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8/1/25 - $deck - 50% position8/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:DECK 50% position - if you have followed long enough, you know that when i write this sort of thing, it's maybe 5-10x a year, at most - i still think anything can happen here in the mkt, so there are a lot of arrangements i've made in my portfolio to account for further drawdowns - with that being said, conservatively DECK is 6% fcf money, and on my #s probably closer to 7%. when you're growing minimally MSD (nevermind HSD+) eventually this gets revalued - so my preference is to barbell exposure - i have a LT exposure w ITM leaps (jan '27 expire) and then i have my jet fuel that i'm burning in the last few sessions to get exposure higher - think about it like this - if 1 unit of risk costs me $1 today and $10-15 in 2027, if in this type of tape we leg down... if i say had 1 unit of risk on both of those exposures, i'd lose 1 on the first (zero) and then maybe 2...3...4 on the other. - which is to say, as we go lower here, i eventually find myself growing that LEAP exposure quite large. rn it's about 25% of my effective book on about 5x leverage. and the other 25% is spread between 10-1 and 20-1 leverage. if you look at ANF post results a month or so ago, this looks VERY similar and there are a lot of similarities in terms of how shorted/ positioning was into the event (same with NASDAQ:LULU btw, yet to report). by the 6th day... we ripped back to the first fib band. - that would put next week at 107/108 and if mkt is bid, we hit 110 again. so that's why i'm using the 10-1 and 20-1. it's actually in part a trading call as well backed by my own view/ conviction on fundamentals. i think the flows today took us now far below fair value and we've filled the pre-earnings gap, which was important to point out. - still doesn't rule out the mkt continues to puke, this is weak beta etc. etc. but from a 12-18 mo POV... this is money good in my estimation no matter what strike, unless you're degen'ing 10 delta BS (not recommended but also not my $, u do u) be well remember in this tape we all lose money it's just important to lose less and find spots that will get bid back first, i think deck is one of those *for me V
NYSE:DECKLong
by VROCKSTAR
1
Rocket Lab Is Up 800%+ in 12 Months. What Does Its Chart Say?Space-services company Rocket Lab NASDAQ:RKLB , which has seen its stock shoot up by more than 75% year to date and 800%+ over the past 12 months, will report its latest quarterly earnings next Thursday. Does RKLB's chart show the company has more altitude to gain ... or will it crash back to Earth? Let's check things out: Rocket Lab's Fundamental Analysis For those of you unfamiliar with RKLB, it's a Long Beach, Calif.-based end-to-end space company. (Full disclosure: I own shares in the name.) Rocket Lab designs and manufactures its own small- and medium-class rockets in order to provide launch services from its sites, which are primarily in Virginia and New Zealand. The company has mostly had commercial customers since its founding, but is starting to get some traction providing these services to the U.S. government for national-security purposes. You might say the firm competes with Tesla chief Elon Musk's privately held SpaceX and Amazon founder Jeff Bezos' private Blue Origin firm, just on a smaller scale. RKLB is set to release Q2 results after the bell on Aug. 7, with the Street looking for a $0.07 adjusted loss per share on $135.3 million of revenue. That would represent a 27.3% revenue gain from the $106.3 million the company took in during the same period last year, although profitability would have eased from the $0.05 adjusted loss per share RKLB posted in Q2 2024. Of the seven sell-side analysts that I found that cover the stock, three have increased their earnings estimates since the quarter began, three have cut their estimates and one has sat on his hands. Notably, Jeff Van Rhee of Craig-Hallum this week initiated Rocket Lab with a "Hold" rating and a $51 target price (vs. the $45.30 the stock was trading at Friday afternoon). Looking further ahead, analysts expect Rocket Lab's revenues to grow 32% for 2025 as a whole, followed by another 56% for all of 2026. As for price action, Rocket Lab's shares have traded more volatilely as the firm approaches its earnings release. After spiking into mid-July on an almost parabolic run, RKLB has recently consolidated with a number of days that saw multi-percentage-point drops. As of Wednesday, options markets were pricing in a 50% likelihood of a move greater than 13%. Rocket Lab's Technical Analysis Now let's look at RKLB's chart going back to December: Readers will note that since Rocket