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Fundamental Market Analysis for June 10, 2025 EURUSDAn Event to pay attention today: 13:00 EET. USD - NFIB Small Business Optimism Index EURUSD: The EUR/USD pair is struggling to capitalise on the previous day's gains and is attracting new sellers around 1.1435 during Tuesday's Asian session. The intraday decline is driven by solid demand for the US dollar (USD) and has pushed spot prices below 1.1400 in the last hour. Friday's US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report, which showed higher-than-expected data, dampened hopes for an early interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) this year. This, along with optimism about the resumption of trade talks between the US and China, is prompting traders to ease their bearish bets on the US dollar, which is proving to be a key factor putting pressure on the EUR/USD pair. However, as negotiations continued into a second day in London, traders may refrain from aggressive directional bets. In addition, traders still see a rate cut by the US central bank in September as more likely. This, along with concerns about the financial health of the US government, may limit further strengthening of the US dollar and provide support for the EUR/USD pair. In contrast, the European Central Bank (ECB) hinted at the end of its rate-cutting cycle at its meeting last week. This could further benefit the single currency and help limit losses for the currency pair. Traders may also refrain from aggressive betting ahead of this week's US inflation data release. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.1390, SL 1.1410, TP 1.1300
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Precious metals: rotation towards silver, platinum and palladium1) GOLD, a mature bull cycle running out of technical steam For over a year, gold (XAU/USD) has been the undisputed leader of the precious metals segment, driven by a powerful cocktail of technical and macroeconomic factors. Long-term bullish targets, identified via an Elliott wave reading, have now been reached or are very close to being reached, suggesting a possible end to the cycle. Gold's outperformance has been driven by several factors: an annual depreciation of the US dollar, robust physical demand in China and India, a rush by central banks to use gold as a strategic reserve, and increased financial demand via ETFs and futures markets. Nevertheless, this momentum may now be running out of “fuel” as the greenback approaches a technical crossroads, US interest rates stabilize, and the geopolitical environment remains uncertain but largely taken on board by the markets. 2) Silver, platinum and palladium lag far behind gold While gold's bullish cycle appears to be coming to an end, investors are turning their attention to the other precious metals - silver, platinum and palladium - which are lagging significantly behind. This is partly due to their hybrid nature: halfway between industrial asset and safe-haven, they have not enjoyed the same enthusiasm as gold during periods of sheer financial uncertainty. However, the situation seems to be changing: the first stages of a technical catch-up can be observed, notably in silver (XAG), whose recent performance has outstripped that of gold. This comeback is supported by an optimistic reading of COT (Commitment of Traders) data, showing a reconstitution of long positions. Upside potential remains intact in the short to medium term, supported by industrial fundamentals and converging technical signals. 3) Are platinum and palladium technical opportunities or not? Platinum (XPT) and palladium (XPD), long lagging behind, are now entering a recovery phase. These metals, widely used in automotive catalysts, have suffered from the energy transition and the decline in internal combustion engines. However, this weakness seems to have been overplayed by the markets. From a technical point of view, the current configurations suggest opportunities for a rebound. All the more so as certain players are beginning to recognize the role these metals could play in industrial value chains linked to hydrogen and clean mobility. If gold is reaching the top of the cycle, it is potentially in these “lagging” metals that the bullish leverage now lies for the months ahead. 4) The special case of copper Last but not least, copper (XCU), although not considered a precious metal in the strict sense, deserves special attention. A true thermometer of the global economy, it has long been held back by uncertainties over Chinese growth and structural difficulties in Asia's real estate sector. But here too, the scenario seems to be changing: the gradual recovery in industrial demand, coupled with structural tensions on supply, is paving the way for a bullish phase. Copper thus represents a bridge between industrial metals and speculative dynamics, an asset in a context of accelerated energy transition. In short, while gold remains a strategic pillar, the next big move could well come from a generalized catch-up of all the metals that have lagged behind. 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FX_IDC:XAGUSD
