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Fundamental Analysis

Re-defining Trading Psychology: A Functional ApproachRethinking Trading Psychology: A Functional Definition Trading psychology is often misunderstood or overly simplified in trading discourse. Psychology, by definition, is the scientific study of the mind and behavior. When applied to trading, trading psychology should be defined as the study of how our mental processes directly influence market structure through behavior—specifically through the act of placing trades. The Facts: How Humans Influence the Market Traders interact with the market in only a few meaningful ways: Placing entries Setting stop losses Setting take-profit (target) levels Though external variables such as news events can impact decision-making, they only affect where we choose to interact with the market—they do not directly move price. Price only responds to order flow , and all order flow originates from trader decisions. Therefore, these three actions—entries, stops, and targets—are the only real mechanisms through which psychology influences price action. Entry: The Initiator of Market Movement Entries are typically based on structural cues like engulfing candles or order blocks —price zones where a shift in momentum is visible. These areas act as high-probability triggers that prompt traders to take action in a particular direction. When enough buy orders are placed at a bullish signal, we see that reflected in the strength and size of bullish candles. Conversely, strong bearish signals generate concentrated sell-side pressure. This collective order flow initiates price movement—entries are the impulse drivers of the market. Stop Losses: The Creation of Liquidity Pools Once a position is opened, traders generally place stop losses behind significant structure—often just beyond the order block or engulfing pattern that prompted the entry. These zones become liquidity pools —clusters of pending orders that, when triggered, cause mass exits and reallocation of capital. When price returns to these zones, it forces traders out of the market, often resulting in sharp movements or false breakouts. This behavior is not coincidental; it is a byproduct of shared psychological behavior manifesting as clustered risk management. Take-Profits: Delayed Exit Pressure Alongside stop losses, traders also define target levels where they plan to close their trades. These levels can be calculated based on fixed R-multiples (2R, 3R, etc.) or drawn from contextual zones like previous highs/lows or supply and demand areas. As price moves into profit and hits these levels, traders begin to exit en masse. This diminishes order flow in the direction of the trade, often leading to hesitation or minor reversals—much like stop losses do when they are hit. Conclusion: Market Movement vs. Market Stalling To summarize: Entries drive market movement Stop losses and target levels stall or reverse movement This dynamic defines how human behavior—guided by psychological patterns—actually shapes price. In this framework, engulfments represent entry logic , while liquidity zones represent collective exit logic . Redefining Trading Psychology Contrary to popular belief, trading psychology isn’t just about “staying disciplined” or “keeping emotions in check.” While emotional control matters, it’s secondary to understanding how trader behavior creates cause-and-effect loops in price action. Having a trading plan is important—but deviating from that plan is not always due to emotion alone. It can stem from overconfidence, impulsivity, cognitive bias, or poor conditioning. These are psychological behaviors that affect execution, and thus, affect market movement. What’s Next In my next writing, I will explore how the sheer volume of market participants leads to herding behavior —the collective patterns that emerge from mass psychology and their role in creating consolidation zones, liquidity traps, and false breakouts.
