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Usd/Jpy intra-day Analysis 10-Jun-25Sharing the possible scenarios we could have on Usd/Jpy. Keeping in mind that the Volume is still slow since start of the week, and investors are waiting for the next set of important economic data which is starting tomorrow with the US CPI (inflation number). Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-par ty.
by easyMarkets
The short-term tug-of-war for gold is starting Gold prices continued their decline last Friday and stabilized and rebounded. Yesterday, gold prices fell back to the 3,300 mark, then slowly rose to the 3,338 mark, and fell back after encountering resistance, which is in line with the technical consolidation rhythm. - China-US trade negotiations: The US has released signals that it is willing to relax export restrictions, and the market is waiting for the results of the negotiations, which may affect risk sentiment. - US May CPI data: Inflation changes will provide key guidance for the Fed's policies. - The current trend is weak, but the downside is limited. Buy on dips and avoid large-scale shorting. - Today, it is recommended to wait and see, and wait for the negotiation results to become clear before entering the market to reduce volatility risks. 🔥Sell gold area: 3330-3348 SL 3352 TP1: $3320 TP2: $3310 🔥Buy gold area: $3295-$3305 SL $3290 TP1: $3320 TP2: $3330
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
2
WILL GOLD CONTINUE ITS RALLY OR FACE A MAJOR CORRECTION? XAUUSD – WILL GOLD CONTINUE ITS RALLY OR FACE A MAJOR CORRECTION? Gold is at a pivotal point after experiencing a significant correction following its recent rally. With the market showing mixed signals, the question now is whether gold will continue its upward trajectory or experience further corrections before breaking new highs. The current global economic climate, combined with macroeconomic factors, will be the driving forces behind gold's next move. 🌍 MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK & MARKET SENTIMENT US Dollar Strength: The USD has been strengthening, which has put some pressure on gold prices. However, this comes amid uncertainty in global trade relations, particularly between the US and China, which is creating mixed market sentiment. Gold remains a key asset for hedging against currency risks and geopolitical tensions. Federal Reserve's Stance on Interest Rates: The Fed has signaled that while inflation remains a concern, it’s unlikely to cut interest rates in the near future. This could limit gold's upside potential in the short term, but the metal remains attractive due to its safe-haven status. Geopolitical Tensions: With ongoing concerns over US-China trade talks and tensions surrounding Ukraine, investors continue to flock to gold as a hedge against political and economic instability. These external pressures continue to fuel demand for gold. 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 – EMA 13/34/89/200) Current Correction: Gold has been correcting after a strong surge, testing key support levels like 3300. On the H1 timeframe, the EMA indicators suggest consolidation and weakness, signaling that further pullbacks are possible before any potential breakout. Technical Pattern – "Flag" Formation: Gold is forming a bearish flag pattern, indicating a temporary pause after a strong upward trend. This pattern suggests that gold might continue to trade sideways, with a breakout above key resistance levels leading to a continuation of the uptrend. Key Resistance and Support Levels: Gold is facing significant resistance levels at 3320 and 3330, while key support levels at 3300 and 3270 will be crucial to watch in the coming sessions. 📍 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH Resistance Levels: 3320 – 3330 – 3338 – 3350 – 3360 Support Levels: 3300 – 3270 – 3250 🧭 RECOMMENDED TRADE SETUPS 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3270 – 3272 SL: 3265 TP: 3280 → 3300 → 3320 → 3330 → 3350 🔻 SELL ZONE: 3320 – 3325 SL: 3330 TP: 3310 → 3295 → 3280 → 3265 ✅ SUMMARY Gold is currently experiencing a correction after a solid rally, but the long-term outlook remains bullish. Macro-economic factors, including the Fed’s policies and geopolitical risks, are likely to drive gold prices higher in the future. However, short-term fluctuations should be expected as the market tests key resistance and support levels. Traders should focus on well-defined entry and exit points within these key levels and maintain a disciplined risk management strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