by Swissquote
Gold Price Analysis June 10Gold price reacted at the Trenline and EMA 34 yesterday and bounced back but still closed below the breakout zone of 3335. The downtrend can still continue as long as 3335 remains strong today. H4 shows the provincial port area at 3295 and 3275 in the opposite direction of the provincial port at 3339 and 3365. H1 is still forming a clear downtrend. 3309 is the immediate resistance zone. is the price zone that can scalp breakout if it closes above this zone. break 3309 Gold will head to 3327 in this zone, if you want to SELL, you have to wait for confirmation from the selling candle. When the buyers push the price strongly through 3327, you have to wait for the US session resistance around 3338 yesterday. Resistance and support during the day are noted around 3275 and 3365
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
Complete Market Structure: Order Flow and Multiple TimeframesUnderstanding Market Structure: A Simplified Breakdown Market structure can seem complex at first glance. But when you break it down piece by piece, it becomes much simpler to understand. At its core, price action is a visual representation of human emotion and logistic balance. It’s both calculated and unpredictable. To truly grasp price action, we must begin by understanding the foundations of the market. 1. Sentiment In the beginning, there was just a single bar — whether on the 1-minute, 1-hour, 1-day, or 1-week chart. That one bar only had one defining trait: direction. At this early point, there was no trend, no supply or demand zones — only bullish or bearish sentiment. Over time, as more bars formed, sentiment shifted. What was once bullish became bearish, or vice versa. This shift gave rise to a new phenomenon: engulfment . 2. Engulfment An engulfment occurs when one candle overtakes the previous one, signifying a strong shift in sentiment. When this happened for the first time, it created what we now call an order block around the engulfed candle. The engulfment generated a gap, which led to an imbalance in the market. Naturally, price tends to return to fill this gap to regain balance. Often, price will later engulf back in the original direction, continuing the cycle. 3. Order Flow / Sequence As more bars appeared, patterns began to form. Series of bullish bars created bullish order flow, and bearish sequences formed bearish order flow. These sequences, when viewed on higher timeframes, appeared as single candles. As these larger candles began to engulf each other, it triggered a new surface-level event: bullish sequences began overtaking bearish ones, and vice versa. This is what I call internal shifting . 4. Internal Shifting Through internal shifting — where sequences start overtaking each other — the chart begins to display more defined highs and lows. These fluctuations deepen as order flow keeps switching back and forth. Eventually, the structure is no longer just internal. Highs and lows start breaking, and broader, more visible structures form. 5. Highs, Lows, and Breaks of Structure (BoS) As this cycle continues, the external structure of a timeframe emerges. Highs get higher, then lower, and this alternation continues. The result is a zigzag pattern — the hallmark of market structure. But this structure is not random. It’s the collective output of sentiment shifts, engulfments, sequences, internal shifts, and breaks of structure, all working together to create the full picture. 6. Multi-Timeframe Principles In simple terms, the external structure of a smaller timeframe is just a more detailed (fractal) version of its higher timeframe. Likewise, the internal structure of a given timeframe is the external structure of its lower timeframe. This creates multiple perspectives of the same phenomena, depending on scale. 7. Same Concepts, Different Scales What’s called an order block on a higher timeframe may be known as a supply or demand zone on a lower timeframe. An engulfment on a higher timeframe can appear as a sequential engulfment on a lower one. An internal shift on a lower timeframe might just be a pullback when viewed from above. If you go two timeframes apart — say, from low to medium to high — you’ll notice even more complexity. For instance, a higher timeframe order block becomes a premium/discount zone in the lowest of those three timeframes. 8. Low, Medium, and High Timeframes: The Complete Picture By analyzing the market using three timeframes in unison, you can establish a complete view of market structure. When you truly understand this approach, trading becomes more strategic. Your setups gain better risk-to-reward ratios, and consistent profitability becomes more achievable. Market structure is both logically and emotionally driven — simple, yet intricate. And while we’ve covered the logical side, the emotional side lies in trading psychology — a topic I’ll be exploring in detail next. Want to apply this concept using indicators? I've developed custom indicators that reflect the principles explained above. If you'd like to see how this theory works in practice, check out my TradingView page : The_Forex_Steward , where you can access these tools.
