RKLB Weekly Options Trade Plan – 2025-06-07🚀 RKLB Weekly Options Trade Plan – 2025-06-07
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Holding Period: 3–5 trading days
Catalyst: Trump–Musk headline cycle + strong short-term momentum
Timeframe: Expiry June 13, 2025
🔍 Multi-Model Consensus Summary
Model Direction Strike Entry Stop Target(s) Confidence
Grok No Trade – – – – 0%
Claude Long Call $30 $0.76 $0.38 $1.50 75%
Llama Long Call $30 $0.76 $0.57 $1.14 70%
Gemini Long Call $31 $0.49 $0.24 $0.74–$0.98 65%
DeepSeek Long Call $30 $0.76 $0.38 $1.52 70%
✅ Consensus: Buy $30 call expiring 2025-06-13
💬 4 of 5 models bullish; 3 aligned on same strike and premium
⚠️ Max pain at $26 and overbought daily RSI are top risks
📈 Technical Snapshot
Price Trend: Bullish short-term (price > EMAs on 5-min & daily)
RSI: Nearing overbought (RSI ~69)
MACD: Bullish short-term, weakening daily
Resistance: $29.00–$29.50
Support: $28.70–$28.75
✅ Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Instrument RKLB
Direction CALL (LONG)
Strike $30
Entry Price $0.76
Profit Target $1.14 (≈50% gain)
Stop Loss $0.38 (≈50% loss)
Size 1 contract
Expiry 2025-06-13 (Weekly)
Confidence 70%
Entry Timing At market open
⚠️ Key Risks
Max Pain Gravity: $26 could act as price magnet by end of week
Overbought Setup: Daily RSI + Bollinger breach may cap further upside
Exhaustion Signs: Bearish MACD divergence could lead to snap pullback
Momentum Trade: Must act quickly; trail stops if resistance nears
Fundamental Analysis
Waste Management price predictionFundamentally WM stock is proven to be resistant to recession. I have a position on the stock as a hedge against uncertainty it makes up about 15% of my portfolio as of this writing. I am looking to buy more at lower prices since I bought at a premium a couple weeks ago. I will try and hold indefinitely as the other growth stocks I have chosen continue to grow I don't expect much from this boring stock but it makes me feel better to have it in my portfolio than it does not to. The range of the intrinsic value is between $170 - $620.
BRETTUSDT THE MEME COINAre you ready to explore the next big opportunity in the crypto world? Let's dive into BRETTUSDT, a meme coin that's catching the attention of traders and investors alike. 📈
---
🔍 Understanding the Accumulation Model
The "Accumulation Model 1" for BRETTUSDT.P suggests that the coin is currently in a phase where savvy investors are accumulating positions in anticipation of a significant price movement. This model indicates that if BRETT breaks above the $0.05756 resistance level, it could signal the start of a bullish trend. However, if the price falls below the recent low, it might invalidate this bullish setup.
---
📊 Technical Indicators at a Glance
Current Price: Approximately $0.05190 USDT.
Resistance Level: $0.05756 USDT – a breakout above this could indicate a strong upward move.
Support Level: $0.03 USDT – a drop below this might suggest a bearish trend.
Market Sentiment: Neutral, with potential for a bullish shift upon confirmation of the breakout.
---
💡 Trading Strategy
For those considering entering the BRETT market:
Entry Point: Consider entering if the price sustains above the $0.05756 resistance level.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just below the recent low to manage risk.
Take-Profit Targets: Monitor for potential resistance levels at $0.065 and $0.075 USDT.
Remember, always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
---
🌟 Final Thoughts
BRETTUSDT is showing signs of a potential breakout, making it an intriguing option for traders looking to capitalize on meme coin volatility. Keep an eye on the key resistance level of $0.05756 USDT – a decisive move above this could pave the way for significant gains. 🚀
Stay informed and trade wisely! 💹
Bitcoin price prediction for the next 12 monthsMy simple analysis of Bitcoin, please don't hesitate to comment your feedback. Of course this is just drawings on a chart so don't take it too seriously. Hope everyone is having fun with Bitcoin it used to be harder to find assets like this but fintech has made it easier to build wealth.
