USDCAD Analysis week 31🌐Fundamental Analysis
The Canadian dollar continued to decline against the US dollar on Friday. Trump returned to threatening tariffs on Canada as trade deals remain limited. The August 1 deadline for tariffs is approaching and Canada has not made much of a move so far.
🕯Technical Analysis
USDCAD continues to rally towards the 1.4000 resistance zone. A recovery of the pair to 1.365 is a good momentum for USDCAD to break the trendline and break 1.37700. The trading strategy for next week is mainly to look for BUY points when there is a recovery of the wave structure. If the important support of the week 1.357 is broken, the uptrend will reverse.
📈📉Trading Signals
BUY USDCAD 1.365-1.363 Stoploss 1.360
BUY Break out 1.37700
Fundamental Analysis
Gold: dropped on trade deals The safe-haven asset had its ups and downs during the previous week. The week started with an uptrend, where the price of gold reached its highest weekly level at $3.430, on trade tariff tensions. However, the deal made between the US and Japan, pushed the price toward lower grounds, ending the week at $3.340. In addition, Friday's drop was supported by announced tariffs negotiations between the US and EU in Scotland during the weekend.
The RSI dropped below the level of 50 on Friday, ending the week at the level of 48. The MA50 slowed down its divergence from MA200, however, the potential cross is still far away. Still, weekly lows of the price of gold found support at MA50 levels.
The week ahead brings several currently very important US macro data, including JOLTs, PCE, NFP and Unemployment data. In addition, the FOMC meeting will be held where the market will receive the latest Fed's view on economic developments in the country and future expectations. Also, further news on trade tariff agreements, especially regarding ongoing negotiations between the EU and the US in Scotland, might make an impact on investors sentiment for safe-haven assets. As per current charts, the price of gold might revert a bit to the upside, after a drop during the last three days of the previous week. In this sense, the resistance level at $3,4K might be tested. On the opposite side, the situation on charts is a little bit tricky. Namely, there is a line which perfectly connects all lows from February this year. Friday's closing was exactly at this line, which again adds to the probability of a short reversal. However, if, in any case, the price of gold breaks this longer term trend, then it will indicate that the longer path to the downside is in store for gold.
SPX: Tariffs deal (un)certainty Investors' optimism continued to hold at the U.S. equity markets another week in a row. The S&P 500 posted another weekly winning streak, supported by solid earnings of companies included in the index. The index also reached another all time highest level, with Friday's level of 6.388, gaining around 1,5% for the week.
Tech companies were once again main contributors to the surge of the index. Alphabet posted better than expected quarterly results, supporting the surge in share price of 4%. Tesla shares gained 3,5% for the week. The company reported strong vehicle delivery numbers and progress in AI-driven autonomous driving technology. Analysts are noting that 82% of all companies included in the S&P 500 index, that have already reported quarterly results, have beaten the market expectations.
Alongside strong earnings reports, recent advancements in U.S. trade negotiations have contributed to market gains. Earlier this week, President Donald Trump announced a significant trade agreement with Japan, which includes a 15% reciprocal tariff arrangement—an important step toward redefining trade terms between the two nations. Additionally, the U.S. and Indonesia have reportedly reached a framework agreement for a trade deal, reflecting a broader U.S. effort to strengthen and stabilize trade partnerships in Asia. On Friday, President Trump expressed confidence that more trade agreements will be finalized ahead of the August 1 deadline for new tariffs. One of these possible deals involves the European Union. Investors have welcomed these developments, as they help reduce tariff-related uncertainties and ease concerns about escalating trade disputes that could disrupt global supply chains and impact corporate earnings.
The week ahead brings a bunch of important macro data for the U.S. as well as the FOMC meeting, where Fed members will discuss a potential change in interest rates. Markets are currently not expecting that the Fed will make a move at this meeting. Certainly, with JOLTs, NFP, PCE data in combination with the FOMC meeting, the week ahead might bring back some higher volatility in the US equity markets, in case of any unexpected news.
EURUSD: FOMC, PCE, NFP, JOLTs - busy week guaranteedThe ECB meeting was one of the major events during the previous week, when it comes to macro data. As it was widely expected, the ECB left rates unchanged, amid uncertainties related to trade tariffs with the U.S.. The ECB maintains its previous macro outlook, viewing the Euro Zone economy as resilient but facing downside risks. President Lagarde highlighted global trade tensions, geopolitical instability and negative shifts in market sentiment as key risks to further growth. At the same time, Lagarde dismissed concerns about the stronger euro, reiterating that the ECB does not target the exchange rate directly. With the inflation level of 2% and deposit rate of 2%, the ECB is in the position to take a wait-and-see stance on further rate cuts, although some analysts are mentioning the possibility of another 25bps cut in September.
Other macro data for the Euro Zone and Germany include the HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash for July, which stood at 49,8 for the Euro Zone and 49,2 for Germany. Both indicators were standing in line with market expectations. The Ifo business Climate in Germany in July reached 88,6, in line with market forecast.
The previous week was relatively weak when it comes to currently important macro data for the U.S. economy. Posted data include Existing Home Sales in June, which reached 3,93M and were a bit lower from forecasted 4,0M. The indicator dropped by 2,7% compared to the previous month. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI flash for July reached 49,5 a bit lower from market forecast of 52,6. At the same time the S&P Global Services PMI flash for July beat market expectation with the level of 55,2. The durable Goods Orders in June dropped by -9,3% compared to the previous month, which was a bit lower from -10,8% expected by the market.
The ECB meeting left its mark on the parity of eurusd currency pair during the previous week. The euro strengthened till the level of 1,1786, but eased as of the end of the week, closing it at 1,1742. The currency pair was testing the 1,17 support line on Friday's trading session. The RSI continues to move at levels above the 50 line, ending the week modestly below the level of 60. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication of a potential cross in the near term period.
The week ahead is an important one from the perspective of macro data. A bunch of currently closely watched data for the U.S. will be posted, including PCE, NFP, JOLTs, Unemployment rate in July. In addition to data, the FOMC meeting will be held on Wednesday, July 30th, where the Fed will decide on interest rates. Current market expectation is that the Fed will leave rates unchanged at this meeting. However, the final decision is with the Fed, in which case, any surprises might significantly move the currency pair toward one side. Also, in case of surprises with any of the above mentioned macro data the market reaction could bring higher volatility. Precaution in trading with eurusd in the week ahead is highly advisable. As per current charts, there is a high probability that the currency pair will move to the downside to test the 1,17 support level for one more time. Levels around the 1,1650 might also be shortly tested. In case that the market decides for a higher ground, there is some probability for the level of 1,18, as the next resistance level to be tested shortly.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: GDP Growth Rate for Q2 for both Germany and the Euro Zone, Unemployment rate in Germany in July, Inflation rate in Germany and the Euro Zone preliminary for July,
USD: JOLTs Job Openings in June, GDP Growth Rate for Q2, Pending Home Sales in June, the FOMC meeting and Fed interest rate decision will be held on Wednesday, July 30th, PCE Price Index for June will be posted on Thursday, July 31st, Non-farm Payrolls for July, Unemployment rate in July, ISM Manufacturing PMI in July, University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for July.
