DOCU Swing Setup – Bearish Momentum Below Key Support (2025-06-1📉 DOCU Swing Setup – Bearish Momentum Below Key Support (2025-06-12)
Ticker: NASDAQ:DOCU | Strategy: 🔻 Naked PUT Swing Trade
Bias: Moderately Bearish | Confidence: 80%
Timeframe: Short-term | Expiry: June 27, 2025
🔍 Technical Overview
• Price: Near mid-$70s
• Trend: Trading below EMAs on all key timeframes
• MACD: Bearish
• RSI (Daily): Oversold, but no clear reversal
• Bollinger Band: Near lower band = downward momentum
• Max Pain: $77.00 → magnetic level
• OI Hotspot: $75 PUT strike → strong open interest
🧠 AI Model Consensus
✅ Both Grok/xAI & DeepSeek agree:
• Bearish structure across timeframes
• Near-term downside likely with limited support
• Preferred trade: buying puts
Strike Debate:
• Grok: $74 PUT – for lower cost entry
• DeepSeek: $75 PUT – for better liquidity & R:R
→ Consensus pick = $75 PUT
✅ Trade Setup (Based on DeepSeek's Framework)
🎯 Direction: PUT
📍 Strike: $75
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-27
💵 Entry Price: $1.30 (ask)
🎯 Profit Target: $1.95 (+50%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.65 (–50%)
📈 Confidence: 80%
📏 Size: 1 contract
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
⚠️ Risk Notes
• ⚡ An oversold bounce could break the bearish thesis
• 🔁 Broader market rally or sector recovery could cap downside
• ⌛ Swing window limited → manage time decay actively
• 📊 If price breaks above $77.50 = exit trigger
📉 DOCU: Breakdown or bounce?
💬 Are you swinging puts or watching from the sidelines? Drop your plan 👇
📲 Follow for more AI-powered trade setups.
Fundamental Analysis
RH Earnings Setup – Moderately Bullish into AMC (2025-06-12)📈 RH Earnings Setup – Moderately Bullish into AMC (2025-06-12)
Ticker: NYSE:RH (Restoration Hardware)
Event: Earnings Report — 🗓 June 12, After Market Close (AMC)
Strategy: Earnings Catalyst Call Play | Confidence: 65%
Expiry: June 13, 2025 | Entry Timing: Pre-Earnings Close
🔍 Market & Options Snapshot
• Price: N/A (based on latest data)
• Expected Move: ~10.8% (per IV expectations)
• Max Pain: $185.00
• Call OI Focus: $190 (614 contracts)
• Put OI Focus: $160 (797 contracts)
• Implied Volatility: Elevated (as expected pre-earnings)
• VIX: ~17.26 → Neutral backdrop
🧠 Trade Rationale
🟢 Bullish Catalysts:
• Narrower Q1 loss forecast → potential earnings beat
• AI/news-driven attention and solid call OI concentration at $190
• Normal IV conditions give the trade clean R:R setup
⚠️ Risk Factors:
• Max pain at $185 → possible pinning effect
• IV crush risk post-earnings
• Earnings miss = premium devaluation
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: CALL
📍 Strike: $190
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
💵 Entry Price: $9.70
🎯 Profit Target: $15.00 (+54%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $6.00 (–38%)
📈 Confidence: 65%
📏 Size: 1 contract (~5% account risk suggested)
⏰ Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close
💬 Playing NYSE:RH earnings tonight? Are you leaning into the call momentum or fading it with puts? Drop your trade plan ⬇️ | Follow for more AI-powered earnings setups.
