UJ Finally Showing Bearish Momentum After 2 Weeks of Patience
After nearly two weeks of waiting and watching price consolidate around key levels, bearish movement is finally emerging.
Structure suggests that this downtrend could continue into the end of the week. Staying disciplined pays off — now let’s see if price continues respecting the setup.
Fundamental Analysis
Canadian Natural resources is undervaluedUsing my simple method of technical analysis and fundamental calculation of the intrinsic value of a stock for which the range of intrinsic value of CNQ is between $35-$55. Assuming oil can make a reversal at this pivotal time in history for the world the stock looks very cheap. It also pays good dividends soon which was a bonus I bought some at $31 dollars for the market price. It looks like a great addition to make a nicely diversified portfolio.
Safe Entry Zone INTCPrice Movement Ranging.
Price Targeting 1h & 4h Green Zone.
Green Zones Are Buying Zones & Red Zones Are Selling Zones In Case Buying Zone broken down stock movement will be down and Vice Versa.
P.High(Previous High) & P.Low(Previous) Acts As significant Support and Resistance Levels.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
EURUSD LONG Dollar is looking weak for this week and possibly the rest of this month I’m seeing lots of longs on the dollar get closed and Asset managers are hedging against the dollar. We are seeing price not respect the previous highs and a lot of new sellers who got stopped out are re entering so I believe we could see a small drop then continuation to the upside this week .
Cocoa Bounce From Demand – Can This Lead to a New 2025 High?On June 11th, price reacted sharply to a key demand block around the 8,880–9,000 zone, which aligns with:
Golden Pocket Fib (0.705–0.78) between 8,420 and 9,006
The midpoint of a previous consolidation range
A liquidity sweep followed by a strong bullish rejection
The RSI is showing a bullish divergence (lower lows on price vs rising RSI), which supports a possible technical rebound.
🟣 Immediate target: 10,400–10,600 (supply zone)
🔴 The bullish bias would be invalidated on a close below 8,850
📈 Commitments of Traders (COT) – as of June 3, 2025
Non-Commercials (speculators): still net long, but reduced their long exposure by -2,006 contracts, and trimmed shorts slightly as well
Commercials: remain heavily net short with over 61,000 contracts (61.4% of OI), indicating ongoing hedging by producers
Open Interest dropped by -1,257 → a sign of general position liquidation
➡️ The reduction in speculative longs likely reflects profit-taking after the May rally, but overall net positioning remains bullish on a medium-term view.
📅 Seasonality – June
On the 20, 15 and 10-year averages, June typically shows a moderately bullish rebound, often following weakness in May.
On the 5 and 2-year views, however, performance is more neutral to slightly negative.
Historically, June acts as a consolidation or pre-rally month, often preceding a stronger uptrend in July–August.
🧠 Operational Outlook
Bias: Moderately bullish in the short term, with potential recovery toward 10,400. Structure still shows signs of broader distribution, so caution remains in the medium term.
🎯 Trade idea:
Aggressive long initiated on the bounce from demand
First target: 10,400
Breakout extension: 11,200
Invalidation on daily close below 8,850
AVGO is always an easy decision for me -- long at 246.86 In addition to being at the heart of AI and having margins north of 70%, AVGO has done incredibly well with my algo. 381-0 with an average return of 1.71% in an average of 7 days - a .244% per day return, about 4x the average daily market return. However, adding the new filter I've been using ups that number dramatically. In the last 2 years, in 39 trades, it's 39-0 with an average return of 2.24% and an average of 3.6 days held. That's .63% per day or almost 15x the daily average return of the market.
Only 6 of those 39 trades took more than one week to close and none took longer than a month. Only 10 of them made less than 1% and 7 made more than 4%. Combined with the fundamentals, the uptrend it's in, and the fact that it's sitting right on support makes the reward to risk ratio VERY high for me.