Education
by The_Forex_Steward
3
XAUUSD H4 Outlook — 16 June 2025👋 Hello team, here’s where we stand before the upcoming key week: 🔎 The Narrative Gold remains in bullish control after weeks of controlled expansion. The clean breakout above previous major highs triggered liquidity resets that cleared significant weak-handed positions. Last week’s sweep into 3447 activated premium liquidity, trapping late buyers at the edge of impulsive highs. But the game is far from over — smart money continues to rotate liquidity at these extreme levels, using premium expansion to build further trap pockets both above and below. Behind this technical expansion, macro tensions continue to fuel underlying gold demand. Geopolitical uncertainties remain elevated with the Middle East escalation risk growing, while recent Fed positioning keeps rate path expectations flexible. The upcoming FOMC decision later this week will likely act as the true liquidity catalyst — until then, gold remains positioned for further inducement cycles as both buyers and sellers continue to get baited into traps. 🔼 Premium Supply Zones Price Zone Description 3447 – 3470 Weak high sweep — premium liquidity trap fully active 3500 – 3525 Main extension liquidity pocket — Fibonacci cluster (1.272 & 1.414 extensions) 3550 – 3570 Exhaustion inducement — full 1.618 premium extension stack 🔽 Demand Defense Zones Price Zone Description 3415 – 3395 Minor imbalance recalibration — short-term liquidity refill zone 3365 – 3345 Core breakout OB + FVG overlap — main recalibration zone if pullbacks extend 3285 – 3265 HTF bullish structure base — BOS origin + deep recalibration defense level 🎯 Where We Stand Right Now ✅ Smart money holds full control inside premium expansion. ✅ Inducement layers remain open both above and below current price. ✅ We expect short-term liquidity sweeps before any major expansion unfolds. ✅ No change in bias — bullish structure remains valid while 3285 holds. 🔐 The Mindset 👉 This is not the place for aggressive chasing. 👉 Liquidity will continue to hunt both sides into key events ahead. 👉 Our job is not to predict, but to position with discipline once liquidity confirms displacement inside the calibrated zones. 🚀 If this breakdown helps you stay locked: 💬 Drop a 🚀, leave your thoughts & follow for full sniper-level updates as we approach a volatile week ahead. Stay sharp — the trap is already in play. — GoldFxMinds
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
BITCOIN ATH INCOMINGI want us to fill these imbalances. Not just wick them or graze them, but truly fill them. Sit in them. Let price spend time there. Because time inside inefficiency is what gives others the chance to participate. It creates space for real transaction, not impulsive chasing but deliberate positioning. Ideally, I want to see price return to the imbalance in discount, a zone where price is considered cheap. That’s where buyers are most willing to step in. That’s where the opportunity lies. From there, I want to see a weekly body close inside the imbalance. Not a shallow reaction, but commitment. That confirms intent. Then we move, continue the bullish orderflow, and leave a fresh daily imbalance behind. We’ve seen this play out before. In the example we studied, price initially wicked into the imbalance, then came back and raided the low. That second move was the invitation. It gave the market time to transact. You could clearly see volume building, buyers stepping in, and the imbalance being filled with purpose. Only after that did we get the explosive move to the upside. Not before. The strength came after the market gave participants time to load up. Now, there is a top-side scenario on the chart where price could continue higher and form an imbalance above first. If the market is truly bullish, that’s possible, but it isn’t my preference. I’d rather see price reload deeper, offer value, and then expand. The roadmap is simple: return, fill, confirm, and climb. This isn’t just bullish continuation. This is controlled, calculated momentu
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by tristanmartinusdijkmanderojas1
EUR/NZD Bullish Continuation Given this macro backdrop, EUR-crosses—especially EUR/NZD—are benefiting from increased upward pressure. Here's how I’m viewing the current market structure: Key Technical Outlook: 📍 Scenario 1 – Intraday Momentum Entry: Watch how the market opens and closes on Monday. If price respects current support and shows bullish intent on the lower timeframes (e.g., 1H or 15M), that could be an ideal entry point to ride the continuation of this bullish trend. 📍 Scenario 2 – Breakout & Retest Entry: A more conservative but higher-probability setup involves waiting for a clear breakout above the major resistance level (marked by a red horizontal line on my chart). Once broken, monitor for a pullback and look to enter on the retest with a proper risk management strategy.