NVDA Swing Trade – Overbought Reversal Setup (June 12, 2025)📉 NVDA Swing Trade – Overbought Reversal Setup (June 12, 2025)
Ticker: NASDAQ:NVDA | Bias: 🔻 Moderately Bearish
Strategy: Short-Term Swing | Timeframe: ~2 weeks
Confidence: 75% | Entry Timing: Market Open
Expiry: June 27, 2025
🔍 Market & Technical Snapshot
• Price: ~$144.67
• Trend: Weekly and M15 uptrend still intact
• RSI (Daily): ~70.63 → Overbought
• MACD: Bearish crossover on Daily
• Options Data:
– Heavy put OI at $140 (14,803 contracts)
– Max pain at $135 → potential pull lower
– High call OI at $145–$150 caps upside
🧠 AI Model Breakdown
🔼 Grok/xAI (Bullish Swing):
• Calls out strong technicals, 5-min momentum
• Suggests $155C for upside play
🔽 DeepSeek (Bearish Swing – Preferred):
• Overbought daily RSI + bearish MACD
• Strong put volume + options market pressure
• Targets pullback to $138–$140 → PUT @ $140
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: PUT
📍 Strike: $140
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-27
💵 Entry Price: $2.09
🎯 Profit Target: $3.10 (+48%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $1.25 (–40%)
📈 Confidence: 75%
📏 Size: 1 contract
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
⚠️ Risk Considerations
• Weekly chart still bullish → risk of trend continuation
• Low VIX (17.26) = slower option premium movement
• Positive news surprise could cause upside gap
• Use tight risk controls and monitor intraday structure
💭 NASDAQ:NVDA : Extended or just gearing up for another breakout?
📉 Drop your play below — Put buyers vs. breakout chasers 👇
Gold Surges on Middle East Conflict: What's the Next Move?XAUUSD – Gold Surges on Middle East Conflict: What's the Next Move?
🌍 Geopolitical Shock Fuels Market Volatility
The gold market responded sharply after Israel launched a series of targeted airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, including the Natanz uranium site. These actions triggered global concern:
Gold jumped to $3,430/oz, hitting a new weekly high
WTI crude surged by over 8%
US equity indices dipped significantly
The US remains officially neutral but confirmed it will defend its troops if provoked
Investors are now moving rapidly into safe-haven assets, especially gold.
📊 Technical Breakdown (H1/M30)
Trend Structure: Bullish momentum continues following the breakout above $3,392
Key Support Zone: $3,412–$3,426, with price holding above this region
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Identified between $3,405–$3,412, could act as re-entry zone
EMA Alignment: Price is above the 13, 34, 89, and 200 EMAs — signalling strength across short and long-term moving averages
Psychological Resistance: Eyes now on the $3,454–$3,456 zone for potential selling pressure
🧠 Market Sentiment & Risk Behaviour
Risk-off mood dominates: Capital is rotating into gold, CHF, and JPY
Traders are reacting to news headlines over economic data
Institutional flows are entering strongly on dips, building positions in defensive assets
🎯 Trade Setup for 13th June
✅ Buy Zone: 3384 – 3382
Stop-Loss: 3378
Targets: 3388 – 3392 – 3396 – 3400 – 3405 – 3410
❌ Sell Zone: 3454 – 3456
Stop-Loss: 3460
Targets: 3450 – 3446 – 3442 – 3438 – 3434 – 3430
📌 Tactical Summary
Gold remains a go-to asset amid geopolitical uncertainty. While the technicals support further upside, caution is warranted near resistance. Any easing in military headlines could trigger a fast retracement.
🔍 Pro tip: Avoid chasing. Let price confirm near key levels before entering. Manage risk diligently in high-volatility environments.
Rob the Cocoa Market Before the Trend Escapes🏴☠️Cocoa Vault Breach: Sweet Profit Heist in Progress!🍫💰
(Thief Trader’s Swing/Day Plan – Only Bulls Allowed)
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
We’ve cracked the code to the 🏉"COCOA"🏉 Commodities CFD market, and now it’s time to launch a high-stakes heist based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical + fundamental analysis🔥.
🎯 Mission Objective: Infiltrate the overbought zone, where traps are set, robbers are lurking, and the market’s about to turn. The plan? Ride the bullish wave, loot the Red Zone, and vanish with sweet profits. 🏆💸
🔓 Entry Point:
"The vault is wide open!"