Lab ended its sharp upward run in mid-July, the stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) has exited overbought territory -- although the RSI still remains healthy. Readers will also see that within the daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (marked "MACD" at the chart's bottom), the histogram of the stock's 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," denoted by blue bars) has entered negative territory. That's usually short-term bearish. Meanwhile, Rocket Lab's 12-day EMA (the black line near the chart's bottom) has also crossed below its 26-day EMA (the gold line). This is also traditionally a bearish signal. However, one positive for the RKLB is that the stock appears to have found support in recent days at its 21-day EMA (the green line above). This suggests a willingness of swing traders to support the stock at that line. Still, Rocket Lab's chart is showing what looks like a completed "head-and-shoulders" pattern of bearish reversal at the chart's right (denoted by curving black lines). Should this pattern foretell a sell-off (as the daily MACD seems set up for), Rocket Lab's downside pivot would likely show up as a neckline at around $37 a share. That's well below the $45.30 that RKLB was trading at Friday afternoon. What if Rocket Lab fails to hold its 21-day EMA ($45.90 in the chart above)? In that case, both the 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line) and 200-day SMA (the red line) would have to come into play for the pattern implied here to become fully realized. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long RKLB the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
NASDAQ:RKLB
by moomoo
1
XAUUSD H4 Update – The Battle Has Moved to 3350 “From deep demand to key supply. The next move is decisive.” 🔸 Sunday Plan Recap Price was falling aggressively into the HTF demand zone (3265–3240). The plan anticipated a bounce only if that deep zone held. Above price, major zones included: 3314 – mid-structure 3330–3345 – supply zone 3368–3380 – final retracement targets 🔸 What Changed? ✅ The deep demand zone worked — H4 CHoCH bullish was confirmed. ✅ Price climbed through 3285 and 3314, confirming a retracement leg. 🔥 Now, price sits at 3349.57, testing the same supply zone marked in Sunday’s plan (3330–3345). 🔸 Current H4 Structure 🔼 Short-term bias = bullish retracement 📍 Price = inside HTF premium zone 📈 EMAs aligned bullish (5/21/50), confirming short-term momentum 💡 RSI = approaching overbought ⚔️ Liquidity above 3355, trapped shorts below 3314 🧠 Today’s Battle Plan (August 1) 🔴 Sell Zone (live) – 3345 to 3355 Price just entered the key H4 supply zone. Watch for rejection signs: Bearish confirmation needed (e.g. M15/M30 CHoCH or engulfing) If confirmed → downside targets: 3314 → 3285 → 3265 High RR short only if structure confirms 🔵 Breakout Bullish Case If 3355 breaks with a clean body + HL at 3340 → bullish continuation active Next upside target: 3368 → 3380 🧭 Final Thoughts We’ve reached the exact decision zone from Sunday’s plan. The market will now reveal: retracement over... or breakout coming? Patience is key — this is a high RR zone, but only if structure reacts. 💬 Did you catch the move from deep demand? Or waiting for confirmation here at supply? 📈 Share your thoughts in the comments and let’s break it down together. 🔔 Follow for real-time market insights, sniper plans, and structured trading logic you can trust. ❤️ Like if you enjoy clean, actionable updates🚀🚀🚀 🔁 Share with traders who love structure over noise 📉 Price data from Trade Nation feed
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Top in Place? NASDAQ100 Signals Exhaustion After Incredible Run📈 The crazy run since April NASDAQ100 has had a spectacular run since early April, when the index dipped to 16,300 amid rising tensions caused by Trump’s tax war. From that low, we’ve seen a mind-blowing rally of over 7,000 points, which translates to a 40% gain in just 4 months. Such a rise is not just impressive— it’s overextended , especially by historical standards. Markets don’t move in straight lines forever, and this one might be showing signs of fatigue. 🕯️ Bearish signal at the top Fast forward to this week: yesterday, the index marked a new all-time high at 23,700, but closed the day with a strong bearish engulfing candle — one that wipes out the gains of the previous 4 trading sessions. This is not a small technical detail. Such candles, when appearing after an extended rally, often signal exhaustion and a potential shift in momentum. ❗ Top in place? In my opinion, there's a high probability that a top has been set, at least temporarily. We might be looking at the beginning of a healthy correction, or even something more meaningful, depending on follow-through in the next sessions. 📉 Where to next? The first major support to watch is the 22,200 level. I expect that zone to be tested soon — and honestly, considering how much the index has gone up, this shouldn’t surprise anyone. It’s nothing more than a minor pullback, all things considered. 🧠 Stay smart! When markets go vertical, it pays to stay disciplined and realistic. Tops rarely announce themselves, but when signals like this appear, it’s wise to listen. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:USTECShort