MASSIVE NEW BREAKOUT - LiveMassive New Breakout in Bitcoin at Dual Resistance Post with emojis: 🚨💥 Massive New Breakout in Bitcoin at Dual Resistance 📈🔥 Okay, time to revisit the BTC chart because we’ve just arrived at a crucial intersection that could define the next major move! In our previous update, we anticipated a dip — and it played out perfectly. Using Fibonacci support, we entered long right at the sweet spot, just before a strong upward move that tested resistance levels. And now... it’s official — BTC has just broken through that massive dual resistance! 🚀 This breakout pushes us back into the ascending channel, which had previously flipped to resistance. Two major technical levels — white and yellow zones — just got cleared in one explosive move. What's next? 🔹 Monitor for a possible retest of the breakout zone 🔹 Eyes on the 113 key resistance — that’s the next likely magnet for price 🔹 For those already in longs (like me), it’s smart to take partial profits and trail stops 🧠💼 This is a textbook breakout structure, and we’ll need to watch volume and structure confirmation closely. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
3
Massive New Breakout in Bitcoin at Dual Resistance- LiveMassive New Breakout in Bitcoin at Dual Resistance Post with emojis: 🚨💥 Massive New Breakout in Bitcoin at Dual Resistance 📈🔥 Okay, time to revisit the BTC chart because we’ve just arrived at a crucial intersection that could define the next major move! In our previous update, we anticipated a dip — and it played out perfectly. Using Fibonacci support, we entered long right at the sweet spot, just before a strong upward move that tested resistance levels. And now... it’s official — BTC has just broken through that massive dual resistance! 🚀 This breakout pushes us back into the ascending channel, which had previously flipped to resistance. Two major technical levels — white and yellow zones — just got cleared in one explosive move. What's next? 🔹 Monitor for a possible retest of the breakout zone 🔹 Eyes on the 113 key resistance — that’s the next likely magnet for price 🔹 For those already in longs (like me), it’s smart to take partial profits and trail stops 🧠💼 This is a textbook breakout structure, and we’ll need to watch volume and structure confirmation closely. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
XAU/USD📰 Market Insight: What If the U.S. and China Strike a Deal? If the United States and China reach a trade or geopolitical agreement, we could witness a significant shift in global market sentiment. Here’s why this development matters — and how it could impact major asset classes: 📈 Risk-On Environment Expected A successful U.S.-China deal would reduce uncertainty and ease global trade tensions. Investors typically respond to such positive geopolitical news by rotating out of safe-haven assets and into riskier ones — such as equities, emerging markets, and high-yield assets. This behavior is what we refer to as a "risk-on" environment. 📉 Gold Likely to Decline Gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, thrives during times of uncertainty, war, or financial distress. But if a U.S.-China deal brings stability and boosts risk appetite, demand for gold could weaken, leading to a decline in gold prices. This is a typical inverse correlation between gold and investor sentiment.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by uzscool
XRP: Bullish Breakout -> Short-Term Pullback Before Bigger GainsXRP: Bullish Breakout -> Short-Term Pullback Before Bigger Gains Market Overview XRP has broken out from a larger bullish pattern, signaling the end of its accumulation phase. However, with the market’s attention currently on the U.S.–China trade deal and the Trump–Musk developments, short-term uncertainty could push XRP lower, possibly toward 2.1700. Bigger Picture Outlook Despite potential near-term volatility, XRP's broader bullish structure remains intact, indicating a strong upside potential in the coming days or weeks. Targets: 🎯 2.4000 🎯 2.6000 🎯 2.8000 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
7
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PEPPERSTONE:SOYBEANSLong
by Thief_Trader
EURJPY Technical Breakdown (MMC Strategy) : Target Zone 🧠 Concept Focus: MMC – Mirror Market Concept The Mirror Market Concept (MMC) helps identify pattern inversions, price reflection zones, and structural symmetry that hint at upcoming market turns. This chart reflects a curve-based reversal logic rooted in smart money behavior, volume analysis, and pattern exhaustion. 📊 Technical Structure Breakdown 🔹 1. Volume Contraction + Breakout (June 6–7) Early signs of bullish pressure were detected with volume contraction, forming a tight range wedge/triangle. This is often a liquidity trap where weak hands sell into strength. Smart money absorbed sell-side liquidity before impulsively breaking out. This is a common MMC move: contract > trap > expand. 🔹 2. 50% Area Used – Smart Money Trap (June 9) After the breakout, price tapped into the 50% equilibrium zone of the previous major move. This level often acts as a liquidity sweep zone, ideal for smart money to unload or build counter positions. The rejection wick here confirms that institutional traders reacted at this level. 🔹 3. Curve Bending Pattern – Exhaustion in Play The market has now entered a curve bending phase, visible with the arching price movement. This signifies momentum exhaustion, where bullish attempts get weaker. Think of this curve like a mirror ceiling — as each high gets tapped, it bends, showing the market can't sustain higher levels. 