weekly Fibonacci support level on the Dollar Index.
As long as the Federal Reserve maintains its hawkish stance, the U.S. Dollar may continue its upward momentum. However, the 103–104 zone — which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a significant supply area — could serve as a strong resistance.
If price gets rejected from this area and we simultaneously see signs of a rate cut or weakening U.S. economic data, a trend reversal and corrective phase could begin. In that case, lower targets around 95 or even 93 could become likely in the medium term.
good luck
KNR Construction on the Highway to Resistance NSE:KNRCON 1M TF
🏭 INDUSTRIALS
(Infrastructure/Manufacturing – Govt Capex Tailwinds)
Hyderabad-B’luru Highway Contract-FIIs ↑2.7%
At the time of charting NRC was trading at 211
Trend 1M TF: Multi-year upward channel intact (orange lines), but price currently near the lower channel support.
Key Levels:
Immediate support: ₹176–180 (monthly support zone).
Resistance levels: ₹291–295 (Bullish Order Block + pivot S), then ₹353 (P) and upper channel resistance ₹470.
Structure: Price has been in a descending wedge (mini downtrend) within the bigger channel → typically a bullish reversal pattern.
Previous big red candles show capitulation; recent candles show reduced selling pressure → possible accumulation.
strong hands absorbing supply.
Breakout confirmation: Monthly close above ₹230–235 would validate wedge breakout and bring ₹291–353 in play.
📊 3. Fundamental Alignment (FA)
Macro context:
KRC operates in infrastructure/industrial RE/parks (if Krishnagiri/K Raheja Corp Ltd). Sector aligned with capex cycles and logistics growth in India.
Government push for Make in India, manufacturing, and warehousing supports demand.
Valuation: After a deep correction, valuations are at the lower end of historical range, making it attractive for long-term investors.
🧰 4. Strategic Outlook
►we'll follow this trade closely and within incoming week we'll up a close up view of 4h TF
Bias: Bullish reversal bias as long as ₹176 monthly support holds.
Accumulating around ₹185–211 zone.
Alternate scenario: Breakdown below ₹176 on volume → price could retest ₹150–140 support zone.
Always DYOR
See you on the other side
💡 Reflective Close
"Multi-year support zones often define💰trades for patient investors. Are you ready build positions when the market narrative is still fearful?"
$UNH Fighting Back After Sharp DropCurrently at $265.46, NYSE:UNH is trading below both its 50-period SMA (~$270.00) and 200-period SMA (~$285.00) on the 30-minute chart. The stock found support at $260.00, where it staged a small bounce, but it remains under pressure with clear resistance at $312.29. The trend remains bearish until a stronger reversal emerges. Awaiting UltraBuy signal — charting tomorrow's giants with UltraAlgo.
Major test for crypto bulls - BTC and ETH Bitcoin has dipped below $118,000, putting pressure on the bullish structure that’s held for the past two weeks.
The attempted breakout above $121,000 has failed, and price is now breaking down through the middle of the consolidation range, threatening short-term higher lows. On the 4H chart, this move resembles a failed breakout with a potential double-top near $121,000.
If Bitcoin can’t reclaim $116,000 quickly, the next downside levels to watch are $114,000 and $110,000.
Ethereum, meanwhile, has stalled just below $3,800 after a strong rally this month. Price action has flattened out over the past few days, with several failed attempts to push through that level. The key upside trigger remains $4,000.
But if $3,700 gives way, ETH may slide back to the $3,450–$3,300 region, where previous resistance and the rising trendline converge.
BITCOIN → Correction within a downward channel. 112K or 125K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is consolidating. However, a local downward trading range is forming relative to the current setup. What is the probability of a correction continuing to 112K or growth to 125K?
Daily structure: a local correctional channel within a global bullish trend. We have cascading resistance at 119.2, 119.6, 120, and 120.8. It will be quite difficult to break through this zone on the first attempt, but MM can use it to form traps and collect liquidity.
At the bottom, everything is simpler — a breakdown of the local bullish structure, the formation of an intermediate minimum, below which there is a void down to 112K.
Yesterday, relative to 115-116K, mm staged a massacre (trap) on both sides of the market.
Liquidity collection, return to the range, and growth. The reaction to the false breakdown of support is quite strong. Since the opening of the session, Bitcoin has been heading towards resistance, but there may not be enough potential to break through the upper resistance conglomerate, so I expect to see a pullback or decline to 116-115-114.