Long
by Onyukwu
XAUUSD FULL DAILY OUTLOOK — 16 JUNE 2025👋 Hello traders, welcome to a key week for gold. The bullish expansion continues to unfold cleanly, following weeks of calculated breakout sequences. After liquidating major liquidity pockets below 3120 earlier this year, gold shifted into controlled higher timeframe expansion. The breakout above May’s consolidation confirms full bullish structure control. However, we are now entering premium exhaustion territory, where liquidity traps become increasingly dangerous for emotional traders. This is where most fail — chasing late breakouts — but we stay patient and execute only inside clean zones. 🔎 STRUCTURE PROGRESSION ✅ Weekly BOS fully confirmed → higher timeframe bullish structure intact. ✅ Daily has printed higher lows at 3120 → 3246, leading to the recent higher high at 3448. ✅ Price is now extended into premium expansion. ✅ EMA 5/21/50 fully locked bullish — trend continuation bias. ✅ RSI remains firm but near extended levels. ✅ Fibonacci extensions above are now fully in play. 🎯 DAILY BIAS — 16 JUNE 2025 Primary bias remains bullish as long as price holds above 3355 structure. Price sits inside premium expansion, where liquidity traps may unfold near 3448–3505. Controlled pullbacks into 3405–3385 remain healthy for continuation, while deeper dips into 3325 open better risk-reward positioning. Bullish continuation remains the base case, but aggressive premium sweeps before FOMC remain highly probable. 🔼 DAILY SUPPLY ZONES Price Zone Context 3448 – 3460 Breakout premium supply (first liquidity trap zone) 3500 – 3505 1.272 Fibonacci extension — major liquidity pocket 3570 – 3575 1.618 Fibonacci extension — exhaustion premium trap 🔽 DAILY DEMAND ZONES Price Zone Context 3405 – 3385 Shallow pullback liquidity zone 3355 – 3325 Main Daily OB demand — structure protection 3290 – 3255 Deep flush zone — extreme HL recalibration zone ⚠ THE BATTLE THIS WEEK ✅ Price may attempt premium sweeps above 3448 → 3505 before any deeper correction. ✅ Below 3385 lies the first reactive zone for controlled pullbacks. ✅ FOMC remains the dominant macro driver — liquidity will likely front-run into Wednesday. ✅ Patience is key — the market may trigger both traps before any clear directional expansion unfolds. 🔐 Mindset Reminder: In premium we don't chase — we wait for the market to exhaust liquidity and show real intent. Our job is not to predict reversals, but to execute once liquidity confirms displacement. 🚀 If this helped you build your map for the week, hit that 🚀, drop your thoughts below, follow for full sniper insights. We trade clean. We execute precise. — GoldFxMinds
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook 16-20 JuneHello traders 👋, A powerful week ahead with extremely sensitive fundamentals in play. 🔎 Macro Fundamentals 🔥 FOMC rate decision + press conference coming up. This will set the tone for USD and risk markets. 🏦 FOMC statement + economic projections will guide the next dollar liquidity wave. 📊 Key US consumer data via Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales. 🏠 Housing sector updates: Permits, Starts, NAHB. 📈 Business inventories, Philly Fed, CB Leading Index, TIC flows. ⚠ Volatility expected to spike heavily mid-week during the Fed. The market is positioned for liquidity grabs, with strong potential for traps both sides. Execution requires sniper discipline. 🔬 Technical Structure — Weekly Chart Context Weekly bullish BOS confirmed. Weak High sitting at 3448, currently challenged. We are extended in premium territory after multiple bullish expansions. Main premium OB zone: 3445 - 3465, highly reactive zone. Discount demand stands lower around 3320 - 3280 and 3100 key weekly equilibrium. EMAs remain fully locked bullish. RSI approaching extended levels (71), risk of profit-taking spikes remains. 🎯 Key Weekly Levels Type Zone Comment 🔼 Resistance 3445 – 3465 Active premium trap zone 🔼 Resistance 3502 1.272 Fibonacci extension 🔼 Resistance 3572 1.618 Fibonacci extension 🔼 Resistance 3649 2.0 Fibonacci extension 🔽 Support 3320 – 3280 Last valid weekly OB 🔽 Support 3100 Weekly equilibrium & demand 🧭 Weekly Bias 🔧 Primary bias: bullish continuation still intact while weekly structure remains protected. Watch for sweeps above 3445-3465. 🔧 Potential correction risk from high-impact fundamentals (FOMC). Buy dips if structure holds. 🔥 If you enjoy this clean breakdown: hit that 🚀, follow & drop your thoughts below! Stay sharp traders — we execute with precision. — GoldFxMinds
