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WTI remains supported on Russia sanctions threatIt is worth keeping an eye on the energy markets, given the recent bounce from a key support area around $65.00. With WTI moving back above the 200-day average at $68.00, this is an additional bullish sign from a technical standpoint. This level is now the first support to watch, followed by $67.00 and then that $65.00 key level. Resistance comes in at $70.00 followed by $72.80. From a macro point of view, President Trump’s decision to bring forward the deadline for Russia to agree to a ceasefire has ever so slightly heightened the prospect of secondary sanctions being imposed on foreign purchasers of Russian crude — namely China, India, and Turkey. There is a risk we could see a spike in oil prices, if fears of Russian supply being curtailed, intensifies. At the same time, fears about demand have receded with the announcement of a few trade deals by the US and recent economic data from Europe and the US both showing mild strength. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com.
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
UNH in trouble? Key support at $250 before deeper dropDear traders and followers, the UnitedHealth group chart has been in a clear downtrend since mid-April, with a potential bottom forming around $250. If this level breaks, the next strong support lies in the $200–220 zone. This is my preferred entry zone A stop-loss below the COVID crash low is advisable to manage risk. The stop-loss should be mental and only triggered if a weekly candle closes below the low. Fundamentally the stock faces uncertainty due to ongoing lawsuits and potential policy changes under a Trump administration. While UNH remains a strong long-term investment, the road back to the $400 level will likely be slow and challenging, requiring patience and resilience from investors.
NYSE:UNHLong
by DK_Investment
EURGBP Analysis : Bearish Leg Nearing Completion + Target Zone📍 Overview: The EURGBP pair has recently provided significant price action signals that suggest a high-probability reversal setup is unfolding. This analysis dives deep into market structure, supply and demand dynamics, and institutional price behavior using MMC principles. The current focus lies in identifying a potential trend reversal opportunity after a sharp decline from a key supply level, as price nears a well-marked Reversal Zone. This detailed breakdown covers each phase to provide clarity and trade planning. 🧩 Phase 1: Consolidation Phase (Accumulation) From July 11th to July 24th, EURGBP moved sideways within a clearly defined range-bound structure (highlighted in green). This consolidation indicates a battle of control between bulls and bears, typically signaling accumulation or distribution depending on breakout direction. The tight price action and wicks on both sides suggest market makers accumulating positions before a breakout. Price eventually broke out to the upside, confirming bullish accumulation rather than distribution. 🚀 Phase 2: Impulse Move & 2x Supply Rejection Following the breakout from the consolidation, price experienced a strong impulsive rally, catching breakout traders and pushing into a major supply zone. The area where price reversed is marked as a 2x supply rejection zone, suggesting heavy institutional sell orders were triggered. This zone aligns with a historical resistance level and is critical in the current structure. Price failed to sustain the bullish momentum, forming a sharp drop right after tapping into supply, indicating strong selling pressure. 🔄 Phase 3: Market Structure Shift via QFL (Quick Flip Levels) As the price dropped from the supply zone, two significant QFL levels were printed in quick succession. QFL (Quick Flip Levels) represent a break in internal structure, showing that buyers were no longer defending the previous support zones. These quick flips signal an aggressive shift in momentum from buyers to sellers. Each QFL breakdown was followed by a new lower low, confirming the start of a bearish sequence or trend leg. 📉 Phase 4: Descending Trendline & Dynamic Resistance After the QFL shifts, a clear downtrend channel formed, respected by multiple lower highs. The descending trendline drawn from the supply zone peak has acted as dynamic resistance, rejecting every bullish pullback attempt. This trendline provides technical confluence for intraday traders to manage risk and timing entries. 🟠 Current Market Context: Entering the Reversal Zone Price is now approaching a marked Reversal Zone (highlighted in orange). This zone represents a high-probability demand area, previously respected as a base before the rally to supply. If price reaches this area and shows signs of exhaustion (e.g., bullish engulfing, long wick rejection, volume divergence), it may serve as a reversal point. This zone aligns with MMC logic — market makers tend to react at zones of trapped liquidity, especially after stop hunts. 📈 Projected Scenario & Trade Setup: Price drops into the Reversal Zone A bullish rejection pattern appears (e.g., pin bar, engulfing candle) Price retests and breaks the descending trendline to confirm a momentum shift Entry can be taken post-breakout or with aggressive confirmation inside the zone Stops placed below the zone; targets aligned with the previous QFL or trendline retest ⚠️ Key Notes for Traders: Don't chase the move. Wait for reversal confirmation before entering. QFLs offer strong structure-based levels to identify where the market flipped. Use trendline confluence and volume confirmation for precise entries. Monitor price action in the Reversal Zone — if invalidated, the downtrend may extend toward the next macro support. Apply proper risk management and stay patient for the setup to fully develop. 📊 Summary: 🧭 Bias: Short-term bearish → possible reversal bullish 🎯 Entry Area: Reversal Zone (0.85800 – 0.86000 approx.) ⛔ Invalidation: Clean break and close below 0.85700 🏁 Potential Target: First TP near 0.86750; extended TP near 0.87050 (previous QFL level) 🔄 MMC Approach Recap: This analysis follows the Market Maker Cycle (MMC) method, which involves: Consolidation (Accumulation) Manipulation (False Breakouts or Stop Hunts) Distribution (Rapid Expansion & Flip Levels) Re-Accumulation or Reversal Each step is clearly defined in this chart, offering a blueprint for both trend traders and reversal specialists. 💬 Let's Talk: What do you think about this setup? Are you seeing similar MMC patterns on other EUR or GBP crosses? Drop your thoughts, charts, and questions below!