by Mihai_Iacob
GOLD falls sharply, fundamental analysis and technical positionOANDA:XAUUSD fell sharply below the $3,300/oz price level as Chairman Jerome Powell did not signal any rate cuts at his next press conference on September 16-17. He only said that “no decision has been made on September” and that “more data will be evaluated in the coming months.” Economic data undermined the case for a rate cut, while geopolitical play remained a potential support. The Fed and Interest Rates The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged for a fifth straight meeting on Wednesday, defying persistent pressure from President Donald Trump and White House officials. However, two members of the central bank's board dissented, a rare move in three decades that underscored growing divisions within the central bank over the impact of Trump's tariff policies. At the meeting, the Fed kept its benchmark federal funds rate in a range of 4.25% to 4.5%, in line with policy through 2025. Last fall, the Fed cut rates by a total of 100 basis points. However, Federal Reserve Board Governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman opposed cutting interest rates by another 25 basis points, marking the first time since Alan Greenspan in 1993 that two board members have opposed a majority resolution at a meeting. At the press conference, Chairman Jerome Powell did not signal a rate cut at the next interest rate meeting on September 16-17, saying only that “no decision has been made about September” and that “more data will be evaluated in the coming months.” Powell also noted that despite Trump’s call for a sharp 3% rate cut to reduce interest costs on US debt and stimulate the housing market, the Fed will continue to monitor the longer-term impact of tariffs on the path of inflation and economic recovery. Market expectations for a Fed rate cut in September fell to 47% in Powell's speech. Economic data ADP jobs data beats expectations and is bearish US ADP payrolls jumped 104,000 in July, beating market expectations of 75,000 and marking the biggest gain since March. The data showed continued strength in the labor market, reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s stance on keeping interest rates high. Meanwhile, the preliminary estimate of annual GDP growth in the second quarter came in at 3% (2.4% expected), and the core personal consumption expenditures price index rose 2.5% year-on-year (2.3% expected), indicating both economic resilience and inflation stability, further weakening expectations for a rate cut. Keep an eye on the ISM manufacturing PMI and non-farm payrolls data on August 1. If the jobs numbers continue to be strong, this could reinforce the Fed’s dovish stance. Geopolitical and Policy Plays News of a 90-day extension of the US-China tariff deal has eased some safe-haven demand, but Trump’s August 8 deadline for a new Russia-Ukraine deal, coupled with tensions in the Middle East, continue to provide potential support for gold. Continued purchases by central banks (such as China and India) are a positive signal in the medium to long term, but are unlikely to offset short-term pressure from the Federal Reserve’s policies. Technical outlook for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has been sold below the $3,300 level and now the $3,300 level has become the nearest resistance at present. For now, gold will be limited by the area of ​​the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement with the original price point of $3,300, along with that it has formed a short-term downtrend with the price channel, the next target will be around $3,246 in the short term followed by the Fibonacci retracement level noted with readers in previous publications. On the momentum front, the Relative Strength Index is operating below 50 and is far from the oversold zone (20-0), indicating that there is still plenty of room for downside ahead. In addition, the gold trend will also be pressured by the EMA21, as long as gold remains below the EMA21, the current technical conditions continue to favor the downside. For the day, the technical outlook for gold is bearish with notable positions listed as follows. Support: 3,246 – 3,228 USD Resistance: 3,300 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3345 - 3343⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3349 →Take Profit 1 3337 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3331 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3240 - 3242⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3236 →Take Profit 1 3248 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3254
