Citigroup predicts a decline in gold prices? Blacklisted?Information summary:
Citigroup analysts predict that by the second half of 2026, gold will fall back to around $2,500-2,700, with a significant reduction in investment demand, improved global economic growth prospects, and a decline in the factors that led to the rise in gold prices due to the Fed's interest rate cut.
My point of view is: blacklist Citigroup. Since last year, they have predicted that the highest point of gold prices will exceed $4,000, and they have constantly changed the forecast point in the middle, and now they even point out that the price will fall below $3,000, which is completely unreliable.
Market analysis:
In the early Asian session, it also rose strongly, and it seems that there is a lot of upward momentum, but $3,405 is the pressure position for the top and bottom conversion, and the rise in the morning is a lure. At this position, it fell rapidly, reaching a minimum of around $3,373.
The Asian market seemed to rebound strongly in the morning, but the MA5 and MA10 moving averages showed a downward trend. This kind of market cannot wait for a decline to go long, but it is also a repeated wash-out shock. The first focus below is the 3375-3370 area, followed by 3360. The short-term trend is still dominated by wash-out shocks.
The short-term important focus position is around 3405. 3405 is used as the dividing point between long and short positions. A short-selling strategy is carried out near this position. Pay attention to the 3375-3360 area below.
Fundamental Analysis
Have you seized the golden opportunity again and again?Today, the strength of gold is very weak. It only rushed up at the opening, and quickly fell below the 3400 mark. Keeping above the key point of 3400, gold continues to be bullish. Now that it has fallen below 3400, the short-term has gone out of the small-level top, and the market is no longer so strong. For our short-term operations, the short-term correction of gold prices focuses on the daily cycle MA5 support, and the weekly MA5 support is long. The rebound focuses on the 3403-3408 resistance card. The rebound can be followed by the short-term! Although gold has fallen below 3400, the short-term direction has changed, but the general direction has not changed. It is still bullish. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize. Now we can only follow the trend. We will do what the market does.
From a technical point of view, the current macd high dead cross in 4 hours has a large volume, and the smart indicator sto is oversold, which represents the 4-hour shock trend. The current bollinger band three-track shrinkage in 4 hours also represents the range compression. At present, the upper pressure of 4 hours is located at the adhesion point of the middle rail and the moving average MA10 at 3404-3409, while the support corresponds to the moving average MA30 and MA10 near the 3380-3363 line. From the current 4 hours, if the price is to fall directly, the rebound will not exceed the 3420-3422.5 line. The current macd dead cross of the gold 1-hour line is shrinking and sticking, and the smart indicator sto is running downward, indicating that the hourly line continues to fluctuate weakly. What we need to pay attention to now is the adhesion pressure of the upper moving average MA60 and MA30 corresponding to the 3412 line. Pay attention to the resistance of 3403 in the short term. Today's short-term operation of gold recommends rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary, and pay attention to the support of 3380-3370 in the short term.
WTI Technical Analysis – WTI (1H Chart)
Structure & Momentum:
WTI recently broke out of a short-term bullish structure, forming higher highs and higher lows.
However, momentum appears to be weakening, with divergence showing between price action and volume (or internal strength), hinting at a potential short-term pullback.
Liquidity & Reaccumulating:
There’s a visible liquidity pool resting below the recent swing lows, around the $62 level, which aligns with a bullish order block or prior consolidation zone on the 1H chart.
If price revisits this zone, it would likely be a liquidity grab followed by reaccumulating.
✅ Scenario Outlook:
"WTI might pull back to the $62 area to clear resting liquidity and mitigate previous demand imbalances. If the level holds with strong bullish intent, we can expect a continuation toward higher levels—targeting the $67–$70 range in the coming sessions."
Trade Setup Concept (SMC-style):
Wait for price to sweep the $62 level.
Look for a shift in market structure (CHOCH) on lower timeframes from bearish to bullish.
Entry: Post-CHOCH confirmation above local high.
SL: Below liquidity sweep.