Bitcoin: Spiked liquidations The optimism that held the market sentiment after the adoption of the Genius Act on July 17th, slowly faded during the previous week. As it was expected, traders were closing their positions in order to book profits, spiking the liquidations of positions. The price of BTC reached the lowest weekly level at $114,8K at Friday's trading session, however, it was only during the short period of time. The BTC swiftly recovered, turning back toward levels above the $118K. The highest weekly level reached was $120K.
The RSI is still holding high, around the level of 60, but went out from the overbought market side. This increases potential for a further move toward the oversold market side, however, it might take more than a week in order for the market to actually turn their course toward the downside. The MA50 is still diverging from MA200, indicating that the potential cross is still not in the store.
BTC continues to hold higher grounds, which indicates that investors are still eager to hold and buy this coin, especially on a dip, like it happened at Friday's trading session. Indications over potential short reversal of BTC are emerging on charts, however, the timing of it is unclear at this moment. In the week ahead there are several quite important US macro data scheduled for a release (NFP, PCE, Unemployment, JOLTs) as well as the FOMC meeting, which all might bring some higher volatility back on markets. BTC might also react, as a part of mainstream markets. At this moment on charts, there is indication that BTC might shortly test lower grounds, probably around the $116K level. If this level sustains the selling pressure, then BTC will revert back, most probably toward the $120K for one more time. Still, there are small odds that the $116K might be breached toward the lower grounds, in which sense, $112K will be level to watch. However, odds for this level are quite low at this moment.
MARKETS week ahead: July 27 – August 2Last week in the news
Trade tariff (un)certainties shaped market sentiment during the previous week. The US-Japan trade deal was settled which brought some relaxation among investors. The US equities continued with a positive trend, with the S & P 500 reaching fresh all time highest level, ending the week at 6.388. On the same ground the price of gold turned a bit toward the downside, closing the week at $3.336. The relaxation was evident also in 10Y US Treasury yields, which closed Friday trading session at 4,38%. BTC had a short liquidation session on Friday, shortly reaching the $115K level, however, swiftly returned back toward the $118K.
The European Central Bank (ECB) held its July meeting during the previous week, where it held interest rates steady after seven consecutive cuts, signalling a more cautious approach going forward. While its macroeconomic outlook remains unchanged, the ECB sees downside risks to growth, including global trade tensions and weak market sentiment. President Lagarde downplayed concerns about the stronger euro and minor inflation undershooting, emphasizing a data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting policy stance. Although the ECB appears comfortable with its current position, a final rate cut in September is still possible if inflation or macro data disappoint.
President Trump announced a major trade deal with Japan this week, featuring a 15% reciprocal tariff, marking a shift in bilateral trade relations. The U.S. also reached a framework agreement with Indonesia, reinforcing efforts to strengthen trade ties across Asia. Trump signalled that more deals may be finalized before the August 1 tariff deadline, including potential progress with the EU, as a meeting with Commission President von der Leyen is set for Sunday in Scotland. These developments have been well received by investors, easing concerns over trade uncertainty and potential supply chain disruptions.
China unveiled a global AI action plan at the World Artificial Intelligence conference in Shanghai, calling for international cooperation on technology development and governance. Premier Li Qiang proposed establishing a global AI cooperation organization to coordinate regulation and infrastructure, emphasizing equitable access. The plan positions China in contrast to the U.S., favoring multilateralism over America's more block-oriented approach to AI strategy. Featuring participation from over 800 companies including domestic giants Huawei and Alibaba, the conference showcased thousands of AI innovations and signals China's ambition to challenge U.S. dominance in the field.
Palantir's stock achieved a new record high last Friday, rising over 2% and lifting its market cap to around $375B. With the latest move, the company is now holding 20th place as the most valuable U.S. company. The company's shares have more than doubled this year as investors' enthusiasm grows around its AI capabilities and government contract momentum. Analysts attribute the rally to Palantir's strengthened role in AI analytics and expansion in defence-related software and data contracts.
CRYPTO MARKET
The crypto market was traded in a mixed mode during the previous week. Some liquidations were made in BTC, followed by altcoins, however, there were also coins with relatively solid weekly performance. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 1% on a weekly basis, adding total $39B to its market cap. Daily trading volumes were modestly decreased to the level of $275B on a daily basis, from $333B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +19%, with a total funds inflow of $600B.
BTC had a relatively flat week, with only $3B of funds inflow. On the other hand ETH continues to perform strongly, with another week in a positive territory of 5,3%, increasing its cap by $23B. XRP did not perform well on a weekly basis, as the coin had a drop in value of 7,4% and outflow of $15B. Some of the significant weekly gainers include Litecoin, with a surge of 13% on a weekly basis, Maker was traded higher by 14%, BNB gained 7%, while Solana was higher by 5% same as Uniswap. Other altcoins were traded either with a modest drop in value or with a modest increase in value.
There has been increased activity with circulating coins. Another week in a row, IOTA is increasing the number of coins on the market by 0,8% w/w. EOS had an increase of 0,6%, same as Polkadot. The majority of other altcoins had a modest increase of circulating coins of 0,1%, including XRP.
Crypto futures market
This week the crypto futures market reflected perfectly developments on the spot market, with ETH long term futures managed to pass the $4K level.
BTC futures were traded mostly flat compared to the previous week. Futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $120.810, and those maturing in December 2026 were last traded at $127.500. At the same time, ETH futures were traded around 2,5% higher for all maturities. Futures ending in December 2025 reached the last price at $3.779, while those maturing in December 2026 for the first time ended the trading week at $4.058.
Rob the Rally SPX500: Enter Before Resistance Catches You🦹♂️💰**“SPX500 Street Heist” – Thief-Style Robbery Plan for Bulls!**📈💸
(Powered by Thief Trader's Market Robbing Tactics – Scalp | Swing | Day Trade Edition)
🌍Hello, Global Money Hunters!