Buy at will — loot that bullish treasure!
⏱️ Best tactic: Set buy limits on the 15M or 30M swing low/high zones. Set alerts and stay sharp.
🛑 Stop Loss:
SL = Nearest 4H Swing Low
🔐 Protect your stash. Use risk-adjusted SL based on trade size and number of entries.
🎯 Target:
11,300 or escape early if the pressure builds!
⚔️ Scalper’s Note:
Only steal on the long side.
💰 Big money = Go direct
💼 Small bags = Team up with swing traders
📉 Use trailing SLs to guard your gains.
🔥Cocoa Market is Bullish – Why?
☑️ Fundamentals
☑️ Macroeconomics
☑️ COT Report
☑️ Sentiment Signals
☑️ Intermarket Vibes
☑️ Seasonal Patterns
☑️ Trend Forecasts & Target Levels
👉 Dive into the data: 🔗🔗🔗
⚠️ Trading Alerts:
News releases = Danger zones!
❌ No new entries during news
✅ Trailing SL to protect ongoing raids
💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥
Support this Thief Plan and keep our crew winning daily.
💪 Rob with confidence. Win with consistency.
🎉 Thief Trading Style = Your daily cash machine.
💣Stay tuned for the next robbery blueprint!
— Your Friendly Market Criminal, 🐱👤
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Breakdown : Structure Shifting + Target📍 Overview:
Gold (XAUUSD) has been displaying a classic technical development that traders need to pay close attention to. What initially looked like a smooth parabolic rally has now transitioned into a clear structure shift, as evidenced by the breakdown of a rounded support curve and rejection from a major resistance zone. The market is signaling a bearish retracement or even a deeper correction, and this setup offers potential trading opportunities both for short-term scalpers and swing traders.
📊 Chart Breakdown:
🔸 1. The Rounded Support Curve (Black Mind Curve):
The curve outlines a strong upward acceleration phase starting from the June 9 low.
This curve often acts like a dynamic support — similar to a parabolic trendline.
As long as price stays above it, the momentum remains intact.
In this case, Gold broke below the curve, which is a sign of exhaustion and potential bearish control.
🔸 2. Major Resistance Zone (~$3,417 – $3,427):
This level has acted as a ceiling multiple times in the past, visible in earlier highs from June 5 and 6.
Upon re-approaching this zone, price showed aggressive wicks to the upside followed by strong bearish candles — signaling institutional selling and profit-taking.
This triple rejection reinforced the resistance’s significance.
🔸 3. Structure Mapping and Transition:
After the breakdown, we observed a clean market structure shift: the formation of lower highs and lower lows, a key sign of bearish trend development.
The current price action is flowing downward in an organized pattern, suggesting further downside unless a strong reversal or bullish engulfing setup occurs.
🔸 4. Next Reversal Zone (~$3,360):
This area is identified as a high-probability support zone based on:
Past price reaction.
Previous accumulation zone from June 10–11.
Psychological round number proximity (e.g., $3,350 – $3,360).
Traders should monitor this level for potential reversal setups such as bullish engulfing candles, pin bars, or RSI divergence.
🧠 Market Psychology:
This pattern reflects a classic distribution phase at resistance after an emotionally driven uptrend:
Retail traders jump in late as the price approaches highs.
Institutions begin distributing (selling into strength).
Support breaks down as retail stops get triggered.
Price drops into a demand zone where accumulation may begin again.
Understanding this psychological cycle helps traders align with the smart money rather than chasing price action blindly.
🛠️ Potential Trading Plans:
✅ Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation
Wait for a retest of the broken structure (~$3,390 – $3,400).
Look for rejection patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, shooting star).
Entry: ~$3,395–$3,400 | Target: ~$3,360 | SL: Above $3,420.
✅ Scenario 2: Bullish Reversal from Support
Monitor price action around $3,360 zone.
Look for bullish structure forming: higher lows, reversal candles, divergence.
Entry: On confirmation (e.g., bullish pin bar on 1H or 4H).