TP1: $66.80
TP2: $69.90
🛢️ Geopolitical Context:
If Iran retaliates directly or if Strait of Hormuz tensions rise, crude could spike suddenly.
But U.S. SPR releases or weak global demand data might offset rallies—watch macro data.
Oil Surges on Israel-Iran Nuclear Strike Fears🛢️ Israel’s attacks on Iran’s nuclear sites are pushing oil ( BLACKBULL:WTI , BLACKBULL:BRENT ) higher!
Bloomberg reports Trump’s G-7 exit and Tehran evacuation warning as Israel-Iran strikes intensify (June 17, 2025). Analysts warn of Strait of Hormuz risks, with 17M barrels/day at stake.
4H Chart Analysis:
Price Action: WTI ( BLACKBULL:WTI ) broke $75 resistance (June 2025 high), exiting a 3-week range. Brent ( BLACKBULL:BRENT ) mirrors at $78.
Volume: 4H volume spiked 15% vs. prior week, confirming breakout buying.
Key Levels:
Current Support: $75 (WTI), $78 (Brent) – former resistance, now support.
Next Support: $73 (WTI), $76 (Brent) – prior range lows, tested twice in June.
Context: Oil gained 2% this week, driven by Middle East supply fears, with WTI at a 1-month high.
Trading Insight: The $75/$78 breakouts signal bullish momentum. $73-$76 is a key support zone for dips. Watch Iran retaliation news and volume for supply disruption clues.
What’s your 4H oil trade? Post your setups! 👇 #OilPrice #WTI #Brent #IsraelIran #TradingView
Gold trading strategy June 17D1 candle shows profit taking by sellers pushing the price back below 3400. In the current context, the pullback is only short-term and has not confirmed the reversal, but long-term Buy signals can still be noticed at important support zones.
Today, there are many price zones that can BUY Gold, so wait for confirmation before placing an order. Gold is heading towards the first support around 3375-3373 (this zone has just reacted 100 pips). This is also the Breakout zone. If it breaks this zone, Gold will reach 3343-3341 before it can BUY.
Note that to sell break 3373 and the SELL resistance point must wait for 3415 and the daily resistance 3443-3445
If there is a sweep to 3343 and bounces and closes above the 3373 breakout zone, it confirms that the uptrend will continue strongly in the near future.
The next BUY support zone to pay attention to is 3322-3320 and the 3305-3303 zone. The BUY target is always pushed further back to 3415 or to the peak around 3443.
SUPPORT: 3373;3342;3322;3304
RESISTANCE: 3415;3443
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 17, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) continues to experience significant pressure against the US dollar (USD), showing a three-day decline and trading above the key psychological level of 145.000. This weakening is largely due to growing market expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may delay raising rates until the first quarter of next year. The main reason for this delay is said to be the continuing uncertainty surrounding future US tariff policy, which could have a significant impact on global trade flows and Japan's economic growth. Moderate but steady growth in the US dollar is also contributing to the strengthening of the USD/JPY position, pushing the pair to new highs during the Asian trading session.
However, market participants are cautious about aggressive bearish bets against the yen ahead of the upcoming Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting. This meeting is seen as a critical event that could provide additional signals about the central bank's long-term policy outlook. Any hints of a change in tone or new assessments of the economic situation will be carefully analyzed by traders.
In addition to central bank decisions, growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may help limit deeper losses for the Japanese yen. As a traditional “safe haven,” the yen typically attracts investors during periods of global instability, which may offset some of the negative impact of interest rate differentials. In addition, the outlook for the USD/JPY pair is influenced by the growing recognition that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may lower borrowing costs in 2025. Expectations of future Fed rate cuts could hinder further strengthening of the US dollar and thus limit the upside potential of the USD/JPY pair. Overall, the market remains in anticipation of key decisions that will determine the future trajectory of one of the world's most actively traded currency pairs.
Trading recommendation: SELL 144.550, SL 145.000, TP 143.600
WLD Sparks Panic Here’s Why the Worst Might Still Be AheadYello Paradisers, have you seen how #WLDUSDT just collapsed out of nowhere? After weeks of slow, grinding price action inside a dangerous ascending broadening wedge, #Worldcoin has finally snapped, and this breakdown could be the start of something much bigger.
