XAUUSD SNIPER PLAN – TUESDAY, JUNE 10, 2025👋 Good evening traders!
After a choppy NY that faked both directions, Monday closed with gold stuck around 3325. But don’t be fooled — the real plays are coming Tuesday as we align with clean structure, trap logic, and real macro catalysts. Focus only on what matters.
Let’s prep with clarity and intent. 🎯
🌍 TUESDAY MACRO PREVIEW (JUNE 10)
📊 12:00pm – NFIB Small Business Index
🗣️ 10:00pm – President Trump speaks (market-moving risk)
🛢️ 10:30pm – API Weekly Oil Data (impacts USD sentiment)
No CPI or FOMC yet — but volatility is brewing. Trump + late-day oil stats = prime conditions for NY tricks or late-session moves.
🧠 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE
🔹 Last impulse: 3292 → 3338
🔹 Price now: 3325
🔹 Asia swept 3293 — partial gap fill
🔹 NY faked above 3338 → rejected → no follow-through
🔹 HTF still bullish but in pullback mode
📏 Fibonacci (3292–3338)
– 50% = 3315
– 61.8% = 3310
– 78.6% = 3303
📊 EMAs: 5/21 kissing → possible expansion
📉 RSI: Mid-range → clear room to move
🔐 STRUCTURE ZONES – CLEAN & ACTIVE
Price Zone Type Logic
3345–3354 SELL ZONE 1 HTF FVG + inducement trap
3362–3368 SELL ZONE 2 OB + liquidity clear above final highs
3329–3332 FLIP ZONE NY trap → could flip support or reject
3307–3310 BUY ZONE 1 61.8% + CHoCH potential + OB
3292–3296 BUY ZONE 2 Asia low + FVG + discount sweep
🎯 PLAN OF ATTACK
✅ Bullish Plan
– Hold above 3315–3320
– Break 3338 → retrace into 3310/3307 = sniper long
🎯 TP: 3354 → 3368
❌ Bearish Plan
– Fail under 3332 → tap 3345–3354 for reaction
– Rejection = sell into 3310–3296
🎯 TP: 3310 → 3292
⚠️ 3329–3332 = reaction zone only
Do not sell blindly — wait for confirmation.
👀 EYES ON:
– 3338 = intraday BOS point
– 3307 = sniper trigger if CHoCH
– Trump speech = high spike risk
– NY tends to reverse early Asia setups
🚀 FINAL WORD
We’re not here to chase noise — we’re here to execute with structure.
You’ve got two clean sells, two sniper buys, and real macro risk on the table.
No guesswork. Just precision.
💬 What’s your plan for Tuesday?
Do you see the 3362 trap playing out?
Are you waiting for the 3307 sniper?
👇 Drop your scenario in the comments — let’s compare setups and grow together.
📲 Follow @GoldFxMinds for daily sniper clarity
🎯 Let’s dominate CPI week. Together.
💬 Drop a 🚀 if you’re locked in for NY
🔥 Let’s make Tuesday count — clean, confident, and calculated.
Fundamental Analysis
GBPNZD Ready to Flip? Key Reversal Zone in Play🔹 1. Price Action and Technical Structure
Price is currently at 2.2405, declining from the recent high in the 2.26–2.28 area.
The pair completed a descending channel with potential for reversal. A bullish reaction is taking place from the 2.2280–2.2170 demand zone, supported by previous volume spikes.
The RSI is falling, nearing oversold territory but not yet at extreme levels.
Possible technical scenarios:
Bullish: Recovery toward 2.2560–2.2600, with a potential breakout above recent highs.
Bearish: A break below 2.2170 could trigger further downside toward 2.2000 and 2.1800.
🔹 2. Seasonality (June)
NZD
June tends to be slightly positive for NZD (average: +0.0011 over 20 years), with consistent monthly patterns.
GBP
June is historically neutral to negative for GBP (average: +0.0015 over 20 years, but negative over 5 and 2 years).
➡️ This implies a seasonal edge for NZD over GBP.
🔹 3. Retail Sentiment
60% of retail traders are long on GBPNZD.
40% are short, but long positions average 2.1874, currently in profit.
➡️ This presents a mild contrarian bearish pressure, due to crowding on the long side.
🔹 4. Commitment of Traders (COT) – Institutional Positioning
GBP (as of 2025-06-03)
Commercials Net Long: +74.5K
Non-Commercials Net Short: -11.3K
Weekly changes: +30.3K longs vs. +32.6K shorts
➡️ Moderate balance, but growing speculative short interest.
NZD (as of 2025-06-03)
Non-Commercials Net Short: -23.6K
Strong weekly increase in commercial longs (+6.4K) and total long flows
➡️ NZD is seeing renewed interest from commercial players — a potential bullish signal.
🔹 5. Trading Outlook
📌 Current Bias: Neutral with short-term bearish tilt, but medium-term bullish reversal risk rising.
➤ Potential setups:
Conservative Long Entry: On bullish confirmation at 2.2170 (double bottom or bullish engulfing), target 2.2560–2.2600
Aggressive Short Entry: On pullback to 2.2490–2.2560, with stop above 2.2620, target 2.2280–2.2170
🎯 Seasonal and institutional factors favor NZD strength, but technical structure calls for caution and confirmation.
Precision Wires India Ltd: Breakout + Fundamental Bullish SetupTechnical Analysis (Daily Timeframe)
Breakout Pattern: consolidation breakout with Strong bullish DOJI candle above ₹185–₹187
Volume Confirmation: with a spike in volume (767.6K vs avg 571.2K)✅ Yes
Trend: Strong uptrend; Higher Highs & Higher Lows
Bullish momentum intact Price above 20 EMA & 50 EMA
FUNDAMENTALS ANALYSIS : Company fundamentals are fully strong, company low debt and high reserves make it fundamentally strong
PROFIT & LOSS:
Company revenue increased YOY
Company net profit good
Profit Margin improved from 3.9% to 4.2% that is the good sign.
🔼 Steady revenue growth with increasing margins shows operational efficiency and cost management.
Fundamental Summary
Parameter Verdict
Earnings Growth : Consistent YoY
Financial Health : Excellent
Promoter Holding: Stable & high
Business Model: Stable & scalable
Trade conclusion:
Strong volume Breakout from Consolidation
Earning Growth and ROCE >15%
Debt free company with high promoters confidence.
Good Sector
📢 Disclaimer: Not investment advice. Do your own research (DYOR). This idea is shared for educational and tracking purposes.
BTC - Ranges overview Let's have a look at BTC as we start this new week.
From a weekly perspective you can see how we through around the weekly gap (blue box)and respected it.
On the LTF we broke below it and failed to close below it.
From here expect us to aggressively trade back towards 110K and eventually new ATH.
IF we fail to hold the current sellside, we will revisit the weekly gap (blue box) and 105K.
As always WAIT FOR THE MARKET TO SHOW YOU ITS HAND AND TRADE WITH IT.
Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
Eli Lillly $LLYNYSE:LLY – Long Setup Ahead of June FOMC
Eli Lilly remains fundamentally strong, with robust growth in revenue (+45% YoY), driven by weight-loss and diabetes drugs like Mounjaro and Zepbound. Despite this, the stock saw a recent pullback after a lowered FY25 profit outlook.
Technical View:
LLY is trading near a key support zone around $710. The setup offers a favorable 1:5 risk/reward ratio, with a stop at $700.86 and a target near $768. Bollinger Bands are tightening, indicating a potential breakout.
This decline could be partially driven by market caution ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting in June. If support holds, we may see a bounce toward the $760–770 area.
Plan:
Entry: ~$710
Target: ~$768
Stop: ~$700.86
Risk/Reward: 1:5
Watching price action closely near the lower Bollinger band.
USD/JPY holds key support ahead of US dataThe USD/JPY direction has turned somewhat bullish in recent days as improving risk appetite and optimism over US-China trade talks lifted the dollar and pressurized the safe-haven yen.
The pair held firm above key support at 142.50, with sentiment-driven flows favoring the greenback. This week’s focus shifts to key US data releases—CPI on Wednesday and UoM Consumer Sentiment on Friday—which could influence Fed policy expectations and the USD’s trajectory.
A stronger dollar, supported by macro data and fading trade tensions, may push USD/JPY higher, especially as global equities rally and investor confidence improves.
Short-term resistance is seen around the 145.00 handle. The next upside targets are at 146.00, and then 148.00.
All bullish bets would be off, however, should support at 142.50 give way eventually. At the time of writing price was testing interim support around 144.00.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
6/9/25 - $cvna - Shorting it, now.6/9/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:CVNA
Shorting it, now.
- was waiting for the insiders to dump their shares like rats on a rotting boat. and here we are. all over again.
- in theory, if you had Company A (listed) and Company B (private) and you controlled both... and Company B bought Company A subprime loans and the loss (of marking them to zero) was less than the appreciation you'd receive in the form of Company A stock (such that you could sell it)... what would that be called?
- remember friends, some turds float.
- but eventually all turds get flushed.
- trade turds with caution.
- and remember to wash your hands.
- size appropriately.
- good luck to those believing this thing has "turned around" for the second time. fafo :)
V
ETHUSD next move ETHUSD – 4H Chart Analysis
Structure: Downward Parallel Channel
Market Behavior: Price is respecting both support and resistance levels within the channel
Current Position: Price is testing the upper boundary / resistance zone
📉 Sell Bias – Potential rejection from resistance zone
Entry: 2559
Stop Loss: 2614
Target: 2379
Trent Ltd: Breakout or Fakeout?Trent Ltd: Breakout or Fakeout? Someone’s positioning — the question is which side.
Trent Ltd remains one of the more resilient players in India’s retail landscape. While broader consumer sentiment remains mixed, the company continues expanding its footprint, especially through its Westside stores and fashion vertical. Recent earnings have been stable, and institutional interest appears to be creeping back in — confirmed by a steady rise in volume.
Technically, we’re at a decision point. Price is testing a major descending trendline drawn from the all-time highs. So far, no breakout — but signs of accumulation are building. All major EMAs (50/100/200) are below the price, putting buyers firmly in control. Volume is rising on bullish candles, with no signs of distribution. RSI is holding above 50, climbing steadily, and showing a healthy impulse without overheating — plenty of room left for upside.
The key setup: wait for a confirmed breakout above the trendline, then a retest, and only after that consider entering. Targets, based on Fibonacci levels, line up cleanly:
tp1: 6337.60 (0.618)
tp2: 7484.65 (1.0)
tp3: 8301.40 (1.272)
Until then — this is a watching game, not a trading one. Momentum is building, the structure is clean — but confirmation is king.
Gold poised to edge higherI expect Gold to retest recent highs. The currrent US administration is very unpredictable and this creates uncertainty in the markets. Since Gold is a safe Haven it stands to reason that people/nations will choose to hold Gold in their reserves creating a higher demand for old Gold.
AMC ENTERTAINMENT HOLDINGS STOCK.WEEKLY / DAILY ANALYSIS.Hello ladies and gentleman.The intrinsic value of one AMC stock under the base case scenario is 10.4 USD. Compared to the current market price of 3.35 USD, AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc is undervalued by 68%.so the is a great probability long to 5 usd.
ES Futures-Weekly OutlookCME_MINI:ES1!
Fundamentals and Economic Calendar
Data Recap:
• Friday: 06/06/2025
o US Non-Farm Payrolls (May) 139k vs. Exp. 130k (Prev. 177k, Rev. 147k)
o US Unemployment Rate (May) 4.2% vs. Exp. 4.2% (Prev. 4.2%)
o US Average Earnings YY (May) 3.9% vs. Exp. 3.7% (Prev. 3.8%, Rev. 3.9%)
• Overnight Monday: 06/09/2025
o Chinese Trade Balance (USD)(May) 103.22B vs. Exp. 101.3B (Prev. 96.18B)
o Chinese Exports YY (USD)(May) 4.8% vs. Exp. 5.0% (Prev. 8.1%)
o Chinese Imports YY (USD)(May) -3.4% vs. Exp. -0.9% (Prev. -0.2%)
o Chinese CPI MM (May) -0.2% vs. Exp. -0.2% (Prev. 0.1%)
o Chinese PPI YY (May) -3.3% vs. Exp. -3.2% (Prev. -2.7%)
o Chinese CPI YY (May) -0.1% vs. Exp. -0.2% (Prev. -0.1%)
Looking ahead this week on the calendar, notable economic data releases are as follows:
• Wednesday: 06/11/2025
o US CPI YoY (May)
o US CPI MoM (May)
o US 10 year Note Auction
• Thursday: 06/12/2025
o US PPI MoM (May)
o US PPI YoY (May)
o US 30 year Bond Auction
• Friday: 06/13/2025
o Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Jun)P
o Michigan 1-year and 5-year Inflation Expectations (Jun)P
On the trade and tariff front, we have China-US trade talks continuing in the UK today. The Chinese Vice Premier is visiting the UK from June 8th-13th.
There has been progress made which is visible in terms of China relaxing export controls on rare earth minerals and President Trump stating that they are very far advanced on the China deal ahead of high level talks in London today.
The FED is in a blackout period until the FOMC meeting. Trade, tariffs, and geopolitical risks still need to be monitored.
Technical:
What has the market done?
With NQ leading, ES has also reclaimed yearly open. It held above yearly open in the overnight session.
What is it trying to do?
Climb higher, overlapping bars and yearly VPOC shifting higher denote acceptance at higher prices.
How good of a job is it doing?
Overlapping bars, headline risks and leveraged positions also point towards potential for prices moving lower before resuming higher or remaining range bound. TACO acronym traders may be in for max pain.
What is more likely to happen from here?
Given the data above, we would iterate given our previous explanation that recent data including CPI, PPI, Trade imports, exports is skewed due to trade tensions and this being reflected in business and consumer behavior. FED is likely to remain on hold while it waits and averages out the impact on growth, inflation and labor market.
Scenario 1: Push higher
Prices continue to push higher, if CPI comes in lower than expected, this may prompt a short-term continuation higher.
Scenario 2: Range bound
Markets remain in wait and see mode this week having climbed above yearly open. Markets build value higher and we expect VPOC to shift higher too.
Scenario 3: Sell-off
A mix of factors could e.g., trade talks stalling, weaker than expected US 10 year and 30 year auctions could foreshadow cracks appearing in the bonds market. This may fuel a wider sell-off if yields climb back higher.
Glossary:
ES - emini-S&P 500 Futures
NQ - emini-NASDAQ 100 Futures
VPOC - Volume Point of Control: The most traded price by volume in a given range. Represents acceptance or consensus
$XRP / USDT Daily Chart 🚨 CRYPTOCAP:XRP / USDT Daily Chart
✅ Breakout from long-term descending channel
✅ Currently trading at $2.25 (+326%)
✅ Bullish retest holding strong
📈 Next target zone: $2.80 – $3.00
A confirmed breakout here could trigger the next big move.
Momentum building — breakout watch ON!
$CNIRYY -China CPI (May/2025)ECONOMICS:CNIRYY
May/2025
source: National Bureau of Statistics of China
- China's consumer prices dropped by 0.1% yoy in May 2025, matching the declines seen in the previous two months and slightly outperforming expectations of a 0.2% decrease.
This was the fourth straight month of consumer deflation, highlighting challenges from ongoing trade risks with the US, sluggish domestic demand, and concerns over job stability. Non-food prices were flat for the second month in a row, as increases in housing (0.1% vs 0.1% in April), clothing (1.5% vs. 1.3%), healthcare (0.3% vs 0.2%), and education (0.9% vs 0.7%) were offset by a sharper drop in transport (-4.3% vs -3.9%).
On the food side, prices fell at a steeper rate (-0.4% vs -0.2%), down for the fourth month.
Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and fuel prices, rose 0.6%, marking the highest reading since January and following a 0.5% gain in the prior two months.
On a monthly basis, the CPI declined by 0.2% in May, reversing a 0.1% gain in April and indicating the third monthly drop so far this year.
S&P 500 Index (SPX) Weekly TF – 2025
Chart Context:
Tools Used: 3 Fibonacci Tools:
1. One **Fibonacci retracement** (from ATH to bottom)
2. Two **Trend-Based Fibonacci Extensions**
* Key Levels and Zones:
* **Support Zone** (Fib Confluence): \~4,820–5,100
* **Support Area (shallow pullback)**: \~5,500–5,600
* **Resistance & TP Zones:**
* TP1: **6,450** (Fib confluence & -61.8%)
* TP2: **6,840** (-27%)
* TP3: **7,450–7,760** (Major Confluence)
Technical Observations:
* SPX is approaching a **critical resistance** near previous ATH (\~6,128) with projected upward trajectory.
* The **green dashed path** suggests a rally continuation from current \~6,000 levels to TP1 (\~6,450), TP2 (\~6,840), and eventually TP3 (\~7,450–7,760), IF no major macro shock hits.
* The **purple dotted path** suggests a potential retracement first to \~5,600 (shallow correction) or deeper into \~5,120 or even 4,820 zone before continuing the bullish rally.
* The major support zone around **4,820–5,120** includes key Fib retracement levels (38.2% and 61.8%) from both extensions and historical breakout levels.
Fundamental Context:
* US economy shows **resilience** amid soft-landing narrative, though inflation remains sticky.
* The **Federal Reserve** is expected to cut rates in **Q3–Q4 2025**, boosting equity valuations.
* Liquidity expansion and dovish outlook support risk assets, including **equities and crypto**.
* However, **AI-driven tech rally** may be overstretched; a correction could follow earnings disappointments or macro surprises (e.g., jobs or CPI shocks).
Narrative Bias & Scenarios:
**Scenario 1 – Correction Before Rally (Purple Path)**
* If SPX faces macro pushback (e.g., high CPI, hawkish Fed), expect retracement to:
* 5,600 = Fib -23.6% zone
* 5,120–4,820 = Major Fib Confluence Zone
* These would act as **accumulation zones**, setting up next leg up toward TP1 and beyond.
* **Effect on Gold**: May rise temporarily due to risk-off move.
* **Effect on Crypto**: Could stall or correct, especially altcoins.
**Scenario 2 – Straight Rally (Green Path)**
* If Fed confirms cuts and macro remains soft:
* SPX breaks ATH (\~6,128)
* Hits TP1 (\~6,450), TP2 (\~6,840)
* Eventually reaches confluence at **TP3 (7,450–7,760)**
* **Effect on Gold**: May struggle; investor preference for equities.
* **Effect on Crypto**: Strong risk-on appetite, altseason continuation.
Indicators Used:
* 3 Fibonacci levels (retracement + 2 extensions)
* Trendlines (macro and local)
* Confluence mapping
Philosophical/Narrative Layer:
This phase of the market resembles a test of collective confidence. Equity markets nearing ATHs while monetary easing begins reflect a fragile optimism. The Fibonacci levels act as narrative checkpoints — psychological as much as mathematical. Will we rally on faith or fall for rebalancing?
Bias & Strategy Implication:
Bias: Bullish with caution
* Strategy:
* Await **confirmation breakout >6,128** for fresh long entries
* Accumulate on dips in the **5,100–5,500** zone if correction unfolds
* Use **TP1, TP2, TP3** as staged exits
Related Reference Charts:
* BTC.D Analysis – Bearish Bias:
* TOTAL:Bullish Bias
*TOTAL3 – Bullish Bias:
* US10Y Yield – Falling Bias Impact:https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/chart/US10Y/45w6qkWl-US10Y-10-Year-Treasury-Yield-Weekly-TF-2025/
PEPE - Last bullish wave PEPE is reaching a solid level presented in green rectangle.
I believe this level will attract investors for the following reasons :
Technicals :
PEPE reached a solid support level presented in green line.
Price action :
- Recent correction of -35% wich is very high compared to the BTC correction.
Beyond technicals :
- Very strong community
- Meme coin had it's bullish time and reached very high fomo levels. I think the next bullish wave will be limited to the red box I present in the chart.
Market sentiment :
The investors will dump their coins as well as the bullish move will come. The are now sitting on enormous amount of profits.
Recap :
- Risks : bad news , whales dumping , ...
- Main Target : +71%