Target: Back to structure at ~$3,400–$3,410.
⚠️ Risk Considerations:
Avoid entering in the middle of the range.
Use proper stop-loss positioning to manage volatility.
Keep an eye on macro catalysts like:
US inflation reports
Fed commentary or interest rate decisions
Geopolitical tensions that can spike gold
🧭 Summary:
The market is unfolding a textbook technical setup:
Resistance rejection
Rounded support breakdown
Bearish structure
Approaching a high-probability support zone
Patience is key — let price come to your level. Watch the $3,360 zone for potential reversal, and use structure to guide entries and exits.
📌 Final Note:
This analysis is part of the MMC Methodology (Market Mapping Cycle), which focuses on identifying macro structure, confirming micro structure, and mapping turning points with precision.
Let the market reveal itself. Don't chase — plan and execute with clarity.
Copper Nears Annual HighCopper Nears Annual High, Driven by Trade Optimism and Falling Inventories
By Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst
The copper market is once again in the spotlight. The metal is currently trading at around USD 9,756 per tonne on COMEX futures at the London Metal Exchange (LME), approaching its annual high reached at the end of March, near USD 10,000. This rally is supported by a combination of macroeconomic drivers and market-specific factors.
China–U.S. Dialogue Boosts Demand Outlook
One of the key catalysts behind this upward move has been the recent diplomatic thaw between China and the United States, which has improved the global trade climate. Trade negotiations held in London have renewed optimism about global economic growth, which naturally strengthens the projected demand for industrial metals like copper—widely used in construction, energy, and technology sectors.
LME Inventories at Lows Add Upward Pressure
Adding to this context is a significant decline in inventories recorded at the LME. This drawdown reflects both an increase in physical consumption and speculative positioning amid potential new tariff policies that could follow the current trade truce. This relative scarcity in physical supply has become another driver of price gains.
Technical Analysis of Copper (USD/lb)
As of early trading hours, copper is quoted at approximately USD 476.5 per pound, according to ActivTrades data. The asset has shown strong upward momentum from July 2023 through May 2024, with a brief correction down to USD 399.70, a key technical support level for the ongoing rally that began in mid-April. The Point of Control (POC) for volume is located around USD 467, holding above an intermediate support level at USD 449.13, reinforcing the short-term bullish structure.
As for resistance levels, USD 505.32 stands out as the main ceiling to overcome. Currently, the price is fluctuating within a technical range between USD 494.22 and USD 442.61, suggesting a consolidation phase ahead of a potential breakout.
Conclusion
Copper remains one of the most dynamic industrial metals in today’s macroeconomic landscape. Renewed trade optimism between the world’s two largest economies, combined with a sharp drop in LME inventories, has created a solid set of fundamentals justifying the approach toward annual highs. Technically, the bullish structure remains intact as long as key support levels hold, and a sustained close above USD 494/lb could pave the way for fresh short-term highs. In this context, copper not only reflects the pulse of global industry but also embodies the economic growth expectations in a time of geopolitical and energy transition.
*******************************************************************************************
The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Israel attacks Iran, gold soars
⭐️Gold information:
Israel attacks Iran's capital Tehran! Gold and crude oil soar rapidly!
The Middle East bully attacks Iran, and the risk aversion sentiment affects the early trading of gold at 3380. 30 US dollars
⭐️Personal comments:
Due to the escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, market risk sentiment has slightly rebounded, and investors are more inclined to buy traditional safe-haven assets-gold
Moving towards 3480
⭐️Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3478-3480 SL 3485
TP1: $3462
TP2: $3450
TP3: $3435
🔥Buy gold area: $3375-$3377 SL $3370
TP1: $3389
TP2: $3400
TP3: $3412
Geopolitical tensions, gold prices may reach 3480 points⭐️Personal comments:
Due to the escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, market risk sentiment has slightly rebounded, and investors are more inclined to buy traditional safe-haven assets-gold
Moving towards 3480
⭐️Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3478-3480 SL 3485
TP1: $3462
TP2: $3450
TP3: $3435
🔥Buy gold area: $3375-$3377 SL $3370
TP1: $3389
TP2: $3400
TP3: $3412
Gold surging as geopolitical tensions rise in the Middle EastGold prices surged to nearly a two month high on Friday driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Spot gold rose 1.3% to $3,427.36 per ounce. This marks a gain of over 3.5% for the week.
