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XAUUSD Video Analysis Brief – Weekly Forecast Summary (2025)This video summarizes the key scenarios and technical outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) on the weekly timeframe, integrating both Fibonacci-based projections and macro fundamentals. Core Setup Gold is currently positioned near the 161.8% Fibonacci extension (~$3,276). A breakout toward $3,500 is possible before a potential corrective move. Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation Gold breaks above $3,435 → rallies to $4300 → continues toward major Fibonacci targets: TP: $4,320, which is the Fibonacci level 261.8% Scenario 2: Correction First Gold fails to hold above $3,435 → triggers a healthy correction to: TP1: $2,920 TP2: $2,650 If support 161.8% level holds in the correction zone, a renewed bullish phase is expected. Macro Alignment Central bank gold buying (notably BRICS) supports the long-term bid. Fed policy leaning dovish → tailwinds for gold. Inverse correlation with DXY: DXY below 98.95 → bullish for gold DXY above 100 → signals correction Effect on Altcoins If correction is risk-on driven, capital may rotate into altcoins. If triggered by macro stress or USD strength, alts may fall alongside gold. This analysis offers a multi-scenario framework to navigate the next major moves in gold, with key levels to watch for traders, investors, and macro analysts alike.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BitonGroup
1
EUR/USD: Euro Pops Above $1.16 in Four-Year High. What’s Next?The dollar wobbles, Trump talks tariffs, and the euro’s got its dancing shoes on. The Euro Wakes Up, Stretching Its Legs at $1.16 Look who just rolled out of bed and decided to make a scene. For the first time in four years, the euro has finally leapt out of its slumber and sprinted to $1.16 — all at the expense of the US dollar, which continues to shed value. The FX:EURUSD isn’t just crawling higher. It’s flexing, fueled by dollar fatigue, political drama, and some very European stubbornness. So what’s behind the move? Why is the euro soaring while the European Central Bank is actually cutting rates? And what’s the dollar doing? Let's unpack it all — one central bank, one tweet, and one inflation print at a time. Trump’s Tariff Ping-Pong: Back On, Back Off Let’s start with the one thing that never quite leaves the headlines: Trump’s trade policy. Just when traders were catching their breath after some tariff reprieve on China, the market got pulled back into the mess. “WE ARE GETTING A TOTAL OF 55% TARIFFS, CHINA IS GETTING 10%. RELATIONSHIP IS EXCELLENT,” Trump posted on Truth Social late on Wednesday, reigniting fears that the trade war is getting heated up again. Especially after a US squad of negotiators touched down in London and walked away with some promising news . Markets don’t love confusion. Investors especially don’t love a US trade policy that changes faster than the Nasdaq NASDAQ:IXIC during CPI week. This kind of noise erodes confidence in US economic leadership and — more importantly — in the dollar. The world’s most important currency is starting to feel… less important, less relevant, and less reliable. And while it’s not collapsing, it’s definitely catching fewer friends at the FX party. On the other side of the pond, the euro isn’t rising because Europe is crushing it (even though it’s doing pretty well against rival currencies, just check the forex heatmap ) — it’s rising because the dollar is slipping off its pedestal. So yes, the euro’s up. But this isn’t a standing ovation for Europe — it’s more of a polite shrug away from America. US Inflation Creeps Higher — And That Means a Cut? US inflation picked up to 2.4% in May but still left the door open for a cut by the Federal Reserve. So what does the market do? It prices in a cut. Lower rates mean lower yields on Treasuries, which means less incentive for global investors to hold dollars. And when the yield game turns dull, guess what gets more attention? Gold OANDA:XAUUSD — because if your asset doesn’t yield anything, at least let it be shiny. ECB Cuts Again, and the Euro Still Rises? Now here’s the riddle. The ECB last week cut its benchmark rate to 2% , hitting a two-year low. By all textbook logic, a rate cut should weaken the local currency. Here’s why it’s rising instead: Markets are forward-looking . The rate cut was expected and already priced in. What matters now is whether more cuts are coming (spoiler: not too many). Traders are betting the ECB is nearing the end of its easing cycle — and may turn neutral soon. The Fed looks more dovish . Rate differentials still matter. Even if the ECB is cutting, the Fed is expected