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
ETF News Meets the Charts: ETH, BTC, XRP, and SolanaFirst you probably want to watch this video: 📊 ETF News Meets the Charts: ETH, BTC, XRP, and Solana 🔥🚀 The SEC’s new in-kind ETF ruling is a macro-level reset. But as always — we bring it back to the charts 📉🧠 Here's the visual breakdown of what I'm watching and why: 🏛️ ETF Approval = Real BTC/ETH Usage Starts Now ✔️ ETF issuers can now create/redeem with actual Bitcoin & Ethereum ✔️ Real spot demand, better arbitrage, and tighter price tracking ✔️ TradFi goes crypto-native — this changes how ETFs settle But the market? Shrugged. That’s why we watch price structure — not headlines alone. 📈 What the Charts Are Telling Us: 🔷 Top Left – Ethereum (ETHUSD) Breakout triangle forming after the unicorn setup at $2,912. Momentum building for the third breakout attempt at $4,092 🔥 Fuse lit. Target: $6,036 🔷 Top Right – SOLETH Solana bleeding against Ethereum — just as forecasted months ago. Rust tech, but memecoin dilution is hurting its institutional appeal. Solana will keep paying for their mistakes and damage done to Crypto! 🔷 Bottom Left – XRPBTC Wedge breakdown playing out. XRP continues underperforming. This chart was paired with a BTC dominance hedge — and dominance rose right after. XRP and dark pools is something I will cover..No, i don't like XRP, sorry. 🔷 Bottom Right – Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Fib extension points to next possible macro leg: 🚀 0.618 = $131,736, 🟡 Final cycle target zone near $163K (or more? or 130k max?..we will find out) 🇨🇳 China: Rumor or Tumor? Unconfirmed sources say China may be prepping a Bitcoin move. But let’s stay grounded: 🧠 It’s a rumor. Or a tumor. There’s a 40% chance we get bad news instead — so keep your expectations realistic. Still, if true, it could mean: BTC in reserves Regulated mining zones Digital Yuan–BTC integration 🧯 Nothing official yet. But timing near the BRICS summit makes it worth watching. 🧠 Key Altcoin Narratives: 🔹 Ethereum L2s (ARB, OP, BASE) – ETF gas pressure = L2 scalability play 🔹 DeFi (UNI, AAVE, LDO) – TradFi flows into real DeFi utility 🔹 Staking Derivatives (LDO, RPL) – Institutions love yield 🔹 Oracles (LINK) – Real-time price data needed for ETF tracking 🔹 BTC Bridges (ThorChain, tBTC) – Infrastructure plays if BTC moves on ETH rails 🚫 What I’m Not Touching: ❌ Memecoins ❌ GameFi ❌ Ghost Layer 1s 📽️ Full breakdown is in my latest video — check it out from the video ideas tab for full context. Stay sharp. Stack smart. Structure > noise. One 💙 Love, The FX PROFESSOR Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Long
by FX_Professor
EURUSD Analysis – Supply Zones & Reversal Opportunities (MMC)Today’s EURUSD analysis focuses on identifying major supply zones, potential reversal points, and directional bias using the Mirror Market Concept (MMC) on the 8-hour timeframe. 1️⃣ Market Structure & Channel Supply Zone The market recently formed a descending channel 📉, acting as a full supply zone where sellers dominated. Every time price touched the upper boundary of this channel, we saw bearish reactions, proving this zone as a strong liquidity grab area. Breakdown from the channel: After repeated attempts to break the channel to the upside, sellers regained control, pushing EURUSD lower and confirming bearish momentum. 2️⃣ Central Reversal Zone (Decision Point) ⚖️ Currently, price is consolidating around the Central Reversal Zone. This zone is crucial because it can act as: Reversal Point 🟢: If buyers step in aggressively, we might see a bullish leg toward previous swing levels, targeting resistance zones. Continuation Zone 🔻: If sellers maintain pressure and break below this level, momentum will shift strongly bearish, aiming for deeper support. Price behavior here will define short-term direction. Traders must wait for confirmation before committing to large positions. 3️⃣ Next Major Reversal Zone (High-Probability Demand) 🟩 Marked in green, this zone is expected to attract buyers if the current level fails. Historically, these areas show high liquidity grabs and institutional activity. If price reaches this zone, we expect significant bullish interest, making it a high-probability reversal area for medium-term buy setups. 4️⃣ Trade Scenarios Scenario 1 (Bullish Reaction 🟢): Price bounces from the Central Reversal Zone. Possible targets: Previous structure highs inside the channel break zone. Scenario 2 (Bearish Continuation 🔻): Price fails to hold above and breaks lower. Target: Next Major Reversal Zone for fresh liquidity accumulation. 