The rally was fueled by Israel's preemptive strike on Iran's military and nuclear facilities, intensifying regional instability. The conflict has shifted investor focus from trade negotiations to safer assets like gold.
Additionally, weaker U.S. economic data, including jobless claims at an eight month high and subdued inflation, have increased expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, further boosting gold's appeal.
Technically, gold has established a subsequent move towards challenging the all time peak, around $3,500 psychological mark. Top end of the falling flag channel at $3,300.00 provided a strong support and reversal as the price continues its short term bullish trending channel.
On the contrary, some follow-through selling below the $3,385 region, however, should pave the way for additional losses towards the $3,355 intermediate support.
"The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice."
XAUUSD 4H 🟨 Technical Analysis – Gold (XAU/USD)
Gold has rallied strongly into a significant supply zone (resistance) marked in red, spanning approximately the $3,445 – $3,500 range. This area aligns with:
A previous major distribution zone where a sharp bearish move initiated (highlighted with the green selloff).
A clear liquidity pool, where institutional sell orders likely sit.
Bearish order block from early May, now being re-tested.
However, price action shows bullish momentum into this resistance, suggesting a potential re-accumulation rather than rejection.
The projected price path (black arrow) on the chart indicates a temporary pullback followed by a break above the resistance, confirming bullish continuation.
📰 Macro + Geopolitical Overlay – Bullish Gold Bias
Despite hitting resistance, fundamental drivers support further upside in gold:
Tensions between Israel and Iran have escalated again, with recent reports of military strikes and retaliatory threats.
Investors often seek safe-haven assets like gold during such periods of global instability.
These geopolitical risks amplify market uncertainty, often leading to capital flight from risk assets (e.g., equities, currencies) into gold.
Central banks and institutions may increase holdings in gold to hedge against volatility and inflation, especially amid broader Middle East unrest.
✅ Conclusion
While the chart shows gold approaching a critical resistance zone, the contextual news catalyst (Israel-Iran conflict) is likely to:
Fuel further bullish momentum, allowing price to break above $3,500 after a minor pullback.
Encourage short-term dip buying, especially if price retests around the $3,400–3,420 region.
📌 Expectation: A short-term consolidation or retracement inside the red zone, followed by a bullish breakout if geopolitical tensions persist.
Spot gold is expected to test the $3,450 resistance levelSpot gold continued to rise in the Asian session on Friday (June 13), reaching a high of $3,443.18 per ounce, an increase of about 1.57%.
Reuters technical analysts pointed out that spot gold is expected to test the resistance level of $3,450 per ounce, breaking through which it may rise to the range of $3,473 to $3,488.
The c wave that opened at $3,294 briefly broke through the 86.4% forecast level of $3,429. Currently, the wave is moving towards the 100% forecast level of $3,450. The current rise is classified as a continuation of the previous upward trend that started at $3,245.
The support level is at $3,413, and a break below this level may cause gold prices to fall to the range of $3,372 to $3,391. The daily chart shows that gold prices are expected to return to the high of $3,500 on April 22.
Depending on how deep the decline is from this high, gold prices could eventually rise to $3,800.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLDQ2025 OANDA:XAUUSD
S&P 500, the technical battleground for JuneIn our April 15 analysis, we questioned the likelihood of a low point for the S&P 500 index based on technical analysis considerations. The VIX (the implied volatility of the S&P 500) also showed bearish technical characteristics (inverted correlation with the S&P 500), and indeed, the equity market offered a solid rebound against a backdrop of trade diplomacy.
With elements of technical overheating appearing in the short term, let's review the technical analysis signals to establish a diagnosis of the current situation in the US equity market.