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
3
Bearish pennant pattern active. Active SELL✏️Gold price is forming a triangle accumulation pattern. That shows the hesitation of investors at the moment, they may be waiting for important economic indicators of the US this week. Just an impact that makes Price break out of the triangle border can create a strong FOMO trend. The price line is quite similar to the bearish pennant pattern and heading towards really strong support areas. 📉 Key Levels SELL Trigger: Break bottom line 3324 Target 3285, lower is the 3250 area BUY Trigger: Break and trading above 3333 BUY Trigger: Rejection and confirmation of candle at 3285 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VHT_Trader
28
XRPUSDT → Range formation. Retest of resistanceBINANCE:XRPUSDT.P , after a false breakout of the daily resistance level of 3.352 and the elimination of traders, has entered a correction phase. The trading range shown below has been formed, with an emphasis on resistance... XRP previously formed a false breakout of the daily resistance level of 3.352, as indicated in the idea above. After changing its market character, the price entered a correction phase. Focus on the range of 3.00 - 3.264. A retest of resistance (zone of interest and liquidity) is possible before falling to 3.161, 3.05 or to the liquidity zone of 3.00. There are no technical or fundamental reasons for exiting the consolidation; most likely, a retest of the zone of interest may end in manipulation and a pullback to support... Resistance levels: 3.1609, 3.264, 3.352 Support levels: 3.05, 3.00 I do not rule out the fact that a retest of the 3.264 resistance level may have a breakout structure and the price will continue to rise, but based on the price behavior pattern on D1, the market structure, and market stagnation, I conclude that at the moment, the chances of seeing a correction from resistance are higher. Further developments will need to be considered after the retest of key zones on the chart... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
12
Why Riot Stock Dropped After Q2 Earnings Despite Good NumbersWhen I first saw Riot Platforms' Q2 2025 earnings report, the numbers looked impressive at first glance. The company posted net income of $219.5 million, a dramatic turnaround from recent quarters. But as I dug deeper into the details, it became clear why the stock sold off despite what appeared to be strong results. The most immediate red flag for me was the revenue miss. While Riot reported $153.0 million in revenue against the FactSet consensus of $156.3 million. Given Riot's recent track record of disappointing investors, this miss reinforced concerns about management's ability to meet their own guidance. What really caught my attention, though, was the composition of that $219.5 million in net income. The company benefited from a massive $470 million gain on changes in Bitcoin's fair value, which was partially offset by a $158 million loss on contract settlements. This tells me that the earnings quality is questionable at best. Strip away the mark-to-market accounting gains from Bitcoin appreciation, and the underlying operational performance looks far less impressive. I'm particularly concerned about the deteriorating unit economics in Riot's core mining business. The cost to mine each Bitcoin has essentially doubled to around $49,000 compared to $25,300 in the same quarter last year. This dramatic increase stems from the Bitcoin halving event and rising network difficulty, but it fundamentally undermines the investment thesis for Bitcoin miners. Even with Bitcoin trading at elevated levels, these higher production costs are compressing margins and eating into what should be a period of strong profitability. In the previous quarter, Riot missed earnings estimates by over 260%, posting a net loss of $296 million. The company has now missed consensus estimates in three of the last four quarters, creating a pattern that's hard for investors to ignore. This track record of disappointing execution has clearly eroded confidence in management's ability to deliver consistent results. In terms of hashrate, Riot only ranked #6 among public miners, after Mara, IREN, Cleanspark, Cango, and BitFuFu.
