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Fundamental Analysis

Easterly Muni Fund CrashesEasterly RocMuni RMHVX Meltdown: Déjà Vu of Oppenheimer’s Rochester Muni Collapse Man, what a gut punch for RMHVX investors! This thing went from “safe” muni bond fund to absolute chaos in weeks. Down over 60%—shares tanked from $6.35 to under $3! Reminds me eerily of the Oppenheimer Rochester Muni Fund collapse back in the day. Same story: high-yield promises, loaded with illiquid, risky bonds, then BAM—mass redemptions and a fire sale. Retirees and families got crushed, and now everyone’s asking how they were sold this as “low risk.” Smells like regulators might dig in, just like with Rochester. Anyone else seeing the parallels? Be careful chasing yield, folks—history repeats itself! #RMHVX #MuniBonds #JustBuyGLD
NASDAQ:RMJAXShort
by ABSResearch
EUR/USD About to Trap the Bears? Final Push Before the Drop! EUR/USD is showing a solid short-term bullish structure, with a move initiated from the demand base around 1.1560, fueling a strong rally toward the current level near 1.1770. Price is now approaching a significant supply zone between 1.1790 and 1.1875, previously responsible for the last major bearish swing. This area also aligns with projected Fibonacci levels (25%-100%), reinforcing its relevance as a possible inflection point. This movement suggests there’s still room for price to push higher, likely completing the final leg of this bullish cycle before a more convincing short setup develops. At this stage, Fibonacci levels are not acting as firm supports, but rather as hypothetical pullback projections: once price enters the 1.1800–1.1875 area, it will be key to monitor for signs of exhaustion. A rejection here may initiate a bearish retracement toward 1.1670–1.1650, in line with the 62–70.5% fib levels. Retail sentiment remains highly contrarian: 76% of traders are short, positioning themselves too early against the trend. This imbalance adds fuel for a potential continuation higher, as the market may seek to "squeeze" these premature shorts. Additionally, the COT report confirms growing institutional interest in the euro, with non-commercials increasing their net longs, while USD net long exposure continues to shrink. Seasonality adds further confluence: late July is historically bullish for EUR/USD, suggesting one final leg up could materialize before a typically weaker August. ✅ Trading Outlook EUR/USD is technically aligned for a final push toward the 1.1800–1.1875 premium zone, where a potential short opportunity may arise. The rally is currently driven by overextended retail shorts and supportive institutional flows. Only after price interacts with the upper supply zone should reversal signs be evaluated, with correction targets around 1.1670–1.1650. The ideal play: wait for confirmation of bearish intent in August, when seasonal weakness typically kicks in.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
2
7/23/25 - $ssnc - Interesting, i'd dip buy it7/23/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:SSNC Interesting, i'd dip buy it - 5% fcf yield - ez does it top line growth, nothing stellar MSD - mid teens PE - software-esque ebitda mgns - nothing that i know well and it's HC, so honestly the fact it's bid, doesn't run similar risks as insurers but ultimately (as my pea brain understands it) is probably a net +ve on MLR stuffs - if this thing has any relevant dip on emotional w/e e.g. BOATS:FI this morning, it might be a solid dip buy, but i'd require probably mid to low 70s to be interested. - that being said, stock will probs work/ continue to go up and i'd even expect a green reaction hence the "buy" even tho i'm not buying it here V
NASDAQ:SSNCLong
by VROCKSTAR
Bitcoin New Support at 100,000Bitcoin’s trend has been growing from strength to strength — and it’s likely to stay that way. Why? This trend isn’t driven purely by speculation; it’s supported by strong fundamental reasons. One of the most widely debated topics in finance today is the comparison between Bitcoin and gold. While both are viewed as stores of value, their long-term roles may diverge significantly. Yes, gold and bitcoin have been moving up in near perfect synchronization with inflation. Gold is traditionally seen as an inflation hedge, and since June 2022 — when inflation peaked at 9% — we’ve seen both gold and Bitcoin trend higher up to the present day. Instead of asking why the Fed isn’t cutting interest rates despite the decline in CPI, perhaps we should ask: why the Fed prefers to maintain rates at the current level. What are they seeing with the data and the developments? When both gold and Bitcoin hold steady at these elevated levels, it suggests that investors still believe the threat of rising inflation remains valid. In all bull markets, the path is never straightforward — it’s often jagged along with volatility. What distinguishes a continuing bull market - is the formation of higher lows along its timeline. However, like gold which we recently discussed, Bitcoin may be approaching a medium-term resistance. In this first week of this year tutorial, we observed an inverted hammer in the last month of 2024, suggesting a potential correction in Bitcoin, but yet seeing support at around 82,000 level. As anticipated, the inverted hammer was followed by a correction here toward our support level at around 82,000, with some false breaks along. From that point, the market resumed its upward climb. Now, it appears to be encountering resistance again. Still, as long as the market continues to form higher lows, and the threat of rising inflation still remain, the bull trend should remain intact. This is how the projection might look when mapped with a trendline. We observed that the primary parallel trendline is reacting in relationship to each other. Next I would like to explore its secondary channel. Please don’t interpret this as a literal path. Instead, I hope it serves as a guideline to help you form your own projections as the market evolves. Gold is preferred by older generations, central banks, and conservative investors. Deeply entrenched in traditional finance and cultural value systems. Cryptocurrency has a rapid adoption by younger investors, tech-native users, and institutions. Millennials and Gen Z are more likely to trust cryptographic assets than governments or fiat systems. I will keep an open mind to both inflation hedge asset and their instruments. Its video version for this tutorial: Disclaimer This analysis is based on technical studies and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult your licensed broker before investing. Mirco Bitcoin Futures and Options Ticker: MBT Minimum fluctuation: $5.00 per bitcoin = $0.50 per contract CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.sweetlogin.com
CME:BTC1!Long
by konhow
2
Amazon Market Robbery Blueprint – Swing/Scalp Long Setup🟨💣 “AMZN Market Heist Blueprint – Bullish Robbery in Progress 🚨💼💸” 💣🟨 By Thief Trader – Rob the Market with Precision 🌍 Hello World! Hi, Hola, Ola, Bonjour, Hallo, Marhaba! 🤑💰 Calling all Money Makers & Market Robbers – get ready to execute the next bullish heist on AMAZON.COM, INC (NASDAQ: AMZN), powered by our signature Thief Trading Style™ – where technical precision meets psychological warfare. 🔥 Plan Summary: Based on our fundamental & technical intel, we’re eyeing a long entry into AMZN. The target? 💥The High-Risk ATR Police Barricade Zone – a zone flooded with liquidity, overbought conditions, fakeouts, and bear traps. It's where most traders get caught – but we walk in with a blueprint. 🟩 Entry Zone – “The Vault Is Wide Open!” 💼📈 🕰 Entry timeframe: 15min / 30min (preferably after confirmation or rejection wick) 💵 Buy Limit Orders: Place multiple layered entries (DCA-style) near recent swing lows/highs. Wait for breakout confirmation; no blind orders before breakout! Thief Note: This isn’t spray-and-pray – this is sniper-mode. Scope, place, execute.🎯 🛑 Stop Loss – “SL is the Escape Route!” 📍 SL below recent 4H candle wick swing low (around 219.00 – adjust based on your risk/margin size). Important: Only place SL after breakout; not before. Risk per order must match your lot strategy. 🎯 Target – “Grab the Bag or Escape Before the Alarms!” 💸 Target Zone: 240.00 🧠 Smart robbers know when to bail early – use a trailing SL to lock gains. Exit before reversal or heavy volume shift. 👀 Scalper Alert – “Only One Way – LONG!” If you’re a quick thief with a fat bag, hit-and-run with a Long scalp. If you’re running lean, swing with the crew. Watch the PA and news timing. Trailing SL = insurance policy. 📊 Why Bullish? Here’s the Background: 🔍 Macro Drivers 💼 COT Report 🌍 Geo-political Influences 🧠 Sentiment Score 📈 Index Correlation 🔮 Intermarket Signals 💹 Institutional Positioning All lights flashing green for short-to-midterm bullishness, but keep checking real-time updates. ⚠️ Risk Alert – News Triggers Can Blow Your Cover 🚨 🗞 Avoid trading near major news releases – they cause volatility spikes. 🧲 Always protect gains with trailing stops and don’t over-leverage your ammo. 💖 Support the Robbery – Hit BOOST 🔥 Smash that 💥BOOST💥 button if you ride with the Thief Trading Crew! Let’s build this into the #1 robbery squad on TradingView. Make money. Protect profits. Trade like a bandit – with a plan. 💼📈🏆 🔔 Stay Tuned for the Next Robbery Mission 🔔 Another heist plan dropping soon. Until then, rob smart, rob safe, and rob rich. – Thief Trader™ | Rob The Market. Not Your Wallet.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by The-Thief
BTC possible failed range breakout - Aggressive Move The BTC ATH rally began post cash close and had very thin volume on the break out before setting this range on the higher time frames. Normally, a range after ATHs are made I would be extremely bullish and I am. Aside from the failed breakouts at the highs, the attempts paired with nuances such as the crypto week impulses, the day of signing GENIUS and new regulatory acts being drafted now, the attempts to break those ATHs were nudged off. Sometimes come failed moves come fast moves, and so I have to be prepared that BTC will trade between these thin areas on the volume profile from 111k to 115k. 113k being the most noticeable node in the entire profile. Similar to my analysis on the break to ATHs, I would expect this move to be aggressive and remind us of a 2020 cycle style flush in Altcoins. Kind of already seeing it with the performance of alts today preempting the failed move up on BTC at range highs. I will NOT be shorting anything in crypto, these are just areas that I am heavily interested in buying. Currently flat perps and will wait for BTC to make its mind up.
by taztrader
1
XAUUSD LIVE OUTLOOK – JULY 23, 2025Good evening, traders—let’s get this right, no mistakes. Gold hit 3,438, then pulled back and found support exactly in the 3,380–3,390 zone. Here’s your precise update: 🔸 HTF OVERVIEW (H4 → H1) New High & Liquidity Sweep: A clean breakout to 3,438 invalidated every old supply. Primary Demand: Price settled into the 3,380–3,390 H4 order block (untested FVG beneath). H1 confirms this blue zone as the critical buy area. Invalidated Supply: No valid sell zones until we carve fresh structure above 3,438. 🔹 LTF PRECISION (M30 → M15) M30 Flow: Spike to 3,438, then instant drop into 3,380–3,390. Volume spiked on the decline, then eased as price held. M15 Structure: Inside 3,380–3,390, watch for a clean BOS above 3,395—that’s your bull‑bear pivot. Until then, this zone is the edge of the knife. 🎯 KEY ZONES & TRIGGERS Buy Zone #1 (Live): 3,380–3,390 Confluence: H4 order block + unfilled FVG + H1 swing low Trigger: M15 BOS above 3,395 and retest. Buy Zone #2 (Backup): 3,350–3,360 For a deeper pullback—untested H4 demand. Sell Zone: 3,420–3,438 Confluence: unfilled H4 FVG + premium supply Fade only on clear M15 rejection (pin‑bar/engulf). Decision Pivot: 3,395 Above = bullish continuation; below = stand aside. ➡️ ACTION PLAN Longs: Enter on M15 close above 3,395 and retest; targets at 3,420 then 3,438. Shorts: Only on rally into 3,420–3,438 with a decisive rejection candle. Invalidation: A sustained break below 3,380 warns of a deeper flush toward 3,350–3,360. 🚀 CALL TO ACTION If this nailed your edge, smash that Like, Follow @GoldFxMinds for daily sniper updates, and Boost this post so your fellow traders don’t miss these live levels! Drop a 🔥 if you’re ready to strike the next move. Disclosure: I’m part of TradeNation’s Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their chart feed. — GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
AUD/JPY: Capitalizing on the RBA-BoJ Monetary Policy GapThis analysis outlines a compelling short opportunity in AUD/JPY, driven by a powerful confluence of fundamental and technical factors. The trade is strategically positioned ahead of a key catalyst that could unlock significant downside potential. 1️⃣ The Core Thesis: A Clear Policy Divergence The primary driver behind this trade is the stark and widening gap in monetary policy between the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The RBA is signaling a clear dovish pivot amid a weakening labor market, making an interest rate cut imminent. Conversely, the BoJ is in a tightening phase, creating a fundamental headwind for the AUD relative to the JPY. This divergence underpins the strategic bearish bias. 2️⃣ The Confirmation: Technical Alignment This fundamental view is supported by a clear technical picture. The pair is in a well-defined downtrend and is currently testing a critical support level. This alignment of fundamental and technical factors presents a clear short opportunity, with the entry positioned for a breakdown below this key juncture. 3️⃣ The Catalyst: The RBA Bulletin The immediate catalyst for this trade is the upcoming RBA Bulletin on July 24, 2025. Any dovish language from the RBA concerning Australia's economic outlook will likely reinforce expectations for a rate cut and accelerate the downward move in AUD/JPY. The Trade Setup ✅ Here is the recommended trade setup: 📉 Trade: SHORT AUD/JPY 👉 Entry: 96.56200 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 96.96386 🎯 Take Profit: 95.49900 🧠 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.65 This setup offers a compelling risk-reward profile, capitalizing on a clear and powerful macroeconomic theme. The trade is designed to perform should the expected catalyst confirm the underlying bearish fundamentals.
Short
by MaxellAguiran
Short Opportunity on GBPUSD – Technical & Fundamentals AlignToday I want to look at the Short position opportunity in GBPUSD ( FX:GBPUSD ). So let's take a look at the GBPUSD pair from a fundamental and technical perspective. Fundamental Analysis: The British Pound remains under pressure due to growing expectations of a 25–50 bps rate cut by the Bank of England in early August. Markets are increasingly leaning toward easing as UK inflation hit 3.6% in June, the highest in over a year, while economic growth weakened and consumer confidence dropped to its lowest since early 2024 Ongoing fiscal concerns, including potential tax hikes and budget instability, continue to weigh on the pound. In contrast, the US Dollar( TVC:DXY ) remains relatively robust—supported by strong economic data and a safe-haven preference amid global uncertainty Summary: BoE easing becomes more likely due to weak UK data and inflation. Fiscal risks and low consumer sentiment add downward pressure on GBP. USD strength from solid data and safe-haven demand supports further GBPUSD downside. ------------------------- In terms of technical analysis , in the 1-hour timeframe , GBPUSD is approaching the Resistance zone($1.356-$1.350) , the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and the 50_SMA(Daily) . Meanwhile, this return to Important Support lines could act as a pullback to these lines. Important support lines and 50_SMA(Daily) were broken last week. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , GBPUSD appears to be completing a main wave 4 . Main wave 4 is likely to have a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect GBPUSD to start declining from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and reach the targets I have marked on the chart. Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.3575USD = Worst Stop Loss(SL) Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. British Pound / U.S Dollar Analysis (GBPUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
19
Gold is going down. Can it break through?First, we can look at the daily chart，Currently, the support below the gold daily chart is around 3385, which is also the low point on Tuesday. The current price drop has already touched the support near 3385. Secondly, from the 4-hour chart, the low point of yesterday's US market retracement was around 3405, and the high point on Monday was 3400. So the first pressure point of this price correction is 3400-3410, followed by the suppression position near 3420. The 4-hour chart shows that the gold price fluctuated in the 3410-3440 range in the early stage, the MACD red column shortened, and the KDJ dead cross began to appear, facing the pressure of correction in the short term. At present, the main focus is on whether the 3385 support line can be broken. If it falls below this support level, it will most likely touch around 3375. Then gold will most likely start a downward trend and the rebound will be weak.
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
1
GOLD → Consolidation before the next jump to 3450?FX:XAUUSD continues to rally, with the price updating its local high to 3438 and moving into consolidation, possibly for another jump... After hitting a five-week high of $3,438, traders are taking a break. Optimism is fuelled by Trump's statements about the largest deal with Japan and negotiations with Canada, but uncertainty about the details of the agreements and political instability in Japan are keeping caution in check. The market is waiting for further signals on trade and political issues, which remain key factors for gold. Technically, the dollar continues to fall, which generally supports gold. But! Gold is approaching strong resistance at 3445-3450, where growth may be temporarily halted. Resistance levels: 3433, 3446 Support levels: 3416, 3401, 3375 As part of a local correction, gold may test consolidation support or 0.5-0.7f before continuing to rise. There are quite a few orders in the 3433-3446 zone, and it will be difficult to break through this area to reach the target. Consolidation before this level may help the rise to continue. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
25
BITCOIN → Consolidation and compression to 116K. Correction?BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P continues to consolidate, with the price testing support at 116K, leaving behind the zone of interest at 120K-121K. Are there any chances for further growth? (Alternative scenario (if growth to 120K does not occur)) Fundamentally, there is nothing particularly new, and the hype surrounding Bitcoin is stagnating. Technically, on D1, consolidation is underway with pressure from bears against the backdrop of an outflow of funds into altcoins. However, the dominance index is starting to rise, which could trigger some correction in the market. The price on the working timeframe, without updating local highs, is testing lows, and the latest retest of the liquidity zone is provoking a fairly aggressive reaction that could bring the price to retest the zone of interest at 120K-121K. But! If the price is squeezed between 116K and 0.5 Fib with a gradual squeeze towards support, the chances of a breakdown and a premature fall will increase. Support levels: 116370, 115860 Resistance levels: 119650, 120100 Technically, the market needs a breather or correction, which is generally a sign of health. The nuance with Bitcoin is that below 115860 there is no support until 112K, and if the market breaks the current consolidation boundary, the further correction could be quite deep. In the current situation, I do not yet see any drivers or reasons for another rally. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
36
MVST, beginning of the new lithum hype? With ongoing US-China trade war, one of the key issues resides on lithium battery technology . Lithium technology is brought up as a national security concern . This is a tailwind for the industry . Now let's get to the technicals. A major turning point on the 200MA . We haven't seen this happening since Dec 2020, when the stock first went public. $3.00 key level is tested three times . This is not just a .618 Fib level, but the previous cycle high in 2023. First test happened during Dec 2024, which it failed. Second time we saw the stock blew through this key level on May 2025. Lastly we saw a solid defense on this level on July 2025. If this level were to hold, the upside can be very high . In addition to the technical side, the company is generating $100M revenue with neutral/break-even earnings this year, up from $60-80M in 2023 and 204. A steady increase in revenue , while not losing much from earning perspective. This places NASDAQ:MVST at a tipping point . All it needs is some tailwinds from the new geopolitical conflicts , and we will see either an increase in revenue (scale up) or an improvement in profitability. Or both. If that were to happen, MVST will skyrocket. I am watching and monitoring this stock as right now, I am expecting to add MVST to my portfolio once I see further confirmation.
NASDAQ:MVSTLong
by BoiPlunger