To start with, you can reread our April analyses of the S&P 500 and VIX by clicking on the two images below.
1) Short-term technical overheating, but fundamental uptrend preserved above technical support at 5750/5800 points
The S&P 500 index has developed a bullish V-bottom rally since the beginning of April, and the global equity market even made a new all-time high last week.
The upward movement of the S&P 500 sees an alternation between bullish impulses and short-term consolidations/corrections, and this chart pattern is likely to repeat itself as long as trade diplomacy takes its course and as the market awaits the FED's next monetary policy decision next week. The daily chart suggests short-term technical overheating (small bearish price/momentum divergence, with momentum represented here by the RSI technical indicator). In any case, even if the market needs a breather in the short term, the underlying trend remains bullish above major support at 5700/5800 points, i.e. the bullish gap opened in mid-May and the 200-day moving average.
The chart below shows daily Japanese candlesticks for the S&P 500 future contract
2) In terms of retail investor sentiment, the reservoir of sellers has diminished, but remains well filled
The study of retail investor sentiment is part of contrarian analysis of financial markets, one of the disciplines of technical analysis of financial markets. Although the pool of sellers has shrunk, a significant proportion of retail investors are still doubtful about the recovery. This pessimistic sentiment among retail traders is an indicator that the recovery still has medium-term potential, as market peaks have always taken place amid retail investor euphoria.
3) On the quantitative side, watch out for a technical overbought situation in the short term
On the other hand, caution is called for in the short term, as the percentage of S&P 500 shares above the 50-day moving average (this tool here represents the quantitative side of the market) is approaching its overbought zone, a situation soon to be reversed from that of early April.
4) Institutional investors remain cautious ahead of the FED meeting on Wednesday June 18, while trade agreements are still pending
In conclusion, it is important to bear in mind that next week's fundamental highlight will be the FED's monetary policy decision. The market needs to know whether or not the FED will confirm two rate cuts between now and the end of the year. The FED will also be updating its macro-economic projections, and institutional investors are being cautious in the meantime, as shown by the CFTC's latest Commitment Of Traders report.
DISCLAIMER:
This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions.
This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior.
Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Swissquote and its employees and representatives shall in no event be held liable for any damages or losses arising directly or indirectly from decisions made on the basis of this content.
The use of any third-party brands or trademarks is for information only and does not imply endorsement by Swissquote, or that the trademark owner has authorised Swissquote to promote its products or services.
Swissquote is the marketing brand for the activities of Swissquote Bank Ltd (Switzerland) regulated by FINMA, Swissquote Capital Markets Limited regulated by CySEC (Cyprus), Swissquote Bank Europe SA (Luxembourg) regulated by the CSSF, Swissquote Ltd (UK) regulated by the FCA, Swissquote Financial Services (Malta) Ltd regulated by the Malta Financial Services Authority, Swissquote MEA Ltd. (UAE) regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority, Swissquote Pte Ltd (Singapore) regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, Swissquote Asia Limited (Hong Kong) licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and Swissquote South Africa (Pty) Ltd supervised by the FSCA.
Products and services of Swissquote are only intended for those permitted to receive them under local law.
All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy.
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts suffer capital losses when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade.
Cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender in some jurisdictions and are subject to regulatory uncertainties.
The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
Signs of manipulation or ‘trapping’ behavior!Bitcoin (BTC) is currently approaching a key support level on the chart. This support zone is an area where price has historically shown a tendency to hold or bounce back upward due to increased buying interest. At this stage, there is a possibility that BTC could initiate a bullish move or a price pump from this level. However, it’s important to be cautious, as the market could also exhibit signs of manipulation or ‘trapping’ behavior.
In such scenarios, what often happens is that before making an actual upward move, the market might perform a ‘fake move’—this means it could temporarily dip below the support level or show some downward pressure to shake out weak hands or trigger stop-losses. This false breakdown creates panic and uncertainty, only for the price to reverse and then begin moving upward shortly afterward.