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Oracle Just Frickin Exploded ....What the Hell Just Happened?!!When you hear the name Oracle, what comes to mind? Chances are, you're thinking of old-school databases, big enterprise contracts, or maybe Larry Ellison’s yacht. And you're not wrong — Oracle has been a software giant for decades. But behind the legacy, there’s a transformation underway that’s catching serious investor attention: Oracle is becoming one of the most quietly powerful cloud infrastructure players in the AI boom. So the real question smart investors should be asking right now isn’t: “Is Oracle still relevant?” It’s this: “Is Oracle still a smart investment at this price?” As a value investor who combines deep fundamental analysis with AI-powered tools, I’m going to walk you through a comprehensive breakdown of Oracle from a true value lens — one that cuts through the noise and gets to the numbers that actually matter. Whether you're learning how to value a stock or looking for your next long-term compounder, this guide will change how you see companies like ORCL. Let’s dive in. 🧩 First: What Even Is Oracle? To understand whether Oracle is a good buy, you first need to understand what it actually does — and how it’s reinventing itself in the AI era. 👇 TL;DR – Oracle in 3 Sentences: 💲It builds the databases that power much of the world’s enterprise software and runs mission-critical infrastructure for governments and companies. 💲It’s pivoting fast into cloud computing — and now claims cloud growth of over 70%, driven by demand from AI startups and enterprises alike. 💲With nearly 80% of its revenue coming from recurring cloud services, Oracle is quickly becoming an AI-first infrastructure provider. Oracle isn’t just the old guard anymore — it’s quietly competing with AWS and Azure for the future of cloud. 🧠 Understanding Value: What Makes a Stock Undervalued or Overvalued? Before we talk stock prices, let’s clarify something: Value investing isn’t about buying cheap stocks. It’s about buying great businesses for less than they’re worth. To determine whether Oracle is undervalued or not, I ran it through six institutional-grade valuation models — then created a weighted average fair value to account for both opportunity and risk. These models include: ✅ Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) ✅ Price-to-Earnings Multiples ✅ PEG Ratios ✅ Graham Formula ✅ Dividend Discount Model ✅ Forward Earnings Forecasts Let’s walk through them — simply and clearly. 💵 Market Snapshot (as of June 14, 2025) 🔹 Current Stock Price: $215.22 (All-time high) 🔹 Consensus Analyst Target: ~$230–240 (some stretch targets at $275) 🔹 My Fair Value Estimate (weighted model): $217.50 🔹 Upside Potential: ~1% base case, with a bull case of ~28%, bear case of -5-10%. 📊 Let’s Break Down the Valuation Models — One by One 1️⃣ Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) This model asks: “How much cash will Oracle generate in the future — and what is that worth today?” Assumptions: - Revenue grows at ~11% CAGR - 10% discount rate - Terminal growth at 2% Fair Value from DCF: $235.00 2️⃣ P/E Multiples (Price-to-Earnings) We look at how much investors are paying per dollar of earnings — adjusted for Oracle’s industry average. Fair Value from P/E: $220.00 (Oracle trades near 19× earnings vs. industry ~20×) 3️⃣ Forward P/E Valuation Forward P/E accounts for future earnings projections — critical for growth pivots like Oracle’s cloud expansion. Fair Value from Forward P/E: $240.00 4️⃣ Graham Formula Ben Graham’s method values a company based on conservative earnings and growth expectations. Fair Value from Graham Formula: $200.00 5️⃣ PEG Ratio (Price/Earnings/Growth) A PEG near 1.0 means the price matches growth. Oracle’s growth-adjusted valuation looks compelling. Fair Value Estimate from PEG: $250.00 6️⃣ Dividend Discount Model (DDM) Oracle pays a dividend, but it’s modest. This model gives a lower valuation since most profits are reinvested. Fair Value from DDM: $180.00 📊 Final Verdict: Weighted Average Fair Value = $217.50 At a current price of $215.22, Oracle is fairly valued — with more upside if growth exceeds expectations. BUT, I'd 100% wait for a pull-back. ⚖️ How I Weighed the Models (And Why It Matters) Some valuation models work better for mature dividend payers. Others capture future growth. For Oracle — which straddles both — we need a balanced lens. Here’s how I weighed the models: 🔹 Discounted Cash Flow (25%) Oracle’s predictable cash flows and stable margin profile make DCF highly reliable. 🔹 Price-to-Earnings (20%) Solid earnings and long-term contracts make the P/E model effective here. 🔹 Forward P/E (15%) We factor in strong earnings guidance and cloud growth momentum. 