by The_Forex_Steward
Silver surge has more bullish upsideSilver is breaking out. Its strength is no accident. The US is running a structural deficit north of 6% of GDP in a full-employment economy. The bond market has absorbed the pain so far, but pressure is building. Investors are starting to look for insurance. Silver is one of the cleanest ways to play the dollar’s long-term debasement. The metal is trading well above its 200-day moving average. The US$31.50-32.00 zone now acts as solid support. Any pullback into that range is likely to be short-lived. Silver doesn’t move in straight lines. It runs, consolidates, then runs again, usually in 50–90 day cycles. The current setup fits that rhythm. The gold-to-silver ratio is still near 100x. Historically, the average is closer to 60-70x. That gives silver more room to catch up. Traders can short gold and go long silver to play that mean reversion. Or simply buy silver outright and short the dollar. ETF inflows into silver have picked up, showing broader market interest. The main risk? A sudden shift in Fed tone or falling inflation expectations. But that seems unlikely near term. Silver isn’t just a trade. It’s a message. A hedge against fiscal irresponsibility and the cost of kicking the can too far.
TVC:SILVER
by Blueberry
16
Plug Power: A Mirage or a Miracle?Plug Power (NASDAQ: PLUG), a key innovator in hydrogen energy solutions, recently experienced a significant surge in its stock value. This upturn is largely attributed to a strong vote of confidence from within the company: Chief Financial Officer Paul Middleton substantially increased his stake by acquiring an additional 650,000 shares. This decisive investment, following an earlier purchase, clearly signals robust conviction in Plug Power's future growth trajectory, despite prior market challenges. Analysts also reflect this cautious optimism, with an average one-year price target that suggests a significant upside potential from the current valuation. A major catalyst for the renewed interest stems from Plug Power's expanded strategic collaboration with Allied Green Ammonia (AGA). This partnership includes a new 2-gigawatt (GW) electrolyzer project in Uzbekistan, part of a substantial $5.5 billion green chemical production facility. This facility will produce sustainable aviation fuel, green urea, and green diesel, positioning Plug Power's technology as foundational to large-scale decarbonization efforts. This initiative, backed by the Government of Uzbekistan, further solidifies a broader 5 GW partnership between Plug Power and AGA across two continents, highlighting the company's capability to deliver industrial-scale green hydrogen solutions. While these strategic wins are promising, Plug Power continues to navigate financial headwinds. The company has faced recent revenue declines and currently reports significant annual losses and cash burn. To address capital needs, it is seeking shareholder approval to issue more shares. However, the substantial, multi-gigawatt contracts secured, particularly with Allied Green, underscore a strong future revenue pipeline. These projects affirm the critical demand for Plug Power's technology and its pivotal role in the evolving green hydrogen economy, emphasizing that the successful execution of these large-scale ventures will be key to long-term financial stability and sustained growth.
NASDAQ:PLUGLong
by UDIS_View
Crude oil prices test 10-week highs amid trade optimism!Crude oil prices are testing fresh 10-week highs today, with WTI futures flirting with the key resistance level at $65.50, a price not seen since the onset of trade tariff tensions in early April. Investor sentiment remains cautiously optimistic as US-China trade talks continue in London this week, raising hopes that both parties can make progress toward a resolution on tariffs and trade restrictions. A positive outcome could further boost crude oil prices. Seasonal factors are also playing a supportive role. The onset of the summer travel season in the northern hemisphere is expected to drive increased demand for crude, adding a bullish layer to the outlook. Energy traders are closely watching for signs that a successful trade agreement could trigger a sustained rally. From a technical perspective, WTI bids have peaked near $65.50, although further upside appears constrained by the 200-day EMA, which is acting as a firm resistance level. However, a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern is forming, which could support a breakout and add further confidence to bullish positions. On the downside, failure to breach the $65.50 resistance may invite selling pressure, with a potential re-test of the $60.00 support level if momentum weakens.
TVC:USOIL
by Blueberry
47
Position Sizing 101: How Not to Blow Up Your Account OvernightWelcome to the trading equivalent of wearing a seatbelt. Not really exciting but entirely recommended for its lifesaving properties. When the market crashes into your stop-loss at 3:47 a.m., you’ll wish you’d taken this lesson seriously. Let’s talk position sizing — the least flashy but most essential tool in your trading kit. This is your friendly reminder that no matter how perfect your chart setup looks, if you’re risking 50% of your capital on a single trade, you’re not trading. You’re gambling. And also — if you lose 50% of your account, you have to gain 100% to get even. ✋ “Sir, This Isn’t a Casino” Let’s start with a story. New trader. Fresh demo account turned real. He sees a clean breakout. He YOLOs half his account into Tesla ( TSLA ). "This is it," he thinks, "the trade that changes everything." News flash: it did change everything — his $10,000 account turned into $2,147 in 48 hours. The lesson? Position sizing isn’t just about managing capital. It’s about managing ego. Because the market doesn’t care how convinced you are. 🌊 Risk of Ruin: The More You Know There’s a lovely concept in trading called “risk of ruin.” Sounds dramatic — and it is. It refers to the likelihood of your account going to zero if you keep trading the way you do. If you risk 10% of your account on every trade, you only need to be wrong a few times in a row to go from “pro trader” to “Hey, ChatGPT, is trading a scam?” Risking 1–2% per trade, however? Now we’re talking sustainability. Now you can be wrong ten times in a row and still live to click another chart. 🎯 The Math That Saves You Let’s illustrate the equation: Position size = Account size × % risk / (Entry – Stop Loss) Example: $10,000 account, risking 1%, with a 50-point stop loss on a futures trade. $10,000 × 0.01 = $100 $100 / 50 = 2 contracts That’s it. No Fibonacci razzle-dazzle or astrology needed. Just basic arithmetic and a willingness to not be a hero. 🤔 The Myth of Conviction Every trader has a moment where they say: “I know this is going to work.” Spoiler alert: You don’t. And the moment you convince yourself otherwise, you start increasing position size based on emotion, not logic. That’s where accounts go to die. Even the greats keep it tight. Paul Tudor Jones, the legend himself, once said: “Don't focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.” Translation: size down, cowboy. 🔔 Position Size ≠ Trade Size A common mistake: confusing position size with trade size. Trade size is how big your order is. Position size is how much of your total capital is being risked. You could be trading 10 lots — but if your stop loss is tight, your position size might still be conservative. So yes, trade big. But only if your risk is small. You’ll do better at this once you figure out how asymmetric risk reward works. 🌦️ Losses Happen. Don’t Let Them Compound Let’s say you lose 5% on a trade. No big deal, right? Until you try to “make it back” by doubling down on the next one. And then again. And suddenly, you’re caught in a death spiral of revenge trading . This is not theoretical. It’s Tuesday morning for many traders. Proper position sizing cushions the blow. It turns what would be a catastrophe into a lesson — maybe even a mildly annoying Tuesday. 🌳 It’s Not Just About Risk — It’s About Freedom Smart sizing gives you flexibility (and a good night’s sleep). Want to hold through some noise? You can. Want to scale in? You’re allowed. Want to sleep at night without hugging your laptop? Welcome to emotional freedom. Jesse Livermore, arguably the most successful trader of all time, said it best: “If you can’t sleep at night because of your stock market position, then you have gone too far. If this is the case, then sell your position down to the sleeping level.” ⛳ What the Pros Actually Do Here’s a dirty little secret: pros rarely go all-in without handling the risk part first (that is, calibrating the position size). If they’re not allocating small portions of capital across uncorrelated trades, they’ll go big on a trade that has an insanely-well controlled risk level. That way, if the trade turns against them, they’ll only lose what they can afford to lose and stay in the game. Another great one, Stanley Druckenmiller, who operated one of the best-returning hedge funds (now a family office) said: “I believe the best way to manage risk is to be bullish when you have a compelling risk/reward.” 🏖️ The Summer of FOMO Let’s address the seasonal vibes. Summer’s here. Volume’s thin. Liquidity’s weird. Breakouts don’t follow through. Every false move looks like the real deal until it isn’t. And every poolside Instagram story from your trader friend makes you want to hit that buy button harder. This is where position sizing saves you from yourself. Small trades, wide stops, chill mindset. Or big trades, tight stops, a bit of excitement in your day. No matter what you choose, make sure to get your dose of daily news every morning, keep your eye on the economic calendar , and stay sharp on any upcoming earnings reports (GameStop NYSE:GME is right around the corner, delivering Tuesday). ☝️ Final Thoughts: The Indicator You Control In a world of lagging indicators, misleading news headlines, and “experts” selling you dreams, position sizing is one of the few things you have total control over. And that makes it powerful. So next time you feel the rush — the urge to go big — take a breath. Remember the math. Remember the odds. And remember: the fastest way to blow up isn’t a bad trade — it’s a good trade sized wrong. Off to you: How are you handling your trading positions? Are you the type to go all-in and then think about the downside? Or you’re the one to think about the risk first and then the reward? Let us know in the comments!
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
26
Gold price analysis on June 9The D1 candle on Friday broke the sideways structure and confirmed the downtrend for Gold prices. Gold prices pushed up quite high in today's Tokyo trading session after touching the Gap zone around 3395. With this upward force, 3319 will be available at the end of the Asian session. This zone can wait for a reaction and SELL can return because this is the zone where the Sellers pushed the price down at the beginning of the session. The European session will pay more attention to the 3334 zone with a break out point that is also quite important. The upward force will be stopped by the Sellers at the daily resistance level around 3345. SELL is following the trend and can sustain the profit far away, while the BUY points are considered to find the reaction wave to increase and correct. The first zone is 3295, the second zone is around 3275. Wishing you a successful trading day
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold Trading Strategy June 9The D1 candle cluster on Friday broke the sideway structure near the AHT peak and confirmed the downtrend for Gold price by breaking through 50% of the main bullish candle on June 2. After touching the Gap zone around 3395. Gold price pushed up quite high in Tokyo trading session today and headed towards the first resistance levels around 3319. This area can wait for reaction and SELL to return because this is the area where the Sellers accumulated quite strongly at the beginning of the session. The European session will pay more attention to the 3334 area with a breakout point also quite important on Friday. If from 3334 the gold price falls, it will form a strong fall according to the downtrend structure and head towards 3275 soon. SELL is following the trend and can sustain profits far away, while BUY points are considered to find a corrective reaction wave, so narrow expectations. Support: 3295, 3275 Resistance: 3319, 3334, 3345, 3359 Wish you a successful trading day
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VHT_Trader
4
USD/CAD - Channel Breakout (10.06.2025)The USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.3757 2nd Resistance – 1.3792 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
35
Rivian Kicking Off Potential UptrendHey, all. I'll get down to it. Obviously NASDAQ:RIVN has been an incredibly tough stock to own. Fake out after fake out. It has been brutal - unless you have been nimble enough to buy the dips and sell the rips. I would like to posit, however, that NASDAQ:RIVN is going to start marching back higher here over time. In the signal system I have been taught via the T@M strategy, Rivian is putting in a range expansion to the upside on the weekly time frame. If you take the range of the past monthly consolidation period, attach it to the "mode" (or central zone of the consolidation range), it gives you a target of $25 over the next few months. Now, whether this is another fake out just to reverse on us... again... remains to be seen of course. It is early in the idea. But potentially offers a decent risk/reward position here. I just do not see Rivian really going away at all and, if they can keep refining their business, they could see some success going forward. Anyway, hope you enjoy this idea! As always, position carefully as the market is risky business. Including the Daily Chart below for your reference as well.
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by redykhouse
PGR Weekly Bearish Setup – 2025-06-13 Expiry📉 PGR Weekly Bearish Setup – 2025-06-13 Expiry 🧠 AI Model Consensus | NYSE:PGR Despite a short-term bounce, multiple AI models signal a bearish bias this week for Progressive Corp ( NYSE:PGR ), driven by weak daily charts and heavy put interest around the $250 zone. 🧪 Model Breakdown: 🔹 Grok/xAI • 📉 Bearish overall: Price < daily EMAs, negative MACD, oversold RSI • 🟢 5-min chart shows temporary bounce • ⚠️ Max pain & heavy put OI @ $250 • 🛠️ Trade: Buy $260P @ market (target +50%, SL: stock > $272.50) • 📈 Confidence: 65% 🔹 Claude/Anthropic • 📉 Below all EMAs (5-min + daily), RSI oversold • ⚠️ Max pain at $250, put dominance • 🛠️ Trade: Buy $260P @ ~$0.70 → PT: $1.40 (100%), SL: $0.35 • 📈 Confidence: ~66% 🔹 Llama/Meta • 📉 Daily chart bearish, MACD down, near lower BB • 🟢 Short-term bounce likely • 🛠️ Trade: Buy $260P @ $0.85 → PT: $1.275 (50%), SL: $0.25 🔹 Gemini/Google • 🚨 Strongly bearish daily (MACD down, BB breakdown) • 📊 Recommends $262.50P for better liquidity • 🛠️ Trade: Buy $262.5P @ $1.25 → PT: $2.50 (100%), SL: $0.625 • 📈 Strategy: Day-trade or short swing 🔹 DeepSeek • 📉 Bearish across timeframes; RSI oversold, price < EMAs • ⚠️ Max pain at $250, strong put skew • 🛠️ Trade: Buy $260P @ $0.85 → PT: $1.70 (100%), SL: $0.425 • 📈 Confidence: 75% ✅ Consensus Summary: 📉 Market Direction: Bearish • Daily structure weak across all models • Max pain + put OI @ $250 = downside magnet • Short-term relief rally possible, but larger trend down • $262.50P selected for best liquidity & execution 📌 Suggested Trade Setup 🎯 Symbol: NYSE:PGR 🟢 Strike: 262.50 PUT 📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13 💵 Entry Price: $1.25 🎯 Profit Target: $2.50 (+100%) 🛑 Stop Loss: $0.625 (–50%) 📈 Confidence: 75% ⏰ Entry Timing: Market open ⚠️ Risk Factors • 📈 Short-term RSI oversold → possible bounce • 🟢 5-min trend relief rally could cause drawdown • 🧊 VIX dropping → lower option volatility • 💸 Liquidity better at $262.50 than $260 strikes 📊 TRADE JSON 💬 Are you watching NYSE:PGR this week? Drop your setups or counter-trades below! 📉 Follow for more AI-powered weekly trade breakdowns.
NYSE:PGRShort
by quantsignals
CRCL Weekly Bearish Setup (Week of 2025-06-09)📉 CRCL Weekly Bearish Setup (Week of 2025-06-09) 🔍 Ticker: NYSE:CRCL Multi-model AI consensus indicates a bearish short-term outlook for CRCL this week, driven by weak technicals, downside pressure from max pain, and poor option liquidity. 🧠 Model Summaries: 🔹 Grok/xAI • 📉 Bearish: Price below 10EMA, negative MACD, RSI near 41 • 🧊 Support: $115.20 | Resistance: $116.34 • ⚠️ Max Pain: $100 → downside bias • 💡 Trade: Buy $115 Put (Jun 20) → PT: +50%, SL: –50% 🔹 Claude/Anthropic • 📉 Bearish intraday: below EMAs, negative MACD, RSI ~41 • ⚠️ Max pain at $100, light OI → downside risk • 💡 Trade: Buy $115 Put @ ~$12.95 → Target 30–50%, SL: 25% 🔹 Llama/Meta • ⚖️ Mixed: Slight short-term bearish tilt, but warns against poor liquidity • 💸 Trade: No Trade due to spread/premium inefficiency 🔹 Gemini/Google • 📊 Daily trend