If the support holds and buyers step in with enough strength, BTC could gain bullish momentum and head toward the upper liquidity areas. These zones typically have a high concentration of pending orders (such as stop-losses or take-profits), which can attract the price like a magnet. This liquidity often sits just above recent highs or resistance levels, and reaching this area could result in further volatility.
However, traders are strongly advised to remain vigilant and not rely solely on assumptions. The crypto market is highly unpredictable, and price action can be deceptive. Always perform your own in-depth analysis, consider various technical and fundamental factors, and manage your risk wisely.
This is not financial advice please Do Your Own Research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 13, 2025 EURUSDEvents to pay attention today:
12:00 EET. EUR - Foreign trade balance
17:00 EET. USD - University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
EURUSD :
EUR/USD interrupted its four-day winning streak, retreating from 1.16310, its highest level since October 2021, and is currently trading around 1.15300 in Asian hours on Friday. The pair is depreciating as the US dollar (USD) gains support as traders shift to increased demand for safe-haven assets due to rising tensions in the Middle East.
Israel has attacked dozens of targets across Iran to eliminate its nuclear programme. Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz said Israel could face a missile and drone strike after Israel's pre-emptive strike on Iran. Katz declared a special state of emergency in the country, Axios reports.
In addition, White House Secretary of State Marco Rubio issued a statement: ‘Tonight, Israel took unilateral action against Iran. We are not participating in strikes against Iran, and our top priority is to protect American troops in the region.’ ‘President Trump and the administration have taken all necessary measures to protect our troops and are in close contact with our regional partners.’ ‘Let me be clear: Iran should not target US interests or personnel,’ Rubio added.
However, the decline in the EUR/USD pair may be limited, as the US dollar (USD) may face difficulties after US President Donald Trump's new threat to extend steel tariffs from 23 June to imported ‘steel-derived products’ such as household appliances, e.g. dishwashers, washing machines, refrigerators, etc. The tariffs were initially introduced in March at 25% and then doubled to 50% for most countries. This is the second time that the scope of the duties has been expanded.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.15300, SL 1.15500, TP 1.14400
Risk-off sentiment in EUR/USDYesterday, EURUSD hit a new high, reaching 1,1632.
This morning, we're seeing a pullback due to increased demand for safe-haven assets following Israel’s preemptive strike on Iran.
Avoid rushing into new positions today and keep an eye on how the pair reacts around key support levels.
Next week, all eyes will be on the upcoming interest rate decision from the Fed.
Chasing Oil Spikes? How Geopolitics Can Wreck SetupsOil prices surged over 12% in Asia on Middle East headlines, sparking a surge of volatility across safe-haven currencies and stock market futures during thin trade.
It felt like a good time to provide food for thought to newer traders looking to chase these moves, highlight the mockery geopolitics can make of technical analysis with recent examples, and provide a filter for when the waters may be safer to reenter.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Israel attacks Iran, gold price correction can be long gold
📣Gold news
Today, Israel launched an attack on Iran, and the gold price reached a high of $3,433/ounce, the highest level since May 6, and the weekly increase exceeded 3.6%, the highest level since the week of May 19.
Spot gold continued to rise during the US trading session on Thursday, reaching a weekly high of $3,398.55/ounce. However, in the afternoon of the same day, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce stated that China and the United States reached a principled agreement on implementing the consensus of the heads of state call and consolidating the results of the Geneva talks, and made new progress in resolving each other's economic and trade concerns. Affected by the easing of the Sino-US trade situation, the safe-haven demand for gold dropped sharply, and the price fell rapidly by $30 from the high, reaching a low of $3,338/ounce. The market risk appetite has rebounded significantly, and the risk aversion sentiment has cooled significantly. Combined with the fact that the monthly and annual rates of the US CPI released in the evening were both lower than expected, indicating that inflationary pressure has not intensified. After the data was released, the market's expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points before the end of the year have further increased.