📣 Salaam, Bonjour, Ola, Hola, Hallo, Marhaba & Welcome to the heist floor! 🎩💼
Thief Trader is back again with a loaded plan to rob the market clean — this time targeting the mighty SPX500 / US500 🎯. Based on a fusion of technical setups, macro sentiment, and the Thief Trading System, we’ve set our sights on the next breakout vault of Wall Street.
🎯 The Gameplan – Heist the Resistance Vault
The index is entering a high-risk resistance barricade — overbought, consolidated, and heavily guarded by bearish robbers (sellers). This is the zone where the market police lurk and trend reversals often get triggered. However, smart thieves always plan with precision.
Here’s the mission briefing:
🔓Entry Zone (Break-in Point)
💥 “The vault is open — grab the bullish loot!”
Enter Long anywhere close to market price or on pullbacks near recent swing lows/highs.
Preferred timeframes: 15-min to 30-min for sniper-level accuracy.
Deploy DCA-style limit orders (layered entries for maximum control).
🛑Stop Loss (Escape Hatch)
Base SL on recent swing low candle wicks on the 4H timeframe.
Suggested: ~6250.00 — but adapt based on your risk appetite, lot size, and position stacking.
📈Target / Loot Location
🎯 Primary Take-Profit: 6450.00
Or… pull out early if you spot resistance fighters guarding the vault.
Use trailing SL to secure gains and manage getaway.
⚡Scalper’s Notice
Only Long-side allowed!
Got big capital? Jump in now.
Running low? Tag along with swing traders and follow the robbery protocol.
Always protect your bag with dynamic trailing stops.
🧠Fundamental Fuel Behind the Plan
Bullish sentiment across major indices
Macro trends, COT positioning, sentiment outlook, and intermarket analysis all greenlit
Geopolitical and Fed tone supportive — tap into real data before entering
👉 Always analyze: News, Fundamentals, Sentiment, COT reports, and macro conditions.
🚨NEWS ZONE ALERT – No Loud Moves!
Avoid entry during major economic news drops
Use trailing SLs to guard profits
Don’t let your open trades get caught in the chaos of news releases!
💥Let’s Boost the Thief Army!
Smash the BOOST button 💖 to power up the robbery crew.
Support the strategy, share the love, and stay ahead of the game using Thief Trading Style. Every trade is a step closer to freedom from financial traps. 🚀💰🎉
📌Disclaimer: This is a general market analysis for educational purposes and should not be considered personal financial advice. Please evaluate your own risk management strategy before placing trades.
📌Markets shift fast — stay flexible, stay alert, and always rob smart.
🔥Stay locked in for the next heist plan — Thief Trader signing off for now…
💸💼📈 Trade smart. Rob harder. 🤑🦹♂️📊
BTC In-Depth Technical Analysis: BTC/USD (30-Min Chart)🔍 In-Depth Technical Analysis: BTC/USD (30-Min Chart)
🟩 1. Demand Zone Reaction
Location: ~$114,500 – $115,500
Significance:
Price sharply reversed after a strong move into this demand zone.
This zone coincides with a liquidity grab below previous lows — textbook Smart Money trap.
Volume (if checked) would likely spike here, indicating institutional interest.
✅ Interpretation: Institutional demand stepped in, absorbing sell orders and triggering a reversal.
📉 2. Break of Structure (BOS)
Zone: Around July 24–25
Price broke below a key higher low, signaling temporary bearish structure.
However, this was quickly reclaimed after demand zone reaction — suggesting a fakeout BOS or a liquidity sweep.
✅ Interpretation: BOS caused shorts to enter, but reversal suggests a bear trap and continuation higher. The BOS served to fuel a more aggressive bullish rally.
🎯 3. Target Zone
Marked Target: ~$118,900–$119,200
Why This Area?
It aligns with a previous consolidation zone / supply before the sharp drop.
Also overlaps with Ichimoku cloud resistance and previous highs — strong confluence.
✅ Interpretation: Price is likely to face resistance here. If broken with strong momentum, bullish continuation to the next supply zone (~$121K) is possible.
⛓️ 4. Market Structure Analysis
Higher Lows Forming after demand reaction.
Price is forming a bullish market structure with an ascending wave pattern.
A break and retest of the $119K zone could lead to a mid-term rally.
Failure to break could result in:
A pullback to the $117,000 area
Or a deeper retest of the demand zone
✅ Trading Plan Options:
Bullish Bias: Buy pullbacks above $117,000 with $119,000 as target
Bearish Bias: Wait for strong rejection at $119,000 to short back to $115K
☁️ 5. Ichimoku Cloud Insight
Price has moved above the cloud, suggesting momentum shift to the upside.
The cloud is twisting bullish, supporting short-term bullish trend.
However, flat Kumo tops around $119K = likely rejection zone.
✅ Interpretation: Ichimoku confirms bullish potential, but price must close above the cloud + $119K zone to sustain trend.
📌 Key Takeaways for Publishing
Chart Idea Title:
“BTC/USD Demand Zone Reversal | Break of Structure & $119K Target in Sight”
Summary Description:
Bitcoin has reclaimed bullish momentum after a sweep into the $115K demand zone. A break of structure triggered shorts, but demand absorption led to a sharp reversal. Now, price is approaching the key $119K supply zone — a critical level that could determine if this is a short-term rally or the beginning of a new trend. Watch for either a clean breakout or a rejection for a possible retest of $117K or lower. Confluence from Ichimoku, BOS, and market structure support the analysis.
Why Your Chart Might Be Lying to You And (How to Fix It) !Hello Traders 🐺
Ever clicked the “Log” button on your chart and suddenly everything looked different?
Yeah, you’re not alone...
Most traders ignore it.
But understanding the difference between a Linear and Logarithmic chart can literally change how you see price action — especially if you’re into long-term moves or trading volatile markets like crypto.
Let’s break it down real simple 👇
🔹 Linear Chart (a.k.a. the default)
This is what most charts use by default.
It measures price change in absolute terms.
Meaning: the distance from $10 to $20 is exactly the same as from $20 to $30 — because in both cases, price moved $10.
🧠 Sounds fair, right?
Not always. Here's why...
Let’s say a stock goes from $1 to $2 — that’s a 100% gain.
But if it goes from $100 to $101 — that’s just 1%.
✅ Linear Chart – Pros
Simple and easy to read
Good for short-term price action
Better for assets with small price ranges
Familiar to most beginners
❌ Linear Chart – Cons
Misleading in long-term charts
Distorts large percentage moves
Trendlines become unreliable over time
Doesn’t reflect real growth in % terms
🔹 Logarithmic Chart (Log Scale)
This one shows percentage-based price movement.