The exit strategy Is FPC if the return is large enough, but not necessarily a FPC.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
GME COLLAPSE - NET SELLOFF - MARKET ANALYSISGameStop (GME) is dropping in after-hours trading following its $1.3 billion convertible senior notes offering, which investors see as potential dilution. Similarly, Cloudflare (NET) is also falling due to concerns over its $1.75 billion convertible debt offering, which could impact shareholder value.
On the flip side, Oracle (ORCL) surged after reporting strong Q4 earnings, with cloud infrastructure revenue expected to grow over 70% in fiscal 2026. This could provide a tailwind for the broader cloud sector.
The market’s pullback today was much needed, with many stocks retesting key breakout zones
AES | Bounce in Motion from Multi-Decade Support – 75% Upside 📍 Ticker: NYSE:AES (AES Corporation)
📆 Timeframe: 1M (Monthly)
📉 Price: $11.48
📊 Volume: 109.4M
📈 RSI: 40.20 (Oversold rebound zone)
🔍 Technical Setup:
NYSE:AES has just bounced from the lower boundary of a 30-year ascending parallel channel, a zone that has historically marked major long-term bottoms.
🟢 Green arrow: Rebound from long-term trendline support
📏 Targeting reversion to the channel median
🔹 Pattern context: Mean-reversion strategy inside macro uptrend
🧠 Trade Plan & Price Target:
✅ Entry Zone: $11.00–$11.50
❌ Stop-Loss: Close below $9.50 (channel structure breakdown)
🎯 Target: $20.00
→ 📈 Return: +75.6% from current levels
⚠️ Key Insights:
RSI near historical bounce zone (40)
Major volume surge may signal capitulation
AES is historically cyclical within this macro structure — mean reversion is likely
Short interest elevated — potential for short-covering rally
💬 Will AES power a multi-quarter reversal like it did in 2002, 2009, and 2020?
📈 Add it to your radar if you’re watching for long-cycle rebounds.
#AES #MeanReversion #LongTermChannel #Utilities #ValueTrade #TargetTraders
GoldMinds Family — Sniper Plan for June 12 👋 Good evening traders!
CPI delivered clean reactions, and now we're stepping into the next setup zone as Core PPI, PPI m/m and Unemployment Claims line up on tomorrow’s calendar. Expect the volatility machine to wake up again.
Gold remains capped inside premium supply while liquidity continues to build on both sides. My plan is simple: execute only when price moves into proper levels — clean, confirmed, and structured.
🔎 Sniper Zones
Sell Zones:
• 3359 – 3375 → H1 premium OB + weak high inducement
• 3387 – 3398 → Extreme premium sweep zone
Buy Zones:
• 3312 – 3300 → H1 demand zone + internal FVG fill
• 3285 – 3272 → Deep flush liquidity zone
Mid Zone:
• 3336 – 3344 → Only valid for quick scalps with clean M5 confirmation
🧭 Bias
Bias remains bearish under 3375, but as always: let liquidity show its hand first.
News triggers liquidity. Liquidity triggers setups. We execute the third move.
🔎 The Battle Plan for Tomorrow
If price moves higher ahead of or after the news, I’m watching my first sell zone between 3359 and 3375. This is where liquidity stacks above recent highs, sitting inside the H1 premium order block and imbalance. Any clean reaction here can offer solid short opportunities.
If volatility drives an even stronger push, I have my second sell zone between 3387 and 3398 — an extreme premium zone where late buyers could get trapped after the news spike completes a full liquidity hunt. This would be my deeper liquidity sweep area.
If sellers take control early and we see a flush down before or after the release, I’ll be focused first on the 3312–3300 zone. This sits inside clean H1 demand, where previous liquidity was already collected. If price drops even further, I’m watching 3285–3272 as the deep liquidity sweep zone — where price may fully clear weaker hands before potential reversal.
Between 3336 and 3344 sits my mid-zone.