📊Technical analysis:
Technically, the upper track of the daily line is still in a flat state. The current market has reached a high of around 3444. After the rise on Thursday, it is expected that there will be little room above. Since the market is in a volatile rise, it is not suitable to directly chase the rise. The 4-hour Bollinger band continues to diverge upward, and the moving average is arranged in a bullish pattern, indicating that the current market is in a strong position. If it breaks high on Thursday, there will be a chance of rising on Friday. In terms of operation, keep the idea of calling back and going long. If it falls below 3367 again, there will be repeated fluctuations.
Today's operation strategy💰
If the gold price falls back to around 3375, go long. If it is around 3370 and 3365, add more. Stop loss at 3360. Target 3420-3430
Sell short near 3430. Add shorts in batches near 3430 and 3435. Stop loss at 3440. Target 3380-3374
(If you have just entered the market, the gold market is confusing. The operation direction is always reversed. The entry price is not sure. The position is trapped. You can contact Labaron to get the gold price trend analysis And online guidance for unwinding! )
There is no unsuccessful investment, only unsuccessful operation. We have been deeply involved in the industry for more than ten years, with rich practical operation experience and unique trading concepts. We have a global and stable trading system here. We have studied gold, crude oil and other investment fields for many years, with a solid theoretical foundation and practical experience. We are good at combining technical and news operations, focusing on fund management and risk control, and have a stable and decisive operation style. We are recognized by the majority of investment friends for our easy-going and responsible personality and sharp and decisive operations. The analysis article only describes the possible future of the market and expresses opinions. It is not used as a basis for investment decisions. Investment is risky. Trading may not pay attention to reasonable position allocation, fund management and risk control. Do not trade without risk control. Don't let the transaction get out of control.
The situation escalates. Will the price of gold continue to riseEvent summary:
On June 13, Israel launched an air operation codenamed "Lion Rising" against Iran. So far, five rounds of air strikes have been launched.
As the situation in the Middle East escalates, gold has risen again due to risk aversion, directly breaking through 3,400. Gold risk aversion has increased, and there is no sign of easing for the time being, so gold risk aversion continues to rise, and gold prices are expected to continue to rise. Under the blessing of risk aversion, gold bulls have begun to dominate again.
Market analysis:
The 1-hour moving average of gold has formed a golden cross and formed an upward trend. The upward momentum of gold is getting stronger and stronger. In the early Asian session, it once surged above $3,440, only $60 away from the historical high of 3,500. The outbreak of risk aversion is entirely the release of accumulated kinetic energy. Only when it is fully released can the strength of gold bulls weaken. The decline of gold means going long. If the price of gold falls back to the support level near 3,400 during the Asian session, buy on dips.
Focus position:
First support level: 3405, second support level: 3390, third support level: 3380
First resistance level: 3440, second resistance level: 3450, third resistance level: 3470
Operation strategy:
Long strategy: Buy near 3405, stop loss: 3395, profit range: 3430-3450;
Short strategy: Buy near 3455, stop loss: 3465, profit range: 3400-3380;
If you want to trade aggressively, you can buy at the current price and wait for the price to reach a high point near 3350.
SOLUSDT | Short-Term Target = $185Today, we got reports that the SEC requested SOL ETF issuers to update their filings which ignited the rally past $165. This boosts investor confidence- we should see good bullish volume in the near term, targeting $185.
US-China talks have also came back positive, awaiting both presidents' approval.
The first hurdle, still, is the 200SMA. Ideally, we want to see a bullish close above $168. This should be easily taken this week, if not today. From there, we aim for the near term high of $185 before zooming out to aim for $250.
What is Gold Silver Spread?What is gold silver spread? How to understand them to determine the market direction.
Reuters mentioned that the gold-silver ratio dropped from 105 to 94. What does this mean? Does it indicate that silver is about to trend higher, or is it a sign that gold will continue its trend?
Micro Silver Futures
Ticker: SIL
Minimum fluctuation:
0.005 per troy ounce = $5.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.sweetlogin.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
www.cmegroup.com