Now, going from $10 to $20 (100% gain)
and going from $100 to $200 (also 100% gain)
look exactly the same on the chart — which actually makes more sense when analyzing growth.
It’s super useful when:
✅ You’re analyzing big moves over time
✅ You want to draw accurate trendlines in long-term charts
✅ You're dealing with assets that grew 5x, 10x or more
✅ You care about % gains instead of raw price
❌ Log Chart – Cons
Less intuitive for beginners
Not useful for low-volatility assets
Small price moves may look insignificant
here is an example of the same chart but in the Log Scale :
As you can see on the chart above there is huge difference in accuracy when you use Log scale
for the high volatile asset such as BTC specially in the long term movements .
🆚 So, When Should You Use Each One?
Situation Use Linear Use Log
Small price changes ✅ ❌
Day trading / scalping ✅ ❌
Long-term analysis ❌ ✅
Parabolic or exponential moves ❌ ✅
Drawing long trendlines ❌ ✅
Final Thoughts
If your chart looks weird when you zoom out…
If your trendlines don’t quite fit anymore…
Or if you’re analyzing something that went 10x…
🔁 Try switching to Log scale — it might just clean up the noise.
Small toggle. Big difference.
And also remember our golden rule :
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable , but almost always profitable. 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
HK50 Index Robbery Plan – Bulls in Control, Load Up🚨💸💥**HK50 MONEY HEIST ALERT – Thief Trading Style Entry Plan!**💥💸🚨
"Swipe the Trend, Rob the Risk – The Hong Kong Vault is Open!"
🌍🌎Hey there, Global Money Movers, Heist Planners & Market Robbers!🕵️♂️💰
Welcome to another high-stakes operation brought to you by the Thief Trading Style – where strategy meets chaos, and profits are earned with precision. 🏴☠️📊
🎯 Mission Brief: HK50 Index Robbery – Long Entry Blueprint
Based on our exclusive blend of technical & fundamental analysis, the HK50 (Hong Kong Index) is entering the Loot Zone – bullish bias detected and price action confirming a strategic long opportunity. Here's how we execute the plan:
🔓 ENTRY – The Vault is Open!
🎯 Strike anywhere near recent swing lows/highs on the 15m or 30m timeframe.
💡 Ideal Entry Zones: Closest bullish structure or reversal support.
📌 Tip: Set alerts at key reaction zones – timing is the true thief’s edge.
🛑 STOP LOSS – Escape Hatch Point
🛡️ SL placed below nearest swing low on the 4H timeframe (~23640.0).
💡 Adjust based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and trade stacking.
🏁 TARGET – The Getaway Route
🎯 TP zone: ~25200.0
🚀 Optional: Use Trailing SL to maximize robbery exit on spikes or trap fails.
💬 “Escape before target” if market sentiment flips or volatility surges.
🧲 Scalper Alert: Ride the Bull Only!
💵 Scalping allowed on buy side only.
If you’ve got capital power – go direct. Otherwise, join the swing thieves and ride with momentum. 📈💣
🧠 Why Bullish? | Heist Justification
📊 Current momentum supported by:
🔎 Technical Trend Reversal Patterns
📉 ATR exhaustion near previous downside levels
📰 Positive Macro, Global Cues, & Institutional Sentiment
👉 For the full scoop – combine this with:
📰 COT Data & Market Sentiment
🌐 Intermarket & Geopolitical Outlook
📈 Index-Specific & Seasonal Cycle Studies
Stay ahead, rob smart! 💼💼
⚠️ Risk & News Alert – Don’t Get Caught!
🔔 Avoid entries during major news drops!
✅ Use trailing stop-losses on running trades.
🚷 Protect your loot at all costs – market volatility is the real SWAT team! 🚓
💥Support Our Robbery Crew!
📢 Smash the Boost Button 💣💥 to support the Thief Trading Style revolution!
Together, we rob with discipline, plan with clarity, and exit with satisfaction.
💰Let’s stack profits, not just candles. 📈🤑
📝 Disclaimer:
This is a high-level market outlook, not financial advice. Adjust based on your capital, risk tolerance, and analysis. Always monitor your trades and adapt to the ever-changing market landscape.
Follow for more Heist Plans – this is just the beginning! 🕶️🔐
**See you at the next vault…**🚁💼📈
#ThiefTrading #HK50 #MarketHeist #IndexAnalysis #BullishBreakout #SmartMoney #ScalpersWelcome #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskReward #TradingViewElite #ProfitWithStyle
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – “Fed Week: Only the Real Zones”Hello, gold traders!
FOMC week is here, the dollar’s flexing, and gold is stuck under a fortress of supply. No fantasy, no overlaps, just your real, actionable H4 map—zones spaced, logic tight, and all fluff deleted.
⬜Bias:
Neutral to bearish while price is capped under 3,355 and the EMA cluster.
Only flip bullish if price closes and holds above 3,375 with strong confirmation after news.
Current Price: 3,336.81
Summary for your audience:
Neutral–bearish: All the EMAs (21/50/100/200) are overhead, and the primary supply and decision zones are blocking any upside.
No reason to flip bullish unless gold breaks out and holds above both the decision zone and the full supply ceiling after major news.
All bounces into supply are likely to get faded, unless the structure changes dramatically post-FOMC.
🟥 ULTRA SUPPLY ZONE: 3,390 – 3,405
127–161.8% Fib extension—liquidity grab and stop-hunt target for news-driven spikes
Only short if you see a monster upper wick and hard rejection
🟥 PRIMARY SUPPLY: 3,365 – 3,375
All EMAs (21/50/100/200) are stacked overhead; unfilled FVG at 3,370–3,375
Short on a clear rally rejection or bearish engulfing candle—this is where most breakouts get trapped
🔶 DECISION ZONE: 3,340 – 3,355
EMA100/200 straddle this level; small FVG at 3,350–3,352
Market “decides” here—fade unless price closes decisively above 3,355
🔵 EQUILIBRIUM SHELF: 3,320 – 3,335
50% Fib at 3,327; filled FVG at 3,325–3,330; SMA50 just below
Bounce/fake-break zone—wait for a clean H4 reversal, not a guess
🟢 FIRST DEMAND BASE: 3,290 – 3,310
H4 Order Block, hidden FVG (3,300–3,305), Fib 38.2% around 3,295
Longs only with strong pin-bar/engulf and quick EMA50 reclaim
🔵 DEEP PULLBACK BAY: 3,250 – 3,280
Weekly EMA21 and 61.8% Fib (~3,260), strong volume
Only consider a long on a panic flush and a powerful reversal wick
⚡️ MACRO CONTEXT
USD: On fire into ADP and FOMC; gold moves will be explosive, not logical
Events:
Tue: ADP
Wed: FOMC + Powell
Thu: Core PCE
Fri: NFP, ISM
Bias: Neutral-bearish under 3,355; only bullish if we close and hold above 3,375
EMAs: Clustered tightly overhead—bulls get no respect until this ceiling is crushed
🎯 TRADE LOGIC
Shorts:
3,390–3,405 (big wicks and clear rejection only)
3,365–3,375 (news spike or failed breakout with bearish candle)
Longs:
3,340–3,355 (only on a confirmed close above)
3,320–3,335 (strong reversal only—don’t front run)
3,290–3,310 (classic H4 pin-bar/engulf + EMA50 reclaim)
3,250–3,280 (deep panic flush and major reversal only)
NO TRADE: In the gaps—let the gamblers get chewed up, not you.
