US retail sales data stands out | FX ResearchThe yen didn't move all that much but did manage to post a 4-day low against the buck after the Bank of Japan maintained its interest rate as expected while planning to reduce bond purchases quarterly starting next fiscal year. BoJ Governor Ueda signaled potential rate hikes if economic and inflation forecasts held, but highlighted risks from U.S. tariffs, domestic food inflation, and weaker economic data expected in the second half of the year.
In global markets, the U.S. dollar remained stable. EUR/USD softened despite a strong German ZEW survey, and oil prices were relatively contained considering Middle East tensions and a tanker collision off the UAE coast.
U.S. stock futures are under a little pressure as Senate Republicans proposed tax cuts that could widen deficits, while upcoming U.S. retail sales data and ECB commentary on strengthening the euro’s global role have kept markets focused—also ahead of tomorrow’s highly anticipated Fed decision.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
Fundamental Analysis
XAUUSD Sniper Plan – June 18, 2025Hey GoldMinds! 💛
After a messy reaction to today's Retail Sales miss, Gold continues to coil inside a premium range. With FOMC projections, rate statement, Powell’s press conference, and Unemployment Claims lined up next — volatility is far from over. Here’s our refined tactical plan 👇
🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Context
• US Retail Sales disappointed — signaling cracks in consumer demand, potentially weighing on the USD.
• Unemployment Claims up next — job market weakness could add pressure on USD if claims increase.
• FOMC day: Expect massive liquidity sweeps during economic projections, rate decision, and Powell’s press conference.
• Geopolitical tensions persist — no ceasefire in Middle East conflicts (Israel–Iran), and Russia–Ukraine remains unstable. Safe haven bids may still support gold on dips.
🧭 Bias: Tactical Neutral → Bearish
• Price remains capped under 3415–3445 supply
• EMAs are showing indecision: H1 trapped between EMA 5–21, H4 leaning weakly bullish
• RSI on most TFs is neutral → market waiting for event catalyst
• Structure suggests bull trap risk if 3415 holds
🔑 Key Sniper Zones
🔻 Sell Zones
1️⃣ 3405 – 3415
→ H1-H4 OB + FVG + sweep confluence
→ Premium liquidity pocket — ideal trap for reactive sellers
→ Watch M15 for rejection confirmation
2️⃣ 3430 – 3445
→ Upper inducement + clean OB + imbalance
→ Only valid if price spikes irrationally post-FOMC
→ Stronger reversal setup likely here
🟡 Pullback Monitor Zone
3390 – 3398
→ No trade zone — watch for signs of rejection or continuation
→ Could act as short-term resistance before deeper moves
🟢 Buy Zones
1️⃣ 3365 – 3380
→ Bounce zone with clean confluence: FVG, OB, previous HL
→ Best used for reactive entries after wick flushes
→ Key pivot zone with HL structure
→ OB + FVG combo, ideal for tactical long bounces with M15/M30 confirmation
2️⃣ 3335 – 3345
→ Deeper structure retracement zone
→ Contains H4 OB, imbalance + golden Fibo pocket
→ Most reactive buy zone post-event volatility
🧠 Battle Plan Recap
• If price fails to break 3415, we prepare for further bearish continuation
• Bounces expected at 3365–3380 — confirmation needed
• Final long setup lives at 3335–3345 — cleanest buy zone if FOMC triggers selloff
• 3390–3398 is not for entries — only reaction monitoring
• FOMC + Claims = high risk day → trade only sniper zones
✨ Final Notes
Volatility creates traps. Structure gives clarity.
We don’t predict — we react to the third move.
👇 Found this valuable? Hit the 🚀, follow for more sniper plans, and comment your bias!
Let’s trade like pros, not guessers — GoldFxMinds 🧠✨
Beeline Holdings | BLNE | Long at $0.72**This is a VERY risky penny stock. Please do not invest if you are risk averse.**
Beeline Holdings NASDAQ:BLNE
Book value = $5.00-$6.00
Revenue past 12 months: $5.21 million (grew by 27.4% over the past year)
Debt-to-equity: 0.21x (low)
Insiders purchased almost $500k in shares in the past 6 months and volume increasing
6 million float, 1.96% short interest, 0.85 days to cover
This is purely a gamble play based on value and insider purchases. Thus, at $0.72, NASDAQ:BLNE is in a personal buy zone.
Targets:
$1.00
$1.25
Goldman and BofA agree: The dollar is losing its edgeGoldman Sachs now expects the EUR/USD to hit 1.20 by the end of the year. While this prediction draws comparisons to the 2017 rally in the pair, Goldman notes a key difference. This time, the pricing reflects pessimism in the US dollar, rather than optimism in the euro.
Bank of America seemingly agrees and warns that even a “hawkish” dot plot at this week’s FOMC meeting, where Fed officials signal fewer rate cuts, may only cause a brief bout of euro weakness against the dollar.