🔹 Graham Formula (15%) Good for conservatively modeling a legacy-heavy but evolving business. 🔹 PEG Ratio (15%) Captures Oracle’s accelerating cloud growth and valuation premium. 🔹 Dividend Discount Model (10%) Minor weighting — the dividend is nice but not central to the investment thesis. Result: A composite valuation of $217.50 — right around current prices, but with a stretch case closer to $275. 📚 Book Value Growth: Quiet Compounding in Action Oracle’s Book Value Per Share (BVPS) is often overlooked — but it's telling a quiet growth story. Here’s how it’s evolved: 🔹 2020: ~$52 🔹 2024: ~$80 🔹 5-Year CAGR: ~11% If this trend holds, BVPS could reach $142 by 2029. At the current P/B ratio of 2.7×, that implies a future price target of ~$384 — long-term investors, take note. This isn’t just noise. It’s what compounding looks like beneath the surface. 🔍 The Metrics That Matter Here’s what’s driving my conviction: 🔹 P/E Ratio ~19× — Slightly below industry average. Not overvalued. 🔹 Forward P/E ~18× — Sign of efficient earnings growth. 🔹 ROE ~25% — A solid return on shareholder equity. 🔹 Debt/Equity ~1.2× — Manageable leverage, not excessive. 🔹 PEG Ratio ~1.3× — Growth-adjusted value looks reasonable. 🔹 Free Cash Flow: $20.8B — Plenty of ammo for buybacks, dividends, or reinvestment. 🔹 Cloud Revenue Growth: Expected to surge 40–70% next year. This isn’t a sleepy old tech company anymore. Oracle is moving — fast. 📰 What’s Happening Right Now? 🔹 Q4 FY2025 Beat: $15.9B revenue (+11%), EPS beat 🔹 FY2026 Outlook: $67B revenue target, cloud growth >70% 🔹 Stock Surge: +29% YTD; +14.5% in a single day — best in 3 years 🔹 Record RPO: $138B — 41% YoY growth, signaling backlog strength 🔹 Some Analysts Cautious: Concerned about margin pressure and stretched valuations Oracle is executing. But it's also priced for near-perfection — which means entry timing matters. 📈 Technicals: What Do the Charts Say? Even fundamental investors should watch the chart. 🔹 Pattern: Inverse head & shoulders breakout 🔹 RSI: Overbought (~85) — signals short-term overheating 🔹 Support Levels: $180 and $154 — key zones to buy on dips 🔹 Next Resistance: ~$275 — stretch target on breakout continuation 🔹 Momentum: Strong buy signals from moving averages 📌 Recommendation: Wait for pullbacks between $180–200 for best risk/reward. 🧠 Bottom Line: Should You Buy Oracle? Let’s be real: Oracle isn’t flashy — but it’s doing something very rare: ✅ Accelerating growth in a legacy business ✅ Winning cloud infrastructure deals in the AI race ✅ Generating enormous cash flow ✅ Reasonably priced vs. peers If you want exposure to AI infrastructure without the megacap premiums of NVIDIA or Microsoft — Oracle might be the play. It’s not undervalued by much, but pullbacks offer a great long-term entry. Disclaimer: this is for informational purposes only. Do your own due diligence. 🚀 Want To Analyze Stocks Like This Without Doing All the Math? I built Wallstreet Alchemist AI to help investors cut through hype and analyze real value — using the same models I use professionally. 🎯 Try it for free (LINK IN PROFILE) — and let AI do the math, so you can focus on conviction.
NYSE:ORCL
by Wallstreet_Alchemist
POL Coin Alert: Big Move Incoming!As an analyst, I've identified the completion of Waves 1 & 2 of a major uptrend. Get ready for an explosive Wave 3 in POL! This looks like a prime accumulation zone, with profit targets eyeing $0.80 to $1.00. My invalidation for this count is $0.15. Disclaimer: This is my personal Elliott Wave analysis and not financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. Always do your own research (DYOR) before investing. #POL #Polygon #ElliottWave #Wave3 #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #PricePrediction #Bullish #MATIC #CryptoCurrency #MarketAnalysis #Trading #Invest #LongTerm #SwingTrading #Blockchain #DeFi #Altcoin #TechnicalChart
Long
by exprwebdev
