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Fundamental Analysis

Potential Head and Shoulders PatternHow to identify head and shoulders patterns? We’ll use the current example from the Nasdaq or the US markets. We can quite clearly observe that a potential head and shoulders formation is developing. This means that if the price breaks below the neckline, we may see a deeper correction from the April low. I will go through the rules on how to identify a head and shoulders formation. We will also cover how to recognize when the pattern is invalid — meaning the market may continue pushing above its all-time high. Finally, we’ll discuss how we can position ourselves early, before waiting for a break below the neckline for confirmation. Let’s first go through the rules of identifying head and shoulders with rules stated. Next, how to recognize when the pattern is invalid, the market continues pushing above its all-time high. The key is in the closing price above the all-time high. Lastly, how we can position ourselves early, before waiting for a break below the neckline for confirmation. Of course, we can wait for the break to come as a confirmation, but usually I would like to be a little more active than being passive. So this is just for your reference. It may not be for everyone. This is where I always get into its micro view by first acknowledging where is the macro is, which we had just discussed. Please refer to the following video: So what do you think that the market likely or unlikely to fulfill this head and shoulders set-up? I’d like to hear your thoughts on this. Micro Nikkei Futures Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.sweetlogin.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Short
by konhow
USDCAD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCAD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
3
“COFFEE CFD Smash-and-Grab: Thieves’ Swing Trade Blueprint!"🚨☕ The Great "COFFEE" Market Heist 🚨💰 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 ⚔️Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💸✈️ Get ready for the ultimate COFFEE Commodities CFD Market Heist! Based on our 🔥Thief Trading Style combining technical and fundamental analysis, here’s our master plan to snatch profits from the market vault. 💥 The Master Plan: 📉 Entry: “The vault is wide open! Swipe the bearish loot at any price—our heist is on!” 💸 Use sell limit orders on the 15- or 30-minute timeframe, at the nearest swing high or low levels to lock in the perfect robbery spot. 🛑 Stop Loss: 📌 Set your Thief SL at the nearest or swing high/low on the 4H timeframe (~380.00) to keep your loot safe. 📌 Adjust SL based on your trade risk, lot size, and multiple entry plan—don’t let the cops catch you! 🎯 Target: Aim for 315.00 or escape before the target—take the loot and run! 👀 Scalpers’ Tip: Only scalp on the Short Side! If you’ve got deep pockets, jump in big; otherwise, join swing traders to ride the heist. Use trailing SL to protect your loot. 💣 Market Vibes: The “COFFEE” CFD market is trapped in bearish territory, fueled by: 🔎 Risky levels 🔎 Oversold zones 🔎 Consolidation 🔎 Trend reversal 🔎 Traps near levels where bullish robbers get strong. 📰🗞️ The Big Picture: Check out the Fundamentals, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, and Future Trend Targets to stay one step ahead! 👉👉👉🔗 (Check our bi0 for liinks!) ⚠️ Trading Alert: News releases can rock the market vault! 🚨 Avoid new trades during big news 🚨 Use trailing SL to lock profits and guard your loot. 💥 Hit the Boost Button! Supporting our Robbery Plan helps us all steal money with ease! 💰💵 Boost our robbery team’s strength, and trade with the Thief Trading Style to cash in every day. 💪🏆🤝🚀🎉 Stay tuned for our next heist plan—until then, keep those profits safe and stay sharp! 🤑🐱‍👤🤩
SKILLING:COFFEEShort
by Thief_Trader
XAUUSD DAILY PLAN 11 JUNE | CPI FIRE & STRUCTURE SNIPES!Hey GoldMinds! 🔥 Welcome to the June 11 plan — perfect timing as CPI is dropping tomorrow and the market is heating up! Let’s get tactical and prep for both volatility and sniper setups. 🌎 Macro & News Context All eyes on CPI (US Inflation Data) tomorrow — expect increased volatility and liquidity sweeps! USD is showing signs of strength after a broad correction. DXY breakout could pressure gold lower, but a miss on CPI could mean instant reversal. Market is trapped in a wide structure, so we’re trading only the best confluence zones — not mid-range noise. 