🔹 4. Next Reversal Zone (Projected Target: ~164.150–164.200) Based on MMC symmetry and previous demand zones, the area highlighted as Next Reversal is a key structure zone. This is where we expect price to react — either bounce (for buyers) or break (for continuation shorts). A clean bounce here could mirror the earlier pattern in reverse, hence the Mirror Market Concept. 🔁 Summary of Market Psychology 🧲 Volume contraction signals manipulation. 🎯 50% zone rejection shows trap completion. 🪞 Curve bending shows buyers losing strength. 🔻 Price likely to drop into the reversal zone, completing the mirror leg. 🧩 What Traders Should Watch Indicator/Zone Notes 50% Area Used Smart Money Exit or Entry Trap Curve Bending Reversal Geometry (Momentum Exhaustion) Next Reversal Zone Smart Money Demand Zone (~164.150) Break Below 164.100 Confirms deeper bearish continuation 🎯 Trading Strategy Outlook 🔍 Short Bias: Look for confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, BOS on lower TFs) to enter shorts below curve zone. 🛑 Invalidation Level: Clean breakout above 165.500 would invalidate the mirror structure and shift to continuation long. 🎣 Reversal Scouting : If price respects the Next Reversal Zone, there could be a potential long scalp back into mid-range. 🧠 Educational Note: MMC in Action The Mirror Market Concept is powerful for intraday trading. It uses pattern reflection, liquidity logic, and price symmetry to forecast reversals before typical indicators catch up. If mastered, this concept can give early reversal entries and trap avoidance.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSD Analysis (MMC Strategy) : Structure Mapping + Target🧠 Overview This analysis is based on the MMC (Market Mapping Concept), combining smart money principles, structure mapping, and price behavior analysis. EUR/USD has been showing strong bullish activity over the past few months, but we are now approaching a critical decision zone. Let’s break it all down. 🔹 1. Arc Structure – Accumulation Phase (Dec 2024 – Feb 2025) The chart starts with a well-defined Arc formation, signaling accumulation by large players. Price showed a series of higher lows within the arc, compressing volatility. This is where smart money quietly loads positions before pushing price. Key Insight: This arc often precedes an impulsive breakout, as seen next. 🔹 2. Central Zone Breakout (Feb – Mar 2025) The price exploded out of the arc, breaking through the central compression area. Marked as the Central Zone, this acted as both support and a launchpad. This phase included imbalance filling, reaccumulation, and clean price action. Observation: Notice the aggressive bullish candles—clear indication of institutional interest. 🔹 3. Structure Mapping & QFL Zone (April 2025) A classic QFL (Quick Flip Level) was formed after the initial rally. Price pulled back into a structure support zone, respected it cleanly, and bounced back. This gave a textbook smart money entry. Structure Mapping highlights how each leg of the trend is forming based on supply/demand reaction. 🔹 4. Major BOS – Break of Structure (May 2025) Price broke the previous swing high, giving us a Major Break of Structure. This BOS confirms a change in character (CHOCH) from ranging to trending. After BOS, the market retested the breakout zone—providing a second ideal long entry for continuation traders. 🔹 5. Minor Resistance Zone (Current Price) Currently, price is testing a Minor Resistance zone around 1.1400–1.1450. This level acted as resistance earlier and may slow price down temporarily. However, there’s still room for bullish continuation unless reversal patterns emerge. Key Watch Point: If price shows weakness here (e.g., rejection wicks, bearish engulfing), short-term retracement may follow. 🔹 6. Next Reversal Zone (Projected Target: 1.1700–1.1800) The green box above marks the Next Reversal Zone, based on historical supply, Fibonacci extension levels, and structure analysis. Expect this area to act as strong resistance unless momentum is very strong. This is a potential TP zone for long traders or an area to scout for short opportunities if reversal signals appear (divergence, order block rejection, liquidity grab). 📌 Key Levels Zone Price Range Role Central Zone 1.0800–1.1000 Support/Accumulation Minor Resistance 1.1400–1.1450 Immediate Hurdle Next Reversal Zone 1.1700–1.1800 Target / Short Setup QFL Zone 1.1100–1.1200 Smart Money Entry Point 🧠 Strategy Outlook ✅ Bullish Bias: Structure is clearly bullish. Buyers are in control. 🕵️‍♂️ Watch for Reaction at Minor Resistance – a clean break = continuation, rejection = short-term pullback.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