Adjustment over? Uptrend coming?Information summary: A new round of air strikes by Israel against Iran on Friday has significantly escalated the conflict in the Middle East. Investors have quickly poured into traditional safe-haven assets such as gold, U.S. Treasuries and the Japanese yen. The market's current first choice for hedging geopolitical risks is gold, not the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar index rebounded slightly this week, but it has not become the main target of safe-haven fund flows, and gold has dominated the flow of safe-haven funds. Although risk aversion has become the main theme of the gold market this week, the Fed's policy trends are still the core variable affecting the long-term direction of gold prices. In this week's FOMC meeting, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged and hinted that it may only cut interest rates once this year. But Powell also pointed out that future policies will still depend on data, leaving speculation about reversals. Market traders generally believe that if the future inflation data falls more than expected or the job market slows down, the Fed's stance may turn dovish again, and gold prices may therefore gain new upward momentum. Trend analysis for next week: The weekly bullish trend extends, and there is still a lot of room for growth. After a round of decline last week, the weekly line closed this week again in a very strong position, and the daily rising trend channel resumed its operation. From the market alone, the gold price trend has been stabilizing above the middle track, and the bulls continued to line up at the opening of Monday. From the indicators, the middle track has been extending upward. Since May, the price has continued to create highs in the rising channel and has a tendency to challenge the historical high position of 3500, indicating that there is still room for upward movement in the short term. From the 1-hour chart, the price rose to 3447 and then made a short-term correction to 3420, and the correction has been sufficient. 3420-3415 forms the most important support area. If this position is touched, it is an opportunity for long trading; but the price may not fall back to the support line and rise directly. Before breaking the important neckline, no short strategy will be adopted at the beginning of next week. We can patiently wait for the opportunity to go long after the correction. Operation strategy: Buy at 3415-3420, stop loss at 3410, profit range at 3450-3455.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_1
GBP/AUD Trade Setup: Bullish Outlook Aligned with Fundamentals 📊 Market Insight: How Base Currencies Drive the Market One key lesson I’ve learned from my mentor is this: When a base currency is trending, it often pulls the entire forex market with it. For example: When the Dollar Index (DXY) is trending, the whole forex market tends to move with momentum. When the DXY is ranging, the entire forex market often consolidates or lacks clear direction. The same applies to EURUSD, another major pair. If EURUSD is trending, the whole market tends to trend. If it’s ranging, most of the market reflects that indecision. This happens because the USD and EUR are two of the most influential currencies in global markets — they affect risk sentiment, liquidity, and overall volatility. --- 🔍 GBP/AUD Analysis: The Power of Multi-Timeframe Perspective This week, I was analyzing GBP/AUD. My initial bias was bearish — I saw what looked like a clear drop and assumed the pair was falling. But I made a common mistake: I was zoomed in too closely, focused only on the lower timeframe structure. When I finally zoomed out to view the higher timeframes, I saw a different story: The market was not actually falling. What looked like a downtrend was just a retracement. It was a liquidity grab, tapping into demand zones and trendline support before continuing upward. This shift gave me clarity: GBP/AUD is still in a bullish trend and what I was seeing was just a setup for the next move higher. --- 🌍 Fundamental Bias: USD Weakness, GBP Strength Looking across the market: The Dollar Index is falling, signaling USD weakness. As a result, pairs like EURUSD and GBP/USD are rising. This tells me that GBP is currently strong, especially against weaker currencies like AUD. So, with GBP/USD trending bullish, it supports the idea that GBP/AUD will also rise, given GBP strength and AUD relative weakness. --- ✅ Trading Plan for the Week Ahead I use the weekend to prepare for the upcoming trading week by aligning my technical setups with fundamental bias. Current status: ✅ All technical confirmations are in place. ✅ My bias for GBP/AUD is bullish. 🕒 I’m waiting for the Monday open to see where price begins to trade from. 📉 Then I’ll drop to the lower timeframes (M15–H1) to find my entry. My targets are: 🎯 Target 1: Marked by the blue line on my chart 🎯 Target 2: Marked by the red line 🎯 Target 3: Higher up, beyond visible chart range due to screen limitations 💡 Final Takeaway This experience reinforces the importance of: Multi-timeframe analysis Zooming out to see the bigger picture Aligning technical setups with fundamental trends It’s not just about what the chart shows in the moment — it’s about the broader context driving the market.