📊 Key Levels & Zones Type Zone Logic / Target Buy #1 3315–3310 Daily OB + H4 demand + FVG sweep, strong bounce expected if CPI spike flushes price Buy #2 3292–3280 Deep discount zone, liquidity inducement & last-stand HL Sell #1 3352–3362 H1/H4 premium OB + FVG + prior sweep, CPI pump trap Sell #2 3384–3400 Extreme premium, stop hunt and sweep zone, strong rejection expected if FOMO kicks in Mid Range 3330–3340 If NY plays range, look for quick reaction scalps here with M5 confirmation only 🧭 Bias Neutral-to-Bearish (with event risk): Market is currently consolidating below premium supply, showing signs of distribution and lower highs on H1/H4. As long as price is capped below 3350–3362, sellers remain in control — especially if USD holds its strength into CPI. However, CPI can easily flip the script! If data surprises dovish and USD drops, we could see an aggressive squeeze higher. Best play: Let price reach extreme zones (either buy discount or sell premium) and wait for clear confirmation — don’t force trades in the middle. Summary: → Bearish below 3350–3362 → Bullish only on sharp flushes into 3310 or deeper discount, with M15 reversal → Flat/mixed in the mid-range (3330–3340), scalp only with confirmation 🎯 Trade Scenarios Bullish: If CPI comes in weak or USD retraces, expect price to spike into 3315–3310 and 3292–3280 zones. Look for strong M15 reversal for buys. Targets: 3345 (first), then 3360. Bearish: Strong CPI = gold pumps into 3352–3362 or even 3384–3400, then look for M15/M5 rejection to sell. Targets: 3330 (first), then 3310. 🧠 Tactical Notes Only trade with confirmation — ignore random candles in mid-range! If price is between 3330–3340, wait for clear M5 structure flip. CPI can create fakeouts — first reaction isn’t always real direction! Protect capital, don’t chase, and always respect your plan. 👇 Drop a 🚀 if the plan helped you or you enjoy the daily insights! Comment your bias, follow for more sniper plans, and let’s boost the post if you found value! Community = power. Let’s own CPI together, GoldMinds! 🧠✨ GoldFxMinds
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
16
AVGO ( Broadcom.Inc ) NASDAQ:AVGO - Continuation of movement within the ascending channel + potential for a breakout to new historical highs. 🔍 Rationale: • After a strong correction in the first quarter of 2025, the price formed a reversal and has been moving in a clear ascending channel since the beginning of May. • The channel support and resistance are clearly being worked out, the price is steadily bouncing off the lower border. • Bollinger Bands show a narrowing - momentum is possible. • Trading volume is stable, there are no signs of a strong sell-off.
NASDAQ:AVGOLong
by ALVO13_official
Bitcoin - Price Reversal AreaAny price increase in the market must be accompanied by a price correction and a temporary decrease, and only in the currency markets of countries with weak economies can currencies be found that always move in the same direction against strong currencies. This rule is the same in digital currencies and the crypto market. Supply and demand, fear and greed, cause increases and decreases. These drops are not a reason for a permanent decrease, and increases will definitely begin in the next few days. If the price of Bitcoin decreases again, you can use the specified support area to enter a new purchase. Sasha Charkhchian
Long
by Sashacharkhchi
Gold fluctuates repeatedly, and opportunities emerge!Gold was under pressure for the second time during the day, and the pressure at the 3349 line fell back. It continued to be treated with a fluctuating mindset. The 4H cycle observation showed that the Bollinger Bands were closing, and the K-line repeatedly interspersed around the middle track. The short-term structure tended to fluctuate upward. Pay attention to the 3348-3350 and 3362 pressure zones above, and the support below is located in the 3315 and 3302 areas. In terms of operation, the main long and auxiliary short ideas are maintained, and the guidance of CPI data is paid special attention. Operational suggestions: Gold retreats to the 3315-3305 area and tries to arrange long orders, with the target looking at 3338 and 3349. A strong breakthrough can look up to 3360. If the 3350-3360 pressure zone above is not broken, short orders can be tried in the short term. All recent trading strategies and ideas have been realized, and the point predictions are accurate. If your current gold operation is not ideal, we hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
POST NEWS📰 CPI News-Based Trade | EUR/USD Buy We entered a long position on EUR/USD following the release of the US CPI data, which showed a significant deviation from expectations: Actual CPI m/m: 0.2% below forecast This meets our market-moving threshold of ±0.2%, indicating potential USD weakness Weak CPI data reduces Fed rate hike expectations, leading to dollar depreciation 📈 Trade Setup: Direction: Buy EUR/USD Entry Reason: CPI m/m came in lower than forecast, signaling USD weakness Strategy: News-based momentum trade Stop Loss: 1.5 × 15-min ATR Take Profit: 2 × ATR (risk-reward ~1:1.33) 🎯 Objective: Catch the post-news directional move based on fundamental weakness in USD. ATR-based risk management ensures volatility-adjusted levels.