BITCOIN → Correction. The hunt for liquidity...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is recovering after liquidity was captured in the 100K zone. Locally, the technical situation is controversial despite the global bullish trend
Bitcoin is changing its market character (106700) and breaking the bullish structure (103000) during a correction phase. As part of the downward momentum, the movement is testing liquidity below the 100700 support level. As for the liquidation, there are several reasons: the conflict between Trump and Musk, strangely enough, the market reacted with a fall; the liquidation of whales, history repeats itself...
Traders are buying back Bitcoin, but technically the market has a bearish structure. Locally, there is a bearish trend, and a countertrend correction, “liquidity hunting,” is forming.
Ahead lies a fairly important zone of 105900-106700. The initial retest may end in a false breakout, as there may not be enough potential for continued growth (after a strong buyback).
Resistance levels: 105,900, 106,720, 110,400
Support levels: 103000, 101400, 100K
After a correction from 105900, which could target half (0.5) of the trading range, the market may attempt to return to a bullish phase, provided that the bulls keep the price from falling and do not allow it to update local lows. That is, in the short term, I expect a decline from 105900 to 103000, but further, if the price starts to return to 105500-105900, there may be chances for growth to 110K
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD H1 Outlook – Clean Breakdown, Focused Zones in Play👋 Good afternoon, legends!
Here’s your XAUUSD H1 Outlook + Sniper Plan for June 9, 2025. We’re mid-retrace in a bearish shift, and structure is giving us real opportunities both ways.
📍 Bias: Bearish intraday — structure has shifted, and we’re working inside discount + premium rotations.
🔹 1. 🔍 H1 Structure Summary
Confirmed CHoCH → BOS → LL below 3314.
Price is sweeping the 3308–3300 weak low, sitting in a sensitive zone.
Expect either pullback to supply or continuation into deeper demand.
🔹 2. 📐 Key Intraday Structure Zones
Zone Type Price Range Notes
🔼 Sell Zone #1 3350 – 3365 H1 OB + supply flip + fib confluence
🔼 Sell Zone #2 3378 – 3390 M15 premium sweep + LH trap
🟣 Flip Zone 3324 – 3332 BOS origin + minor FVG — reactive zone
🔽 Buy Zone #1 3275 – 3260 Discount OB + imbalance cluster
🔽 Buy Zone #2 3238 – 3225 Deep structure demand + M30 liquidity pool
🔹 3. 📊 EMA Alignment
EMA5/21 crossed bearish
Price is under EMA50, 100, and 200 → full bearish EMA pressure
Retracements into premium = opportunities to sell with trend
🔹 4. 🧠 Sniper Flow Commentary
Price is currently tapping weak low zone (3308–3300)
If 3314–3332 acts as resistance, we’re in for continued downside flow
Cleanest sell comes from 3350–3365, but any valid rejection from flip zone is still playable short
Only buy if deep discount zones are hit with confirmation — don’t rush longs in bearish flow
⚔️ Intraday Sniper Plan – June 7, 2025
🔼 Sell Zones
3350–3365 → Premium OB and fib rejection zone
3378–3390 → Final sweep zone above LH
🔽 Buy Zones
3275–3260 → First structural OB in deep discount
3238–3225 → Major support from HTF demand stack
🟣 Flip Zone
3324–3332 → Watch for reaction and possible rejections
✅ GoldFxMinds Final Note
It’s not about predicting — it’s about preparing.
Sell the traps. Buy only strength in structure. Let price prove itself before entry.
Stay focused and confident!💬 Drop your chart view below ,follow for more
— GoldFxMinds view💡
XAUUSD Daily Outlook – Premium Pressure & Weak High Trap in Play Hey team!
Hope you’re staying sharp as we close out this NFP week. Here’s your Daily Outlook for XAUUSD — built from clean structure, supply/demand logic, and current price action.
📍 Bias: Neutral → leaning bearish while inside premium rejection zone
🔹 1. 🔍 Daily Structure Overview
Recent CHoCH down after failing to break above the weak high at ~3395.
Price is reacting from premium supply and has now tapped a daily FVG near 3315.
We're in a mid-premium rejection area, with multiple rejections from the 3350–3395 zone.
🔹 2. 📐 Key Daily Zones
Zone Type Price Range Notes
🔼 Premium Supply Trap 3350 – 3395 Weak high, CHoCH zone, FVG, supply OB
🔽 Retracement Demand 3278 – 3262 Clean OB + imbalance zone (FVG)
🔽 Mid-Demand Range 3172 – 3140 Breaker block + daily wick base
🔽 Deep Demand (Discount) 2950 – 3020 Full retracement zone from last BOS
🔹 3. 📊 EMA Context (Daily)
EMA 5/21 cross locked bullish — but starting to curl as momentum slows.
Price is testing EMA21 from above; breakdown below it could invite further retracement.
All EMAs still stacked bullish, but showing early signs of cool-off.
🔹 4. 🔢 Fibonacci Swing
Swing used: 3245 (swing low) → 3395 (current top)
Price is now below 38.2% retracement (~3335)
50% = 3320, 61.8% = 3300 → high confluence in this cluster for potential bounce or breakdown decision.
🔹 5. 📉 RSI Check
RSI diverging slightly from highs → bearish divergence forming
Currently near 58 → leaves room for downside without being oversold
🔹 6. 🌍 Macro Context
NFP Report just released
→ Mixed numbers: NFP weak, unemployment up = mildly bullish gold
CPI incoming – key for inflation outlook and Fed tone
Market uncertain → risk-off flows could favor gold, but rejection from premium likely before CPI clarity
⚔️ Scenarios for June 9 Start
🔽 Bearish Plan (likely early-week setup)
Rejection from 3335–3350 → short trigger zone
TP1 = 3278
TP2 = 3172–3140 (if momentum extends)
🔼 Bullish Continuation
Clean reclaim of 3350 and 3395 breakout → flip into aggressive bullish continuation
Target = 3450–3500 FVG above current ATH
✅ GoldFxMinds Final Note
We’re in the heart of the premium trap — don’t buy blindly into strength. Let price show intent.
⚠️ This week may be a pre-CPI fakeout zone — stay patient, let the structure guide you.
📣 If you’re watching this with us — drop your thoughts in the comments. Are we heading to 3170 first or flipping 3395 clean?
Let’s crush the week,
— GoldFxMinds 💡
US 10Y TREASURY: will the Fed cut?The jobs market data were in the spotlight of investors during the previous week. The major impact came from the non-farm payrolls posted on Friday, which was better than anticipated with 139K new jobs added. The jobs market in the US continues to hold strongly, which impacts investors anticipation of potential Fed's rate cut during the course of this year. Namely, as the Fed has a dual mandate of keeping inflation at targeted level and exercising full employment, the stronger jobs market might impact Fed's decision to hold reference interest rates at current levels for a longer period of time. The CME FedWatch tool is currently anticipating 100% odds that the Fed will hold interest rates steady at their June meeting. The FOMC June meeting is scheduled for 17th-18th.
The jobs data triggered a strong reaction on the US Treasury market. The 10Y US benchmark yields were pushed to the upside on Friday, from 4,32% on Thursday up to 4,50% on Friday. Usually, after such a strong spike in prices or yields on the market, there is time when the market will consolidate, in which sense, there is a probability that yields will ease to some extent during the week ahead. Still, the market nervousness might continue to the lower extent until the FOMC meeting.
Gold: down on jobs dataThe price of gold had a mixed week, with around 1% drop on Friday's trading session, after better than expected US jobs data. The non-farm payrolls added 139K new jobs in May, which was a bit higher from anticipated. The strong US jobs market suggests the possibility that the Fed will hold interest rates steady in the coming period.
The highest weekly level of gold was at $3,4K, however, it is ending the week at the level of $3.310. The RSI continues to hold levels modestly above the 50 level, which suggests that the market is still not clearly ready to start the path toward the oversold market side. Gold daily lows found a supporting line at MA50. Both MA50 and MA200 continue to move as two parallel lines with an uptrend.
The uptrend of the price of gold is still holding on charts. Despite the recent correction, there are two consecutive higher highs on charts, as occurred at the end of May and the one from the previous week. This formation in the technical analysis suggests the probability that the price of gold is heading toward the next peak, probably around $3.430, which was the highest level reached at the beginning of May this year. However, this scenario is for a longer time period. For the week ahead, there is a probability that the price of gold will test the $3,3K level but there is no clear indication that this level might be breached toward the downside. On the opposite side, charts are pointing toward the $3.350, with some lower probability that these levels might be pushed further to the upside.
GBPJPY: 1050+ Pips Move! Will JPY continue dropping? In our previous analysis, we anticipated a similar move for GBPJPY, but the price dropped a bit further than expected. It’s now in a position to buy long, but please use accurate risk management as JPY pairs are likely to remain more volatile than ever. There are three targets you can keep an eye on: 197, then 200. Remember, trading involves risk, so make your own decisions.
Good luck and trade safely!
Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Team Setupsfx_
❤️🚀
SPX: chasing the 6KThe jobs data were in the spotlight of markets during the previous week. The Non-farm payrolls in May with 139K new jobs came as better than market anticipated, which supported the optimistic mood of investors. The S&P 500 managed to return to the levels modestly above the 6K level. Tech companies were again in the spotlight of investors. In this sense, the magnificent 7 drove the market to the higher grounds. In the Friday trading session, NVDA gained 1,2%, AMZN was up by 2,7%, while Tesla gained 3,7%. It should be noted that Tesla had quite a turbulent week. Its shares first dropped by 14% at the beginning of the week, after its CEO commented negatively on a current policy of the US President Trump. Certainly, this came as a surprise for markets, considering Musk's strong support for President Trump, both during the electoral campaign and his presidency.
Current optimism might be slowed down with forthcoming inflation data. Namely, a large number of economists are pointing to potential for the economic slowdown and higher inflation induced by implemented trade tariffs by the US Administration. In this sense, there is a probability that higher volatility of the index might continue in the coming period, as markets will try to understand what impact future growth and earnings will have on any new news on trade tariffs. It has been announced that further talks between China and US officials on trade tariffs will be held next week in London. This event will be closely monitored by investors.
EURUSD: heading toward double-top?The jobs data were in the spotlight of the US market during the previous week. The JOLTs job openings in April reached 7,391M, a bit hotter from market forecast of 7,10M. The Non-farm Payrolls in May added 139K new jobs, which was modestly higher from the forecasted 130K. The unemployment rate remained unchanged in May at the level of 4,2%. The average hourly earnings were higher by 0,4% for the month and 3,9% for the year. As for other posted data, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI for May was standing at 48,5, modestly below market estimate of 49,5. The ISM Services in May were standing at 49,9, lower from estimated 52,3.
Previous week on the European market was marked with an eighth rate cut by 25bps, bringing the reference rate to 2%. Potential further rate cuts will continue to be data-driven. The ECB also cut its inflation forecast till the end of this year to 2%, from 2,3% forecasted previously. At the same time, the posted flash inflation rate in the Euro Zone in May is 1,9% on a yearly basis, which was below market estimate of 2%. The core inflation continues to be a bit elevated, standing at the level of 2,3% y/y in May. EuroZone inflation in May was 0% compared to the previous month. The Producers Price Index in the Euro Zone in May was down by -2,2% for the month, and 0,7% on a yearly basis. The balance of trade in Germany in April had a surplus of euro 14B, which was significantly lower from estimated euro 20,2B.
During the previous week the currency pair was moving relatively slowly, within a short range. Fundamentals were shaping the investors sentiment. One one side, the ECB new cut of reference rates, while on the other side were relatively stable jobs data for the US market. The eurusd spent the previous week in a range between 1,1340 and 1,1450. There was a short move toward the 1,1490 on Thursday, but the market was not willing to test the 1,15 level on this occasion. Based on moves, the market is still not ready to move away from 1,14 lines. The RSI continues to move above the level of 50, indicating again that the market is not ready to take the path toward the oversold market side. The MA50 continues to diverge from its MA200 counterpart, without an indication of a potential change of course in the coming period.
The week ahead is bringing US inflation data for May as well as inflation expectations from the University of Michigan survey. In case of some negative movements in this segment, the market reaction might be triggered. In this case it could be expected further weakening of the US Dollar against Euro, and a trigger for testing of the 1,15 level. Highs from April this year at 1,1570 might easily become the market target. However, if May inflation holds at levels expected by the market, which could be the most likely scenario, then some short term straightening of US Dollar might take place. The first stop would certainly be the 1,14 level, while the next one stands at 1,1275. It is interesting to mention higher potential for double top formation in the technical analysis, which eurusd is currently modestly forming. In case that the double top is triggered in the coming week or two, then the next level for eurusd could be 1,12 level, where highs from September 2024 stands. However, this scenario, if it occurs, could be revealed within the next few weeks.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Industrial Production in April in the EuroZone, final inflation rate in May for Germany
USD: Inflation rate in May, Producers Price Index in May, University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for June.
#GBPJPY: Buyers and Sellers Both Has Equal Chances! Hey there! So, GBPJPY is at a pivotal moment, and we might see a mix of buying and selling activity in the market. Since the bulls aren’t exactly sure what to do next, here’s what we think:
- The GBPJPY pair is having a tough time breaking through the 194 region. The Japanese yen (JPY) is holding steady, making it hard to predict what will happen next. This has made trading JPY pairs a real challenge.
- Looking back at how prices have behaved in similar situations can give us some clues about what might happen in the future. But it’s important to do thorough research before we start trading. Just because something happened in the past doesn’t mean it will happen again.
- The Japanese yen (JPY) also tends to go down when the US dollar (USD) goes up. Since we’re bullish on the DXY index in the coming days, we think the JPY will probably take a hit, and it could go down a lot. It’s also worth keeping an eye on the GBP, which has been one of the most popular currencies since the market opened earlier today.
- In the meantime, we suggest setting two take-profit targets: one at 197 and another at 199. These levels are likely to see a lot of selling activity.
Now, let’s talk about what sellers should do:
- The price is currently in favour of sellers since it dropped from 195.50 to 193.50. And since the last two daily candles closed with strong bearish volume, it looks like the price is going to keep going down.
- If the price breaks below 190.50, that would be a great opportunity for sellers to make some money.
Good luck and trade safely!
Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Team Setupsfx_
❤️🚀
Bitcoin: will $105K prevail or not?After a spike in price on May 22-23rd, the price of BTC continued with a consolidation, moving the price toward the lower grounds. Fridays stronger than expected US jobs data returned the optimism among market participants, bringing back the price of BTC toward the levels around the $105K, where BTC is ending this week. The lowest weekly level reached was $100.754 on one occasion.
The RSI was pushed at levels below the 50 level, around 45, but is still ending the week at 52. This is an indication that market participants are slowly starting to eye the oversold market side. The MA 50 continues to strongly diverge from MA200, without an indication that the cross might come anytime soon.
Since the peak level was reached as of the end of May, the BTC was traded with lower highs and lower lows for the rest of the period. This is a clear indication that some short consolidation is ahead. In the technical analysis this formation is imposing the question, where this trend ends? One possibility is that BTC will again test the $100K, which was the lowest level reached during the previous week, on a short occasion. This level could also be treated as a psychological level for investors. The second option would be a break of the $105K level, which is currently tested, to the upside, where BTC will seek higher grounds, probably around $108K. Both scenarios currently have equal probabilities. Which one BTC will choose, it will be clearer at the start of the week ahead. Until then, the $105K is the level to watch closely, will it prevail or not?
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – Premium Territory Battle BeginsHey team!
Hope you're all feeling sharp and focused — here’s what we’re watching this week on XAUUSD 👇Week of June 9–13, 2025
📍 Bias: Bullish, but cautiously reactive at premium supply
🔹 1. 🔍 Market Structure (W1)
Strong impulsive BOS continuation from 3245 → current price near 3312.
Weekly structure shows clean Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) since Q4 2023.
The premium zone around 3380–3500 is now in play — it’s a weak high zone with upside liquidity targets still intact.
🔹 2. 🧱 Key Weekly Zones
Zone Type Price Range Notes
🔼 Premium Supply Zone 3380 – 3500 Final weak high zone, imbalance + OB supply above
🔽 Demand Support 1 3115 – 3170 Recent impulsive candle origin & imbalance
🔽 Demand Support 2 2950 – 3020 Prior CHoCH base & last HL support
🔽 Long-Term Demand 2660 – 2720 Weekly OB, deep discount zone
🔹 3. 📊 EMAs Context
EMA 5 / 21 / 50 / 100 / 200: Full bullish alignment.
Price is aggressively extended above all EMAs, suggesting possible retracement into the 3115–3170 zone if price fails to break above premium supply cleanly.
🔹 4. 🎯 Fibonacci Swing Analysis
Main fib: 3245 (last HL) → 3395 (current swing high).
50% retracement = ~3320, current price is hovering around this equilibrium.
A move back to 3115–3170 = golden zone, could serve as a clean long re-entry if premium gets rejected.
🔹 5. 🧠 RSI Context
Weekly RSI remains overbought, hovering near 70+.
Momentum remains strong, but any failure to break the weak high may trigger a cooling phase (pullback to EMA50 or fib 61.8%).
🔹 6. 🌍 Macro + Geopolitical Notes
NFP released Friday (June 6): Mixed impact — job creation weak but hourly earnings slightly strong.
Fed still data-dependent → CPI (next week) will be key.
Gold remains sensitive to inflation + Fed rate expectations. A dovish shift or inflation spike could send price beyond 3400.
📌 Weekly Scenarios
🔼 Bullish Continuation
Break above 3380–3395 → 3450–3500 target zone
Needs impulsive close above premium with volume and no rejection wick.
🔽 Retracement Play
Failure to break 3380 → pullback into 3115–3170
Clean demand, imbalance, and fib confluence support re-entry.
✅ GoldFxMinds Final Note
Gold is now in premium pricing — either distribution begins, or we’ll witness a parabolic extension into 3450–3500.
🧠 Watch reactions, not just zones. Trade confirmation.
💬 Let us know how you're positioning for the week — are you buying dips or fading premium?
Stay sharp,
— GoldFxMinds 💡
MARKETS week ahead: June 8 – 14Last week in the news
The first trading week in June started with surprisingly better than expected US jobs data, which influenced some positivity in investors sentiment. The US equity markets gained during the week, with S&P 500 heading again toward levels above the 6K. The US Dollar also modestly gained on Friday, pushing the price of gold to the lower ground, ending the week at the level of $3.309. The US 10Y Treasury benchmark also had a strong reaction on the US jobs data, surging to the level of 4,5% on Friday. The crypto market was traded in a mixed manner, however, BTC managed to hold the $105K level as of the end of the week.
Previous week was marked with the US jobs data, which the market closely watched. At the start of the week JOLTs job openings in April were posted, with a modestly higher figure than anticipated. Jobs openings reached 7,391M, while the market was expecting to see the figure of 7,1M. However, the major data were posted on Friday, impacting the positive market sentiment. The Non-farm payrolls in May added 139K new jobs, while the market estimate was at the lower grounds, around 130K. The market reaction was positive for the equity market, however, it pushed US Treasury yields to higher grounds. Investors are not anticipating that the Fed might hold interest rates at current levels for a longer period of time, than previously anticipated. The CME FedWatch tool is currently estimating odds of 100% that the Fed will hold interest rates steady at their June meeting.
On the opposite side from US investors' sentiment was the European Central Bank, which cut interest rates for the eighth time this year by 25 basis points. The ECB reference rate currently stands at 2%, at the same level where yearly inflation in the Euro Zone stood in May. The ECB currently sees reference interest rate at neutral level. At the same time, ECB commented that the next move will be data-driven, in which sense, neither the ECB nor markets could perceive when and what will be the next ECB move. ECB President Lagarde commented that the US tariffs would hurt EuroZone growth, but extra government spending on defence would bring some positive effects to the economy. The ECB also lowered the inflation forecast for this year and next, while its growth projections remained unchanged. The inflation forecast for this year stands at 2% from 2,3% previously, and at 1,6% in 2026.
Since tariffs are the major headline news, some new information from the previous week includes continuation of negotiations between US and China in London in a week ahead. The US President announced that China agreed to let some rare minerals flow from China to the US. At the same time, Reuters posted that the China central bank bought gold on the market for the seventh consecutive month in May, increasing further its gold reserves.
Another event that spotted market attention was a dispute between the US President and his ally Elon Musk over the “big, beautiful” tax bill which is to be adopted in the US, including significant tax cuts. Musk commented on social networks that this bill will add $36,2 billion new debt to the US balances, which could further hurt the sustainability of the US debt. The shares of Musk's company Tesla dropped by 14% on the news, however, modestly recovered as of the end of the week.
CRYPTO MARKET
During the previous week the crypto market continued with consolidation, after reaching the new highs two weeks ago, especially concerning the BTC price moves. Although the market traded in a modestly negative sentiment during the week, Friday's US jobs data, which was better than expected, also pushed the crypto market to cover some of the weekly losses. Total crypto market capitalization remained flat on a weekly level, with a modest weekly funds outflow of $8B. Daily trading volumes also eased to the level of $194B on a daily basis, from previous weeks $234B. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at 0%, with an inflow of funds of around $2B.
The crypto market was traded in a mixed manner during the previous week. The leader of the market, BTC, was initially traded toward the downside, but managed to end a week flat, with a small funds inflow of $6B. On the opposite side was ETH, which lost less than 2% in the market value, decreasing its cap by $5,9B. Major crypto coins were also traded with a negative sentiment, but with relatively small weekly loss. In this group is BNB, with a weekly drop in value of 1,6%, Solana was down by 2,8%, ZCash was down by 3,7%. DOGE was down by 5% on a weekly basis, due to a dispute between the US President and his ally Elon Musk, a promoter of DOGE. Few coins which ended the week in green were Maker, which surged by 7,5%, Tron was traded higher by 4,4% and OMG Network ended the week higher by 3,4%.
There have been some interesting developments when circulating coins are in question. Namely, during the previous week BTC increased the number of coins on the market by 0,1%. Such a situation is extremely rare on the market, which is why it deserves attention. At the same time, Solana also had an increase in circulating coins by 0,6% while the number of coins of EOS were higher by 0,5% w/w.
Crypto futures market
In line with the consolidation on the spot market, the crypto futures eased during the previous week. BTC futures were traded modestly down by 0,3%, which could be treated as a flat weekly trading. Futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $108.695, and those maturing a year later, were last traded at $114.860.
ETH futures had a higher drop of around 3,5% for all maturities. ETH futures ending in December 2025 closed the week at $2.597, and those maturing in December 2026 were last traded at $2.795.
BTCUSDT[BITCOIN]: $150,000 On The Way In Making!Hey there everyone!
Bitcoin took a bit of a dip around 105k, but it’s right back at a crucial level now. We’re keeping a close eye on the daily volume and expecting it to soar towards $115,000 before it might take another dip if the buying pressure dries up.
We’ve got three targets in mind, and you can set or look at them however you like based on your own analysis and preferences. The crypto market is going to be buzzing with volume, so keep an eye on the news and stay focused on the fundamentals. In the world of cryptocurrencies, fundamentals are more important than technicals, and it’s a whole different ball game compared to forex or gold.
Good luck with your trading, and please like and comment on this idea to show us your support. We really appreciate your support throughout our journey, and we’re excited to see it grow and continue.
If you’d like us to analyse a specific pair, just let us know!
Cheers,
Team Setupsfx_❤️
Building Liquidity: What It Really Means🔵 Building Liquidity: What it really means
Professional traders often need liquidity (buyers and sellers) to enter/exit large positions without moving the market too much.
This means manipulating the market within a pre-determined range, which serves as the operating center for everything that follows.
🔹 How is liquidity built
Price Ranging: Sideways consolidation before big moves attracts both buyers and sellers.
False Breakouts (Stop hunts): Price may briefly break support/resistance to trigger retail stop-losses and fill institutional orders.
News Timing: Pro traders often execute during or just before major news when volatility brings liquidity.
🔹 How can you spot a Liquidity-building zone
🔸 Volume
Unusual spikes in volume: Often indicate institutional activity.
Volume clusters at ranges or breakouts: Suggest accumulation/distribution zones.
Volume with price divergence: Price rises but volume falls = possible exhaustion. Volume rises and price consolidates = potential accumulation.
🔸 Price Action
Order Blocks / Imbalance zones: Sharp moves followed by consolidations are often pro trader footprints.
Break of Structure (BoS): Institutions often reverse trends by breaking previous highs/lows.
Liquidity sweeps: Price moves aggressively above resistance or below support then reverses = stop-loss hunting.
🔸 News Reaction
Watch pre-news volume spikes.
Look for contrarian moves after news — when price moves opposite to expected direction, it often reveals smart money traps.
Analyze price stability post-news — slow movement shows absorption by pros.
Wick traps and reversals around news events = stop hunting.
🔸 Narrative is Everything
Higher timeframe trends show intent.
Lower timeframes show execution zones.
Look for alignment between timeframes in a specific direction.
🔹 Why do whales move the market in an orderly manner
To fill large positions at optimal prices.
To create liquidity where there is none.
To trap retail on the wrong side of the move.
To trap other whales on the wrong side of this move.
To rebalance portfolios around economic cycles/news.
🔹 Professionals never forget what they've built
When you track price, volume, and news, you’ll find specific bars that form areas that are the foundation for the short-term direction.
This is pure VPA/VSA logic, the interplay of Price Analysis ,Volume Analysis and News, where each bar is not just a bar , but a clue in the story that professionals are writing.
When you monitor volume, price, and news together and perform multi-timeframe analysis, it becomes clear what the whales are doing, and why.
🔹 From the chart above
The market reached a weekly resistance level and then pulled back slightly after whales triggered the stop-losses of breakout traders.
Prior to the breakout, whales had accumulated positions by creating a series of liquidity-rich buying zones on the daily timeframe.
It's essential to understand the broader context before choosing to participate alongside them—whether you're planning to buy or sell.
🔴 Tips
Use volume and price analysis together, not separately.
Monitor any unusual volume bars before economic market news.
Monitor news and volatility spikes to detect traps and entries.
Combine this with liquidity zones (support/resistance clusters).
Build a "narrative" per week: What is smart money trying to do?
A smart trader understands the tactics whales use, and knows how to navigate around them.