NASDAQ:RIOT
by Miningresearch
4
EURUSD: Double Top Pattern Ahead of FOMC MeetingEURUSD: Double Top Pattern Ahead of FOMC Meeting EURUSD has formed a possible double top, and price action is now trading below the neckline - an indication of increasing bearish probability. All eyes are on today's FOMC and the interest rate decision. If the Fed signals a rate cut or hints at future easing, this could trigger a sell-off, further validating the bearish scenario. Although the USD has been weak for an extended period, the market may be changing its positioning this time. Even if EURUSD moves higher during the event, the broader setup favors a decline. ⚠️ Trading around major news events is very risky. It's better to wait for clarity after the FOMC before taking any action. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
33
7/31/25 - $birk - PSA from a $DECK owner...7/31/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:BIRK PSA from a NYSE:DECK owner... - not as close to this one as NYSE:DECK - but it's hard enough to own names NYSE:DECK (reported nice beat and good indiation on 2H) and NASDAQ:LULU that reports end of aug with 6+% fcf yields and trading in the mid teens - i "get" birkenstock is a great brand - but should it trade high 20s when, honestly, it's not 2x-ish the quality of say "hoka" or "lululemon" brands? tough one - it's more of a recent IPO too, which means still mkt (generally) has had less time to fully understand it... say over the period of time as it has NYSE:DECK and NASDAQ:LULU nevermind other stuff. - i'm not suggesting this is a short - but if i owned it, id probably swap it for one of the two above - flagging this consideration for anyone before they FAFO V
NYSE:BIRK
by VROCKSTAR
1
BITCOIN- Charging Towards 122k Momentum Building BTC/USD Long Setup – Targeting 122K 🔥 Bitcoin is holding strong above 118500, signaling bullish momentum. ✅ Price broke key resistance & forming higher lows. 🟢 Current structure favors buy-side continuation with next major target at 122000. Support Zones: 🔹 117800 – intraday bullish retest 🔹 116500 – strong demand zone Resistance Ahead: 🔸 120200 – short-term reaction 🔸 122000 – major target 🚀 Expecting bullish wave continuation. If momentum sustains above 118K, 122K breakout highly probable! #BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoSetup #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #BTC122K #ChartAnalysis #BullishBreakout
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by SadarExplore
24
AMD WEEKLY TRADE SIGNAL (7/31/25) ### 🚀 AMD WEEKLY TRADE SIGNAL (7/31/25) 📈 **MARKET SNAPSHOT** 🟢 Daily RSI: **86.0** 🔥 🟢 Weekly RSI: **80.4** 📊 Volume: 🔺 1.5x (Institutional surge) 💬 Call/Put Ratio: **1.90** 🌪 Gamma Risk: **HIGH (1DTE)** 🧠 Sentiment: **Extremely Bullish** across all models --- 💥 **TRADE IDEA** 📍 Ticker: **\ NASDAQ:AMD ** 📈 Direction: **CALL (LONG)** 🎯 Strike: **\$190.00** 💵 Entry: **\$0.51** 🎯 Target: **\$0.90** (+75%) 🛑 Stop Loss: **\$0.30** 📆 Expiry: **Aug 1 (Friday)** 📊 Confidence: **85%** ⏰ Entry: Market Open (Time-sensitive!) --- 🧠 **STRATEGY CONTEXT** ✅ Bullish momentum from AI sector hype ✅ Institutional call buying volume spiking ⚠️ 1DTE = High Gamma Risk = TRADE FAST OR DON’T TRADE ⚠️ Manage decay & exit early if momentum stalls --- 📌 Signal Posted: 2025-07-31 @ 12:17 PM ET \#AMD #OptionsAlert #AITrade #WeeklyOptions #TradingViewViral #1DTE #GammaSqueeze
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by quantsignals
1
FIG IPO: Is it Worth the Hype?IPO Highlights IPO pricing & volume -Figma priced its IPO at $33 per share on July 30, 2025 (above its revised range of $30–32 and the initial $25–28 range—raising over $1.2 billion by selling approximately 36.94 million shares. Valuation -This pricing placed its valuation at around $19–19.5 billion fully diluted, close to the US  $20 billion Adobe had once offered in a failed acquisition attempt. Financial Profile & Business Strengths Revenue and profitability -Figma posted US  $749 million in revenue for 2024 (up 48% YoY), and revenue in Q1 2025 grew by 46% to $228.2 million. It also delivered $44.9 million in net income during Q1 