💎We had this move on the radar well in advance, as the structure continued maturing. The wedge was perfectly defined by rising support and resistance levels, and price got smacked down with precision from the top of that range. When #WLD printed a clear Change of Character (CHOCH), breaking beneath the wedge’s lower boundary, it wasn’t noise it was a direct signal of weakening momentum and a confirmed shift in market structure toward the downside.
💎What followed was a textbook retest of the breakdown level, which now aligns with a powerful supply and resistance zone between $1.069 and $1.125. As long as the price remains trapped below this zone, the bearish momentum stays in full control. Right now, the next area we’re eyeing is $0.847, where price might see a temporary pause. But make no mistake if the selling continues, #WLD is likely heading toward $0.580, and in the most extended bearish case, we’re watching the major support base at $0.347.
💎Any invalidation of this bearish setup would require a full breakout above $1.623, but with the current market structure, that kind of reversal seems extremely unlikely without a strong macro or fundamental catalyst flipping the narrative.
Trade smart, Paradisers. This setup will reward only the disciplined.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Continue to be bullish after successful adjustment of low longToday, gold opened high at 3448, and fell under pressure after touching 3452. It fell after repeatedly confirming resistance at high levels. We arranged short orders in the 3445-3450 area, successfully touched the target of 3330, and realized profit-taking. Then the market fell back to around 3409 and stabilized and rebounded. We arranged long orders and stopped profit at around 3420. Then we fell back and arranged long orders of 3385 and 3395 to take profits at 3405.
Overall, gold fell slowly after opening high, and maintained sideways consolidation in the European session. The US session continued to fall due to the easing of the geopolitical situation. At present, the focus of the evening is on the support of 3390. If it does not break after the retracement, it can still go long. Pay attention to the key pressure levels of 3410 and 3422 above. The current market is still in the adjustment stage of the upward trend. After the adjustment, it is expected to continue the upward rhythm.
Operation suggestion: Go long on gold when it falls back to around 3390-3392, with the target at 3410 and 3435.
If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
AAPL — Broadening Range and Accumulation Phase. Targeting $300Apple stock has been moving in a broadening pattern for an extended period, showing signs of accumulation. This price behavior suggests a potential bullish breakout. The upside target in the coming months is around $300, possibly by fall or winter. However, a corrective scenario remains on the table, with a potential pullback toward the $165–144 range, which could present a strong long entry opportunity. From a fundamental perspective, investor interest is likely to increase ahead of Apple’s expected product presentation in the fall, which historically supports bullish sentiment in the stock.
MU Options Insight: Bulls Eyeing $123Fundamental Overview
Micron Technology's $200 billion expansion plan aligns with the broader push for domestic semiconductor manufacturing. The company is investing $150 billion in fabrication plants across Idaho, New York, and Virginia, while $50 billion is allocated for high-bandwidth memory packaging and R&D. This move strengthens Micron’s position in AI-driven demand and supply chain resilience.
The CHIPS and Science Act funding of $6.4 billion and eligibility for the Advanced Manufacturing Investment Credit further bolster Micron’s financial outlook. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra emphasized that this expansion will create tens of thousands of jobs and reinforce U.S. tech leadership.
Technical Analysis
Micron’s stock is currently near a 12-month high, up 37% year to date. The momentum remains strong, with institutional activity suggesting bullish sentiment.
- Options Flow Insight: A vertical bull spread was spotted in Times & Sales, with 118 strike contracts executed on the ask and 123 strike contracts executed on the bid simultaneously. This suggests a bullish stance, as traders anticipate further upside.
- Expiration Consideration: The June 20 expiration (4 days away) indicates a short-term bullish outlook, likely targeting a breakout above $123.
- Institutional Positioning: The 500 additional contracts at 118 reinforce the bullish bias. If MU moves beyond $123, traders holding the spread still profit, confirming strong conviction in upside potential.