5️⃣ Trading Approach & Risk Management 🛡️ Aggressive Approach: Intraday traders can scalp inside the Central Reversal Zone but must keep tight stop-losses to avoid fake-outs. Conservative Approach: Wait for a clean break and retest confirmation, especially near the Next Reversal Zone for high-probability trades. Maintain risk-to-reward (RR) ≥ 1:2 and avoid emotional trading during reversal attempts. Summary: EURUSD is at a critical juncture. The current market structure shows a bearish tone, but the Central Reversal Zone can still cause a temporary bullish reaction. A failure to hold will open the path toward the green reversal demand zone, where major buyers are likely to appear.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
ETH - BTC ETF News: What It Means for the Market+ China Rumors 🚨 ETH - BTC ETF News: What It Means for the Market + China Rumors 💥🌐 July just ended with a crypto bombshell 💣 — and the market is barely reacting. Let’s break it down: 🧠 One part hard news. 🌀 One part geopolitical smoke. 🎯 All parts worth watching if you care about macro market shifts. 🏛️ SEC Approves Real BTC & ETH for ETF Flows (July 29) Say goodbye to the cash-only ETF model. The SEC now allows direct in-kind creation/redemption of Bitcoin and Ethereum in ETFs. That means providers like BlackRock, Fidelity, VanEck can now use actual BTC/ETH, not just synthetic tracking. ✅ Bullish Impact: 💰 Real Spot Demand: ETF inflows = real crypto buying 🔄 Efficient Arbitrage: No middle step via cash = faster flows 🧱 TradFi + Crypto Merge: ETFs now settle with crypto — not just track it 🎯 Better Price Accuracy: Spot ETFs reflect true market value more cleanly 📉 The market reaction? Mild. But don’t get it twisted — this is a structural reset, not a meme pump. ⚠️ But There’s a Bearish Angle: 🏦 Centralized Custody: Crypto now lives in Coinbase, Fireblocks vaults ⚠️ Network Risks: ETF performance now tied to ETH/BTC uptime 🧑‍⚖️ Regulatory Overreach: More hooks into validator networks, MEV relays 🌊 Volatility Risk: Panic redemptions = real BTC/ETH sold into open markets Still, this is good news for Ethereum in particular. Why? Because ETH isn’t just money — it’s infrastructure. And now Wall Street is finally using it, not just watching it. 🇨🇳 And Then There’s China… Rumor or Tumor? Crypto Twitter is swirling with unconfirmed whispers from July 29 that China may be prepping a major Bitcoin statement ahead of the BRICS summit. But let’s be clear: 🚨 It’s a rumor. Or a tumor. 🧠 And like many tumors in crypto — there’s a 40% chance it brings bad news. 🤕 Still, here’s what’s being floated: 🧠 Speculations Include: 🔓 BTC re-legalization in “special finance zones” (HK-style) 🏦 BTC in national reserves (!) 🤖 CBDC integration or smart contract interoperability ⚒️ Return of official state-backed Bitcoin mining 🧯 But no official sources. Just geopolitics + timing. China’s FUD/FOMO pattern is Bitcoin tradition — don’t get trapped by hopium. But if even half of it is true... buckle up. 📈 Ethereum Leads the Charge — But Watch These Alts: If ETFs go fully crypto-native, some sectors light up 🔥 🔹 1. Ethereum Layer 2s (ARB, OP, BASE) → ETF gas pressure = L2 scaling demand 🔹 2. DeFi Protocols (UNI, AAVE, LDO) → TradFi liquidity meets on-chain utility 🔹 3. ETH Staking Derivatives (LDO, RPL) → Institutions want yield = LSD narrative grows 🔹 4. Oracles (LINK) → ETFs need trusted on-chain data = Chainlink shines 🔹 5. BTC on ETH Bridges (ThorChain, tBTC) → If BTC flows into ETH-based ETFs, bridges light up 🚫 What I will Avoid: ❌ Memecoins – zero relevance to ETF flows ❌ GameFi – not part of TradFi’s roadmap ❌ Ghost Layer 1s – no users, no narrative, no pump 🧠 My Take: ETH is building momentum toward $4,092 — the third breakout attempt on your 1-2-3 model. 🔥 The fuse is lit. Target? $6,036 Timing? Unknown. But structure is in place. Meanwhile, Bitcoin Dominance is rising. ETH is shining. Solana — while powerful — continues paying the price for memecoin madness 💀 We’re entering a new phase — where ETFs settle with real crypto , China watches the stage, and macro money is warming up behind the curtain. So stack smart. Study the flows. Don’t let silence fool you — the biggest moves come after the news fades. One Love, The FX PROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
CRYPTO:ETHUSDEducation
by FX_Professor
3