GOLD → Hunt for liquidity ahead of continued correctionFX:XAUUSD is strengthening due to uncertainty while the dollar consolidates. Amid heightened volatility, a retest of the 3340 liquidity zone may form, and if buyers fail to keep the price above this zone, gold may form a correction Demand for the dollar is supported by the rise in USD/JPY after soft comments on interest rates by Bank of Japan Governor Ueda. Gold is responding with a correction. Traders remain cautious ahead of the outcome of the second day of trade talks between the US and China in London. Donald Trump confirmed that dialogue with Beijing is continuing, but key differences remain. Investors are also awaiting US inflation data (CPI), which could determine the further dynamics of the dollar and gold. Meanwhile, inflation expectations in the US fell from 3.6% to 3.2% in May. Technically, gold broke the structure and confirmed key resistance during the correction. A hunt for liquidity is possible before the decline continues towards the key target of 3275. Resistance levels: 3340, 3361 Support levels: 3301, 3275 The price is forming a new trading range of 3340 - 3301 (3294). Before declining, especially if the fundamental background changes to positive as negotiations progress, gold may test the liquidity zone of 3340 and form a false breakout, which will trigger a continuation of the correction to 3275. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
USDJPY Analysis: MMC Resistance vs Major BOS (Technical View)🔍 Chart Summary: The USDJPY pair is currently trading around 144.58, showing strong signs of structural buildup as it approaches a critical inflection point. This analysis leverages MMC (Market Mapping Concept) and price action structure to identify two possible directional outcomes — each grounded in key technical levels. 🧠 Key Technical Highlights: 📌 1. Expanding Wedge Pattern: Price previously formed an expanding structure, signaling volatility and accumulation. Expansion typically precedes major directional breakouts — either trend continuation or reversal. 📌 2. Downtrend Break Test: A long-standing descending trendline has now been tested multiple times. A confirmed breakout would be significant, indicating a major shift in market momentum. 📌 3. Resistance Zones: Minor Resistance Zone around 158.00–160.00 marks a key supply area. Watch for price action behavior if this level is tested — possible rejection or breakout continuation. 📌 4. Major Support Zone: Support near 139.00–140.00, where price previously bounced, represents a solid floor and demand zone. 📌 5. BOS (Break of Structure): Two BOS levels are marked: Minor BOS (Around 146.00): Immediate reaction level to watch. Major BOS (Around 149.00–150.00): If broken, could lead to sharp bullish continuation. 🔮 MMC Forecast Scenarios: ✅ Condition 1: Bullish Breakout Scenario Price breaks above the descending trendline and clears the Minor BOS. Target zone: 158.00–160.00 resistance. Structure confirms bullish dominance if Major BOS is cleanly broken and retested. ⚠️ Condition 2: Bearish Rejection Scenario Price rejects from current trendline or Minor BOS and reverses. Potential drop toward Major Support around 140.00. Watch for reversal confirmation with bearish engulfing candles or re-entry into expanding zone. 🧭 MMC Outlook Summary: The chart is setting up for a key decision point. The market will either validate a bullish breakout structure or revert back into bearish continuation. These scenarios align with the MMC mapping method, providing clear conditions for traders to follow without bias.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
BTCUSD Technical Analysis (MMC) – Resistance or Target Zone🔍 Overview Bitcoin has executed a strong bullish recovery over the past few sessions, breaking out of a well-structured bullish channel and testing a significant resistance zone. The move exhibits traits often identified in MMC strategies, including liquidity grabs, engineered price action, and trap-based breakouts. This chart analysis combines curve support structures, channel dynamics, and resistance reactions—all crucial components of technical strategy layered with smart money behavioral cues from MMC. 🔹 Price Action Breakdown 📈 1. Blue Ray – Liquidity Shift Signal The bullish impulse was initiated from what is labeled the "Blue Ray" zone—a deep liquidity pocket often used by smart money to trap sellers. This area marks a liquidity sweep after a steep selloff, creating the perfect environment for institutional buy orders to fill before driving price upward. 📉 2. Channel Formation & Breakout A clean ascending bullish channel formed during the rally, showing a methodical stair-step price climb. This consolidation phase provided multiple reentry opportunities before a sharp breakout, which signals a transition from accumulation to expansion, often seen in MMC mapping. 🧭 3. Curve Support – Parabolic Price Action Price hugged a curve support line, often interpreted as a parabolic base. This curve reflects increasing momentum—buyers are stepping in earlier at each dip, creating higher lows in a tightening arc. This structure is also commonly seen in smart money accumulation zones as price is pushed upward while retail sentiment lags. 