EUR/USD has recently broken out of a long-term descending triangle pattern, which capped price action from mid-April through early June, aligning with Goldman Sachs’ and BofA’s view of a broad EUR strength/ USD weakness.
This recent pullback to the 1.1480 area is a retest of former resistance turned support, suggesting a potential continuation pattern if buyers defend this level.
06/17/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysisEOD accountability report: +1,337.50
Sleep: 9 hours
Overall health: Good, was averaging 40k steps the week before, now around 20k avg,
need to get it up to 25k steps min per week.
**What was my initial plan? **
Went into the market pretty neutral today with the mindset that it should be the calm before storm (fomc tomorrow), There was a string defense of 1 min MOB in the morning and that gave me the belief that early part of the day was going to be bullish so i took a few stabs at support and made my money.
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm)** 4/4
— 9:34 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check:
— 10:30 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (double signal) :check:
— 11:36 AM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal (double signal) :check:
— 1:00 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :check:
Next day plan--> Above 6015 = Bullish, Under 6005= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
LEU in short Squeeze territoryLEU is in short squeeze territory.
Float: ~15.8M shares
Short Interest: ~2.92M shares (~18.5% of float)
Days to Cover: 2.7–3.4 (based on avg. volume)
Cost to Borrow: >12% APR — elevated friction for short holding
Utilization: 100% — all lendable shares are actively short
Off-Exchange Volume: 52.9% of total daily volume
Average DP activity: trending higher last 5 sessions
Interpretation: Consistent dark pool action + volume spikes = institutional movement. Large buys may be being masked to avoid alerting retail and algos.
Call Volume Surge: ~12,380 contracts vs 3K avg
Put/Call Ratio: 0.6 — bullish bias
IV Rank: ~43%
IV Level: ~79.5% (historically high but not dangerous)
Unusual Flow: Deep OTM calls for July and August being loaded — $180, $200, $250
Current Price: $173.66
Today’s High: $175.65
Breakout Zone: $165–168 (just cleared)
Next Resistance: $180.50 → $186 → $195
Support: $167.20 → $161.80
Volume: Over 1.02M — first major 1M+ session since March
RSI: ~86 — hot but normal in short squeeze scenarios
MACD: Just crossed bullishly on daily
Entry: $170–172
Risk: Stop at $163
Target 1: $180
Target 2: $188–190
Stretch Target: $200+ on gamma ramp if momentum holds
EUR USD Price has previously rejected from the resistance zone in DTF, and Also traded in an ascending triangle and also formed a double top pattern and held d bearish Trendline, which are all indications of a Bearish trend and movement as seen.
And priced moved perfectly in our Direction 🔥
_THE_KLASSIC_TRADER_.
6/17/25 - $crwv - Short again6/17/25 :: NASDAQ:CRWV :: VROCKSTAR
Short again
- much easier to find shorts in this tape
- these guys don't make money when you take out capex
- it's like bitcoin mining, without the bitcoin
- go figure. eat your heart out normies.
i'm short, again. send it higher about 2%. prefer 5% size.
enjoy the bearish divergence on the daily.
V
Gold Price Consolidation Near Key Support Breakout imminentThis 30-minute chart of Gold (XAU/USD) shows a clear consolidation pattern forming after a recent downtrend from the 3,450 zone. The price is currently ranging within a horizontal support-resistance box near the 3,370–3,390 area, with previous bullish momentum broken by a downward trendline.
The key support zone is highlighted in yellow, suggesting a potential decision point. The two arrows indicate a possible breakout scenario:
A bullish breakout back toward 3,400+ if support holds
A bearish continuation if price closes below the support zone
Traders are likely watching this zone closely for confirmation of direction, as a breakout could signal the next significant move.
Bitcoin 30-Minute Chart –Bearish Reversal After Triple top formThis 30-minute Bitcoin chart shows a clear bearish reversal pattern following a triple top formation near the $109,000 resistance zone. The price broke below the ascending trendline support, confirming bearish momentum. A highlighted potential bounce zone is around $103,000–$104,000, suggesting short-term support. A minor retracement is expected before any further downside continuation, as shown by the projected path. The chart indicates a potential shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish, emphasizing caution for long positions.
Gold Miners Stocks Go 'The Rife Game' in Town. Here's WhyGold mining stocks have emerged as one of the top-performing asset classes in 2025, driven by a combination of surging gold prices, improved profitability, and shifting investor sentiment.
Here’s fundamental and technical analysis of the key factors behind this outperformance, by our @PandorraResearch Super-Duper Beloved Team :
Record-High Gold Prices Fuel Margins
Gold prices surpassed $3,000 per ounce in March 2025 for the first time in history, marking a 14% year-to-date increase. This rally stems from:
Safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions, economic and political uncertainty including U.S. trade policy volatility.