The Unicorn Breakout – Regression, Madness & Meme Math🦄 The Unicorn Breakout – Regression, Madness & Meme Math FX_Professor | July 14, 2025 🎨 Welcome to my world… Some draw straight lines. I draw quadratic regression channels, alien spirals, and unicorns. Because sometimes, the market is not just math — it’s emotion, storytelling, and madness therapy. This chart isn’t just analysis. It’s a prophecy. It’s a canvas. It’s for the traders who still feel. 📈 What are we looking at? 🧠 The Setup: - Quadratic Regression Channel: Anchored from the 2018 top, respected for over 7 years. ETH is bouncing off the midline like it heard destiny calling. - Major Resistance: The $2,900–$3,100 zone is our historic ceiling. Marked as 1 – X – 2… and next, not maybe but SURELY the decisive number3? 🚨 (X stands for 'no touch' ie 'close but no cigar' - Look at my recent BTC 1-2-3 breakout posts!) - My Golden Cross: Quietly forming support. Check that xx/Xxx Secret EMA crossover. Setup reserved as a little family secret destined to be passed on to my sons (and some of you!). - Alien Spiral (not Fib 😉 ): A colorful vortex leading us toward areas of re-accumulation and expansion. ETH is now riding the 0.382 arc — and you know what that means... 🚀 Targets: - $4,000 — First milestone and zone of psychological resistance - $6,034 — Mid-regression line + historical extension - $8,674 — Unicorn Target Zone. Meme ATH + Euphoric breakout + Regression logic 👽 The Floor: $1,067 – $1,492 — Alien Support Range™. If we nuke, that’s where we land, in pain. That's when we apply for jobs at Taco Bell (at least i love the food there, i am prepared for that scenario too). 🦇✨ Ethereum Community — this might be your time. Dear ETH fam... This isn't hopium. This is regression math meeting Breakout Structure. ETH has reclaimed key levels, rotated capital is flowing, and Bitcoin dominance is peaking. . WAIT FOR MY ETHBTC ANALYSIS (ON SUPPORT AND REBOUNDING) The Unicorn doesn't knock twice. If Ethereum Season is real — this chart might age beautifully. 🤹 Why the chaos? Because markets are art. Because crypto is culture. (and yes it's also 90% shit, you will hear a lot about that when that time comes). Because every emoji here has meaning: 🦄 = Imagination 👀 = Momentum watchers 👽 = Alternative thinking 🏈 = Painful resistances, mental and physical toughness builds champions. Patience Wins! 🥶 = Cold accumulation 🧑‍💻 = Professor mode 🐧❤️‍🔥🐤🦩 = Read below… 🧊 The Penguin Message Bottom right, you’ll see a penguin family : A penguin, a flamingo, a baby chick, and a blue heart. That’s not just decoration — it’s the real alpha. 💙 The best blockchain is YOU. 👶 The best altcoins are your CHILDREN. 🧊 The best staking is your FAMILY. Trade smart. Build cool stuff. But don’t forget to be a good human. The charts will wait. But your people won’t. Spend time wisely: Learn skills, invest in YOURSELF, enjoy moments with loved ones, make others smile, be that change in the world.... and if you don't have kids then what on earth are you doing?? Go get laid, now! You are ready, stop thinking, just Do It (disclaimer: unless you have 5 already, in that case pls invest in condoms) Share this with someone who needs to see this. Or just save it as 'ETH season'. FX Professor — out. 🦄📈👁️ #ETH #Ethereum #UnicornBreakout #CryptoArt #QuadraticRegression #Altseason #TradingView #ChartTherapy #BeAGoodHuman
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by FX_Professor
15
USDJPY Forming Bullish Reversal | MMC Analysis + Target🧠 Chart Overview (2H Timeframe) 🔸 1. Head and Shoulders Inverse Pattern – MMC Bullish Blueprint The chart beautifully shows an Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, one of the most powerful reversal signals under MMC logic: Left Shoulder: Formed after the initial drop and quick recovery. Head : Deep liquidity grab and reversal from the lowest point (demand zone). Right Shoulder: Higher low structure, indicating reduced selling pressure and shift in momentum. This pattern is forming around a previous liquidity zone, which makes it more valid and aligned with smart money behavior. 🔸 2. Retesting Zone – Critical MMC Demand Area Price is now retesting a highlighted demand zone, which acted as the springboard for the previous bullish move: Bullish Pattern marked aligns with MMC’s concept of “Return to Origin”. This zone also sits just above the right shoulder, confirming that buyers are defending aggressively. If this level holds, we may see a strong continuation move to the upside. 🔸 3. Previous Reversal Zone (Supply) – Next Target Area Marked in light green, this area is the next critical resistance: Acts as liquidity target for institutions if price rallies. Historically acted as a major reversal point. Price is likely to show reactions or profit-taking behavior here. Once broken and retested, it becomes a new support for further upside continuation (as marked on the chart). 