2025, signaling improved profitability after a net loss the prior year (inflated by a one‑time $1 billion breakup fee from Adobe). Customer base & margins -The company boasts 13 million monthly active users and covers 95% of Fortune 500 companies, with strong 91% gross margins and approximately 18% operating margins. Cryptocurrency holdings -Figma holds $69.5 million in a Bitcoin ETF and $30 million in USD Coin, planning to reinvest these into Bitcoin, a strategy similar to that of MicroStrategy. Strategic & Market Implications Signal for IPO revival -Figma is the largest enterprise-software IPO since 2021 and is seen as a potential catalyst for a broader IPO rebound, potentially opening the floodgates for other companies such as Canva, Databricks, and more. Market perception & analyst viewpoints -Analysts, including Gil Luria at D.A. Davidson, view Figma as well-positioned in the AI/design space. Others caution that rising usage of generative AI could disrupt future margins, creating both potential and uncertainty. Competitive landscape -The IPO sets the stage for Figma to directly compete with Adobe. Despite Adobe’s recent stock decline, analysts expect both companies to potentially thrive given growing demand for creative tools. -Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financial advise.
NYSE:FIGLong
by bossout10
15
Ethereum: Bullish Momentum Recharging for the Next Leg UpEthereum: Bullish Momentum Recharging for the Next Leg Up Daily Perspective on ETH Ethereum remains in a clear bullish trend on the daily chart. The long and consistent green waves reflect strong upward momentum over the past several days and weeks. Looking left on the chart, ETH previously made several corrective moves during bearish phases. The current correction looks similar to those on the left side of the chart, but this time it is taking place within an uptrend. The price is currently in a consolidation phase, likely preparing for another push higher. I’m watching three key upside targets: 4500, 4840, and 5400. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Long
by KlejdiCuni
9
Canada's GDP contracts, US nonfarm payrolls misses forecastThe Canadian dollar continues to lose ground against its US counterpart and is trading at two-month lows. In the European session, the Canadian dollar is trading at 1.3875, down 0.13% on the day. USD/CAD has risen for six straight days, climbing 1.9% during that time. US nonfarm payrolls for July were softer than expected at 73 thousand, compared to the forecast of 110 thousand. The June report was revised sharply downwards to 14 thousand from an initial 147 thousand. Canada's GDP posted a small decline of 0.1% m/m in May, matching the market estimate. This followed an identical reading in April, as the economy is essentially treading water. A drop in retail trade was a significant factor in the weak GDP reading, particularly in motor vehicles and parts. The decline in GDP in April and May can be squarely blamed on the trade war with the US, which has put a chill in economic activity. The markets are expecting a slight improvement in June, with an estimate of a 0.1% gain. The Bank of Canada held the benchmark rate at 2.75% on Thursday for a third consecutive meeting. The rate statement noted that US trade policy remains "unpredictable" and Governor Macklem reiterated this at his press conference, saying that "some level of uncertainty will continue" until the US and Canada reach a trade agreement. Meanwhile, the trade war between the two sides is heating up. President Trump announced on Thursday that the US was slapping 35% tariffs on Canadian products, effective Aug. 1. The new tariff will not apply to goods covered under the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement. Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney said he was "disappointed" with the US decision and vowed that "Canadians will be our own best customer". These are brave words, but Carney will be under pressure to reach a deal with the US, as 75% of Canadian exports are shipped to the US and Canada can ill-afford a protracted trade war with its giant southern neighbor.