💬 Which zone will you snipe? Drop a comment and show you’re here for structure, not noise!
👍 Like & Follow for high-value, real-time sniper maps every day.
Disclosure: Chart via Trade Nation’s TradingView feed. Influencer Program participant.
GoldFxMinds 💛
Gold vs Euro: Heist Plan Activated – Watch the Breakout🏆XAU/EUR Golden Robbery Masterplan: Steal from Weak Hands, Escape with Gold!💰✨
🌍Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌍
Welcome, Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑💰💸✈️
Another top-secret robbery mission drops now — this time on the XAU/EUR battlefield! Gold vs Euro... Who wins? We do! 🏴☠️🎯
🔍The Setup:
Thief Trading Strategy™ Active – Bullish Breakout Mode Engaged
🔒 Resistance wall at 3400 is the lock.
💣 Breakout is the detonation point.
🟢 Target: 2970.00 (but smart robbers always escape before the sirens ring 🚨).
⚠️ATR Zone = danger zone = potential trend reversal trap = don’t get greedy.
🛠️Execution Plan (aka How to Rob the Market Clean)
📈 Entry Plan
"The vault’s about to open..."
💥 Breakout above Moving Average (3400) = BUY confirmation.
☑️ Set Buy Stop Orders just above MA.
☑️ OR plan a Pullback Buy Limit on recent swing low/high in 15–30M TF.
🛎️ SET ALERTS like a real thief waiting for the back door to open!
🛑 Stop Loss Strategy
"Don’t be a hero – be a survivor."
📍 SL suggestion: 2845.00 (2H swing low)
💡 Customize SL based on lot size & risk appetite.
🚨 Only set SL after breakout confirmation (don’t let false alarms shake you).
🎯 Profit Target / Exit Strategy
⛏️ Dig for gold at 2970.00, but
🏃♂️Escape before the trap springs.
🧲 Scalpers: Stick to LONGS only!
💼 Big accounts: hit hard.
🧠 Small robbers: join swing crew and trail the stop — protect the loot 💰
📊 Trend & Fundamentals Summary
⚖️ Current Trend: Neutral → Bullish Bias
🔍 Influenced by:
Macro Data
Euro Sentiment Shift
COT Positioning
Central Bank Whispers
Intermarket Forces
Geopolitical Sparks 🔥
🧠 Full breakdown in the fundamental zone (liinkk 🔗 Klik).
🚨 News Warning Alert
📰 Avoid entries near major news releases.
🎯 If in trade, manage with trailing SL to lock profits & limit damage.
🔥💖 Support the Mission
Hit that BOOST 💥 button — fuel our next big heist.
Let’s show the market we rob, we don't beg!
💪 Be loyal to the crew. Trade smart. Escape rich. 🐱👤📈
🔐 Disclaimer:
This is for education & entertainment – not financial advice.
💡 Always DYOR & adjust risk per your capital.
🧠 Stay sharp. Stay rich. See you on the next score! 💼🚁💸
"GOLD Bandit Strategy: Loot Pips Like a Pro!🏆 GOLD HEIST ALERT! 🏆 XAU/USD Bandit Strategy (Swing/Day Trade)
Steal Pips Like a Pro! 💰🔓 Bull vs. Bear Raid Plan
🌟 Greetings, Market Pirates! 🌟
"The trend is your accomplice—time to loot!"
🔮 Thief’s Technical & Fundamental Intel:
XAU/USD (The Gold Vault) is flashing BEARISH signals, but we’re ready to raid both sides! Follow the heist blueprint below 👇
🎯 ENRY POINTS (Where to Strike!)
🏴☠️ LONG RAID (Bullish Thieves):
Break & Grab: Enter above 3450.00 (Pullback Zone)
"Wait for the breakout, then ambush!"
🐻 SHORT RAID (Bearish Bandits):
Sneak Attack 1: Sell below 3300.00
Sneak Attack 2: Sell below 3260.00 (Support Wall Cracked!)
🛑 STOP-LOSS (Escape Routes)
Bullish Trade: SL at 3230.00 (Guard your loot!)
Bearish Trade 1: SL at 3360.00 (Don’t get caught!)
Bearish Trade 2: SL at 3280.00 (Risk = Reward!)
(Adjust SL based on your risk appetite & lot size!)
💰 TAKE-PROFIT (Cash Out & Flee!)
Bullish Thieves: TP at 3270.00 (Or escape early!)
Bearish Bandits (1): TP at 3270.00
Bearish Bandits (2): TP at 3210.00 (Big score!)
⚠️ WARNING: Market Traps Ahead!
News = Danger Zone! 📢 Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car! Lock profits & evade reversals.
📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works)
Bearish momentum fueled by macro trends, COT data, & sentiment.
Stay sharp—markets shift fast!
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! 💥
Like & Share to strengthen our pirate crew! 🚀 More alerts = More profits!
🚨 Next Heist Coming Soon… Stay Tuned! 🚨
(XAGUSD) Volume Absorption to Bullish Continuation To Target🧱 1. Market Structure Breakdown:
The 4H chart of Silver (XAGUSD) reveals a well-structured price action sequence, beginning with a compression breakout, a strong bullish impulse, and a current retracement phase into a key reversal zone.
🔺 Symmetrical Triangle & Volume Absorption (Early July):
The market was forming higher lows and lower highs, indicative of consolidation inside a symmetrical triangle.
During this phase, a volume absorption event occurred—indicating smart money was accumulating before a breakout.
This was followed by a strong bullish breakout, confirming upside strength and clearing previous highs.
📈 2x Channel Supply Zone — Now Demand:
After breaking above the triangle, the price surged into a key supply zone, created from a prior channel top.
This zone was tested, absorbed, and flipped into a new demand zone, as buyers overwhelmed sellers.