🔸 4. Dual Scenarios – Bullish vs Bearish Pathways Your chart correctly outlines two strategic possibilities: ✅ Bullish Scenario: Price respects demand zone. Breaks above previous reversal zone (149.000+). Bullish continuation toward 149.800–150.500 range. MMC tip: “If it goes bullish, use previous demand or double it” = Add confluence or stack demand zones for scale-in entries. ❌ Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below retesting zone, bullish invalidation triggers. Look to the previous all supply zone (Zone Pattern Must) for next reaction. This scenario reflects smart money rejection of upside continuation. 🗂️ MMC Structural Elements Identified: Zone/Pattern Role in Analysis Inverse H&S Trend reversal signal Retesting Zone Demand/entry area Previous Reversal Zone First key resistance / next liquidity pool Supply Zone Below Target in case of downside breakdown MMC Logic Follow price structure, fakeouts, demand/supply traps 📈 Summary Outlook: USDJPY is showing a technical bullish structure backed by MMC-based price psychology. The current pullback into a demand zone gives traders an excellent R:R opportunity for long positions, targeting higher zones upon breakout confirmation. 🟩 If bullish, breakout >149.000 will likely lead toward 150.000+ 🟥 If bearish, breakdown <147.600 opens doors to deeper drop toward 146.000 zone (watch for reversal pattern). 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: Type Level Range Notes Support 147.600–147.800 Current retesting demand Resistance 148.800–149.300 Previous Reversal Zone (Profit booking area) Higher Resistance 150.500+ Final upside objective Breakdown Zone <147.500 Flip to bearish scenario
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
USDJPY – Liquidity Grab Before Continuation Down **📉 USDJPY – Liquidity Grab Before Continuation Down** 📍 *Update to previous publication* Following further technical analysis, the current price action suggests a **short-term bullish move** on USDJPY — likely acting as a **liquidity grab over previous session highs**. This corrective movement is expected **before price resumes its broader bearish direction**. 🔍 Key observations: * Price may seek short-term buy-side liquidity above recent highs. * Liquidity engineering likely, especially around the **148.800 zone**. * My **bias remains bearish**, but only **after liquidity is taken** and structure confirms a reversal. Waiting for signs of exhaustion or confirmation around the upper FVG to align with the primary short thesis. ---DO NOT USE AS SIGNAL OR ANY OF A KIND-- EMERSON MASSAWE COO | FINANCIAL MARKET ANALYST 6+
Short
by Lordemerson
Gold holds Bearish Structure- SELLGold: Price is Exhibiting Head & Shoulders Strcure on 4H & 1 H chart. 4 H chart is Bearish, Daily chart is Neutral to bearish. Price is under the IChimuku Cloud in 4 H. Daily chart is forming a death cross (20 SMA cutting 50 SMA) which might be completed in 1 day or Two. Currently Gold is trying to recover losses and on retracement journey. I am expecting Price to test the 3347-3354 Zone of resistance where 4H 200+100 SMA + TL resistances+ Structure resistance will likely to Push price back to 3320 & 3300 Support Zone. If price breaks the 3300 level. Then this daily candle break may take price to 3280 Support Level. Good Luck
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by decentshaw
Market Analysis: USD/CHF Consolidates GainsMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Consolidates Gains USD/CHF is rising and might aim for a move toward the 0.8120 resistance. Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today - USD/CHF is showing positive signs above the 0.8040 resistance zone. - There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.7990 on the hourly chart. USD/CHF Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/CHF at FXOpen, the pair started a decent increase from the 0.7910 support. The US Dollar climbed above the 0.8000 resistance zone against the Swiss Franc. The bulls were able to pump the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.8040. A high was formed at 0.8079 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.7911 swing low to the 0.8079 high. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.7990. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near 0.8080. The main resistance is now near 0.8120. If there is a clear break above the 0.8120 resistance zone and the RSI remains above 50, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could test 0.8200. If there is a downside correction, the pair might test the 0.7990 level. The first major support on the USD/CHF chart is near the 0.7950 level and the 76.4% Fib retracement level. The next key support is near 0.7910. A downside break below 0.7910 might spark bearish moves. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move towards the 0.7850 level in the near term. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Dips FurtherMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Dips Further EUR/USD extended losses and traded below the 1.1600 support. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro struggled to clear the 1.1800 resistance and declined against the US Dollar. - There is a key downward channel forming with resistance at 1.1575 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair failed to clear the 1.1800 resistance. The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.1720 support against the US Dollar. The pair declined below the 1.1660 support and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.1520 level. A low was formed at 1.1519 and the pair is now consolidating losses. The market is showing bearish signs, and the upsides might remain capped. There was a minor increase toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1770 swing high to the 1.1519 low. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 1.1575 level. There is also a key downward channel forming with resistance at 1.1575. The next major resistance is near the 1.1665 zone and the 50-hour simple moving average or the 50% Fib retracement level. The main resistance sits near the 1.1770 level. An upside break above the 1.1770 level might send the pair towards 1.1800. Any more gains might open the doors for a move towards 1.1850. On the downside, immediate support on the EUR/USD chart is seen near 1.1520. The next major support is near the 1.1465 level. A downside break below 1.1465 could send the pair towards 1.1350. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 30, 2025 EURUSDEvents to watch today: 30.07 15:30 EET. USD - Gross Domestic Product 30.07 21:30 EET. USD - FOMC Rate Decision EURUSD: Exclusive for our readers – a 202% bonus on deposits of $202 or more! Give the promo code PROFIT202 to customer support and start trading with TRIPLED capital. EUR/USD remains under pressure amid stronger demand for the US Dollar ahead of the Federal Reserve decision (July 30, 2025). Market sentiment reflects the perception that the recent US–EU trade arrangements are relatively more favorable for the US economy, reinforcing expectations for stronger corporate earnings and a more supportive external balance in the coming months. Capital flows are skewed toward dollar-denominated assets, also because investors prefer to wait out key central‑bank communications in “quality” instruments. A further driver is the divergence in macro momentum: the US economy shows greater resilience in consumption and labor markets, while the euro area faces constrained growth and a cautious ECB tone. With little reason for ECB tightening and with lingering risks for European industry and exports after tariff headlines, the euro’s fundamental support looks softer. Persisting uncertainty around the inflation path in the euro area adds to the preference for the USD. Given these factors, the near‑term fundamental tilt remains to the downside for EURUSD. Risks to this view include unexpectedly dovish Fed communication, a pullback in US Treasury yields, and/or positive euro‑area data surprises that could improve growth expectations and support the euro. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.15650, SL 1.16000, TP 1.15150
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
XAUUSD Outlook – July 29, 2025 Gold enters a high-risk environment starting today. All eyes are on Jerome Powell's speech, which will signal whether the Fed remains firm on its hawkish stance or adopts a more dovish tone. 📈 That said, a broader look at the chart suggests the market has already aligned itself with the dominant trend. 🗓️ In addition to today’s speech, tariff-related news expected on Friday doesn’t seem likely to disrupt the ongoing bullish momentum in gold — or in crypto markets, for that matter. 🧠 That’s the general market read I'm sensing right now, but we’ll have to see how it unfolds. 🎯 Personally, I still view the $3290 level as a solid buy zone, with the potential to become one of gold’s historical bottoms.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SineHeidari