to cut more over the next 12 months. That narrows the gap between euro and dollar yields, making the euro more attractive in relative terms. Eurozone data isn’t great — but it’s not falling apart either. While growth in the eurozone isn’t setting any records, it’s been just OK to support the currency. Inflation is cooling in line with ECB targets, unemployment remains low, and key sectors like manufacturing are showing signs of life. Put it all together and you get a euro that’s rising despite rate cuts — a phenomenon that would make FX professors tear their hair out, but makes perfect sense when you zoom out. Technicals: This Isn’t a Flash in the Pan From a chartist’s perspective, the FX:EURUSD breakout above $1.16 was a big deal. That level had acted as resistance since November 2021. Now cleared, a flurry of algo buys and retail FOMO might fuel the next leg in either direction. From the bulls’ perspective, momentum is picking up, and the euro looks poised to test $1.17–$1.18 if the dollar stays fragile (that said, keep your eye on any hot news coming out of the economic calendar ). RSI is not yet flashing overbought, and MACD is still screaming “more grounds to cover.” Question is: How long can the euro dance before the music changes? And we’re asking you — share your thoughts on the euro-dollar pair and let’s see who gets it right!
by TradingView
16
Bitcoin New ATH - Where now?After Bitcoin makes new all time highs, the next steps are very important. Where price goes now can be tricky to predict as there is the rare factor of price. One of the only ways to predict where BTC may find resistance during price discovery is to use Fibonacci levels, using Fib extensions the first target for me would be between $117,500-$120,000. This area would be between the fib extension and the big even level, RSI would also be overbought on the daily time frame. For the bearish scenario I think it's a much simpler play from a TA standpoint, lose the trend channel and get back under the old ATH level and I think we see a pullback towards $97,000. After such an extreme rally over the last 2 months with little to no rest a 10% correction would not be out of the ordinary despite such bullish ETF inflows. I have mapped a second target area should $97,000 fail, a SFP of the range can lead to a retest of the midpoint, this correction path would be much more severe with a more than 15% move lower. To sum it all up Bitcoin has been on a great run in the last 2 months and has reached most traders common target of making a new ATH. Now there must be a new objective... Continue the move into price discovery or a corrective move? Price discovery has no previous selling history and so Fib levels along with big even levels are used to predict resistance levels. Corrective move would mean dropping out of the bullish trend channel and falling into a place of support, in my mind that would be ~$97,000 or failing that ~$91,000 (range midpoint).
by ProR35
Where is $CRWV headed to?CoreWeave (NASDAQ: CRWV): Pros Explosive revenue growth -Q1 2025 revenue surged 420% year-over-year to $981.6 million, up from $188.7 million. -Consensus expects revenue could double in 2025 and reach $16 billion by 2027. High adjusted EBITDA margins -Adjusted EBITDA margin around 62% in Q1 and ~64% for 2024. Strategic customer contracts -$11.9 b OpenAI deal and partnership with Google Cloud to support OpenAI workloads. -$7 b lease agreement with Applied Digital over 15 years. Backed by top-tier capital providers -Investors include Nvidia, Microsoft, Blackstone, Magnetar, Fidelity. -IPO raised $1.5 b even after scaling down, plus interest in refinancing $1.5 b debt. Market leadership in GPU cloud -Positioned as a “neocloud” AI infrastructure powerhouse, offering specialized high-performance GPU services to hyperscalers. Cons -Massive capital intensity & debt -Carried ~$8 b in debt as of end-2024; raising more to refinance high-yield credit. -Depreciation and interest charges weigh on GAAP profits GAAP losses remain significant -Q1 net loss of $314 million due to high depreciation/interest; GAAP net loss margin ~32%. -Non-cash adjusted figures hide underlying capital burn. Customer concentration risk -Microsoft accounted for ~62% of 2024 revenue; OpenAI and Google help diversify, but client dependency remains. IPO headwinds & pricing struggles -IPO priced at\$40 (reduced from $47–55). -Seen as largest tech IPO since 2021, but faced investor concerns over sustainability. Valuation and competition concerns -Stock is up ~250–300% since IPO—possible bubble risk. -Faces competition from Big Tech hyperscalers and other AI compute providers -Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financial advise.