🚧 4. Resistance Zone – High Interest Reversal Region BTCUSD is now inside a key resistance zone (~$109,800–$111,500), which has acted as both supply and previous swing highs. MMC traders often identify these zones as trap areas, where price gets aggressively pushed up to fill institutional short orders. This zone contains high sell-side liquidity, meaning there's a strong chance for a reversal or false breakout. 🔄 5. Projected Reversal Zone A potential correction could bring price down to the next reversal zone (around $106,500–$107,500). This zone is supported by: The curve structure, which is still active. Previous minor resistance turned support. Institutional demand likely waiting to reload long positions. 📉 Possible Scenarios ✅ Bullish Continuation If BTC can break and sustain above $111,500, especially with strong volume, it will likely push into new local highs. In this case, curve support may be used for re-entry on pullbacks. ❌ Bearish Reversal Setup A rejection from this resistance zone—especially with a long-wick candle, engulfing pattern, or divergence—could confirm a short-term top. MMC-style reversals often occur quickly and aggressively, trapping late buyers. ⚙️ Trade Management Insights Trade Setup Entry Area Target Stop-Loss Notes Aggressive Short ~$110,800 ~$107,500 ~$111,800 Only on strong rejection pattern Conservative Long ~$107,000 Retest $110,000+ Below $105,500 Only if curve support holds clean Breakout Buy Above $111,800 Open upside Below $110,000 Wait for breakout + retest 🧠 MMC Observations Price Engineering: The market moved through clean zones quickly—classic MMC manipulation to clear liquidity. Trap Zones: The resistance zone may act as a bull trap where late retail buyers are absorbed. Smart Money Flow: Institutional traders may now shift to distribution mode unless curve support holds firmly. 💬 Final Thoughts Bitcoin is at a key decision point. Traders should remain flexible but vigilant. The presence of curve support combined with aggressive upward momentum suggests bullish strength, but the resistance zone and prior liquidity behavior warn of potential trap activity. Monitor the reaction closely in the next 1–2 candles. A failed breakout could trigger a swift 2–3K retracement. 📌 Tip: Combine this analysis with on-chain volume or open interest data for better conviction.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Eurobonds: Europe Seizes on Trump’s Fiscal MisstepBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The tax bill proposal put forward by the Trump administration — known as the “Big Beautiful Bill” — includes a controversial clause, number 899, which threatens to tax dividends and coupons from U.S. assets received by foreign investors from countries deemed “hostile” or “discriminatory” toward the United States. While designed as a geopolitical pressure tool, this measure could ultimately undermine the U.S. market itself and present a historic window of opportunity for Europe. For years, Brussels has aimed to boost the appeal of its markets against U.S. dominance. Regulatory measures like MiFID II, the push for strategic autonomy, and the introduction of common debt instruments such as Eurobonds have steadily gained ground. Now, with the prospect of a direct penalty on foreign investment in the U.S., European assets — offering favorable real yields and a strengthening currency — are emerging as a solid alternative. The European Central Bank has already warned that this is “a window not to be missed.” Christine Lagarde has hinted that the euro could strengthen to the point of becoming a global reserve currency, particularly if new joint debt issuances are used to fund defense spending. Amid growing geopolitical tensions and declining confidence in “American exceptionalism,” the debate over mutualizing European debt is returning with renewed momentum. Clause 899 effectively acts as a self-imposed competitive disadvantage for the U.S. In a globalized market, such a tax reduces the real returns of American assets and redirects capital flows elsewhere. If Europe accelerates Eurobond issuance and reinforces its fiscal framework, it could turn this American fiscal crisis into an unprecedented geopolitical opportunity. Building a Eurobond Market Since the landmark Next Generation EU plan in 2020, the European Union has made steady progress toward creating a joint debt market. By 2025, over €450 billion in debt has been issued, with new rounds under discussion to fund defense, security, and the green transition. This has helped develop a more complete yield curve, improved market liquidity, and strengthened the euro’s role as a reserve currency. Relative Yields and Monetary Context Although European bonds offer lower yields than their U.S. counterparts (e.g., the 10-year German Bund yields around 2.5% versus 4.3% for the U.S. Treasury), the ECB’s monetary tightening cycle has moderated. Inflation in the eurozone has fallen below 3%, and interest rates are beginning to decline. This supports the appreciation of long-term European bonds in anticipation of future rate cuts. Additionally, the