BTCUSD Analysis : Blue Ray + MMC Bullish Scenario + Target Zone🟢 Today’s BTCUSD Analysis (MMC) – Strategic Insight into Institutional Behavior 💪 📊 Chart Breakdown: Understanding Price Through MMC This 4H BTCUSD chart highlights critical behavior using Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) — where smart money traps, fakes, and flips market participants to create directional moves. Let’s break down the scenario: 🔸 1. Fakeout Zone – Smart Money Trap Price initially surged to a local high, triggering a bullish fakeout, as shown in the green rectangle. This move is designed to lure in breakout buyers above resistance, only to reverse sharply. The sudden drop confirms smart money liquidation, catching retail longs off-guard. A perfect example of a liquidity grab before shifting back into range. 📌 Fakeouts often mark the beginning of a new range or reversal setup in MMC methodology. 🔸 2. Blue Ray – Trend Continuation Structure The consolidation after the fakeout forms the Blue Ray pattern, a recognizable trend continuation framework. This structure signals smart money’s accumulation or re-accumulation phase. Note how the price oscillates within the pattern, creating both lower highs and higher lows. These compressions usually lead to explosive moves, either up or down, depending on liquidity build-up. 🔸 3. QFL – Quantity Following Line Event Price briefly dips below the QFL level — another engineered stop-hunt to shake out premature longs and trap breakout sellers. The reaction afterward shows strong buyer defense, confirming hidden demand. MMC traders recognize this zone as a fake breakdown, setting up for the next trend wave. 🔸 4. Central Reversal Zone – The Decision Area We’re currently hovering around the Central Reversal Zone, a key level of decision-making. This is where liquidity from both buyers and sellers meets, making it a high-volatility zone. Price could either: (Scenario 1) Reject and fall lower to retest the trendline zone (marked with label 1). (Scenario 2) Break above minor resistance and head toward the Next Reversal Zone (marked with label 2). This structure aligns with MMC’s "Trap – Absorb – Break" cycle. 🔸 5. Major & Minor Resistance Above the current price lies: Minor Resistance (~$120,000): Immediate zone to clear for bullish continuation. Major Resistance (~$121,000): Strong institutional supply, could act as the final hurdle before reversal. If price clears these, BTC will likely target the Next Reversal Zone (~$122,500–123,500) for the next MMC reaction or short-term top. 🧠 Strategic Trade Outlook (MMC Logic) ✅ Bullish Playbook (Scenario 2): Entry: Break and retest above $120,000 (Minor Resistance) Confirmation: Hold above Central Reversal Zone with impulse Target: $122,500–123,500 (Next Reversal Zone) Risk: Close below $117,500 invalidates idea 🔻 Bearish Playbook (Scenario 1): Entry: Rejection from $119,500–120,000 Target: Trendline support or prior QFL (~$116,000–115,500) Invalidation: Clean 4H close above $120,500 📐 Key Concepts in This Analysis Fakeout Trap: Retail euphoria liquidation QFL Sweep: Smart money’s liquidity grab below structure Blue Ray: Compression structure before continuation Reversal Zones: Institutional interest areas where reactions occur SR Flip Zones: Level conversion confirms trend maturity 📈 Summary BTCUSD is currently in a smart money-controlled environment, compressing near key structural levels. The next move will be large, and by applying MMC, we’re prepared for both bullish breakout and bearish retest scenarios. Be patient — traps come before trends.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
AUDNZD Technical + Fundamental Align for DownsideToday I want to analyze a short position on the AUDNZD ( OANDA:AUDNZD ) pair, first, let's look at it from a fundamental analysis perspective . Fundamental View on AUDNZD Key reasons to short AUDNZD: Australian weakness: Recent data show weakening consumer sentiment and declining building approvals. The RBA seems hesitant to hike further, putting pressure on the Aussie. New Zealand resilience: The RBNZ maintains a relatively hawkish stance. Inflation is still a concern, and the central bank is committed to keeping rates high, supporting NZD strength. Monetary policy divergence: The divergence between RBA’s dovish stance and RBNZ’s hawkish approach supports further downside in AUDNZD. ---------------------- Now let's take a look at AUDNZD from a technical analysis perspective on the 4-hour timeframe . AUDNZD is currently trading in a Heavy Resistance zone(1.0963 NZD-1.0870 NZD) near the upper line of the Range Channel , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Yearly Pivot Point . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , AUDNZD appears to be completing microwave B of microwave Y of the main wave 4 . I expect AUDNZD to drop to at least 1.0904 NZD(First Target) based on the above explanation . Second Target: 1.0886 NZD Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.0963 NZD Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Australian Dollar/New Zealand Dollar Analyze (AUDNZD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