Long
by Onyukwu
#XAUUSD[GOLD]:At Critical Level, Bullish Swing Is Very LikelyHey There Everyone, So, gold prices took a bit of a dip, hitting 3250 gold. But guess what? They bounced back like a rubber ball and reached 3332! And here’s the exciting part: they broke through that pesky bearish trend line. This means they’re probably going to retest that line to confirm the trend. Right now, it looks like they’re at a potential retest point, and that’s where things could get really interesting. If strong bullish volume comes in, the price could skyrocket! There are three possible targets here: 3332, 3362, and 3420. Now, here’s something important to keep in mind: next week, there are some big news and events coming up that could totally shake things up in the gold market. And let’s not forget about price manipulation. If someone tries to mess with the price, it could drop back to 3250 and then reverse course. So, it’s crucial to have backup plans in case of any unexpected twists. The US dollar is also going to be all over the place due to upcoming news, which could disrupt the gold market and other currencies. So, it’s best to trade cautiously today and next week. The price can be a bit unpredictable, so take your time to do your own analysis and assess your risk before making any moves. Good luck and trade safely! We wish you all the best in your trading journey! Cheers, Team Setupsfx_
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
10
XAUUSD: Still Bullish with improved entry zones! Gold experienced a sudden drop today, falling to 3335 after briefly reaching 3391. This unexpected decline was not anticipated given the bullish price momentum. However, it has provided clarity for buyers, particularly swing traders. The price could drop to 3340 once more before reversing and hitting our first target, followed by a second target later. Another possible scenario arises if the price continues to drop further. In this case, the second entry scenario becomes more secure, as Asian session volatility could cause the price to go sideways. Please use accurate risk management and consider liking and commenting on this idea. Good luck and trade safely. Team Setupsfx_
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
XAUUSD: +1500 TO +2200 PIPS Major Swing Move in Making, Two AreaThe first day of the trading week has seen Gold skyrocket, clearly indicating a bullish price direction. Our recent analyses had clearly shown this, and the volume confirms further bullish momentum. Additionally, the NFP news this Friday will be a trend changer, regardless of its positive or negative impact on the USD. There are two potential take-profit targets. Before taking entry, please conduct your own analysis. Good luck and trade safely, Team Setupsfx_
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
26
XAUUSD:06/06/2025 Update! Gold experienced a decline to 3314 following the release of unexpectedly strong NFP data. However, this decline is unlikely to lead to further price drops below 3314. This is primarily due to the ongoing turmoil within the president’s own political party, which is only just beginning to unfold and will likely intensify in the coming weeks. Before making any trading decisions, it is advisable to conduct your own analysis. Additionally, the current price action has established an AB=CD pattern, where the price has successfully reversed from point ‘d’. This pattern suggests that waiting for the price to break out could be a prudent strategy for a safe entry. Three targets have been reasonably set, with the potential to reach target two. However, the target three remains uncertain. The total potential profit from this idea is approximately 1300 pips. It is also important to monitor the DXY closely. We recommend waiting for the price to complete its bullish correction before taking an entry on gold. We sincerely hope that this analysis proves beneficial. Please consider liking, commenting, and sharing this post to encourage us to provide more such insights. Best regards, Team Setupsfx_
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
6
XAUUSD: Gold Crossed $3400 For The First, What Next? Gold has crossed the 3400$ region for the first time after a period of consolidation and correction. We are now on the verge of crossing $3450 and potentially touching $3550, which would set a new record for gold. With accurate risk management, you can monitor three potential targets. You can take entry on these ideas based on your own bias. Good luck and trade safely. If you like our idea, please like, comment, and share. Team Setupsfx_
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
2
EURUSD DOWNSIDE BIAS WITH 3 CONFLUENCESMY ANALYSIS AND PROJECTIONS FOR EURUSD NEXT TARGETS FOR THE WEEK JUNE 16TH TO 21ST I have a strong downside bias going into this week for the EURUSD. On the daily chart it has currently made a double top while clearing the 1.16 level and making a nearyy 4 year high for the pair. The next movement I believe would be to complete that downward stroke of the M pattern and this is supported by 2 other confluences. 1. There are overbought conditions for the EURUSD and there is a 0.5% Fibonacci target of retracement for the pair for its Strong bullish move from 1.02 to 1.16,Spanning from February till June 2025. That target is at around 1.09 price level 2. Another important confluence is fundamentally driven and this is due to the Iran/Isreal war and middle East tensions which would drive the US dollar buying making it stronger and bullish due to its safe haven status.
Short
by nickorov
GBPNZD Important Resistance and SupportThe pair is heading towards the resistance at 2.363, which has not been tested by the sellers, so there are still many sellers waiting in this area. The uptrend could extend to 2.276, the highest peak of last month. If the resistance at 2.263 cannot be broken, then 2.238 is the sideway border of the pair, which helps support the price increase. When it breaks out, it confirms a reversal to the downtrend. The price reaction zone can be noted around 2.229 before touching the strong support zone at 2.220. Support: 2.238, 2.229, 2.220 Resistance: 2.263, 2.276
by VHT_Trader