XAU / USD ANALYSIS [Bullish Bias]Gold continues to show strong bullish momentum, supported by key technical levels and favorable market structure. Price action remains constructive above the major support zone, indicating potential for further upside.
I'm closely monitoring the following levels for a high-probability long setup:
Demand Zone / Support Level:
Entry key level: 3375 - 3370
As long as gold holds above this support, the bias remains bullish with potential for a continuation toward higher resistance levels. A break and sustained move above the entry zone would confirm bullish strength and could trigger the next leg up.
Risk management remains key waiting for clear confirmation before entering is advised.
#GOLD, #FOREX , # VeloraFXReal
TSLA Honey Ticking Bull Trap!TSLA has a beautiful big ars bear flag! While it should have broken down to trigger a short trade, it decided to Honey Tick people right into a Trap!
It formed a perfect MEGAPHONE in wave 3 up that has now CRACKED! This is a much juicer short setup with the potential of collapsing from here and taking out the entire bear flag and MORE!!
First, we need a lower low and then a lower high and off we GO BABY!!!
Don't Get HONEY TICKED!
As I always say, never EVER!! Invest in toxic people like Elona. They always blow themselves up in the end. It's in their nature!
Click boost and follow, let's get to 5,000 followers. ;)
GBP/JPY Rejection – Bearish Move ExpectedChart Description (GBP/JPY – 1H Timeframe):
This GBP/JPY chart shows a strong resistance level around 196.566–196.693, where the price has been rejected multiple times (marked by the red arrow). After testing this resistance zone, the price is expected to drop.
The chart suggests a sell setup:
Entry: Near resistance zone (196.566)
Target: Around 193.766 (marked with yellow dotted line)
Stop-loss: Above the resistance at 196.710
The black arrows indicate the expected bearish move from resistance down to support.
Summary:
Price is rejecting a major resistance. Expecting a drop towards 193.766 — possible short opportunity.
This Just Went Nuclear - Explosive Move!Uranium prices have surged due to several key factors:
- Increased demand for nuclear energy – Many countries are expanding nuclear power to meet clean energy goals.
- Geopolitical tensions – Supply disruptions from Russia and Niger have tightened the market.
- Underinvestment in uranium mining – Years of low prices led to reduced production, creating a supply deficit.
- Government policies – The U.S. and other nations are prioritizing domestic uranium production for energy security.
- Rising uranium prices – Spot prices have climbed significantly, boosting mining stocks.
We are near some major resistance and expect some profit taking to occur.
Names Like NYSE:OKLO NYSE:SMR AMEX:URNM AMEX:URA NASDAQ:CEG should be on watch for a strong selloff.
6/17/25 - $nxt - What changes? My plan...6/17/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NXT
What changes? My plan...
- a few TL;DR comments before i copy/paste from a msg i sent a friend, in order to keep things efficient on my end.
- i don't think rushing to BTFD makes sense here (for me)
- my exposure is well-managed (15% 2027 LEAPS at about 1.5x leverage), don't feel compelled to size up or down.
now the thread if it helps frame my mindset/ trading plan...
they trade as a basket, the residential stuff was always unownable even considering "credits" in this environment b/c who is paying to install these things when interest rates are so high, the payback period is >10yr and going to the grocery store burns...
...with that being said, what will likely happen is that a TON of demand (for the utility guys - namely NASDAQ:NXT > NASDAQ:FSLR > NASDAQ:ARRY > NASDAQ:SHLS ) will get pulled forward this year and next and they're going to produce tons of cash. BUT...
...the market simply cannot care about this right now (it's how the market thinks). while i'm tempted to buy NASDAQ:NXT here, i do think we're going to see a move back to that gap from may 25, all else equal - ESPECIALLY - if the market has a sell off (solar will be the weak/ "easy" drop for many funds/ investors given this tough setup).