Long
by alisardari
Nasdaq: Momentum Backed by AI, But Caution WarrantedThe Nasdaq Composite closed at 19,714.99 on June 10, extending its rally to three straight days. This rise is underpinned by three key factors: strong AI-led earnings, a supportive macro backdrop, and bullish technical patterns. 1. Fundamentals: AI Fuels Earnings Top tech firms like NVIDIA (Q1 revenue: $44B+) and Broadcom are benefiting from the ongoing AI boom, driving the index higher. Even smaller firms like Duolingo (+53% YTD) are seeing outsized gains thanks to AI integration. 2. Macroeconomics: Stable Policy, Trade Hopes The Fed’s steady rate policy (4.25–4.5%) is helping high-growth tech stocks maintain strong valuations. Meanwhile, improved U.S.–China trade sentiment has lifted investor confidence. 3. Technicals: Bullish Structure Holds The Nasdaq 100 remains in a rising channel, trading above its 20-day moving average. Key levels to watch: Resistance: 21,950–22,200 Support: 21,400 and 20,340 A breakout above 22,200 could open room for further upside. Caution: Market Breadth is Narrow Much of the rally is driven by a few mega-cap names—the “Magnificent Seven”: Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, NVIDIA, Meta, and Tesla. Their outsized influence means the index may rise even while broader market participation is weak. Key Takeaways for Traders AI-related earnings continue to fuel growth. Rate stability supports tech valuations. Market breadth is thin—watch for volatility if leadership stumbles. Use technicals to time entries, but manage risk carefully. Conclusion While the Nasdaq’s rally is fundamentally and technically sound, narrow breadth adds fragility. Stay with the trend, but monitor signs of rotation or pullback closely.
NASDAQ:IXICLong
by Jacques1000
2
Bitcoin Near Breakout – CPI Miss Could Be the Catalyst?Just Released: Key U.S. Inflation Data: Core CPI m/m: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast) CPI m/m: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast) CPI y/y: 2.4% (vs. 2.5% forecast) Market Reaction & Outlook: The softer-than-expected inflation figures suggest easing price pressures in the U.S. economy — a potential bullish signal for risk assets, such as Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ). ----------------------------- Now let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour time frame . Bitcoin is trading in the upper part of a Heavy Resistance zone($104,380-$103,670) and is trying to break through this zone. The announcement of US indexes could be a trigger for a breakout of this zone . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave 4 of the main wave 3 . The structure of microwave 4 is a Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Bitcoin to start rising from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the Support line again and rise to at least $110,670 and if the Heavy Resistance zone($104,380-$103,670) is broken we should expect new ATHs in the coming days . Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $108,791-$107,887 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $106,840-$105,457 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $111,381-$110,568 Note: If Bitcoin falls below $105,700(Worst Stop Loss(SL)), we should expect further declines. If you want to know my weekly analysis about BTC , I suggest you check out the following idea: Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
19
ADM | Inverse Head & Shoulders + Parallel Channel = Reversal📍 Ticker: NYSE:ADM (Archer-Daniels-Midland Company) 📆 Timeframe: 1D (Daily) 📉 Price: $48.74 📊 Volume: 2.82M 📈 RSI: 54.80 (Momentum building) 🔍 Technical Setup: NYSE:ADM is completing a textbook Inverse Head & Shoulders at the bottom of a rising channel, hinting at a structural reversal. 🟢 Green arrow signals current buying opportunity 🔺 Red arrows highlight expected resistance zones on the way up 🟣 Channel provides a clean roadmap for a stair-step recovery structure Pattern Highlights: Well-defined L–H–R shoulders Price reclaiming the midline of the channel RSI recovering above 50, signaling shift in momentum 🧠 Trade Plan & Price Targets: ✅ Entry Range: $48.50–$49.00 ❌ Stop-Loss: Close below $46.00 (invalidation of channel + pattern) 🎯 Target 1: $52.50 → 📈 Return: +7.7% 🎯 Target 2: $56.50 → 📈 Return: +15.9% 🎯 Target 3: $63.00 → 📈 Return: +29.3% ⚠️ Technical Notes: Pattern is visible across multiple timeframes — weekly structure aligns with daily bullish reversal RSI breakout + neckline test = potential breakout confirmation Earnings volatility in rear-view mirror – momentum favored near-term 💬 Is ADM finally turning the corner after months of weakness? 📌 Like & Follow for more structured swing setups! #TargetTraders #ADM #HeadAndShoulders #ChannelBreakout #SwingTrade #InverseHnS #TechnicalSetup
NYSE:ADMLong
by TargetTraders