This is the area where price may consolidate or chop ahead of news. I avoid entering here unless I see a clean M5 confirmation for a quick scalp. Otherwise, it’s simply no-man’s land.
🎯 My Tactical Approach
If price reaches the sell zones → I wait for strong rejection & structure break on M5/M15 to execute shorts.
If price flushes into the buy zones → I wait for bullish confirmation on M15 to enter long.
Mid-range is ignored unless very clean setups appear on lower timeframe flips.
⚠ News days often start with traps. The first reaction isn’t always the real direction. I stay patient, disciplined, and let liquidity build before executing.
🚀 If this sniper plan helps you stay prepared, drop a 🚀, leave a comment, and Boost the post to support clean, real structure-based trading.
Follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper updates 🧠✨
ABT Trade Setup: Breakout Play with 10.6% Upside🏥 Abbott Labs (ABT) Trade Alert
Positioning in this healthcare giant as it breaks out from consolidation - here's the strategic play:
📌 Trade Levels
▶ Entry: $133.12 (confirmed above SMA 50)
🎯 Target: $147.21 (+10.6%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $126.00 (-5.3% risk)
⚖️ Risk/Reward: 1:2
Why ABT Now?
✅ Fundamental Strength:
Net Income Growth: "Strong growth" (+134% YoY in last report)
Dividend Aristocrat: 50+ years of dividend growth (current yield 1.9%)
Debt Health: Score 10/10 (Debt/Equity 0.26, Interest Coverage 15x)
✅ Technical Triggers:
Bullish crossover (50D > 200D MA)
RSI 55 - neutral with room to run
Volume surge on $132 breakout
Measured move target aligns with $147 zone
📊 Trade Management:
Entry: $133.12 (market price)
Scale In: Add at $130 if tested
Adjust Stop: Move to breakeven at $136
Partial Profit: Take 50% at $140
⚠️ Key Risks:
Sector rotation out of healthcare
FDA delays on new devices
Strong resistance at $138 (prior highs)
ABT dominates 4 growth segments:
Medical Devices (44% revenue)
Diagnostics (32%)
Nutrition (12%)
Generics (12%)
Recent FDA approval for Freestyle Libre 3 drives upside.
Trade active until next earnings (Oct 18). Let me know your take! 👇
#HealthcareStocks #DividendInvesting #BreakoutTrade
PRMB | Breakdown in Progress – Setting Up for a 200% Swing Buy📍 Ticker: NYSE:PRMB (Primo Brands Corporation)
📆 Timeframe: 1W (Weekly)
📉 Price: $28.84
📊 Volume: 32.38M
📈 RSI: 40.95 (Bearish momentum, nearing bounce zone)
🔍 Technical Setup:
PRMB has broken below a steep sub-channel and is targeting the midline and base of a broader long-term ascending channel, offering a high-reward opportunity for medium-term traders.
📉 Short-term trend: Bearish correction
📈 Long-term trend: Still intact within rising channel
📍 Support zone: $20.70 – multi-year horizontal + lower channel convergence
📊 RSI: Oversold territory, potential for bullish divergence
🧠 Trade Plan & Price Targets:
📥 Wait for price to hit $20.70–21.00 zone (major confluence zone)
✅ Entry Range: $21.00–$22.00
❌ Stop-Loss: Below $19.00 (channel breakdown invalidation)
🎯 Target 1: $35.00
→ 📈 Return: +64.8%
🎯 Target 2: $72.00
→ 📈 Return: +229.3%
⚠️ Key Insights:
Volume spikes during selloff = panic selling, possible capitulation
RSI forming base near 40 → reversal often begins here historically
Macro trend channel still fully intact — just correcting within range
Steep reward potential if entry is timed at support
💬 Will PRMB complete the retest and deliver a massive swing?
🎯 Precision setups like this don't come often — add it to your watchlist now.