by OANDA
How to accurately grasp the gold trading opportunitiesGold was greatly affected by the positive non-farm payroll data, and it rose strongly, with the increase completely covering all the losses this week. The current gold trend has completely reversed the previous bull-short balance. After breaking through the 3300 level and rising to around 3355, it maintains strong upward momentum, and the possibility of further testing the 3360-3375 area cannot be ruled out. Due to the strong positive data, if everyone fails to chase the long position or set a breakout long position in time in the first wave of the market, the subsequent pullback opportunities may be relatively limited, so it is necessary to maintain an active strategy in operation. It is recommended to continue to be bullish when it retreats to the 3335-3320 area, and the upper target is the 3360-3375 pressure range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel
WTI Crude Oil Technical Outlook – Key Breakout or BreakdownWTI Crude Oil 4-hour chart suggests a potential inflection point after a strong bullish breakout from a larger symmetrical triangle pattern in late July. The price surged past key resistance levels and is now consolidating in a smaller symmetrical triangle formation just below the psychological $70 mark. This indicates a phase of indecision following a strong move, with market participants awaiting further confirmation. Price is currently hovering around $69.82, with key levels marked at $71.03 (resistance) and $69.05 (support). The short-term price action within the tight triangle could determine the next move, with both bullish continuation and bearish reversal scenarios on the table. Prices remain supported by supply concerns after Trump threatened to impose 100% secondary tariffs on buyers of Russian crude and warned China, a major oil consumer of severe penalties if it continues its purchases of Russian oil. 🔍 Potential Scenarios - Bullish Breakout Scenario If price breaks out of the smaller symmetrical triangle to the upside and clears the $70 resistance level with strong momentum, it may quickly test the $71.03 zone. A clean break above $71.03 would confirm the continuation of the previous uptrend, potentially opening room toward $72.50 and beyond in the medium term. The pattern would resemble a bullish pennant — a continuation pattern following the late July rally. -Bearish Rejection and Breakdown Conversely, a failure to sustain above $70 followed by a break below the lower boundary of the smaller triangle could lead to a sharper decline. The first critical level to watch would be $69.05; a break below this would likely invalidate the bullish setup and initiate a retest of the previously broken upper trendline of the larger triangle near $67.50. A further breakdown could lead price towards the larger support zone around $65–$66. 📈 Trend Outlook - Short-Term: Neutral to Bullish — Consolidation in a smaller symmetrical triangle suggests a pause before continuation. However, the structure is still technically bullish unless $69.05 is broken. - Medium-Term: Bullish Bias — The breakout from the large symmetrical triangle in late July indicates a shift in market sentiment, favoring higher prices unless the price fails to hold above $67.50. - Long-Term: Cautiously Bullish — As long as WTI holds above the $65–$66 structural support area, the longer-term outlook remains constructive. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by SibiSh
Novo Nordisk (Revised) | NVO | Long at $47.78**This is a revised analysis from February 5, 2025: I am still in that position, but added significantly more below $50** Novo Nordisk NYSE:NVO is now trading at valuations before its release of Wegovy and Ozempic... From a technical analysis perspective, it's within my "major crash" simple moving average zone (gray lines). When a company's stock price enters this region (especially large and healthy companies) I always grab shares - either for a temporary future bounce or a long-term hold. While currently trading near $47 a share, I think worst case scenario here in 2025 is near $38-$39. Tariffs may cause a recession in the second half of 2025, so no company would be immune. As mentioned above, I am still a holder at $86.74. However, I went in much heavier within my "major crash" simple moving average band and have a final entry planned near $38-$38 (if it drops there). My current cost average is near $55.00. Why do I still have faith in NYSE:NVO ? Because no one else does right now, yet it generated $42 billion in revenue, $14 billion in profits, and has significant cash flow YoY. The company has a massive pipeline, despite Wegovy and Ozempic competition, and I think the market is undervaluing its position in the pharmaceutical industry. Revised Targets in 2028: $60.00 (+25.6%) $70.00 (+46.5%) $80.00 (+67.4%)
NYSE:NVOLong
by WorthlessViews