NASDAQ:CRWV
by bossout10
3
Where is HIMS set to go next?Overview of Hims & Hers Health (NYSE: HIMS): Pros Expanding into weight-loss treatments -Hims successfully entered the high-demand GLP‑1 weight-loss space by selling compounded semaglutide during shortages. With branded Wegovy now available on their platform in partnership with Novo Nordisk, they’ve broadened their offering. Solid growth & rising profitability -Revenue surged ~18% in 2024 to $1.78 b ttm, with annual net income of $164 m. -Q1 2025 reported >100% YoY revenue growth ($586 m) with expected profit of 20¢/share. Strong gross margins -At around 80–88%, comparable to peer telehealth platforms. Diverse healthcare offerings -Beyond weight loss: sexual health, skincare, hair loss, mental health via DTC model. Expanded further via European acquisition of ZAVA (~1.3 m subscribers). Undervalued relative to future earnings -Analysts project 2030 revenues of $6.5 b—implying mid‑20s% CAGR. With projected EPS ~$1.5 b, current multiples (P/E ~40x) might look reasonable long term. Cons GLP‑1 strategy under pressure -The end of compounding allowances by FDA reduced their low-cost advantage. -Dependence on cash-pay vs. insurer coverage may limit growth if insurers cap co-pays. High valuation with risk -Trading at ~84x trailing EPS and ~70x forward EPS—wide margin for missteps. -Analysts average target at $38 (≈ 33% downside), 12 rate it a 'Hold'. Competitive & regulatory headwinds -Market crowded with telehealth players like Ro, Noom, CVS, and insurers which may undercut cash-pay model. -Legal scrutiny over “personalized” compounded products persists; Novo lawsuits underway. Reputation & controversy -CEO’s political donation stirred backlash; regulatory scrutiny around ads and compounding practices. -Platform has faced occasional service and customer trust issues. -Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financial advise.
NYSE:HIMS
by bossout10
1
Chime IPO launch (today)Pros: Strong adoption & growth -8.6 million active members, growing ~82% since early 2022. -Revenue surged from $1.3 b in 2023 to $1.7 b in 2024 — a ~31 % increase Operational improvements -Narrowed losses: from a $470 m loss in 2022 to just $25 m in 2024 — briefly profitable in Q1 2025 -Q1 2025 saw profit of $12.9 m. IPO success + capital -IPO priced at $27/share—above the expected $24–26 range—raising $864 m and valuing Chime around $11–11.6 b fully diluted. -Gross margin strong at ~88% in Q1 2025. User-friendly products -No overdraft, monthly fees, or minimum balances. Offers early paycheck access via MyPay and fee-free overdrafts up to $100 -Interchange (swipe fees) generates ~90% of revenue — efficient business model Investor confidence -Backed by top underwriters (Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan). -High-profile investors (DST, Sequoia, SoftBank) are largely retaining their stakes. Cons -Revenue concentration risk -Heavy reliance on interchange fees (~90% of revenue) makes Chime vulnerable to regulatory changes (e.g., fee caps). Margin pressure -Product features like MyPay reduce margins (transaction margin fell from 79% to 67%) Platform non-banking -Chime isn’t a bank; it relies on partner banks (Bancorp, Stride). Any change in banking partnerships or regulations could affect operations. Reputation & customer service issues -Past controversies: account closures without notice, slow refunds. Settled with regulators (including a $3.25 m CFPB penalty in 2024). -BBB rating of B– with thousands of complaints. -Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financial advise.