Therefore, reasoning is v logical. sub $50 "yes". but i'd like to see it go mid $40s even if it's 46/47... before biting. A test of the low $40s is not out of the cards (30% scenario?) and i'd want to make it my biggest LT position again, at that point.
the other name that could/ will make sense to own if/when this all happens (mid 40s NXT etc, macro downdraft etc) would be NASDAQ:FSLR back in the $130s, but ideally in the $120s. that company is going absolutely nowhere. and if i may be so bold... solar has already won the game, by 2028 these things will be so efficient, that it will be obvious that installing nuclear vs. solar+battery is just a bad investment. i think we've already crossed that Rubicon and it's part of the reason for taking such dramatic measures to "protect" the legacy and very much DOA non-technology sources of energy.
fwiw - we've seen clear "bottoms" on many solar names in the last pukeathon (end march/april) and then many ripping tops in the last weeks. this sort of clear identification of both bottom/top allows us to use fib lines to get a sense of trading levels IN ADDITION TO (the more important) support/ resistance levels and IN ADDITION TO the gaps left by many. for NASDAQ:NXT the second fib level (b/c the first got smashed thru) is about $52 and corresponds to the wicks from may 14 and 22. and the next one is about $49. above the gap from between may 9/10
given how this sector trades, if we see a multi-day move, that gap gets filled and we test the $46 fib level + the gap fill BUT there's some resistance there from prior px action. give the direction + situation... my guess is that also gets broken/ tested, eventually if nothing changes.
so the $42-$44 level is the IDEAL spot to size up. but if we're not looking to get too cute, mid 40s is a good LT spot too ($44-47). anything above that... and i'll just hand sit, probably, avoid the brain damage.
hope that helps!
V
USDCHF → Retesting resistance will lead to a declineFX:USDCHF , having failed to reach its global target after breaking through support, is turning back to retest the zone of interest at 0.8157. A fall in the dollar could trigger a decline in prices...
After breaking through support and falling to 0.8055, a correction is forming towards the zone of interest and liquidity at 0.8157. After reaching the local target, the price may return to the global target (liquidity zone) at 0.8042.
The dollar returned to its downward phase at the opening of the session, to which the forex market reacted accordingly. Most likely, bearish pressure may also affect the USDCHF currency pair, which continues to follow the downward trend.
Resistance levels: 0.8157
Support levels: 0.8055, 0.8042
A retest of resistance amid high volatility could form a false breakout (liquidity capture) before the decline continues within the downtrend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
$BTC correction: targets 101k, 97.5k, 94k, 87kThe hype is peaking — institutions, banks, Wall Street, and even governments are buying Bitcoin.
Yet despite the frenzy, BTC has been rejected three times around the $110K level and appears to be heading into another correction.
Bitcoin maximalists are pushing a strong FOMO narrative to attract retail investors, but several factors are pushing back:
- Psychological barrier: At these price levels, retail investors are hesitant. Owning just a "fraction" of a Bitcoin doesn’t appeal to the average person.
- Geopolitical tension: The conflict with Iran is serious. This isn’t a small, isolated country — Iran is a millennia-old civilization with global alliances. This situation won't resolve quickly or easily like Libya, Syria, or Iraq.
- Oil price surge: Escalating tensions could disrupt the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global oil. Western sanctions on Russia already strain supply — if Iran joins, where will Europe get its energy? U.S. supply won’t be enough. Expect a spike in inflation.
- Recession risks: Persistent inflation could drive a recession in the second half of the year.
- Trade wars & tariffs: No resolution, just chaos.
- Ukraine-Russia war: Still unresolved. Still draining global stability.
In short, the world is burning — and this is terrible for markets.
Bitcoin maximalists — some even selling company shares to buy more BTC — may soon face the harsh reality: Bitcoin needs a deeper flush before it can rally again. Retail won’t return until altseason clears the way and resets sentiment.
In a cycle dominated by propaganda, institutional manipulation, and global unrest, predictions are fragile. The only guide left: the chart.
Technically, we’re in correction mode again. Comparing with past cycles, potential pullback targets are:
$101K, $97.5K, $94K, $87K
There’s massive support at $74K, but it's unlikely we revisit it soon.
Stay cautious. DYOR.