What to Expect from CPI Data and the Key Dollar Levels to WatchDollar index trading in a tight range ahead of the CPI data. US inflation is expected to rise by 0.1% on a yearly basis for both headline and core figures, reaching 2.4% and 2.9% respectively. Markets expect some of the effects of tariffs to begin showing up in this data. There are both downside and upside risks to the release, but in our view, a slightly lower-than-expected result is more probable. Frontloading of goods before tariffs took place, slowing economic activity, downward price pressure in parts of the services sector due to weaker-than-usual tourism, lower energy costs, and ongoing disinflation suggest that the impact of tariffs may remain limited in this month’s data and possibly the next as well. If the data remains unchanged and comes in below expectations, the initial reaction could be negative for the dollar due to rising rate cut expectations. However, unless there is a significant surprise in either direction, today’s data is unlikely to meaningfully change the Fed’s economic outlook or rate policy. The inflationary effects of tariffs are expected to appear gradually, due to the frontloading of goods ahead of the tariff implementation. For the Dollar Index, the 97.90 and 99.10 levels will be key. If the downtrend breaks, the ongoing gradual decline of the dollar may pause, allowing for a limited rebound. However, a drop below 97.90 could trigger another leg down, similar to previous moves. A side note on inflation: Sometimes, year-on-year figures alone are not enough to provide a clear picture due to base effects. Starting this month, the base effect turns positive for yearly comparisons. If inflation is to return to the 2% target steadily, month-on-month inflation needs to remain at or below 0.2%. For example, twelve consecutive months of 0.2% monthly inflation results in a 2.22% annual CPI. In contrast, twelve straight months of 0.3% monthly inflation would lead to a 3.35% annual rate.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by ftdsystem
Bitcoin Whales Going On Summer Vacation🚨 Wake Up, Crypto World! 🚨 🔹 Bernstein calls $200K 🔹 CNBC eyes $130K 🔹 BlackRock boasts IBIT is the fastest-growing ETF 🔹 Saylor claims $1M BTC 🔹 Thiel-backed crypto exchange Bullish - has confidentially filed for a US IPO … Does this sound like "Institutions secretly acquiring Bitcoin"? NO. This sounds like a desperate call for exit liquidity. The real accumulation already happened, behind closed doors, away from the headlines. Now they need buyers. Retail FOMO is their exit strategy. Don't be fooled enjoy the Summer Vacation. 🌴 #Bitcoin #Crypto #ExitLiquidity #MarketCycles #TakeProfits CRYPTO:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER NASDAQ:COIN NASDAQ:MSTR
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by CassianDrake
Can UNI Reach $20? A Perfect Storm of Fundamentals and TechnicalTechnical (Fractal) Outlook: From a fractal perspective, we can see that this scenario tends to repeat itself each time — but with one key difference: this time, we might witness a higher high. It's important to be prepared for potentially higher targets. Fundamental View: The recent 24.8% surge in UNI’s price was triggered by comments from Paul Atkins, the current SEC chairman, proposing a relaxation of regulatory requirements for DeFi projects in the U.S. This marks a major shift in sentiment and could open the door for increased institutional participation in decentralized finance.
CRYPTO:UNIUSDLong
by PersianBlockchain
2
Mid-Week Outlook Update: US CPI- Trade TalksCPI day today. Scheduled to be released at 7:30 AM CT. CME:6E1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:MES1! COMEX:GC1! CBOT:ZN1! ES futures edged slightly higher after positive commentary from US-China trade talks. The delegations from both sides agreed on a framework to move forward with negotiations. It is important to note that Trade War 1.0 took about two years to formalize and finalize. However, given the previous experience and the current agreement on the framework, our opinion (which is not the consensus) is that the trade deal between China and the US may be closer than what most analysts and investors might otherwise predict. Like any negotiations, China and the US have previously discussed these difficult issues and have found a way to resolve them. Although the concerns have shifted towards niche sectors, we still view baseline tariffs with some sectors seeing increased tariffs as likely. TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out) acronym traders will see a tougher stance from Trump to resolve the overarching trade deficit issue with China, particularly the dumping of Chinese goods. AI, defense technology, chips, and rare earth minerals are at the center of these discussions. There will be targeted controls on exports of chips from the US and exports of rare earth minerals on the Chinese side, despite the current framework and deals agreed. In our view, these controls will be phased out until agreements are finalized, to maintain leverage and show TACO acronym backers that Trump is not “chickening out,” but rather maintaining a strong stance while negotiating trade deals with China and other countries. In our analysis, despite positive headlines, the overhanging uncertainty has not dissipated. In fact, there is clarity that President Trump is willing to take the difficult road to negotiate from an apparent position of strength. Would this result in extension of trade deadlines or temporary increase in tariffs followed by an extension of deadlines? This remains to be seen! If May CPI comes in lower than expectations, this will be a nudge in the direction that tariffs are not translating into higher inflation. We may see a rally in index futures. On the contrary, any increase in CPI above the previous 2.3% YoY increase will be seen as tariff-induced inflation. In our analysis, given lower energy prices, rent inflation stabilizing at levels last seen in late 2021, and services inflation in the US trending lower from the peak in January 2023, we are seeing embedded inflation in the prior two months and this may remain sticky in today’s release. However, any stability with lower energy prices seen in the prior month will point to a lower inflation print overall. Comment with your favorite trade idea from our past trade ideas and what you would like to see more of.
ECONOMICS:USIRYY
by EdgeClear