This supply-demand interchange confirmed a structural change in market sentiment.
🚀 2. Momentum Confirmation — High Breakout:
The "High Breaked" level, marked clearly on the chart, acted as a bullish breakout trigger.
This breakout not only breached the prior resistance but established a new bullish leg—providing strong confirmation of trend continuation.
🔁 3. QFL Zone & Controlled Pullback:
After the surge, the price began to correct from the QFL (Quick Flip Level).
This level usually represents an area where short-term distribution or profit-taking occurs.
The pullback from this zone was controlled but sharp, which is natural after such a strong move up.
🟩 4. Next Reversal Zone — The Critical Demand Block:
Price is now entering a high-probability reversal zone, marked around $37.5–$36.8.
This area is critical due to:
Confluence with previous structure and minor support.
Potential bullish absorption area.
Last base before the impulse up.
If bullish price action (like bullish engulfing, pin bar, or volume spike) is seen here, it could signal the start of the next leg up.
🧨 5. Key Warning: "If it crosses, this will be Supply Double"
If this zone fails to hold, the demand will flip into double supply, likely accelerating bearish momentum.
In such case, Silver may revisit Major Support near the $36.0–$35.5 zone.
🧭 Potential Trading Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Path (Primary Expectation):
Price reacts from the reversal zone with bullish momentum.
Breaks back into the Central Zone (~$38.5).
Forms a higher low → continuation toward $39.5–$41.0.
Breakout above the recent swing high confirms the continuation pattern.
Trade Idea:
Long entries near $37.2–$37.5 with SL below $36.8.
Target zones: $38.8 (short-term), $39.8–$41.0 (swing).
❌ Bearish Continuation (Alternative Plan):
Reversal zone fails to hold.
Price breaks and closes below $36.8.
Previous support becomes resistance — bearish retest.
Continuation toward $36.0–$35.5 zone.
Trade Idea:
Short on break and retest of $36.8.
SL above the reversal zone.
TP near $35.5 or based on volume exhaustion.
🧠 Market Psychology Insight:
This setup shows a clear institutional playbook:
Accumulation → Breakout → Profit-taking → Retest → Continuation.
If smart money is active, expect defense of the reversal zone followed by a strong bounce.
EURJPY Bullish Breakout with IFC Confirmation | MMC Retest Play🔍 Market Structure & Price Behavior Explanation
🔹 1. Channel Structure and Bearish Trap:
The pair was previously trading within a downward sloping channel, forming lower highs and lower lows. This structure was respected for several sessions, creating a bearish bias for most retail traders.
However, as per Mirror Market Concepts, such channels often act as liquidity traps — designed to build sell-side liquidity before a strong reversal.
🔹 2. IFC Candle Break — Smart Money Confirmation:
A powerful bullish impulse candle (IFC - Institutional-Filled Candle) broke through all previous swing highs formed inside the channel. This is a critical sign that institutional buyers have stepped in and the bearish trend is likely over.
This candle is not just a breakout but also a signature of smart money transitioning the market structure from bearish to bullish. The breakout occurred with high momentum and volume, piercing through the upper channel boundary, invalidating the bearish trend.
📘 Key Note: IFC candles usually represent imbalance, strong directional intent, and are often followed by continuation after retest.
🔹 3. Retesting Phase – Key to Confirmation:
After the breakout, price retested the broken structure, which is now acting as a new demand zone. The retest is clean, holding firmly above minor support — giving confirmation of bullish control.
This zone is also aligned with a QFL (base structure) concept, where price returns to the base before a new leg of the trend begins.
🔹 4. Current Price Action: Building for Next Leg
Price is now consolidating just below the next key reversal zone (marked in green). This zone represents potential supply or resistance.
There are two likely outcomes here:
Rejection at the reversal zone, with a potential pullback before continuation.
Clean break above, followed by "Demand Doubling", where price re-tests this level again, confirming further upside momentum.
In case the second scenario plays out (as marked on the chart), EURJPY could aggressively rally toward 174.400 and beyond.
🔹 5. Demand Zones & Key Levels:
✅ Minor Demand Zone (~173.00):
Currently respected — origin of last bullish move.
✅ Major Demand Zone (~171.200):
Acts as macro support in case of deep retracement.
✅ Reversal Zone (~173.800 – 174.200):
Price may slow down, reject, or consolidate here. Smart money usually decides at this level.
📈 MMC Trading Plan (Mirror Market Concept Approach):
Buy Bias is active as long as price remains above the minor demand zone.
Any rejection from reversal zone with wick traps followed by bullish engulfing setups = potential long entries.
Break & hold above 174.200 will likely trigger momentum-based entries, targeting extended bullish continuation.
💹 Trade Setup Parameters:
📥 Entry #1: After successful retest and bullish confirmation at demand
🛑 Stop Loss: Below retest structure (~172.850)
🎯 Take Profit 1: 173.950 (within reversal zone)
🎯 Take Profit 2: 174.350+ (post-demand doubling continuation)
🧠 Trader’s Mindset – What to Expect Next:
The chart is a classic example of MMC in real-time, where:
Price traps sellers inside a fake bearish channel
Breaks structure using high-volume impulsive moves
Retests demand zone cleanly
Builds up toward the next decision-making zone
Patience is key here. Let price either break and confirm above the reversal zone or give us another deep retest for the best R:R long setup.
Daily XAUUSD Outlook — Riding the Fed Wave (July 28, 2025)Hey Gold Hunters! 🌟
Today feels like the calm before a storm—ADP whispers tomorrow, the Fed speaks Wednesday, and gold is inching toward its next big move. Let’s weave the macro pulse into our Smart‑Money map, highlight the five real zones, then plot our sniper‑perfect entries. No fluff—just the human beat of the market.
1️⃣ Macro Pulse & Market Mood
US Dollar: Bullish tilt as markets price in another hawkish Fed pause.
Tomorrow (Tue): ADP jobs print could spark an early swing.
Wed PM: FOMC Statement & Powell’s press conference—biggest catalyst this week.
Thu/Fri: Core PCE, Unemployment Claims, then Friday’s NFP + ISM Manufacturing.
Gold is caught in suspense: a squeeze here (into supply) or a slide there (into demand) will come fast once the Fed drops its hint.
🧭 Bias: Neutral‑bearish—looking for lower highs under the 3,345–3,375 supply zone, with a preference to short rallies into that band until price convincingly breaks and holds above 3,375. Once we see a clean weekly‑style close above that level, we’ll flip to neutral‑bullish.