risk premiums for countries like Italy and Spain have narrowed, reinforcing confidence in European fiscal cohesion. Rising Foreign Demand Foreign holdings of U.S. debt have fallen — from 50% in 2014 to about one-third in 2024 — while European debt is gaining traction. According to ECB and BIS data, every €100 billion in foreign purchases reduces yields by roughly 20 basis points, suggesting that continued demand could exert downward pressure on yields in the medium term. Strong Euro and Yield Curve Management With the euro on the rise — projected to reach 1.19 USD by 2028 — euro-denominated assets are becoming more attractive to global investors. Moreover, the ECB retains the ability to intervene in secondary markets, preventing excessive yield curve distortions and maintaining financial stability. 10-Year Eurobond Technical Analysis Between the final quarter of 2024 and March 2025, 10-year Eurobonds staged a steady recovery before stabilizing in a consolidation range between 2.359% and 2.675%, with a current average of 2.512%. The bond’s technical structure signals a bullish trend, supported by a positive moving average crossover, which could push yields toward the upper end of the range. The RSI currently stands at a neutral level of 52.38, indicating room for further upward movement without entering overbought territory. Additionally, the 2.568% level has proven to be a dynamic support, having rebounded multiple times, reinforcing its significance as a launchpad for further yield increases. Conclusion European bonds are experiencing a structural opportunity driven by U.S. fiscal missteps, growing fiscal integration within the eurozone, and a declining interest rate environment. If Europe continues to push joint bond issuances to fund strategic initiatives such as defense, energy transition, and digitalization, Eurobonds could solidify their status as a viable and competitive alternative to U.S. Treasuries. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
TVC:EU10YLong
by ActivTrades
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis : MMC Setup Confirmed + Target📊 1. Market Structure Overview After a strong rally earlier this month, XAUUSD entered a corrective phase and formed a descending trendline which acted as resistance for multiple days. This trendline has just been tested and broken, suggesting that the correction may be coming to an end. At the same time, price is showing signs of strength by bouncing off the lower boundary of a long-standing parallel ascending channel—a structure that has acted as dynamic support over the past two weeks. 🧱 2. Key Technical Elements 🟦 Support/Resistance Interchange Zone (S/R Flip) Price recently interacted with a horizontal S/R interchange zone around the $3,310–$3,330 area. This zone served as resistance during the earlier part of the trend and is now acting as support after the breakout. It also overlaps with the mid-section of the ascending channel, adding confluence to this support area. 📐 Descending Trendline Break The break above the descending trendline signals a potential shift in momentum. Traders often view this kind of breakout as an early indicator of bullish continuation, especially when combined with volume or retests. 🟩 Next Reversal/Target Zone A green box is highlighted around the $3,345–$3,355 zone, which could act as the next resistance or reversal level. This is based on prior market structure and Fibonacci extension zones. This area may offer a take-profit level for longs or a short-term reversal zone for countertrend traders. 🔍 3. What to Watch ✅ Bullish Scenario If the price sustains above $3,310 and holds above the broken trendline, we could see a push toward the $3,345–$3,355 area. Ideal long entries may occur on a retest of the trendline or the S/R flip zone, confirming it as support. ❌ Bearish Scenario Failure to hold above the $3,300–$3,310 support region would invalidate the breakout. A clean break below this zone could result in a drop back to the lower parallel channel boundary near $3,270 or even lower. ⚙️ 4. Trading Plan & Bias Short-term Bias: Bullish (Trendline break + support hold) Mid-term Bias: Cautiously Bullish (until major resistance is tested) Risk Management: Stop-loss for long entries should be placed below $3,300 with targets near $3,345 and $3,355. 💬 Conclusion This setup presents a classic case of trendline breakout + S/R flip confluence, which often leads to favorable risk/reward opportunities. Gold traders should monitor the retest behavior around current levels closely, as it will likely determine the next directional move. 📌 Always wait for confirmation, manage risk, and don’t chase moves—especially near major zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
1