#PRMB #ChannelTrading #SwingSetup #LongTermReversal #HighReward #TechnicalSetup #TargetTraders
DXY Ready to Reload? Eyes on 99.100 as Tariff Tensions Ease!!Hey Traders, In tomorrow's trading session, we're closely monitoring the DXY for a potential buying opportunity around the 99.100 zone. After trending lower for a while, the dollar index has successfully broken out of its downtrend and is now entering a corrective phase.
We’re watching the 99.100 support/resistance area closely, as it aligns with a key retracement level making it a strong candidate for a bullish reaction.
On the fundamental side, Friday's NFP data came in slightly above expectations, which is typically USD-positive. In addition, recent Trump-led de-escalation in U.S.-China tariff tensions is another supportive factor for the dollar.
Trade safe, Joe.
UNI 1D. Breakout Coming? Long-Term Setup Explained 06/11#UNI has been trading in a wide range between $4.072 – $18.634 for the past three years. This is known as an accumulation phase, where large players may be building positions ahead of the next major price move.
After a steep decline, the price bounced off the key support zone at $5.623 – $4.753. It then reclaimed and held above $6.325, a historically high-volume area — a bullish signal.
For short-term entries, I recommend waiting for confirmation above the 100-week moving average (MA100), which currently sits around $7.671. A break and close above that level would suggest a trend reversal.
🎯 Targets:
• $12.063
• $15.305
📥 Mid-term accumulation zone:
• $5.623 – $4.753
• If price drops to $4.072, it could be another solid buy opportunity.
DYOR.
#THETA 1D. Swing High Rejected – What's Next? 06/11/25We are currently in a consolidation range. After updating the swing high, price immediately faced seller pressure from the top of the structure.
Why did this happen?
Many participants were stuck in losses for a long time and decided to exit at breakeven as soon as price gave them the chance — totally understandable.
Key levels for the setup:
Yellow lines – potential entry points.
Red lines – stop-loss levels, depending on your risk appetite (marked two options).
Green lines – target areas.
Whether you go with spot or futures — the setup is there. Choose your strategy accordingly.
DYOR.
UVIX is your BEST insurance policy against the market!I've said this many times before, UVIX is an absolute gem if you know how to trade it. It's one of the only ETFs that has a mean reversal. The market is over heated and there's really nothing behind it except hot air, no major fundamentals. The economy is cooling, and you should be ready. Learn how to trade UVIX, monthly spikes that over compensate the lulls.
Best of luck and always do your own DD, I did!
$USIRYY -U.S CPI Below Expectations (May/2025)ECONOMICS:USIRYY 2.4%
(May/2025)
source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The annual inflation rate in the US increased for the first time in four months to 2.4% in May from 2.3% in April, though it came in below the expected 2.5%.
Prices rose slightly more for food, used cars and new vehicles but shelter cost slowed and gasoline prices continued to decline.
Meanwhile, the annual core inflation rate held steady at 2.8%.
On a monthly basis, both headline and core CPI increased by 0.1%, falling short of market expectations.
ARENA go longThe Arena Group act as an rebound..
After a big downturn, the company has turned around and is since 3 quarters profitable.
EPS last quarter 0,08. --> next quarter ~ 0,16 $
Revenue increasing. Company except 40 Mio $ revenue. (from 30 !!)
Incresing EPS and revenue, only 200 MIO MC.
--> Expect minimum target at 10$
Entry here between 4$ and 5$. SL at 3,5
US30 Update bullish📊 US30 Update 🚀
Great job team! ✅ Our first TP was hit 🎯 and we’ve now secured our second entry after a solid retracement back to our initial zone. This is a strong buy-back opportunity, and momentum is building up again! 🔥
We’re now expecting a push towards our second TP at 43,300. 📈 Stay sharp and remember:
🧠 Trade smart,
📉 Manage your risk,
💰 No oversized lot sizes — let the setup do the work.
Let’s keep winning! 💪
#US30 #CPI #TP1Hit #SecondEntry #ForexTraders #SmartTrading #TeamWork