2️⃣ Five Breathing Zones (Top → Bottom)
🛑 Zone 1 “Sky Trap” (3,380 – 3,415)
The final airspace above our daily EMAs (10/50) where stops are hunted. Fib ext’s 127%–161.8% and an unfilled Fair‑Value Gap live here. Any spike that ends in a long upper wick or bearish engulf = short‑trap.
(let price fall clear of this zone before the next)
⚔️ Zone 2 “Premium Supply” (3,345 – 3,375)
The two‑week high order block, hugged by EMA50 and Fib 61.8%. Friday’s rejection candle was born here. Watch for bearish PA after a retest—your core sell zone.
(space down to next)
🌊 Zone 3 “First Demand Cove” (3,290 – 3,320)
Where mid‑June’s buyers piled in: June consolidation OB, filled FVG, and Fib 38.2–50% confluence. SMA100 sits below for extra gravity. A clean drop and bullish reaction here = sniper‑long trigger.
(gap to deep zone)
🚀 Zone 4 “Deep Pullback Bay” (3,240 – 3,270)
Hidden Fair‑Value Gap, BOS origin, and weekly EMA21 converge. If Zone 3 breaks, this is your deep‑dip reload—hunt that D1 reversal wick.
(last space)
🛡️ Zone 5 “Macro Reset Block” (3,000 – 3,140)
The root of 2024’s CHoCH, EMA200/SMA200 cluster, and 78.6–88.6% Fib retrace. Only if gold truly panics on a USD blitz—ultimate accumulation.
3️⃣ Sniper‑Perfect Scenarios
🔴 Short Setup
Where: A thrust into Zone 1 or 2 (3,345+).
Cue: Long upper wick → bearish engulf on D1/M30.
Edge: FVG fill + Fib confluence + RSI rollover.
🟢 Long Setup
Where: A dip into Zone 3 or, if swept, Zone 4.
Cue: Bullish pin‑bar or engulf + reclaim of EMA10/50.
Edge: June OB base + RSI bounce from ~50.
4️⃣ Your To‑Do List
Morning Watch: Does gold flirt with 3,375? Prep your shorts.
Mid‑Day Pull: A drop to 3,300? Hunt your longs.
Avoid: The gaps between zones—those are “no‑man’s land.”
News Trades: Let the daily candle close post‑Fed before committing.
💬 What’s your plan today? Comment below—let’s refine our edge!
👍 Enjoyed this map? Smash that Like & Follow for more pulse‑driven, zero‑fluff outlooks.
Disclosure: Chart powered by Trade Nation’s TradingView feed. I participate in their Influencer Program.
GoldFxMinds 💛
XAUUSD FULL WEEKLY STRUCTURE MAPHello traders! 🌟
We’re stepping into a pivotal week for gold (XAUUSD), and the weekly chart tells a story of tension, liquidity hunts, and potential big moves. Let’s dive into the three truly critical zones, backed by SMC/ICT logic, Fibonacci, EMAs, RSI, and fair‑value gaps — all in one elegant map. 🎨✨
🔹 HTF Overview & Macro Pulse
Current Price: 3336
Weekly Trend: Bullish overall, but momentum is fading as price coils under premium highs.
EMAs (5/21/50/200):
EMA5 & EMA21 are flattening beneath price, hinting at stall.
EMA50 sitting near 3120 as a deep support magnet.
RSI (Weekly): Cooling from ~75 down to ~66, showing bearish divergence vs those upper wicks.
Fair‑Value Gaps:
Unfilled 3365–3405 zone above — institutional imbalance still waiting.
Partially filled 3280–3320 below — common reaction pocket.
Fibonacci Extensions (1984 → 3365 high): 127.2% at 3405, 161.8% at 3439 — the exact top of our supply wick.
Macro Catalysts This Week
Wed (Jul 30): FOMC + Fed Statement
Thu (Jul 31): Core PCE + Unemployment Claims
Fri (Aug 1): NFP + ISM Manufacturing
Prepare for violent spikes into one of our zones — then trade the reaction.
🔸 The Three TRUE Weekly Zones
W1 Supply (Ultimate Wick Zone)
🔥 3350 – 3439
This entire wick from May–July is YOUR one and only supply zone on weekly.
Pure liquidity sweep area
Confluence: unfilled fair‑value gap, 127–161.8% Fib, RSI divergence
Every touch here is a short‑trap until we see a full weekly close above 3439.
W1 Demand (Primary Buy Zone)
🌊 3220 – 3285
The last robust order block & BOS base before gold ran vertical.
Confluence: filled FVG, weekly OB body, EMA21 target, RSI back at 50
Ideal sniper entry after a news‑driven sell‑off into this range.
Deep Discount Block
🛡️ 2960 – 3050
The origin of the full 2024–2025 bull trend — true institutional accumulation.
Confluence: March 2024 CHoCH base, EMA50/200 proximity, 78.6–88.6% Fib retrace
Only for a major quarterly reset; not on the immediate radar unless USD spikes dramatically.
🧭 Strategy & Execution
Short Bias: Wait for a liquidity spike into 3350–3439 (likely around FOMC/NFP), then watch for a clean rejection candle.
Long Bias: After a thrust down into 3220–3285, look for wick‑based rejection plus EMA21 hold and a bullish engulf on weekly.
Avoid the mid‑zone between 3285–3350 — that’s noise, not structure.
Patience is everything. Let price sweep, then let us strike. The real power trades this week will be born from clear structure — not guesswork.
💬 What’s your favorite zone to watch? Drop a comment below!
👍 Smash that like🚀🚀🚀 if you found this map helpful, and hit follow for more GoldFxMinds sniper blueprints.
Disclosure: Analysis based on Trade Nation’s TradingView feed. I’m part of their Influencer Program.
GoldFxMinds 💛
EURGBP Is Rising Further After UK Retail Sales missed estimatesEURGBP Is Rising Further After UK Retail Sales missed estimates
EURGBP already broke out from an Ascending Triangle pattern after it spent some time in accumulation and without direction the price is rising today.
This is the third and clear bullish pattern that EURGBP broke out and the chances to rise one more time are high.
K retail sales is supporting this bullish movement because they failed to meet expectations.
Overall, the data was higher compared to the last month, but the fact that it missed expectations suggests that the UK economy is growing in small steps.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold is weak. Will it explode next week?Gold prices failed to stabilize above $3,400 after a bullish breakout this week. The technical outlook highlights the recent indecision of gold bulls.
In the first two trading days of this week, spot gold prices rose by 2.4%, but the cumulative decline in the last three trading days of this week reached nearly 3%. The sharp fluctuations this week were due to the positive progress in Trump's trade negotiations, and the rebound in market risk appetite, which hit the safe-haven demand for gold.
Looking at next week, the economic calendar will provide several high-impact data releases. The Federal Reserve will announce its monetary policy decision after the policy meeting on July 29-30; the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the July employment report; and some important news such as the US-China trade negotiations may trigger the next major move for gold.
From a technical perspective, the current market short-term technical outlook highlights the hesitation of gold buyers. The daily chart shows that the RSI is still slightly below 50, and gold prices have difficulty staying away from the 20-day and 50-day MAs after breaking through these two levels earlier this week.
On the upside, 3450 constitutes the first resistance for gold prices. If it breaks through this resistance, gold prices will most likely hit the 3400 integer mark again.
On the downside, if gold prices remain below 3340, technical sellers may still be interested. In this case, 3310 can serve as the first support level, followed by the second support level near 3285.
A new week is about to begin, and I wish all traders good luck.
TON/USDT - Bullish Channel in H4 (27.07.2025)The TON/USDT pair on the H4 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming Days.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3.770
2nd Resistance – 3.989
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XRPUSDT - Analysis for Immediate Long Entry1. Chart Analysis
First, let's confirm the technical setup on the daily chart.
The chart shows a powerful rally in July, peaking around $3.60. The price then entered a retracement phase, pulling back as expected.
It has now dropped to the $3.15 - $3.20 zone. As we identified, this level is critical. It was the peak of the rally in early March 2025. The price is currently testing this old resistance level, and we are looking for it to act as new support. The most recent daily candle is green and appears to be bouncing right off this level. This is a textbook "support and retracement" setup, making it a prime candidate for an immediate long market entry.
2. Sentiment and Fundamental Analysis
Now, let's see if the news supports our bullish technical outlook.
"Nasdaq Firm Files $50M Plan to Integrate XRP into Core Operations" (13 hours ago) & "Nasdaq-Listed Firm Bets on XRP for Payments, Treasury in SEC Filing" (2 hours ago): This is highly significant and bullish news. A publicly-traded company integrating XRP into its core operations and treasury with a $50M plan is a massive vote of confidence. It signals real-world adoption and institutional interest, which are powerful drivers for price.
"Wellgistics Taps XRP for Payments, Collateral, and Income Plans" (22 hours ago): Another concrete example of real-world utility. A logistics company using XRP for payments and collateral reinforces the core use case for the token. This is fundamentally bullish.
"XRP Golden Cross Confirmed: Could This Be the Spark for a Major Breakout?" (24 hours ago): A "Golden Cross" (when a short-term moving average crosses above a long-term one) is a classic technical buy signal that many traders follow. While it's a lagging indicator, news articles highlighting it can create bullish sentiment and attract more buyers.
"Ripple CEO Exposes DeFi Power Move as 35M XRP Suddenly Changes Hands" (17 hours ago): This headline is slightly ambiguous but points to significant on-chain activity and strategic moves by Ripple's leadership in the DeFi space. Large token movements often precede significant price action and suggest strategic positioning, which in this context, appears bullish.
Overall Sentiment: The sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish. The news is not just hype; it's focused on concrete, fundamental developments like institutional adoption (Nasdaq firm, Wellgistics) and treasury integration. This aligns perfectly with our bullish technical setup.
Decision:
Proceed with the long trade. The technicals and fundamentals are in strong alignment.
The Trade Plan: XRPUSDT (Long)
The plan is set. We're entering a long position with a market entry now, around $3.18.
Entry Reason: Entering a long position as the price retraces to a key historical resistance level ($3.15-$3.20) that is now acting as support. The entry is confirmed by a bounce on the daily chart and overwhelmingly positive news about institutional adoption and real-world utility.
Stop Loss (SL): $2.85
Reason: This level is safely below the current support zone and below the recent swing low of the pullback. A break below $2.90 would invalidate the "resistance-turned-support" thesis. Placing the SL at $2.85 gives the trade room to fluctuate without stopping us out prematurely.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $3.65 (Moonbag Target)
Reason: This target is just above the most recent high. A move to this level would confirm the uptrend has resumed. It's a logical place to take initial profits as there may be some sellers at the previous peak.
Action: At TP1, we take some profit and move the trailing stop to our entry price (~$3.18) to make the remainder of the trade risk-free.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): $4.20
Reason: This is a key psychological level and corresponds to a standard Fibonacci extension target (1.272 extension) projected from the previous major swing. It represents a logical next stop for the rally.
Action: When TP2 is hit, move the trailing stop up to the TP1 level ($3.65) to lock in profits.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): $4.85
Reason: This level aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, a very common target in strong trends, and is approaching the major psychological number of $5.00.
Action: When TP3 is hit, move the trailing stop up to the TP2 level ($4.20).
Take Profit 4 (TP4): $5.50 (Final Target)
Reason: This is our optimistic final target. It represents a significant psychological milestone and a potential area for a major trend peak.
Action: Close all remaining positions.
Conclusion:
The XRPUSDT long trade is a high-quality setup where both technical and fundamental factors are aligned. The risk is well-defined, and the profit targets offer a strong reward potential. The plan is now in place.
Tesla in the waiting room as revenue slidesTesla is a global innovator that is changing the world. As a general rule, many investors have a saying: Never bet against Elon. They're not wrong. Elon delivers. But the short term is messy.
The stock is hovering around its 200-day moving average, a critical test. Break lower and we could see $290, maybe $260. That’s not panic, it's just price catching up to reality.
The auto business is deep in a downcycle. Q2 deliveries fell 14%, with revenue down 12%. Profits squeezed. Classic cyclical move. Nothing new here. But it’s weighing on momentum.
The upside isn’t about cars, it's autonomy, robotaxis, AI (Grok in cars). That’s where Tesla becomes a $2 trillion company. Musk knows it and is building for the future (100,000 GPU super cluster). He’s already shifting the story.
But that future is 6–12 months out, maybe longer.
In the meantime, we sit in the waiting room. Auto volumes need to stabilise. Robotaxi needs scale. Optimus requires proof and some definitive timeframes to get the market excited. That creates a 3–6 month narrative gap. Markets hate gaps.
Earnings last week were among the softest (though expected). EPS fell 23%. Free cash flow almost vanished. No real catalysts until next quarter. If the broader market sells off, which looks likely, Tesla takes more heat.
But let’s not lose the plot. Tesla is still Tesla. Long-term vision remains. Musk’s execution record is unmatched. Bet against him and you lose, eventually.
Short term, expect weakness. Patience required. If the stock breaks $315 with conviction, we’d expect further weakness before the real upside re-emerges.
Wait, watch, then pounce.
The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.