GOLD → Correction before a decline or continuation of the trend?FX:XAUUSD is testing the liquidity zone during the Asian session and forming a false breakout. The metal is recovering, but the fundamental background remains unstable... On Monday, gold is holding steady at around $3,300 amid a weaker dollar and caution among traders ahead of US-China talks and the release of US inflation data (CPI) on Wednesday. Strong NFP data for May strengthened the dollar and lowered expectations for a Fed rate cut. However, domestic problems in the US are putting pressure on the currency... Markets are adjusting positions ahead of CPI. Geopolitics and domestic unrest in the US are holding back gold's decline, despite possible optimism about a trade deal. Technically, the trend is bullish, with the price previously breaking the structure but rising in the Asian session after a false breakdown of the order block and the 3300 liquidity zone. Further movement depends on 3330 - 3340 Resistance levels: 33301, 3339, 3375 Support levels: 3301, 3275 The price is heading towards 3330-3340 for a retest. If the dollar continues to decline and gold manages to consolidate above 3340, the bullish trend may continue. BUT! A false breakout of the 3330-3340 zone could trigger a further decline after the bullish structure breaks down. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
11
EURJPY Bulls in Trouble? Massive Rejection Signals📉 Full Multi-Factor Analysis – EUR/JPY 🔍 1. Price Action EUR/JPY strongly rejected the key supply zone between 164.80–165.50, aligned with a major static resistance. Last week's breakout was invalidated by a clear bull trap, followed by a bearish engulfing candle. Price broke below the ascending channel drawn since April and is now heading toward the 162.00 demand area. The weekly RSI shows a bearish divergence, confirming a slowdown in momentum. ➡️ Technical Bias: Bearish toward 161.50–162.00, with a possible extension to 160.00. 💼 2. COT Data – Commitment of Traders EUR Futures (CME) Strong increase in commercial longs (+16,095) and non-commercial shorts (+4,830). Suggests smart money is accumulating while retail/speculators are pressing shorts — potential accumulation, but no breakout yet. JPY Futures Significant rise in non-commercial shorts (+10,575), while long positions declined. The yen remains pressured, but extreme positioning could fuel a reversal if sentiment flips. ➡️ COT Takeaway: Euro remains in bullish consolidation. Yen is heavily oversold — ripe for mean reversion. Caution warranted. 📊 3. Retail Sentiment 80% of retail traders are short from an average price of 160.46, while price now sits at 164.86. The crowd is deep in drawdown — a typical condition for short-term consolidations or fakeouts before reversals. ➡️ Implication: Price may hover around 164+ to trap remaining retail shorts before unwinding. 📈 4. Seasonality June seasonality for EUR/JPY is historically neutral to bearish. Only the 5-year data shows strength, while 15Y and 20Y trends reveal consistent downside starting mid-June. ➡️ Seasonal Outlook: Adds further weight to a bearish correction scenario for the second half of the month. ✅ Actionable Summary 📌 Weekly Bias: Bearish 📉 Main Target: 162.00–161.50 📉 Extended Target: 160.00 📈 Invalidation: Weekly close above 165.60 🧠 Final Thoughts All major elements — price action, COT, sentiment, and seasonality — point toward a corrective move on EUR/JPY. Given the strong underlying trend and retail’s positioning, watch out for bull traps before deeper downside. Best setup: Sell the pullback or wait for clean breakdown below 163.00.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
10
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 10, 2025 EURUSDAn Event to pay attention today: 13:00 EET. USD - NFIB Small Business Optimism Index EURUSD: The EUR/USD pair is struggling to capitalise on the previous day's gains and is attracting new sellers around 1.1435 during Tuesday's Asian session. The intraday decline is driven by solid demand for the US dollar (USD) and has pushed spot prices below 1.1400 in the last hour. Friday's US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report, which showed higher-than-expected data, dampened hopes for an early interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) this year. This, along with optimism about the resumption of trade talks between the US and China, is prompting traders to ease their bearish bets on the US dollar, which is proving to be a key factor putting pressure on the EUR/USD pair. However, as negotiations continued into a second day in London, traders may refrain from aggressive directional bets. In addition, traders still see a rate cut by the US central bank in September as more likely. This, along with concerns about the financial health of the US government, may limit further strengthening of the US dollar and provide support for the EUR/USD pair. In contrast, the European Central Bank (ECB) hinted at the end of its rate-cutting cycle at its meeting last week. This could further benefit the single currency and help limit losses for the currency pair. Traders may also refrain from aggressive betting ahead of this week's US inflation data release. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.1390, SL 1.1410, TP 1.1300
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004