Central bank buying , particularly by China, India, Turkey, and Poland, to diversify away from the U.S. dollar.
Anticipated interest rate cuts , which reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
Higher gold prices directly boost miners’ revenues.
For example, the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index NYSE:GDM returned nearly 30% YTD by early March, outpacing both physical gold OANDA:XAUUSD (+14.5%) and the S&P 500 SP:SPX (-3.8%). Companies like Agnico Eagle Mines NYSE:AEM and Wheaton Precious Metals NYSE:WPM reached all-time highs, while ASX-listed miners such as Evolution Mining ASX:EVN (+39.5% YTD) and West African Resources ASX:WAF (+56.6% YTD) outperformed Australia’s broader market.
Margin Expansion and Shareholder Returns
Gold miners are leveraging rising prices to improve profitability:
Stabilized costs for labor, energy, and equipment have widened profit margins.
Free cash flow growth enabled dividend hikes and share buybacks. U.S. Global Investors, for instance, offers a 3.91% annualized dividend yield.
Undervalued stocks: Many miners traded at historically low valuations relative to gold prices, creating buying opportunities. Barrick Gold NYSE:GOLD (P/E 15.6) and Newmont Corp NYSE:NEM (P/E 15.5) remained attractively priced despite gains.
Royal Gold NASDAQ:RGLD , a streaming company with a 60.3% operating margin, exemplifies how non-traditional miners capitalize on gold’s rally without direct operational risks.
Sector-Specific Catalysts
Mergers and acquisitions. Consolidation activity has increased, with larger firms acquiring high-potential projects.
Copper exposure. Miners like Evolution Mining benefit from rising copper demand, diversifying revenue streams.
Institutional upgrades. Analysts at Macquarie and Morgan Stanley endorsed Newmont and Evolution Mining, citing currency tailwinds and free cash flow potential.
Macroeconomic and Market Dynamics
Dollar weakness. A declining U.S. dollar enhances gold’s appeal as a hedge.
Equity market volatility. With the S&P 500 struggling, investors rotated into gold equities for diversification (0.3 correlation to broader markets).
Fiscal deficits. U.S. budget imbalances and inflationary pressures reinforced gold’s role as a store of value.
Outlook for 2025
Analysts project further gains, with gold potentially reaching $3,300 per ounce. Miners are expected to sustain momentum through:
Operational efficiency improvements to align with higher gold prices.
Continued capital discipline , avoiding overinvestment in new projects.
Dividend growth , as seen with U.S. Global Investors’ monthly payouts.
Technical Outlook
The main technical graph for Gold Miners ETF AMEX:GDX indicates on further Long-Term Bullish opportunity, to double the price over next several years, in a case of the epic $45 mark breakthrough.
Conclusion
In summary, gold miners’ 2025 rally reflects a confluence of macroeconomic uncertainty, disciplined capital management, and gold’s structural demand drivers. While risks like cost inflation persist, the sector’s fundamentals and valuation upside position it as a compelling component of diversified portfolios.
--
Best 'Golden Rife' wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
Bitcoin - Levels of the Range On the hourly time frame it is clear that BTC is within a rangebound environment. Using key levels such as the weekly highs and lows with Mondays highs and lows to to paint a picture of where support and resistance may be.
In the "weekly outlook" post for this week I suggested a retest of the $108,500 area, an orderblock that pushed prices lower and is notorious for protecting Stop losses of the shorts that pushed price lower, nearly instantly as the week starts we get that move to sweep the supply zone and stop hunt the short trades.
After a successful sweep the swing fail pattern typically follows when in a rangebound environment or absent of a trend. This structure plays out and the sell-off follows.
Price breaks through the Monday low with zero fight so momentum is with the bears in the low time frame. Should momentum continue the previous week low is @ $102,500 which is in line with HTF key level too.
RSI is also entering the oversold zone and in a rangebound environment can be when price reverses direction, as seen by the previous Monday High and Previous week low.
With FOMC just over 24 hours away volatility usually follows. No rate cut forecast however many think the interest rate should be brought down in line with inflation as the ECB has already done.
In conclusion, BTC is in a clear rangebound environment on the hourly time frame.
Stop loss hunt/supply zone sweep and then SFP, the LTF momentum is with the bears going into FOMC.
Next point of support at $102,500 (Previous week low) and could be boosted by the oversold RSI.
An FOMC rate cut should be bullish although currently thought to be unlikely.
BCH ANALYSIS🔆#BCH Analysis : Channel Following ⛔️⛔️
As we can see that #BCH is following ascending channel on daily time frame. Also there is an instant resistance area. We can see a bullish formation here. And if it trade with good volume then we can see a proper bullish move in #BCH
🔖 Current Price: $463
⏳ Target Price: $598
⁉️ What to do?
- Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.🚀💸
#BCH #Cryptocurrency #ChartPattern #DYOR
Brent and WTI: Is $100 oil just Around the corner?#Brent and #WTI prices are steadily climbing, now reaching $73.30 and $71.15 per barrel. The market is showing strong signs of an upward trend, similar to what we saw in 2021–2022. With global demand picking up and increased interest from major market participants, analysts believe prices could soon push past the $100 mark — especially amid ongoing global tensions and rising consumption.
Standard Chartered forecasts Brent reaching $95 by December 2025, while some outlooks go even higher. What’s fueling this potential rally? Top 5 reasons oil may surge in the coming months:
Global instability : Tensions in the Middle East and unrest in key producers like Venezuela and Nigeria raise concerns about supply disruptions. Any flare-ups could push prices to $90, $95 — or beyond.
Economic recovery : Asia and developing economies are bouncing back fast. With industrial activity rising, so does energy demand — including for oil.
OPEC+ tight supply policy : OPEC+ is likely to maintain production cuts to support prices and keep the market balanced.
Low reserves, limited expansion : Stockpiles remain tight, and exploration has lagged in recent years. If demand spikes, producers may struggle to scale output quickly.
Aviation and petrochemicals rebound : Global air traffic and plastic manufacturing are growing, increasing demand for jet fuel and oil-based feedstocks.
Together, these factors create a strong setup for upward momentum in Brent and WTI prices. According to FreshForex analysts , the current levels could mark the beginning of a new growth cycle.
KTOS BUY Kratos Defense (KTOS) is a buy due to escalating global conflicts driving demand for low-cost, high-tech defense systems. KTOS aligns with shifting military priorities. Strong government contracts and rising revenues position it to benefit from sustained geopolitical instability and defense modernization. KTOS is pioneering AI-powered drones and autonomous systems, areas the Pentagon is prioritizing for future warfare capabilities. earnings showed double-digit YoY revenue growth and a rising backlog, confirming increasing contract momentum.
The FY2025 U.S. defense budget remains robust, with a focus on next-gen warfare and drones.
World conflicts not seeing improvement : Russia-Ukraine .. Israel-Iran
$JPINTR -Japan Interest Rates (June/2025)ECONOMICS:JPINTR
(June/2025)
source: Bank of Japan
- The Bank of Japan kept its key short-term interest rate unchanged at 0.5% during its June meeting, maintaining the highest level since 2008 and aligning with market expectations.
The unanimous decision underscored the central bank’s cautious stance amid escalating geopolitical risks and lingering uncertainty over U.S. tariff policies, both of which continue to pose threats to global economic growth.
Tokyo and Washington agreed to extend trade talks after failing to achieve a breakthrough during discussions on the sidelines of the G7 Summit in Canada. Meanwhile, as part of its gradual policy normalization, the BoJ reaffirmed its plan to cut Japanese government bond purchases by JPY 400 billion each quarter through March 2026.
Starting April 2026, it will then slow the reduction to JPY 200 billion per quarter through March 2027, targeting a monthly purchase level of around JPY 2 trillion—signaling a measured but steady path away from ultra-loose monetary policy.
CRCL (“Circle”) | Long | Stablecoin | (June 17, 2025)CRCL (“Circle”) | Long | Stablecoin & Institutional Crypto Infrastructure | (June 17, 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
Circle, known for its USDC stablecoin and institutional crypto infrastructure, displays a financially solid foundation with healthy free cash flow and an evolving product footprint, making it a compelling long-term play.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry: Blue-chip levels in the $100–$120 zone (assumed range near current $160)
Stop Loss: ~$90 (well beneath key support zones)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $200 (psychological & projected 5‑year mid-target)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): $250 (upper end of 5‑year expectation)
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Latest revenue: ~$1.6 B with net income around $155 M; ~82–87 M floating shares, market cap ~$3 B.
✅ Free cash flow is ~6x less debt and matches cash levels—pointing to strong liquidity and balance sheet health.
✅ CEO Jeremy Allaire (since 2013) leads Circle’s path from peer payments to global crypto-financial infrastructure.
✅ Core stablecoin USDC, built on numerous chains (Ethereum, Solana, Polygon, Optimism…), fuels 24/7 trading and reserves—~98% of income comes from net interest on reserves.
✅ Major partnerships include Visa, Shopify, Walmart, Ripple, Ledger, Coinbase, plus backing from Goldman Sachs—highlighting institutional trust.
✅ Regulatory-first design and transparency position Circle favorably amid evolving global crypto frameworks.
4️⃣ Optional Follow‑up Note:
Will track key industry catalysts: regulatory clarifications (e.g. EU’s MiCA), stablecoin adoption rates, yield curve shifts impacting interest income, and enterprise integration announcements.
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