1
GOLD (XAUUSD) Analysis : Major Break + Bullish Setup + Target🟩 Today’s GOLD Analysis based on Volume Behavior, Smart Money Traps & Market Structure (MMC) 🔍 Chart Breakdown and MMC Concepts Explained: 1. Preceding Downtrend – Smart Money Trap Initiated The chart begins with an extended downtrend, marking significant bearish pressure. However, deeper into the move, we notice price entering a Volume Absorption (VA) Zone — a key MMC signal where institutional orders quietly absorb aggressive retail selling. This Volume Absorption Zone is highlighted on the left of the chart. Smart money quietly positions longs here while inducing panic-selling from retail traders. Wicks and indecision candles show early signs of sell exhaustion. 2. QFL Breakdown & Liquidity Sweep The breakdown from the QFL (Quick Flip Level) is another hallmark of MMC behavior. The market intentionally breaks previous lows to trigger stop-loss clusters — known as a liquidity sweep or stop-hunt. Price aggressively drops to a well-marked demand zone. Massive bullish reaction from this zone confirms that smart money has completed accumulation. The QFL move is not a true breakout, but a trap, designed to mislead retail into chasing shorts. 3. Demand Zone Reaction – Shift in Momentum Price finds support at the demand zone (highlighted in green) and starts forming higher lows. This transition from lower lows to higher lows is a structural confirmation of market reversal. Buyers have regained control. Large bullish candles and wick rejections at key levels signal institutional entry. 4. SR Interchange Zone – Key MMC Confirmation One of the most important zones on this chart is the SR Interchange area. This level was previously resistance and is now acting as support — a concept known as support-resistance flip. MMC teaches us that this is where smart money re-tests the breakout zone to trap late sellers and confirm the trend. This zone is reinforced by: Previous rejections Retest with wicks Alignment with ascending trendline support 5. Minor & Major Resistance Levels Currently, price is attempting to break above a minor resistance at ~$3,330–3,332. If it breaks, the next major target lies at the ~$3,340–3,345 level, marked on the chart. This zone is crucial for short-term targets and may act as a profit-taking zone for early bulls. Once this major resistance is cleared, the trendline projection suggests a continuation toward higher highs. 📐 Trendline Analysis An ascending trendline is supporting price action. Each bounce off this line has led to higher lows — a clear sign of bullish intent. Trendline + SR Interchange = Confluence zone Traders should watch for bullish engulfing candles or strong wick rejections at this trendline area for re-entry or add-ons. 🧠 MMC Strategy Interpretation (Mirror Market Concepts) This chart perfectly follows the MMC logic: Trap retail sellers during the downtrend. Absorb their volume at a key zone (Volume Absorp). Sweep liquidity below QFL level. Reverse structure with a shift to higher highs and higher lows. Interchange SR zone to test buyers' strength. Continue trend post-confirmation with breakout above resistance. This is the classic "trap-to-trend" sequence smart money uses repeatedly in gold and other volatile markets. ✅ Trade Setup Summary: Bias: Strongly Bullish (based on market structure shift) Entry #1: Pullback into SR Interchange (ideal if price rejects 3,326–3,328) Entry #2: Break and retest of Minor Resistance (3,332–3,334) Targets: TP1: 3,340 (Major Resistance) TP2: 3,345–3,350 (Projection based on breakout path) Invalidation: Clean break below trendline and demand zone (~3,318) 🧭 Final Words for Traders: Gold is currently positioned at a critical junction where structure, volume, and institutional behavior all align. If you're following MMC strategies, this is a textbook scenario: Trap ✅ Absorption ✅ Structure Shift ✅ Trendline Support ✅ SR Interchange ✅ Now, we wait for confirmation and execute with discipline.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades