Injective INJ price analysis🔼 We saw an infographic showing that the #Injective ecosystem currently ranks second in terms of capital inflow and retention. (First place goes to #Ethereum CRYPTOCAP:ETH with a threefold lead.)
🕯 Now let's check this information on the OKX:INJUSDT price chart, and we can see that there is indeed “buyer power”. After two months of growth, the price of #INJUSD is now adjusting quite moderately.
🍿 So, if #Injective is “preparing something really interesting” for the summer, then the price of their #INJ token should not fall below $10.
From there, it will be possible to organize “modest” growth, at least up to $27.
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Fundamental Analysis
XAUUSD Analysis – From Bullish Momentum to Target🔍 Overview:
Gold has officially broken its ascending trendline, signaling a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish. This trendline acted as dynamic support for days, but its breakdown has opened the doors to potential downside movement. We're now in a phase where lower highs and lower lows are forming — a classic bearish signal.
📌 Key Levels & Price Zones:
🔻 Trendline Breakdown
A strong upward trendline was broken, confirming that bullish momentum has weakened. The trendline break was followed by aggressive bearish candles, signaling that sellers are gaining strength.
🔄 SR Interchange Zone (~3,322 – 3,330)
This area once acted as strong support and has now flipped to resistance. It’s a key level to watch for rejections or false breakouts. As long as the price stays below it, the bias remains bearish.
🔽 Mini Support Zone (~3,345 – 3,350)
A weak support area that could be retested. If price fails to hold above it, sellers will likely take over again.
⚠️ Minor CHoCH (~3,290)
This level marks the short-term structure shift. A breakdown here will confirm continuation to the downside. A short opportunity might present itself below this zone.
🌀 Next Reversal Zone (~3,275 – 3,280)
A potential demand area. Watch how the price reacts — this is where bulls might step in temporarily for a bounce or consolidation.
🚨 Major CHoCH (~3,265)
This is a critical support level. If it breaks, the entire bullish structure from early June is invalidated, opening the door to deeper retracement.
📈 Forecast Path:
Based on the price projection:
Expect lower highs to form.
If bearish momentum continues, we could see a breakdown below Minor CHoCH, targeting the Next Reversal Zone.
A clean break below 3,265 would signal a major trend change, confirming bearish control.
📊 Trade Ideas:
🔻 Short-Term Bearish Scenario:
Look for price to reject the SR Interchange or Mini Support zones.
Entry: After confirmation below 3,330
Targets: 3,290 → 3,275 → 3,265
SL: Above 3,350
🔼 Bullish Bounce Scenario:
If price reaches 3,275 and forms bullish confirmation (engulfing candle, divergence), we might see a short-term reversal.
Entry: On bullish candle close from support zone
Target: Back to 3,322 or higher
📅 Upcoming Events to Watch:
There are several U.S. economic data releases coming this week (marked on the chart). These can create sharp moves in XAUUSD, so manage your risk wisely.
✅ Final Thoughts:
Gold is at a key turning point. The breakdown from the trendline is significant, and structure now favors sellers — unless bulls reclaim critical levels. Wait for confirmation before entering, and always trade with proper risk management.
📌 Follow for more clean chart breakdowns, updates, and trade setups!
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 9, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) is rising at the start of the new week, reacting to upward revisions to Japan's first quarter GDP data. This comes amid signs of rising inflation in Japan and confirmation of bets that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates, which in turn provides a slight boost to the JPY. In addition, a modest decline in the US Dollar (USD) is putting some downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair during the Asian session.
For now, the Yen appears to have broken a two-day losing streak against its US counterpart, although traders may refrain from aggressive directional bets ahead of key US-China trade talks in London. In addition, stronger-than-expected US jobs data released on Friday dampened hopes that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates soon this year, which could serve as a tailwind for the dollar and limit USD/JPY pair losses.
Trade recommendation: SELL 143.85, SL 144.85, TP 141.85
New Week New Trades with Pinex CaptialWe have built a strong zone on the Dax where we can expect a reaction downwards if we pay attention to the current topics in the world and we still have the cap that we would like to fill I think this week is the right time for it we are getting weaker and weaker at the ATH so if you want to long watch your money ^^ Cheers
Nothing to Be Afraif Of!- Tesla has historically traded at high valuation multiples—and still does. But since its investor base is driven by excitement for the future and a love for innovation, it's unclear how much those valuation metrics really matter.
- After the first higher low structure following a corrective price wave, Tesla surged as much as 227.60%, before facing selling pressure. We're now tracking the second impulsive wave's retracement, particularly the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci levels.
- Trying to catch the bottom at these levels is pointless. It's better to wait for 2–3 green Heikin Ashi candles and confirmation that these levels are holding.
- Current positions can be held. If you want to sell, go ahead—but remember this: No one has stayed optimistic about Tesla for more than two months. So, there's no need to panic.
GOLD GOLD opens on liquidity demand floor on 15min chart and took 3295-3300 demand floor for uptick as early discussed on other gold chart.
3358-3365 hold a strong supply roof and a double top structure broken neckline will hold buyers @ 3358-3365 .if that layer is respected ,your buy profit will be taken. but if is broken you go long on retest of 3358-3365.
Gold, 10-Year Bond Yield, DXY, and Interest Rate Differential
1.Gold is trading around $3,324 after dipping into 3300-3295 per ounce on Asian session
The price remains elevated compared to historical levels, supported by inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and strong central bank demand.
2. Relationship with 10-Year Bond Yield
The US 10-year Treasury yield is hovering near 4.5%, recently rising amid inflation worries and fiscal uncertainties.the boost from NFP took 10 year yield from 4.3% to 4.58% close of Friday .
Gold has an inverse relationship with real yields (nominal yields minus inflation expectations). Rising nominal yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, generally pressuring gold prices lower.
However, if inflation expectations remain elevated, gold can still hold value as an inflation hedge despite rising nominal yields.
3. Relationship with DXY (US Dollar Index)
Gold and the DXY share a strong negative correlation because gold is priced in USD.
When the dollar strengthens, gold becomes more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and pushing prices down.
Recent dollar strength on demand floor has weighed on gold, but persistent inflation, geopolitical tension ,political instability and safe-haven demand have limited gold’s downside.
4. Interest Rate Differential Impact
The interest rate differential between the US and other major economies affects capital flows and currency valuations, indirectly influencing gold.
Higher US rates relative to other countries tend to strengthen the dollar, pressuring gold. Conversely, narrowing differentials or expectations of Fed rate cuts can weaken the dollar and support gold prices.
Gold prices remain in a higher trading range ($3,000–$3,500) supported by inflation fears, geopolitical risks, and central bank buying.
Near-term pressure may come from rising bond yields and a strong dollar. Critical looks on over bought market would need a correction to set up a new buy rally.
The upcoming U.S. inflation data release on June 11, 2025 and Fed policy signals will be crucial in determining gold’s direction.
Core CPI m/m forecast: 0.3% (previous 0.2%)
CPI m/m forecast: 0.2% (previous 0.2%)
CPI y/y forecast: 2.5% (previous 2.3%)
How the Federal Reserve is likely to react if actual figures exceed forecasts:
(1)Monetary Policy Stance
The Fed’s May 2025 minutes emphasize a data-dependent approach, maintaining the federal funds rate at 4.25%–4.50% while carefully assessing incoming data and risks to inflation and employment.
If inflation prints come in higher than expected, especially core CPI and y/y CPI, it would signal persistent inflation pressures, potentially delaying or reducing the likelihood of imminent rate cuts.
(2)Possible Fed Response
The Fed may adopt a more cautious or hawkish tone in its June 17–18 meeting, signaling readiness to keep rates elevated longer or even consider further tightening if inflation remains sticky.
Policymakers could emphasize the need for “greater confidence” that inflation is on a sustainable downward path before easing monetary policy.
Market expectations for rate cuts later in 2025 could be pushed back or diminished, supporting higher bond yields and a stronger dollar.
(3)Market Implications
A stronger-than-forecast CPI print would likely boost the US dollar (DXY) as markets price in a prolonged high-rate environment.
Treasury yields, especially the 10-year yield, may rise reflecting increased inflation risk and delayed easing.
Conversely, gold and other inflation-sensitive assets may face selling pressure due to higher real yields and dollar strength.
Conclusion
Gold’s price dynamics in June 2025 are shaped by a tug-of-war between rising US 10 year Treasury yields and a strengthening dollar, which weigh on gold, and inflation concerns plus safe-haven demand, which support it. The interest rate differential reinforces dollar strength, typically bearish for gold, but ongoing macro uncertainties keep gold elevated as a strategic asset and store of value.
#gold #dollar
Buying ASTS — Waiting for BreakoutASTS has broken out of a long-term downtrend and is now consolidating in a tight range, forming a base after a strong impulse move. This kind of price action often leads to another breakout, especially when supported by rising volume and EMAs lining up underneath.
I’m buying in this current zone, expecting a breakout from the range and continuation to the upside. I’ll be watching for confirmation through volume spikes and a clean move above resistance. The chart structure looks strong, and the upside potential remains high.
Bitcoin - Bitcoin holds $100,000 support?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and has broken out of its short-term descending channel. We can look for Bitcoin short positions from the supply zone. If this corrective move occurs, we can also look for Bitcoin long positions in the demand zone.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
Bitcoin network transaction activity has dropped to its lowest level since October 2023. According to data from The Block, the seven-day moving average of Bitcoin transactions has recently declined to 317,000—marking the lowest point in the past 19 months. This decline comes at a time when Bitcoin’s price still hovers near its all-time highs.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin Core developers have recently stated that network nodes should not block the relay of low-fee or non-standard transactions if miners are willing to process them. This highlights a shift in Bitcoin’s policy direction and indicates a growing acceptance among some miners of lower-cost transactions.
In certain instances, miners’ appetite for transaction fees appears to have diminished. Mononaut, founder of the Mempool project, pointed out that a transaction with an almost-zero fee was recently included in a block. This could signal reduced network activity or a declining need among miners to prioritize high-fee transactions.
Currently, only 0.3% of American investors’ total assets are allocated to Bitcoin. Real estate dominates their portfolios, followed by bonds and stocks.This means that Bitcoin accounts for a very small portion of U.S. investor wealth. However, if even a small fraction of capital currently tied up in real estate, stocks, or bonds shifts into Bitcoin in the future, it could have a substantial market impact—an encouraging sign over the long term.
The United States has emerged as the dominant force in the Bitcoin ecosystem. A report by River outlines how this dominance has reached its peak. The U.S. holds nearly 40% of the total Bitcoin supply, and American companies account for a staggering 94.8% of public Bitcoin ownership. Additionally, 82% of development funding and approximately 79.2% of Bitcoin ETF ownership originate from the U.S. The country also commands about 36% of the global hash rate.
Since 2021, the total value of Bitcoin mined by American companies has reached $42.6 billion, accompanied by over $30 billion in investment into Bitcoin mining infrastructure. The U.S. now hosts more than 150 Bitcoin-related companies and 40 mining sites with capacities exceeding 10 megawatts.
Today, nearly two-thirds of all Bitcoin in circulation is held by individuals who rarely—or never—sell their coins. In just the last 30 days, roughly 180,000 Bitcoins have been moved to wallets with historically low selling activity. Meanwhile, whales continue to accumulate Bitcoin at price levels above $100,000.
Buying CRCL after IPO — expecting a strong move like SEZLCRCL just hit the market after its IPO and is already showing signs of strength. This setup reminds me a lot of SEZL — after it went public, we saw a strong consolidation phase followed by a confident rally.
Right now, CRCL looks like it’s building a solid base. I'm starting to buy around current levels, expecting demand to grow. As long as the structure holds and buyers stay active, I see a good chance for continuation to the upside.
New IPOs like this often attract attention, and I’m treating it as an early opportunity. Same playbook as SEZL — patience and positioning.
NAS100 - Will the stock market reach its previous ATH!?The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in the specified pattern. In case of a valid break of this range, I expect a new trend to form. It is better to wait for confirmation on the break in order to control further risk.
U.S. President Donald Trump announced that an American delegation will meet with Chinese representatives in London on June 9 to discuss a potential trade agreement. In a post on Truth Social, Trump stated, “I’m pleased to announce that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will meet with Chinese officials on Monday, June 9, 2025, in London to discuss a trade deal.” He added that he expects the meeting to go “very well.” U.S. stock markets rose on Friday, and Chinese markets are now following suit. The Hang Seng Index has reached its highest level since March.
Meanwhile, Amazon has completely halted its hiring budget for office workers in its core retail business. This decision applies only to white-collar staff and excludes warehouse employees and those in its cloud computing division. According to Business Insider, which cited internal company emails, the hiring freeze affects Amazon’s online marketplace, logistics operations, and grocery business.
Having doubled its workforce between 2019 and 2021 to 1.6 million, Amazon reduced that number to 1.55 million last year. Since late 2022, the e-commerce giant has laid off at least 27,000 employees.
This move comes as the U.S. jobs report released Friday helped ease some concerns, though signs of broader economic challenges remain. Experts suggest that such a hiring freeze could reflect broader economic trends—where mass layoffs are avoided, but hiring slows down significantly.
In May, the U.S. economy added 139,000 jobs, down from 147,000 in April. The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2%, staying within the narrow range it has held over the past year. The labor market has remained resilient, dismissing fears that tariffs would cause a significant slowdown. So far, tariff-related disruptions have not been severe enough to destabilize the job market—at least not in May.
Data indicates that employers continue to refrain from layoffs, even as hiring has slowed considerably compared to the post-pandemic surge. Labor market analysts expect signs of weakness to emerge in the coming months, as businesses become more cautious about hiring due to uncertainty surrounding tariffs—according to recent surveys. For now, however, the labor market remains strong.
The absence of red flags in employment may give the Federal Reserve more room to maintain its patient stance on interest rate cuts. This year, Fed officials have kept interest rates higher than average to curb inflation by increasing borrowing costs. The Fed’s dual mandate is to keep inflation low and employment high, and it may opt to cut rates to stimulate the economy if the labor market weakens.Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other FOMC members have said they are waiting to see whether President Trump’s trade wars will stoke inflation, trigger job losses, or both. So far, neither scenario has materialized. Strong labor market data may give them further justification to stay in wait-and-see mode. Rosner wrote, “Given the Fed’s sharp focus on inflation risk management, today’s stronger-than-expected jobs report is unlikely to alter its patient approach. We expect the Fed to remain on hold at this month’s meeting and believe further deterioration
Bearishness Persist in Soybeans Despite Rebound HopesSince mid-May, soybean prices have traded sideways, whipsawed by weather shifts, trade tensions, and fluctuating demand cues.
Soybean prices began rallying on May 19, driven by optimism over U.S. trade deals, crop damage in Argentina from heavy rains, and strong soybean oil prices.
However, the momentum soon faded as U.S.-EU trade tensions resurfaced. Prices came under further pressure from weak export demand, rising competition from South America, and bearish U.S. biofuel mandates.
By 02/Jun, soybeans had fallen to a six-week low, weighed down by favorable U.S. crop weather, improved Brazilian production forecasts, and renewed U.S.-China tensions.
Over the last week, Bean prices inched higher, supported by firmer soybean oil prices and hopes of renewed US-China trade talks.
However, sentiment remains cautious amid policy uncertainty and robust planting progress. According to USDA data , 84% of the U.S. soybean crop was planted as of 1/Jun, above the five-year average of 80%.
TECHNICALS SIGNAL PERSISTENT BEARISH TREND WITH SLIGHT CHANCES OF A REVERSAL
On 2/Jun, soybean futures formed a bearish death cross, signalling potential downside momentum. Although prices have since rebounded, bearishness persists with the 21-day MA acting as a strong resistance.
The MACD reflects ongoing but easing bearish momentum, while the RSI sits just below its 14-day average, close to the neutral zone. These indicators suggest that price momentum is currently subdued.
OPTIONS DATA POINT TO MIXED SENTIMENT
For the week ending 27/May, Managed Money’s net long positioning in soybean futures surged by 190%, reflecting a 12.9% gain in longs and a 10% fall in shorts.
Despite the recent pullback in futures, skew (Up Var minus Down Var) has reached a YTD high, signalling higher demand for calls relative to puts.
Source: CME CVOL
Open Interest (“OI”) trends over the past week point to increased bearish positioning, with near-term contracts showing a notable rise in put OI. Longer-dated contracts reflect a similar pattern, although contracts expiring in July (OZSN5) and September (OZSU5) were notable exceptions.
Source: CME QuikStrike
HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP
Despite some bullish drivers (US-China trade talks & Argentina crop risks), bearish forces prevail. These include strong US bean planting, improved Brazil forecasts, policy uncertainty, and rising put open interest in the near term.
Traders can express this view using CME Micro Soybean Futures, which are sized at one-tenth of standard contracts. This allows for a cost-effective way to express a short-term bullish stance.
Considering these dynamics, this paper posits a short position on CME Micro Soybean August futures (MZSQ25, expiring on 25/Jul).
• Entry: USc 1,048.5/Bushel
• Potential Profit: USc 1,027/Bushel (1,048.5 – 1,027 = 21.5) x 500/100 = USD 107.5
• Stop-Loss: USc 1,062/Bushel (1,048.5 – 1,062 = -13.5) x 500/100 = USD 67.5
• Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 1.6x
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MARKET DATA
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This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
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Monday Market Outlook Get ahead of the markets with this week’s essential macro insights! In this session, we break down the most impactful upcoming events affecting DXY, XAUUSD, and BTCUSD — including the FedWatch Tool outlook, yield curve shifts, and how to interpret changing rate expectations. If you want to understand how the macro backdrop could influence your trades, this video is a must-watch.
👉 Learn how to spot opportunities before the move happens.
📉 Rate cut? 📈 Rate hike? 📊 We’ll show you what the market is really pricing in.
BA Weekly Options Play – 2025-06-10🧾 BA Weekly Options Play – 2025-06-10
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Timeframe: 5 trading days
Catalysts: Short-term exhaustion signals despite positive news
Trade Type: Single-leg PUT option
🧠 Model Summary Table
Model Direction Strike Entry Price Target Stop Loss Confidence
Grok Bullish 217.50C $0.79 $1.19 $0.40 65%
Claude Bearish 205.00P $0.95 $1.50–2.00 $0.50 72%
Llama Bearish 205.00P $0.95 $1.14 $0.48 70%
Gemini Bearish 202.50P $0.55 $1.00–1.10 $0.25 65%
DeepSeek Bearish 205.00P $0.95 $1.90 $0.47 60%
✅ Consensus: Moderately Bearish
📉 Setup: Tactical mean-reversion play from overbought RSI and MACD divergence
⚠️ Outlier: Grok sees bullish continuation toward $217.50 (minority view)
🔍 Technical & Sentiment Recap
Short-Term: 5-min RSI ~88 (overbought), price hugging upper Bollinger Band
Daily Chart: MACD bearish divergence or slowing momentum
Sentiment: Mixed headlines—China aircraft deliveries positive, but max pain at $207.50 acts as gravitational pull
VIX: Low (≈16.8), suggesting limited volatility but a stable short bias
✅ Final Trade Recommendation
Parameter Value
Instrument BA
Strategy Weekly naked put
Strike $205.00
Entry Price $0.95 (ask)
Profit Target $1.50 (≈58% gain)
Stop-Loss $0.50 (≈47% premium loss)
Size 1 contract (risk ≤2% of account)
Entry Timing At market open
Confidence 70%
🎯 Rationale: Consensus expects BA to retrace from short-term overbought condition back toward max pain zone (~$207.50). Four out of five models favor put option setups.
⚠️ Risk Factors
A strong gap above $211.50 invalidates short thesis → cut immediately
Strong fundamentals (China fleet growth, aviation sector strength) could support further upside
VIX staying low = slow downside → puts may decay rapidly
Use limit order on open to manage slippage risk
📊 TRADE DETAILS SNAPSHOT
🎯 Instrument: BA
🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT)
🎯 Strike: 205.00
💵 Entry Price: 0.95
🎯 Profit Target: 1.50
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.50
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
📏 Size: 1 contract
📈 Confidence: 70%
⏰ Entry Timing: open
🕒 Signal Time: 2025-06-08 16:10:44 EDT
TEM Weekly Options Play – 2025-06-10🧾 TEM Weekly Options Play – 2025-06-10
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Timeframe: 5 trading days
Catalysts: Positive fundamentals, stable macro, bullish option flow
Trade Type: Single-leg CALL option
🧠 Model Summary Table
Model Direction Strike Entry Price Target Stop Loss Confidence
Grok Bullish 63.00C $2.45 $3.68 $1.72 65%
Claude Bullish 65.00C $1.70 $3.00 $0.85 72%
Llama Bullish 63.00C $2.30 $2.76 $2.07 70%
Gemini Bullish 68.00C $1.05 $2.00 $0.50 65%
DeepSeek Bullish 63.00C $2.40 $4.80 $1.20 70%
✅ Consensus: Moderately Bullish
📈 Core Setup: Trend continuation after short-term consolidation
⚠️ Outlier: Gemini sees breakout only above $68, targeting aggressive upside
🔍 Technical & Sentiment Recap
Trend: Daily uptrend intact across all models; short-term consolidation on 5m
Momentum: Mixed MACD and RSI readings—daily bullish, short-term still cooling
Sentiment: Falling VIX + positive earnings/news cycle favor upside
Options Flow: Max pain at $62 provides cushion; calls dominating OI above $63
✅ Final Trade Recommendation
Parameter Value
Instrument TEM
Strategy Weekly naked call
Strike $65.00
Entry Price $1.80 (ask)
Profit Target $3.00 (~67% gain)
Stop-Loss $0.90 (~50% risk)
Size 1 contract
Entry Timing At market open
Confidence 72%
🎯 Rationale: $65 call offers balanced leverage, high open interest (799), and aligns with Claude’s mid-week breakout thesis. Models converge on a bullish lean with manageable risk-reward.
⚠️ Risk Factors
5m chart bearish MACD may delay breakout
Price may hover near max pain ($62) early in week
Unexpected legal or macro news could reverse sentiment
Liquidity risk in thin spreads—use limit orders for entry/exit
📊 TRADE DETAILS SNAPSHOT
🎯 Instrument: TEM
🔀 Direction: CALL (LONG)
🎯 Strike: 65.00
💵 Entry Price: 1.80
🎯 Profit Target: 3.00
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.90
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
📏 Size: 1 contract
📈 Confidence: 72%
⏰ Entry Timing: open
🕒 Signal Time: 2025-06-08 16:04:57 EDT
BABA Weekly Options Play – 2025-06-10🧾 BABA Weekly Options Play – 2025-06-10
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Timeframe: 5 trading days
Catalysts: Weakening momentum, max pain gravity, fading upside catalysts
Trade Type: Single-leg PUT option
🧠 Model Summary Table
Model Direction Strike Entry Price Target Stop Loss Confidence
Grok Bullish 125.00C $0.77 $1.16 $0.385 65%
Claude Bearish 117.00P $1.75 $2.63 $1.23 65%
Llama Bearish 119.00P $2.85 $3.42 $2.28 65%
Gemini Bullish 125.00C $0.77 $1.35 $0.38 68%
DeepSeek Bearish 114.00P $0.79 $1.19 $0.55 70%
✅ Consensus: Moderately Bearish
📉 Core Setup: Downside pullback toward $115–118 support zone
⚠️ Outlier: Gemini and Grok see potential call upside on sentiment rebound
🔍 Technical & Sentiment Recap
Trend: Mixed structure—price stuck between declining intraday EMAs and longer-term resistances
Momentum: Bearish MACD and RSI signals across M5 & daily on 3/5 models
Sentiment: VIX 16.8 (neutral), Max Pain at $118 = gravitational anchor
Options Flow: Heavy call OI near $124–125 (potential cap); Put flows dominate below $118
✅ Final Trade Recommendation
Parameter Value
Instrument BABA
Strategy Single-leg PUT (weekly)
Strike $115.00
Entry Price $1.13 (ask)
Profit Target $1.70 (~50% gain)
Stop-Loss $0.79 (~30% loss)
Size 1 contract
Entry Timing At market open
Confidence 65%
🎯 Rationale: Favorable risk-reward in short-dated put to capture downside drift toward $115 zone. Models align around a modest pullback, driven by technical weakness and lack of fresh bullish catalysts.
⚠️ Risk Factors
Sharp bounce from short-term oversold RSI
Sudden news catalyst (AI/cloud deal, macro relief) could fuel call side squeeze
Weekly options decay accelerates sharply by Thursday
Max pain shift or volatility compression could mute movement
📊 TRADE DETAILS SNAPSHOT
🎯 Instrument: BABA
🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT)
🎯 Strike: 115.00
💵 Entry Price: 1.13
🎯 Profit Target: 1.70
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.79
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
📏 Size: 1 contract
📈 Confidence: 65%
⏰ Entry Timing: open
🕒 Signal Time: 2025-06-08 23:55:22 EDT
Gold Price XAU/USD: Downtrend and OpportunitiesGold FX:XAUUSD Price XAU/USD Analysis Today: Downtrend Signals, What Opportunities for Investors? Updated at 13:57 on 09/06/2025 (+07) - The 1-hour trading view chart for the XAU/USD (Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar) pair indicates that gold prices are experiencing a significant decline, drawing attention from investors. Let’s dive into a detailed analysis of the current trend and short-term outlook based on the latest data.
Current Gold Price and Recent Movements According to the chart, the spot gold price is currently fluctuating around 3.322.44 USD/ounce, down 0.24% in the latest trading session (as of 13:56 UTC-7). The highest point in the past hour reached 3.323.020 USD, while the lowest was 3.312.570 USD. A clear downtrend began from a local peak near 3.344.70 USD, with dominant red candlesticks reflecting strong selling pressure.
Technical Analysis Support and Resistance: The nearest support level is around 3.300 USD, where the price may find buying interest to rebound. The next key resistance level is 3.350 USD, a threshold that the price has failed to break in the recent session. If selling pressure persists, a deeper support level could be 3.280 USD. Trading Volume: Trading volume spiked during the decline, particularly between 6 AM and 7 AM (UTC), indicating significant participation from investors offloading their positions. Market Momentum: The price is currently below the short-term moving average, signaling a bearish trend in the short term. However, if the price holds above 3.300 USD, it could open opportunities for a recovery toward 3.330-3.350 USD. Factors Influencing Gold Prices Recent U.S. economic data, particularly the non-farm payrolls report, may be the primary driver behind the pressure on gold prices. A stronger U.S. dollar and rising bond yields have reduced gold’s appeal. Additionally, global market sentiment, including geopolitical factors and the upcoming CPI data release on June 11, 2025, will also impact the next trend.
Outlook and Investment Suggestions Short-Term: With the current decline, investors might consider buying in the support zone of 3.300 USD if reversal signals appear (e.g., a strong bullish candlestick or increased buying volume). However, caution is advised if the price breaks below 3.280 USD. Long-Term: The bullish trend for gold remains intact due to demand from central banks and its role as a safe-haven asset. This could be an opportunity to accumulate if the price corrects further. Conclusion The XAU/USD gold price is facing downward pressure in today’s trading session, but the 3.300 USD support level is a critical point to watch closely. Investors should combine technical analysis with economic news to make informed decisions. Stay updated regularly to seize opportunities in this volatile market!
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SELL NAS100This is my analysis of NAS100. These are the sell confirmations:
1. Doble top
2. Double top aligned with Fair Value Gap
3. Currently retesting the neckline of the double top
4. The trendline has been touched 3 times and therefore it is a weak trendline. It will be broken.
5. Please do not follow my take profit positions - when your profits make you smile, close the trade.
Trade what you see and not what you feel!
MSFT Weekly Options Play – 2025-06-09🧾 MSFT Weekly Options Play – 2025-06-09
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Timeframe: 5–6 days
Catalysts: Overbought RSI, weakening momentum, technical divergences
Trade Type: Single-leg put option
🧠 Model Summary Table
Model Direction Strike Entry Price Target Stop Loss Confidence
Grok Bearish 457.50P $0.76 $1.14 $0.19 65%
Claude Bearish 460.00P $1.03 $1.55 $0.72 70%
Gemini Bearish 457.50P $0.75 $1.20 $0.38 65%
DeepSeek Bearish 470.00P $3.65 $5.48 $2.56 70%
Llama Slightly Bullish 472.50C $3.15 $3.78 $2.83 68%
✅ Consensus: Short-term bearish trade setup
📉 Core Setup: Reversal from overbought with MACD divergence
⚠️ Outlier: Llama prefers bullish call due to longer-term trend strength
🔍 Technical & Sentiment Recap
Trend: Overextended rally, RSI (78.2) = overbought
Momentum: MACD shows bearish divergence on daily; 5-min weak
Sentiment: VIX ~16.7 = stable but cautious; mixed AI news & max pain at $460
Max Pain: $460 implies gravitational pull; current price may pull back
Volatility: Option premiums reflect narrow range, but directional edge favors downside
✅ Final Trade Recommendation
Parameter Value
Instrument MSFT
Strategy Single-leg PUT (weekly)
Strike $457.50
Entry Price $0.76 (ask)
Profit Target $1.22 (~60% gain)
Stop-Loss $0.38 (50% premium loss)
Size 1 contract
Entry Timing At market open
Confidence 65%
🎯 Rationale: Near-term exhaustion of upside, short-term technical reversal, and profit-taking setup with favorable risk/reward.
⚠️ Risk Checklist
Strong trend continuation could invalidate pullback thesis
Low VIX may reduce option gamma/velocity
Sector-wide positive catalyst (AI or rate cuts) can cause rapid rebound
Watch for closes above 10-EMA (~$461) to exit early if invalidated
📊 TRADE DETAILS SNAPSHOT
🎯 Instrument: MSFT
🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT)
🎯 Strike: 457.50
💵 Entry Price: 0.76
🎯 Profit Target: 1.22
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.38
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
📏 Size: 1 contract
📈 Confidence: 65%
⏰ Entry Timing: open
🕒 Signal Time: 2025-06-09 01:44:06 EDT
NBIS Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-09🧾 NBIS Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-09
Bias: Moderately to Strongly Bullish
Timeframe: 3–4 weeks
Catalysts: AI sector strength + institutional buying + momentum breakout
Trade Type: Long equity (shares)
🧠 Model Summary Table
Model Direction Entry Price Stop-Loss Target Price Risk Size Confidence
DS Long $48.28 $44.50 $54.00 1% of account 70%
LM Long $48.50 $46.08 $55.75 ≤5% of account 80%
GK Long $48.28 $43.80 $57.90 2% on $10K 70%
GM Long $48.28 $43.80 $57.90 2% on $10K 75%
CD Short $48.30 $50.50 $42.75 2–3% of account 72%
✅ Consensus: Long bias (4 out of 5)
📈 Core Setup: Trend-following continuation play
⚠️ Outlier: CD favors a tactical short due to overbought RSI
🔍 Technical & Sentiment Recap
Trend: Strong bullish across M30 / Daily / Weekly timeframes
Momentum: RSI Daily (82.9) & Weekly (71.9) → overbought
Volume: 199% above average = strong institutional interest
Volatility: VIX ~16.8 = low risk-on environment
Narrative: AI/Nvidia tailwinds + hedge fund accumulation
✅ Final Trade Recommendation
Parameter Value
Instrument NBIS
Strategy LONG (shares)
Entry Price $48.28
Stop-Loss $44.50
Take-Profit $55.75
Holding Period 3–4 weeks
Size 44 shares (on $10K portfolio, ~2% risk)
Confidence 75%
Entry Timing Market open
🎯 Rationale: Riding strong institutional buying, macro tailwinds, and multi-timeframe bullish trend.
⚠️ Risk Checklist
Overbought RSI may lead to temporary consolidation
Bollinger upper band breakout suggests volatility ahead
Sentiment cooling around AI/Nvidia could slow rally
Broader market volatility (e.g., VIX spike > 20) could reverse trend
📊 TRADE DETAILS SNAPSHOT
🎯 Instrument: NBIS
📈 Direction: LONG
💵 Entry Price: 48.28
🛑 Stop Loss: 44.50
🎯 Take Profit: 55.75
📊 Size: 44 shares
💪 Confidence: 75%
⏰ Entry Timing: open
ACHR Weekly Trade Plan – 2025-06-09🧾 ACHR Weekly Trade Plan – 2025-06-09
Bias: Moderately to Strongly Bullish
Timeframe: 1 week
Catalysts: eVTOL momentum + hedge fund exposure + technical breakout
Trade Type: Long call, short-duration swing
🧠 Model Summary Table
Model Direction Entry Price Strike Option Type Target Stop Confidence
Grok Moderately Bullish $0.34 $10.50 Call $0.51 (+50%) $0.15 65%
Claude Moderately Bullish $0.34 $10.50 Call $0.51 (+50%) $0.20 68%
Gemini Moderately Bullish ~$0.34 $10.50 Call $0.60 (+75%) $0.17 70%
Llama Cautious Bullish $0.60 $10.00 Call $0.90 (+50%) $0.30 70%
DeepSeek Strongly Bullish $0.34 $10.50 Call $0.68 (+100%) $0.17 80%
✅ Consensus: Buy calls targeting $10.50 breakout
📈 Common Trade Theme: Bullish price action supported by falling VIX and positive news
⚠️ Minor Divergence: Strike choice ($10.00 vs $10.50); risk tolerance (41–50% loss)
🔍 Technical & Sentiment Recap
Trend: Price above 5-min/daily EMAs, bullish MACD
Momentum: RSI overbought on 5-min but neutral daily
Volatility: VIX falling (low-risk macro backdrop)
Sector Sentiment: Positive eVTOL headlines + hedge fund inflows
Options Positioning: Max Pain at $10.50; high call OI above current price
✅ Final Trade Recommendation
Parameter Value
Instrument ACHR (Archer Aviation)
Strategy CALL (LONG)
Strike 10.50
Entry Price $0.34 (ask)
Profit Target $0.51 (≈50% gain)
Stop-Loss $0.20 (≈41% loss)
Expiry 2025-06-13 (Weekly)
Size 1 contract
Confidence 70%
Entry Timing Market open
🎯 Rationale: Short-term continuation following bullish breakout and sector strength.
⚠️ Risk Checklist
RSI overbought on short-term may trigger pullback before continuation
Resistance levels $10.20–$10.44 may create rejection
Weekly options decay fast—exit within 1–3 days ideal
Macro/VIX reversal could quickly change risk appetite
📊 TRADE DETAILS SNAPSHOT
🎯 Instrument: ACHR
🔀 Direction: CALL (LONG)
💵 Entry Price: 0.34
🎯 Profit Target: 0.51
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.20
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
📏 Size: 1
📈 Confidence: 70%
⏰ Entry Timing: open
🕒 Signal Time: 2025-06-09 00:29:19 EDT
VZ Weekly Trade Plan – 2025-06-08🧾 VZ Weekly Trade Plan – 2025-06-08
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Timeframe: 1 week
Catalysts: Dividend optimism vs. MACD weakness
Trade Type: Short-term directional put
🧠 Model Summary Table
Model Direction Entry Strike Option Type Target Stop Confidence
Grok Moderately Bullish $0.35 (ask) $44.00 Call $0.70 (100%) $0.175 65%
Claude Moderately Bearish $0.52 (ask) $44.00 Put $0.75–0.78 $0.31 72%
Llama Slightly Bearish $0.29 (ask) $43.50 Put $0.435 (50%) Collapse >$44.50 68%
Gemini Moderately Bearish ~$0.28 (ask) $43.50 Put $0.45–0.50 $0.18 60%
DeepSeek Moderately Bullish $0.35 (ask) $44.00 Call $0.70 (100%) $0.18 65%
✅ Consensus Bias: Slight Bearish Lean (3 of 5 models bearish)
⚠️ Key Disagreements: Directional outlook (calls vs. puts); strike selection; volatility interpretation
🔍 Technical & Sentiment Summary
Trend: VZ is above key EMAs on multiple timeframes
Momentum: RSI neutral (~54); MACD mixed/bearish on intraday; bulls see recovery
Volatility: VIX ~16.8 (low), supporting slow-paced price action
Max Pain: $43.50 (anchor magnet); current price ~ $43.80
Sentiment: Positive dividend news supports bulls; short-term MACD and resistance (44.12) support bears
✅ Final Trade Recommendation
Parameter Value
Instrument VZ (Verizon)
Strategy PUT (SHORT)
Strike 43.50
Entry Price $0.29 (ask)
Profit Target $0.45 (≈55% gain)
Stop-Loss $0.18 (≈38% loss)
Expiration 2025-06-13 (Weekly, 5 DTE)
Size 1 contract
Confidence 67%
Entry Timing Market open
🎯 Rationale: Max pain magnet + weak MACD on multiple intraday timeframes provide opportunity for a quick pullback toward support.
⚠️ Key Risks
Dividend strength may act as a floor near $43.50–$43.60
Break above $44.00 invalidates bearish trade thesis
Gamma risk: late-week price stalling can crush premium
Low volatility could slow down option movement → be time-sensitive
📊 TRADE DETAILS SNAPSHOT
🎯 Instrument: VZ
🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT)
💵 Entry Price: 0.29
🎯 Profit Target: 0.45
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.18
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
📏 Size: 1
📈 Confidence: 67%
⏰ Entry Timing: open
🕒 Signal Time: 2025-06-08 23:35:04 EDT
09/06/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $106,812.33
Last weeks low: $100,372.93
Midpoint: $103,592.63
Billionaire spats and V-shaped recoveries, the beginning of June starts off in an interesting way. As President Trump goes forward with "The big beautiful bill" Elon Musk lets his feelings be known publicly sending shockwaves throughout markets, but what does this mean for Bitcoin?
The bill could add $3-5T in US government spending which is great for risk-on assets as there is more money able to flow into markets. I believe this exact thought process is visible on the chart in the V-shaped recovery we can see on Thursday. A clear sell-off as Elon Musk's anti government spending views clash with the bill, the uncertainty causes a sell the news moment, just as BTC comes into $100,000 the dip is bought up on the realization this means greater inflows are on the way, dips are truly for buying at this stage in the cycle and to me, this proves it.
In a more bearish view of the chart I would say the clear resistance is now weekly high at ~$106,000. Anything above that meets huge selling pressure with price discovery on the other side the market just doesn't seem to have the fuel as of yet to make the next step. However I believe it is just a matter of time and as M2 global money supply grows we get closer and closer to seeing new significant highs.
For this week CPI & PPI take place on Wednesday and Friday respectively. With CPI set to grow from 2.3% to 2.5% according to forecasts it will be interesting to see how markets react, expect short term volatility. Key battlegrounds for me are weekly high and midpoint.
Good luck this week everybody!
Oil Supported by U.S.-China TalksBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
Oil prices continue to show strength after gaining more than 4% last week, despite a slight correction during Monday’s Asian trading session. Brent futures are hovering around $66.43 per barrel, while WTI is trading at $64.52. This price stability reflects the market's anticipation ahead of key trade talks between the United States and China taking place today in London.
Negotiation Context
U.S. officials Scott Bessent (Treasury) and Howard Lutnick (Commerce) will meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng to address sensitive topics such as tariffs, export restrictions, and access to strategic technologies. The uncertainty generated by these ongoing trade tensions has been a major factor pressuring crude prices in recent months, particularly affecting European economies most exposed to foreign trade, such as Germany, Italy, and the Netherlands.
China’s Economic Data
At the same time, European investors are closely watching China’s upcoming economic data. The inflation and trade figures for May, scheduled for release today, may provide a clear signal of the strength of domestic demand in the world’s second-largest economy. A weak China typically translates into lower demand for raw materials, directly impacting oil prices and, consequently, energy-driven inflation across Europe.
OPEC+ Production
Additionally, pressure on oil prices has been amplified by the steady increase in production from OPEC+ so far in 2025. This factor has kept expectations for short-term price rallies in check, especially if Chinese data fails to meet forecasts.
Relevance for Europe
For Europe, these developments are far from being external affairs. The continent's economy—highly dependent on global trade and energy imports—remains particularly sensitive to the outcome of the negotiations. An improvement in trade relations between the two superpowers could ease pressure on global supply chains and, in turn, boost both industrial and energy demand across Europe.
Brent Technical Analysis
As of April 3, Brent crude broke downward out of a long-standing range between $94.5 and $70.45, rebounding twice off the $58.16 lows during April and May. Since then, the price of oil has been steadily recovering, approaching the $66 level. If current pricing drives the asset back into the previous range, we could see a breakout through the lower band and a potential recovery toward the former control zone around $72.5, which coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. The current fluctuation zone spans roughly 25%, leaving considerable room for value recovery. The RSI currently indicates overbought conditions at 59.02%, correcting downward throughout today’s Asian session after peaking at 71.55% on Friday.
Conclusion
In summary, Europe is strategically focused on the London negotiations. The outcome could mark a turning point in global commodity flows and lay the groundwork for greater energy market stability across the continent in the second half of the year.
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