NASDAQ:CHYM
by bossout10
4
Gold (XAUUSD) Eyes 3,330 Zone as Safe-Haven Demand Builds!!Hey Traders, In today’s trading session, we’re keeping a close watch on XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 3,330 zone. Gold continues to trade within a strong uptrend, and is currently undergoing a healthy correction, bringing it near a key support/resistance level that could act as a springboard for the next leg higher. From a fundamental perspective, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have led to the evacuation of diplomatic personnel and increasing concerns of potential military escalation. As uncertainty grows, safe-haven assets like gold tend to attract stronger demand from investors seeking protection against volatility and risk. If the situation deteriorates further, we could see a surge in gold prices as market participants hedge against geopolitical instability. Trade safe, Joe
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
17
Brent Oil Intra-day Analysis 12-Jun-25Drawing possible scenarios we could see on Brent Oil prices. Keep in mind fundamentals supporting the move up on oil: * Geopilitical escalations between Russia and Ukraine * Opec+ production policy * US - China Trade talks and demand optimisim * Geopolitical tensions between US and Iran. Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EASYMARKETS:BRTUSD
by easyMarkets
Crude Oil Eyes 65.40 Support Amid Middle East Uncertainty!!Hey Traders, In today’s trading session, we’re closely monitoring USOIL for a potential buying opportunity around the 65.40 zone. The commodity remains in an overall uptrend, and is currently undergoing a corrective phase, approaching a key support/resistance area near 65.40. This level aligns well with the broader trend structure and may offer a favorable risk-to-reward setup. On the fundamental side, geopolitical tensions are on the rise. Reports indicate that U.S. embassy personnel are being evacuated from parts of the Middle East amid growing regional instability. Allegedly, Israel is preparing for potential military action against Iran should nuclear deal talks collapse. If these tensions escalate further into military conflict, oil prices could spike in response to the heightened risk to regional supply chains. Trade safe, Joe
TVC:USOILLong
by JoeChampion
2
Go with the flow and seize the gold trading opportunityGold rose and fell yesterday due to the influence of CPI data, and fluctuated violently during the session. There were obvious signs of a wash. In the evening, it rose again driven by the news, closed positive on the daily line, continued its strong upward trend at the opening and set a new high, showing an obvious bullish pattern. The overall structure maintains the bullish idea of low-long and trend-following. From the 4H cycle, gold rose continuously after stepping back and stabilizing the middle track. The moving average system showed a bullish arrangement, and the Bollinger band opened and expanded, further confirming the continuation of the strong pattern. However, the current price is still running within the triangle convergence range, and has not yet effectively broken. It is not advisable to blindly chase more in the short term. In terms of operation, it is recommended to take the step back and do more. Pay attention to the short-term support below the 3360-3358 range, and focus on the 3350-3340 range. You can rely on the support to arrange long orders in batches. Pay attention to the 3389 and 3400 areas on the upper short-term pressure. If the high is weak, you can try short-selling in combination with the actual trend. Operation suggestion: It is recommended to buy gold near 3340-3350, and the target is 3366 and 3382. If it is strong, it is recommended to buy gold at the support of 3358-3360! All recent trading strategies and ideas have been realized, and the point predictions are accurate. If your current gold operation is not ideal, we hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