Resistance levels: 119.2, 120.1, 120.85
Support levels: 116.37, 115.67, 112
Technically and fundamentally, I do not see any drivers that could support the market (I am talking about Bitcoin, since the driver for altcoins is the decline in Bitcoin's dominance). It is possible that this may appear later. In the current situation, I am considering a false breakout and correction, as the market has not yet finished consolidating or correcting, and the current downward trading range may be extended.
PS: As the price moves towards resistance, it is necessary to monitor the reaction. The market itself will show what it is preparing for...
Best regards, R. Linda!
NAS100 - EXPECTING THE DUMPTeam, we got short well today with AUS200 - both target hit
we have set up the NAS entry , this is the entry price 23268 - 23200
STOP LOSS at 23100
Once it break above 23320 - bring stop loss to BE
Target 1 at 23320-60 - take 50%-70& partial
Target 2 at 23380-23400
LETS GO
ASML — Strong earnings, sharp drop on profit-taking. Second chanAfter a strong quarterly report, NASDAQ:ASML stock initially surged, but then dropped -7.6% in a single session. Most likely due to profit-taking and a broader tech sector correction. Still, the key $754 support held, and the uptrend remains intact.
Trade Setup:
• Buy Zone: $754–760 (on retest)
• Target: $849 (+12%)
• Stop Loss: $730 (below support and volume shelf)
• Risk/Reward: 1:8
Earnings were great, fundamentals are solid. This drop could be a shakeout before continuation. As long as $754 holds, bulls have a second chance.
Have been warned multiple times....BTC will FALL on retailersBTC has been consolidating at the top for a while, which is not very common. Have a feeling that crypto bros have been getting the scratch for more profit taking, but no sensible person will keep buying at the top when the market is already WAY overheated. Picked up early UltraBear signal on this, don't be the person holding to the bag for years. This bubble will burst, just like every other time! Always do your own due diligence, stay safe and get out if you can....
ETHUSD Long Setup: Targeting $4,000 After Bullish Reversal from ETH just swept the previous lows near $3,650–$3,700, clearing liquidity and flipping that zone into fresh support. This classic price action move often precedes expansion, and ETH looks primed for a continuation toward $4,000 in the coming sessions.
🧠 Technical Analysis
Previous Highs Swept: ETH took out the prior highs around $3,650–$3,700, trapping late shorts and grabbing liquidity.
Break of Structure: We've seen a clear bullish market structure form on the 4H and daily TFs, with higher highs and higher lows intact.
Support Zones:
$3,650–$3,700 (former resistance, now flipped support)
$3,550 (consolidation base before breakout)
Resistance Zones:
$3,950–$4,000 (psychological level + previous 2024 highs)
$4,100+ (weekly imbalance and potential extension zone)
Now that ETH has cleared short-term liquidity and confirmed demand on the retest, the path of least resistance appears to be up.
🔍 Fundamental Outlook
ETH ETF Narrative: Market anticipation for spot ETH ETF approval is heating up, boosting demand and institutional interest.
Reduced Sell Pressure: With the Shanghai upgrade long behind us, staking continues to increase, reducing circulating supply.
Macro Tailwinds: Risk-on sentiment in the broader market is aiding crypto momentum, especially for large-cap assets like ETH.
🎯 Target: $4,000
📉 Invalidated Below: $3,550 (if reclaimed by bears, invalidates bullish thesis)
GOLD: Multi-Timeframe Analysis Ahead of FOMCGOLD: Multi-Timeframe Analysis Ahead of FOMC
Gold prices may experience a short-term surge leading up to the FOMC announcement.
But what comes next?
Let’s break down the analysis, step by step.
For deeper insights, watch the full breakdown in the video.
Thank you!
Bearish Gold Outlook — Potential Flash Crash Imminent🔻 Technical Structure – Bearish Breakdown Brewing
Lower highs and lower lows forming on the daily and 4H timeframes — classic downtrend mechanics.
Price has rejected multiple times near $3,400–3,430, forming a strong resistance ceiling.
Support at $3,280–3,300 has been tested too many times— and each bounce is weaker. When support holds with less conviction, it's often about to break.
Volume spikes on red candles show smart money is exiting on down moves — signs of institutional distribution.
The **tightening consolidation range** looks like a **descending triangle** — usually resolves downward.
If $3,280 breaks, expect a **liquidity event**. Stops get swept, leading to a **sudden acceleration — possibly a flash crash** to $3,200 or lower.
🌍 **Fundamental Drivers – Macro Picture Is Turning Hostile for Gold**
1. Real Yields Are Climbing
U.S. real yields are up as inflation fades and the Fed stays hawkish.
Gold, being yieldless, suffers when investors can get positive returns from bonds.
2.The Dollar Is Gaining Strength
DXY is pushing higher, fueled by strong U.S. data and weak peers (euro, yen).
Gold priced in USD becomes more expensive globally — this suppresses demand.
3. **Rate Cuts Are Off the Table — or Delayed**
Market is pricing fewer and later rate cuts from the Fed.
This removes one of gold’s biggest bullish catalysts from earlier in the year.
4. Geopolitical Fear Is Cooling
No major escalation in Ukraine, Middle East, or Taiwan.
Without fear, gold loses its safe-haven premium.
5. Central Bank Buying May Have Peaked
Recent data from WGC shows some slowing in central bank accumulation.
If this institutional bid softens, gold could drop hard — few natural buyers remain above $3,300.
⚠️Conclusion: Gold Is Walking a Tightrope
The chart is a staircase down.
Macro fundamentals are no longer supportive.
A clean breakdown below $3,280 could trigger a **chain reaction** of automated selling and margin calls — **a flash crash is on the table**.
This isn’t just a correction — this feels like the calm before the storm.
$USINTR -Feds Leaves Rates Steady (July/2025)ECONOMICS:USINTR
July/2025
source: Federal Reserve
- The Federal Reserve held rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% for a fifth straight meeting, defying President Trump’s demands for cuts even after positive GDP growth .
Still, two governors dissented in favor of a cut—the first such dual dissent since 1993.
Policymakers observed that, fluctuations in net exports continue to influence the data, and recent indicators point to a moderation in economic activity during the first half of the year.
The unemployment rate remains low, while Inflation somewhat elevated.
Interest rates unchanged, sticking to my bearish idea.Look at my other posts and you''ll understand as to why, I was telling everyone to sell. There was a small sellers trap, we pushed up, at that moment I already had closed my positions. Now we go down to the other key levels. I'm done till the end of August. Will still post my setups, but won't take any trades. Stay safe and keep your funds safe. Hella Love!
USDJPY Setup: Prime Buy Zone with a Clear Target!Good morning my friends,
I've prepared a fresh USDJPY analysis just for you.
Currently, the most logical buy zone sits at 147.170. If price reaches this level and performs a retest, it’s likely to target the 149.185 level.
I'll personally be entering at 147.170 and waiting for my target: 149.000.
This setup is based on the 4-hour timeframe, so it may take some time to reach the target.
Every single like you give is a major source of motivation for me to keep sharing these analyses.
Thanks so much to everyone supporting with a like!
XRP WHERE ARE WE HEADED ? LEVELS TO LOOKOUT FORHey trading fam
So XRP is a fun one but based on BTC correcting and what we are seeing there are a couple thesis's that we currently have for it
Thesis 1: We break south from 2.98 lows: Levels to look out for:
2.80
2.70
2.68
Thesis 2: We break the highs of 3.29: Levels to look out for:
3.65
3.79
3.99
Trade Smarter Live Better
Kris
Bitcoin Are We Heading to 140K or 80K ??? Here is the Analysis Based on what is happening here is what we currently see with Bitcoin
Idea 1: If we can break 119K then here are the following levels Bitcoin can go to :
122K
126K
135K
140K
Idea 2: If we continue and break further bearish here are the levels BTC can go to
115,600
114,500
112,800
If we go below this level then a larger correction thesis would point us with a deeper bearish level
Happy Trading
Trade Smarter Live Better
Mindbloome Exchange
Kris
USD/ CAD Are We Heading to $1.46 Territory Watch OUT Afternoon Trading Family
Based on what we are seeing is a nice bullish run up to the following levels :
Levels To Watch For:
1) $1.39
2) $1.41
3) $1.43
4) $1.46
However be aware if we for whatever reason we sink back into the 1.35 territory then we could see a drop down to 1.34
Trade Smarter Live Better
Kris