bullish, but intraday showing exhaustion • ⚠️ Extreme spreads, no open interest • 💸 Trade: No Trade recommended 🔹 DeepSeek • 🚨 Strong Bearish: Breakdown of $115.20 w/ volume, negative MACD, RSI ~41 • ⚠️ Sentiment: Max pain at $100 + bid-side put action • 💡 Trade: Buy $115 Put @ $12.70 → PT: $18.90 (+50%), SL: $8.82 (–30%) • 🔥 Confidence: 80% ✅ Market Consensus: 📉 Outlook: Bearish Bias – Short-term momentum is weak (price < EMAs, MACD negative) – RSI ~41 suggests downside room – Max pain at $100 = gravity effect – VIX falling = no panic relief for bulls – Key Level to Watch: Breakdown below $115 = confirmation 📌 Suggested Trade Setup 🎯 Symbol: NYSE:CRCL 🟢 Strike: 115 PUT 📅 Expiry: 2025-06-20 💵 Entry: $13.30 (ask) 🎯 Profit Target: $19.95 (+50%) 🛑 Stop Loss: $9.31 (–30%) 📈 Confidence: 75% ⏰ Entry Timing: At open ⚠️ Risk Watch: • ☠️ High premium & wide bid-ask spreads = slippage risk • ⛔ Low open interest = exit uncertainty • 🕒 Theta decay accelerates late in the week • 📈 Invalidated if price breaks above $116.34 • 📰 Unexpected crypto/news rallies = trend reversal risk 📊 TRADE JSON 💬 Are you trading this NYSE:CRCL bearish setup? Share your thoughts below. 📉📈 Follow for daily AI-powered trade breakdowns.
NYSE:CRCLShort
by quantsignals
3
DIS Weekly Options Outlook (Week of 2025-06-09)📈 DIS Weekly Options Outlook (Week of 2025-06-09) 🧠 Multi-Model AI Consensus | NYSE:DIS This week, multiple AI models show short-term bullish momentum for Disney ( NYSE:DIS ), but technical overbought signals and options market dynamics point to potential pullback risks near $113 into Friday’s expiration. 🧪 AI Model Insights: 🔹 Grok/xAI • Momentum: Bullish (5-min MACD +, price > EMAs) • Risk: Daily RSI overbought, MACD histogram red • Trade: Buy $116C @ $0.73 → PT: $1.095 (+50%), SL: $0.365 (–50%) • Confidence: 70% 🔹 Claude • Momentum: Bullish on 5-min + daily RSI (~75), volume up • Trade: Buy $117C @ $0.40 → PT: $0.80 (+100%), SL: $0.20 (–50%) • Confidence: 68% 🔹 Llama • Momentum: Bullish; price > EMAs, MACD up, RSI not extreme • Note: Max pain pullback risk to $113 • Trade: Buy $116C @ $0.73 → PT: $0.87 (+20%), SL: $0.365 • Confidence: 70% 🔹 Gemini • Momentum: Strong bullish on 5-min, but daily MACD lagging • Trade: Buy $117C @ $0.40 on breakout > $115.70 → PT: $0.80 (+100%), SL: $0.20 • Confidence: 65% 🔹 DeepSeek • Momentum: Bearish bias due to overbought RSI, MACD divergence • Trade: Buy $113P @ $0.24 → PT: $0.48 (+100%), SL: $0.12 • Confidence: 65% ✅ Consensus Summary: Market Bias: 📊 Moderately Bullish, but watch for gravity toward $113 max pain Best Setup: Long weekly naked calls ($116–$117 strikes) Strategy Type: Single-leg call Key Levels: • Resistance: $118 (heavy call OI) • Pullback Risk: $113 (max pain zone) 📌 Suggested Trade Setup 🎯 Symbol: NYSE:DIS 📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13 🟢 Strike: 117 CALL 💵 Entry: $0.40 🎯 Profit Target: $0.80 🛑 Stop Loss: $0.20 📈 Confidence: 68% ⏰ Timing: At open or breakout > $115.70 ⚠️ Risk Watch: • Overbought RSI may trigger fade • Max pain pressure into expiry • Call-heavy OI at $116–$118 may cap upside
NYSE:DISLong
by quantsignals