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BTCUpdate #Geopolitics #Altseason #CryptoCorrection #MacroView #CryptoFOMO #RiskAssets #DYOR
Safe Entry Zone GTLBStock in Ranging Movement.
Stock current at SIGNIFICANT Support Level.
My Beloved Gathie Wood's Best investor ever just bought the stock too.
P.High's & P.Lows(Previous Highs & Previous Lows) acts as good Support and resistances levels.
4h Green Zone Is Buying Zone.
4h Red Zone is Selling Zone.
In case Break Throught red Zone stock will change to UP-Movement and Vice Versa.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
Gold Loses Shine Amid Hopes the Middle East War Remains Under Co
Gold is showing little movement today, holding near $2,386 per ounce after a drop of over 1.4% yesterday.
This weak performance comes as market fears over the fallout from the Israel-Iran conflict have eased. Investors are hopeful that energy supplies flowing from the region to the rest of the world will not face major disruption.
Scenarios that could shock oil prices, according to Axios , include Israel striking Iran’s key export facilities, Iran targeting production sites in the region, or the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. None of these developments have occurred so far, which has kept fears of renewed inflation and persistently high interest rates in check.
The Editorial Board of the Wall Street Journal believes that global oil production capacity can absorb supply disruptions unless they are catastrophic, such as a closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
As long as the conflict does not severely disrupt energy supplies, markets may downplay its impact. This limits the geopolitical risk premium that would otherwise support further gains in gold prices.
However, if diplomacy fails to contain the conflict soon, Iran may choose to escalate it by shutting down the Strait of Hormuz, according to experts cited by The Journal . This concern could prompt the US and Gulf states to intensify diplomatic efforts or even pull the US directly into the conflict.
Beyond the military situation, markets are watching developments in the US-China trade dispute, where talks have yet to make meaningful progress. The lack of a breakthrough could push the US to impose restrictions on semiconductor exports and manufacturing equipment, threatening billions in American corporate sales, according to The Journal .
Such moves might trigger further escalation by China, which holds leverage through its dominance in rare earth metals. Renewed tensions could disrupt supply chains and drive inflation even higher.
Although recent inflation data do not suggest a sudden surge in prices, experts told The New York Times that the effects of tariffs and supply chain disruption may take months or even over a year to feed through to consumer prices. This is partly because sellers can rely on pre-tariff stockpiles and offer discounts for a period.
Failure to resolve these issues could see inflation rebound, keeping interest rates high at levels that the economy may not be able to bear. The chief economics commentator at The Journal wrote last week that the Federal Reserve should shift its focus from fighting inflation to supporting the economy through rate cuts, given signs of labor market weakness.
Persistently high rates or further increases, along with rising bond yields, may not weigh on gold. On the contrary, they could support demand for the safe-haven asset as worries about slowing growth and recession deepen.
Uncertainty in the bond market remains high compared to levels before the Ukraine war in 2022, as shown by the ICE BofAML TVC:MOVE index, which measures fear in the US Treasury bond market. This could limit the downward pressure of rising yields on gold prices.
Markets are awaiting tomorrow’s Fed decision on interest rates, with attention focused on Jerome Powell’s remarks after the announcement. A stronger Fed stance on keeping rates elevated for longer might temporarily pressure gold. However, renewed concerns about economic growth could quickly restore demand for the yellow metal.
Data from China also continue to fuel economic worries. Recent figures show industrial production and fixed-asset investment growth slowing more than expected, which could bolster demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Samer Hasn
ZONE SNIPER SETUP (BEARISH)BTC/USD Supply Zone Reaction Expected...!
Current price action is retracing toward a well defined supply zone between 107,016 and 108,576, an area of previous institutional selling. The expectation is a potential rejection from this zone, leading to a continuation of the broader downtrend.
If price taps into this supply and fails to break above, short opportunities become favorable targeting:
Intermediate support at 104,000.
Final target at 101,565, aligning with prior liquidity sweep.
Invalidation occurs on a strong close above 108,576.
#BTC/USD, #FOREX, @VeloraFXReal