DXY H4 – Dollar Weakens Ahead of PPI Release DXY H4 – Dollar Weakens Ahead of PPI Release | Is the Market Pricing in a Fed Pivot? 🌐 Macro & Fundamental Context As we head into the New York session on June 12, the market’s attention shifts to one critical data point: the US PPI (Producer Price Index). Following the softer-than-expected CPI reading of 2.4% YoY (vs. 2.5% forecast), the Dollar Index (DXY) dropped sharply—signaling fading inflation pressure and reigniting rate cut expectations. ✅ Bearish Fundamentals Building for the USD: CPI miss fuels Fed rate cut bets (currently ~65% chance for September per FedWatch Tool). US Treasury yields are easing, reflecting the market’s pricing of a less aggressive Fed. Risk assets rallying as capital flows rotate away from USD into gold, equities, and long-duration bonds. If today’s PPI also comes in below forecast, it could confirm a deeper correction in DXY. Conversely, a surprise PPI upside might trigger a short-term pullback. 📉 Technical Analysis – H4 Timeframe 🔹 Overall Trend: DXY is locked within a clearly defined descending channel, with a consistent Lower High – Lower Low structure holding since late May. 🔹 Key Technical Zones: Short-term resistance: 98.548 – likely to act as a ceiling unless PPI surprises to the upside. Immediate support: 97.966 – a break below opens the door toward the key support zone at 97.191, which aligns with previous FVG imbalance and multi-timeframe demand. 🔹 EMA Structure: Price remains below all major EMAs (13 – 34 – 89 – 200), confirming persistent bearish pressure. EMA13 is currently acting as dynamic resistance on H4, pressing down on price. 🧠 Market Sentiment & Flow Insight Investors are rotating out of USD as inflation fears fade and Fed easing expectations increase. Risk-on sentiment is returning, benefiting gold and stocks while weighing on DXY. However, a hot PPI print could spook the market briefly, leading to a corrective bounce in the Dollar before the trend resumes. 🔍 Scenarios to Watch: PPI comes in lower than expected: DXY may retest 98.548 resistance and reject lower. Next targets: 97.966 → 97.191 PPI surprises to the upside: Technical bounce toward 98.5–98.8 possible. But trend remains bearish unless price reclaims 99.2+ zone. ✅ Conclusion DXY remains under pressure from both macro and technical angles. The PPI report will be the next catalyst that determines whether this is a short-term dip or the continuation of a broader USD downtrend. 🎯 Tactical view: Favour short positions on DXY if price bounces into resistance and PPI supports the disinflation narrative. Target: 97.1 and below.
TVC:DXYShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD Impact of May CPI Data on Bond Prices/Yields and Fed Rate Decisions Key CPI Figures Headline CPI: MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior 0.2%). YoY: 2.4% (vs. 2.5% forecast, prior 2.3%). Core CPI (ex-food/energy): MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior 0.2%). YoY: 2.8% (vs. 2.9% forecast). Bond Market Reaction Bond Prices surged, and Yields Fell as lower inflation reduced expectations of prolonged high rates: 10-Year Treasury Yield: Dropped 6 basis points (bps) to 4.12% (lowest since March 2025) . 2-Year Treasury Yield: Fell 5 bps to 3.947% . 30-Year Yield: Declined to 4.95% . Drivers: Softer inflation eased fears of Fed tightening, prompting a bond rally. Traders priced in Fed rate cuts by year-end. Fed Rate Cut Implications September Cut Odds Rise: Markets now assign a greater chance of a September rate cut by more than 25bps July Meeting Likely Unchanged: The Fed is expected to hold rates at 4.25–4.50% on June 18 but may signal dovish intent in its updated dot plot. Policy Dilemma: Cooling Inflation: Supports cuts to avoid over-tightening. Resilient Labor Market: May 2025 jobs growth (139K) and steady unemployment (4.2%) suggest the economy can handle delayed easing. Tariff Risks: Fed remains cautious about potential inflation spikes from Trump’s tariffs, which could materialize in late 2025 . Market Reactions Equities: Nasdaq surged past 22,000, and S&P 500 hit a June high as stagflation fears eased . Dollar Index (DXY): Initially dipped but later stabilized near 98.50 as traders weighed Fed caution against global risk sentiment . Commodities: Gold rallied to $3,376/oz, while oil rose 2% on demand optimism . Conclusion The softer CPI data strengthened the case for Fed rate cuts in 2025, triggering a bond rally and equity gains. While a July cut remains unlikely, the Fed may use its June meeting to prepare markets for a September easing, contingent on inflation staying subdued and tariff impacts materializing as expected ,the CPI (July ) and Q2 GDP will be watched for confirmation. #GOLD #DOLLAR
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub